NBA Picks
NBA Picks (Oct. 27-Nov. 1): 4-4 (-$270)
NBA Picks (Nov. 2-8): 9-7 (+$270)
NBA Picks (Nov. 9-15): 3-4-1 (-$390)
NBA Picks (Nov. 16-22): 1-2 (-$130)
2009-10 NBA Picks (Season): 17-17-1 (-$520)
2008-09 NBA Picks (Season): 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks (Season): 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
NBA Picks (Nov. 2-8): 9-7 (+$270)
NBA Picks (Nov. 9-15): 3-4-1 (-$390)
NBA Picks (Nov. 16-22): 1-2 (-$130)
2009-10 NBA Picks (Season): 17-17-1 (-$520)
2008-09 NBA Picks (Season): 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks (Season): 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics
Line: Celtics by 6.
Major revenge spot for the Celtics after losing to the Magic in the playoffs last year.
NBA Pick: Celtics -6 (2 Units)
Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies
Line: Grizzlies by 5.
The Grizzlies are terrible and should never be laying points to anyone. This is an underdog pick, so I'm using the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Clippers +2.5 First Half (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Hornets
Line: Clippers by 2.
The Clippers should never be favored - especially on the road. This is an underdog pick, so I'm using the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Hornets +1 First Half (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Dallas Mavericks at Milwaukee Bucks
Line: Bucks by 1.5.
The Bucks are a really good team and this is their chance to prove themselves.
NBA Pick: Bucks -1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers
Line: Lakers by 9.5.
The Lakers are coming off a double-digit defeat. In the past season and nine games in this situation (excluding the playoffs), the Lakers are 1-7 ATS the following game. My guess is that Vegas assumes that Los Angeles won't lose two in a row and inflates the line. I'm not a huge fan of trends, but this seems legit. I'll take a shot with the Rockets.
NBA Pick: Rockets +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies
Line: Grizzlies by 9.
This line is way too out of hand. Memphis should be -3 at the very most. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5.5 First Half (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks
Line: Knicks by 3.
The Knicks are terrible and shouldn't be favored. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Warriors +1.5 First Half (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat
Line: Pick.
This is a statement game for the Heat. It's their chance to show the nation how good they are.
NBA Pick: Heat PK (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers
Line: Pacers by 5.5.
What exactly have the Pacers done to be favored by 5.5 points over anyone? This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Warriors +3 First Half Line (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Philadelphia 76ers at New Jersey Nets
Line: 76ers by 5.5.
I know the Nets are 0-7, but the 76ers are terrible. They should not be laying points on the road to anyone.
NBA Pick: Nets +3 First Half Line (2 Units) -- Push; $0
Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks
Line: Nuggets by 3.5.
The Bucks have built their 3-2 record by beating bad teams. I think they suffer total debaclation tonight.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -3.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
New Orleans Hornets at Phoenix Suns
Line: Suns by 6.5.
The Suns just had a long East Coast trip. Flying back out West could be a bit taxing for them. I think the Hornets take an early lead before finally losing late.
NBA Pick: Hornets +3.5 First Half Line (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors
Line: Warriors by 6.5.
The Warriors should not be -6.5 over anyone. They suck. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3.5 First Half Line (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks
Line: Bucks by 4.5.
The Bucks are not a good team at all, so I'll gladly take the points here. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Knicks +2.5 First Half Line (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers
Line: Clippers by 4.
The Clippers stink. They shouldn't be more than -3 over anyone.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2.5 First Half Line (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
New Jersey Nets at Philadelphia 76ers
Line: 76ers by 12.
I completely disagree with this line. The 76ers are not 12 points better than anyone - and this includes random Sun Belt teams in college basketball. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Nets +7 First Half Line (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves
Line: Timberwolves by 2.5.
I don't think the Timberwolves deserve to be favored.
NBA Pick: Bucks +1.5 First Half Line (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors
Line: Warriors by 4.5.
A bad team like Golden State shouldn't be -3 over anyone.
NBA Pick: Clippers +2.5 First Half Line (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz
Line: Spurs by 1.
The Jazz blew a big lead to the Mavericks two nights ago, so they'll be ready to jump on arch rival San Antonio. The Spurs might win this one at the end, but I could see Utah establishing a nice lead early. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Jazz +0.5 First Half Line (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic
Line: Magic by 8.
I'm done taking underdogs for the full game. I keep getting screwed in the second half. So from now on, whenever I take a dog, I'll be using the first-half line.
I am not taking the dog here. The Magic were flat last night because they were looking forward to this game.
NBA Pick: Magic -8 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks
Line: Knicks by 5.
The Knicks suck and shouldn't be favored. This is a dog, so I'm taking the first-half line.
NBA Pick: Pacers +2.5 First Half (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Denver Nuggets at New Jersey Nets
Line: Nuggets by 9.
The Nets are not as bad as their 0-4 record says they are. They battled the Magic close and led Charlotte at halftime.
NBA Pick: Nets +5 First Half (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
Line: Warriors by 6.
Like the Knicks, the Warriors blow and shouldn't be favored by this much.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +3 First Half (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Washington Bullets at Cleveland Cavaliers
Line: Cavaliers by 11.5.
If I lose another game that I appear to be easily winning at halftime, I'm going to debacle somebody. The Bullets always seem to get up for this rivalry. They hate the Cavs. The Cavs, meanwhile, don't give a damn about Washington.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers 95, Bullets 93
Bullets +11.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons
Line: Magic by 6.5.
You can't keep covering road games like this; eventually, you're going to take a loss. I think the Pistons have a good shot here.
NBA Pick: Magic 95, Pistons 93
Pistons +6.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder
Line: Lakers by 6.5.
The Lakers haven't covered a game yet, so I think this line is a bit lower than it should be. I'm laying the 6.5.
NBA Pick: Lakers 99, Thunder 89
Lakers -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks
Line: Mavericks by 6.
This spread is conspicuously low after Utah's huge loss to Houston. I think the Jazz rebound here.
NBA Pick: Jazz 104, Mavericks 97
Jazz +6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
New Jersey Nets at Charlotte Bobcats
Line: Bobcats by 7.
This line is ridiculous. The Bobcats are terrible.
NBA Pick: Nets 100, Bobcats 90
Nets +7 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings
Line: Kings by 1.
The Kings haven't played a home game yet, so their 0-3 start is a bit misleading. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are coming off a tough loss at Denver.
NBA Pick: Kings 108, Grizzlies 103
Kings -1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks
Line: Bucks by 3.
I don't think a bad team like the Bucks should be laying points - period. I'll take the three.
NBA Pick: Pistons 90, Bucks 86
Pistons +3 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers
Line: 76ers by 6.5.
OK, so the 76ers stink and can't play any defense. They shouldn't be favored by 6.5 over anyone at this point, including many college teams.
NBA Pick: 76ers 109, Bucks 108
Bucks +6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Orlando Magic at New Jersey Nets
Line: Magic by 10.5.
I think this spread is way too high. The Magic are a very good team, but the Nets should be able to cover the 10.5 at home.
NBA Pick: Magic 101, Nets 97
Nets +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls
Line: Spurs by 3.5.
The Bulls always seem to thrive in these Thursday night national TV home games.
NBA Pick: Bulls 97, Spurs 90
Bulls +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic
Line: Magic by 9.5.
This Magic team isn't the same team that went to the Finals last year. Hedo Turkoglu is gone, and the selfish Vince Carter has arrived. I don't think Carter will be as bad as advertised, but the fact remains that these Orlando players haven't meshed yet. This Sixers squad isn't terrible and will be looking for revenge after losing in the Doggone Playoff.
NBA Pick: Magic 96, 76ers 94
76ers +9.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder
Line: Thunder by 6.5.
What did the Thunder ever do to be considered 6.5-point favorites in this league? I know the Kings suck, but Oklahoma City should not be favored by more than 3-4 against anyone.
NBA Pick: Thunder 101, Kings 100
Kings +6.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers
Line: Cavaliers by 5.
The Cavaliers always beat the Celtics at home. With that knowledge, I'm confused as to why this line is only -5. I feel that this is a statement game for Boston. They'll want to let the league know that they are back.
NBA Pick: Celtics 94, Cavaliers 90
Celtics +5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Washington Bullets at Dallas Mavericks
Line: Mavericks by 8.
I don't think this Mavericks team is good enough to be laying eight to a quality team like Washington. The Bullets had a ton of injuries last year, but now they have everyone back. This contest could go either way.
NBA Pick: Mavericks 104, Bullets 102
Bullets +8 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
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