NCAA Tournament Picks 2015



Picking Games NCAA Basketball


These are my quick NCAA Tournament picks for 2015. My selections write-ups will be posted shortly. I couldn't post them sooner, thanks to NFL free agency and issues with the server earlier Sunday, but I've done just as much research as I've done in previous years.

NCAA Tournament Picks (write-ups): South | West | Midwest | East | Final Four



Midwest

(Louisville)
1. Kentucky
16. Manhattan / Hampton

8. Cincinnati
9. Purdue

(Columbus)
5. West Virginia
12. Buffalo

4. Maryland
13. Valparaiso

(Pittsburgh)
6. Butler
11. Texas

3. Notre Dame
14. Northeastern

(Omaha)
7. Wichita State
10. Indiana

2. Kansas
15. New Mexico State


Round 2:

1. Kentucky
9. Purdue

5. West Virginia
13. Valparaiso

6. Butler
3. Notre Dame

7. Wichita State
2. Kansas


Sweet 16:

1. Kentucky
13. Valparaiso

3. Notre Dame
7. Wichita State


Elite Eight:

1. Kentucky
7. Wichita State

I'll almost certainly have write-ups for each game, but for now, I'll have a brief synopsis on each region.

The Midwest is obviously Kentucky's. The Wildcats are one of the best teams I've seen in a long time, and I don't think any team in this region that can beat them.

I like the 12 and 13 upsets in this region. Buffalo is a popular pick, while Valparaiso is the top 13-seed in this tournament. The Terps have a freshman point guard and happen to be the weakest four-seed (don't tell ESPN, who has overrated them all year), so they could definitely lose in the opening round.

I have Wichita State coming out of the bottom of the region. The NCAA Tournament Selection Committee once again did an atrocious job of seeding teams, and Wichita State is a prime example. The Shockers should be a No. 3 seed. I like them over Notre Dame, as Mike Brey has a dubious history in the Big Dance.




East

East Round 1:

(Pittsburgh)
1. Villanova
16. Lafayette

8. N.C. State
9. LSU

(Seattle)
5. Northern Iowa
12. Wyoming

4. Louisville
13. UC-Irvine

(Columbus)
6. Providence
11. Boise State / Dayton

3. Oklahoma
14. Albany

(Charlotte)
7. Michigan State
10. Georgia

2. Virginia
15. Belmont


Round 2:

1. Villanova
8. N.C. State

5. Northern Iowa
4. Louisville

11. Dayton
3. Oklahoma

7. Michigan State
2. Virginia


Sweet 16:

1. Villanova
5. Northern Iowa

7. Michigan State
11. Dayton


Elite Eight:

1. Villanova
7. Michigan State

Villanova has a relatively easy road to the Elite Eight. N.C. State isn't that great, while LSU is hot garbage. In the Sweet 16, chances are the Wildcats will either get a Louisville squad missing Chris Jones, or a Northern Iowa team that could lose in the opening round to Wyoming.

I briefly considered the two upsets there, by the way. I think Rick Pitino will win at least one game though, while Northern Iowa is a better team than Wyoming. I found it interesting that the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee matched up two small schools in the 5-12 contest. I can't recall them ever doing that before!

Either Boise State or Dayton will beat overseeded Providence. I'm just taking the Flyers because they're playing at home. In fact, I think Dayton could beat Oklahoma and advance to the Elite Eight. I can't say I'm too impressed with the Sooners.

Ultimately, I have Michigan State coming out of this region. It doesn't seem quite right to pick a seven-seed to advance to the Final Four, but the Spartans should've been a four-seed. They were hot down the stretch, and Tom Izzo is a beast in March.




South

South Round 1:

(Charlotte)
1. Duke
16. North Florida / Robert Morris

8. San Diego State
9. St. John's

(Portland)
5. Utah
12. Stephen F. Austin

4. Georgetown
13. Eastern Washington

(Louisville)
6. SMU
11. UCLA

3. Iowa State
14. UAB

(Seattle)
7. Iowa
10. Davidson

2. Gonzaga
15. North Dakota State


Round 2:

1. Duke
8. San Diego State

5. Utah
4. Georgetown

6. SMU
3. Iowa State

10. Davidson
2. Gonzaga


Sweet 16:

1. Duke
5. Utah

6. SMU
2. Gonzaga


Elite Eight:

5. Utah
6. SMU

I REALLY wanted to pick San Diego State over Duke, but I just couldn't do it. The Aztecs are great on defense, but so inept offensively. I think Duke will have an early exit regardless though.

Utah is my pick to get out of this weak region. The Utes being a five-seed is a joke. The Utes should be a two- or three-seed. What's even worse is Stephen F. Austin's seeding. SFA is a dangerous team, so the Selection Committee took notice and made sure to pit them against a very underseeded team. The crooks running the NCAA want SFA to lose, so I'm not going with that popular 12-5 upset.

SMU is another team that should be a higher seed. I have the Mustangs going to the Elite Eight, and I was so close to picking them over the Utes. I like Larry Brown and his tempo team to take down a Gonzaga squad that always disappoints as a higher seed in the NCAA Tournament.




West

Round 1:

(Omaha)
1. Wisconsin
16. Coastal Carolina

8. Oregon
9. Oklahoma State

(Jacksonville)
5. Arkansas
12. Wofford

4. North Carolina
13. Harvard

(Jacksonville)
6. Xavier
11. BYU / Ole Miss

3. Baylor
14. Georgia State

(Portland)
7. VCU
10. Ohio State

Wisc 2. Arizona
15. Texas Southern


Round 2:

1. Wisconsin
8. Oregon

12. Wofford
4. North Carolina

6. Xavier
3. Baylor

7. VCU
2. Arizona


Sweet 16:

1. Wisconsin
4. North Carolina

3. Baylor
2. Arizona


Elite Eight:

1. Wisconsin
2. Arizona

This is the best region this year. Arizona and Wisconsin are the second- and third-best teams in college basketball, so I don't understand why they're paired together. I wanted to have both advance to the Final Four prior to Selection Sunday, but that's not possible. I rate the Wildcats a tiny bit better than the Badgers, but it's super close.

I have another 12-5 upset here, as Arkansas is the weakest No. 5 in the tournament. The Razorbacks could also be flat off another loss to Kentucky, and they could also be looking ahead to North Carolina.

North Carolina, meanwhile, is getting some acclaim as a dangerous No. 4 seed, but I'm not buying it. In fact, I thought about picking Harvard in an upset. I'm not very high on the Tar Heels. They've been getting hype for beating Louisville and Virginia, but both teams aren't at full strength.




Final Four

1M. Kentucky
1W. Wisconsin

7S. Michigan State
5E. Utah

1M. Kentucky
7S. Michigan State

Kentucky-Wisconsin (or Kentucky-Arizona) is the real championship. I think both schools could beat Kentucky if they get lots of luck and Big Blue is having a poor outing. Ultimately though, Kentucky should be able to prevail and advance to play Michigan State.

I should note that there are two strategies you can utilize this year. The first is to just simply pick Kentucky. The second is to choose another team and aim to be safe otherwise. Everyone will be selecting Kentucky to win, so a decent strategy is to predict another champion and hope to get another Final Four team to secure an easy victory.

I'm going with the first plan because Kentucky is so dominant. Thus, because everyone will be taking the Wildcats and other top seeds, I've decided to go with some darkhorses in my Final Four. That would explain why I have a one, two, five and seven advancing to Indianapolis, though I do think they all have a great chance of emerging from their regions.



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Roger Dorn (Anonymous Poster)
10 month(s) 28 day(s) ago - hide
I don't understand how you think Utah should have been a 2 or 3 seed.  Who have they beaten?  They lost to Arizona twice, Oregon twice, Kansas, San Diego State.  They split with UCLA, who in my opinion should have never made the big dance.  Utah's biggest win was beating Wichita State by 1 in OT, which I believe was in Utah.  Nothing in there says they are worthy of a 2 or 3 seed.
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FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
10 month(s) 28 day(s) ago - hide

@Roger Dorn 

First of all if this really is TFM Roger Dorn...I'm a fan.

Second I think the intrigue with Utah is that they have 2 guys (1 guy 100%) who will be drafted in the first round in the upcoming draft. Delon Wright isnt talked about as much as other PGs like Tyrus Jones or D'Angelo Russel because 1) he's not a freshman 2) he plays in the pretty awful pac 12. He's a SENIOR though, which I think experience is so underrated in the tournament and his stats are legit (15,5,5). If you look at the past couple of teams that have played in the championship games, they all have one thing in common well known, experienced leaders @ PG who are one of, if not the, best players on their teams (UCONN- shabazz and kemba, louisville- peyton silva, michigan- trey burke, kentucky- marquis teague/harrison twins). 

Utah also has 10 guys who played at least 10 minutes a game, which probably explains why they were 10th in the nation in points allowed. Im not agreeing that UTAH will make it to the final 4, but I could understand why someone would pick them. Personally, if they can get past SFA, which will be extremely tough, and end up playing Duke, I like Utah.

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Roger Dorn (Anonymous Poster)
10 month(s) 28 day(s) ago - hide

@FAN91 

I am not at all saying I think it is a terrible pick to have them going far in the tournament.  I am just questioning why Walter says "The Utes being a five-seed is a joke. The Utes should be a two- or three-seed."  I always like to look at who have they beaten, and in looking at their schedule, it shows that Utah has fallen short to most of the tournament teams that they have faced during the season.  Based on that fact alone, there is no way one can say that their seeding is a "joke".

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FAN91 (Anonymous Poster)
10 month(s) 28 day(s) ago - hide
@Roger Dorn. I agree the 5 seed seems appropriate. They have a good team just havent played their best all season. If were talking about jokes, Georgetown being a 4 seed is the worst decision in a long time. I didnt even know georgetown basketball was still relevant. I guess beating NOVA once by 20 and losing to Wisco by 3 gives you a boost
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BCE 6 Posts (3 )
2 month(s) 5 day(s) ago - hide
@FAN91  They play well together.
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BeastMode (Anonymous Poster)
10 month(s) 27 day(s) ago - hide

i agree with your midwest predictions for the most part. kentucky and wichita st are the best teams by far, maryland is overrated, and this is a weak region. Even though notre dame has had tough luck in the past in the tournament, I like jerian grant and the way this team played lately. ND vs Wichita St. will be great.

I hate the east region. Villanova has such an easy path to the final 4, yet I think they are overrated and shouldnt be a 1 seed. They will find a way to mess things up. If you switch nova and virginias position, i wouldnt hesitate to put virginia in the elite 8 before carefully deciding who makes it to indianapolis. On that note, I like oklahoma or virginia to win it

the south will be fun. Duke and gonzaga both suck, but I like dukes chances more. This is NOT gonzagas best team in recent years, so I dont know why everyones talking about them. I think they can lose to iowa/davidson or smu/iowa st. I think winner of smu/iowa st will play duke in elite 8. I think utah can either lose in their first game, or make it to the end of the second weekend. Delon Wright is great, but other guys have to step up. Georgetown sucks.

I think all bball fans are praying that we will see an eventual zona and wisco matchup, but i think these teams are facing a lot of pressure since nearly everyone is predicting these teams to get there and the potential matchup with kentucky in the final 4 and everyone telling these 2 teams that they are the only teams with a legitimate chance to beat kentucky. I think zona has a easier road because I think baylor is the worst 3 seed and vcu/ohio st should not be a threat. I think wisco SHOULD beat UNC but could struggle against that dangerous offense. Just ask yourselves: what if marcus paige turns into a scoring machine like he was last year? I also dont think arkansas is as bad as you think they are. Bobby Portis is a stud and i trust him to show up. They could easily make it to the second weekend since no one really knows how unc will play each game.

final thoughts: Kentucky, Virginia, Iowa St., Arizona and Kentucky will beat Virginia in the title game

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daveyB (Anonymous Poster)
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@BeastMode  what a farce,i hail Mary swings the winner ats,su and o/u.
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BCE 6 Posts (3 )
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@daveyB You'd haft take into account the conference he played in.
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Top Flight Sports (Anonymous Poster)
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We have two winners going off in the next round of games and they can be yours absolutely free.  Visit the free picks tab at topflightsportsinfo.com or call us at 1-855-TOP-FLYT and pick up an easy 2-0 this afternoon.
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BCE. (Anonymous Poster)
2 month(s) 8 day(s) ago - hide

@BEST CAPPER EVER 

GO AWAY!!!!

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BCE. (Anonymous Poster)
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@BEST CAPPER EVER 

GO AWAY!!!!

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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER um
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER optimization
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER Ikea
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER treatment
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER tender
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER festivals
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@BEST CAPPER EVER tofu
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BEST CAPPER EVER 425 Posts (2822 )
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@BEST CAPPER EVER yowza
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@BEST CAPPER EVER utilities
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@BEST CAPPER EVER ferry
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@BEST CAPPER EVER looking
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@BEST CAPPER EVER knowledge
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@BEST CAPPER EVER 
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@BEST CAPPER EVER jumping
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@BEST CAPPER EVER humans
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