NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Indianapolis Colts (0-2)
Line: Packers by 9.
Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This line looks crazy, but it can be justified. The Colts don't give a damn about preseason games. In fact, they battled the Packers in Week 3 of the exhibition last year. Green Bay rolled, 59-24.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Mike McCarthy is 10-12 in preseason games.

Jim Caldwell is 1-9 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Packers 38, Colts 10
Packers -9 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440
Packers 24, Colts 21

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St. Louis Rams (2-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)
Line: Rams by 2.5.
Friday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-9 record in exhibition contests. Steve Spagnuolo, meanwhile, is a solid 8-2.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Rams.

Steve Spagnuolo is 8-2 in preseason games.

Steve Spagnuolo is 2-0 in Preseason Week 2 games.

Todd Haley is 1-9 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Rams 24, Chiefs 17
Rams -2.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Rams 14, Chiefs 10

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Miami Dolphins (2-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Buccaneers by 4.5.
Saturday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Raheem Morris is pissed about getting debacled by the Patriots, but I'm still taking the points. Tony Sparano (11-3) really cares about winning preseason games. Morris (4-6), not so much.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Tony Sparano is 11-3 in preseason games.

Raheem Morris is 4-6 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Dolphins 23, Buccaneers 20
Dolphins +4.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Buccaneers 17, Dolphins 13

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Newbie 10-31-2011 11:37 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.96 (total posts: 3) 15     18 Will Walt turn around and get it right for Week 9? SEVEN1FOUR 10-31-2011 11:33 am xxx.xxx.xxx.192 (total posts: 4) 23     13 MNF S.D Charger -3 /OVER Convict 10-31-2011 11:28 am xxx.xxx.xxx.201 (total posts: 1) 17     15 Clap, clap, clap. Congrats Walt, at least you did not get skunked. 2 for 12. Are you sure your name isn't George Costanza? Because you should be doing the opposite. How can anyone pick Den & Tebow over the Lions? Your weekly blog on why you pick the way you do must be some kind of therapy for your drinking problem. A monkey can make better picks than you. Time to shut it down before you go broke, Walt. Dale 10-31-2011 11:27 am xxx.xxx.xxx.139 (total posts: 1) 21     16 Your Awful Walter. Very Very Bad..... People who take advice from this clown should stop smoking crack. Satan 10-31-2011 10:30 am xxx.xxx.xxx.126 (total posts: 191) 25     12 I liked Kansas to begin the week, but now I'm comin down from that as the numbers just don't work out for them. Walt's laziness is really showing with his breakdown of the KC offense... just because Shonn Greene ran well against San Diego last week doesn't mean the Chiefs will. KC only averaged 3.6 per rush last week despite the fact that Oakland's defense was constantly on the field and totally gassed from all the turnovers. That's a bad sign. Not only that, but they couldn't run the ball when they played this same team 5 weeks ago, so what's so different now? Fact is, their defense handed them that Raiders game on a silver platter, but the offense was terrible. As long as San Diego plays good special teams and isn't looking ahead, they should roll tonight. As someone mentioned earlier, this spread is an overreaction that's being based on a weird Week 7 for both teams. Newbie 10-31-2011 10:25 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.96 (total posts: 3) 31     14 Walt also stated that he isn't convinced that the Ravens would cover and didn't explain what the info was. J 10-31-2011 09:43 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.35 (total posts: 3) 25     15 STOP LOOKING AT WALTS PICKS --- WWW.GAMBLERSDIARIES.COM <<< CHECK THIS SITE!! God 10-31-2011 09:23 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.11 (total posts: 6) 23     12 It's me God. Your rein of terror is over. Saddam, Osama, Gaddafi. Cherepinsky's next. Your values and overall outlook of life is backwards. Your believes and prophecies are false. What you print as humor is not humor, as your picks are really humorous. See? Of course not..living in the past and those past prophets have let you down as they always will, eventually. Walter my Son, Don an Wawa uniform, run the cash register,clean toilets, restock shelves and keep smiling.For this is your destiny. Love, God ps. With your current standards the only way you can get laid is if she willed it to you and even than, maybe. Lower your standards, you won't be disappointed. Really Walt? 10-31-2011 09:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx.130 (total posts: 5) 27     17 Bad Teams are 9-17 against the spread in 2011 when not playing another Bad Team. The point of this is that the bad teams are REALLY bad this year. I think it's because of the lockout. What this is about is the fact that the bottom-tier teams in the NFL this season are worse than the bottom-tier teams of recent years. So, this explanation is about the ineptness of these bottom-tier teams. It's not about the numbers. The numbers just reflect how bad these teams are. Week 8 NFL Pick: Titans 26, Colts 20 Colts +8 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0 Over 43.5 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0 Titans 27, Colts 10 After a lengthy explanation, his very 1st pick takes a bottom tier team...lol vegas 10-31-2011 09:17 am xxx.xxx.xxx.109 (total posts: 1) 59     14 I think Walt is losing on purpose to get people to go to his site and bash him. Keep up the great work Walt you homo! c silva 10-31-2011 09:16 am xxx.xxx.xxx.170 (total posts: 1) 14     11 Fuqer """I never bash on here but I must ask why Walt bet on a lot of heavy favorites this week when he said he thought Vegas would have a big week? I think he needs to focus more on Football and less on his foreign spam emails. """ Do not underestimate Mufassa Snow or Walts campaign at ending spam mail for all of us. He will feed you to his dogs. Dearbuddy 10-31-2011 09:00 am xxx.xxx.xxx.155 (total posts: 8) 15     16 @ RyanB against packer is a big game. But no way will the Chargers over look a division game. This game is way more important than packers. They have a way better chance beating kc than gb. The only edge kc has is live Monday night football as underdog home team and it's hard to beat divisional rival twice in same year. Dearbuddy 10-31-2011 08:42 am xxx.xxx.xxx.155 (total posts: 8) 20     26 This is just Walters opinion. You're not paying him anything. ETERTAINMENT is what it comes down to. He list the facts than he recap with his opinion. You should be mad that you trust his opinion. But Only be mad at yourself, because you made the bet. MAN UP to your bet and addiction. Keep doing what you're doing walter. TO the gambler, my advice is study and don't bet on everygame! ArnoldZiffle 10-31-2011 06:12 am xxx.xxx.xxx.101 (total posts: 2) 26     42 My blind aged dog picks better than you. Here Buddy, step on the sheet and pick some winners. Keep your day job as a clown. I have never seen anyone go perfect WRONG for ALL the morning games. You couldn't do that again even if you tried. Dissappear and try again next season under a different name. nj 10-31-2011 03:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx.133 (total posts: 1) 22     15 Hahaha....I'm winning thanks to walter.I played totaled opposite from Walt's picks.just like I said last week I was going to play opposite from Walt. Pages: 1 2 ...1138 1139 1140 11411142 1143 1144 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 25


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)