Ravens (9-2) at Bengals (6-5). Line: Bengals by 3. Over-Under: 41½.
Thursday, 8:00 ET
Walter's Game of the Week

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Pick.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: Ravens: OUT: G Edwin Mulitalo (IR). Bengals: OUT: RB Chris Perry (PUP), G Bobbie Williams, C Rich Braham, LB David Pollack (IR), LB Odell Thurman (SUSP), CB Rashad Bauman (IR).

Week 12 was all about bad calls on this Web site (Eagles, Browns and Steelers), bad calls on the football field (the Chargers spike that an idiotic officiating crew should have ruled a fumble), and picks that went against my own strategy (Giants, Vikings and Jaguars). By the way, the next time I go against my own system, I’ll have an alert on this site, “Warning! I’m being an idiot and going against my philosophy! Either fade my selections, or send me a virus and/or porn so I can stop doing what I’m doing!”

Ever since Jim Fassel was fired, the Ravens have scored 35, 26, 27, 24 and 27 points. However, I think that has been a mirage; Baltimore put up 27 against the Steelers, but they managed just 140 yards from Steve McNair and 66 from Jamal Lewis. The week before, most of their offense was set up from great kickoff and punt returns. But with that in mind, the Ravens should be able to move the chains against the Bengals, who can’t stop the run. I know Cincinnati is coming off a shutout, but the team was playing the Browns, who couldn’t do anything without a healthy Reuben Droughns. Steve McNair should also be able to torch a secondary that surrenders 246 passing yards per contest.

The last time these teams played, a 26-20 Baltimore victory, Carson Palmer threw two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. But that was about a month ago; ever since then, Palmer has been prolific, compiling 980 yards, eight touchdowns and just two picks. That said, don’t be shocked if Palmer reverts to September and October form; the Ravens’ monstrous pass rush (39 sacks) should be able to demolish Cincinnati’s offensive line (30 sacks surrendered).

Baltimore is the better squad, and if this contest meant as much to both parties, the visitor would come away with a victory. But it doesn’t; the Ravens are sitting comfortably atop the AFC North, while the Bengals are fighting for a playoff spot.


The Psychology. Edge: Bengals.
This new section of my predictions will explore the mindset of each team, and how much the game means to both participants.

This is a heated divisional rivalry, so both teams will bring it. But because Cincinnati is not a threat to Baltimore as far as the division is concerned, this contest means much more to the Bengals, who are currently one game out of a wild-card spot.

The Vegas. Edge: Bengals.
This new section of my predictions will explore the public perception of each team, and how this game is being bet.

The Ravens aren't really a public team, but casual bettors will likely favor them over the erratic Bengals, who have given people headaches with their inconsistent play. Should be 60-40 action.
  • Percentage of money on Baltimore: 62% (About 24,000 online bets)

    The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
    • History: Bengals have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
    • Ravens are 8-14 ATS as an underdog the previous 22 instances.
    • Opening Line: Bengals -3.
    • Opening Total: 43.
    • Weather: Strong storms, 48 degrees. HEAVY WIND, 20 mph.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Jamal Lewis, Todd Heap, Ravens Defense, Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh.
    • Sit Em: Rudi Johnson.

    Prediction: Bengals 24, Ravens 16. (Bengals -3).
    Money Pick.
    Correct: Bengals 13, Ravens 7.




    Chargers (9-2) at Bills (5-6). Line: Chargers by 6½. Over-Under: 42½.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Chargers -6½.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Chargers -6½.

    The Game. Edge: Chargers.
    Injuries: Chargers: OUT: OT Roman Oben (PUP), LB Steve Foley, KR Darren Sproles (IR). QUESTIONABLE: G Kris Dielman, DE Luis Castillo, LB Shaun Phillips, LB Randall Godfrey, S Marlon McCree, KR/RB Michael Turner. Bills: OUT: G Chris Villarrial, S Troy Vincent (CUT). QUESTIONABLE: WR Josh Reed.

    For those wondering if Vegas rigged the Chargers-Raiders contest, let me assure you that there was no fix. Marty Schottenheimer allowed Oakland to establish an early lead because he was scared Al Davis was coming out of his coffin to suck his blood. But once Schottenheimer realized that the coffin lid was cracked open because Art Shell was snooping around, he decided to lay the hammer down and knock out the Raiders.

    There’s no blood-sucking owner in this contest, so the Chargers should be fine. The Bills are 30th against the run, meaning LaDainian Tomlinson could break Shaun Alexander’s single-season record for touchdowns this Sunday – Tomlinson needs five more to pass Alexander (28). If Buffalo is to have any chance in this contest, they need to put the clamps on Tomlinson, permitting their pass rush (29 sacks) to do the dirty work. But shutting down Tomlinson is like asking Sally Struthers not to eat all of the food in Africa (idiotsonmyfloor.com reference).

    If running into San Diego’s 10th-ranked ground defense wasn’t hard enough, Shawne Merriman returns from his four-game suspension. Willis McGahee will often get blown up in the backfield, forcing J.P. Losman to throw against an unbelievable 41-sack pass rush. It could be one of those days for Losman.

    The Chargers are much better than the Bills. However, they are extremely prone to looking ahead, and coming out flat after important victories. They did so last week against the Raiders, and last year in a home contest versus Miami. Buffalo plays well as a host, so it could sneak in under the number.

    Saturday Morning Update: I'm upgrading this to a Double Money Pick. The public continues to pound the Chargers, who showed no effort against Oakland last week.


    The Psychology. Edge: Bills.
    An obvious Look-Ahead Alert for the Chargers, who play the Broncos next week. San Diego has a comfortable lead in its division, so it doesn't need to win this game. The Bills, meanwhile, are just two games out of the wild card.

    The Vegas. Edge: Bills.
    Although they didn't cover last week, the Chargers are still a very public team. I expect lots of action on them.
  • Percentage of money on San Diego: 75% (63,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
    • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 16-24 ATS since 2002 (Marty Schottenheimer 8-2).
    • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 56-81 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; BILLS kicked a GW FG as time expired.
    • Philip Rivers is 8-3 as a starter (7-4 ATS).
    • Bills are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Opening Line: Chargers -6.
    • Opening Total: 43.
    • Weather: Few snow showers, 33 degrees. Mild wind: 14 mph.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Philip Rivers, LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense, Lee Evans.
    • Sit Em: Willis McGahee.

    Prediction: Chargers 30, Bills 27. (Bills +6½).
    Double Money Pick.
    Correct: Chargers 24, Bills 21.




    Vikings (5-6) at Bears (9-2). Line: Bears by 9. Over-Under: 34.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Bears -10.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Bears -10.

    The Game. Edge: Bears.
    Injuries: Vikings: OUT: FB Tony Richardson, DE Erasmus James (IR), LB Chad Greenway (IR), S Tank Williams (IR). DOUBTFUL: DT Pat Williams. QUESTIONABLE: RB Chester Taylor*, TE Jermaine Wiggins*, OT Marcus Johnson, G Steve Hutchinson, G Artis Hicks. Bears: OUT: DT Dusty Dvoracek (IR), S Mike Brown (IR). QUESTIONABLE: S Todd Johnson.

    Out of all the quotes I found on various message boards, and listed under “Extra Points” regarding Arizona’s backdoor cover, this one was my favorite: “F***ing Chester Taylor, you c***sucker piece of s*** and f*** you Minny defense, allowing 4th-and-long twice so they can score. F*** everyone.” Hmmm… I wonder how that person really feels. Still, I can’t blame him for being mad at Brad Childress for blowing a 31-13 lead enough to give the Cardinals the cover. That’s two weeks in a row that Childress has done something shady with the spread. Is he involved with Vegas? I don’t know; but I won’t be surprised if he’s that Linderman guy from Heroes.

    If Rex Grossman ever breaks out of his alarming slump, this will be the week. After all, the Vikings surrendered 405 yards to Matt Leinart, even though Arizona didn’t even try to run the ball. Minnesota lacks a consistent pass rush, so Grossman should have all day to throw. That said, Grossman will have to carry the Bears on his shoulders; the Vikings have the top-ranked ground defense in the NFL. If Grossman continues to struggle, Chicago has no hope of moving the chains.

    The Patriots were able to throw the ball against the Bears, but it doesn’t take a genius to figure out that there’s a huge difference between Tom Brady and Brad Johnson. What Johnson needs to do is spread Chicago’s defense out, and utilize all of his targets. It worked in Week 3 when he was 21-of-31 for 194 yards. Minnesota also must give Chester Taylor about 20 carries, but I don’t know if that’s possible.

    It’s obvious that Chicago’s a much better team. However, it could be a little flat coming home off a three-game road trip. Plus, this is a heated divisional rivalry, and the Vikings need a win a lot more than the Bears do. I expect the visitor to hang the number.


    The Psychology. Edge: Vikings.
    Both teams hate each other. The Bears just lost to the Patriots, so no Let-Down Alert.

    The Vegas. Edge: Vikings.
    Should be lots of action on the Bears.
  • Percentage of money on Chicago: 66% (75,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
    • History: Home Team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings.
    • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current coaches are 43-26 ATS as divisional dogs of 7+ since 2002.
    • Vikings are 13-21 ATS (7-27 SU) outdoors since 2001.
    • Opening Line: Bears -9.
    • Opening Total: 36.
    • Weather: Sunny, 23 degrees. Mild wind: 12 mph.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Muhsin Muhammad, Bernard Berrian, Bears Defense.
    • Sit Em: Chester Taylor, Thomas Jones.

    Prediction: Bears 23, Vikings 17. (Vikings +9).
    Incorrect: Bears 23, Vikings 13.




    Chiefs (7-4) at Browns (3-8). Line: Chiefs by 5. Over-Under: 35½.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Chiefs -3.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Chiefs -4.

    The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
    Injuries: Chiefs: OUT: QB Trent Green, OT John Welbourn (RET), OT Kevin Sampson, G Brian Waters, DT John Browning (IR), LB Derrick Johnson. Bills: OUT: G Chris Villarrial, S Troy Vincent (CUT). DOUBTFUL: DE Orpheus Roye. QUESTIONABLE: RB Reuben Droughns*, TE Kellen Winslow Jr.*, DE Nick Eason, DE Orpheus Roye, LB Willie McGinest, CB Leigh Bodden, S Brian Russell.

    I wonder why Braylon Edwards was harassing Charlie Frye at the end of the Bengals game last week. Here are three possible things Edwards said to Frye: 1) “C’mon man, we have to score 28 more points to cover the spread because I followed walterfootball.com’s advice, and bet half my contract on us. Let’s go!” 2) “Yo man, you said we were going to go to Burger King after the game, and now you’re saying we’re driving to the Chinese Buffet!? Screw you!” 3) “F***ing Chester Taylor, you c***sucker piece of s*** and f*** you Minny defense, allowing 4th-and-long twice so they can score. F*** everyone.”

    It’s difficult to blame Edwards for acting that way. His team was completely inept on offense. Frye was throwing picks left and right; Reuben Droughns was limited, so the Browns couldn’t run the ball; and even Phil Dawson was missing field goals he usually makes. And all of this was against Cincinnati’s beleaguered defense. Droughns could be back at full strength, but because Kansas City’s stop unit is better than the Bengals’, it’s basically a wash. I don’t see Cleveland doing much on offense.

    The Browns are ranked 27th against the run, so what do you think is going to happen? If Larry Johnson shatters Jamal Lewis’ single-game rushing record, I won’t be surprised one bit. Johnson’s projected 200-plus yards will set up play-action opportunities for Trent Green, who played well on Thanksgiving.

    Kansas City would kill Cleveland at home if it were the most important game in the world, but there are three things going against the Chiefs: This is a sandwich situation, as you can read under “The Psychology;” the public is all over them; and they usually struggle on the road. It’s hard to take the points, but that’s what I’m going to do.


    The Psychology. Edge: Browns.
    The Chiefs are one of a few teams faced with a Sandwich Situation on Sunday; they just beat the Broncos in an emotional Thanksgiving contest, and they play Baltimore next week. Cleveland will be looking to atone for its 30-0 loss to Cincinnati.

    The Vegas. Edge: Browns.
    Anyone who took Cleveland watched the team lose 30-0. And don't forget the Braylon Edwards outburst on the sideline. No way anyone sane is on the Browns.
  • Percentage of money on Kansas City: 84% (62,000)

    The Trends. Edge: None.
    • Chiefs are 8-11 ATS on the road since 2004.
    • Browns are 3-11 ATS in December home games since 2000.
    • Opening Line: Chiefs by 5½.
    • Opening Total: 37.
    • Weather: Few snow showers, 33 degrees. Mild wind: 14 mph.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Trent Green, Larry Johnson, Eddie Kennison, Tony Gonzalez, Chiefs Defense.
    • Sit Em: Browns Offense and Defense.

    Prediction: Chiefs 13, Browns 10. (Browns +5).
    Money Pick.
    Correct: Browns 31, Chiefs 28.




    Jets (6-5) at Packers (4-7). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 41.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Packers -1½.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Jets -1.

    The Game. Edge: Jets.
    Injuries: Jets: OUT: RB Curtis Martin (PUP). Packers: OUT: QB Aaron Rodgers (IR), WR Robert Ferguson, OT Kevin Barry (IR), S Marviel Underwood (IR).

    As of Wednesday afternoon, there were only 450 bets made on this game. Why so low? Here are a few possible reasons: 1) Brett Favre may announce his retirement at halftime. 2) There’s a bomb attached to Chad Pennington’s shoulder, so Jean-Claude Van Damme has to impersonate the Jets’ signal caller so he can take this contest to overtime, which will give him enough time to wipe out the bad guys. 3) Brett Favre may announce his retirement at some point during the first quarter. Stay tuned.

    With Favre, anything’s possible. That wasn’t the case before, when he was invincible in snowy games at Lambeau Field. But now, snow just makes Favre more turnover-prone, which is a sad sight to see. The Jets have garnered 12 interceptions this year, so there could be problems for Green Bay’s legendary signal caller, especially when you consider that New York has been more efficient against the run since their bye. Favre will have to carry his team on his shoulders, which is unfortunately something he’s gotten used to.

    I joked about Pennington’s shoulder, but he has really surprised me this year; I thought his shoulder was dead after all of the surgeries it went through. Pennington was 24-of-31 for 286 yards and a touchdown last week, and that should continue Sunday because of Green Bay’s brutal back seven. The Packers yield 233 passing yards per contest for a reason.

    I’ll be the 451st person to wager on this game, and my money will be on the Jets. Favre and the Pack will lose at snowy Lambeau. I couldn’t imagine myself saying that a few years ago.


    The Psychology. Edge: Jets.
    The Jets only have Buffalo next week, so they should be focused against the Packers, who looked pretty good on Monday night.

    The Vegas. Edge: Jets.
    The Packers looked good in a loss to the Seahawks on Monday Night Football. Should be close to 50-50 action.
  • Percentage of money on NY Jets: 65% (40,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Packers.
    • Packers are 9-5 ATS in December home games since 2000.
    • Packers are 19-9 ATS after Monday Night Football in the previous 28 instances.
    • Brett Favre is 8-5 ATS as a home underdog in his career.
    • Brett Favre is 16-13 ATS as an underdog since 2002.
    • Opening Line: Jets -3.
    • Opening Total: 42½.
    • Weather: Partly cloudy, 29 degrees. Mild wind: 11 mph.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Chad Pennington, Lavernues Coles, Jerricho Cotchery, Jets Defense, Donald Driver, Greg Jennings.
    • Sit Em: Jets Running Backs, Ahman Green, Packers Defense.

    Prediction: Jets 24, Packers 20. (Jets PK).
    Correct: Jets 38, Packers 10.




    Lions (2-9) at Patriots (8-3). Line: Patriots by 13½. Over-Under: 41½.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Patriots -13.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Patriots -16.

    The Game. Edge: Patriots.
    Injuries: Lions: OUT: RB Kevin Jones*, WR Scottie Vines (PUP), G Damien Woody, DE James Hall (IR), LB Teddy Lehman (PUP), S Idrees Bashir. QUESTIONABLE: DT Shaun Rogers (SUSP). Patriots: OUT: LB Junior Seau (IR), S Rodney Harrison, S Mel Mitchell. QUESTIONABLE: WR Chad Jackson, TE Daniel Graham, OT Ryan O'Callaghan, CB Ellis Hobbs, CB Chad Scott, S Eugene Wilson.

    Thanks to the Lions getting blown out every Thanksgiving, here is how I spent the early parts of my previous three Turkey Days: In 2004, I was thrust into a conversation with my intoxicated uncle, who kept arguing that it’s impossible to score 300 in bowling because there are only 10 pins and 10 frames. In 2005, I was forced to watch Hollywood Squares with washed-up celebrities like Whoopi Goldberg and McCauley Culkin. This year, my mom looked at the TV and said, “The Lions are getting blown out again, no point in watching this. Help me move all of the chairs upstairs.” I’m praying for a close game in 2007.

    If you pick Detroit to cover the 13½, you’ll need more than a prayer. This is one of the worst teams I’ve ever seen. They can’t do anything right. The Lions can’t pass protect (the Patriots have 28 sacks); they can’t run the ball (the Patriots are eighth against it); and they can’t even fire the worst general manager in the NFL. As I mentioned in my top story, I’m convinced William Clay Ford is a comatose vegetable who can’t even lift his finger. How else does Matt Millen still have a job?

    Oh and by the way, the Lions can’t play defense either. If Joey Harrington was able to look like the second coming of Dan Marino against them, what exactly is Tom Brady going to do? Throw for 600 yards and 340 touchdowns? Anything’s possible if you play Detroit.

    As bad as the Lions have been, did you know that they have just two losses by double figures this year? I expect them to play for pride after getting embarrassed before a national audience on Thanksgiving. Moreover, the Patriots, whose MO is to always do the bare minimum, have no logical reason to be motivated. They just beat the Bears, and they’ll be looking forward to their battle against Miami next week.


    The Psychology. Edge: Lions.
    This is a Sandwich Situation for the Patriots, who are coming off a big win against the Bears, and could be caught looking ahead to Miami next weekend. I don't see them taking Detroit seriously. The Lions will be looking to atone for their Thanksgiving Day debacle.

    The Vegas. Edge: Lions.
    Like the Browns, the Lions are a joke. Anyone who puts any sort of money on them should be locked up.
  • Percentage of money on New England: 76% (56,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
    • Two Homes (Win): Bill Belichick is 4-2 ATS at home following a home win.
    • Lions are 6-15 ATS vs. AFC opponents since 2001.
    • Lions are 0-5 ATS on the road this year.
    • Patriots are 30-21 ATS at home under Bill Belichick.
    • Patriots are 13-3 ATS in December home games since 2000.
    • Patriots are 18-6 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
    • Tom Brady is 76-23 as a starter (62-35 ATS).
    • Opening Line: Patriots -13.
    • Opening Total: 41.
    • Weather: Sunny, 45 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Tom Brady, Corey Dillon, Laurence Maroney, Ben Watson, Patriots Defense, the prospect of Millen appearing on Hollywood Squares sometime soon.
    • Sit Em: Lions Offense, Defense, Ownership, Management and Thanksgiving Stronghold.

    Prediction: Patriots 31, Lions 21. (Lions +13½).
    Correct: Patriots 28, Lions 21.




    49ers (5-6) at Saints (7-4). Line: Saints by 7. Over-Under: 45.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Saints -7½.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Saints -8.

    The Game. Edge: Saints.
    Injuries: 49ers: OUT: C Jeremy Newberry (IR). DOUBTFUL: TE Eric Johnson. QUESTIONABLE: OT Jonas Jennings, CB Shawntae Spencer. Saints: OUT: FB Mike Karney, TE Ernie Conwell, G Jermaine Mayberry (IR), LB Tommy Polley (IR), LB James Allen (IR), P Mitch Berger (IR). QUESTIONABLE: WR Joe Horn*, WR Marques Colston*, DE Will Smith, LB Mark Simoneau.

    My 49ers 100:1 to win the NFC West proposition isn’t looking so good right now. What a shame; using my newly acquired credit card, I purchased a home entertainment system, a PlayStation 3, an Armani suit, multiple fancy-shmancy cars, a personal gym and a house in the Hamptons. But when my dad found out, we had a heart-to-heart, and the studio audience went “awwww.” Then, I had to give everything back, and it was all OK. Wait a second, that wasn’t my life; that was an episode of every single cheesy sitcom on TGIF.

    It’s a shame because the 49ers had multiple opportunities to beat the Rams, who needed to convert a few fourth downs just to claim their fifth victory of the year. Alex Smith also took a step back after playing brilliantly the past few weeks; Smith was 13-of-25 for 148 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. The bright spot for San Francisco’s offense was Frank Gore, who rumbled for 134 yards. Expect Gore to put up similar numbers, as the Saints have the league’s 28th-ranked ground defense. If Smith can play better this time, the 49ers have a great shot at winning.

    Steven Jackson wore down San Francisco last week, which is something Deuce McAllister will be able to do. This will set up play-action opportunities for Drew Brees, who has thrown for more than 300 yards the past five weeks. The 49ers surrender 221 passing yards per contest, so I think it’s safe to say New Orleans won’t have trouble scoring.

    The Saints aren’t the greatest home team in the world, which you can tell by the numbers below. Furthermore, this is a sandwich situation; just read about it in “The Psychology.” New Orleans is favored by too much.


    The Psychology. Edge: 49ers.
    A classic Sandwich Situation for the Saints; they're coming off a win at Atlanta, and play Dallas in Week 14.

    The Vegas. Edge: 49ers.
    People continue to disrespect the 49ers. The Saints should be a huge public favorite this week.
  • Percentage of money on New Orleans: 78% (71,000)

    The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
    • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 76-53 ATS on the road following a road loss.
    • Saints are 5-13 ATS in December home games since 2000.
    • Saints are 15-27 ATS at home since 2001.
    • Saints are 8-18 ATS as a home favorite since 2001.
    • Opening Line: Saints -7.
    • Opening Total: 47.
    • Weather: Dome.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Frank Gore, Saints Offense.
    • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

    Prediction: Saints 27, 49ers 24. (49ers +7).
    Double Money Pick.
    Incorrect: Saints 34, 49ers 10.




    Cardinals (2-9) at Rams (5-6). Line: Rams by 6½. Over-Under: 47.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Rams -7.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Rams -8.

    The Game. Edge: Rams.
    Injuries: Cardinals: OUT: DE Bert Berry (IR). DOUBTFUL: DT Kendrick Clancy. Rams: OUT: OT Orlando Pace (IR), G Claude Terrell (IR), C Andy McCollum (IR), DE Victor Adeyanju. QUESTIONABLE: G Adam Timmerman.

    This game doesn’t look too fun, so here is my weekly Heroes prediction. It looks like the producers are taking us into the past, and showing us how everyone received their powers. Here’s how Niki Sanders obtained her alter ego: Niki was walking down the street one day when Sterling Sharpe ran up to her and cracked her skull. When she woke up, her brain was so messed up that she had multiple personalities. The End.

    OK, I was guess I was off by just a hair – someone’s skull did get cracked, but it wasn’t Niki’s. Anyway, don’t be deceived by the score of last week’s Arizona-Minnesota game. The Cardinals needed a kickoff return, a 99-yard fumble return and a cheap backdoor touchdown just to lose 31-26. I doubt they’ll be as lucky this time. That said, I could see them scoring some points. St. Louis surrenders only 189 passing yards per contest, but that’s because everyone runs the ball against them. Matt Leinart, who threw for 405 yards last week, should have another big day. Edgerrin James might even crack 50 yards; the Rams have the league’s worst ground defense.

    Of course, St. Louis won’t have any trouble lighting up the scoreboard. The Cardinals rank 21st against the run, yield 230 passing yards per contest, and can’t put any pressure on opposing quarterbacks (23 sacks). The Rams may not even punt.

    The spread worries me. The Rams opened up as a 6-point favorite against the 49ers last week. If San Francisco is a lot better than Arizona, why is St. Louis just -6½? It just doesn’t make any sense. And here’s one more tidbit: The Rams have yet to win by more than eight points this year – and that was the 18-10 victory in the season opener against the Broncos.


    The Psychology. Edge: Rams.
    It's win or no playoffs for the Rams. I'm not sure if they'll take the Cardinals seriously, however.

    The Vegas. Edge: Cardinals.
    This will also be a lower-volume contest; the public hates both of these squads.
  • Percentage of money on St. Louis: 66% (46,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Rams.
    • History: Rams have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
    • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 76-53 ATS on the road following a road loss.
    • Weak Arm: Matt Leinart is 1-2 ATS on the road.
    • Cardinals are 1-4 ATS on the road this year.
    • Opening Line: Rams -6½.
    • Opening Total: 44.
    • Weather: Dome.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Matt Leinart, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, Rams Offense.
    • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

    Prediction: Rams 24, Cardinals 20. (Cardinals +6½).
    Correct: Cardinals 34, Rams 20.




    Colts (10-1) at Titans (4-7). Line: Colts by 7½. Over-Under: 47.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Colts -7½.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Colts -7½.

    The Game. Edge: Colts.
    Injuries: Colts: OUT: FB James Mungro (IR), TE Dallas Clark*, DT Corey Simon (IR), DT Montae Reagor, S Mike Doss (IR). QUESTIONABLE: WR Brandon Stokley. Titans: OUT: WR David Givens (IR), TE Ben Troupe, DE Antwan Odom, DT Rien Long (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB LenDale "KFC" White, DE Travis LaBoy, DT Robaire Smith.

    The sad thing about the Eagles’ performance on Sunday night was the fact that the Colts didn’t appear like they were trying on offense. Peyton Manning looked content to just hand the ball off every single down. This was evident in the waning seconds of the first half, when Manning allowed the clock to run because he didn’t feel like throwing a pass. I’m shocked he didn’t say the following after the victory: “You know, Bob, I shouldn’t really talk right now because I had 12 shots of vodka at halftime, but my team gave a great effort today, WOOT!”

    Speaking of a lack of effort, remember the first time these teams clashed? The Colts scored 14 points, as Manning accumulated just 166 passing yards on 31 attempts. It seems like Indianapolis should be able to score at will; the Titans have a young secondary and a 29th-ranked ground defense. But for some reason, Tennessee was able to give Indianapolis severe problems. Look for Peyton to give his greatest effort; he’ll want to claim revenge on the team that beat his little brother a week ago.

    In that Oct. 8 meeting, Travis Henry, LenDale “Burger King” White and Vince Young compiled 214 rushing yards, propelling the Titans to a near upset. I could see that happening again; the Colts still can’t stop the run, while Young is blooming before our very eyes.

    Two things to consider if you plan on laying points with the Colts: This is Tennessee’s Super Bowl, and out of Indianapolis’ 10 victories, three have been by more than seven points. Still though, I’m concerning with the Manning-revenge factor.


    The Psychology. Edge: Titans.
    This is a huge rivalry, so you probably should take the points. This is Tennessee's Super Bowl. Meanwhile, the Colts are up against a Look-Ahead Alert; they play Jacksonville next week.

    The Vegas. Edge: Titans.
    People adore the Colts, but a few public bettors might have fallen in love with Vince Young.
  • Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 79% (85,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Colts.
    • History: Colts have won the last 7 meetings.
    • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current coaches are 43-26 ATS as divisional dogs of 7+ since 2002 (Jeff Fisher 1-4).
    • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 56-81 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; Titans kicked a GW FG with 6 seconds left.
    • Colts are 22-12 ATS on the road under Tony Dungy.
    • Opening Line: Colts -7.
    • Opening Total: 47½.
    • Weather: Partly cloudy, 48 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Joseph Addai, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Travis Henry.
    • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

    Prediction: Colts 24, Titans 20. (Titans +7½).
    Correct: Titans 20, Colts 17.




    Falcons (5-6) at Redskins (4-7). Line: Redskins by 1½. Over-Under: 38½.
    Sunday, 1:00 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Falcons -3.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Pick.

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Injuries: Falcons: OUT: WR Brian Finneran (IR), DE Patrick Kerney (IR), CB Jason Webster, CB Kevin Mathis (IR). QUESTIONABLE: CB Jimmy Williams. Redskins: OUT: RB Clinton Portis.

    Michael Vick gave one of his fans the double-finger salute following a loss to the Saints. Now, before we go blaming Vick for this, let’s examine what that fan might have said: “Hey, Mike! Nice 166 rushing yards. Why couldn’t you get 170!? I needed four more yards for my fantasy league, and you cost me a spot in the playoffs, you jerk!” If that was the case, I wouldn’t blame Vick for throwing up both of his middle fingers. Vick tries so hard, and can’t seem to please everyone. Who do people think he is, Matt Schaub? Vick’s not a miracle worker.

    Just a week ago, this line would have been Falcons -3. But just look at how the team has collapsed; its receivers are dropping passes like there’s no tomorrow, the quarterback is flipping off people in the crowd, and the defense is giving up Hail Maries. And don’t forget the fact that Warrick Dunn carried the ball just 19 times. That needs to change, especially against the Redskins, who are 20th versus the run. But that didn’t really help last week, as the Saints were 28th in that category. Defensive coordinator Gregg Williams will force a beleaguered Vick to throw the ball. New Orleans did that, and it worked perfectly.

    Ladell Betts isn’t the greatest running back in the world, but he should have a pretty big day because it doesn’t look like the Falcons can stop anything right now. Betts will create play-action opportunities for Jason Campbell, who has been an upgrade over Mark Brunell thus far. We’ll see how long that lasts.

    There is something rotten at the core of Atlanta’s organization. There are already talks of Vick getting traded on Web sites like profootballtalk.com. I could see that happening; I could also see Matt Schaub taking a few snaps on Sunday if Vick keeps struggling. Meanwhile, people continue to underrate what Campbell is doing for Washington.


    The Psychology. Edge: Falcons.
    The Falcons need to win out just to have a shot at the postseason.

    The Vegas. Edge: Redskins.
    All of the Michael Vick-haters will be going against the Falcons. All of the Redskins-non-believers will be going against Washington. Sets up for 50-50 action.
  • Percentage of money on Atlanta: 70% (48,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
    • Two Homes (Win): Joe Gibbs is 2-0 ATS at home following a home win.
    • Redskins are 5-2 ATS at home the previous seven instances.
    • Opening Line: Redskins -1.
    • Opening Total: 39.
    • Weather: Partly cloudy, 49 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Warrick Dunn, Alge Crumpler, Ladell Betts, Santana Moss, Chris Cooley.
    • Sit Em: Falcons Receivers.

    Prediction: Redskins 23, Falcons 20. (Redskins -1½).
    Incorrect: Falcons 24, Redskins 14.




    Jaguars (6-5) at Dolphins (5-6). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 35½.
    Sunday, 4:05 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Jaguars -2½.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Dolphins -1.

    The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
    Injuries: Jaguars: OUT: QB Byron Leftwich, RB Greg Jones (IR), DE Reggie Hayward (IR), LB Mike Peterson (IR), S Donovin Darius (IR). DOUBTFUL: CB Terry Cousin. QUESTIONABLE: CB Brian Williams. Dolphins: OUT: RB Ronnie Brown*, G Seth McKinney (IR), G Bennie Anderson (IR), G Jeno James, DT Keith Traylor, CB Will Poole (IR). QUESTIONABLE: CB Michael Lehan, CB Will Allen, S Travares Tillman.

    The NFL’s amazing. Here we are, thinking Joey Harrington was a bust all of these years. But Matt Millen was just holding him back; Harrington is thriving under Nick Saban. Give Saban tons of credit; Harrington wouldn’t have enjoyed this success if Dave Wannstedt were still the coach of the Dolphins. That got me thinking – what if Wannstedt ruined the careers of every single quarterback he coached? What if Jay Fiedler was destined to be the next Dan Marino? What if A.J. Feeley was supposed to be the second coming of John Elway? What if Tyler Palko wasn’t meant to look like a raging lunatic every time one of his receivers does something wrong?

    Given what J.P. Losman did to Jacksonville last week – 21-of-28, 169 yards – it seems like Harrington could be in for another great day. But I think their 27-24 loss to Buffalo was a wake-up call for the Jaguars, who were simply flat after beating the Giants on Monday Night Football. I expect them to come out and put the clamps on Ronnie Brown immediately, forcing Harrington to beat them. Unlike the atrocious Lions, Jacksonville has a pretty great defense.

    Miami’s stop unit has improved over the year as well, as its young secondary has gotten better and better. The pass rush, anchored by Jason Taylor, has produced 34 sacks, and gave Jon Kitna all kinds of problems on Thanksgiving. However, David Garrard is mobile and could burn the Dolphins by scrambling for a few first downs. Miami will have to stay honest with Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew coming out of the backfield. I think it’s safe to say that they’re both better than Arlen Harris. Wow, Detroit stinks.

    If the Jaguars lose this game, they’ll likely be 6-7 because they play Indianapolis next week. The bottom line is that they need to beat Miami.


    The Psychology. Edge: Dolphins.
    The Jaguars need a win, but the Dolphins aren't going to roll over and die; Miami is playing extremely well right now, and would love to improve to 6-6. Jacksonville has a potential Look-Ahead Alert, as it plays Indianapolis next week.

    The Vegas. Edge: None.
    Everyone saw the Dolphins demolish the Lions on Thanksgiving. A few people noticed the Jaguars lose at Buffalo. You tell me which side everyone will be on.
  • Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 50% (49,500)

    The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.
    • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 76-53 ATS on the road following a road loss.
    • Opening Line: Dolphins -1.
    • Opening Total: 36½.
    • Weather: Partly cloudy, 83 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael, Jaguars Defense.
    • Sit Em: Ronnie Brown*, Fred Taylor, Maurice Jones-Drew.

    Prediction: Jaguars 17, Dolphins 13. (Jaguars PK).
    Correct: Jaguars 24, Dolphins 10.




    Texans (3-8) at Raiders (2-9). Line: Raiders by 3. Over-Under: 35½.
    Sunday, 4:05 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Texans -1.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Raiders -3.

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Injuries: Texans: OUT: RB Domanick Davis (IR), OT Charles Spencer (IR), OT Zach Wiegert (IR), LB Kailee Wong (PUP), CB DeMarcus Faggins, KR Jerome Mathis (PUP). Raiders: OUT: RB LaMont Jordan (IR), OT Robert Gallery, LB Grant Irons. DOUBTFUL: WR Jerry Porter. QUESTIONABLE: G Barry Sims, DE Lance Johnstone, K Sebastian Janikowski*.

    Sit, Brooks sit! Nooo Brooks. Lay! No, Brooks, no! Speak Brooks… No, Brooks! No, noooo… bad Brooks! Bad Brooks!

    I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. This is definitely Aaron Brooks-choke time. Sure, Houston’s defense is an abomination, but it should be able to muster enough energy to put the clamps on the vaunted duo of Justin Fargas and Zack Crockett, King of the Wild Frontier. This will be followed by at least 45 interceptions from Brooks, who will choke like the dog I referred to him as in my lead. I know the Texans have registered only seven picks this year, but anything’s possible with Brooks at the helm.

    I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. Lost in Houston’s embarrassing 26-11 defeat to the Jets was the fact that David Carr was 39-of-54, 321 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The problem? Wali Lundy and Samkon Gado combined for 15 yards on 11 carries. Where’s Reggie Bush when you need him? The sad thing is the Jets are 25th versus opposing ground attacks. Oakland is 19th. Thus, I’m expecting 20 carries for -35.1 yards.

    I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored. Get the point?


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    I'm shocked the Raiders haven't quit. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored.

    The Vegas. Edge: Texans.
    I can’t believe the Raiders are favored.
  • Percentage of money on Oakland: 64% (37,500)

    The Trends. Edge: Texans.
    • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 76-53 ATS on the road following a road loss.
    • Texans are 19-9 ATS after two or more consecutive losses.
    • Raiders are 6-13 ATS at home the previous 19 instances.
    • Opening Line: Raiders -3. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored.
    • Opening Total: 37.
    • Weather: Sunny, 63 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: David Carr, Andre Johnson, Eric Moulds, Owen Daniels.
    • Sit Em: Raiders Offense. I can’t believe the Raiders are favored.

    Prediction: Texans 12, Raiders 5. (Texans +3).
    There are no winners in this game.
    Correct: Texans 23, Raiders 14.




    Buccaneers (3-8) at Steelers (4-7). Line: Steelers by 7. Over-Under: 40½.
    Sunday, 4:15 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Steelers -9.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Steelers -8½.

    The Game. Edge: Steelers.
    Injuries: Buccaneers: OUT: QB Chris Simms, DT Anthony McFarland (TRADE). QUESTIONABLE: TE Alex Smith, DT Ellis Wyms, LB Shelton Quarles, CB Juran Bolden, S Will Allen. Steelers: OUT: WR Hines Ward*, S Troy Polamalu. QUESTIONABLE: KR Willie Reid.

    Remember the South Park episode when Satan mistook Steve Irwin for a person dressed as the Crocodile Hunter, and said, “That’s not cool man, it’s too soon?” Well, is it too soon to replace the phrase “a deer in the headlights” with “a Roethlisberger trying to avoid an old lady in a car?” Yeah, you’re right. That’s just not cool.

    Well, at least Roethlisberger doesn’t have to face Baltimore’s monstrous pass rush until Week 16. Instead, he’ll be going up against the rapidly aging Buccaneers, who have mustered just 14 sacks this season. Willie Parker will also have more success finding wide-open running lanes. The Buccaneers’ 15th-ranked ground defense will look much more inviting than the Ravens’. Parker garnered just 22 yards last week and the Steelers scored no points, so you can see why establishing him early and often is extremely important.

    The Steelers’ stop unit obviously isn’t as great as it was in 2005, but at least they’re stopping the run; they’re ranked fifth in that department. The problem has been the horrendous play of every single cornerback on the roster, and it doesn’t help that Troy Polamalu will be out. Luckily, Pittsburgh will be asked to contain Bruce Gradkowski. Joey Galloway might be able to slip downfield for a big catch on a few occasions, but that’s about it.

    It looks like Cowher doesn’t plan on throwing in the towel. “In my mind, one game does not define this football team and its ability to persevere through this,” he told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. “And that’s what we’re in the process of doing … Right now, we have five games left and we have to win every one of them and let the chips fall where they may.” Sounds good to me – but there could be a quit factor if the Steelers lose their eighth of the season. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen Sunday.


    The Psychology. Edge: Buccaneers.
    Both of these teams are done. Will the Steelers play hard now that they have no hope of getting into the playoffs? Or will they quit for a few weeks? At least we know the Buccaneers are still bringing it.

    The Vegas. Edge: Tampa Bay.
    This should be one of the lower-volume games on the schedule. Action should be close to 50-50.
  • Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 71% (48,500)

    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
    • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 76-53 ATS on the road following a road loss.
    • Weak Arm: Bruce Gradkowski is 1-3 ATS on the road.
    • Steelers are 12-4 ATS in December home games since 2000.
    • Ben Roethlisberger is 30-10 as a starter (24-16 ATS).
    • Opening Line: Steelers -8.
    • Opening Total: 40.
    • Weather: Partly cloudy, 40 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Joey Galloway, Willie Parker, Heath Miller, Steelers Defense.
    • Sit Em: Cadillac Williams, Hines Ward*.

    Prediction: Steelers 34, Buccaneers 10. (Steelers -7).
    Survivor Pool Pick (12-0)
    Correct: Steelers 20, Buccaneers 3.




    Cowboys (7-4) at Giants (6-5). Line: Cowboys by 3. Over-Under: 43½.
    Sunday, 4:15 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Giants -2.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Cowboys -2½.

    The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
    Injuries: Cowboys: OUT: LB Greg Ellis, S Marcus Coleman (CUT), KR Tyson Thompson (IR). Giants: OUT: WR Amani Toomer (IR), OT Luke Petitgout, DE Michael Strahan, LB LaVar Arrington (IR).

    As Tiki Barber often does, Brett Favre was discussing his retirement. Only this was for the 322,255,200,210,f39,3g%,2#2th time. Favre mentioned that he didn’t know what to expect of retirement. Hey, Brett, I have an idea. It’s called, “Honey, clean out the gutters;” “Honey, drive the kids to soccer practice;” “Honey, please do some senseless job for me so I can establish control of this household, while giving you enough stress to drive you into an early grave.”

    When these teams clashed on Oct. 23, Michael Strahan, Osi Umenyiora and the Giants tallied six sacks, forcing Bill Parcells to yank Drew Bledsoe in favor of Tony Romo. Since then, Dallas is 4-1 and has the so-called next Tom Brady under center, while New York is 2-3 with a pair of shaky victories over Tampa Bay and Houston. I don’t see either squad changing course. The Giants could be without Strahan and Umenyiora again, which will allow Tony Romo to locate Terrell Owens, Terry Glenn and Jason Witten amid a pretty weak secondary.

    Eli Manning is really struggling right now, preempting newspapers in New York to label him as a choker. And I could be wrong, but Manning just doesn’t seem like the kind of guy who can overcome adversity. He’ll continue to be erratic against a stop unit that limited his older brother to just 14 points. The Giants must give Tiki Barber the ball as much as possible to have any chance of winning this contest. But Dallas’ seventh-ranked ground defense could have something to say about that.

    I know this is a square play because everyone on their mother is on Dallas, but I truly believe this is the right side. It’s not like the Cowboys don’t need a victory; they’re only a game ahead of the Giants, who have beaten them already. This is a situation where I’m going against my system, so go ahead – bring on the virus and/or porn e-mails.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    Like the Bengals-Ravens, this is a heated divisional rivalry. But unlike the aforementioned contest, this means a lot to both parties.

    The Vegas. Edge: Giants.
    The Cowboys are once again America's team. Meanwhile, everyone saw the Giants implode against the Titans. There will be heavy action on Dallas.
  • Percentage of money on Dallas: 66% (73,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
    • History: Giants have won 9 of the last 13 meetings.
    • Cowboys are 17-9 ATS as a favorite under Bill Parcells.
    • Tony Romo is 4-1 as a starter (4-1 ATS).
    • Opening Line: Cowboys -3½.
    • Opening Total: 44.
    • Weather: Sunny, 47 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Tony Romo, Terrell Owens, Terry Glenn, Jason Witten, Cowboys Defense.
    • Sit Em: Eli Manning, Giants Defense.

    Prediction: Cowboys 38, Giants 10. (Cowboys -3).
    Push: Cowboys 23, Giants 20.




    Seahawks (7-4) at Broncos (7-4). Line: Broncos by 4. Over-Under: 39½.
    Sunday, 8:15 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Broncos -3.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Seahawks -1.

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: C Robbie Tobeck, DT Marcus Tubbs, S Mike Green (IR). DOUBTFUL: LB D.D. Lewis. QUESTIONABLE: WR Bobby Engram, OT Sean Locklear, DT Rocky Bernard. Broncos: OUT: OT Matt Lepsis (IR), DE Courtney Brown (IR). QUESTIONABLE: OT Adam Meadows.

    I have to vent about my dog for a second. Diana, an Akita, is about 115 pounds and looks like a wolf. Everyone who looks at her is instantly frightened, even though she’s the nicest dog ever. Yet, she always gets scared when I walk her. For example, I was walking her today, when I saw one of my neighbors, who was carrying his baby. He yelled “hello,” and my dog instantly tucked her tail in between her legs and headed for the hills. This makes me look like an idiot – I’m being pulled away by my wolf-dog because she’s scared of a 50-year-old man and his 10-pound baby. What does this have to do with this game? Yeah, I don’t really know.

    Well, I guess I could have joked that Jake Plummer would run away like my dog against Seattle’s defense, but that doesn’t really apply because Mike Shanahan finally yanked him in favor of Jay Cutler. Thus, Cutler will need the support of a solid rushing attack, which is something he should receive, given that the Seahawks are 26th against the run. Remember when Frank Gore tallied more than 200 yards against Seattle? Mike and Tatum Bell won’t be as successful, but they’ll still move the chains enough.

    Shaun Alexander completely trampled the Packers and looked like the guy who ran into the end zone 28 times last year. The Broncos have been spotty versus the run (16th) and Alexander has a knack for performing well on Sunday nights, so look for him to open up play-action opportunities for Matt Hasselbeck. The only way the Seahawks won’t score consistently is if their receivers drop easy passes. And that’s a big if.

    I don’t really see what Seattle is playing for; the team is two games ahead of everyone in the NFC West. The No. 2 seed is an option, but I’ve seen squads nonchalantly pass up a higher seed as long as they’re a lock to qualify for the postseason. The Broncos don’t have that luxury; if they lose, they’re in trouble. This contest obviously means a lot more to them.


    The Psychology. Edge: Broncos.
    There's no question the Broncos need this game more. If they lose, they'll be tied with a lot of teams for the final wild card spot. The Seahawks, meanwhile, have established complete control of the NFC West. I don't think they'll take Jay Cutler seriously.

    The Vegas. Edge: Broncos.
    A lot of people should be on the Seahawks, as the Broncos are starting a rookie quarterback.
  • Percentage of money on Seattle: 60% (57,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
    • Seahawks are 0-5 ATS on the road this year.
    • Broncos are 9-5 ATS in December home games since 2000.
    • Broncos are 14-7 ATS at home when the line is -3 to +3 the previous 21 instances.
    • Broncos are 4-7 ATS vs. the NFC since 2003.
    • Broncos are 1-8 ATS before back-to-back road games the previous nine instances.
    • Opening Line: Broncos -3½.
    • Opening Total: 39.
    • Weather: Clear, 33 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Shaun Alexander, Darrell Jackson, Deion Branch, Javon Walker, Rod Smith.
    • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

    Prediction: Broncos 23, Seahawks 17. (Broncos -4).
    Incorrect: Seahawks 23, Broncos 20.




    Panthers (6-5) at Eagles (5-6). Line: Panthers by 3. Over-Under: 37½.
    Monday, 8:30 ET

    Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Panthers -4.
    Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Panthers -5.

    The Game. Edge: Panthers.
    Injuries: Panthers: OUT: OT Travelle Wharton (IR), C Justin Hartwig, DT Jordan Carstens, LB Dan Morgan. QUESTIONABLE: RB DeShaun Foster*, G Mike Wahle, LB Na'il Diggs. Eagles: OUT: QB Donovan McNabb (IR), DE Jevon Kearse (IR), LS Mike Bartrum.

    Here’s my weekly preview of a potential conversation on Monday Night Football: Kornheiser: “We have a star in the booth! A star!” Tirico: “Welcome to the Monday Night Football booth! Please save us from this boring game.” Washed-Up Actor: “Haha, football, haha!” Kornheiser: “Football!? You’re on my fantasy team! And you’re a star!” Washed-Up Actor: “Haha, look at that throw! Yeah!” Tirico: “And another futile effort by Philadelphia’s defense. So, tell me, what are you working on?” Washed-Up Actor: “Please watch my show on ABC. Haha, wow, look at that player, yeah!” Theismann: “I used to watch TV once.” *Awkward silence.*

    The entire nation was exposed to Philadelphia’s porous run defense on Sunday night. Peyton Manning didn’t even bother throwing the ball; Joseph Addai was able to gash the undersized Eagles for 171 yards and four touchdowns. Carolina doesn’t have the ground attack Indianapolis possesses, but John Fox’s infatuation of sticking with the run will pay off. DeAngelo Williams will have a career day, permitting Jake Delhomme to orchestrate a few play-action passes downfield to Steve Smith and Keyshawn Johnson.

    Jeff Garcia was efficient – 19-of-23 for 140 yards and two touchdowns – as Brian Westbrook carried Philadelphia with his 124 rushing yards in a 45-21 defeat to the Colts. But remember, the Eagles were battling one of the worst stop units in the NFL. The Panthers are infinitely better, so I’m not expecting much from Philadelphia’s offense.

    For those unaware of the situation, there’s a lot of turmoil in the City of Brotherly Love. Jeremiah Trotter criticized the defensive line, and was immediately silenced by Andy Reid. The Eagles are falling apart, and the entire world will witness everything unravel on Monday night.


    The Psychology. Edge: Panthers.
    It looks like Philadelphia's defense has quit on Andy Reid and Jim Johnson. Meanwhile, the Panthers need a victory after an embarrassing loss to the Jason Campbell-led Redskins.

    The Vegas. Edge: Panthers.
    The Panthers just lost to the Redskins, but everyone watched Indianapolis humiliate Philadelphia on Sunday night.
  • Percentage of money on Carolina: 80% (87,000)

    The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
    • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 76-53 ATS on the road following a road loss (John Fox 3-7 regardless).
    • Eagles are 36-21 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
    • Opening Line: Panthers -3.
    • Opening Total: 37.
    • Weather: Partly cloudy, 34 degrees. Light wind.

    Fantasy Spin
    • Start Em: Steve Smith, Keyshawn Johnson, Panthers Defense Brian Westbrook.
    • Sit Em: Eagles Defense.

    Prediction: Panthers 27, Eagles 7. (Panthers -3).


    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


    Cowboys: 9-2
    Eagles: 7-4
    Giants: 8-3
    Redskins: 7-3

    Bears: 7-4
    Lions: 8-3
    Packers: 8-2
    Vikings: 6-5

    Buccaneers: 4-6
    Falcons: 6-5
    Panthers: 6-3
    Saints: 5-6

    49ers: 8-3
    Cardinals: 2-9
    Rams: 6-4
    Seahawks: 7-4

    Bills: 6-5
    Dolphins: 6-4
    Jets: 6-5
    Patriots: 6-4

    Bengals: 4-6
    Browns: 5-4
    Ravens: 4-7
    Steelers: 5-6

    Colts: 4-6
    Jaguars: 6-4
    Texans: 9-2
    Titans: 6-4

    Broncos: 2-8
    Chargers: 6-5
    Chiefs: 5-6
    Raiders: 4-6

    Divisional Games: 33-28
    Trend Edge: 16-17
    Game Edge: 25-36*
    Psychological Edge: 14-13
    Vegas Edge: 3-3
    Double Edge: 11-11
    Triple Edge: 0-2
    Quadruple Edge: 0-0


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    Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


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    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
    Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2012 Season:
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    Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
    2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2013 Season:
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    Super Bowl XLVIII NFL Pick



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