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NCAA Tournament Picks 2015

These are my quick NCAA Tournament picks for 2015. My selections write-ups will be posted shortly. I couldn't post them sooner, thanks to NFL free agency and issues with the server earlier Sunday, but I've done just as much research as I've done in previous years.

NCAA Tournament Picks (write-ups): South | West | Midwest | East | Final Four



Midwest

(Louisville)
1. Kentucky
16. Manhattan / Hampton

8. Cincinnati
9. Purdue

(Columbus)
5. West Virginia
12. Buffalo

4. Maryland
13. Valparaiso

(Pittsburgh)
6. Butler
11. Texas

3. Notre Dame
14. Northeastern

(Omaha)
7. Wichita State
10. Indiana

2. Kansas
15. New Mexico State


Round 2:

1. Kentucky
9. Purdue

5. West Virginia
13. Valparaiso

6. Butler
3. Notre Dame

7. Wichita State
2. Kansas


Sweet 16:

1. Kentucky
13. Valparaiso

3. Notre Dame
7. Wichita State


Elite Eight:

1. Kentucky
7. Wichita State

I'll almost certainly have write-ups for each game, but for now, I'll have a brief synopsis on each region.

The Midwest is obviously Kentucky's. The Wildcats are one of the best teams I've seen in a long time, and I don't think any team in this region that can beat them.

I like the 12 and 13 upsets in this region. Buffalo is a popular pick, while Valparaiso is the top 13-seed in this tournament. The Terps have a freshman point guard and happen to be the weakest four-seed (don't tell ESPN, who has overrated them all year), so they could definitely lose in the opening round.

I have Wichita State coming out of the bottom of the region. The NCAA Tournament Selection Committee once again did an atrocious job of seeding teams, and Wichita State is a prime example. The Shockers should be a No. 3 seed. I like them over Notre Dame, as Mike Brey has a dubious history in the Big Dance.




East

East Round 1:

(Pittsburgh)
1. Villanova
16. Lafayette

8. N.C. State
9. LSU

(Seattle)
5. Northern Iowa
12. Wyoming

4. Louisville
13. UC-Irvine

(Columbus)
6. Providence
11. Boise State / Dayton

3. Oklahoma
14. Albany

(Charlotte)
7. Michigan State
10. Georgia

2. Virginia
15. Belmont


Round 2:

1. Villanova
8. N.C. State

5. Northern Iowa
4. Louisville

11. Dayton
3. Oklahoma

7. Michigan State
2. Virginia


Sweet 16:

1. Villanova
5. Northern Iowa

7. Michigan State
11. Dayton


Elite Eight:

1. Villanova
7. Michigan State

Villanova has a relatively easy road to the Elite Eight. N.C. State isn't that great, while LSU is hot garbage. In the Sweet 16, chances are the Wildcats will either get a Louisville squad missing Chris Jones, or a Northern Iowa team that could lose in the opening round to Wyoming.

I briefly considered the two upsets there, by the way. I think Rick Pitino will win at least one game though, while Northern Iowa is a better team than Wyoming. I found it interesting that the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee matched up two small schools in the 5-12 contest. I can't recall them ever doing that before!

Either Boise State or Dayton will beat overseeded Providence. I'm just taking the Flyers because they're playing at home. In fact, I think Dayton could beat Oklahoma and advance to the Elite Eight. I can't say I'm too impressed with the Sooners.

Ultimately, I have Michigan State coming out of this region. It doesn't seem quite right to pick a seven-seed to advance to the Final Four, but the Spartans should've been a four-seed. They were hot down the stretch, and Tom Izzo is a beast in March.




South

South Round 1:

(Charlotte)
1. Duke
16. North Florida / Robert Morris

8. San Diego State
9. St. John's

(Portland)
5. Utah
12. Stephen F. Austin

4. Georgetown
13. Eastern Washington

(Louisville)
6. SMU
11. UCLA

3. Iowa State
14. UAB

(Seattle)
7. Iowa
10. Davidson

2. Gonzaga
15. North Dakota State


Round 2:

1. Duke
8. San Diego State

5. Utah
4. Georgetown

6. SMU
3. Iowa State

10. Davidson
2. Gonzaga


Sweet 16:

1. Duke
5. Utah

6. SMU
2. Gonzaga


Elite Eight:

5. Utah
6. SMU

I REALLY wanted to pick San Diego State over Duke, but I just couldn't do it. The Aztecs are great on defense, but so inept offensively. I think Duke will have an early exit regardless though.

Utah is my pick to get out of this weak region. The Utes being a five-seed is a joke. The Utes should be a two- or three-seed. What's even worse is Stephen F. Austin's seeding. SFA is a dangerous team, so the Selection Committee took notice and made sure to pit them against a very underseeded team. The crooks running the NCAA want SFA to lose, so I'm not going with that popular 12-5 upset.

SMU is another team that should be a higher seed. I have the Mustangs going to the Elite Eight, and I was so close to picking them over the Utes. I like Larry Brown and his tempo team to take down a Gonzaga squad that always disappoints as a higher seed in the NCAA Tournament.




West

Round 1:

(Omaha)
1. Wisconsin
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Oregon
9. Oklahoma State

(Jacksonville)
5. Arkansas
12. Wofford

4. North Carolina
13. Harvard

(Jacksonville)
6. Xavier
11. BYU / Ole Miss

3. Baylor
14. Georgia State

(Portland)
7. VCU
10. Ohio State

Wisc 2. Arizona
15. Texas Southern


Round 2:

1. Wisconsin
8. Oregon

12. Wofford
4. North Carolina

6. Xavier
3. Baylor

7. VCU
2. Arizona


Sweet 16:

1. Wisconsin
4. North Carolina

3. Baylor
2. Arizona


Elite Eight:

1. Wisconsin
2. Arizona

This is the best region this year. Arizona and Wisconsin are the second- and third-best teams in college basketball, so I don't understand why they're paired together. I wanted to have both advance to the Final Four prior to Selection Sunday, but that's not possible. I rate the Wildcats a tiny bit better than the Badgers, but it's super close.

I have another 12-5 upset here, as Arkansas is the weakest No. 5 in the tournament. The Razorbacks could also be flat off another loss to Kentucky, and they could also be looking ahead to North Carolina.

North Carolina, meanwhile, is getting some acclaim as a dangerous No. 4 seed, but I'm not buying it. In fact, I thought about picking Harvard in an upset. I'm not very high on the Tar Heels. They've been getting hype for beating Louisville and Virginia, but both teams aren't at full strength.




Final Four

1M. Kentucky
1W. Wisconsin

7S. Michigan State
5E. Utah

1M. Kentucky
7S. Michigan State

Kentucky-Wisconsin (or Kentucky-Arizona) is the real championship. I think both schools could beat Kentucky if they get lots of luck and Big Blue is having a poor outing. Ultimately though, Kentucky should be able to prevail and advance to play Michigan State.

I should note that there are two strategies you can utilize this year. The first is to just simply pick Kentucky. The second is to choose another team and aim to be safe otherwise. Everyone will be selecting Kentucky to win, so a decent strategy is to predict another champion and hope to get another Final Four team to secure an easy victory.

I'm going with the first plan because Kentucky is so dominant. Thus, because everyone will be taking the Wildcats and other top seeds, I've decided to go with some darkhorses in my Final Four. That would explain why I have a one, two, five and seven advancing to Indianapolis, though I do think they all have a great chance of emerging from their regions.



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Top Flight Sports (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 4 day(s) ago - hide
We have two winners going off in the next round of games and they can be yours absolutely free.  Visit the free picks tab at topflightsportsinfo.com or call us at 1-855-TOP-FLYT and pick up an easy 2-0 this afternoon.
1    1 Reply
BeastMode (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 4 day(s) ago - hide

i agree with your midwest predictions for the most part. kentucky and wichita st are the best teams by far, maryland is overrated, and this is a weak region. Even though notre dame has had tough luck in the past in the tournament, I like jerian grant and the way this team played lately. ND vs Wichita St. will be great.

I hate the east region. Villanova has such an easy path to the final 4, yet I think they are overrated and shouldnt be a 1 seed. They will find a way to mess things up. If you switch nova and virginias position, i wouldnt hesitate to put virginia in the elite 8 before carefully deciding who makes it to indianapolis. On that note, I like oklahoma or virginia to win it

the south will be fun. Duke and gonzaga both suck, but I like dukes chances more. This is NOT gonzagas best team in recent years, so I dont know why everyones talking about them. I think they can lose to iowa/davidson or smu/iowa st. I think winner of smu/iowa st will play duke in elite 8. I think utah can either lose in their first game, or make it to the end of the second weekend. Delon Wright is great, but other guys have to step up. Georgetown sucks.

I think all bball fans are praying that we will see an eventual zona and wisco matchup, but i think these teams are facing a lot of pressure since nearly everyone is predicting these teams to get there and the potential matchup with kentucky in the final 4 and everyone telling these 2 teams that they are the only teams with a legitimate chance to beat kentucky. I think zona has a easier road because I think baylor is the worst 3 seed and vcu/ohio st should not be a threat. I think wisco SHOULD beat UNC but could struggle against that dangerous offense. Just ask yourselves: what if marcus paige turns into a scoring machine like he was last year? I also dont think arkansas is as bad as you think they are. Bobby Portis is a stud and i trust him to show up. They could easily make it to the second weekend since no one really knows how unc will play each game.

final thoughts: Kentucky, Virginia, Iowa St., Arizona and Kentucky will beat Virginia in the title game

0    0 Reply
Stone Cold Steve Austin (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 4 day(s) ago - hide
If you think Stephen F Austin is gonna pull the Stunner give me a "Hell yeah!" Stephen F Austin will beat Utah, and that's the bottom line, cause Stone Cold said so
1    0 Reply
Roger Dorn (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide
I don't understand how you think Utah should have been a 2 or 3 seed.  Who have they beaten?  They lost to Arizona twice, Oregon twice, Kansas, San Diego State.  They split with UCLA, who in my opinion should have never made the big dance.  Utah's biggest win was beating Wichita State by 1 in OT, which I believe was in Utah.  Nothing in there says they are worthy of a 2 or 3 seed.
1    0 Reply
FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@Roger Dorn 

First of all if this really is TFM Roger Dorn...I'm a fan.

Second I think the intrigue with Utah is that they have 2 guys (1 guy 100%) who will be drafted in the first round in the upcoming draft. Delon Wright isnt talked about as much as other PGs like Tyrus Jones or D'Angelo Russel because 1) he's not a freshman 2) he plays in the pretty awful pac 12. He's a SENIOR though, which I think experience is so underrated in the tournament and his stats are legit (15,5,5). If you look at the past couple of teams that have played in the championship games, they all have one thing in common well known, experienced leaders @ PG who are one of, if not the, best players on their teams (UCONN- shabazz and kemba, louisville- peyton silva, michigan- trey burke, kentucky- marquis teague/harrison twins). 

Utah also has 10 guys who played at least 10 minutes a game, which probably explains why they were 10th in the nation in points allowed. Im not agreeing that UTAH will make it to the final 4, but I could understand why someone would pick them. Personally, if they can get past SFA, which will be extremely tough, and end up playing Duke, I like Utah.

0    0 Reply
Roger Dorn (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@FAN91 

I am not at all saying I think it is a terrible pick to have them going far in the tournament.  I am just questioning why Walter says "The Utes being a five-seed is a joke. The Utes should be a two- or three-seed."  I always like to look at who have they beaten, and in looking at their schedule, it shows that Utah has fallen short to most of the tournament teams that they have faced during the season.  Based on that fact alone, there is no way one can say that their seeding is a "joke".

0    0 Reply
FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 4 day(s) ago - hide
@Roger Dorn. I agree the 5 seed seems appropriate. They have a good team just havent played their best all season. If were talking about jokes, Georgetown being a 4 seed is the worst decision in a long time. I didnt even know georgetown basketball was still relevant. I guess beating NOVA once by 20 and losing to Wisco by 3 gives you a boost
0    0 Reply
Anonymous Poster (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

what is everyones thoughts on georgia st against baylor. This is a team that has a potential 1st rounder who averaged 20 points and can really shoot, a potential 2nd rounder/definite rookie free agent signing at point guard who began his college career on a calipari kentucky team, and kevin ware, who has experience on a championship team and recently scores almost 50 percent of his teams point in their conference championship game. This is also a team that has a lot of upperclassmen who may have that edge to prove something since this is kind of a "last chance" time in a lot of these guys lives in terms of competitive basketball

Baylor doesnt impress me so much as other 3 seeds do and cause of that I have georgia st. as the biggest upset in the first round and making it to the second weekend where they will be demolished by arizona

1    0 Reply
JohnnyDetroit (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 7 day(s) ago - hide
Having watched every CBB game this year I might be insane but Northern Iowa is better than Wichita State that you find so great, Kansas will beat them, the CBS gods have told me.  Mich ST is not final four material and their coach is overrated.  Texas is a great sleeper, they are the team I am picking to beat Kentucky if ANYONE CAN BEAT THEM if their D and O is on and Kentucky is off and panics.  Duke of course plays all their games at home but they do not win these things anymore cause 4 year players are part of the past and 3s do not fall for 6 games, remember Lehigh -I sure do, so Ill take TEXAS, OKLAHOMA, GONZAGA, and ARIZONA and ARIZONA to win it all, thanks and gl
3    5 Reply
Anonymous Poster (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@JohnnyDetroit 

Texas is a great underrated pick. If they can get past butler, who I think has a very similar style with less known (probably less skilled also) players, I think that momentum can help them against notre dame, who is absolutely one of the least trustful teams in the country. 

I'm not sure about gonzaga. Every year, people are saying this will be gonzaga's year and they will do great things. Remember the team that was led by kelly olynyk? I think that team also had a #2 (maybe even #1??) ranking in their region. Regardless, gonzaga is overrated because they play in the most irrelevant conference in the country. Ok they played one meaningful game against arizona and took them to OT, but that was back in december. Gun to my head i like them more than duke, but nothing about this years gonzaga team has me thinking positive compared to past zags teams. 

0    0 Reply
FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

i agree with most of the midwest and west picks and having kentucky and zona move on. I do think the arkansas/wofford game is big because if wofford wins, they will be crushed by UNCs fast paced offense and if arkansas wins, I think they match up well against UNC. The south is really interesting this year. It's difficult to imagine either duke or gonzaga going to the final 4. I like iowa st, utah (if they can beat sfa), and smu if they can make it far enough to face either duke or gonzaga. BTW georgetown being a 4 seed is one of the worst decisions ever. Their a 7 seed in my opinion, historically not a strong tournament team, and will lose to EW. I think the EAST is the hardest to predict. I think NOVA is very overrated and has the best chance out of all the number 1's to lose first. I think UVA should move on, but they have some tough matchups. Michigan St. has a lot of momentum and I think that will hurt them when they ultimately play UVA. Louisville is also overrated and Northern Iowa is good, but not good enough to make it to Indianapolis. on that note...

Kentucky, Zona, UVA, SMU

 
0    0 Reply
Mike (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@FAN91 I agree with alot of what you're saying. SMU is a ballsy pick, I like that. East and South are tough to predict. I have ISU out of SMU's bracket, but I'm not even totally confident in that.

I have Kentucky, UNC, Providence and Iowa State in my Final Four right now.

0    0 Reply
Mike (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide
@FAN91 also the key for UVA is Anderson. If he's healthy, they'll advance quite far. If he's not, I'm not so sure.
0    0 Reply
FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@Mike. I love the UNC pick. A part of me doesnt want to go with Zona or Wisco just because everyone is picking them and that could put a lot of pressure on those teams. UNC might have the best offense in the country and marcus paige has that "shabazz napier" swag that you want in a guy during tournament time. Their defense is shaky though, but they match up really well with Wisco, who doesnt have a perfect offense.

I honestly do not know much about providence, so cant say anything. I do like whatever team that wins in their 1st matchup with dayton to beat oklahoma though since I am not a big oklahoma believer

0    0 Reply
FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@Mike I like Iowa St. also I think the winner of their eventual matchup with SMU will win that region. Normally, if Iowa St/SMU were in any other region, i wouldnt like their odds but the East is really weak.

I agree that UVA's toughest task is implementing Anderson back into the rotation, but thats a good problem to have. Even without him, that defense is a nightmare and that will help them against the potential teams they will play. Since anderson is a 1st rounder (pre-injury, probably still is), I like UVA's chances. A lot of those guys have experience also from last years team and experience is very underrated in the tournament (its why duke sucks in the tournament every year)

0    0 Reply
Spenser (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 7 day(s) ago - hide
@JohnnyDetroit I dont even know where to start with this...
1    1 Reply
Mario (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide

@Spenser 

U MAD BRO? HAHAHAHAHA STOP CRYING

1    0 Reply
Mario (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide
I agree with JohnnyDetroit. GO CATS!!! Texas is also underseeded and they've been really hot lately. So don't be surprised if that happens.
1    0 Reply
Top Flight Sports (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 6 day(s) ago - hide
Our best march madness special ever.   Check it out at topflightsportsinfo.com or call at 1855 TOP FLYT and start winning today!!!
2    0 Reply
colecutz (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 6 day(s) ago - hide
So you've had server issues but have done as much research as you have in previous years....which is little to none.
1    1 Reply
MizzouNick (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 7 day(s) ago - hide
@JohnnyDetroit I agree with a lot of what you said, but Tom Izzo is maybe the most underrated coach in any sport professional or college. I am not a Big 10 fan.
1    1 Reply
lord football (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 7 day(s) ago - hide
calipayroll and the cheatin cats will roll probably  probably have less salary cap space than the kicks and sixers added together
0    2 Reply
 

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