Buccaneers (4-4) at Panthers (6-2). Line: Buccaneers by 3. Over-Under: 34.
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Panthers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
*** Stephen Davis and Mike Rucker are questionable. John Lynch will play.

My projected line is way off what I thought it should be. I don't get how the Buccaneers are favored on the road after being beaten by this Carolina team in week 2. In that game, Tampa Bay could not run the ball at all (22 carries, 60 yards). However, they did manage to throw the ball against the Panthers, which can be done, because Carolina is 20th against the pass. The Panthers were lucky enough to block three Martin Gramatica field goals, which enabled them to win 12-9 in overtime, but I expect Tampa to make adjustments to prevent against that.

If Stephen Davis plays, Carolina will move the ball on Tampa Bay, because they can not stop a big running back that is getting blocks from a big offensive line. The Panthers were able to accumulate 171 rushing yards against the Buccaneers in their week 2 meeting. However, they only had 9 points in regulation to show for it. Jake Delhomme simply can not get the job done. Note: Stephen Davis is now questionable, and without him, Carolina has no chance.

I was about to make a big play on Tampa Bay in this game, because I thought the Panthers would be favored, but the Buccaneers realistically could win by 3 in this game, so there isn't much line value to make a strong pick. This is a desperation game for Tampa, so that's something to think about if you're planning to go the other way.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • History: Buccaneers have won 3 of last 4 (2-2 ATS).
  • Last Meeting: Panthers 12, Buccaneers 9 (at Tampa Bay -9, 34).
  • Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS (7-0 SU) following a loss to a divisional opponent since 2001.
  • Panthers are 2-4 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Panthers are 1-6 ATS (0-8 SU) in November since 2001.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 34 (11/4).
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 66 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Brad Johnson, Keyshawn Johnson, Keenan McCardell, Stephen Davis.
  • Sit Em Michael Pittman, Steve Smith, Muhshin Muhammad.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 11. Money Pick. Under.




Texans (3-5) at Bengals (3-5). Line: Bengals by 4. Over-Under: 39.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Bengals by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Bengals by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
*** David Carr is questionable. Corey Dillon is questionable.

David Carr has been upgraded to questionable, so I think he will play. This is could be major revenge for Houston here, because they were just humiliated on their home field by the winless Bengals last year. Marcel Shipp was able to run for 140 yards against this Bengals defense last week, so I think Domanick Davis could be poised to do the same thing. If Davis didn't leave the game against the Panthers, he could have registered his third consecutive 100 yard rushing day. Ever since the Texans discovered how good Davis is, they've been a different team. They nearly defeated the New York Jets and Indianapolis Colts, and actually took down a pretty powerful Carolina team last week. With the running game going well in this contest, Carr could connect with Andre Johnson and Billy Miller quite a few times.

Corey Dillon was ineffective against Arizona last Sunday, running the ball 7 times for 5 yards. That output could be attributed to his groin injury. Even though the Houston run defense is 22nd in the NFL, I don't think neither Rudi Johnson, nor a banged up Corey Dillon can run on them. Houston is 28th against the pass, primarily because they can not get pressure on the opposing quarterback, so I think Jon Kitna will make up for Cincinnati's lack of a running game.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Revenge Situation: Cincinnati humiliated the Texans at Houston last year, 38-3.
  • Texans are 4-1 ATS in November.
  • Bengals are 12-16 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Bengals -5 (open) to Bengals -4 (11/8).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 55 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Domanick Davis, Andre Johnson, Billy Miller, Jon Kitna, Chad Johnson.
  • Sit Em Houston Defense, Corey Dillon, Rudi Johnson, Cincinnati Defense.

Prediction: Bengals by 3. Over.




Bears (3-5) at Lions (2-6). Line: Lions by 2. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Lions by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Lions by 2.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
*** Keith Traylor and Olin Kreutz are questionable for Chicago. Dre Bly and Bill Schroeder questionable, and Charles Rogers is out for Detroit.

These teams played two weeks ago, so you have to wonder why the schedule maker placed these two games so close to each other. In that game, Chicago could not run the ball against the Lions, but they did not have Anthony Thomas available. The A-Train has been on fire as of late, including a 111 yard rushing day against San Diego. With Chris Chandler at quarterback, the Bears have been more effective than they were with Kordell Stewart. Detroit is 21st against the pass, so Chandler could have a pretty good game.

If the Lions want to win this game, they'll have to run the ball effectively. Its a pretty intriguing matchup, because the Lions only gain 3.7 yards per carry, while the Bears give up 4.6, despite holding LaDainian Tomlinson to 61 yards on 16 carries last Sunday. Against the pass, the Bears are 4th, while Joey Harrington has a passer rating of 55.2. Without a quality receiver, Harrington has really struggled.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Bears have won 5 of last 6.
  • History: Lions have won 8 of last 11 at Detroit.
  • Last Meeting: Chicago 24, Detroit 16 (at Chicago -3, 37).
  • Bears are 28-55 on the road since 1993.
  • Lions are 52-40 at home since 1992.
  • Line Movement: Lions -2 (open) to Lions -2 (11/2).
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 (11/3) to 37 (11/4).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Anthony Thomas, Dez White.
  • Sit Em Marty Booker, Detroit Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Bears by 7. Under.




Colts (7-1) at Jaguars (1-7). Line: Colts by 6. Over-Under: 44.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Colts by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Colts by 6.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
*** Tarik Glenn, Idrees Bashir, Adam Meadows and Dallas Clark are questionable and Montae Reagor is doubtful for Indy. Jason Craft is questionable for Jacksonville.

Many people are surprised by this fact, but the Jacksonville Jaguars are 2nd against the run this year, allowing only 3.2 yards per carry. They did a stellar job against Jamal Lewis last week, so defending Edgerrin James should be easy for them. The Jags are 16th against the pass, but they only have 11 sacks this season, while the Colts have only allowed 8. Peyton Manning should have an average game by his standards, but I think the lack of a runnning game may hurt Indianapolis' chances to win big.

Indianapolis is only 27th against the run, and like I say every week, if the Jaguars can run the ball, they'll be in good shape. In the last meeting between these two teams, the Jaguars were able to run for 152 yards, and that was without Jimmy Smith stretching the field. The reason why the Jags lost by 10 in that game is because they only had 114 passing yards. Like I said, Smith makes a huge difference in this game, but don't look for too many points from Jacksonville, because Indy is 10th against the pass. They've totaled 19 sacks this season, while the Jaguars have given up 22, but maybe a good running attack will take some pressure off of Byron Leftwich.


The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • History: Colts have won 5 in a row (1-2 ATS in the last 3 meetings).
  • Last Meeting: Indianapolis 23, Jacksonville 13 (at Indianapolis -7, 41).
  • Colts are 16-26 in November since 1993.
  • Jaguars are 14-14 ATS in home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Colts -5 (open) to Colts -6 (11/3) to Colts -6 (11/4).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Showers, 78 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Fred Taylor.
  • Sit Em Edgerrin James, Byron Leftwich, Jimmy Smith.

Prediction: Colts by 3. Money Pick. Under.




Browns (3-5) at Chiefs (8-0). Line: Chiefs by 10. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Chiefs by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Chiefs by 10.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
*** William Green is out, Shaun O'Hara and Jeff Faine are questionable and Barry Stokes is doubtful for Cleveland. Kelly Holcomb will start. Mike Maslowski is questionable for Kansas City.

Surprisingly, Kansas City is 30th against the run, allowing a dismal 4.8 yards per carry. Fortunately for them, William Green is out, but I still think that James Jackson could be effective in this matchup. Kelly Holcomb will start this game, and if he doesn't have the running game going, he could be in trouble. Kansas City's pass defense has 21 sacks and 18 interceptions. Without a running game, Holcomb could be pressured all day long.

Cleveland seems to defend the run well against poor running teams, but simply can not stop the tough running backs like Jamal Lewis or LaDainian Tomlinson. Priest Holmes fits into that catagory, so he could have a career day. The Browns are actually second against the pass, but it might not matter if they can't stop the Priest.

On paper, this game is a total mismatch, but Cleveland has an uncanny ability to play close as road underdogs. They've only lost by more than 7 once this year, and only twice in the last two years.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Browns are 12-6 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or more since 2000.
  • Browns are 13-8 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Browns are 5-1 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Chiefs are 7-1 ATS this year.
  • Chiefs are 68-23 at home since 1992.
  • Chiefs are 1-3 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Double Digit favorites are 3-5 ATS this year.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -9 (open) to Chiefs -10 (11/3).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Showers, 54 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Priest Holmes, Tony Gonzalez, Kansas City Defense.
  • Sit Em Cleveland Offense and Defense, Trent Green, Johnnie Morton, Eddie Kennison.

Prediction: Chiefs by 7. Money Pick. Over.




Falcons (1-7) at Giants (4-4). Line: Giants by 11. Over-Under: 41.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Giants by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Giants by 8.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
*** Travis Hall and Kevin Mathis are doubtful and Ed Jasper is questionable for Atlanta. Cornelius Griffin is questionable and William Peterson is out for New York.

Atlanta finally woke up from their stupor last week, and looked like they were hungry for a win. In my expierence, I know that a losing team that is hungry for a win is very dangerous, especially as a big dog. Also, if you look at the trends below, you'll notice that the Giants are poor home favorites. That is because they rarely cover the big number, since they play down to their opponent.

Atlanta showed that they can run the ball last Sunday, and they should be able to do so against the Giants, who are 15th against the run. Atlanta will need to run the ball in order to move the chains, because the Giants have registered 27 sacks this season, while the Falcons have given up 22. Its up to Atlanta's defense to determine whether or not they can run the ball 30 times or so, which I think is the key number to give Atlanta a chance to win the game.

The Falcons are 25th against the run, so Tiki Barber could have a big game. The Falcons are even worse against the pass; they are dead last in the NFL against it. However, there is a good chance that the Giants will have a good number of turnovers in this game, which is something they've had trouble with this year. New York only had 2 last week, which is great for them, but followers of the Giants know that they can have bunches on any given Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams were 14-32 ATS in 2002 and are 6-11 ATS in 2003. Giants won in overtime.
  • Sandwich Situation: After an emotional win against the Jets, the Giants have Philadelphia after this game with Atlanta.
  • Falcons are 12-7 ATS on the road since 2000.
  • Falcons are 1-7 ATS this year.
  • Giants are 8-20 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Giants are 8-14 ATS as favorites since 2001.
  • Giants are 1-5 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Double Digit favorites are 3-5 ATS this year.
  • Line Movement: Giants -9 (open) to Giants -10 (11/2) to Giants -11 (11/8).
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 41 (11/3).
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 53 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em T.J. Duckett, Giants Offense.
  • Sit Em Kurt Kittner, Peerless Price.

Prediction: Giants by 4. Money Pick. Under.




Cardinals (3-5) at Steelers (2-6). Line: Steelers by 7. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Steelers by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Steelers by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
*** Bill Gramatica is out and Gerald Hayes is questionable for Arizona. Jay Riemersma is questionable for Pittsburgh.

We'll find out how good these Arizona Cardinals really are after this game against a desperate Steelers team. Dave McGinnis finally realized that he has a stud running back in Marcel Shipp (I already knew this - see Season Previews). However, Shipp's consecutive streak of 140+ yard rushing games could come to a halt, because the Steelers are 3rd against the run. I think Arizona's game plan to beat Pittsburgh should be to throw on almost every down. There is no way Pittsburgh's secondary can cover Anquan Boldin, Bryan Gilmore and Bryant Johnson, and Jeff Blake has the arm to deliver the ball to them. It'll be interesting to see whether or not Dave McGinnis uses this game plan.

The Steelers are attempting to run the ball more, which won't work because their offensive line just doesn't block. Pittsburgh has the worst offensive line in football, while the Cardinals are 7th against the run. Arizona gives up only 3.6 yards per carry, while the Steelers only gain 3.3. An interesting matchup is Pittsburgh's offensive line vesus the Arizona front four. The Cardinals only have 7 sacks this season, but the Steelers have given up 24. Tommy Maddox has been under pressure all season, which is why his quarterback rating is only 73.3. If Arizona can consistently get to Maddox, the Steelers will have no chance to win this game.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Cardinals are 23-68 on the road since 1992.
  • Steelers are 64-27 at home since 1992.
  • Steelers are 1-5 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -7 (open) to Steelers -7 (11/3).
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 40 (11/4).
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 50 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Jeff Blake, Anquan Boldin, Plaxico Burress, Hines Ward.
  • Sit Em Marcel Shipp, Jerome Bettis, Amos Zereoue.

Prediction: Cardinals by 4. UPSET SPECIAL. Over.




Dolphins (5-3) at Titans (6-2). Line: Titans by 5. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Titans by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Titans by 4.

The Game. Edge: Titans.
*** Zach Thomas, Larry Chester, Patrick Surtain and Jay Fiedler are questionable for Miami. Samari Rolle is questionable and Drew Bennett is out for Tennessee.

Its no secret that the Miami Dolphins' offense revolves around Ricky Williams. If Ricky can't run, Miami can't score (see last week). Tennessee has an outstanding run defense, so I don't see Ricky Williams getting close to 100 yards rushing. The Titans are 31st against the pass, but Brian Griese won't be able to beat them by himself, although he is better than Jay Fiedler. Tennessee has gotten to the quarterback 21 times this season, so Griese may turn it over once or twice.

Miami is first against the run, but like I've been saying, it doesn't matter because the Titans don't have any sort of running game. Tennessee moves the ball through the air with the MVP of the season thus far, Steve McNair. Miami can be beaten with a deep passing offense (they are 29th against the pass), and that's exactly what the Titans' offense is. The Fish also have 21 sacks this season, but McNair plays well under pressure.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Dolphins are 8-10 on the road since 2001.
  • Titans are 55-36 at home since 1992.
  • Titans are 2-6 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Titans -4 (open) to Titans -5 (11/2).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 67 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Steve McNair, Derrick Mason, Tennessee Defense.
  • Sit Em Drew Bennett, Miami Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Titans by 17. Money Pick. Over.




Seahawks (6-2) at Redskins (3-5). Line: Seahawks by 3. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Seahawks by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Seahawks by 2.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
*** Norman Hand is doubtful and Koren Robinson is questionable for Seattle. Trung Canidate and Chad Morton are questionable and LaDell Betts is doubtful for Washington.

Washington is just a team in total disarray right now. Dallas made five huge mistakes, and all the Redskins could get out of it was 6 measley points. They can't stop the run at all, so Shaun Alexander is primed for a big game. The Skins are only 17th against the pass, and they don't get to the quarterback much (11 sacks). Seattle allows a fair amount of sacks (23), but I don't think they need to be concerned about Washington's pass rush.

Steve Spurrier is an idiot (see my Top Story), and he doesn't believe in running the ball, plus all three of his running backs are questionable, so Seattle will be able to handle that. Spurrier also treats Patrick Ramsey like a rag doll; Ramsey has been sacked 29 times this year. Seattle has registered 16 sacks this season, and they should have no problem getting through Washington's joke of a pass protection.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Redskins are 11-16 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Redskins are 2-1 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -3 (open) to Seahawks -3 (11/3) to Seahawks -3 (11/4) to Seahawks -3 (11/8).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 57 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Seattle Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Washington Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seattle by 7. Money Pick. Under.




Vikings (6-2) at Chargers (1-7). Line: Vikings by 5. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Vikings by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Vikings by 3.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
*** Bryant McKinnie is questionable for Minnesota. Jamal Williams, Jason Ball and Stephen Alexander are questionable for San Diego.

San Diego has a real shot in this game, if they can keep the scoring down. If they do that, LaDainian Tomlinson can run often, but I'll get to that later. Can the Chargers stay in the game? San Diego is 19th against the run, so they're a bit shaky in that area. However, they have to go up against Minnesota's mammoth offensive line, that blocks for quality backs like Michael Bennett and Moe Williams. The Chargers made Chris Chandler look like a Pro Bowler, so imagine how Daunte Culpepper will perform. Randy Moss should have no problems against San Diego's secondary, and I think Minnesota will put up a lot of points in this contest.

I was mentioning how the Chargers had a chance if LaDainian could run often earlier. Minnesota has the worst run defense in the league, while the Bolts gain an impressive 5 yards per carry. The problem is, their defense gets scored upon early, and they have to abandon the run. This forces Drew Brees to throw the ball too much, and he's not able to lead San Diego to a huge comeback. Doug Flutie may start in this game, and I don't think he'll be able to come back from a huge defecit either.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Chargers are 39-43 at home since 1993.
  • Chargers are 9-17 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Chargers are 2-4 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -5 (open) to Vikings -6 (11/3) to 5 (11/4).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Sunny, 67 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Minnesota Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Doug Flutie, Drew Brees, San Diego Defense.

Prediction: Vikings by 20. Over.




Bills (4-4) at Cowboys (6-2). Line: Cowboys by 4. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Cowboys by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Cowboys by 5.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
After Buffalo's first two games, I couldn't have imagined them being 4-4. A huge part of the problem is head coach Greg Williams. He isn't running the ball enough with Travis Henry. Even if he decides to do so in this game, Dallas will shut him down, because they have the number four run defense in the NFL. With no running game, Drew Bledsoe has been sacked too many times, and consequently has struggled. Dallas has the top pass defense in the NFL. They have 16 sacks this season, and hold opposing quarterbacks to a 65.3 passer rating.

Statistically, Buffalo is good against the run, but when taking a closer look, they are a fraud. They haven't been able to stop quality running games, and I think Troy Hambrick could have another 100 yard rushing game. The Bills are pretty decent against the pass (3rd), so they could keep it close against the Cowboys.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Cowboys are 64-29 at home since 1992.
  • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Cowboys -4 (open) to Cowboys -4 (11/2).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Retractable Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Troy Hambrick, Dallas Defense.
  • Sit Em Drew Bledsoe, Travis Henry, Buffalo Defense.

Prediction: Cowboys by 10. Under.




Jets (2-6) at Raiders (2-6). Line: Jets by 3. Over-Under: 38.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Raiders by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Raiders by 1.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
*** Donnie Abraham, John Abraham, Josh Evans and Wayne Chrebet are out for New York. Rich Gannon, John Parella, Bill Romanowski (I-R) and Marques Tuiasosoppo (I-R) are out. Matt Stinchcomb and Dana Stubblefield are doubtful and Frank Middleton, Mo Collins, Lincoln Kennedy and Rod Woodson are questionable for Oakland. Rick Mirer will start.

New York Jets at Oakland seems like an annual event, and this has been a one-sided rivalry, as the Raiders have owned the Jets. This time, it might be different. Curtis Martin seems to be playing better of late, and the Raiders are only 24th against the run. Look for the Jets to get the running game going, which will set up play-action for Chad Pennington, who will be throwing into a mediocre Oakland pass defense. This is major revenge for the Jets, so I expect lots of points from their offense.

Bill Callahan has lost his team, and he has lost his quarterbacks. Rick Mirer will start for the Raiders, which spells trouble. Normally, Oakland could run the ball against the Jets, but New York won't be scared of Mirer. Furthermore, the Raiders run the ball the least of all the teams in the NFL. The Jets have an amazing 27 sacks this season, while the Raiders have given up 21. Talk about a mis-match. I think the Jets get big revenge in this game.


The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • Revenge Situation: Oakland beat the Jets in the playoffs last year.
  • History: Raiders have won 5 of last 6.
  • Jets are 26-14 in November since 1993.
  • Raiders are 14-13 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Raiders are 5-1 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Raiders are 0-8 ATS this year.
  • Line Movement: Jets -2 (open) to Jets -3 (11/3).
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 38 (11/3).
  • Weather: Showers, 62 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Jets Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Raiders Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Jets by 17. Double Money Pick. Under.




Ravens (5-3) at Rams (5-3). Line: Rams by 7. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Rams by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Rams by 4.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
*** Damione Lewis and Leonard Little are doubtful and Tommy Polley and Lamar Gordon are questionable for St. Louis. Marshall Faulk and Adam Archuleta will play.

Baltimore will want to run the ball like crazy with Jamal Lewis. The key to Baltimore's success is if they can keep the Rams from scoring early, so they can get Jamal Lewis enough carries. The Rams are 29th against the run, so if the Ravens hold the Rams to minimal points, Lewis should have over 150 yards, easily. St. Louis is average against the pass, but Kyle Boller's QB rating is only 62.0 this season, so the Rams won't have to worry about him. However, every other team in the league has thought that way, but it is almost impossible to stop Lewis.

Will the Rams get enough points early on? Well, Marshall Faulk is back. Its really up to Mike Martz on whether or not he wants to committ to the run. He only ran the ball 8 times last week. Baltimore is pretty good against the run, but they can be beaten by a talented passing attack. I think the Rams have way too many weapons for Baltimore's defense, especially on their fast turf. This line is too high for me to make a strong play.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Marc Bulger is undefeated at home.
  • Rams are 12-15 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 43 (11/4).
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em St. Louis Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Kyle Boller, Travis Taylor.

Prediction: Rams by 10. Under.




Eagles (5-3) at Packers (4-4). Line: Packers by 4. Over-Under: 43. MONDAY!

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Packers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Packers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
*** Donovan McNabb is questionable, Bobby Taylor and Brian Westbrook are doubtful and Brian Dawkins is out for Philadelphia.

Green Bay seems to be in desperation mode right now. This is basically a must-win for them, because they can not afford to fall any further behind Minnesota, especially if the Vikings beat the Chargers. Donovan McNabb is hurt and might not play in this contest. Whoever the quarterback is will be handing the ball off to Correll Buckhalter and Brian Westbrook often, because the Packers are 23rd against the run. Look for the Pack to stack up against the run, because their corners matchup well against Philadelphia's receivers. The Philly QB will be under a lot of pressure in this game, since the Eagles' offensive line gives up the second most sacks in the NFL.

There is no beating Brett Favre at home, on Monday Night, in the snow. Only Atlanta (Favre's former team) has ever been able to do that. Philadelphia can not stop the run, so Ahman Green might eclipse the 137 rushing yards he gained against Minnesota. With Ahman Green ripping off 8 yards runs left and right, the Eagles will not be able to stop Favre, Donald Driver and company.

Note: Since my Double Money Pick (Jets -3) resulted in a push, I'll make this a bonus Double Money Pick.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: Philadelphia plays the New York Giants after this game.
  • Packers are 77-15 at home since 1992.
  • Packers are 17-11 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Packers are 5-1 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Packers are 5-0 SU/ATS in Monday Night games since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Packers -4 (open) to Packers -4 (11/3) to Packers -4 (11/4) to Packers -4 (11/8).
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 43 (11/4).
  • Weather: Snow, 30 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Donald Driver.
  • Sit Em Donovan McNabb, James Thrash, Todd Pinkston, Philadelphia Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 14. Bonus Double Money Pick. Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record


Cowboys: 4-4
Eagles: 4-4
Giants: 5-3
Redskins: 6-1

Bears: 5-3
Lions: 6-2
Packers: 4-4
Vikings: 7-1

Buccaneers: 5-3
Falcons: 5-3
Panthers: 6-2
Saints: 5-4

49ers: 4-4
Cardinals: 5-3
Rams: 2-5
Seahawks: 4-4

Bills: 1-7
Dolphins: 3-5
Jets: 5-2
Patriots: 5-4

Bengals: 3-5
Browns: 3-5
Ravens: 3-5
Steelers: 4-4

Colts: 4-4
Jaguars: 5-3
Texans: 5-3
Titans: 4-4

Broncos: 6-3
Chargers: 3-5
Chiefs: 2-6
Raiders: 2-6
SUB MENU

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
Week 1 NFL Picks
Week 2 NFL Picks
Week 3 NFL Picks
Week 4 NFL Picks
Week 5 NFL Picks
Week 6 NFL Picks
Week 7 NFL Picks
Week 8 NFL Picks
Week 9 NFL Picks
Week 10 NFL Picks
Week 11 NFL Picks
Week 12 NFL Picks
Week 13 NFL Picks
Week 14 NFL Picks
Week 15 NFL Picks
Week 16 NFL Picks
Week 17 NFL Picks
Week 18 NFL Picks
Week 19 NFL Picks
Week 20 NFL Picks
Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2013 Season:
Week 1 NFL Picks
Week 2 NFL Picks
Week 3 NFL Picks
Week 4 NFL Picks
Week 5 NFL Picks
Week 6 NFL Picks
Week 7 NFL Picks
Week 8 NFL Picks
Week 9 NFL Picks
Week 10 NFL Picks
Week 11 NFL Picks
Week 12 NFL Picks
Week 13 NFL Picks
Week 14 NFL Picks
Week 15 NFL Picks
Week 16 NFL Picks
Week 17 NFL Picks
Week 18 NFL Picks
Week 19 NFL Picks
Week 20 NFL Picks
Super Bowl XLVIII NFL Pick



© 1999-2013 Walter Cherepinsky : all rights reserved
Privacy Policy
2 5 9
Google