49ers (1-10) at Rams (5-6). Line: Rams by 10. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Rams by 13.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Rams by 12.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Injuries: 49ERS: OUT: C Jeremy Newberry, DE Brandon Whiting, LB Julian Peterson, CB Mike Rumph, CB Ahmed Plummer. QUESTIONABLE: CB Jimmy Williams. RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, G Chris Dishman, C Dave Wohlabaugh, S Zach Bronson. DOUBTFUL: CB DeJaun Groce. QUESTIONABLE: RB Marshall Faulk*, CB Aeneas Williams.

How bad are the 49ers? They were beaten by the 1-9 Miami Dolphins at home, 24-17. This franchise has hit rock-bottom. They will be drafting first overall for the first time in the history of their organization, unless they trade the pick.

San Francisco averages just 11 points per game on the road because they cannot run the football. Kevan Barlow gains just 3.2 yards per carry since his offensive line fails to open up running lanes for him. Consequently, Tim Rattay is placed in a plethora of obvious passing situations, and struggles because he has neither the time to throw, nor the receivers to move the chains. Leonard Little and the Rams should accumulate many sacks in this contest; the 49ers have already allowed 42 sacks this season.

It's hard to say whether the 49ers are more pathetic on offense or defense. Their "can't stop anyone" unit allows 29 points per game. Even the offensively challenged Dolphins totaled 24 points against the Niners. Mike Martz will have his offense back on track - for at least one week.


The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • History: Home Team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Rams are 6-2 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Rams -10 (open) to Rams -10 to Rams -10.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 47.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Eric Johnson, Rams Offense (not Marshall Faulk) and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Kevan Barlow, Brandon Lloyd, Cedrick Wilson, Marshall Faulk, 49ers Defense.

Prediction: Rams by 21. (Rams -10). Under.




Bills (5-6) at Dolphins (2-9). Line: Bills by 3. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Bills by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Bills by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bills.
Injuries: BILLS: OUT: RB Travis Henry, C Trey Teague. QUESTIONABLE: WR Josh Reed, CB Troy Vincent. DOLPHINS: OUT: QB Jay Fiedler, RB Lamar Gordon, WR David Boston, DT Larry Chester, DT Tim Bowens, LB Zach Thomas, LB Junior Seau, S Chris Akins.

Both teams have losing records, but the Bills and Dolphins happen to be on impressive streaks. Buffalo has won four of their last five games (the only loss was to the Patriots), while Miami has impressively claimed one consecutive victory. Wow.

All kidding aside, the Bills should have their way with the Fish on Sunday. Willis McGahee has emerged as a potent force, rushing for 726 yards this season. Miami is missing their top two defensive tackles-Tim Bowens and Larry Chester-and have struggled against opposing ground attacks this season, giving up 4.4 yards per rush. Miami's pass defense is superb; they allow just 152 passing yards per contest, but concerns about stopping McGahee should loosen up a very sound secondary, just enough for Drew Bledsoe to capitalize on a few bombs to Eric Moulds and Lee Evans. Zach Thomas' injury will also soften Miami's stop unit.

Dolphins running back Travis Minor confronts a Buffalo front that yields just 3.6 yards per carry. Think the Dolphins will have trouble scoring points? Minor will aptly gain minor yardage, forcing his team into many unwanted long-yardage scenarios. The Bills' will suffocate the hobbled A.J. Feeley, accumulating many sacks and forcing tons of interceptions and fumbles.


The Trends. Edge: Bills.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 19-21 ATS since 2003.
  • History: Bills have won 3 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Dolphins are 2-11 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 34 to 35.
  • Weather: Showers, 82 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Willis McGahee, Eric Moulds, Randy McMichael, Bills Defense.
  • Sit Em: Drew Bledsoe, A.J. Feeley, Travis Minor.

Prediction: Bills by 10. (Bills -3). Under.




Panthers (4-7) at Saints (4-7). Line: Saints by 1. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Saints by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Saints by 2.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: PANTHERS: OUT: RB Stephen Davis, RB DeShaun Foster, RB Joey Harris, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson, G Doug Brzezinski, DT Kris Jenkins, LB Dan Morgan, S Damien Richardson, KR Rod Smart. QUESTIONABLE: FB Brad Hoover, DL Brenston Buckner. SAINTS: OUT: G Montrae Holland, G Kendyl Jacox, DE Willie Whitehead, LB Sedrick Hodge. DOUBTFUL: G Kendyl Jacox, LB Derrick Rodgers. QUESTIONABLE: KR/PR Michael Lewis.

As sad as it sounds, both of these 4-7 squads are just one game out of a wildcard spot in the NFC playoff race. If the Rams lose Sunday, the winner of this game will be tied for the second wildcard slot.

The Panthers have sustained tons of injuries this season. Their 1-7 start was not surprising, but the fact that they have won three in a row is very shocking. Nick Goings has emerged as a dependable running back, and Jake Delhomme deserves MVP consideration if he can lead Carolina into the playoffs. The Saints are ranked 30th against the run, surrendering a nauseating five yards per carry. To make matters worse, they allow 264 passing yards per contest. The Panthers should be able to score at will against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

Things looked bleak when Kris Jenkins went down with an injury, but Carolina has done an outstanding job shutting down the run in recent weeks. New Orleans channels their offense through Deuce McAllister. If the Panthers can shut him down-which they are capable of doing-Aaron Brooks will be presented with a plethora of long-yardage situations. Julius Peppers will be breathing down Brooks' neck, causing the erratic signal caller to make a few foolish throws.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • History: Panthers have won the last 3 meetings.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS on the road this year.
  • Saints are 13-25 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Saints are 4-9 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jake Delhomme, Nick Goings, Muhsin Muhammad, Joe Horn, Panthers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Deuce McAllister, Donte' Stallworth, Saints Defense.

Prediction: Panthers by 7. (Panthers +1). Money Pick. Under.




Texans (5-6) at Jets (8-3). Line: Jets by 7. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Jets by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Jets by 7.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
Injuries: TEXANS: QUESTIONABLE: G Zach Wiegert, DE Gary Walker, LB Jamie Sharper, LB Jay Foreman, FS Marlon McCree. JETS: OUT: DT Josh Evans, CB Ray Mickens. QUESTIONABLE: LB Victor Hobson, S Jon McGraw. PROBABLE: QB Chad Pennington.

Chad Pennington has been named the starter, but the Jets' focal point on offense will once again be Curtis Martin, who is having a career year in a very successful career. Martin has already accumulated 1,171 rushing yards and nine touchdowns this season. He will continue to pad his statistics against a very soft Texans rush defense, which yields 4.5 yards per carry. Martin's frequent bursts for first downs will force Houston to place eight men in the box, allowing Pennington to utilize play-action effectively.

After a slow start, Domanick Davis re-established himself as a potent threat on the ground, rushing for 129 yards on only 16 carries against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. However, Davis will return to his old-self, because the Jets are ranked seventh against the run. David Carr will be forced to convert long-yardage situations, but should have some success. The last capable quarterback that New York faced-Tom Brady-torched their young secondary.

The Jets are clearly the better team, but keep in mind that they have only won by more than eight twice this season. The two teams that New York actually blew out? The Dolphins (41-14) and the Cardinals (13-3). This contest will be close.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: JETS: Next game - Pittsburgh.
  • Line Movement: Jets -6 (open) to Jets -7 (Pennington).
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 41.
  • Weather: Sunny, 55 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Curtis Martin, Andre Johnson, Jets Defense.
  • Sit Em: Chad Pennington, Quincy Carter, Domanick Davis.

Prediction: Jets by 4. (Texans +7). Under.




Falcons (9-2) at Buccaneers (4-7). Line: Buccaneers by 1. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Falcons by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Falcons by 4.

The Game. Edge: Falcons.
Injuries: FALCONS: OUT: S Keion Carpenter. QUESTIONABLE: WR Brian Finneran, CB Jason Webster. BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Charlie Garner, TE Rickey Dudley, G Kerry Jenkins, C John Wade, DT Anthony McFarland, S Jermaine Phillips.

Tampa Bay is favored, and the public is betting on them? Has everyone lost their mind?

Ever since offensive coordinator Greg Knapp designed more bootlegs for Michael Vick, and told the electrifying quarterback to abandon his stationary stance in the pocket, the Falcons have scored 25.8 points per game, including 24 against these Buccaneers on Nov. 14. Vick only completed 50 percent of his passes in that contest, but the Falcons rushing attack trampled Tampa en route to their seventh victory of the season. Vick, Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett all gained more than 50 rushing yards. Atlanta clearly exposed the Buccaneers' undersized defensive front, and should be able to gash their front seven once again, especially since defensive tackle Anthony McFarland is out of the lineup.

Rod Coleman's presence makes moving the chains on the ground against Atlanta nearly impossible. Michael Pittman gained 62 rushing yards on 20 carries in the first meeting between these two teams. Pittman will once again be bottled up by a dominant defensive front, forcing Brian Griese into many obvious passing situations. The Falcons have permitted less than 175 passing yards in their last three games, including a stellar 174-yard performance against Griese and the Bucs.

Domination has clearly switched hands in this series. The Falcons will win their third straight against the reeling Buccaneers.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • History: Falcons have won the last 2 meetings.
  • Line Movement: Pick (open) to Buccaneers -1.
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 38 to 39.
  • Weather: Showers, 81 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Michael Vick, Alge Crumpler, Falcons Defense.
  • Sit Em: Brian Griese, Michael Pittman, Buccaneers Defense.

Prediction: Falcons by 11. (Falcons +1). Money Pick. Under.




Bengals (5-6) at Ravens (7-4). Line: Ravens by 6. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Ravens by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Ravens by 6.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: BENGALS: OUT: WR Peter Warrick, DT Tony Williams, LB Nate Webster, CB Rashad Bauman, CB Dennis Weathersby, CB Greg Brooks, P Kyle Richardson. RAVENS: OUT: RB Jamal Lewis*, RB Musa Smith, LB Peter Boulware, CB Dale Carter, P Dave Zastudil. DOUBTFUL: OT Orlando Brown, CB Deion Sanders. QUESTIONABLE: TE Todd Heap*, LB Cornell Brown.

Carson Palmer may be improving, but only bad things can happen when a rookie quarterback plays the Ravens defense. In a Sept. 26 meeting against Baltimore, Palmer compiled 316 passing yards, but threw three interceptions and completed less than 50 percent of his passes. Rudi Johnson was held in check, managing less than four yards per carry. Rudi will once again have trouble advancing the football, because the Ravens are ranked second against the run, yielding just 3.5 yards per rush. Palmer will be placed under immense pressure in many unfavorable long-yardage situations.

How bad are the Bengals on defense? They allowed 48 points to Cleveland on Sunday, and 186 rushing yards on just 18 carries to Jamal Lewis in their previous match-up against Baltimore. Lewis is out, but Chester Taylor will start and should be effective against Cincinnati's pathetic defensive front. Kyle Boller will once again impress; Boller will utilize play-action as a result of Taylor' success on the ground. Boller will torch a Cincy secondary that surrendered 413 passing yards and five touchdowns to Kelly Holcomb.

In their last five games against Cincinnati, the Ravens are 4-1 and have averaged 180 rushing yards per contest. There is no reason why history will not repeat Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • History: Ravens have won 11 of the last 13 meetings.
  • Bengals are 1-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Ravens are 24-13 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Ravens are 10-3 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -7 (open) to Ravens -6.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 53 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chester Taylor, Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, Ravens Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jamal Lewis, Ravens Receivers, Bengals Defense.

Prediction: Ravens by 10. (Ravens -6). Over.




Vikings (7-4) at Bears (4-7). Line: Vikings by 8. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Vikings by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Vikings by 7.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: VIKINGS: OUT: TE Jim Kleinsasser, OT Mike Rosenthal, C Matt Birk, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter, K Aaron Elling. QUESTIONABLE: RB Michael Bennett, WR Randy Moss*, G David Dixon. BEARS: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, QB Craig Krenzel*, S Mike Brown. DOUBTFUL: OT John Tait, DT Tommie Harris. QUESTIONABLE: DE Adewale Ogunleye, LB Brian Urlacher.

This game has deja vu written all over it. The Vikings were in desperate need of a victory when they traveled to Soldier Field in December 2003. Instead, cornerback Charles Tillman stole a football in mid-air from Randy Moss, giving the Bears an improbable 13-10 victory. Will history repeat itself?

It will be cold and wet in Chicago on Sunday, which means the Vikings will need to run the football. Minnesota has not been doing a good job of gaining yardage on the ground this season, because of injuries to Jim Kleinsasser, Mike Rosenthal, Randy Moss and Mewelde Moore. Meanwhile, the Bears will be fired up for this heated divisional match-up. They should contain Onterrio Smith to less than 75 rushing yards, forcing Daunte Culpepper to throw it in wet, sloppy conditions. The Vikings will score some points, but not enough to pull away from the hungry Bears.

Chad Hutchinson will be starting for the Bears, meaning Lovie Smith will attempt to establish the running game early and often. The Vikings will place at least eight men in the box, coaxing Hutchinson to throw the football. The problem with that is, Minnesota still may not be able to stop the run, even with an eighth man up front. The Vikings are ranked 28th against opposing rushing attacks, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Minnesota also surrenders 262 passing yards per game on the road this season. Hutchinson should be able to connect with open receivers on occasion, keeping his team within striking distance.

This is a one-game season for the Bears. They will keep this game close and a few mistakes by Minnesota could spell another defeat at Soldier Field for Mike Tice.


The Trends. Edge: Bears.
  • History: Home Team has won the last 5 meetings.
  • Bears are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -7 (open) to Vikings -7 to Vikings -8.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 42 to 41 to 40.
  • Weather: Showers, 50 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Daunte Culpepper, Randy Moss, Jermaine Wiggins, Thomas Jones.
  • Sit Em: Bears Passing Game.

Prediction: Bears by 3. (Bears +8). Money Pick. Upset Special. Under.




Patriots (10-1) at Browns (3-8). Line: Patriots by 11. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Patriots by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Patriots by 10.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: PATRIOTS: OUT: TE Ben Watson, OT Adrian Klemm, OT Tom Ashworth, NT Dan Klecko, CB Ty Law. QUESTIONABLE: OT Matt Light, LB Roman Phifer, LB Mike Vrabel, CB Tyrone Poole, CB Asante Samuel. BROWNS: OUT: QB Kelly Holcomb*, WR Andre Davis, TE Kellen Winslow Jr., OT Ryan Tucker, G Kelvin Garmon, DE Courtney Brown, LB Ben Taylor, LB Andra Davis. QUESTIONABLE: QB Jeff Garcia*, RB Lee Suggs*, WR Andre King, CB Daylon McCutcheon, CB Michael Lehan, KR Richard Alston.

The big news regarding this game is the resignation of Butch Davis. Offensive coordinator Terry Robiskie will assume head coaching duties until the end of the season.

Robiskie is a good coach, but he's in for a huge challenge. There is no way his offense scores 48 points in this contest. In fact, they might not even score eight. Kelly Holcomb threw for more than 400 yards Sunday, but he is out of the lineup and Luke McCown will start. McCown is a talented signal caller from Louisiana Tech, but there is no way a quarterback making his first start will beat Bill Belichick, who is probably foaming at the mouth right now.

A defense that allows 58 points to the Cincinnati Bengals is a joke. The Browns will play with more inspiration under Robiskie, but they will eventually wear down once Corey Dillon starts ripping off huge chunks of yardage on the ground. Cleveland surrenders 4.2 yards per carry, meaning Dillon could be the league leader in rushing once the day is over. Brady will utilize play-action and torch a mediocre Browns secondary.

Cleveland will give an all-out effort for their new coach, but it won't be enough against the best team in football.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Tom Brady is 50-13 as a starter.
  • Browns are 4-2 ATS at home this year.
  • Browns are 2-7 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -7 (open) to Patriots -9 (Holcomb) to Patriots -10 to Patriots -11.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 39.
  • Weather: Showers, 49 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tom Brady, Corey Dillon, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Browns Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Patriots by 20. (Patriots -11). Under.




Cardinals (4-7) at Lions (4-7). Line: Lions by 6. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Lions by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Lions by 3.

The Game. Edge: Lions.
Injuries: CARDINALS: OUT: RB Emmitt Smith*, RB Troy Hambrick, RB Marcel Shipp, FB James Hodgins, DE Fred Wakefield. QUESTIONABLE: WR Nathan Poole, DE Bert Berry, DT Darnell Dockett. LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, S Brian Walker, KR/PR Eddie Drummond.

Arizona's quarterback situation is embarrassing. It's like Dennis Green is in high school and can't decide between three hot girls: the senior who has been passed around by a few guys (Shaun King), the intriguing freshman (John Navarre) and the dependable one, who for some reason gets ignored, so she goes to the library and actually learns (Josh McCown).

McCown should be the quarterback of the Cardinals, but Navarre-a seventh round pick-will take his first career snaps Sunday. Has Green lost his mind? How are the Cardinals supposed to score, especially without the services of Emmitt Smith? They won't. Josh Scobey and Larry Croom will share carries against a Lions defense that allows just 3.7 yards per carry. Navarre will operate in many long-yardage situations, and unless he's the second-coming of Tom Brady-a late round pick from Michigan, who blossoms into the best signal caller in the NFL-Arizona may not score a single point on Sunday.

Detroit has one of the worst offenses in the NFL, but they should be able to move the chains against a Cardinals defense that struggles mightily on the road. Arizona yields more than five yards per carry away from Sun Devil Stadium, compared to just 4.2 at home. Kevin Jones is finally developing into the running back Steve Mariucci aspired to acquire this off-season. Jones will eclipse the century mark Sunday, opening the door for Joey Harrington, who faces a secondary that permits 225 passing yards per contest.

This line opened at 3 and quickly rose to six. Everyone and their mothers are taking the Lions. While Detroit does not deserve to be a six-point favorite, how in the world are the Cardinals supposed to score in this game?


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 35-29 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Lions are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Lions -3 (open) to Lions -5.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 38 to 37.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kevin Jones, Roy Williams, Lions Defense.
  • Sit Em: Cardinals Offense, Joey Harrington.

Prediction: Lions by 10. (Lions -6). Under.




Titans (4-7) at Colts (8-3). Line: Colts by 11. Over-Under: 55.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Colts by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Colts by 12.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: TITANS: OUT: WR Tyrone Calico, OT Brad Hopkins, G Zach Piller, LB Peter Sirmon, CB Andre Woolfolk, S Tank Williams, S Lance Schulters, K Joe Nedney. DOUBTFUL: QB Steve McNair*, DT Albert Haynesworth. QUESTIONABLE: RB Chris Brown*, OT Fred Miller, DT Randy Starks, DT Rien Long, LB Rocky Boiman, CB Samari Rolle. COLTS: OUT: G Tupe Peko, CB Donald Strickland, S Bob Sanders. DOUBTFUL: TE Dallas Clark*, G Rick Demulling, C Jeff Saturday. QUESTIONABLE: CB Nick Harper.

This heated rivalry game is ruined by injuries to the Titans, but even if the entire team were healthy, beating the Colts would be a huge challenge, given Indianapolis dominates Tennessee, and the Titans are playing their third consecutive game away from home.

Indianapolis will once again be able to score very easily. The Titans are terrible against the run (five yards allowed per carry) and the pass (Peyton Manning was 24 of 33 for 254 yards and 2 touchdowns on Sept. 19). Edgerrin James will trample Tennessee's battered defensive front, allowing Manning to connect on easy throws to his talented receivers. Manning should tally at least four touchdown passes Sunday.

The Titans will need to score on nearly every possession to have a chance to win. Even against a poor defensive team, that could be a challenge, because Steve McNair is doubtful, Chris Brown may not play, and Tennessee's offensive line is in shambles.



The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • History: Colts have won the last 3 meetings.
  • Third Road Alert: Teams in their third consecutive road game are 5-10 ATS since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Colts -10 (open) to Colts -11.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Colts Offense, Steve McNair, Derrick Mason.
  • Sit Em: Chris Brown, Titans Defense.

Prediction: Colts by 31. (Colts -11). Double Money Pick. Under.




Chiefs (3-8) at Raiders (4-7). Line: Chiefs by 1. Over-Under: 52.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Chiefs by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Chiefs by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: CHIEFS: OUT: RB Priest Holmes*, WR Marc Boerigter, OT John Welborn, DE Vonnie Holliday, LB Mike Maslowski, LB Shawn Barber, S Greg Wesley. DOUBTFUL: LB Monty Beisel, S Jerome Woods. SAYS HE WILL START: QB Trent Green*. RAIDERS: OUT: QB Rich Gannon, RB Tyrone Wheatley*, G Frank Middleton, G Mo Collins, G Ron Stone, LB Travian Smith, S Derrick Gibson. QUESTIONABLE: DE Tyler Brayton.

Trent Green says he will play, despite sore ribs. However, Priest Holmes is out, meaning Derrick Blaylock and Larry Johnson will once again share carries. With a hobbled Green at quarterback, look for the Raiders to key in on Blaylock and Johnson. Oakland restricted Reuben Droughns to just 3.6 yards per carry last Sunday. They will once again do a superb job against the run, coaxing Green to beat them. Green's effectiveness will be uncertain; he will play, but to what ability?

Kerry Collins is a far cry from the signal caller in October. In his first three starts as a Raider, he was responsible for 10 turnovers. Last week, he threw for 339 yards and four touchdowns. He will have success against the Chiefs' secondary, which permits 254 passing yards per contest.

There is no reason to bet this game. There are too many questionable injuries and there are much better options this week.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • History: Chiefs have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Chiefs are 1-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Raiders are 3-9 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Raiders are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: TE Tony Gonzalez, QB Kerry Collins, WR Jerry Porter.
  • Sit Em: QB Trent Green, RB Priest Holmes, RB Tyrone Wheatley, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Raiders by 3. (Raiders +1). Under.




Broncos (7-4) at Chargers (8-3). Line: Chargers by 3. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 4:05 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Chargers by 2.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, RB Quentin Griffin, DE Trevor Pryce, CB Lenny Walls. DOUBTFUL: DT Luther Elliss. CHARGERS: OUT: WR Reche Caldwell, OT Courtney Van Buren, DE David Ball, DT Eric Downing, LB Zeke Moreno, CB Sammy Davis.

The Chargers impressed me by defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead on Sunday. They have proven that they are capable of winning in the cold. Weather will not be a factor against the Broncos, even though it doesn't seem to matter at this point.

Drew Brees has blossomed into a Pro Bowl-caliber quarterback and an MVP candidate. He will torch Denver's secondary, which has surrendered an average of 299 passing yards per contest in their last four games, and a very disturbing average of 348 passing yards per contest in their last two games. No one on the Broncos can cover Antonio Gates, especially since Keenan McCardell and Eric Parker are capable of big plays downfield, and LaDainian Tomlinson stil inhabits the backfield. Tomlinson is arguabley the best running back in the NFL. Denver yields four yards per carry, but with all the focus on Gates, Tomlinson could eclipse the 150-rushing yard barrier.

The Broncos' offense funnels through the ability to run the football effectively. Once Reuben Droughns is established as a lethal threat on the ground, Jake Plummer utilizes play-action bootlegs to connect with Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie and Jeff Putzier downfield. That gameplan will not work against the Chargers, who are ranked sixth in run defense. Plummer will be forced to throw on many obvious passing situations, which will be an enormous problem for Denver's offense.

San Diego will own a two-game lead in the AFC West if they win Sunday. They will also possess the tie-breaker against Denver, if they manage to beat Kansas City later this season.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • History: Home Team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Chargers are 4-1 ATS at home this year.
  • Chargers are 2-7 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -2 (open) to Chargers -3.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 47.
  • Weather: Possible Showers, 58 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Drew Brees, LaDainian Tomlinson, Keenan McCardell, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jake Plummer, Reuben Droughns, Broncos Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 7. (Chargers -3). Money Pick. Over.




Giants (5-6) at Redskins (3-8). Line: Redskins by 2. Over-Under: 32.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Giants by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Giants by 3.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: GIANTS: OUT: WR Tim Carter, WR James McKnight, G Barry Stokes, G Rich Seubert, DE Michael Strahan, DE Keith Washington, DT Norman Hand S Omar Stoutmire, S Shaun Williams, S Gibril Wilson. REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen, LB LaVar Arrington, LB Mike Barrow, S Matt Bowen, KR Chad Morton. DOUBTFUL: OT Mark Wilson, DT Jermaine Haley. QUESTIONABLE: DE Phillip Daniels.

My condolences to anyone whose FOX station carries this game. There will be less points scored in this contest than this year's NHL All-Star Game.

The injuries are finally becoming a factor for Washington's defense, and not to mention the agony of watching their offense and their multitude of three-and-outs each week. Jerome Bettis rushed for 100 yards Sunday, giving hope to Tiki Barber's aspirations of achieving the same goal. If Tiki can move the chains-even if it's only a couple of first downs-the Redskins will have to bring an eighth man into the box, freeing either Amani Toomer, Ike Hilliard or Jeremy Shockey from double coverage. It's a long shot, but is it better than...

...an offense that makes Penn State look like the 1999 St. Louis Rams? I think so. Clinton Portis cannot move the chains in the Redskins offense, because the offensive line play is abysmal and the lack of talent at the quarterback position allows opposing defenses to key in on him. Patrick Ramsey will once again be forced to operate in many obvious passing situations, leading to a plethora of sacks, interceptions and fumbles.

Wake me up when this game is over.


The Trends. Edge: Giants.
  • History: Giants have won 6 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Redskins are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Redskins are 2-9 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 33 to 32.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 52 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Eli Manning, Amani Toomer, Ike Hilliard, Redskins Offense.

Prediction: Giants by 6. (Giants +2). Under.




Packers (7-4) at Eagles (10-1). Line: Eagles by 6. Over-Under: 48.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Eagles by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Eagles by 5.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: PACKERS: OUT: C Mike Flanagan. PROBABLE: RB Ahman Green*. EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, FB Jon Ritchie, G Shawn Andrews, DE Ndukwe Kalu, DE Jerome McDougle. DOUBTFUL: RB Reno Mahe, G Artis Hicks. QUESTIONABLE: G Jermane Mayberry, DE Derrick Burgess, LB Nate Wayne.

After starting the season 1-4 and looking like a Division III college football team against the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football, the Packers have rebounded and have won six consecutive games. Their biggest test thus far will be Sunday when the battle the 10-1 Eagles.

Green Bay has the weapons on offense to exploit a very questionable Eagles defense. Philadelphia permits just 15 points per game, but their run defense yields a disturbing 4.5 yards per carry. Their inability to stop opposing ground attacks seemed to be fixed when Andy Reid benched Corey Simon, Darwin Walker and Nate Wayne in favor of Hollis Thomas, Sam Rayburn and Jeremiah Trotter, respectively, but Tiki Barber and the Giants gashed the Eagles' defensive front for 161 rushing yards last week. Ahman Green is one of the best running backs in the NFL, and will cruise through wide-open running lanes created by the mammoth offensive line. Philadelphia also lacks the cornerbacks to cover Javon Walker, Donald Driver and Robert Ferguson. Forcing the Packers to punt will be a problem for the Eagles.

Grady Jackson's return was the catalyst for the improvement of Green Bay's defense. Once ranked dead-last against the run, the Packers have not surrendered more than 4.4 yards per carry since their Monday Night meltdown against the Titans. Restricting Brian Westbrook from massive yardage will be a simple task. However, containing Terrell Owens will be a major concern. Al Harris did a phenomenal job against Torry Holt, but Owens is a freak of nature. Donovan McNabb will throw a few touchdown passes to Owens and his other receivers, keeping the game close.

This game could go either way. Green Bay has a slight edge in the match-ups, but they are coming off a Monday night victory. However, this is a huge revenge spot for them. Either way, they should cover the six-point spread.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Post Monday Night Syndrome: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 9-15 ATS the following week since 2003.
  • Revenge Situation: Eagles beat the Packers in 2003 playoffs.
  • Eagles are 27-9 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 14-7 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -6 (open) to Eagles -6.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 48.
  • Weather: Sunny, 53 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Javon Walker, Donald Driver, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Eagles by 3. (Eagles +6). Money Pick. Over.




Steelers (10-1) at Jaguars (6-5). Line: Steelers by 3. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Steelers by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Steelers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: STEELERS: OUT: G Kendall Simmons, NT Casey Hampton, LB Kendrell Bell, CB Chad Scott. QUESTIONABLE: RB Verron Haynes, WR Plaxico Burress*. JAGUARS: OUT: OT Mike Pearson, DE Lionel Barnes, DE Paul Spicer, DE Rob Meier, PR David Allen. QUESTIONABLE: TE George Wrighster, TE Kyle Brady, KR Jermaine Lewis.

Pittsburgh fans will be happy to witness the return of Duce Staley and Plaxico Burress to the lineup. Even though the Jaguars yield just 3.9 yards per rush, they will have trouble stopping the Steelers rushing attack, because Pittsburgh's offensive line is one of the league's best, and Jacksonville will be concerned with containing Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward and Plaxico Burress. Staley and Jerome Bettis will share carries and shred the Jaguars' defensive front, making life easier for Roethlisberger, who is going for an 10-0 record.

The Steelers haven't allowed more than 100 rushing yards in any game since Oct. 3 against the Bengals. However, Pittsburgh has never been tested against the run since the season-ending injury to Casey Hampton. If Fred Taylor totals 100 rushing yards, don't be surprised, although waiting if the Steelers get exposed would be the wiser choice. Despite a neutralized rushing attack, Byron Leftwich should keep this game close by exploiting Pittsburgh's weak secondary.

Only two games that Jacksonville has participated in this season have not been decided in the last two minutes. This Sunday Night match-up will be very entertaining and could come down to a final drive.


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Steelers are 4-1 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -4 (open) to Steelers -3.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 35.
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward, Plaxico Burress, Byron Leftwich, Jimmy Smith.
  • Sit Em: Jaguars Defense.

Prediction: Steelers by 4. (Steelers -3). Under.




Cowboys (4-7) at Seahawks (6-5). Line: Seahawks by 7. Over-Under: 42.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Seahawks by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Seahawks by 6.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: COWBOYS: OUT: WR Terry Glenn, CB Pete Hunter, CB Tyrone Williams, S Darren Woodson. QUESTIONABLE: FB Richie Anderson, C Andre Gurode. SEAHAWKS: OUT: WR Koren Robinson, LB Anthony Simmons, LB Chad Brown, S Damien Robinson, P Tom Rouen. DOUBTFUL: DE Chike Okeafor, CB Bobby Taylor. QUESTIONABLE: OT Chris Terry.

Dead team walking! Dead team walking! Seattle's first loss to the Rams sent them into a temporary stupor. Their second loss to the Rams has vanquished them to permanent limbo. In the past two weeks, the Seahawks nearly loss to A.J. Feeley and the Dolphins, and were blown out at home by the Bills.

Mike Holmgren must give Shaun Alexander as many carries as possible. Alexander should enjoy wide-open running lanes against a Cowboys defense that permits 4.5 yards per carry. Plus, keeping the ball out of Matt Hasselbeck's hands is a good idea. Hasselbeck completed just 19 of 38 pass attempts for 185 yards, a touchdown and an interception against the Bills on Sunday. Even though the Cowboys secondary is awful, Hasselbeck's receivers are not dependable and drop many passes.

Julius Jones' return to the lineup gives the Cowboys some hope for the playoffs. Jones rushed for 150 yards on 33 carries last week, and should enjoy similar success against a struggling Seahawks stop unit that gives up 4.2 yards per rush. Seattle's focus on the run will place less pressure on Vinny Testaverde and will free up Jason Witten and Keyshawn Johnson from double coverage.


The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 35-29 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -8 (open) to Seahawks -7.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 43 to 42.
  • Weather: Showers, 40 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Shaun Alexander, Julius Jones, Jason Witten, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Matt Hasselbeck, Darrell Jackson, Koren Robinson (out).

Prediction: Cowboys by 3. (Cowboys +7). Upset Special. Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 6-4
Eagles: 9-2
Giants: 7-4
Redskins: 6-5

Bears: 6-5
Lions: 6-5
Packers: 7-4
Vikings: 2-9

Buccaneers: 3-6
Falcons: 5-6
Panthers: 7-4
Saints: 6-5

49ers: 4-7
Cardinals: 6-5
Rams: 6-4
Seahawks: 4-7

Bills: 8-3
Dolphins: 5-6
Jets: 7-3
Patriots: 6-3

Bengals: 7-4
Browns: 7-4
Ravens: 6-5
Steelers: 4-7

Colts: 5-5
Jaguars: 6-5
Texans: 7-4
Titans: 4-7

Broncos: 6-3
Chargers: 6-4
Chiefs: 4-7
Raiders: 8-3

Divisional Games: 32-27
Trend Edge: 22-27
Game Edge: 28-27
Game & Trend Edge: 6-3


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1 Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 15, 2014): 6-9-1 (-$1,380)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 1-2 (-$360)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 0-1 (-$440)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 15, 2014): 10-6 ($0)
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2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40% (-$580)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 115-118-7, 49.4% (-$2,655)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 40-38, 51.3% (+$70)
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2014 Season Over-Under: 123-98-2, 55.7% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,140

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
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2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
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2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
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2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
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2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
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2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
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2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
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2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
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2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
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2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
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2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,129-1,962-117, 52.0% (+$9,760)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 684-621-31 (52.4%)
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Career Over-Under: 1,664-1,635-48 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-18 (62.5%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-9
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-6
49ers: 6-7
Eagles: 9-5
Lions: 5-8
Falcons: 6-8
Cardinals: 7-7
Giants: 4-10
Packers: 9-4
Panthers: 5-9
Rams: 6-8
Redskins: 8-6
Vikings: 11-3
Saints: 5-8
Seahawks: 7-7
Bills: 6-8
Bengals: 5-10
Colts: 6-7
Broncos: 7-7
Dolphins: 9-4
Browns: 7-5
Jaguars: 8-6
Chargers: 5-9
Jets: 7-7
Ravens: 6-8
Texans: 6-7
Chiefs: 8-5
Patriots: 7-7
Steelers: 7-7
Titans: 6-6
Raiders: 5-9
Divisional: 31-37 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 11-16 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 23-21 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 39-39 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 29-15 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 13-11 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
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2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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