NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2013



NFL Picks (Preseason 2013): 0-0 ($0)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2013): 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.


Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0)
Line: Dolphins by 3.

Sunday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Jason Garrett is 2-0 in preseason Week 1 games, while Joe Philbin is 0-1 (0-4 overall). This is a microscopic sample size, but it's enough to convince me to wager a unit on the Cowboys. I think the Dolphins are favored by three because they have a lot to prove with their new personnel, but Dallas also has to start well because Garrett's under pressure to not disappoint again this season.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Joe Philbin is 0-4 in preseason games.
  • Joe Philbin is 0-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.
  • Jason Garrett is 5-3 in preseason games.
  • Jason Garrett is 2-0 in Preseason Week 1 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Cowboys 16, Dolphins 13
    Cowboys +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100








    Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0)
    Line: Buccaneers by 3.

    Thursday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Everyone is down on the Ravens because they lost so many well-known veterans this offseason. John Harbaugh may want to prove that his team is still a legitimate contender (they are). Harbaugh is 4-1 in Preseason Week 1 games. Greg Schiano is 1-0, so I'm keeping this to just one unit.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • John Harbaugh is 13-7 in preseason games.
  • John Harbaugh is 4-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.
  • Greg Schiano is 2-2 in preseason games.
  • Greg Schiano is 1-0 in Preseason Week 1 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 17, Buccaneers 16
    Ravens +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100







    Houston Texans (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0)
    Line: Vikings by 1.

    Friday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    These are two veteran teams with nothing really to prove. Gary Kubiak has been a consistent winner in the early stages of the preseason, however, so Houston is worth wagering on in this contest. Kubiak is 6-2 overall in his previous eight exhibition games.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Gary Kubiak is 15-12 in preseason games (6-2 since 2011).
  • Gary Kubiak is 5-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.
  • Leslie Frazier is 3-5 in preseason games.
  • Leslie Frazier 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Texans 24, Vikings 16
    Texans +1 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200







    New York Giants (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
    Line: Steelers by 2.5.

    Saturday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    There's only one game on Saturday? Weird. Anyway. Mike Tomlin is like fine wine in the preseason; he gets better as time passes. He's 4-3 in Week 1, then 4-2, 5-1 and 6-0. Still, he's worth wagering here, as he's 19-6 overall in exhibition contests, while Tom Coughlin is an even 18-18.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Mike Tomlin is 19-6 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-3 in Preseason Week 1 games.
  • Tom Coughlin is 18-18 in preseason games.
  • Tom Coughlin is 4-5 in Preseason Week 1 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Giants 16
    Steelers -2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110








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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 11, 2017): 3-10-1 (-$1,595)
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    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
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    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
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    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
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    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
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    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,516-2,339-148, 51.8% (+$4,015)
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    Career Over-Under: 2,026-1,981-55 (50.4%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 38-23 (62.3%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 6-4 (2014-16: 23-27)
    Bears: 5-5 (2014-16: 17-27)
    Bucs: 3-6 (2014-16: 26-22)
    49ers: 5-5 (2014-16: 32-15)
    Eagles: 8-2 (2014-16: 23-25)
    Lions: 4-6 (2014-16: 26-22)
    Falcons: 4-6 (2014-16: 29-22)
    Cardinals: 5-4 (2014-16: 24-27)
    Giants: 7-3 (2014-16: 22-24)
    Packers: 3-7 (2014-16: 31-21)
    Panthers: 5-5 (2014-16: 26-26)
    Rams: 7-3 (2014-16: 24-22)
    Redskins: 5-5 (2014-16: 26-23)
    Vikings: 4-6 (2014-16: 28-21)
    Saints: 4-6 (2014-16: 25-21)
    Seahawks: 3-6 (2014-16: 27-26)
    Bills: 3-7 (2014-16: 24-21)
    Bengals: 3-6 (2014-16: 16-31)
    Colts: 5-5 (2014-16: 21-26)
    Broncos: 4-5 (2014-16: 24-23)
    Dolphins: 0-8 (2014-16: 28-19)
    Browns: 2-8 (2014-16: 21-22)
    Jaguars: 6-4 (2014-16: 18-28)
    Chargers: 4-5 (2014-16: 25-23)
    Jets: 5-4 (2014-16: 24-21)
    Ravens: 4-6 (2014-16: 23-23)
    Texans: 6-4 (2014-16: 23-26)
    Chiefs: 3-7 (2014-16: 29-26)
    Patriots: 4-6 (2014-16: 31-23)
    Steelers: 5-5 (2014-16: 28-22)
    Titans: 2-8 (2014-16: 23-20)
    Raiders: 1-8 (2014-16: 23-26)
    Divisional: 16-21 (2011-16: 266-272)
    2x Game Edge: 9-13 (2011-16: 103-107)
    2x Psych Edge: 27-25 (2011-16: 194-165)
    2x Vegas Edge: 14-11 (2011-16: 241-255)
    2x Trend Edge: 18-20 (2011-15: 181-159)
    Double Edge: 13-10 (2011-15: 77-75)
    Triple Edge: 1-2 (2011-15: 6-3)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-15: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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