Broncos (5-2) at Ravens (3-3). Line: Ravens by 1. Over-Under: 38.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Pick.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
*** Jake Plummer is out. Steve Beuerlein is out. Danny Kannell will start for Denver.

This game features two of the best running backs in the game, which means it will probably be an under. Clinton Portis is one of the best running backs in the NFL, but Baltimore has the fifth best run defense in the league. They held Corey Dillon to under forty yards last week, and without a threat of a passing attack, they should hold Portis to minimal yardage. Danny Kannell will quarterback the Broncos because both Jake Plummer and Steve Beurelein are out. Kannell hasn't been in the NFL for half a decade, so unless this is some freak Tommy Maddox situation, the Broncos just won't score many points in this game.

Jamal Lewis hasn't been stopped by anyone this year. Even the Bengals, who had a great scheme against him, "held" him to 100 yards rushing. The Broncos are average against the run, which means Lewis will tear them up. Kyle Boller displayed his ability to throw the football against Cincinnati, but Denver has a much better pass defense than the Bengals do. However, the Broncos might be so focused on Lewis, that they'll be softer against the pass than usual.


The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • Revenge Situation: Baltimore humiliated Denver on MNF last year.
  • Ravens are 15-11 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Ravens are 2-4 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Ravens are 10-19 in October games since 1997.
  • Line Movement: Pick (open) to Ravens -1 (10/19) to Ravens -1 (10/20).
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 38 (10/20).
  • Weather: Cloudy, 69 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Jamal Lewis, Todd Heap, Baltimore Defense.
  • Sit Em Denver Offense.

Prediction: Ravens by 6. Under.




Lions (1-5) at Bears (1-5). Line: Bears by 3. Over-Under: .

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Bears by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Bears by 2.

The Game. Edge: None.
*** Charles Rogers is out. Kordell Stewart and Anthony Thomas are questionable.

What a pathetic game. The dreadful Lions don't have any sort of running game with James Stewart out, but the Bears are 30th against it, so if Detroit ever produces a 100 yard rusher this year, it will be in this game. Chicago is 8th against the pass, but like I state every week, that statistic is a farce. They've only produced 6 sacks this season, which happens to be one per game. Detroit's offensive line gives up less than one sack per game, so Joey Harrington could have his best game of the season, even with his slew of putrid receivers.

Anthony Thomas may not play, but Adrian Peterson can do a similar job. The Bears run the ball pretty well, and the Lions are 21st against the run. Kordell Stewart is questionable for this game, which is a good thing, because Chris Chandler had a good performance against Seattle. Like the Bears, the Lions don't get too many sacks (ten), but Chicago does allow the second most sacks in the NFL, so it might not matter how poor Detroit's pass rush is.

I'm hard pressed to take Detroit in this game because they haven't won a road game in 3 years. Until they do so, I advise to bet against them as small road dogs.


The Trends. Edge: Bears.
  • History: Bears have won 4 of last 5.
  • Lions have not won a road game in 3 years (5-12 ATS during that stretch).
  • Lions are 23-60 on the road since 1993.
  • Bears are 2-4 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Rain, 57 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Joey Harrington, Olandis Gary, Marty Booker.
  • Sit Em Kordell Stewart, Chris Chandler, Anthony Thomas (questionable).

Prediction: Bears by 4.




Seahawks (5-1) at Bengals (2-3). Line: Seahawks by 1. Over-Under: 42.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Seahawks by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Seahawks by 1.

The Game. Edge: None.
If the Bengals can do an admirable job against Jamal Lewis, they can do so against anyone. If Shaun Alexander can't get going, Matt Hasselbeck will be in a world of trouble. Hasselbeck has been sacked 16 times this season, and without a running game, he could be sacked quite a few times in this contest by the 11th ranked pass defense.

Surprisingly, Cincinnati is one of the worst running teams in the NFL, averaging 2.8 yards per carry, while Seattle is 9th against the run. Like last week, Jon Kitna will have to make plays in order for the Bengals to win. Seattle is 9th against the pass, but I don't think the Seahawks have anyone that can cover Chad Johnson. This game is actually close as far as the game edge is concerned, however the Seahawks have secretley been struggling. They squeaked out victories against San Francisco and Chicago. Meanwhile, the Bengals are playing with confidence and could pull another home upset.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bengals are 9-32 in October since 1993.
  • Bengals are 11-16 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -3 (open) to Seahawks -2 (10/19) to Seahawks -1 (10/22).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Thunderstorms, 67 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Koren Robinson, Chad Johnson.
  • Sit Em Matt Hasselbeck, Jon Kitna, Corey Dillon.

Prediction: Bengals by 3. Under.




Titans (5-2) at Jaguars (1-5). Line: Titans by 3. Over-Under: 44.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Titans by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Titans by 6.

The Game. Edge: Titans.
*** Samari Rolle is out. Byron Leftwich starts for Jacksonville.

I'm curious as to why this line is only 3. My projected line was 6, so thats something to keep in mind here. Jacksonville is an impressive 3rd against the run, but that won't play out in this game, since the Titans don't depend on the running game. Steve McNair is the entire Tennessee offense, which is too bad for Jacksonville, since they can neither stop the pass, nor get to the quarterback. Even if they do, McNair can scramble.

Unlike Tennessee, Jacksonville depends on Fred Taylor to get the offense moving. The problem is, the Titans defend the run extremely well. I don't know how the Titans are 31st against the pass, but they have 19 sacks this season, while the Jags have given up 16. The major thing in this game is that the Titans dominate the Jaguars. One day, Byron Leftwich will lead the Jaguars to a victory over the Titans, but it won't be this year.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • History: Titans have won 7 of last 9.
  • Titans are 44-40 on the road since 1993.
  • Jaguars are 14-13 ATS in home games since 2000.
  • Jaguars are 3-5 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Titans -4 (open) to Titans -3 (10/19).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Showers, 79 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Steve McNair, Derrick Mason, Tennessee Defense.
  • Sit Em Byron Leftwich, Fred Taylor, Jacksonville Defense.

Prediction: Titans by 14. Double Money Pick. Under.




Giants (2-4) at Vikings (6-0). Line: Vikings by 5. Over-Under: 44.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Vikings by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Vikings by 6.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
*** William Peterson is out.

This may be the game where the Giants' offense finally comes to life. New York's offense didn't come around last year until the game after they lost to the Eagles. Minnesota's defense might be pretty soft as well, because they'll be looking forward to playing Green Bay (especially Chris Hovan). Minnesota is 28th against the run, so Tiki Barber and Dorsey Levens will move the ball for the G-Men. The problem for the Giants has been pass protection, and playing the Vikings will not cure that deficiency, because they have 17 sacks this season. All that pressure causes turnovers, which is why they have the most interceptions in the NFL. Remember though, that the Vikings will be looking ahead.

Daunte Culpepper and Randy Moss might be the stars of the Vikings' offense, but if they couldn't run the football, they'd be lost. Minnesota's mammoth offensive line will help Moe Williams and Onterrio Smith move the chains as usual. Will Allen is a pretty solid corner, but he can't cover Randy Moss. What hurts the Giants is that William Peterson is out, so they won't be able to defend Kelly Campbell and Nate Burleson.


The Trends. Edge: Giants.
  • History: Giants have won 2 of last 3.
  • Sandwich Situation: After a huge win against the Broncos, the Vikings have the Packers after this game.
  • Giants are 40-41 on the road since 1993.
  • Vikings are 59-24 at home since 1993.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -7 (open) to Vikings -6 (10/19) to Vikings -5 (10/20).
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 44 (10/19).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Tiki Barber, Jeremey Shockey, Amani Toomer, Daunte Culpepper, Moe Williams, Randy Moss, Kelly Campbell.
  • Sit Em Both Defenses.

Prediction: Vikings by 4. Over.




Browns (3-4) at Patriots (5-2). Line: Patriots by 5. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Patriots by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Patriots by 7.

The Game. Edge: None.
*** William Green is questionable.

William Green could actually affect the outcome of this game. Remember that the Patriots are coming off a very emotional, tiring win. If Green can't go, James Jackson and Jamel White will most likely share carries. For now, I'll assume that Green is playing. New England is excellent against the run (6th in the NFL), so they'll shut that down. The Patriots are susceptable against the pass, so I expect the Browns to get down, only to be led by an all too familiar Browns' comeback attempt, led by Kelly Holcomb.

Cleveland has certainley given up huge performances to stud running backs like Jamal Lewis and LaDainian Tomlinson, but against marginal backs, they play pretty well. I don't see Kevin Faulk getting much in this contest. What will keep this game close is that the Patriots' offense is built around the pass, while Cleveland is suprisingly first against it. They've held opposing quarterbacks to a 65.1 QB rating. Like all Browns games, this one will be close.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams were 14-32 ATS in 2002 and are 5-10 ATS in 2003. Patriots won in overtime.
  • Browns are 12-5 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or more since 2000.
  • Browns are 13-7 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Patriots are 19-25 in October since 1993.
  • Patriots are 51-32 at home since 1993.
  • Patriots are 16-11 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Patriots are 4-3 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -5 (open) to Patriots -6 (10/20) to Patriots -5 (10/22).
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 38 (10/19) to 37 (10/20).
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 62 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Kelly Holcomb.
  • Sit Em William Green, Cleveland Receivers, Tom Brady, Kevin Faulk.

Prediction: Browns by 3. Money Pick. UPSET SPECIAL. Over.




Panthers (5-1) at Saints (3-4). Line: Saints by 2. Over-Under: 39.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Panthers by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Pick.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
It seems like the public is hopping onto the Saints' bandwagon, which would explain this ridiculous spread. The Saints should not be favored against a much superior team. It seems like everyone has forgotten who the Saints have played the last two weeks. They defeated Chicago and Atlanta; combined record 2-11. Stephen Davis, who is now healthy, was able to run over New Orleans' pathetic defense in the last meeting between these two teams. This time won't be any different. Don't look for much from Jake Delhomme, as Davis will carve up the majority of Carolina's yardage.

Like Stephen Davis, Deuce McAllister had an outstanding performance in the last meeting between these two teams. The Panthers generally have been good against the run, but the Saints ran for 155 yards against the Cats a few weeks ago. Aaron Brooks might have tore up Atlanta's defense last week, and the Panthers' defense was down right humiliated against the Titans, but that doesn't mean Aaron Brooks will have a good game. In the John Fox regime, Brooks has never played well against Carolina. I just feel that Vegas has the wrong team favored, but I guess they are catoring to the public.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Panthers have won 2 in a row, but the Saints have won 5 of last 7.
  • Previous Meeting: Panthers 19, Saints 13. (at Carolina -6, 37).
  • Panthers are 24-42 on the road since 1995.
  • Panthers are 12-24 in October since 1993.
  • Saints are 35-48 at home since 1993.
  • Saints are 10-17 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Saints -1 (open) to Saints -1 (10/19) to Saints -2 (10/20).
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 39 (10/20).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Stephen Davis, Deuce McAllister.
  • Sit Em Jake Delhomme, Muhsin Muhammad, Steve Smith.

Prediction: Panthers by 4. Under.




Rams (4-2) at Steelers (2-4). Line: Steelers by 1. Over-Under: 46.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Steelers by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Steelers by 1.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
*** Marshall Faulk is out.

With Marc Bulger at quarterback, Mike Martz has been using the run more often. Pittsburgh is fifth against the run, so they'll neutralize Lamar Gordon and Arlen Harris. There's a reason why the Rams are so bad on the road. They are away from their fast track at the Edward Jones Dome, and the grass slows them down. If this game was in St. Louis, I would say that Bulger would connect with Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce often, but not on this grassy surface.

Jerome Bettis is definitely starting for the Steelers, which is a great move by Bill Cowher, because their offensive line is awful. Bettis can break tackles, while Amos Zereoue has been searching for holes that have not been there. The Rams are 25th in run defense, so Bettis could have his first 100 yard rushing game for the first time in a long time. With the Rams focusing on stopping Bettis, Tommy Maddox should have a great day through the air.


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Sandwich Situation: After a few big wins, the Rams have archrival 49ers after this game.
  • Rams are on their first road game since week 3.
  • Rams are 6-12 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Rams are 2-10 ATS on grassy fields since 2001.
  • Steelers are 64-26 at home since 1992.
  • Steelers are 30-11 in October since 1993.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -1 (open) to Steelers -1 (10/21).
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 46 (10/21).
  • Weather: Cloudy, 64 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Tommy Maddox, Jerome Bettis, Plaxico Burress, Hines Ward.
  • Sit Em Marc Bulger, Lamar Gordon, Amos Zereoue.

Prediction: Steelers by 16. Money Pick. Under.




Cowboys (5-1) at Buccaneers (3-3). Line: Buccaneers by 6. Over-Under: 36.
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Buccaneers by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Buccaneers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
I guess the public is expecting the Cowboys to go down to a much superior team in this game. After all, the teams that Dallas has played thus far only have ten combined wins. However, I think its important to note that the Buccaneers themselves are struggling. Jon Gruden may have lost control of this team. Warren Sapp is doing whatever he wants before the game starts, and Tampa just has too many injuries. Bill Parcells will look to kick Tampa while they are down. The way you beat Tampa is to just run right at them, just like the 49ers did last week. Look for Troy Hambrick to carry the load in this contest, and for Dallas to move the ball on a banged up Tampa Bay defense. Brian Kelly is out for the year, so I don't think Tampa has the personnel to cover Dallas' three talented wide receivers.

Nothing on the ground for Michael Pittman, as the Cowboys are 2nd against the run in the NFL. Dallas has also done a magnificent job against the pass, holding opposing quarterbacks to a 47.9% completion, which is tops in the league. Everyone seems to like Tampa Bay in this spot. I'm going the other way.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: Dallas has archrival Washington next.
  • Cowboys are 28-14 in October since 1993.
  • Buccaneers are 52-30 at home since 1993.
  • Buccaneers are 4-3 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -6 (open) to Buccaneers -6 (10/19).
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 36 (10/19).
  • Weather: Showers, 88 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Quincy Carter, Troy Hambrick, Terry Glenn, Dallas Defense.
  • Sit Em Brad Johnson, Michael Pittman, Keyshawn Johnson, Keenan McCardell, Tampa Bay Defense.

Prediction: Cowboys by 10. UPSET OF THE MONTH. Money Pick. Under.




Texans (2-4) at Colts (5-1). Line: Colts by 13. Over-Under: 42.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Colts by 12.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Colts by 12.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
The Texans have found a running game just in time. Domanick Davis became the first 100 yard rusher in Houston's long history last week. The Colts are pathetic against the run, giving up almost 5 yards per carry. Davis could become the Texans' first back-to-back 100 yard rusher. A running game will take some pressure off of David Carr, who has only been sacked 10 times this season. Indianapolis is 12th against the pass, but they only have 12 sacks themselves. I think Houston will be able to move the ball for the first time ever on these Colts.

Good news for Peyton Manning - Edgerrin James is back. He should help resurrect a running game that has only 3.3 yards per carry this year. Houston is 19th against the run, so they won't be stopping James. With James running the ball well, Peyton Manning will be able to connect with Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne because he'll have lots of time to throw. The Colts have given up only 4 sacks this season, while Houston has only registered 8. The Texans are 29th against the pass. I like the Colts to win this game, but the line is too high, given that this will be a ball control game.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • History: Colts have won 2 in a row.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: Perhaps Indianapolis is looking past this game and to next week when they play old rival Miami.
  • Double digit point spread favorites are 3-4 ATS this year.
  • Colts are 7-12 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Colts -12 (open) to Colts -13 (10/19).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Domanick Davis, Andre Johnson, Indianapolis Offense.
  • Sit Em Houston Defense.

Prediction: Colts by 10. Money Pick. Under.




Jets (2-4) at Eagles (3-3). Line: Eagles by 3. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Eagles by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Eagles by 4.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
*** Chad Pennington will play but won't start. Wayne Chrebet is questionable. Brian Dawkins is out.

The Jets have been a different team since their bye. Curtis Martin actually almost gained 100 yards last week and Vinny Testaverde has improved his play since starting 0-4. The Eagles' defense is just not that good. Tiki Barber and Dorsey Levens were able to run on the Eagles behind a putrid offensive line. Meanwhile, Philly only has 10 sacks this season, while the Jets only have given up 6, which is one per game. Curtis Martin should have about 80 yards, and Testaverde should connect with his receivers enough to score some points on the Eagles.

Donovan McNabb is coming off one of his worst performances in his career, yet the Eagles managed to win on a stroke of luck. If McNabb plays like that again, the Eagles will lose. I believe he will have a similar day because the Jets put a lot of pressure on the opposing quarterback. They have an outstanding 21 sacks this year, while the Eagles have given up the same amount. Philadelphia will move the ball on the ground with Brian Westbrook, but I don't see them scoring many points because McNabb is woeful.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Jets have a better road record (11-9) than home record (10-10) since 2001.
  • Eagles are 12-15 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Eagles are 3-5 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -3 (open) to Eagles -3 (10/21).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 66 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Curtis Martin, Santana Moss, Brian Westbrook.
  • Sit Em Wayne Chrebet, Donovan McNabb, Todd Pinkston, James Thrash.

Prediction: Jets by 4. Under.




49ers (3-4) at Cardinals (1-5). Line: 49ers by 6. Over-Under: 41.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): 49ers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): 49ers by 6.

The Game. Edge: 49ers.
*** Emmitt Smith is out.

San Francisco runs the ball more than any other team in the league, and if they can't get the run going, they'd be lost, offensively. Since they are playing Arizona, they should easily get 200 rushing yards, right? Wrong. The Cardinals are 7th against the run, allowing 3.7 yards per carry. Normally, if the 49ers can't run, Jeff Garcia can't throw, but the Cardinals only have 4 sacks this year, and no one can even come close to covering Terrell Owens, so this game is up to the Niners. They can either show up, play hard and cover the tough 7 point spread, or be soft because they have their arch rivals next.

Arizona will have to throw the ball a lot, because they only gain 3.4 yards per carry, while the Niners are 9th in rush defense. The 49ers have 21 sacks this season, but the Cardinals protect their quarterback rather well (10 sacks despite being down a lot). The 49ers don't have the personnel to cover Anquan Boldin, so this game could be a shoot out. Like I said above, it depends if the 49ers show up mentally.


The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.
  • History: 49ers have won 5 in a row.
  • Sandwich Situation: After attaining revenge against Tampa, the 49ers have archrival St. Louis after this game.
  • 49ers are 43-40 on the road since 1993.
  • Cardinals are 39-44 at home since 1993.
  • Cardinals are 12-15 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: 49ers -7 (open) to 49ers -6 (10/19) to 49ers -7 (10/21) to 49ers -6 (10/22).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Sunny, 85 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Jeff Garcia, Terrell Owens, Tai Streets, Jeff Blake, Anquan Boldin.
  • Sit Em Garrison Hearst, Kevan Barlow, Marcel Shipp, Both Defenses.

Prediction: 49ers by 3. Over.




Bills (4-3) at Chiefs (7-0). Line: Chiefs by 6. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Chiefs by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games):

The Game. Edge: Bills.
*** Eric Moulds is questionable.

I've been picking against the Chiefs the last two weeks because they should have a let-down game sooner or later. Perhaps they should have lost to Green Bay. Maybe if the Raiders threw one yard further, the Chiefs would have lost. However, all of those victories have to tire out the Chiefs, who might be looking forward to resting with a bye coming up.

Kansas City's offense goes through Priest Holmes, but the Bills are pretty good against the run, giving up 3.9 yards per carry. This will be the stiffest run defense the Chiefs have faced since Baltimore, and they squeaked by the Ravens in that game. Trent Green feeds off the running game, but if Priest Holmes isn't getting much, he'll struggle. Buffalo is 3rd against the pass in the NFL, holding opposing quarterbacks to a 66.4 passer rating. KayCee could struggle to score in this Sunday Night matchup.

Travis Henry finally got his act together in the nick of time, because the Chiefs are 31st against the run. Henry could go over 100 yards rushing in this game, which could take some pressure off of Drew Bledsoe, who has to throw against a defense that has 18 sacks this season. Buffalo's offensive line has allowed 20 sacks thus far, but remember that Travis Henry has been out a few games. Last week with Henry running well, the Bills only allowed 1 sack.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Chiefs are 68-23 at home since 1992.
  • Chiefs are 4-4 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -7 (open) to Chiefs -6 (10/21).
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43 (10/22).
  • Weather: Clear, 45 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Tony Gonzalez, Drew Bledsoe, Travis Henry.
  • Sit Em Trent Green, Eddie Kennison, Johnnie Morton.

Prediction: Chiefs by 1. Money Pick. Under.




Dolphins (4-2) at Chargers (1-5). Line: Dolphins by 3. Over-Under: 38. MONDAY!

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Dolphins by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Dolphins by 2.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
*** Jay Fiedler is questionable.

Jay Fiedler is questionable, but should it even matter? In my opinon, Fiedler is one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. I think Brian Griese can do a similar job. Ricky Williams will be carrying the ball often for Miami, against the 26th run defense in the league. With all the attention focused on stopping Williams, Griese can play-action against the Chargers, who are almost as bad at the pass, as they are against the run. The Bolts are 23rd against the pass.

San Diego can go one of two directions. They can either be content that they won a game, or they can use that win as a spring board to get more wins, similarly to the way Marty Schottenheimer's 2001 Redskins acted after their first win. The 2001 Redskins started out 0-5, but then went on to win 5 straight. Winning against the Dolphins will be no easy task. LaDainian Tomlinson will have to get enough carries early on, because the Chargers might be down in the first quarter. Unfortunately for the Bolts, the Fins have the top run defense in the league, allowing an exceptional 2.9 yards per rush. Drew Brees will have to throw against the Dolphins, and may even have to conjure a comeback. Miami does hold opposing quarterbacks to a 69.1 passer rating, so it'll be tough for Marty's gang.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Dolphins are 28-15 in October since 1993.
  • Dolphins are 8-10 on the road since 2001.
  • Chargers are 39-43 at home since 1993.
  • Chargers are 9-17 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Chargers are 2-3 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Dolphins -3 (open) to Dolphins -3 (10/22).
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 38 (10/19).
  • Weather: Clear, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Ricky Williams, Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael, Miami Defense.
  • Sit Em Jay Fiedler, San Diego Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Dolphins by 24. Money Pick. Over.


SUB MENU

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
Week 1 NFL Picks
Week 2 NFL Picks
Week 3 NFL Picks
Week 4 NFL Picks
Week 5 NFL Picks
Week 6 NFL Picks
Week 7 NFL Picks
Week 8 NFL Picks
Week 9 NFL Picks
Week 10 NFL Picks
Week 11 NFL Picks
Week 12 NFL Picks
Week 13 NFL Picks
Week 14 NFL Picks
Week 15 NFL Picks
Week 16 NFL Picks
Week 17 NFL Picks
Week 18 NFL Picks
Week 19 NFL Picks
Week 20 NFL Picks
Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2013 Season:
Week 1 NFL Picks
Week 2 NFL Picks
Week 3 NFL Picks
Week 4 NFL Picks
Week 5 NFL Picks
Week 6 NFL Picks
Week 7 NFL Picks
Week 8 NFL Picks
Week 9 NFL Picks
Week 10 NFL Picks
Week 11 NFL Picks
Week 12 NFL Picks
Week 13 NFL Picks
Week 14 NFL Picks
Week 15 NFL Picks
Week 16 NFL Picks
Week 17 NFL Picks
Week 18 NFL Picks
Week 19 NFL Picks
Week 20 NFL Picks
Super Bowl XLVIII NFL Pick



© 1999-2013 Walter Cherepinsky : all rights reserved
Privacy Policy
2 5 9
Google