Redskins (1-0) at Falcons (1-0). Line: Falcons by 3. Over-Under: 39.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Falcons by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Falcons by 3.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Patrick Ramsey looked great in the season opener against the Jets. For the most part, he was very accurate, and made a huge play when the team needed him most. He goes against an Atlanta defense that surrendered some pretty big pass plays against Dallas, although Atlanta's defense did keep Quincy Carter to a sub-50% completion percentage. What really surprised me about the Redskins-Jets game is how much Washington ran the ball. They ran the ball 34 times for 160 yards. Atlanta gave up 146 yards on the ground to Dallas, thanks to a big 64 yard run by Avieon Cason. Other than that, the Falcons were pretty good against the run. How Ramsey plays will be determined by how well Washington runs the ball.

It is clear that the Falcons are rallying behind Doug Johnson, much like the Philadelphia Eagles rallied behind A.J. Feeley a year ago. Last week, the Redskins were able to put 8 men in the box to stop the Jets' rushing attack, because they did not respect Vinny Testaverde. I think they'll do it again because Doug Johnson doesn't seem like a threat. Something that helps Washington out is that Steve Spurrier used to coach Doug Johnson, and knows all of his tendencies. Jon Gruden was able to shut down Rich Gannon, and Bill Belichick was able to shut down Drew Bledsoe, prior to last week's game. Johnson did throw for 228 yards against the Cowboys (who have a strong secondary) and he has more weapons than the Jets do. Look for the Redskins to come out a little flat after an emotional victory, which will enable the Falcons to slip by.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • Emotional Win Alert (game winning FG, OT win, comeback win): Teams were 13-37 after an emotional win in 2002. Teams were 14-32 ATS in 2002. Redskins hit a game winning FG against the Jets.
  • Redskins were 1-5 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Redskins are 18-23 in September since 1992.
  • Falcons are 14-28 in September since 1992.
  • Falcons are 8-16 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Falcons are 3-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 39 (9/8).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Laveraneus Coles.
  • Sit Em LaDell Betts, Trung Canidate, T.J. Duckett, Peerless Price.

Prediction: Falcons by 4. Under.




Browns (0-1) at Ravens (0-1). Line: Ravens by 2. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Ravens by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Ravens by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
After only 182 passing yards against the Colts, Kelly Holcomb has to be smiling, because he gets a Ravens' defense that allowed 260 passing yards last week, and over 230 passing yards last year, on average. For the second straight week, Baltimore's defense will look bad, because they won't be able to stop the pass. William Green should have about 70 yards on the ground, most of which will come like Amos Zereoue's did last week.

Kyle Boller really struggled against the Steelers a week ago, because he was asked to play "keep up" with Pittsburgh's quick striking offense. Unfortunatley for him, he'll have to do it again. However, Cleveland's defense is much worse than Pittsburgh's, and Baltimore will be able to get the running game going. This game should be pretty tight, so I'm taking the Browns, because the Ravens are starting an unproven rookie.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Browns have won 3 of last 4.
  • Browns were 5-2 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Browns are 11-6 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Ravens were 7-1 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Ravens are 14-10 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Ravens are 3-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -3 (open) to Ravens -2 (9/8) to Ravens -2 (9/9).
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 (9/9).
  • Weather: Cloudy, 80 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Kelly Holcomb, Quincy Morgan, Dennis Northcutt, Jamal Lewis, Todd Heap.
  • Sit Em William Green, Kevin Johnson.

Prediction: Browns by 3. Over.




Lions (1-0) at Packers (0-1). Line: Packers by 6. Over-Under: 46.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Packers by 9.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Packers by 5.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Detroit hasn't won a road game in three years, but this team carries a positive attitude with Steve Mariucci as head coach. The Lions have to look at the Packers as fresh meat, due to the number of injuries that they've compiled. The Packers allowed over 150 rushing yards to Moe Williams, so you have to figure that Olandis Gary and Shawn Bryson should have at least mediocre days on the ground. Meanwhile, the Packers were pretty good against the pass, allowing only 195 yards through the air (and almost all of it was to Randy Moss). Detroit doesn't have a wide receiver who will be able to burn Green Bay's secondary yet.

The Lions' run defense only allowed 95 rushing yards, but that is deceiving, because they allowed 4.8 yards per carry. Ahman Green should carve up major yardage in this game. What hurts Green Bay is that their starting receivers are Javon Walker and Antonio Freeman. Yikes. Remember though, that Anquan Boldin had over 200 receiving yards against the Lions. If Boldin can do it, I'm sure Javon Walker can have a big day as well, as long as the Packers' offensive line gives Brett Favre enough time. I think this is a must win game for the Packers, who can't start off 0-2 in Lambeau.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Packers have won 5 in a row.
  • Lions haven't won a road game in 3 years (4-11 ATS during that stretch).
  • Lions are 23-57 on the road since 1993.
  • Packers were 1-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Packers are 75-14 at home since 1992.
  • Packers are 29-15 in September since 1992.
  • Packers are 15-10 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Packers are 2-5 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Packers -5 (open) to Packers -6 (9/8).
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 46 (9/8) to 46 (9/9).
  • Weather: Showers, 72 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Javon Walker.
  • Sit Em Joey Harrington, Charles Rogers.

Prediction: Packers by 10. Under.




Titans (1-0) at Colts (1-0). Line: Colts by 2. Over-Under: 44.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Colts by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Colts by 1.

The Game. Edge: Titans.
Big surprise as Steve McNair isn't practicing much this week. However, he will play in this game. Last year, McNair missed a number of practices, and it didn't affect his play on the gridiron. The Colts allowed only 6 points to the Browns' offense, but it should have been a lot more, as Cleveland had a lot of miscues in that game. I think the Colts will struggle to stop the Titans' passing game, which will allow Eddie George to gain modest yardage.

This divisional game qualifies as a big game. Peyton Manning has never won a big game in his football career. Manning will have no help from Edgerrin James, who goes up against perhaps the best run defense in the NFL. Expect multiple interceptions from Peyton.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Emotional Win Alert (game winning FG, OT win, comeback win): Teams were 13-37 after an emotional win in 2002. Teams were 14-32 ATS in 2002. Colts hit a game winning FG against the Browns.
  • History: Titans have won 3 in a row.
  • Titans are 42-38 on the road since 1993.
  • Titans were 7-3 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Titans are 18-23 in September since 1992.
  • Titans are 2-5 in September since 2000.
  • Colts are 5-11 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Colts were 3-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Colts are 10-14 ATS in September since 2000.
  • Colts are 2-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Colts -2 (open) to Colts -2 (9/9).
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 44 (9/9).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Steve McNair, Derrick Mason, Marvin Harrison.
  • Sit Em Peyton Manning, Edgerrin James, Reggie Wayne, Marcus Pollard.

Prediction: Titans by 9. Double Money Pick. Under.




Bills (1-0) at Jaguars (0-1). Line: Bills by 3. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Jaguars by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Bills by 2.

The Game. Edge: None.
This is a very dangerous spot for the Bills, who have to go into hot Jacksonville after a very emotional win. Next week, the Bills go to Miami, so this is quite possibly a sandwich game for them. Look for heavy doses of Travis Henry, who might go over 100 rushing yards. The Jaguars allowed over 120 rushing yards to Carolina. Even though the Jags allowed only 141 passing yards in week 1, most of the game they were defending a very poor Rodney Peete. Drew Bledsoe should be able to light them up.

I don't believe that the Bills can do what they did to the Patriots again. The defense has to be emotionally spent, so Jacksonville should be able to put up as many points as the Bills do. Even against New England, Buffalo allowed 105 rushing yards. I think Fred Taylor will have a big day, along with Mark Brunell, who was 23 of 27 in week one.


The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.
  • Sandwich Situation: Bills are coming off huge win with another huge game in week 3. They might take Jacksonville lightly.
  • Bills were 2-4 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in September since 2000.
  • Jaguars are 40-24 at home since 1993.
  • Jaguars are 4-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Jaguars are 13-11 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Jaguars are 18-14 in September since 1992.
  • Line Movement: Bills -3 (open) to Bills -2 (9/8) to Bills -3 (9/11).
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43 (9/8).
  • Weather: Thunderstorms, 87 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Drew Bledsoe, Travis Henry, Eric Moulds, Mark Brunell, Fred Taylor.
  • Sit Em Both Defenses.

Prediction: Jaguars by 3. UPSET SPECIAL. Over.




Steelers (1-0) at Chiefs (1-0). Line: Chiefs by 3. Over-Under: 48.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Chiefs by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Chiefs by 3.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Kansas City's defense looked downright dominant against San Diego last week. They allowed a superb 64 rushing yards against LaDainian Tomlinson and the Chargers. They also allowed an average 202 passing yards. While I think the Chiefs will be able to stop Amos Zereoue, they might struggle to stop a terrific passing offense. However, if Vonnie Holliday can get to Tommy Maddox, it might force Maddox to make some bad passes. The Steelers allowed 3 sacks to Baltimore, and I think the Chiefs will be able to put a lot of pressure on Maddox.

Its no secret that Pittsburgh can't stop the pass. In comes Trent Green, Tony Gonzalez and company, who should all shred the Steelers' secondary. The Steelers won't be able to concentrate on the pass, because Priest Holmes is one of the best running backs in the NFL.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Steelers are 42-38 on the road since 1993.
  • Steelers were 4-4 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Steelers are 3-7 in September since 2000.
  • Chiefs are 58-22 at home since 1993.
  • Chiefs were 4-4 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Chiefs are 66-23 at home since 1992.
  • Chiefs are 30-14 in September since 1992.
  • Chiefs are 12-12 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Chiefs are 3-4 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -3 (open) to Chiefs -3 (9/8).
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 48 (9/8).
  • Weather: Cloudy, 75 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Plaxico Burress, Hines Ward, Trent Green, Priest Holmes, Tony Gonzalez.
  • Sit Em Amos Zereoue, Jerome Bettis, Pittsburgh Defense.

Prediction: Chiefs by 10. Over.




Texans (1-0) at Saints (0-1). Line: Saints by 8. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Saints by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Saints by 6.

The Game. Edge: None.
For the Texans, its all about a lack of respect. They were angry that they were 14 point underdogs to Miami, which is one of the reasons why they were able to down the Fins at Miami. Kicker Kris Brown said "...We kind of took it as a slap in the face that we were the biggest underdog of the week." Well, guess what Kris? The Texans are the third largest underdog this week. This will be more fuel for Houston's fire. The reason why the Texans couldn't get anything done offensively last year was because of their horrible offensive line. However, they might turn out to be the most improved group in the NFL, because they allowed 0 sacks against the Dolphins. Against a tough defense, Carr threw for 266 yards. Stacey Mack and company rushed for over 120 yards. Now, the Texans go up against a much weaker Saints' defense. It should be points o' plenty for Houston.

Houston may have shut down Miami's offense, but doing the same for New Orleans will be much tougher, because the Saints have a passing game to back up Deuce McAllister. I think there will be plenty of points in this close game. Keep an eye on Joe Horn, who is questionable for this game.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • Emotional Win Alert (game winning FG, OT win, comeback win): Teams were 13-37 after an emotional win in 2002. Teams were 14-32 ATS in 2002. Texans hit a game winning FG against the Dolphins.
  • Texans were 0-4 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Saints are 33-47 at home since 1993.
  • Saints were 2-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Saints are 8-16 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Saints are 1-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Saints are 4-3 in September since 2001.
  • Saints are 17-25 in September since 1992.
  • Saints have as many wins on the road as they do at home (38) since 1992.
  • Line Movement: Saints -10 (open) to Saints -8 (9/8).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em All Offensive Players.
  • Sit Em Joe Horn, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Saints by 3. Over.




Dolphins (0-1) at Jets (0-1). Line: Dolphins by 3. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Dolphins by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Dolphins by 2.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
This is a must-win game for Miami. If they lose this game, Dave Wannstedt might be fired, which actually might be a good thing for Miami. The Jets couldn't stop the run against backs like LaDell Betts and Trung Canidate, so how can they possibly stop Ricky Williams? That'll open up the passing game for Jay Fielder and Chris Chambers.

The Jets' offense looked awful against the Redskins. Unfortunately for the Jets, Miami's defense is much better than Washington's, and they'll be focused, after last week's debacle against the Texans. The Jets have beaten the Fins 9 times out of 10, but they lost to Miami last year under similar circumstances. The Jets will not beat a good team with Vinny Testaverde.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • History: Jets have won 9 of last 10.
  • Dolphins are 39-41 on the road since 1993.
  • Dolphins were 3-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Dolphins are 29-9 in September since 1992.
  • Jets are 38-42 at home since 1993.
  • Jets were 4-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Jets are 15-27 in September since 1992.
  • Jets were 4-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Jets are 9-15 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Jets are 1-4 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 37 (9/8).
  • Weather: Cloudy, 77 degree.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Ricky Williams, Chris Chambers.
  • Sit Em Vinny Testaverde, Curtis Martin, Santana Moss, Curtis Conway, Wayne Chrebet.

Prediction: Dolphins by 20. Money Pick. Over.




49ers (1-0) at Rams (0-1). Line: Rams by 3. Over-Under: 47.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Rams by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Pick.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Its still tough to say if the 49ers are for real, because the Bears are anything but. San Fran carved up the Bears with 162 rushing yards, and will probably do the same to the Rams, who allowed 149 yards to the Giants, with a whopping 5.5 yards per carry. The Rams were pretty good against the pass, so look for an average amount of points from the 49ers.

After week one, the Niners are ranked 1st against the pass, and 4th against the run. That definitely will not hold up. Marc Bulger, who might be a million times better than Kurt Warner, starts for St. Louis. Bulger was 6-0 as a starter in 2002, and should win his 7th career game on Sunday. Marshall Faulk runs the ball a lot when Bulger is in the game, so look for the 49ers' defense to be on their heels the entire game.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Rams have won 7 of last 8.
  • 49ers are an NFL best 43-37 on the road since 1993.
  • 49ers are 28-13 in September since 1992.
  • Rams were 1-8 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Rams are 9-15 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Rams are 1-4 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Garrison Hearst, Terrell Owens, Marc Bulger, Marshall Faulk, Tory Holt, Isaac Bruce.
  • Sit Em 49ers Defense.

Prediction: Rams by 7. Money Pick. Over.




Seahawks (1-0) at Cardinals (0-1). Line: Seahawks by 4. Over-Under: 44.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Seahawks by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Seahawks by 3.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Even though this is a divisional game, it could be a sandwich game for Seattle, who have St. Louis, Green Bay and San Francisco coming up after this one. However, Arizona is just a dreadful team that has a very small chance of beating one of the better teams in the NFL, even at home in a sandwich situation. The spread is only 4, so I'd have to lean to Seattle. Arizona allowed 42 points to Detroit, a team with a young quarterback, no running back and a rookie receiver. The Seahawks are better at every position than the Lions are, so it should be points o' plenty for them.

The Cardinals looked impressive, offensively in week 1. The problem is, they were playing one of the worst defenses in the league. Seattle's defense was the worst in 2002, but Ray Rhodes, along with a few new additions have made it into a pretty good one. The Hawks totally shut down New Orleans last week, so stopping a team like the Cardinals might seem like a piece of cake.


The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
  • History: Seahawks have won 2 of last 3.
  • Seahawks were 3-3 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Cardinals are 38-42 at home since 1993.
  • Cardinals were 4-6 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Cardinals are 11-13 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Cardinals 11-29 in September since 1992.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -4 (open) to Seahawks -4 (9/8).
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 44 (9/11).
  • Weather: Sunny, 99 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Koren Robinson, Darrell Jackson, Jeff Blake, Anquan Boldin.
  • Sit Em All Other Offensive Players, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Seahawks by 6. Over.




Panthers (1-0) at Buccaneers (1-0). Line: Buccaneers by 9. Over-Under: 34.
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK!

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Buccaneers by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Buccaneers by 9.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
In the two games against Tampa Bay in 2002, the Panthers kept up with the Bucs, and should have been able to beat them. Now, they get the Bucs, who are coming off of a tough game against the Eagles. Its no secret that Tampa can be beat with a tough running game, behind a big offensive line. Carolina added Stephen Davis and Jordan Gross, so they should be able to move the chains on Tampa.

After allowing 23 points to Jacksonville, you have to wonder if the Cats were looking ahead to this game. Carolina wants to prove that they are the best defense in the league; not Tampa Bay, and they have to be infuriated that they are given no respect (they are a 9 point dog). The Panthers will easily shut down any sort of running game Tampa will try to use. Stopping the Bucs' passing game is a different story. Carolina struggled to stop it in 2002, and after yielding 272 passing yards to Mark Brunell, you have to figure that Johnson & Johnson will be the difference in this close game.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • Emotional Win Alert (game winning FG, OT win, comeback win): Teams were 13-37 after an emotional win in 2002. Teams were 14-32 ATS in 2002. Panthers scored a game winning touchdown with a few seconds to play.
  • History: Buccaneers have won 3 in a row.
  • Panthers are 22-42 on the road since 1993.
  • Panthers were 5-1 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Panthers are 5-0 in summer games since 2001.
  • Buccaneers are 52-28 at home since 1993.
  • Buccaneers are 15-9 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -9 (open) to Buccaneers -10 (9/9) to -9 (9/11).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Thunderstorms, 90 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Stephen Davis, Keyshawn Johnson, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em Jake Delhomme, Muhshin Muhammad, Steve Smith, Mike Alstott, Michael Pittman.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 3. Under.




Bengals (0-1) at Raiders (1-0). Line: Raiders by 12. Over-Under: 45.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Raiders by 13.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Raiders by 13.

The Game. Edge: Raiders.
This could be some sort of tough spot for Oakland, because after being beat up against Tennessee, they have these hapless Bengals, followed by huge rivalry games against Denver and San Diego. However, the Raiders can not start 0-2, and I will be damned if I put any money on the Bengals, until they show me something. Cincy will have to move the ball on the ground with Corey Dillon to get anywhere, which might be a problem, because Oakland has an outstanding run defense. The Raiders allowed 268 yards through the air to the Titans, but this is Cincinnati, and they do not have Steve McNair at quarterback. They have Jon Kitna, who can't play to his potential, because he knows that its only a matter of time before Carson Palmer comes in.

The Bengals intercepted Jake Plummer thrice in week 1, and held him to only 115 yards passing. Rich Gannon is no Jake Plummer. Gannon could take the day off if he wanted to, because the Bengals allowed the most rushing yards of any team in the NFL last week.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • Bengals are 16-64 on the road since 1993.
  • Bengals are 9-33 in September games since 1992.
  • Raiders were 2-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Raiders are 14-10 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Raiders are 4-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Raiders -11 (open) to Raiders -12 (9/9) to Raiders -12 (9/11).
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 45 (9/9).
  • Weather: Sunny, 74 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Chad Johnson, Rich Gannon, Charlie Garner, Jerry Rice, Tim Brown.
  • Sit Em Jon Kitna, Corey Dillon, Jerry Porter.

Prediction: Raiders by 14. Over.




Patriots (0-1) at Eagles (0-1). Line: Eagles by 5. Over-Under: 38.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Eagles by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Eagles by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
I wouldn't touch this game with a 100 mile pole. This actually marks the second time in NFL history that two teams meet after both being shutout in their opener. The last time it happened? 1932, and the two teams that met ended up tieing, 0-0. Both of these teams are really deflated. The Pats lost team captain Lawyer Milloy, who made the Patriots pay. Ted Johnson will be out for the Patriots in this game. On the Eagles side, they have to be sick and frustrated that the Buccaneers beat them on their own field - again. To add injury to insult, Bobby Taylor, Brian Dawkins and Brandon Whiting are all out for this game. I'm not going to do a game analysis for this one, because with the deflation and injuries, you won't see neither the real Patriots nor the real Eagles. I'll take the Eagles to win, only because they can not afford to lose two games at home (the Patriots have played two games on the road thus far, counting this one). However, I'm taking the Pats to cover, due to all of the injuries that Philly has sustained. Do not play this game!

The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Patriots were 2-5 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Eagles are 12-13 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Eagles are 2-4 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -5 (open) to Eagles -5 (9/9) to -5 (9/11).
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37 (9/9) to 38 (9/11).
  • Weather: Cloudy, 78 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em None.
  • Sit Em Both Offenses and Defenses.

Prediction: Eagles by 3. Under.




Broncos (1-0) at Chargers (0-1). Line: Broncos by 3. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Chargers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Chargers by 2.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
I simply do not understand how the Broncos are favored in this game. As you can see by my lines, I thought the Bolts would be favored by a field goal. Jake Plummer was just brutal against Cincinnati, throwing 3 picks and gaining only 115 yards through the air. The reason why the Broncos won 30-10 was because Clinton Portis ran for over 150 yards. Look for more of that, because San Diego allowed plenty of yards to Priest Holmes, however, if Plummer plays like he did against Cincinnati, the Broncos will lose this game.

I feel that both LaDainian Tomlinson and Drew Brees will be able to get going in this game. Tomlinson should be able to shread what I think is a poor Broncos' rush defense (Denver actually allowed 220 rushing yards to the Chargers at San Diego last year), while Brees to Boston should happen quite a few times in this game, based upon the 264 passing yards that Denver allowed to Jon Kitna.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • History: Home Team has won the last 4.
  • Broncos were 2-6 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Broncos are 28-16 in September games since 1992.
  • Chargers are 39-41 at home since 1993.
  • Chargers were 4-3 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Chargers are 9-15 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Chargers are 4-2 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Chargers are 25-18 in September since 1992.
  • Chargers are 7-1 in September since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -3 (open) to Broncos -3 (9/9).
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43 (9/9).
  • Weather: .

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Clinton Portis, LaDainian Tomlinson, David Boston.
  • Sit Em Jake Plummer, Ed McCaffrey, Ashley Lelie.

Prediction: Chargers by 3. Money Pick. Over.




Bears (0-1) at Vikings (1-0). Line: Vikings by 8. Over-Under: 45.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Vikings by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Vikings by 8.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
I've said it before and I'll say it again. The Bears' higher-ups want the team to lose so they can blame Dick Jauron and fire him. In fact, GM Jerry Angelo has already agreed to terms with LSU coach Nick Saban, so expect Jauron to be fired as soon as LSU is done their season. The point is, I will not point any money on the Bears at all this year. Kordell Stewart is awful, the offensive line can't block, and the Bears cant run the ball. Minnesota's defense really showed something against the Packers, so the Vikes should have no problems with a laughable Bears offense.

Speaking of laughable, how about this Bears defense (excluding Brian Urlacher, Warrick Holdman and Mike Brown)? They allowed 162 yards on the ground to San Francisco, and since Moe Williams has proven he can carry the load for the Vikes, look for over a big day from him. Culpepper will not be under pressure, so he will dismantle a poor Bears' secondary. Vikes go to 2-0, while ESPN thinks "what were we thinking, putting Chi-Town on national TV?"


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • History: Vikings have won 8 of last 12.
  • Bears are 28-52 on the road since 1993.
  • Bears were 4-7 ATS after a loss in 2002.
  • Bears are 13-29 in September since 1992.
  • Vikings are 56-24 at home since 1993.
  • Vikings were 2-3 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Vikings are 12-12 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Vikings are 27-16 in September since 1992.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -7 (open) to Vikings -8 (9/8) to Vikings -8 (9/9).
  • Total Movement: 46 (open) to 46 (9/9).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Minnesota Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Chicago Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Vikings by 34. Money Pick. BLOW OUT SPECIAL. Under.




Cowboys (0-1) at Giants (1-0). Line: Giants by 7. Over-Under: 37. MONDAY!

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Giants by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Giants by 7.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
The Bill Parcells reunion tour kicks off on ABC. This could be also known as "Homo Bowl I", because Jeremey Shockey called Parcells a homo. It should be interesting to see what kind of game plan Parcells devises against Shockey. Also, after a tough practice week, due to their loss to Atlanta, Dallas will be motivated not to lose again. Its tough to say how well the G-Men can defend the run, because genius Mike Martz forgot that he could run the ball against them. However, I imagine that the Cowboys won't be able to get anything on the ground. Quincy Carter should be able to get some throws downfield to Joey Galloway again, but he will be under pressure a lot. If the Pokes do move the ball, it'll be Carter's legs that do it.

Dallas did a pretty good job against the run in week 1, and historically, they've done well against it when playing the Giants. They've also handed New York's passing game pretty well, however, Kerry Collins has more weapons this time. It'll be interesting if Parcells can expose the right side of the Giants' offensive line, which is very weak. Dallas-Giants games are generally close, and I just think the spread is too big here.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Giants have won 5 of last 6.
  • Giants were 5-5 ATS after a win in 2002.
  • Giants are 8-17 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Giants are 2-4 ATS at home in September since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Giants -6 (open) to Giants -7 (9/8).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: .

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Kerry Collins, Tiki Barber, Amani Toomer, Jeremey Shockey.
  • Sit Em Troy Hambrick.

Prediction: Giants by 7. Under.


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 8, 2014): 4-11 (+$320)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 8, 2014): 2-2 (+$80)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 8, 2014): 0-1 (-$440)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 8, 2014): 9-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 8, 2014): $0

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-1, 50.0% (+$370)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 63-68-6, 48.1% (-$615)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 25-20, 55.6% (+$850)
2014 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 3-7-1, 30.0% (-$1,770)
2014 Season Over-Under: 68-51-1, 57.1% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$690

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,077-1,912-116, 52.1% (+$11,800)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 669-603-31 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 279-241-11 (53.7%)
Career Over-Under: 1,609-1,588-47 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 3-5
Bears: 3-5
Bucs: 5-2
49ers: 3-3
Eagles: 4-3
Lions: 2-5
Falcons: 3-5
Cardinals: 3-4
Giants: 2-5
Packers: 5-2
Panthers: 2-6
Rams: 3-4
Redskins: 5-3
Vikings: 6-2
Saints: 3-3
Seahawks: 3-4
Bills: 3-5
Bengals: 2-6
Colts: 4-4
Broncos: 4-3
Dolphins: 5-1
Browns: 3-2
Jaguars: 3-5
Chargers: 2-6
Jets: 4-4
Ravens: 2-5
Texans: 5-3
Chiefs: 4-2
Patriots: 4-4
Steelers: 3-5
Titans: 4-3
Raiders: 3-4
Divisional: 13-18 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 7-9 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 7-12 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 18-16 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 13-8 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 4-5 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
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2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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