Note on Week 17: I have taken the games out of chronological order and grouped them together based on playoff implications, since the result of one game will heavily impact the results of several others.




Broncos (12-3) at Chargers (9-6). Line: Chargers by 10. Over-Under: 43.
Saturday, 4:30 ET
AFC Wildcard Chase, Game 1

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Chargers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Chargers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: Broncos: OUT: OT Dwayne Carswell, MLB Al Wilson, CB Darrent Williams. DOUBTFUL: RB Mike Anderson*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Ashley Lelie*, WR Darrius Watts. EXPECTED TO PLAY: QB Bradlee Van Pelt*. Chargers: OUT: OT Roman Oben, S Terrence Kiel.

The Broncos are locked into the No. 2 seed and the Chargers have been eliminated from the playoffs, so why does this game have postseason implications? If San Diego wins, the Chiefs will be eliminated from playoff contention. Don't think for a second that the Chargers will let Kansas City waltz into the playoffs -- the Chiefs knocked them out last week.

Denver will be resting its starters for the majority of the game. Mike Shanahan even said that Jake Plummer will not play the entire 60 minutes. Either way, a fired-up Chargers stop unit will key in on Tatum Bell, Mike Anderson or Ron Dayne -- chance are, it will be the latter. San Diego's fourth-ranked run defense will shut down Denver's rushing attack, nullifying Jake Plummer's play-action bootlegs. When Bradlee Van Pelt is in under center, the Colorado State alumnus will be pressured by San Diego's hectic pass rush, which may lead to a few interceptions, sacks and fumbles.

The Broncos are ranked eighth against opposing ground attacks, but they won't be as effective on Saturday because middle linebacker Al Wilson is out. Plus, other starters might be on the bench by the third quarter. LaDainian Tomlinson will bulldoze Denver's front seven, setting up play-action for Drew Brees. No one in Denver's secondary -- starter or bench player -- can cover Antonio Gates.

If San Diego truly cares about knocking Kansas City out of the playoffs, this will be a blowout.

Thursday Evening Update: There is too much action going on San Diego. Check out the trend on extreme line movements below. I'm changing this pick.

Friday Evening Update: After thinking about this game some more, I am putting a Money Pick tag on Denver. In 1996, Mike Shanahan rested his starters and was burnt by Jacksonville in the second round (Indianapolis obviously does not know this). Shanahan learned his lesson, and in 1998, he played all of his starters into the fourth quarter of meaningless games. The Broncos won their second Super Bowl.


The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • History: Home Team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 54-32 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Extreme Line Movement: Teams that have had the line change in their favor by three or more points are 2-7 ATS this year.
  • Broncos are 13-7 ATS vs. AFC West opponents since 2001.
  • Broncos are 25-34 ATS vs. opponents coming off a loss under Mike Shanahan.
  • Broncos are 5-9 ATS after beating the Raiders under Mike Shanahan.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -7 (open) to Chargers -8 to Chargers -9 to Chargers -10 to Chargers -10.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 65 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chargers Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Broncos Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 9. (Broncos +10). Money Pick. Over.




Lions (5-10) at Steelers (10-5). Line: Steelers by 13. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
AFC Wildcard Chase, Game 2

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Steelers by 14.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Steelers by 17.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: Lions: OUT: CB Fernando Bryant. QUESTIONABLE: RB Kevin Jones*, OLB Donte Curry.

If San Diego beats Denver, the Steelers clinch the sixth seed in the AFC. If the Chargers lose, Pittsburgh needs to win or have the Chiefs lose to the Bengals to qualify for the playoffs. Whether San Diego wins or not, don't expect a letdown from the Steelers.

Think back to Jan. 2, 2005. The Steelers had already clinched homefield advantage, and they were playing the Bills, who were fighting for their playoff lives. Pittsburgh outplayed Buffalo and won, 29-24. The same thing should happen this time around. The Steelers will easily harass Joey Harrington, who is playing behind an awful offensive line. Harrington will be forced to throw in long-yardage situations because Pittsburgh's second-ranked rush defense will stuff Kevin Jones and Artose Pinner in the backfield. The Steelers will consequently collect a plethora of sacks, fumbles and interceptions.

Making matters worse for the Lions is the fact that they are ranked 20th against opposing ground attacks. Willie Parker and Jerome Bettis will get a limited amount of carries, but Duce Staley and Verron Haynes should be able to slice through Detroit's weak front seven. Even if Charlie Batch is under center, he may only have to throw 10-15 times on Sunday.

Every single player on the Lions may have their cars running in the parking lot. Why would Detroit show up to this game and give 100 percent? It's going to be cold and snowy at Heinz Field.


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 46-72 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; LIONS kicked a game-winning FG as time expired.
  • Must-Win Situation: Steelers need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Lions are 5-12 ATS vs. AFC opponents since 2001.
  • Steelers are 11-4 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Bill Cowher is 11-2 ATS in his final home game of the season.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -15 to Steelers -16 to Steelers -17 to Steelers -14 to Steelers -14 to Steelers -13.
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 35 to 35.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 41 degrees. Light wind, 6 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Duce Staley, Verron Haynes, Steelers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Joey Harrington, Kevin Jones, Lions Defense.

Prediction: Steelers by 34. (Steelers -13). Double Money Pick. Over.




Bengals (11-4) at Chiefs (9-6). Line: Chiefs by 7. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.
AFC Wildcard Chase, Game 3
AFC No. 3 Seed Chase, Game 1

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Chiefs by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Chiefs by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bengals.
Injuries: Bengals: OUT: C Larry Moore, S Madieu Williams, S Kim Herring. QUESTIONABLE: DE Carl Powell, DT Bryan Robinson. Chiefs: OUT: RB Priest Holmes. QUESTIONABLE: OLB Shawn Barber, S Jerome Woods.

The outcome of this contest depends on what happens in the Broncos-Chargers game. If San Diego loses, the Chiefs can still qualify for the playoffs with a win. If San Diego wins, Kansas City is eliminated. This prediction will assume the Chargers beat Denver.

The Chiefs limited LaDainian Tomlinson to just 49 yards on 15 carries. However, they are also just two weeks removed from surrendering 220 yards on 29 rushes to Tiki Barber. Assuming the Chargers take care of business, Kansas City will revert to the poor tackling the entire nation witnessed against the Giants. Rudi Johnson will trample the Chiefs' front seven, permitting Carson Palmer to shred a secondary that yields 237 passing yards per contest. Chad Johnson will undoubtedly have a New Years celebration in mind.

If Larry Johnson can stay healthy in 2006, he will probably break Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record. Johnson runs like a horse and at times looks unstoppable. Cincinnati is seeded 21st against the run. Keep in mind San Diego is ranked fourth, and it couldn't stop him. However, if the Bengals manage to accumulate a two-touchdown lead early on, Johnson won't get as many opportunities to carry the ball. Trent Green will have to throw on obvious-passing situations, which could be dangerous against a secondary that has registered 31 interceptions this season.

If San Diego wins on Saturday, the Chiefs will be lethargic because this game won't mean anything to them. Cincinnati is still fighting for the No. 3 seed in the AFC.

Note: If the Broncos somehow pull the upset, I will change this pick on Saturday night.

Saturday Night Update: As I have said, the Broncos pulled the upset, meaning this contest is a desperation game for the Chiefs. I am picking Kansas City in the wake of San Diego's loss.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Must-Win Situation: Chiefs need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Chiefs are 10-3 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Chiefs are 8-2 SU in its final home game since 1994.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -7 (open) to Chiefs -7.
  • Total Movement: 46 (open) to 46 to 46.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 56 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Bengals Offense, Larry Johnson, Tony Gonzalez.
  • Sit Em: Chiefs Defense.

Prediction: Chiefs by 10. (Chiefs -7). Over.




Dolphins (8-7) at Patriots (10-5). Line: Patriots by 5. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
AFC No. 3 Seed Chase, Game 2

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Patriots by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Patriots by 10.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: Dolphins: OUT: WR David Boston, OLB Junior Seau, CB Will Poole, S Tebucky Jones. QUESTIONABLE: RB Ronnie Brown*. Patriots: OUT: OT Matt Light, C Dan Koppen, CB Randall Gay, CB Tyrone Poole, S Rodney Harrison. QUESTIONABLE: ILB Tedy Bruschi.

The Patriots have already clinched the AFC East, but they can climb into the No. 3 seed with a win and a Bengals loss. Because Cincinnati also plays at 1 p.m., New England has to assume that it has to win this game.

Ever since Nick Saban told the media that he didn't care about winning, the Dolphins have been undefeated. Of course, those victories came against the likes of Buffalo, Oakland, Tennessee and the Jets. Miami also beat the Chargers, but San Diego was clearly unfocused because it was looking ahead to playing the Colts. Ricky Williams looks like the runner of old, as he compiled 172 yards on 26 carries against the Titans on Saturday. Keep in mind that Tennessee is ranked 30th against the run, while the Patriots are seeded 14th in that category. New England will put the clamps on Williams, forcing Gus Frerotte to throw on long-yardage situations. The Patriots secondary is playing better than it has all year, so don't expect much from the beleaguered Frerotte.

Meanwhile, Miami's secondary is comprised of old veterans and untalented young players. The Dolphins cannot cover anyone, which is why they surrendered 327 yards to Brooks Bollinger two weeks ago. Tom Brady will easily shred Miami, which will set up a few long runs for Corey Dillon and Kevin Faulk. Brady will easily control the clock in this matchup.

It's going to be freezing at Gilette Stadium. The Dolphins have lost by an average of nine points the previous four times they have visited Foxboro.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • History: Home Team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Post Monday Night Momentum: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 10-5 ATS the following week this year.
  • Patriots are 29-15 ATS at home under Bill Belichick.
  • Patriots are 12-2 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Patriots are 17-5 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Tom Brady is 67-19 as a starter (55-30 ATS).
  • Line Movement: Patriots -5 (open) to Patriots -5.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Snow, 34 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tom Brady, Deion Branch, David Givens, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Dolphins Offense.

Prediction: Patriots by 10. (Patriots -5). Money Pick. Under.




Giants (10-5) at Raiders (4-11). Line: Giants by 8. Over-Under: 40.
Saturday, 8:00 ET
NFC East Chase, Game 1

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Giants by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Giants by 8.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: Giants: OUT: TE Jeremy Shockey*, DT William Joseph, MLB Antonio Pierce, MLB Chase Blackburn, OLB Barrett Green, CB William Peterson. QUESTIONABLE: MLB Antonio Pierce, OLB Carlos Emmons. Raiders: OUT: WR Ronald Curry, G Langston Walker, DT Warren Sapp, CB Charles Woodson, S Derrick Gibson, S Reggie Tongue. DOUBTFUL: RB LaMont Jordan*. QUESTIONABLE: C Jake Grove, DT Ed Jasper.

Moving on to the NFC playoff picture, the Giants have already clinched a spot in the postseason, but they can also win the NFC East with a victory against Oakland.

I thought the Raiders would show up to the Broncos game because the two teams hate each other. Instead, Oakland continued its late-season meltdown, losing to Denver, 22-3. As usual, the Raiders could stop neither the run nor the pass, a trend that will continue on New Years Eve. Tiki Barber will come close to eclipsing the 200-yard plateau, setting up play-action opportunities for Eli Manning. Oakland has one of the worst secondaries in the NFL, so don't expect them to be able to cover Jeremy Shockey, Amani Toomer or Plaxico Burress.

Kerry Collins was just 17-of-41 for 178 yards and one interception against Denver. His New Years numbers could be even worse because Osi Umenyiora and Michael Strahan, who have combined for 24 sacks this season, will be breathing down Collins' neck. Keep in mind that Oakland's offensive line has yielded 42 sacks this year. LaMont Jordan is questionable, making matters worse for Oakland.

The Raiders have clearly given up on Norv Turner. That would explain why they have lost five consecutive games by an average of 14.6 points. There's no way they show up to this contest.


The Trends. Edge: Giants.
  • Giants are 4-11 ATS as favorites of 6 or more the previous 15 instances.
  • Raiders are 3-15 ATS in its final home game since 1985.
  • Raiders are 6-9 ATS after losing to the Broncos since 1995 (Mike Shanahan).
  • Line Movement: Giants -8 (open) to Giants -7 to Giants -9.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43 to 43 to 40.
  • Weather: Heavy rain, 61 degrees. Heavy wind, 25 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tiki Barber, Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Shockey, Giants Defense.
  • Sit Em: Raiders Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Giants by 24. (Giants -9). Bonus New Years Eve Double Money Pick. Under.




Panthers (10-5) at Falcons (8-7). Line: Panthers by 3. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
NFC South Chase, Game 1
NFC Wildcard Chase, Game 1

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Falcons by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Panthers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Panthers: OUT: RB Stephen Davis, DT Kris Jenkins. QUESTIONABLE: RB DeShaun Foster, G Tutan Reyes, DE Mike Rucker, MLB Dan Morgan. Falcons: OUT: MLB Edgerton Hartwell, CB DeAngelo Hall, CB Chris Cash, CB Kevin Mathis, CB Allen Rossum. QUESTIONABLE: RB Warrick Dunn*, DE Brady Smith, DT Antwan Lake, S Keion Carpenter.

The Panthers can claim the NFC South with a win and a Buccaneers loss. They will clinch the playoffs with a victory. However, a loss could send them packing.

Before these two teams clashed on Dec. 4, Atlanta dominated Carolina. At least that's the way it seemed because the Panthers had never beaten Michael Vick. But, I pointed out that an asterisk had to be placed next to every meeting. Carolina proved that it could dominate the Falcons by beating them, 24-6. DeShaun Foster was instrumental in that victory, pummeling Atlanta's 31st-ranked run defense for 131 yards on 24 carries. Foster will enjoy similar success, setting up play-action for Jake Delhomme.

Vick was just 17-of-35 for 171 yards and two interceptions against the Panthers. He was also sacked five times by Carolina's hectic pass rush, featuring Julius Peppers and Mike Rucker, who have combined for 18 sacks this season. Making matters worse for Vick is that he may not have a running game to turn to because Warrick Dunn is questionable. It's safe to say that the sluggish T.J. Duckett will struggle to find running lanes against the league's fifth-ranked defense versus opposing ground attacks. Vick will be forced to carry the Falcons. His inaccuracy and inability to rush to his left -- Rucker will be waiting for him -- means Atlanta will lose big.

Vick was seen chatting it up with Chris Simms right after his team was eliminated from the playoffs last week. With that kind of attitude, do you think he will carry his team to a win in a meaningless game? I don't think so. Carolina has too much at stake.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • History: Falcons have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Must-Win Situation: Panthers need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -3 (open) to Panthers -4 to Panthers -3.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: DeShaun Foster, Steve Smith, Panthers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Falcons Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Panthers by 13. (Panthers -3). Money Pick. Under.




Saints (3-12) at Buccaneers (10-5). Line: Buccaneers by 13. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
NFC South Chase, Game 2
NFC Wildcard Chase, Game 2

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Buccaneers by 11.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Buccaneers by 14.

The Game. Edge: Saints.
Injuries: Saints: OUT: RB Deuce McAllister, TE Ernie Conwell, OLB James Allen, S Jay Bellamy, KR Michael Lewis. QUESTIONABLE: QB Aaron Brooks*, G LeCharles Bentley, DE Darren Howard, OLB Sedrick Hodge. Buccaneers: OUT: QB Brian Griese, WR Michael Clayton. QUESTIONABLE: , OT Kenyatta Walker.

Tampa Bay is in control of its own destiny. If it wins, the team will claim the NFC South. But, if the Buccaneers lose, they will be out of the playoffs if the Panthers, Redskins and Cowboys all win.

Something strange happens whenever the Saints travel to Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are always favored by a wide margin, but they always find some way to lose. In fact, New Orleans is undefeated at Tampa Bay since joining the NFC South. When these two teams clashed on Dec. 4, the Saints were able to move the chains via the passing game. Todd Bouman threw for 233 yards last week, so he's definitely capable of moving the chains downfield. Zach Hilton and Joe Horn will make a few big catches. If Michael Vick can have success against Tampa Bay's secondary, why can't Bouman?

When Tampa Bay beat New Orleans 10-3, Chris Simms was just 12-of-21 for 123 yards and a touchdown, while Cadillac Williams was restricted to less than 100 rushing yards. I don't know why, but the Saints always seem to have the Buccaneers' number. New Orleans should be able to hold Tampa Bay to about 17-20 points on Sunday.

There always seems to be one upset in Week 17, and this could be it. The Saints play better on the road than they do at home, and the Buccaneers are coming off an emotional, overtime victory against Atlanta.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • History: Road Team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 54-32 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 46-72 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; BUCCANEERS won in overtime.
  • Saints are 28-19 ATS on the road since 2000.
  • Saints are 18-12 ATS as a road underdog since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -13 (open) to Buccaneers -14 to Buccaneers -13.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 75 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Joe Horn, Zach Hilton, Cadillac Williams, Joey Galloway.
  • Sit Em: Aaron Brooks, Chris Simms.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 3. (Saints +13). Money Pick. Under.




Redskins (9-6) at Eagles (6-9). Line: Redskins by 7. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 4:15 ET
NFC East Chase, Game 2
NFC Wildcard Chase, Game 3

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Redskins by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Redskins by 6.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Injuries: Redskins: OUT: WR David Patten, DT Brandon Noble. QUESTIONABLE: CB Carlos Rogers, S Matt Bowen. EXPECTED TO PLAY: B Mark Brunell* Eagles: OUT: QB Donovan McNabb, RB Brian Westbrook, RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Terrell Owens, WR Todd Pinkston, OT Tra Thomas, C Hank Fraley, DE Jerome McDougle, DT Paul Grasmanis, CB Lito Sheppard, P Dirk Johnson. DOUBTFUL: DE Jevon Kearse.

Washington can win the NFC East if it beats Philadelphia and the Giants lose to Oakland. But, more importantly, the Redskins will clinch playoff berth with a win or a Dallas loss.

Mark Brunell is questionable, but Vegas was able to post a line on this contest because Patrick Ramsey looked impressive in his limited action against the Giants last week. Ramsey was 5-of-7 for 104 yards and a touchdown. Whether the starting quarterback is Brunell or Ramsey, Joe Gibbs will obviously attempt to establish the ground attack with Clinton Portis, who has gained 100 yards or more in every December contest. Portis will once again eclipse the century mark, thanks to a porous Eagles rush defense. Philadelphia is just two weeks removed from surrendering 169 yards on 32 combined carries to Marshall Faulk and Steven Jackson. The Eagles also lack a pass rush, meaning either Brunell or Ramsey will have all afternoon to find Santana Moss and Chris Cooley downfield.

Mike McMahon struggled to pick up Arizona's blitzing scheme, so how do you think he'll fare against Gregg Williams and his method of attacking opposing signal callers? The Eagles will be lucky if they somehow manage to score double digits on New Years Day.

The only thing preventing me from placing a Money Pick tag on the Redskins is the fact that the Eagles played the Giants tough at home on Dec. 11. Philadelphia nearly defeated New York, losing 26-23 in overtime.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Eagles have won 7 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 54-32 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Must-Win Situation: Redskins need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Line Movement: Redskins -7 (open) to Redskins -7.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Cloudy, 44 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Clinton Portis, Santana Moss, Chris Cooley, Redskins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Eagles Offense.

Prediction: Redskins by 10. (Redskins -7). Under.




Rams (5-10) at Cowboys (9-6). Line: Cowboys by 12. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 8:30 ET
NFC Wildcard Chase, Game 4

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Cowboys by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Cowboys by 13.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Rams: OUT: QB Marc Bulger, CB Jerametrius Butler, Travis Fisher. QUESTIONABLE: RB Steven Jackson*, OT Rex Tucker, DT Brian Howard. Cowboys: OUT: OT Flozell Adams, ILB Dat Nguyen. QUESTIONABLE: CB Anthony Henry.

Dallas plays on Sunday night, which is why its game is last in the NFC Wildcard Chase. The Cowboys needs Carolina or Washington to lose. And, they need to beat the Rams.

That's probably not going to happen. How can the Panthers and Redskins lose to inferior opponents in must-win situations? The Cowboys will probably be eliminated by the start of NFL Primetime. If that's the case, look for a lethargic effort from Dallas' defense. The unit is already just 24th against opposing ground attacks, which means either Steven Jackson or Marshall Faulk will have a big game. Dallas' inability to stop the run will set up play-action opportunities for Jamie Martin, who threw for 354 yards last week. Martin may have faced San Francisco's defense, but the Cowboys' stop unit will be just as bad if they find out that they have already been eliminated from the postseason.

The Rams lost to the 49ers last week because they couldn't stop the run. Maurice Hicks and Frank Gore tallied 177 combined yards on just 20 carries. Julius Jones, who garnered 194 yards himself on Saturday, should be able to trample a pathetic St. Louis front seven. Drew Bledsoe will have all the time in the world to find Terry Glenn, Keyshawn Johnson and Jason Witten. However, given that the Cowboys might already be eliminated from the playoffs, you have to wonder how focused and efficient their offense will be.

Once again, I'm assuming that Dallas has no chance of qualifying for the postseason. This pick will change at 7:30 p.m. on Sunday if a few upsets occur.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Must-Win Situation: Cowboys need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt. ??
  • Rams are 9-23 ATS in road games since 2001.
  • Rams are 2-5 ATS on the road this year.
  • Cowboys are 13-7 ATS as a favorite under Bill Parcells.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 43.
  • Weather: Roof closed.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jamie Martin, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Kevin Curtis, Julius Jones.
  • Sit Em: Cowboys Defense.

Prediction: Rams by 10. (Rams +12). Upset Special. Under.




Cardinals (5-10) at Colts (13-2). Line: Colts by 6. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
Meaningless Game 1

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Colts by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Colts by 3.

The Game. Edge: Cardinals.
Injuries: Cardinals: OUT: QB Kurt Warner, FB James Hodgins, G Reggie Wells, DE Bert Berry, DE Calvin Pace, CB Antrel Rolle. QUESTIONABLE: G Leonard Davis. Colts: OUT: OT Ryan Diem, CB Donald Strickland. QUESTIONABLE: WR Marvin Harrison*, WR Brandon Stokley*, DE Robert Mathis, DT Corey Simon, DT Montae Reagor, OLB Cato June, S Bob Sanders. EXPECTED TO PLAY: QB Jim Sorgi*.

And now, on to the less exciting games that have no playoff implications whatsoever. Happy New Years to everyone, by the way.

I talked about Josh McCown several times this year. I have opined that if Dennis Green started McCown all year, the Cardinals could be looking at an 8-8 mark right now. McCown was 27-of-38 for 294 yards, two touchdowns and one interception against the Eagles on Saturday. McCown should have another outstanding performance, given that most of Indianapolis' starters will be on the bench. That's right -- no Dwight Freeney or Robert Mathis to harass McCown. No Bob Sanders or Mike Doss to obliterate Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald.

No Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Edgerrin James, Reggie Wayne, Brandon Stokley and Dallas Clark either. Manning might see some action in the first quarter, but he will not play more than two drives. Jim Sorgi looked impressive against Seattle on Saturday, but keep in mind that the Seahawks were clearly not focused on stopping Sorgi and the Colts backups. Based on the way Arizona played last week, you can be assured that it will be hungry for a win. Adrian Wilson and Chike Okeafor will be collecting sacks by the dozen.

The Colts showed little effort against Seattle last week. There will be even less on New Years Day.


The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 ATS on the road this year.
  • Colts are 10-5 ATS vs. the NFC under Tony Dungy.
  • Line Movement: Cardinals -7 (open) to Cardinals -6.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Josh McCown, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin.
  • Sit Em: Colts Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Cardinals by 17. (Cardinals +7). Money Pick. Under.




Ravens (6-9) at Browns (5-10). Line: Ravens by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
Meaningless Game 2

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Browns by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Browns by 1.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: Ravens: OUT: MLB Ray Lewis, S Will Demps. QUESTIONABLE: PR B.J. Sams. Browns: OUT: WR Braylon Edwards, TE Kellen Winslow Jr., CB Gary Baxter. QUESTIONABLE: QB Trent Dilfer.

This game might not mean a lot as far as the playoffs are concerned, but don't tell that to Browns fans -- they hate the Ravens with a passion.

Kyle Boller was granted two games to impress Brian Billick, and so far the young signal caller is 2-for-2. Boller has been extremely impressive the past two weeks, as he is 43-of-61 for 542 yards, six touchdowns and just one interception. Why shouldn't his success continue against the Browns? Cleveland is ranked 26th against the run, meaning it will have to put eight men into the box to stop Jamal Lewis and Chester Taylor. This will allow Boller to utilize play-action and find Todd Heap and Derrick Mason downfield. He should have all the time in the world, thanks to a non-existent Cleveland pass rush that has only generated 21 sacks in 2005. Romeo Crennel will have to fix that this offseason.

A position Crennel will not have to fix is the starting running back. Reuben Droughns has rushed for 1,192 yards this season. The Ravens stop unit has been shaky against powerful, opposing runners -- it yielded 155 yards on 29 carries to Domanick Davis on Dec. 4 -- which means Droughns will have the opportunity to eclipse 1,300 yards for the season. Doing so will open up play-action for Charlie Frye, who played well prior to the 41-0 debacle against Pittsburgh. Baltimore's overrated linebackers and defensive backs will have trouble stopping Cleveland from scoring.

Baltimore has a slight edge in talent, but the Browns might look to rebound from their extremely embarrassing 41-0 loss to the Steelers on Saturday. It's a tough call, but I'm going to side with the team that has dominated this series the past three years.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • History: Ravens have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-41 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Ravens are 32-8 SU; 27-13 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2000 (20-33 SU vs. non-losing).
  • Ravens are 2-5 ATS on the road this year.
  • Browns are 2-11 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -2 (open) to Ravens -3.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Flurries, 38 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ravens Offense, Reuben Droughns.
  • Sit Em: Browns Defense.

Prediction: Ravens by 7. (Ravens -3). Over.




Bills (5-10) at Jets (3-12). Line: Bills by 1. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
Meaningless Game 3

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Jets by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Pick.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Bills: OUT: DT Ron Edwards, OLB Takeo Spikes. QUESTIONABLE: OT Mike Williams. Jets: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, QB Jay Fiedler, RB Curtis Martin, WR Wayne Chrebet, OT Jason Fabini, C Kevin Mawae, OLB Eric Barton.

You have to feel sorry for Jets fans. Their team began and concluded the Monday Night Football era by losing 31-21.

The Jets have a shot at minor redemption by beating the Bills, who won the first matchup, 27-17, on Oct. 16. Despite the loss to New England, New York's defense is actually playing pretty well this year. The Jets are still ranked 11th against the run. They also surrender just 172.2 passing yards per game and they have registered 17 interceptions this season. New York should be able to put the clamps on Willis McGahee, who is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry. If Kelly Holcomb is scheduled to start, the Bills should still be able to score a fair amount of points; Holcomb torched Cincinnati's opportunistic, yet shaky secondary for 308 yards on Saturday.

New England shut down the Jets, making New York's offense look much worse than it actually is. Just one week prior to the final Monday Night Football game on ABC, the Jets scored 20 points, thanks to 327 yards and two scores from Brooks Bollinger, and 84 yards on just 15 carries from Cedric Houston. Buffalo is ranked just 29th against the run, so Houston may come close to gaining 100 yards on Sunday. That will set up play-action opportunities for Bollinger, who played well prior to going 11-of-19 for 100 yards against New England.

At this point, the Jets are very underrated and the Bills are very overrated. In a toss up, I'll go with the home underdog in a series where the host usually wins.


The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • History: Home Team has won the last 6 meetings.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-41 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Bills -1 (open) to Bills -1.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Possible snow showers, 40 degrees. Light wind, 5 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kelly Holcomb, Eric Moulds, Lee Evans, Cedric Houston, Laveranues Coles.
  • Sit Em: Willis McGahee, Bills Defense.

Prediction: Jets by 9. (Jets +1). Under.




Seahawks (13-2) at Packers (3-12). Line: Packers by 4. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 4:15 ET
Meaningless Game 4

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Seahawks by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Packers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: OLB Jamie Sharper, CB Marcus Trufant, S Ken Hamlin. QUESTIONABLE: DT Chuck Darby, CB Kelly Herndon. EXPECTED TO PLAY: QB Seneca Wallace*, RB Maurice Morris. Packers: OUT: RB Ahman Green, RB Najeh Davenport, WR Javon Walker, S Earl Little, KR Terrence Murphy. QUESTIONABLE: RB Robert Ferguson.

Like the Colts, the Seahawks will be resting many of their starters. Mike Holmgren has already announced that many of his players will be on the bench come Sunday.

Who knows how long Matt Hasselbeck will play. My guess is that Hasselbeck and Shaun Alexander stay in the game until the latter scores his record-breaking 28th touchdown. After that, it'll be the Maurice Morris and Seneca Wallace show. Green Bay's awful defense will probably surrender a touchdown immediately. However, they shouldn't have a problem putting the clamps on Seattle's reserves.

The story of this matchup is that it might be Brett Favre's final game ever. The Packers may be terrible, but even they will be able to score on a bunch of backups. Again, no one but Holmgren knows how long the starters will play. But, once the reserves step on to the field, Green Bay will be able to establish the run with Noah Herron and Tony Fisher, setting up play-action opportunities for a fired-up Favre. I expect the Packers to play to their full potential -- they want to make sure that if Favre really does retire, he goes out with a win.

Holmgren and Favre are really good friends. No one knows if Favre will retire. But, if Holmgren even suspects it, don't you think that he'll tank this game on purpose to let his former quarterback win? It's not like this game matters for the Seahawks.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-41 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Seahawks are 8-1 ATS in their road finale since 1996.
  • Packers are 8-5 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Brett Favre is 9-1 ATS in home finales.
  • Line Movement: Packers -3 (open) to Packers -3 to Packers -4.
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 39.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 34 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brett Favre, Donald Driver.
  • Sit Em: Seahawks Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 7. (Packers -4). Bonus New Years Day Double Money Pick. Over.




Texans (2-13) at 49ers (3-12). Line: Texans by 1. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 4:05 ET
Meaningless Game 5

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): 49ers by 2.

The Game. Edge: Texans.
Injuries: Texans: OUT: RB Domanick Davis*, OT Todd Wade, ILB Kailee Wong, CB Phillip Buchanon. QUESTIONABLE: DE Gary Walker, DE Travis Johnson. 49ers: OUT: TE Eric Johnson, C Jeremy Newberry, DT Bryant Young, CB Mike Rumph, S Tony Parrish. QUESTIONABLE: RB Kevan Barlow, FB Fred Beasley.

The Texans are out of playoff contention, but this game really means something to them. Lose, and they get Reggie Bush. Win, and Bush will not be going back to Texas.

Here's a question: If your defense has surrendered 340 or more passing yards in three of the past five weeks, is your secondary terrible, or just really awful? The 49ers have done just that, so you know where I'm going with this. David Carr should be able to rip apart San Francisco's defensive backfield. Carr has been pounded this entire this season because of the awful offensive line that he has blocking for him. In fact, Carr is just five sacks away from breaking his own NFL record of 72. The good news for Carr is that San Francisco has only registered 28 sacks this season. Eight of those were by Bryant Young, who is out. Houston's passing attack should open up running lanes for Domanick Davis or Jonathan Wells.

The 49ers were able to beat the Rams last week because of a few giant runs by Frank Gore and Maurice Hicks, who combined for 177 yards on 20 carries. I think it's safe to say that Hicks will not have another 73-yard gallop. The Texans are slightly better against the run than St. Louis is. With the ground attack not working as well as it did on Saturday, Alex Smith will have to throw more than 16 times. Houston's secondary is rancid, but then again, so is Smith's arm.

Houston could use Bush, but the team has shown tremendous resolve since getting blasted by Kansas City on Sunday Night Football. I think the Texans win and ruin their chance of acquiring the No. 1 overall pick.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Boomerang Game: Teams returning home from a three game road trip are 5-13 ATS since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Texans -1 (open) to Texans -1.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Showers, 60 degrees. Heavy wind, 27 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: David Carr, Andre Johnson.
  • Sit Em: 49ers Defense.

Prediction: Texans by 6. (Texans -1). Under.




Titans (4-11) at Jaguars (11-4). Line: Jaguars by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 4:05 ET
Meaningless Game 6

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Jaguars by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Jaguars by 4.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: Titans: OUT: WR Brandon Jones, S Vincent Fuller. QUESTIONABLE: QB Steve McNair, WR Tyrone Calico. Jaguars: OUT: C Brad Meester, S Donovin Darius. DOUBTFUL: RB Greg Jones. QUESTIONABLE: QB Byron Leftwich*.

Yet another game where a team may rest its starters. Unlike Seattle, Indianapolis, Denver and Chicago, Jacksonville actually has a game to play next week. It would make sense for Jack Del Rio to sit most of his players. But, Del Rio has never been in this position before as a head coach, so it's tough to predict what he will do.

I'm going to assume that Del Rio will do what most other coaches would do in his position. With monstrous defensive tackles Marcus Stroud and John Henderson potentially out of the lineup, Chris Brown should be able to eclipse the 100-yard plateau. Brown only rushed for 61 yards on 20 carries when the two teams clashed on Nov. 20. However, Jacksonville has nothing to play for on New Years Day. With Brown gashing wide-open running lanes, either Steve McNair or Billy Volek -- the former is questionable -- will torch a skeleton-crew secondary. If Volek starts, expect Drew Bennett to have a huge performance; Volek and Bennett always hook up for long touchdown bombs.

One reason to believe that Del Rio will keep his offensive starters in for at least a half is because Byron Leftwich might see some playing time. If that's the case, Fred Taylor will trample the Titans' 30th-ranked ground defense, setting up play-action for Leftwich. Jacksonville should be able to score a fair amount of points whether Garrard or Leftwich is in the lineup -- unless Taylor, Jimmy Smith and other starters take a seat.

If you're a fan of NFL Primetime, you'll hear Chris Berman say, "The Titans know all and tell all at All-Tell stadium" on Sunday evening. That's because Tennessee is 5-2 at Jacksonville.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • History: Road Team has won the last 3 meetings.
  • Line Movement: Jaguars -4 (open) to Jaguars -3.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 71 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chris Brown, Drew Bennett.
  • Sit Em: Jaguars Starters.

Prediction: Titans by 3. (Titans +3). Under.




Bears (11-4) at Vikings (8-7). Line: Vikings by 4. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 4:15 ET
Meaningless Game 7

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 16 Games): Bears by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 16 Games): Vikings by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
Injuries: Bears: OUT: RB Cedric Benson, WR Mark Bradley. QUESTIONABLE: G Terrence Metcalf, C Olin Kreutz, OLB Hunter Hillenmeyer, S Mike Brown, S Mike Green. Vikings: OUT: QB Daunte Culpepper, RB Moe Williams, RB Onterrio Smith, C Matt Birk, DE Kenechi Udeze, CB Fred Smoot. QUESTIONABLE: C Melvin Fowler.

Once again, starters might be resting. Once again, a new coach has to choose a philosophy. Please make it stop. Actually, I believe Lovie Smith will play most of his healthy stars because Rex Grossman is only starting his third game this year. He is still inexperienced and needs the snaps.

Everyone who watched the Vikings lose to the Ravens realized how porous Minnesota's secondary is. Kyle Boller was nearly perfect, finishing 24-of-34 for 289 yards and three touchdowns on Christmas night. Grossman, who has looked tremendous in his limited action, should be able to torch a beleaguered and demoralized Minnesota defense. The Vikings, who surrendered just 89 rushing yards on 23 carries to Thomas Jones when the two teams met on Oct. 16, will not be able to stack the line of scrimmage this time around.

If Chicago's defense is at full force, there's no chance Minnesota scores more than a touchdown. If Chicago's defense rests, the Vikings should be able to keep pace with the Bears' offense. Like I said earlier, Smith has never been in this position before, so it's tough to tell what he'll do.

With all that said, something tells me the Vikings will find some way to lose, even if every single Bears starter is on the bench. Minnesota just has a knack for finishing 8-8; it has done so the past two years.


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • History: Home Team has won the last 7 meetings.
  • Vikings are 5-2 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -3 (open) to Vikings -4 to Vikings -4.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Rex Grossman, Muhsin Muhammad.
  • Sit Em: Vikings Defense.

Prediction: Bears by 4. (Bears +4). Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 4-9
Eagles: 7-8
Giants: 8-6
Redskins: 7-7

Bears: 8-5
Lions: 9-5
Packers: 8-6
Vikings: 10-5

Buccaneers: 9-5
Falcons: 8-6
Panthers: 10-3
Saints: 9-5

49ers: 4-11
Cardinals: 5-9
Rams: 7-8
Seahawks: 9-6

Bills: 7-7
Dolphins: 5-10
Jets: 9-6
Patriots: 8-7

Bengals: 11-4
Browns: 10-5
Ravens: 8-7
Steelers: 7-8

Colts: 10-5
Jaguars: 5-10
Texans: 8-7
Titans: 10-5

Broncos: 5-9
Chargers: 7-7
Chiefs: 6-7
Raiders: 11-3

Divisional Games: 43-38
Trend Edge: 29-42
Game Edge: 35-32
Game & Trend Edge: 4-7


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 2, 2014): 7-9 (-$1,150)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 3-3 (-$170)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 0-2 (-$880)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 2, 2014): 8-7-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 2, 2014): -$110

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-1, 0% (-$330)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 23-24-1, 48.9% (-$1,060)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 12-10, 54.5% (+$280)
2014 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 0-2, %0 (-$880)
2014 Season Over-Under: 18-13-1, 58.1% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$270

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,037-1,868-112, 52.2% (+$11,365)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 656-593-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-236-10 (53.4%)
Career Over-Under: 1559-1550-47 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 1-1
Bears: 0-2
Bucs: 1-1
49ers: 1-1
Eagles: 0-2
Lions: 1-1
Falcons: 0-2
Cardinals: 1-1
Giants: 2-0
Packers: 1-1
Panthers: 0-2
Rams: 1-1
Redskins: 1-1
Vikings: 1-1
Saints: 1-1
Seahawks: 1-1
Bills: 1-1
Bengals: 0-2
Colts: 0-2
Broncos: 1-1
Dolphins: 2-0
Browns: 2-0
Jaguars: 0-2
Chargers: 0-2
Jets: 1-1
Ravens: 0-2
Texans: 2-0
Chiefs: 2-0
Patriots: 2-0
Steelers: 1-1
Titans: 1-1
Raiders: 2-0
Divisional: 4-4 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 0-2 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 3-2 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 6-2 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 2-3 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 2-1 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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