Chiefs (3-5) at Saints (3-5). Line: Chiefs by 3. Over-Under: 56.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Chiefs by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Chiefs by 4.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: CHIEFS: OUT: WR Marc Boerigter, LB Shawn Barber, LB Mike Maslowski. DOUBTFUL: RB Priest Holmes*. QUESTIONABLE: CB Dexter McCleon. SAINTS: OUT: DE Willie Whitehead. QUESTIONABLE: TE Ernie Conwell, TE Boo Williams, LB Courtney Watson, CB Ashley Ambrose.

Priest Holmes is out, which means Kansas City's high-octane offense will evaporate, right? Wrong.

Derrick Blaylock will take Holmes' place in the lineup. Blaylock isn't Holmes, but he is a talented runner, who can catch the football and mail it in on the goalline. Remember, the Saints' defense is a disgrace; they allow 4.8 yards per carry to opposing rushers. Trent Green will still be able to utilize play-action to connect with Tony Gonzalez and Johnnie Morton.

Kansas City's "stop no one unit" surrendered 34 points to the Buccaneers, a team that failed to score more than 20 in any game this season. New Orleans can basically do whatever they want on offense; they can run the ball with Deuce McAllister because the Chiefs allow 4.8 yards per rush, including a disgraceful 8.1 yards per gain to Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Saints can also throw the football with ease because Kansas City permits 272 passing yards per contest. However, these are the New Orleans Saints we are talking about; they are bound to hurt themselves with unforced errors.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Saints are 12-22 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Saints are 0-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -4 (open) to Chiefs -4 to Chiefs -3.
  • Total Movement: 58 (open) to 57 to 56.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses (including Derrick Blaylock, not Larry Johnson).
  • Sit Em: Priest Holmes, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 4. (Chiefs -3). Over.




Ravens (5-3) at Jets (6-2). Line: Ravens by 1. Over-Under: 33.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Jets by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Jets by 3.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: RAVENS: OUT: QB Anthony Wright, TE Todd Heap*, OT Jonathan Ogden, LB Peter Boulware. QUESTIONABLE: CB Deion Sanders. JETS: OUT: QB Chad Pennington*, DT Josh Evans, CB Ray Mickens. DOUBTFUL: S Jon McGraw.

Let's get this straight... Quincy Carter is taking on Baltimore's defense? Uh oh.

Chad Pennington is out 2-4 weeks, meaning Carter will take the reins as the Jets' starting quarterback. He will have to do it all by himself because the Ravens will focus on containing Curtis Martin. Baltimore's stop unit yields just 3.4 yards per carry, so they will be able to restrict Martin to minimal yardage without placing an eighth man into the box. Carter will have to come through on a plethora of third and long scenarios, and while he has the arm strength and experience to be successful, he lacks the accuracy, poise and knowledge of the West Coast Offense that Pennington possesses.

The Jets have also been proficient against opposing rushing attacks this season, surrendering 4.1 yards per rush. However, New York will have to place eight men in the box to stop a running back as powerful as Jamal Lewis, which will give Kyle Boller some freedom. This week will be one of the few times Boller actually looks like an NFL quarterback; the Jets' secondary has allowed 210 passing yards per contest - a statistic that is masked by the poor level of competition they have faced.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -1 (open) to Ravens -1 to Ravens -1.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 45 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ravens Defense.
  • Sit Em: Todd Heap, Jets Offense.

Prediction: Ravens by 9. (Ravens -1). Under.




Lions (4-4) at Jaguars (5-3). Line: Jaguars by 3. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Jaguars by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Jaguars by 5.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, S Brian Walker. QUESTIONABLE: WR Az Hakim, WR Tai Streets. JAGUARS: OUT: QB Byron Leftwich*, TE George Wrighster, OT Mike Pearson, DE Lionel Barnes, DE Paul Spicer, PR David Allen. DOUBTFUL: LB Daryl Smith. QUESTIONABLE: CB Juron Bolden.

Byron Leftwich is out for two games, which means David Garrard will start at quarterback for Jacksonville. He will have to replace a signal caller who has averaged 294 passing yards per contest in the month of October. Garrard, while talented, neither has the arm strength, nor the accuracy of Leftwich.

Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio will have to establish Fred Taylor early and often. Easier said that done because Taylor has only gained 4.1 yards per carry this season, while the Lions have yet to permit more than four yards per rush to any team. Taylor will consistently face an eight-man front, forcing Garrard to convert long yardage situations. He may be successful on occasion because Detroit's secondary surrenders 231 passing yards per game, but the Lions should have Jacksonville's offense on lockdown for the most part.

After a scorching start, Jacksonville's defense has given up 24 points per game in October, compared to just nine in September. The injuries to Lionel Barnes and Paul Spicer have affected their run defense, which has trickled down into their secondary. However, this is all moot because Detroit has an anemic offense. Kevin Jones has been a major disappointment this season; he has gained just 3.3 yards per rush in his rookie campaign. A lack of an effective running game is hanging Joey Harrington out to dry in long yardage situations. Rookie wide receiver Roy Williams has been a savior for Harrington and will once again be the focal point of the Lions' offense.

This should be the lowest scoring game of the day. A point spread of 3 may be too much to ask from the Jaguars, who could be caught looking ahead to next week's match-up against rival Tennessee.


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: JAGUARS: Next game - Titans.
  • Line Movement: Jaguars -3 (open) to Jaguars -3.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Cloudy, 68 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jimmy Smith, Roy Williams, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: David Garrard, Fred Taylor, Joey Harrington, Kevin Jones.

Prediction: Jaguars by 3. (Lions +3). Under.




Buccaneers (3-5) at Falcons (6-2). Line: Falcons by 4. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Falcons by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Falcons by 4.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Charlie Garner, FB Mike Alstott, TE Rickey Dudley, G Kerry Jenkins, G Matt O'Dwyer, DE Ellis Wyms. DOUBTFUL: DT Anthony McFarland. QUESTIONABLE: WR Joey Galloway, S Jermaine Phillips, K Martin Gramatica. FALCONS: OUT: S Keion Carpenter. QUESTIONABLE: WR Brian Finneran.

This is the first meeting between new-found rivals Tampa Bay and Atlanta this season. Subject to domination by the Buccaneers since the commencement of his career, Michael Vick finally slayed his nemesis on the road last season, 30-28.

Tampa Bay has received a total make-over on the offensive side of the ball. Brian Griese took the reins from a struggling Brad Johnson and has led the Buccaneers on an offensive surge; they have averaged more than 23 points per game under Griese, compared to the 12 point average under Johnson.

Michael Pittman's return from his suspension has also been a factor in the sudden spark of Tampa's scoring unit. In five games, Pittman has accumulated 397 rushing yards on just 81 carries. However, Pittman is running into a defensive buzz saw; Atlanta's stop unit has only yielded more than four yards per rush only once this season, which was 56-10 humiliating loss to Priest Holmes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Run stuffer Rod Coleman was out for that contest, but should return Sunday. Griese will be placed in a plethora of long yardage situations, but should be able to convert on occasion, given the Falcons yield 263 passing yards per game.

Atlanta rushes for 150 yards per contest but that statistic is misleading because Vick accumulates the majority of those yards. In order to contain Vick, the opposing defense must have a stud right defensive end, who restricts his scrambles to the left. Simeon Rice has done a masterful job in games past and will do so again. Without an effective running game, Vick will be forced to throw into a lethal Buccaneers secondary. Tampa Bay's stop unit gives up only 174 passing yards per game.

Was shattered domination just a mirage, given Tampa Bay's post-Super Bowl meltdown? We will find out Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • History: Buccaneers have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Falcons are 10-25 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Falcons are 2-9 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Falcons -3 (open) to Falcons -4.
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 40.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brian Griese, Michael Clayton, Buccaneers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Michael Vick, Warrick Dunn, T.J. Duckett, Peerless Price.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 7. (Buccaneers +4). Upset Special. Under.




Steelers (7-1) at Browns (3-5). Line: Steelers by 3. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Steelers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Steelers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: STEELERS: OUT: G Kendall Simmons, NT Casey Hampton, CB Chad Scott. DOUBTFUL: RB Verron Haynes. QUESTIONABLE: RB Duce Staley*, FB Dan Kreider. BROWNS: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr., G Kelvin Garmon, DE Courtney Brown, LB Ben Taylor. DOUBTFUL: WR Andre Davis, WR Andre King. QUESTIONABLE: CB Michael Lehan, P Derrick Frost.

Everyone, from the national media to Joe Schmoe on the street is worried about a potential letdown by the Steelers. The fact that everyone is talking about a letdown will seep into Pittsburgh's locker room. There will not be a letdown; at least not this week.

Duce Staley is questionable but he should play. He will have success against the Browns' defense, despite the fact that Cleveland is ranked sixth against the run. In their week five meeting, Staley accumulated 117 rushing yards on just 21 carries. Pittsburgh was victorious, 34-23, in Ben Roethlisberger's second victory at Heinz Field. He threw for 231 yards and a touchdown in that contest. He will surpass week five's performance Sunday, given his growth as a signal caller and a leader on his team. The Browns will not be able to contain Pittsburgh's offense.

Casey Hampton, one of the elite run-stuffers in the NFL, suffered an injury two weeks ago. The Steelers were able to shut down the Patriots' and Eagles' rushing attacks, but New England was without Corey Dillon and Philadelphia dressed a hobbled Brian Westbrook. Cleveland utilizes a two-headed ground game, featuring Lee Suggs and William Green. Both combined for just 57 yards on 14 carries against the Steelers earlier this season. They may find more running room this time around, but neither may be talented enough to take advantage of the Hampton-less Pittsburgh stop unit. The Steelers' true litmus test will take place next week, when they play Rudi Johnson and the Bengals. Assuming neither Green nor Suggs can rip off significant yardage, Jeff Garcia will have the onus of converting long-yardage situations. Dick LeBeau's "Blitzburgh Defense," which has tallied 24 sacks this season, will terrorize Garcia throughout the afternoon.

Cleveland has an extreme home-road dichotomy. They are winless on the road and get outscored by a mean of 27-14. However, the Browns are 3-1 at home and win by an average of 25-17. Their lone loss was to Philadelphia. They will be 3-2 after Sunday's contest, because Pittsburgh will be focused for this intense AFC North rivalry.

Saturday Update: Jerome Bettis will start at running back for Pittsburgh. Staley is still listed as questionable, but he is not expected to play.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Steelers have won 8 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Browns are 4-0 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -6 (open) to Steelers -4 to Steelers -4.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 47 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ben Roethlisberger, Duce Staley, Hines Ward, Plaxico Burress.
  • Sit Em: Lee Suggs, William Green, Browns Defense.

Prediction: Steelers by 4. (Steelers -3). Money Pick. Over.




Seahawks (5-3) at Rams (4-4). Line: Seahawks by 1. Over-Under: 50.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Rams by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Rams by 3.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: SEAHAWKS: OUT: DE Grant Wistrom, P Tom Rouen. DOUBTFUL: RB Maurice Morris, DE Grant Wistrom. QUESTIONABLE: WR Bobby Engram, TE Itula Mili, DE Chike Okeafor, CB Ken Lucas, S Ken Hamlin. RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, C Dave Wohlabaugh, Zack Bronson, DOUBTFUL: WR Dane Looker.

The last time these two squads met was Oct. 10, when the Rams erased a 27-10 deficit with six minutes remaining to win a thriller in overtime, 33-27. Shaun McDonald caught the game-winning touchdown from Marc Bulger.

One of two things will happen in this fierce NFC West divisional rematch. Either the Seahawks win and make amends for their fourth quarter meltdown, or the Rams claim victory and retain their dominance over Seattle.

The Seahawks will establish the run with Shaun Alexander, who gained 150 rushing yards against the Rams in their previous match-up. St. Louis surrenders 4.6 yards per carry, so expect Alexander to rip off huge chunks of yardage on almost every touch. Matt Hasselbeck will utilize play-action fakes and should find open wide receivers, loosely guarded by battered defensive backs. However, Seahawks receivers have a bad habit of dropping hordes of catchable balls.

Whether it's questionable brilliance or probable ignorance, Mike Martz refuses to run the football in big games. In fact, the Rams gained more than five yards per rush against Seattle in their previous meeting, but Marshall Faulk only received 15 carries. That must change. With the Seahawks focused on stopping Bulger and his talented group of receivers, Martz must establish the run to avoid another huge deficit. He won't.

If and when Seattle is up by a touchdown or two, and the Rams appear to be making another comeback, do the Seahawks fold and suffer another fourth quarter meltdown? This game will be a true test of heart and guts for Mike Holmgren's team.


The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • History: Home Team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 14-19 ATS since 2003.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 32-25 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001 (Mike Martz 1-0).
  • Line Movement: Rams -1 (open) to Rams -1 to Pick to Seahawks -1.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 50.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Darrell Jackson*, Koren Robinson*, Marc Bulger, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce.
  • Sit Em: Marshall Faulk, Steven Jackson, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Rams by 3. (Rams +1). Over.




Bears (3-5) at Titans (3-5). Line: Titans by 6. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Titans by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Titans by 6.

The Game. Edge: Titans.
Injuries: BEARS: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, CB Charles Tillman, S Mike Brown. QUESTIONABLE: RB Thomas Jones*, OT Marc Colombo. TITANS: OUT: G Zach Piller, LB Peter Sirmon, K Joe Nedney. QUESTIONABLE: QB Steve McNair*, RB Chris Brown*, TE Erron Kinney.

There is no line on this game because Steve McNair and Chris Brown are questionable. When a point spread is posted, this game will be covered. Unless it is ridiculously high, the Titans will probably be the side.

Saturday Update: McNair threw in practice Friday but remains a game-time decision. Billy Volek has taken all the snaps this week and will most likely start. Meanwhile, Jeff Fisher expects Chris Brown to start.

The injury that kept this game off the boards in Las Vegas for so long was Browns' not McNair's. Brown has emerged as one of the elite running backs in the NFL. He has accumulated 810 rushing yards, gaining 4.9 yards per carry. Chicago has a mediocre run defense, so they will need to place eight men in the box to contain the explosive Brown. The Bears will force Volek to beat them - and he will. Volek received all the snaps in practice this week, which has served him well in the past. He completed 21 of 32 passes for 210 yards and two touchdowns in his last start. Chicago is missing two of their best defensive backs - Charles Tillman and Mike Brown. Volek will shread a hobbled Bears secondary.

Statistically, Tennessee has the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing a hideous 5.2 yards per rush. However, the Titans restricted Rudi Johnson to just 57 yards on 17 carries two weeks ago. Tennessee will once again stack the line of scrimmage, forcing Craig Krenzel to beat them. That will not happen, even though Krenzel is 2-0 as a starter. The Ben Roethlisberger-like streak will come to an end Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 14-19 ATS since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Titans -5 (open) to Titans -6.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 57 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chris Brown, Derrick Mason, Titans Defense.
  • Sit Em: Steve McNair, Craig Krenzel, Thomas Jones, David Terrell, Bears Defense.

Prediction: Titans by 17. (Titans -6). Over.




Texans (4-4) at Colts (5-3). Line: Colts by 9. Over-Under: 53.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Colts by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Colts by 10.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: TEXANS: OUT: OT Todd Wade. QUESTIONABLE: WR Derrick Armstrong. COLTS: OUT: CB Donald Strickland, S Mike Doss. DOUBTFUL: S Cory Bird. QUESTIONABLE: G Rick Demulling, CB Nick Harper.

In their brief existence, the Texans have always played the Colts tough. They lost to Indianapolis by nine and three points last year. In their iniital campaign, they were defeated by 20 and 16 - not bad for an expansion team.

Houston averaged 25 points against the Colts last season for a reason - Indianapolis has the worst defense in the NFL. They allow opposing rushers to tally 4.8 yards per carry. Domanick Davis, who gained 71 yards on 19 carries against a very stout Broncos stop unit Sunday, will be able to bulldoze the Colts' pathetic front seven. It doesn't get much better in the secondary for Indianapolis; they permit a whopping 287 passing yards per contest. David Carr will shred the worst secondary in the league with ease.

The Texans have a much better defense than their divisional rival, but against the Colts' offense, it doesn't matter unless Ray Lewis or Ty Law is on the other side of the ball. Houston should concentrate on shutting down Edgerrin James; their yearly statistic of 4.6 yards allowed per carry isn't convincing, but they did an outstanding job shutting down Fred Taylor and Reuben Droughns the past two weeks. However, that does not change the fact that Peyton Manning will be able to accumulate well over 300 passing yards.

Indianapolis will score their usual amount of points, but their defense will allow Houston to stay within striking distance - and perhaps steal a victory.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • History: Colts have won the last 4 meetings.
  • Spread History: Texans are 2-0 ATS vs. the Colts since 2003.
  • Double Road Alert: Dom Capers is 4-1 ATS on the road following a road loss since 2001.
  • Post Monday Night Syndrome: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 6-15 ATS the following week since 2003.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Colts by 3. (Texans +9). Double Money Pick. Over.




Bengals (3-5) at Redskins (3-5). Line: Redskins by 3. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Redskins by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Redskins by 3.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Injuries: BENGALS: OUT: WR Peter Warrick, DT Tony Williams, LB Nate Webster, CB Dennis Weathersby, CB Greg Brooks, P Kyle Richardson. DOUBTFUL: DT Carl Powell. QUESTIONABLE: OT Willie Anderson. REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen, DE Phillip Daniels, LB LaVar Arrington, LB Mike Barrow, S Matt Bowen, K John Hall, KR Chad Morton.

Want to hear how bad the NFC is? The Redskins, along with every other 3-5 team out there, are just one game out of a Wild Card playoff spot; the Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers and St. Louis Rams are all 4-4.

Washington's defense has been nothing short of spectacular this season. Even without LaVar Arrington, the Redskins are ranked first in run defense, allowing an amazing figure of 3.2 yards per carry. Washington's stop unit will suffocate Rudi Johnson, forcing Carson Palmer to throw on long yardage situations. The Redskins' aerial defense will prevent Chad Johnson from beating them; Washington surrenders just 177 passing yards per contest, thanks to shutdown corners Fred Smoot and Shawn Springs, as well as outstanding rookie safety Sean Taylor.

The Bengals' stop unit is a joke compared to Washington's, especially on the road, where they disgracefully yield 30 points per game. Clinton Portis will bulldoze Cincinnati's front seven, and their 4.7 yards per rush allowed average. Mark Brunell fans, get your tapes ready. This may be his last quality outing before he gets benched in favor of Patrick Ramsey. The Bengals' secondary is softer than Cottonelle, allowing quarterbacks like Billy Volek to look like the greatest thing since NFL Primetime. Lack of pressure from their defensive front, which has produced only 13 sacks this season, doesn't help the cause.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bengals are 0-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Redskins are 12-22 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Redskins are 2-8 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Redskins -3 (open) to Redskins -3.
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 37 to 36.
  • Weather: Sunny, 54 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chad Johnson, Clinton Portis, Laveraneus Coles, Rod Gardner, Redskins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Carson Palmer, Rudi Johnson, Bengals Defense.

Prediction: Redskins by 17. (Redskins -3). Over.




Vikings (5-3) at Packers (4-4). Line: Packers by 4. Over-Under: 50.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Packers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Packers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: VIKINGS: OUT: WR Randy Moss*, TE Jim Kleinsasser, OT Mike Rosenthal, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter, K Aaron Elling. QUESTIONABLE: RB Mewelde Moore*, LB Chris Claiborne. PACKERS: OUT: C Mike Flanagan. QUESTIONABLE: G Marco Rivera, DE/DT Kenny Peterson.

Minnesota's probable meltdown continues as they travel to Green Bay, where they haven't won a cold weather match-up against the Packers since 1986. Obviously, the indoor confines of the Metrodome have made the Vikings weak in cold weather conditions.

The Vikings have one of the elite scoring units in the NFL under normal conditions, but the 44 degree temperature could stifle Daunte Culpepper and his Randy Moss-less corps of wide receivers. Minnesota will need to establish the run with Onterrio Smith, Michael Bennett and Mewelde Moore. Green Bay's defense allows 4.9 rushing yards per carry, but the Packers have been solid against opposing ground attacks since their Monday night debacle against Tennessee. Clinton Portis was limited to just 70 rushing yards two weeks ago.

Green Bay, on the other hand, will have tons of success in their efforts to establish Ahman Green. The Vikings only surrender 4.2 yards per rush, but that statistic is masked by their nauseating pass defense. Unlike the long bombs that Culpepper favors, the short passing game that Brett Favre utilizes will not be affected by the frigid, windy weather. The Packers will move the chains with tons of screens, draws and Green carries.

Four is a tough number to lay, because the Packers have only defeated the Vikings once by more than six since 1996. However, this contest is taking place during another Minnesota meltdown.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Home Team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Packers are 6-2 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Packers -4 (open) to Packers -4.
  • Total Movement: 49 (open) to 50.
  • Weather: Sunny, 44 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Javon Walker.
  • Sit Em: Randy Moss, Vikings Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 6. (Packers -4). Money Pick. Under.




Giants (5-3) at Cardinals (3-5). Line: Giants by 2. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Giants by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Giants by 3.

The Game. Edge: Cardinals.
Injuries: GIANTS: OUT: WR Tim Carter, G Rich Seubert, G Barry Stokes, DE Michael Strahan, DE Keith Washington, LB Barrett Green, S Shaun Williams, S Omar Stoutmire. QUESTIONABLE: OT Luke Petitgout, C Shaun O'Hara. CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, DE Fred Wakefield. QUESTIONABLE: LB Raynoch Thompson, KR Josh Scobey.

Here come the turnovers. Tom Coughlin has done a masterful job masking the Giants' turnover woes which plagued them in 2003. However, they resurfaced Sunday against the Chicago Bears. New York gave the football away six times and allowed Kurt Warner to be sacked seven times. Arizona's defense isn't the most threatening in the NFL, but they have been very dangerous at home this season. The Cardinals surrender just 17 points per game at Sun Devil Stadium, giving up 4.2 yards per carry in the process. Arizona will restrict Tiki Barber to minimal gains, placing the suddenly mistake-prone Warner in long yardage situations. Bert Berry, who has five sacks, will terrorize Warner all afternoon.

Congratulations to Dennis Green, who coached his team to their first road victory since September of 2002. Their win at Miami may propel the Cardinals into the playoffs.

Chicago exposed the Giants' weakness against the run Sunday, when Anthony Thomas tallied 110 rushing yards on 28 carries. Emmitt Smith, who has displayed flashes of youth this season, will trample a New York stop unit that permits 4.6 yards per rush. Smith's effectiveness on the ground will assist Josh McCown and his play-action passes. McCown will be throwing to a very talented receiving corps, re-energized with the return of Anquan Boldin. The Giants will not be able to cover Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald without compromising the amount of pressure they will attempt to place on McCown. Michael Strahan is out for the year, so the Giants will have to blitz more often. Otherwise, McCown will have all day to throw.


The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.
  • Cardinals are 8-3 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Giants -3 (open) to Giants -2 to Giants -2 to Giants -2.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 38 to 38.
  • Weather: Showers, 62 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Amani Toomer, Jeremy Shockey, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin.
  • Sit Em: Kurt Warner, Giants Defense.

Prediction: Cardinals by 14. (Cardinals +2). Money Pick. Over.




Panthers (1-7) at 49ers (1-7). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): 49ers by 3.

The Game. Edge: 49ers.
Injuries: PANTHERS: OUT: RB Stephen Davis*, RB DeShaun Foster, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson, G Doug Brzezinski, DT Kris Jenkins. QUESTIONABLE: RB Joey Harris*, CB Chris Gamble, CB Artrell Hawkins. 49ERS: OUT: DE Brandon Whiting, LB Julian Peterson, CB Mike Rumph. DOUBTFUL: C Jeremy Newberry, CB Ahmed Plummer. QUESTIONABLE: CB Shawntae Spencer, CB Jimmy Williams.

With the massive amounts of injuries that these two teams have incurred, they are the two worst teams in the NFL, excluding the Miami Dolphins. However, both teams have not thrown in the towel and are desperate for their second victory of the season.

Stephen Davis is once again on the injured list. He is now questionable with a knee injury. A healthy Davis obviously impacts this game, but even if he plays, he may not be 100%. Assuming he doesn't play or is hobbled, the 49ers will focus on stopping Jake Delhomme and the Panthers' aerial attack. That will not be possible because of the injuries to Mike Rumph and Ahmed Plummer.

Tim Rattay has been very effective for the 49ers. He threw for 259 yards against the Seattle Seahawks, 286 against the New York Jets, 299 against the St. Louis Rams and a whopping 417 against the Arizona Cardinals. In fact, the 49ers average 21 points when Rattay starts, and only 13 when he has been sidelined. Carolina's stop unit made Kerry Collins look like the second-coming of John Elway on Sunday. Their inability to stop the run has infected their pass defense. They will need to bring eight men into the box to contain Kevan Barlow. Rattay will run play-action passes and torch the Panthers' young secondary.

Unless Stephen Davis' condition improves, the 49ers will win at Monster Park, where they score nearly 23 points per game, compared to just 13 on the road.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 32-25 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001 (Dennis Erickson 1-0).
  • Line Movement: 49ers -1 (open) to 49ers -1 to Pick.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 41.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 63 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jake Delhomme, Muhsin Muhammad, Keary Colbert, Tim Rattay, Eric Johnson.
  • Sit Em: Stephen Davis, Kevan Barlow, Both Defenses.

Prediction: 49ers by 3. (49ers PK). Money Pick. Over.




Bills (3-5) at Patriots (7-1). Line: Patriots by 7. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Patriots by 11.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Patriots by 10.

The Game. Edge: Bills.
Injuries: BILLS: OUT: WR Josh Reed, C Trey Teague, CB Troy Vincent, S Coy Wire. QUESTIONABLE: OT Mike Williams. PATRIOTS: OUT: TE Ben Watson, OT Tom Ashworth, NT Dan Klecko, CB Ty Law. DOUBTFUL: WR Deion Branch, CB Tyrone Poole. QUESTIONABLE: LB Mike Vrabel, CB Asante Samuel.

New England's domination over Buffalo stems from Bill Belichick's mastery of Drew Bledsoe. Prior to week four's match-up, Bledsoe threw 2.3 interceptions per game against his former teammates. In week four, the Patriots won 31-17, and while Bledsoe only committed one interception, he also fumbled once and was sacked seven times.

The sacks will keep on coming because talented offensive tackle Mike Williams is out. Look for Mike Mularkey to place the ball in Willis McGahee's hands as often as possible. McGahee gained 132 yards on 37 carries against the New York Jets on Sunday. The Patriots are ranked 17th against the run, yielding 4.2 yards per carry, meaning they are vulnerable against an efficient running game. Another problem is the absence of Ty Law. Eric Moulds will be free of Law's coverage and will have to be double-teamed. This extra attention on the Pro Bowl wide out will stray some attention away from Buffalo's rushing attack.

Buffalo has one of the elite defenses in the NFL, despite their record. They are ranked third against the run, allowing just 3.5 yards per rush. They also have Lawyer Milloy, Troy Vincent and Nate Clements - all Pro Bowlers - in their secondary. Corey Dillon may find limited running space, placing Tom Brady in a plethora of long yardage situations. However, Brady isn't your average quarterback; he is arguably the best in the NFL. He shredded the Bills' talented secondary for 298 yards and two touchdowns in week four. The Bills have an edge in the match-up, but Belichick is a mastermind and can out-coach anyone in the NFL. Taking Bledose against the Patriots, despite the eight point spread, may not be wise to your wallet; New England has beaten Buffalo by a mean of 21.5 points, excluding the week one anomaly in 2003.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • History: Patriots have won 7 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Patriots are 10-0 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -9 (open) to Patriots -8 to Patriots -8 to Patriots -7 to Patriots -7.
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Rain, Heavy Wind, 42 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Willis McGahee, Eric Moulds, Tom Brady, David Givens, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Drew Bledsoe, Corey Dillon.

Prediction: Patriots by 10. (Patriots -7). Over.




Eagles (7-1) at Cowboys (3-5). Line: Eagles by 6. Over-Under: 41.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 9 Games): Eagles by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 9 Games): Eagles by 6.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, FB Jon Ritchie, G Shawn Andrews, DE Ndukwe Kalu. QUESTIONABLE: TE L.J. Smith, DT Corey Simon, KR J.R. Reed. COWBOYS: OUT: RB Julius Jones, WR Terry Glenn, CB Pete Hunter, S Darren Woodson. DOUBTFUL: CB Tyrone Williams. QUESTIONABLE: WR Quincy Morgan.

Both teams will attempt to rebound from humiliating losses. The Eagles were pummeled by the Pittsburgh Steelers, 27-3, while Bill Parcells said he was embarrassed after his team lost to the Cincinnati Bengals, 26-3.

Donovan McNabb will not have to worry about all the elements that plagued him in Sunday's loss. There are no weather problems, Brian Westbrook should be back to full strength and the Cowboys do not have a fierce defense that can shut Philadelphia down. Dallas has a very weak secondary; if their run defense wasn't so porous, they would surrender far more than 217 passing yards per game. McNabb should hook up with Terrell Owens for at least two touchdowns. The Cowboys cannot stop the Eagles' lethal offense.

Philadelphia's run defense was exposed by Jerome Bettis and the Steelers on Sunday. The Eagles yield 4.7 yards per carry, but Dallas does not have the rushing attack to take advantage of Philly's weakness. The Cowboys' leading rusher is Eddie George, who gains just 3.4 yards per carry. With an ineffective running game, Vinny Testaverde will find it difficult to throw into the Eagles' secondary, especially since Keyshawn Johnson and Jason Witten are the only healthy wide receivers with prior NFL experience.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • History: Eagles have won 7 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Double Road Alert: Andy Reid is 2-0 ATS on the road following a road loss since 2001.
  • Eagles are 24-9 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 10-3 ATS vs. NFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -5 (open) to Eagles -6.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41.
  • Weather: Retractable roof.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, Jason Witten, Eagles Defense.
  • Sit Em: Vinny Testaverde, Eddie George, Cowboys Defense.

Prediction: Eagles by 24. (Eagles -6). Bonus Double Money Pick. Over.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 4-3
Eagles: 6-2
Giants: 4-4
Redskins: 4-4

Bears: 4-4
Lions: 5-3
Packers: 5-3
Vikings: 1-7

Buccaneers: 2-4
Falcons: 3-5
Panthers: 7-1
Saints: 5-3

49ers: 3-5
Cardinals: 5-3
Rams: 3-4
Seahawks: 2-6

Bills: 5-3
Dolphins: 5-4
Jets: 5-2
Patriots: 3-3

Bengals: 6-2
Browns: 4-4
Ravens: 4-4
Steelers: 2-6

Colts: 4-3
Jaguars: 6-2
Texans: 5-3
Titans: 3-5

Broncos: 6-1
Chargers: 5-3
Chiefs: 3-5
Raiders: 7-2

Divisional Games: 21-19
Trend Edge: 14-18
Game Edge: 19-19
Game & Trend Edge: 2-2


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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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