Falcons (5-4) at Ravens (7-2). Line: Ravens by 4. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Ravens -4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Ravens -6.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: Falcons: OUT: WR Brian Finneran (IR), DE John Abraham, DE Patrick Kerney (IR), CB Jason Webster, CB Kevin Mathis (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB Jerious Norwood, TE Alge Crumpler*, OT Todd Weiner, DT Grady Jackson, DT Rod Coleman, LB Edgerton Hartwell, CB Jimmy Williams, S Chris Crocker. Ravens: OUT: G Edwin Mulitalo (IR), LB Ray Lewis*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Derrick Mason, TE Todd Heap, G Keydrick Vincent, DT Kelly Gregg, LB Adalius Thomas, LB Dan Cody.

The closest thing I can equate Michael Vick’s inconsistency to is a girl that looks great with makeup, but has the appearance of Sally Struthers without it. You see this girl walking down the street, and you want to be with her, but once you are, you realize that she’s ugly 95 percent of the time. And now you need to get out of the relationship, but your friends – Falcons fans in this analogy – will criticize you and call you a buffoon if you break up with her. Poor Jim Mora Jr.

That said, I’m not exonerating Mora from any blame in his team’s two-game losing streak. He ran the ball just 21 times against Cleveland’s then-31st-ranked run defense. If he wants to get his squad back on the winning track, he’ll give Warrick Dunn, Michael Vick and Jerious Norwood more carries. I don’t care that the Ravens are ranked second at defending ground attacks; we’ve watched Atlanta gash the Giants (third) and Steelers (sixth). An effective running game will open up more aerial opportunities for Vick. Let’s just hope Alge Crumpler doesn’t drop a dozen passes again.

Baltimore’s offense has come to life ever since Jim Fassel was fired. The Ravens won’t be able to run the ball against Atlanta’s 10th-ranked ground defense, but they’ll be able to throw the ball on the battered and bruised Falcons. Patrick Kerney is done for the year, so he joins John Abraham and Jason Webster on the injured list. Atlanta already yielded 233 passing yards per contest. Imagine what that figure will look like without Kerney applying pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

This game means nothing to the Ravens. They’re comfortably ahead of everyone in the AFC North, and they have no shot at home-field advantage because the Colts are 9-0. Meanwhile, the Falcons are fighting for their playoff lives. With the public backing Baltimore, let’s side with the visitor.

The Psychology. Edge: Falcons.
This new section of my predictions will explore the mindset of each team, and how much the game means to both participants.

This game doesn't mean anything to the Ravens, who are far ahead of every team in the AFC North. Meanwhile, the Falcons need to stop a two-game losing streak.

The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • Statfox Trend: RAVENS are a home favorite that is coming off a 1-3 point road win. (Teams 15-32 ATS in that situation since 2000).
  • Ravens are 11-2 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Ravens are 17-8 ATS in November.
  • Opening Line: Ravens -6.
  • Opening Total: 38.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 53 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Warrick Dunn, Alge Crumpler, Steve McNair, Todd Heap.
  • Sit Em: Jamal Lewis.

Prediction: Falcons 27, Ravens 24. (Falcons +4).
Money Pick.
Incorrect: Ravens 24, Falcons 10.

Rams (4-5) at Panthers (5-4). Line: Panthers by 6½. Over-Under: 44½.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Panthers -6½.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Panthers -6½.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Rams: OUT: OT Orlando Pace* (IR), G Claude Terrell (IR), C Andy McCollum (IR). Panthers: OUT: OT Travelle Wharton (IR), C Jordan Carstens, DT Jordan Carstens, LB Dan Morgan. QUESTIONABLE: CB Ken Lucas.

John Fox’s horrendous play-calling in the first half put me into a coma, so I’m going to talk about Lost for a second. Is anyone else pissed off that the show is taking a 3-month hiatus? They didn’t tell us anything about the Others, how a black cloud of smoke managed to kill Mr. Eko, why Locke can pick up hitchhikers, stalk his father and sell marijuana at the same time, or why that British guy continues to be an annoyance to everyone on the island. Which British guy? You choose.

Orlando Pace is out for the year, which has to be a real thorn in Scott Linehan’s side. Without Pace, Linehan will have to start Todd Steussie, a 36-year-old has-been with no talent. That doesn’t exactly bode well for the Rams, with Julius Peppers and Mike Rucker coming off the edges. To ensure Marc Bulger has enough time to throw, Linehan must give Steven Jackson tons of opportunities. That won’t be so easy, as Carolina surrenders just 3.8 yards per carry.

John Fox seems fixated on establishing a sound rushing attack. That didn’t work against the Buccaneers, but it may have some success against the Rams, who are ranked 31st versus the run. With DeShaun Foster destined to eclipse the 100-yard plateau, Jake Delhomme will be able to utilize play-action to Steve Smith and Keyshawn Johnson. St. Louis’ secondary is improving, but it does not have the personnel to keep tabs on Carolina’s prolific wide outs.

The Panthers are hitting their stride, and seem poised for a second-half run. With the action about 50-50, let’s go with the 7-point favorite.

The Psychology. Edge: Rams.
The Rams obviously need this game more; one more loss would completely knock them out of the playoff picture. But it's not like the Panthers can afford a defeat either.

The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • Post-Monday Night Magic: John Fox is 2-0 ATS after playing on Monday night.
  • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 74-51 ATS on the road following a road loss (Scott Linehan 1-0).
  • Rams are 11-25 ATS in road games since 2001.
  • Rams are 4-7 ATS on the road since 2005.
  • Rams are 6-18 ATS on grass since 2001.
  • Panthers are 9-18 ATS as a home favorite of 3½ or more since 2001.
  • Opening Line: Panthers -7.
  • Opening Total: 44.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 59 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Marc Bulger, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Panthers Offense.
  • Sit Em: Rams Defense.

Prediction: Panthers 31, Rams 10. (Panthers -6½).
Correct: Panthers 15, Rams 0.

Steelers (3-6) at Browns (3-6). Line: Steelers by 4½. Over-Under: 37½.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Steelers -4½.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Steelers -6.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: Steelers: OUT: KR Willie Reid. QUESTIONABLE: C Jeff Hartings, LB James Harrison, CB Deshea Townsend, S Troy Polamalu. Browns: OUT: C LeCharles Bentley (IR), C Alonzo Ephraim, CB Gary Baxter. QUESTIONABLE: QB Charlie Frye*, RB Reuben Droughns*, TE Kellen Winslow Jr.*, LB Willie McGinest, CB Leigh Bodden, KR Josh Cribbs.

I’d like to thank the Falcons for not showing up against Cleveland, which happened to knock 80 percent of the remaining people out of my survivor pool. You were great, Mike. By the way, I know I have to, but I’m still not ready to take the Browns seriously. They’re like that geeky kid who inexplicably bulks up over the summer. You want to keep pushing him around, but he’ll sock you in the face if you’re not careful. In other words, Michael Vick just got socked in the face by Charlie Frye. Once again, you were great, Mike.

And if the Steelers aren’t careful, they’ll get sucker punched as well. Ever since offensive coordinator Maurice Carthon was fired, Frye has thrown for 543 yards and three touchdowns in three games, as the Browns were 2-1, with their only loss coming to San Diego. Cleveland actually beat the Jets and Falcons, so you know it’s for real now. Frye should be able to get it done against a stop unit that has surrendered 123 points the previous four weeks. Pittsburgh’s secondary is getting torched, as throwing for 300 or more yards seems like a simple task against it.

I was completely shocked that the Browns were able to contain Warrick Dunn to less than four yards per carry last Sunday. But that said, they’re still ranked 29th against the run. Willie Parker should be able to have another outstanding performance, which will set up play-action opportunities for Ben Roethlisberger, who finally returned to 2005 form last week, throwing for 264 yards and three scores.

The Steelers are better than Cleveland. Everyone knows that. So, why are they just 3½-point favorites, when they were favored by six over a vastly superior Saints squad? Nineteen out of every 20 public bettors are on them, so it’s not like the Browns are getting action. I smell a sucker bet.

The Psychology. Edge: Browns.
The Steelers need to finish 7-0 to make the playoffs. However, if they don't take the Browns seriously, they will lose. Cleveland has played extremely well of late.

The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • History: Steelers have won 11 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 29-9 as a starter (24-14 ATS).
  • Opening Line: Steelers -3.
  • Opening Total: 38½.
  • Weather: Rain/snow showers, 41 degrees. Mild wind, 15 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Willie Parker, Hines Ward, Heath Miller, Kellen Winslow Jr.
  • Sit Em: Reuben Droughns.

Prediction: Browns 16, Steelers 13. (Browns +4½).
Double Money Pick.
Correct: Steelers 24, Browns 20.

Patriots (6-3) at Packers (4-5). Line: Patriots by 5½. Over-Under: 45.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Patriots -6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Patriots -7.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: Patriots: OUT: S Rodney Harrison, S Mel Mitchell. QUESTIONABLE: TE Daniel Graham, G Steve Neal, DE Richard Seymour, DE Ty Warren, CB Ellis Hobbs, CB Asante Samuel, S Eugene Wilson. Packers: OUT: WR Robert Ferguson, OT Kevin Barry (IR), OT Mark Tauscher, S Marviel Underwood (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB Vernand Morency, TE David Martin, CB Will Blackmon.

I’ve been wondering why Bill Belichick made an effort to avoid Eric Mangini after losing to the Jets last week. I finally came up with an explanation – Belichick was looking for his former defensive coordinator, and when he saw Mangini, Belichick thought he was the fat kid from Goonies. That has to be it.

Or maybe Belichick was just furious about his decision to let Deion Branch go. In the past two weeks, his wide outs have been responsible for three turnovers (two picks and a fumble). Fortunately for Belichick, Green Bay’s defense could be what the doctor ordered. The Packers surrender 242 passing yards per contest because their secondary is one of the league’s worst. New England’s rushing attack will be stymied – Green Bay is 12th against it – so the Packers’ only hope is to get to Tom Brady. They have garnered a whopping 31 sacks this campaign, but the Patriots have yielded just 16.

Brett Favre has been playing better lately, and there are talks of him coming back for two more years. Well, it’s easy to think that way if you beat up on the Dolphins, Cardinals and struggling Vikings. Belichick should be able to design a few confusing schemes against Favre, baiting him into a couple turnovers. If the 21st-century Favre doesn’t reemerge on Sunday, I’ll be shocked.

All that said, I’d be wary about taking the Patriots as 6-point road favorites. Forget the fact that Favre has thrived as a home underdog in his career; 95 percent of the public is backing New England – and for good reason. It seems like every square’s Play of the Week is the Patriots. I have a feeling Vegas will have the last laugh.

Friday Morning Update: Although the Patriots received 95 percent of the public's action early in the week, this game is now being bet 50-50. So, I'm going with my initial gut instinct, and changing this pick to New England.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
Both teams need this one: New England is coming off back-to-back defeats, while Green Bay is just one game out of a wild-card spot.

The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Patriots are 17-6 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Patriots are 11-8 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Patriots are 8-3 ATS after a loss since 2003.
  • Tom Brady is 74-23 as a starter (60-35 ATS).
  • Brett Favre is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog in his career.
  • Brett Favre is 16-12 ATS as an underdog since 2002.
  • Opening Line: Patriots -6.
  • Opening Total: 43.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 43 degrees. Mild wind: 12 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tom Brady, Reche Caldwell, Ben Watson, Brett Favre, Donald Driver, Greg Jennings.
  • Sit Em: Corey Dillon, Laurence Maroney, Ahman Green.

Prediction: Patriots 24, Packers 17. (Patriots -5½).
Correct: Patriots 35, Packers 0.

Bills (3-6) at Texans (3-6). Line: Texans by 3. Over-Under: 36½.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Texans -3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Texans -3.

The Game. Edge: Texans.
Injuries: Bills: OUT: RB Willis McGahee*, WR Josh Reed, G Chris Villarrial, S Troy Vincent (CUT). Texans: OUT: RB Domanick Davis (IR), OT Charles Spencer (IR), OT Zach Wiegert (IR), DE Antwan Peek, LB Kailee Wong (PUP), CB DeMarcus Faggins, KR Jerome Mathis (PUP).

The only year these two teams haven’t met during Houston’s existence was 2004. Coincidentally, the Texans went 7-9 that year, which was their best record to date. So, in order to have a successful campaign, the Texans need to stay away from the Buffalo Bills. Why hasn’t anyone in Houston thought of this yet?

The Bills won this matchup last season, 22-7 in Orchard Park. However, things could be different this time around, as J.P. Losman is prone to making stupid mistakes on the road. Losman threw only four incompletions last week, which is misleading because he was just 8-of-12 for 83 yards. He took a key sack in the fourth quarter, which put his team out of field-goal range. Look for more dumb errors, as Houston is finally starting to get to the quarterback with Mario Williams. In three of the past four weeks, the team has yielded 14 or less points, which bodes well against a stagnant offense like Buffalo’s.

I’m not sure how they’ve done it, but the Texans have managed to generate some sort of ground attack this month, as both Wali Lundy and Samkon Gado have played relatively well. Buffalo is ranked 25th against the run, meaning David Carr should be able to capitalize on Lundy and Gado with a few play-action fakes. Peyton Manning, Brett Favre, Tom Brady, Rex Grossman and even Jon Kitna have all torched the Bills’ secondary lately.

This game is a wash in terms of team strength and pyschology, but one edge the Bills have is in the trends department. Houston has to dodge two very powerful trends.

Wednesday Note: I originally sided with the Texans because the public was pounding them. With the action now 50-50, I like Buffalo. This is one of my least favorite games of the week anyway.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No must-wins here.

The Trends. Edge: Bills.
  • Boomerang Game: Teams returning home from a three game road trip are 6-14 ATS since 2000.
  • Statfox Trend: TEXANS are a home favorite that is coming off a 1-3 point road win. (Teams 15-32 ATS in that situation since 2000).
  • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 74-51 ATS on the road following a road loss (Dick Jauron 3-6).
  • Texans are 8-3 ATS in November home games.
  • Texans are 5-14 ATS after a win.
  • Opening Line: Texans -1½.
  • Opening Total: 36.
  • Weather: Retractable Roof.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Andre Johnson, Owen Daniels.
  • Sit Em: J.P. Losman -- why is he even on your team, anyway?

Prediction: Bills 24, Texans 20. (Bills +3).
Correct: Bills 24, Texans 21.

Raiders (2-7) at Chiefs (5-4). Line: Chiefs by 9½. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Chiefs -12½.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Chiefs -11½.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: Raiders: OUT: G Barry Sims, LB Grant Irons. QUESTIONABLE: OT Robert Gallery, C Jake Grove. Chiefs: OUT: QB Trent Green, TE Tony Gonzalez*, OT John Welbourn (RET), OT Kevin Sampson, G Brian Waters, DT John Browning (IR), LB Derrick Johnson. QUESTIONABLE: DE Tamba Hali, S Greg Wesley. EXPECTED TO START: QB Trent Green*.

Looking back, how did a network not turn the Raiders into a reality TV show? Just think about it: “What do you get when you combine Aaron Brooks, a comatose coach who may or may not be alive, an angry owner who feasts at night, a guy who runs over police officers, and someone who runs a bed and breakfast!? Find out next week on the Oakland Raiders Show!

This week’s episode should be a riot. First of all, we have no idea who the starting quarterback for the Raiders will be. Andrew Walter told the media that the offense is too predictable, so Art Shell may bench him in favor for Aaron Brooks. Fantastic. Whether the signal caller is Walter or Brooks, he’ll have tremendous problems in Arrowhead, one of the most hectic stadiums in the NFL. Expect plenty of false starts, turnovers, interceptions, sacks, holds and doughnuts on the scoreboard from Oakland’s offense.

I love how everyone is calling the Raiders’ stop unit phenomenal. Didn’t they surrender 34 to the 49ers a few weeks ago? They won’t have an answer for Larry Johnson, who should be able to eclipse the 150-yard plateau. This will set up play-action opportunities for Trent Green, who may struggle in his return to the lineup, especially without Tony Gonzalez.

If the Chiefs were able to beat the Dolphins last week, this would be a flat spot for them because they have Denver on Thursday. However, they need a win, and they hate the Raiders. How much more motivation do you need?

The Psychology. Edge: Raiders.
The Chiefs could be looking ahead to their Thanksgiving day matchup with Denver, but they're coming off a loss to the woeful Dolphins, so they should be focused. Oakland hates Kansas City, so you know both teams will probably bring it.

The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • History: Chiefs have won the last 6 meetings.
  • History: Last six meetings decided by 7 points or less.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current coaches are 41-26 ATS as divisional dogs of 7+ since 2002.
  • Weak Arm: Andrew Walter is 1-2 ATS on the road.
  • Raiders are 7-10 ATS after losing to the Broncos since 1995 (Mike Shanahan).
  • Opening Line: Chiefs -11½.
  • Opening Total: 38.
  • Weather: Sunny, 50 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Larry Johnson, Eddie Kennison, Chiefs Defense.
  • Sit Em: Tony Gonzalez*, Raiders Offense and Defense (but not its reality TV show).

Prediction: Chiefs 27, Raiders 3. (Chiefs -9½).
Survivor Pool Pick (10-0).
Incorrect: Chiefs 17, Raiders 13.

Vikings (4-5) at Dolphins (3-6). Line: Dolphins by 3½. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Dolphins -2.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: Vikings: OUT: FB Tony Richardson, DE Erasmus James (IR), LB Chad Greenway (IR), S Tank Williams (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB Chester Taylor*, WR Marcus Robinson, G Steve Hutchinson, LB Napoleon Harris, LB E.J. Henderson, CB Fred Smoot, CB Cedric Griffin. Dolphins: OUT: G Seth McKinney (IR), G Bennie Anderson (IR), G Jeno James, DT Keith Traylor, CB Will Poole (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB Ronnie Brown*.

I can’t figure this Vikings team out. They can beat Carolina and Seattle, yet they lose to San Francisco and Green Bay. I’m just going to stop trying to put the pieces together – my head is about to explode.

Speaking of explode, that’s something neither team will do on Sunday. Wow, what a cheesy segway. Sorry about that. Anyway, the Dolphins are ranked third against the run, so they should be able to stuff Chester Taylor in the backfield on multiple occasions. This will force a struggling Brad Johnson into obvious passing situations, which the Packers proved is never a good thing.

While Miami is third against ground attacks, Minnesota is first. Ronnie Brown will not find any running lanes, which will force Joey Harrington into unfavorable situations. That’s even worse than watching Johnson throw on every down.

The Vikings are the better team, and they need this game to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Plus, it helps that the public is jumping on the Dolphins bandwagon right now. Minnesota wins outright.

The Psychology. Edge: Vikings.
The Vikings need to stop the bleeding. Miami has won two in a row, but the playoffs are still out of the question.

The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Vikings are 13-21 ATS (7-27 SU) outdoors since 2001.
  • Opening Line: Dolphins -4.
  • Opening Total: 35½.
  • Weather: Sunny, 77 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael.
  • Sit Em: Chester Taylor, Ronnie Brown, Any running back within a 50-mile radius.

Prediction: Vikings 20, Dolphins 17. (Vikings +3½).
Incorrect: Dolphins 24, Vikings 20.

Bengals (4-5) at Saints (6-3). Line: Saints by 3½. Over-Under: 52.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Saints -5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Saints -4½.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Bengals: OUT: RB Chris Perry (PUP), OT Levi Jones, G Bobbie Williams, C Rich Braham, LB David Pollack (IR), LB Odell Thurman (SUSP), CB Rashad Bauman (IR). DOUBTFUL: LB Brian Simmons. QUESTIONABLE: OT Levi Jones, CB Deltha O'Neal, S Dexter Jackson. Saints: OUT: FB Mike Karney, TE Ernie Conwell, G Jermaine Mayberry (IR), LB Tommy Polley (IR), LB James Allen (IR), P Mitch Berger (IR).

Top three reasons why Chris Henry dropped a game-tying touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Chargers: 3. His AA sponsor had $50,000 on San Diego. 2. Marvin Lewis took away all of his alcohol, and this was payback! 1. He was going too fast, and was afraid a cop would pull him over.

Henry’s drop epitomized everything wrong with the Bengals this year. They are simply too many character issues with this team. However, that shouldn’t affect their ability to move the chains against one of the worst defenses in the league. The Saints are ranked 31st versus the run, and they can’t stop the pass. On the bright side, they’ve managed 25 sacks this campaign. If they can’t get to Palmer, who has coincidentally been sacked 25 times, Rudi Johnson, Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh should have their way with their defense.

New Orleans will be able to match the Bengals stride-for-stride. I have nothing positive to say about Cincinnati’s defense; it can’t stop the run or the pass, and cannot get to the quarterback. The Bengals, who have surrendered 26 or more points in three consecutive contests, will not have an answer for Reggie Bush, Marques Colston, Joe Horn and Deuce McAllister. Drew Brees will have a career day, not unlike the one Philip Rivers experienced on Sunday.

The Bengals need this one a lot more than the Saints, but the latter is coming off a loss. Plus, a whopping 83 percent of the public is backing the road squad (as of Tuesday afternoon). This pick will change if the money balances out, but for now I like the Saints. Check back on Friday night to see which side Vegas will be rooting for.

The Psychology. Edge: Bengals.
This is a Look-Ahead Alert for the Saints, who play the Falcons next week. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has to snap its three-game losing streak.

The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
  • Saints are 15-26 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Saints are 8-17 ATS as a home favorite since 2001.
  • Opening Line: Saints -3.
  • Opening Total: 52½.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Saints 31, Bengals 24. (Saints -3½).
Incorrect: Bengals 31, Saints 16.

Bears (8-1) at Jets (5-4). Line: Bears by 7. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Bears -6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Bears -7.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
Injuries: Bears: OUT: DT Dusty Dvoracek (IR), S Mike Brown (IR). QUESTIONABLE: WR Bernard Berrian*, CB Dante Wesley. Jets: OUT: RB Curtis Martin (PUP). QUESTIONABLE: FB B.J. Askew, CB Tim Dwight, CB David Barrett.

I’ve never been so torn about a quarterback as I am with Rex Grossman. One week he’s brilliant, the next he looks like the second coming of Tim Couch. During the first half of the Giants-Bears game, I sent a text message to Fred (from Endless Banter) saying, “Grossman is pooping his pants.” Well, he must have cleaned things up during a commercial break because he was outstanding the final 32 minutes of the game.

Forget Grossman for a second. If the Bears have any luck moving the chains this week, it’ll be on the ground. The Jets are ranked 28th against the run, so look for a huge day from Thomas Jones. That should open up some play-action opportunities for Rex Grossman. I say “should” because Tom Brady wasn’t able to capitalize off Corey Dillon and Laurence Maroney. Eric Mangini prepared a perfect game plan for Brady, so I’m expecting another one for Grossman.

The Jets have a one-dimensional offensive attack, and you’re asking them to move the chains against Chicago’s defense? Sounds too easy for the Bears. Well, maybe not – look for Chad Pennington to spread Chicago out, similarly to the way Arizona did on Monday night a few weeks ago.

This has everything I’m looking for in a Pick of the Month. The Bears are a very public team, which would explain why they are getting 95 percent of the money (as of Tuesday afternoon). Furthermore, the Jets need a win lot more than Chicago; the latter is two games ahead of everyone in the NFC, so this contest means absolutely nothing to them. Plus, the Bears could be preparing for their battle against the Patriots next week.

Note: I’ll announce if this is my Pick of the Month by Friday night. Stay tuned.

The Psychology. Edge: Jets.
A classic Sandwich Situation for the Bears, who play the Jets between the Giants and Patriots. I'm not sure if this game means anything to Chicago.

The Trends. Edge: Bears.
  • Two Roads (Win): Current head coaches are 64-53 ATS on the road following a road win (Lovie Smith 2-0).
  • Bears are 13-5 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Jets are 11-19-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 32 instances (4-2 in 2006).
  • Opening Line: Bears -7.
  • Opening Total: 39.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 51 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Thomas Jones, Muhsin Muhammad, Chad Pennington, Laveranues Coles, Jerricho Cotchery.
  • Sit Em: Jets Running Backs.

Prediction: Jets 24, Bears 17. (Jets +7).
NFL Pick of the Month (2-1).
Incorrect: Bears 10, Jets 0.

Titans (2-7) at Eagles (5-4). Line: Eagles by 13. Over-Under: 43½.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Eagles -13.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Eagles -13.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: Titans: OUT: WR David Givens (IR), DE Antwan Odom, DT Rien Long (IR). QUESTIONABLE: G Benji Olson, DE Travis LaBoy, DT Robaire Smith, CB Reynaldo Hill, K Rob Bironas. Eagles: OUT: DE Jevon Kearse (IR).

As I noted last week, I was pulling for Steve McNair on Sunday. I’m glad he found a way to beat the miserable Titans. I was also happy to see that fans were donning old McNair and Derrick Mason jerseys in the stands. Hey Bud Adams, classy move kicking McNair out of your practice facility. Maybe you can sucker punch Mother Teresa for your next feat.

McNair is no longer with the team, but the Titans look like they’re going to have a great quarterback under center for the next decade or so. Although I repeatedly stated that he would be a bust in this league, Vince Young is proving me wrong; he threw for 211 yards, and ran for 39 and a touchdown against Baltimore’s defense. Granted, Ray Lewis didn’t play, but it was impressive nonetheless. That should continue against the Eagles, who had problems defending a mobile signal caller (David Garrard) a few weeks ago. Travis Henry should also be able to gain respectable yardage; Philadelphia is ranked 14th versus the run.

Tennessee’s offense has been OK, but its defense is holding the team back. The stop unit hasn’t been doing its job, as it has yielded 27 points per game since Oct. 15. If Donovan McNabb is focused, he’ll have his way on Sunday; the Titans don’t have the personnel to cover Donte’ Stallworth, Reggie Brown, Brian Westbrook and L.J. Smith.

The public usually backs favorites, which is why I’m surprised that everyone and their mother is on Tennessee. Maybe it’s because the Titans nearly knocked off Baltimore last week, or perhaps it’s the fact that the Eagles play Indianapolis next Sunday night. I’m not really sure, but I do know one thing – I still don’t trust Young on the road.

The Psychology. Edge: Titans.
Another Sandwich Situation. This game lies between Washington and Indianapolis for the Eagles. I'm not sure if Philadelphia will take the Titans seriously.

The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Weak Arm: Vince Young is 2-1 ATS on the road.
  • Eagles are 19-10 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Eagles are 12-6 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Eagles are 6-13 ATS vs. AFC opponents since 2001.
  • Opening Line: Eagles -12½.
  • Opening Total: 43.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 51 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Eagles Offense.
  • Sit Em: Titans Defense.

Prediction: Eagles 27, Titans 10. (Eagles -13).
Money Pick.
Incorrect: Titans 31, Eagles 13.

Redskins (3-6) at Buccaneers (2-7). Line: Buccaneers by 3. Over-Under: 33½.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Redskins -1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Buccaneers -5½.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: Redskins: OUT: RB Clinton Portis*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Santana Moss*, TE Christian Fauria. EXPECTED TO START: QB Jason Campbell. Buccaneers: OUT: QB Chris Simms, DT Anthony McFarland (TRADE). QUESTIONABLE: OT Anthony Davis, DE Simeon Rice, DT Ellis Wyms, LB Shelton Quarles, CB Juran Bolden.

Instead of watching game film, Jon Gruden should tune into Deal or No Deal. If he was a regular viewer of that show, he could have just said “deal” after Bruce Gradkowski scored seven points at Carolina. The game would have been over. But no, Gruden was greedy, and consequently lost, 24-10. And no, I won’t mention that the host of Deal or No Deal looks like Gradkowski. Oops.

It’s amazing that Gradkowski is actually the veteran of the quarterbacking matchup in this game, as far as starts are concerned. Gradkowski has shown a rocket arm, but lacks accuracy. That was a factor on the road, but in three home starts, he’s 56-of-101 for 473 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Not bad. He should have a success outing against Washington’s defense, which has accumulated only 13 sacks this season. Oh yeah, they’re also 18th against the run, and one of the league’s worst against the pass. Tampa Bay should be able to score early and often.

It’s tough to gauge Washington’s offensive output, because no one knows how Jason Campbell will play. But we do know that Ladell Betts won’t be able to get much on the ground; we all saw how the Buccaneers’ stop unit handled DeShaun Foster. Campbell will be placed in many unfavorable passing situations in a hostile environment. That can’t be a good thing.

Let’s recap: Campbell is making his first start on the road; Clinton Portis is out; the Buccaneers want revenge from last year’s playoff loss; Gradkowski plays well at home; Jon Gruden is coming off a Monday night defeat in which his team didn’t look too bad; and Tampa Bay is favored by just three points. If the Buccaneers were a 7-point favorite, they’d be the obvious side. But three? Vegas is begging everyone to take the home squad. No one in their right mind would side with Washington. But who said I was in the right state of mind?

The Psychology. Edge: Buccaneers.
This is a Revenge Situation for the Buccaneers, who were knocked out of the playoffs by the Redskins last year.

The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers
  • Post-Monday Night Magic: Jon Gruden is 4-1 ATS after playing on Monday night.
  • Two Roads (Loss): Current head coaches are 74-51 ATS on the road following a road loss (Joe Gibbs 2-1).
  • Weak Arm: Jason Campbell is 0-0 ATS on the road.
  • Opening Line: Buccaneers -3.
  • Opening Total: 34.
  • Weather: Sunny, 71 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Santana Moss, Chris Cooley, Cadillac Williams, Joey Galoway.
  • Sit Em: Clinton Portis*, Jon Gruden's spare time.

Prediction: Redskins 14, Buccaneers 13. (Redskins +3).
' Push: Buccaneers 20, Redskins 17.

Lions (2-7) at Cardinals (1-8). Line: Cardinals by 2. Over-Under: 45½.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Cardinals -2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Cardinals -1.

The Game. Edge: Lions.
Injuries: Lions: OUT: WR Scottie Vines (PUP), G Damien Woody, DE James Hall (IR), DT Shaun Rogers (SUSP), LB Teddy Lehman (PUP), S Idrees Bashir. QUESTIONABLE: DT Shaun Cody.

Zzzzzzzz… Snore… Zzzzzzzz… Cough, snore, zzzzzz…

Let’s make this as painless as possible. The Cardinals have surrendered at least 22 points in every game since September, so the Lions should be able to score at least three touchdowns. Every aspect of their defense is horrid, especially their inability to stop aerial attacks (229 yards per game). Expect great performances from Kevin Jones, Roy Williams and Jon Kitna.

Matt Leinart has had problems ever since losing to the Bears on Monday night. Can playing Detroit cure his struggles? Considering the Lions can neither stop the pass, contain the run, nor place pressure on opposing signal callers, I’d say so. If Arizona’s offense doesn’t get on track here, it never will.

As I mention under “The Psychology,” the Cardinals may have quit on Dennis Green after he fired his offensive coordinator. Until they show some life, I’m never picking them ever again.

The Psychology. Edge: Lions.
I'm almost positive the Cardinals have quit on Dennis Green.

The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Opening Line: Cardinals -1.
  • Opening Total: 43½.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jon Kitna, Kevin Jones, Roy Williams Mike Furrey, Anquan Boldin, Larry Fitzgerald.
  • Sit Em: Edgerrin James (but not his mountain of money).

Prediction: Lions 24, Cardinals 13. (Lions +2½).
Incorrect: Cardinals 17, Lions 10.

Seahawks (6-3) at 49ers (4-5). Line: Seahawks by 3. Over-Under: 43½.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Seahawks -7½.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Seahawks -7½.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: QB Matt Hasselbeck*, DT Marcus Tubbs, LB D.D. Lewis, S Mike Green (IR). DOUBTFUL: D.D. Lewis. QUESTIONABLE: WR Bobby Engram*, OT Sean Locklear, DT Rocky Bernard, CB Kelly Herndon, CB Jimmy Williams. EXPECTED TO START: RB Shaun Alexander*. 49ers: OUT: C Jeremy Newberry (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB Frank Gore*, TE Vernon Davis*.

If the 49ers move to Santa Clara, I demand they be called the Santa Clara 49ers. I’ll protest this if I have to. I’ll be the only one holding up a sign in the streets of Santa Clara, but I swear I’ll get my point across. Actually, the only thing I want is for 49ers fans to be even angrier at owner John York. I’ll settle for that.

But they may not be so angry after this game. Sure, Shaun Alexander is coming back, but how significant is that? Prior to his injury, Alexander was averaging just 2.9 yards per carry, which pales in comparison to Maurice Morris’ 3.8. I’m not saying Morris is better than Alexander, but the latter may not be 100-percent healthy. If he’s not, the Seahawks may have problems moving the chains against a vastly improved 49ers defense, which completely shut down the Vikings and the Lions the past two weeks. Keep in mind that while Detroit is 2-7, it has one of the better scoring units in the NFL.

By the way, everyone is assuming Seattle will win the NFC West because it disposed of the Rams. What about the 49ers? Doesn’t my 100:1 shot have any merit? Alex Smith has evolved into a dependable signal caller, especially at home, where he has compiled 1,010 yards and seven touchdowns. But I think it’ll be Frank Gore who gets San Francisco rolling; the Seahawks are ranked 20th against the run.

Did anyone see a clip of Seattle’s post-game celebration after it beat the Rams last week? Mike Holmgren had tears in his eyes, and was congratulating every single player on a job well done. Yeah, there’s no chance the Seahawks cover on Sunday.

Saturday Note: The spread in this game is three; not 5½ as I believed. Thus, I've reduced this to a Money Pick.

The Psychology. Edge: 49ers.
Big game for the 49ers, who can prove they're for real by defeating the Seahawks. Seattle is in a Let-Down Alert, given that it just beat the Rams.

The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • History: Seahawks have won the last 6 meetings.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 55-80 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; SEAHAWKS kicked a GW FG with 9 seconds left.
  • Weak Arm: Seneca Wallace is 0-1 ATS on the road.
  • Opening Line: Seahawks -5½.
  • Opening Total: 45.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 66 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Frank Gore.
  • Sit Em: Matt Hasselbeck*, Maurice Morris.

Prediction: 49ers 17, Seahawks 13. (49ers +5½).
Money Pick.
Correct: 49ers 20, Seahawks 14.

Colts (9-0) at Cowboys (5-4). Line: Colts by 1½. Over-Under: 49.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Colts -6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Colts -5½.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: Colts: OUT: FB James Mungro (IR), DT Corey Simon (IR), DT Montae Reagor, S Mike Doss (IR). Cowboys: OUT: LB Greg Ellis, S Marcus Coleman (CUT), KR Tyson Thompson (IR).

If the Colts beat the Cowboys this week and the Jaguars on Dec. 10, they’ll probably finish the season undefeated. Who’s going to defeat them? Houston? Miami? Baylor? And by the way, I think going 16-0 is very important. No team has ever done that before, yet there have been 40 Super Bowl winners.

Is anyone else confused by Indianapolis’ offense? One week it can’t be stopped at New England. The next, it flops against Buffalo. One week it stinks versus Tennessee. The next, it thrashes Denver. Considering this is a big game, Peyton Manning and company will likely show up. One advantage the Cowboys have is in the trenches; they’re ranked fifth against the run, so they should be able to put the clamps on Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes, forcing the Colts to become one-dimensional. That won’t matter much, however, as Dallas does not have the personnel to contain all of Indianapolis’ receivers. No one does.

Now that we’ve established that the Colts’ offense won’t be stopped, the Cowboys have to match Indianapolis score-for-score. If Drew Bledsoe were still the starting quarterback, that wouldn’t be possible. However, Tony Romo has played really well in all three of his starts. And like Dallas, Indianapolis does not have the weapons to contain Terrell Owens, Terry Glenn and Jason Witten. Plus, the Colts’ last-ranked run defense will have to worry about Julius Jones and Marion Barber III coming out of the backfield.

The Colts are better than the Cowboys – there’s no question about it. That said, why is this line less than a field goal? The public loves Indianapolis, so the spread should be at least four, maybe even six. With that in mind, as well as the fact that this contest means so much more to Dallas, you have to side with the home dog.

The Psychology. Edge: Cowboys.
This game obviously means more to the Cowboys, but it's not like this is a must-win for them.

The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Boomerang Game: Teams returning home from a three game road trip are 6-14 ATS since 2000.
  • Colts are 11-6 ATS vs. the NFC under Tony Dungy.
  • Colts are 22-11 ATS on the road under Tony Dungy.
  • Opening Line: Colts -3.
  • Opening Total: 48.
  • Weather: Sunny, 61 degrees. Mild wind: 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, Cowboys Offense.
  • Sit Em: Joseph Addai, Dominic Rhodes, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Cowboys 28, Colts 27. (Cowboys +1½).
Correct: Cowboys 21, Colts 14.

Chargers (7-2) at Broncos (7-2). Line: Broncos by 2½. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 8:15 ET
Walter's Game of the Week

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Broncos -3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Broncos -3.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: Chargers: OUT: OT Roman Oben (PUP), LB Shawne Merriman (SUSP), LB Steve Foley, KR Darren Sproles (IR). QUESTIONABLE: WR Eric Parker*, WR Malcolm Floyd, C Nick Hardwick, DE Luis Castillo. Broncos: OUT: OT Matt Lepsis (IR), DE Courtney Brown (IR). QUESTIONABLE: RB Tatum Bell*, DE Ebenezer Ekbuan, LB Ian Gold.

Another great Sunday Night Football game for NBC. Even though ESPN is showcasing a game between two winning teams for the first time since Week 8, NBC’s matchup trumps the Jaguars-Giants. At least ESPN doesn’t have an incoherent anchor named Neil Everett ranting about “reservations for six” every night. Oh, my bad…

I’ve already mentioned that I’m removing Philip Rivers from my “Weak Arm” page under “Betting Trends,” which goes against all inexperienced and/or horrendous quarterbacks. Rivers had the game of his life Sunday, as he compiled 338 yards and three touchdowns on 24-of-36 passing. Thanks to his performance and LaDainian Tomlinson’s four scores, the Chargers won in Cincinnati, 49-41. All of that said, it may be difficult for Rivers to duplicate that effort in Denver. First of all, Mile High is one of the toughest places to play in the NFL. Secondly, the Broncos’ stop unit greatly trumps San Diego’s. Denver, ranked eighth against opposing ground attacks, restricted Tomlinson to less than 160 rushing yards in two meetings last season. If the defense can repeat that, Rivers will have to beat the Broncos by himself. I don’t trust a first-year starter to do that on the road.

The Chargers used to be atop the charts as far as run defense is concerned, but they’ve fallen off a bit in the wake of Shawne Merriman’s suspension. In fact, Rudi Johnson and Chris Perry combined for 116 yards on 22 carries last week. If Mike Shanahan can get Mike and Tatum Bell rolling, Jake Plummer should be able to utilize his patented play-action bootlegs, connecting with Rod Smith and Javon Walker downfield. I don’t trust San Diego’s secondary, and for good reason – it yields more than 200 passing yards per contest.

Both teams are about equal, but if you look below, you’ll see that the host dominates this series. Marty Schottenheimer has never had much success in Denver, and I expect that to continue on Sunday night.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
Big game in the AFC West. Both teams will bring 100 percent.

The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • History: Home Team has won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Two Roads (Win): Current head coaches are 64-53 ATS on the road following a road win (Marty Schottenheimer 3-2).
  • Broncos are 14-6 ATS at home when the line is -3 to +3 the previous 20 instances. ???
  • Broncos are 14-10 ATS vs. AFC West opponents since 2001.
  • Broncos are 7-9 ATS after beating the Raiders under Mike Shanahan.
  • Broncos are 4-8 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Opening Line: Broncos -2½.
  • Opening Total: 41.
  • Weather: Clear, 48 degrees. Light wind.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Philip Rivers, LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates, Rod Smith, Javon Walker.
  • Sit Em: Eric Parker, Keenan McCardell.

Prediction: Broncos 24, Chargers 20. (Broncos -2½).
Incorrect: Chargers 35, Broncos 27.

Giants (6-3) at Jaguars (5-4). Line: Jaguars by 3½. Over-Under: 38½.
Monday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Jaguars -3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Jaguars -3.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: Giants: OUT: OT Luke Petitgout, DE Michael Strahan*, LB LaVar Arrington (IR). DOUBTFUL: DE Osi Umenyiora, CB Sam Madison. QUESTIONABLE: LB Carlos Emmons, LB Brandon Short. Jaguars: OUT: RB Greg Jones (IR), DE Reggie Hayward (IR), LB Mike Peterson (IR). QUESTIONABLE: QB Byron Leftwich, DT Marcus Stroud, S Donovin Darius.

Here’s my weekly preview of a potential conversation on Monday Night Football: Theismann: I think David Garrard is the best quarterback in the NFL. Kornheiser: I have him on my fantasy team. I only need 86 points to beat Tirico, that bastard! Theismann: I talked to Jack Del Rio, and he said David Garrard needs to continue to improve to become the next Deion Sanders. Kornheiser: I have Deion on my fantasy team. I’m screwed. Theismann: I talked to Fred Taylor, who guaranteed Deion Sanders will be a star linebacker in the NFL. Tirico: Now, now, guys, let’s be civil here. Theismann: David Garrard will never be a good player. Kornheiser: Player!?

Much like the old Monday Night Football, people have forgotten how good the Jaguars are. Forget the Texans loss; they were flat, and dropped what seemed like a dozen balls. I expect Jack Del Rio’s team to come out strong, and establish a running game with Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew. Although the Giants are ranked fourth against ground attacks, they couldn’t stop Thomas Jones from bursting through running lanes Sunday night. You can probably blame that on the absence of Michael Strahan, Osi Umenyiora and LaVar Arrington. Don’t forget that New York will have to contain David Garrard’s scrambling ability as well.

The Giants have great weapons on offense, but they lost one of their unsung heroes last week, as Pro Bowl-caliber left tackle Luke Petitgout sustained a serious injury. Look for Jacksonville’s front seven to expose this new weakness, which will lead to a few more Eli Manning sacks. It’s tough to contain Tiki Barber, but the Jaguars’ ninth-ranked run defense should be able to do an admirable job.

I’m expecting a big bounce-back performance from the Jaguars, who need this contest a little bit more than the Giants do. The public is favoring New York, so let’s side with Jacksonville.

The Psychology. Edge: Jaguars.
The Jaguars may need this game a bit more than the Giants, but not enough to warrant any sort of edge.

The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.
  • Jaguars are 8-4 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Opening Line: Jaguars -3½.
  • Opening Total: 39.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 47 degrees. Mild wind: 17 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Shockey, Fred Taylor.
  • Sit Em: Jaguars Receivers.

Prediction: Jaguars 20, Giants 13. (Jaguars -3½).
Correct: Jaguars 26, Giants 10.

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.

Cowboys: 7-2
Eagles: 7-2
Giants: 7-2
Redskins: 6-3

Bears: 6-3
Lions: 8-1
Packers: 7-1
Vikings: 6-3

Buccaneers: 3-6
Falcons: 5-4
Panthers: 4-3
Saints: 4-5

49ers: 7-2
Cardinals: 2-7
Rams: 5-3
Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 5-4
Dolphins: 6-2
Jets: 6-3
Patriots: 4-4

Bengals: 4-4
Browns: 4-3
Ravens: 4-5
Steelers: 4-5

Colts: 3-5
Jaguars: 5-3
Texans: 8-1
Titans: 6-2

Broncos: 1-7
Chargers: 5-4
Chiefs: 4-5
Raiders: 3-5

Divisional Games: 28-23
Trend Edge: 14-16
Game Edge: 24-31
Psychological Edge: 10-9
Double Edge: 9-10
Triple Edge: 0-2


Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Preseason 2014): 3-5 (-$270)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 2-2 (-$40)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Preseason 2014): 0-0 ($0)
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2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-0, 0% ($0)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
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2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
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2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
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2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
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2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
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2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
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Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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