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NBA Picks

NBA Picks (Dec. 26-29): 3-1 (+$390)
NBA Picks (Dec. 30-Jan. 5): 5-2 (+$370)
NBA Picks (Jan. 6-12): 3-3 (+$60)
NBA Picks (Jan. 13-19): 3-4 (-$140)
NBA Picks (Jan. 20-26): 4-4 (+$60)
NBA Picks (Jan. 27-Feb. 2): 3-2 (+$80)
NBA Picks (Feb. 3-9): 3-4 (-$140)
NBA Picks (Feb. 10-16): 2-1-1 (-$20)
NBA Picks (Feb. 17-23): 3-1-2 (+$190)
NBA Picks (Feb. 24-March 2): 3-2-1 (-$30)
NBA Picks (March 3-9): 4-5 (-$150)
NBA Picks (March 17-23): 0-1 (-$110)
NBA Picks (March 24-30): 2-2 (+$180)

2013-14 NBA Picks (Season): 38-32-4 (+$750)
2012-13 NBA Picks (Season): 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks (Season): 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks (Season): 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks (Season): 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks (Season): 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks (Season): 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Friday, April 4, 2014


Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Mavericks by 8.

10:30 PM ET (Game 527-528)

This spread is way too high. The Lakers have been competitive in most of their recent games. They even beat the Suns this past Sunday. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are coming off a huge win last night against the Clippers, so they could be a bit tired. There's so much public money coming in on Dallas, yet this spread is dropping. That's an indication that the Lakers are the right side.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +8 (1 Unit)

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Friday, March 28, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Spurs by 8.

9:00 PM ET (Game 869-870)

I took the Nuggets at +13.5 in San Antonio, so I obviously have to like them at +8 at home, right? I think they're the right side again. San Antonio hasn't beaten many opponents with winning records by large margins during its winning streak. The Spurs also have to play tomorrow night, so they may not go at 100 percent, especially in altitude. It's also worth noting that there has been sharp action on Denver ever since the spread rose to +8.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +8 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110








Thursday, March 27, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Clippers by 1.

8:30 PM ET (Game 807-808)

Three reasons to take Dallas tonight: 1) This game means much more to the Mavericks, who are currently tied for the eighth spot in the Western Conference. Los Angeles has a comfortable lead in its division. 2) The Clippers haven't been playing good basketball lately. They just lost to the Pelicans last night, so they haven't had time to fix what's wrong. 3) There's sharp action on the home underdog.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, March 26, 2014 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 13.5.

8:30 PM ET (Game 765-766)

The Spurs are on a 14-game winning streak, but do you know how many teams with winning records they've beaten by more than this posted spread in this span? One. That's it. They should be able to pull out another victory tonight, but this line is just way too high when considering how well the Nuggets have played lately. Denver is 5-3 in its previous eight, having beaten the Heat and the Clippers. I like them to cover tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +13.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Tuesday, March 25, 2014 (1-0, +$200)


New York Knicks at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Knicks by 7.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 657-658)

Perception versus reality. Perception: The Knicks are hot (won eight of nine), while the Lakers are cold (2-7 last nine). Reality: The Knicks have played crap teams to win their games, while the Lakers have battled the Spurs twice, Thunder twice and Clippers in that span. This spread is too high, and there's too much action on the inflated road favorite. The sharps love the Lakers, and so do I.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +7.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Wednesday, March 19, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Toronto Raptors at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 607-608)

Sorry for my hiatus, but I'm back. I was busy with all of the NFL Free Agents. I'm coming back with the (surprise) Pelicans, who are getting sharp action tonight. The Raptors played last night and have the Thunder coming up on Friday, so they could be distracted.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, March 9, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Heat by 4.5.

1:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

Two reasons why I'm taking Miami today: First, the Heat is 14-3 straight up, 12-5 against the spread following two or more consecutive losses over the past three seasons. Second, the Bulls have compiled a good record because they try so much harder than everyone else. The problem is that they can't win if the other team tries just as hard. Miami will be giving maximum effort today after coming off two straight defeats.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat -4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110



Saturday, March 8, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Charlotte Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 9.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

This spread opened at +6.5, but it has risen to +9 since, meaning there's good value with the Hornets/Bobcats. Memphis played a tough game at Chicago last night and could be tired. Charlotte also played last night, but it's more likely to be up for this matchup.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +9 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, March 7, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 10.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 817-818)

This spread is an overreaction from last night's blowout loss. The Lakers won at Portland on Monday, so it's not like they're completely inept. The Nuggets, meanwhile, have just two victories since Feb. 5, so they don't deserve to be favored by this much.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +10.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, March 6, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 3.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I'm going to continue to back the Heat. They let me down on Tuesday, but they were playing the second game of a back-to-back. They're coming off rest now, and I'm sure they'll be completely focused for San Antonio. Speaking of the Spurs, they are just 4-7 straight up and 2-9 against the spread versus opponents that have a .667 record or better this year.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, March 5, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Grizzlies by 2.

7:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)

One of the reasons I bet the Nets on Monday is because it was their chance to go to .500. Well, if they're victorious tonight, they'll have a winning record for the first time all year. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are a bit overrated, as they've covered the spread just four times in their previous 14 games.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets +2 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, March 4, 2014 (0-2, -$220)


Miami Heat at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 1.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 507-508)

Once again, I'm going with Miami. The team is just locked in and ready to crush everyone. It played last night, but Dwyane Wade wasn't on the court. Wade is extra motivated tonight, as someone said he doesn't belong in the top 10 ahead of James Harden.

NBA Pick: Heat +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

This spread doesn't make much sense to me. Factoring in three points for homecourt, this line says the Clippers are 7.5 points better than Phoenix. That's just not right, even with Eric Bledsoe out. There's so much money on the Clippers, so perhaps Phoenix will cover because Vegas has such a liability on this game.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, March 3, 2014 (2-0, +$200)


Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 3.

7:30 PM ET (Game 703-704)

The Bulls are on fire, so why is this spread rising in Brookyln's favor despite lots of money coming in on Chicago? A few reasons: First, the Bulls registered most of their victories against inferior competition. Second, this is a big revenge game for the Nets, who suffered a blowout loss to Chicago a few weeks ago. And finally, the Nets can get to .500 with a victory, so this is huge for them.

NBA Pick: Nets -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 12.

7:30 PM ET (Game 705-7-6)

As I wrote on Saturday, Miami seems to be on a mission right now. Just like at this time last year, the Heat is trying to finish strong so it heads into the playoffs on a roll. This should be a complete blowout. The Hornets/Bobcats, meanwhile, have to be exhausted after battling Oklahoma City tough last night.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat -12 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, March 1, 2014 (0-0-1, $0)


Orlando Magic at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 14.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I'm usually not one to lay tons of points, but Miami seems to be on a mission right now. Just like at this time last year, the Heat is trying to finish strong so it heads into the playoffs on a roll. This should be a complete blowout. It's also worth noting that the Magic have failed to cover in four of its previous five meetings with Miami.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat -14 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Friday, Feb. 28, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 4.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 801-802)

I'm going with the Jazz again, who have been playing some good basketball lately. They have tomorrow night off, so they can concentrate on this game more than the Cavaliers can; Cleveland plays tomorrow night against Memphis. It's also worth noting that the Cavs are coming off a big win against Oklahoma City, so they could have a letdown.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Feb. 27, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nets by 1.

10:30 PM ET (Game 507-508)

The Nets are coming off a blowout loss against Portland, so that could play into their favor; they are 5-2 against the spread this year after losing by 20 or more. I don't like that they're playing in altitude on no rest, but the Nuggets are a disaster area right now. They've failed to cover in eight of their previous nine games. Also, this spread has moved two points in Brooklyn's direction despite there being equal action. That indicates that the Nets are the right side.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nets -1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Feb. 26, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz.
Line: Jazz by 1.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)

The Suns opened as two-point favorites, but the line has moved 3.5 points in Utah's direction despite there being tons of action on Phoenix. The Suns could be tired from playing last night, while the Jazz has won four of seven.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz -1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 3.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Suns are coming off an emotional loss and could struggle to get up for this game. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves, who have won three of four, don't play their next game until Saturday, so they'll be completely focused for this matchup.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Feb. 24, 2014 (0-1, -$220)


Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Clippers at 4.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Clippers had a huge victory over the Thunder yesterday. Do you think they'll be motivated to play the "lowly" Pelicans after traveling on no rest? I think they'll take this game off. If so, New Orleans will win; the team is underrated and has been a covering machine in February. There's so much money on Los Angeles tonight; Vegas has a big liability on the road favorite.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +4.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Sunday, Feb. 23, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Rockets by 1.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)

The Rockets keep getting credit they don't deserve. They shouldn't have been favored at Golden State, and the same applies here. Houston won eight consecutive games prior to Thursday night's loss, but all eight victories were either at home or on the road against crappy opponents. The Suns should be -2.5 or -3, so we're getting about four points of value with them.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Feb. 22, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


New Orleans Pelicans at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bullets by 6.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

I must be smitten with the Pelicans because I keep picking them. I just don't think they should be underdogs by nearly a touchdown against an Eastern Conference team. Washington is 8-14 versus the West.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Feb. 21, 2014 (0-0-1, $0)


New Orleans Pelicans at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Hornets by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 801-802)

The Hornets/Bobcats have a better record than the Pelicans, but we all know that New Orleans is the superior team because it plays in the Western Conference. With that in mind, this spread is just way too high. It should be about pick 'em.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +3 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Thursday, Feb. 20, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Rockets by 1.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I know Andrew Bogut is out for Golden State, but I'm not buying Houston as a road favorite in this matchup, especially given that the Warriors play so well at home. Besides, the Rockets used a lot of energy last night to help Dwight Howard get his revenge and then traveled on no rest.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Pacers by 3.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 711-712)

The Pacers played last night, so they could be tired after traveling to play the rested Timberwolves. Minnesota has played very well against Eastern opponents this year, which shouldn't be a surprise. This spread doesn't make much sense to me considering that fact.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2014 (0-0-1, $0)


Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 10.

7:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Hawks usually play the Pacers tough. This is a big game for them because they hate Indiana and recently lost to them. Ten points is way too much, especially when considering that Indiana has to travel and play a road game tomorrow night.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +10 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Thursday, Feb. 13, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Thunder by 11.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

There is a ton of money coming in on Oklahoma City tonight, yet this spread has dropped from -11.5 to -10.5 in most places (it's -11 -115 at Bovada). If that doesn't tell you the Lakers are the right side, I just feel like this number is way too large. Only truly inept teams deserve to be double-digit home underdogs in the NFL and NBA. The Lakers are bad, but they're not truly inept (like the Sixers are right now, for example).

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Lakers +11 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Sacramento Kings at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 713-714)

Ugh, right side, wrong result last night. I still have no idea how Phoenix didn't cover. At any rate, I'm taking the Kings tonight. The Knicks have been playing like crap lately, and they happen to be coming off an emotional loss against Oklahoma City.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2014 (0-1, -$220)


Miami Heat at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Heat by 4.

9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The NBA season is very long, so it's difficult for teams to bring 100 percent every night. This will be especially challenging for Miami in this contest. The Heat has a bigger game against Golden State tomorrow night, so it may conserve energy - especially considering that LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh will all be playing in the All-Star game coming up. The Suns don't have any All-Stars, and they also don't have another game for a week, so this is their "Super Bowl." While Miami won't be at 100 percent, Phoenix will be doing everything in its power to prove to the nation that it can compete with the NBA's best.

On top of this, we have reverse line movement, which favors the Suns. This spread opened at +4, yet it's down to +3 or +3.5 in most places, save for Bovada, where you can still get Phoenix at +4 -105.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns +4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Monday, Feb. 10, 2014 (0-0-1, $0)


New Orleans Pelicans at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Raptors by 7.

7:00 PM ET (Game 703-704)

I'm going to try the Pelicans again. They were blown out last night, but in a back-to-back, they may have been conserving their energy. The Raptors have the better record, but it's deceiving because they play in the Eastern Conference. They have a losing record versus Western opponents. They also could be emotionally drained from losing to the Clippers at the end of their long road trip.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +7 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0





Sunday, Feb. 9, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


New Orleans Pelicans at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 5.

6:00 PM ET (Game 805-806)

This is a similar game as Grizzlies-Hawks. The Pelicans and Nets have the same amount of victories, but New Orleans is much better because it plays in the toughest conference (and most taxing division). We're getting points with the better team, so I can't turn that down. The sharps can't either, apparently.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Feb. 8, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 1.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

These teams have similar records, yet one is much better than the other. Memphis plays in the much tougher Western Conference, which would explain why it's 9-4 versus Eastern teams compared to 17-18 against Western foes. Meanwhile, Atlanta has an 8-11 record when playing non-conference tilts. Despite equal action on both sides, this spread has moved one point in Memphis' favor, indicating that the Grizzlies are the right side.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Feb. 7, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics.
Line: Kings by 2.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 809-810)

I'm usually not one to take road favorites, but this will be an exception. The sharps have bet the Kings up 1.5 points for good reason; they're a hot team that is fully capable of taking care of Eastern Conference trash like Boston. DeMarcus Cousins' return to the lineup has been a huge boost.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings -2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Feb. 6, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili are all out. So what? The Spurs won without those three in Golden State as seven-point underdogs. They also covered in a loss to Miami without their three stars last season. This San Antonio team is deep, and the rest of the players will shine. It's also worth noting that the Spurs are 9-3 straight up, 8-4 against the spread in the second game of back-to-backs.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Spurs +6 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Pick.

10:00 PM ET (Game 721-722)

I'm going with what worked Monday night. The Kings are starting to gain momentum and have proven that they can handle decent Eastern Conference foes at home. Toronto, meanwhile, has to be exhausted, playing its fourth road game in six days. It's worth noting that Pinny, the sharpest book on the Web, is dying for its customers to take the Raptors, listing them at +1.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings PK (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Feb. 4, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Pacers by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 501-502)

The public is pounding the Pacers, yet there has been reverse line movement, as the spread has dropped from -3.5 to -3 in most books (Bovada, a square shop, still has -3.5). Casual bettors are ignoring the fact that Atlanta is the better team and will be playing on two days' rest. The Pacers, meanwhile, took the court last night and haven't been very good lately, failing to cover five of their previous seven games. The two exceptions have come against the crappy Lakers and Magic, and I'd say Atlanta is just a bit better than those squads.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Feb. 3, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Chicago Bulls at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 1.

10:00 PM ET (Game 721-722)

I'm fading the Bulls again, as they continue to have a "halo effect" after Wednesday's victory at San Antonio. The Kings have a brutal record, but they've been a lot better lately. They're actually a decent 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS in home games against Eastern Conference foes. The sharps are on Sacramento as well.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings -1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Feb. 1, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Chicago Bulls at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The public just saw the Bulls upset the Spurs on Wednesday, so they're betting a ton on them tonight. The sharps are on the Pelicans, however, knowing that New Orleans has won four of its previous six and hails from the superior conference. Chicago could be feeling a little too good about itself following the San Antonio victory.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 31, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 1.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)

This game is similar to the one last night: A solid team from a better conference that is missing a key player (Ty Lawson) is taking on an inferior opponent. The Raptors also have to worry about playing tomorrow night. This spread doesn't make much sense to me, so I like Denver.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Denver -1.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Thursday, Jan. 30, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Phoenix Suns at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Pacers by 12.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I like picking good teams missing key players because the rest of the squad tends to step up. The Suns should not be underdogs of this many points. They're just too good. The Pacers, meanwhile, are coming back from a long road trip and haven't been playing very well lately. I also like the idea of picking a Western Conference team in a non-conference matchup. The sharps, by the way, are on Phoenix at +12 and +12.5.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Suns +12.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons.
Line: Pistons by 7.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

Four reasons to take the Magic tonight: First, Orlando has been playing better of late, covering four of its previous seven. Second, Detroit is favored by too much for a pedestrian team. Third, the Pistons take on the Hawks tomorrow night, so they may save some energy for that game. And finally, the sharps are betting Orlando tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Magic +7 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Jan. 27, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.

8:00 PM ET (Game 709-710)

We're not getting a great number, as the Timberwolves have been pushed up by the sharps from -1.5 to -4, but they appear to be the right side. Minnesota has dominated Eastern teams this year, while the Bulls have struggled against the West. I haven't done well picking road favorites this year, but perhaps my luck will change.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Jan. 26, 2014


Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 2.

6:00 PM ET (Game 807-808)

There's sharp action on the Cavaliers. The Suns are the better team, but they're in a tough spot. They're beginning their East Coast road trip and have a game tomorrow night, so they might be looking to conserve energy. Besides, they haven't played very well recently, going 3-5 in their previous eight games, most of which were at home.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -2 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 25, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Pacers by 2.

9:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The Pacers played last night and will be asked to beat a tough Denver team in altitude on the latter half of a back-to-back. That will prove to be difficult. The Nuggets, meanwhile, had last night off, so they'll be rested for this big game. The sharps have bet this down from +4 to +2, so we're not getting as much value on Denver, but the home dog is still the right side.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +2 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Jan. 24, 2014 (1-1, -$10)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics.
Line: Thunder by 7.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 811-812)

The public is pounding Oklahoma City, while the wise guys are all over Boston. The sharpest sportsbook, Pinny, is begging you to take the Thunder, listing it at -6.5 +100. The squarest book, Bovada, has the spread at 7.5. The Celtics have been better lately - they nearly beat Miami recently - while Oklahoma City has another game on Saturday, so it could take it easy. This is the first of my two picks tonight.

NBA Pick: Celtics +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110


Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 3.

10:30 PM ET (Game 825-826)

The sharp bettors are also taking the Timberwolves, as you can see with the spread dropping 1.5 points in their favor despite public money on Golden State. The Wariors have struggled immensely lately, covering just one of their previous six games. Minnesota is playing better basketball right now.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, Jan. 23, 2014 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers.
Line: Trail Blazers by 7.

10:30 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I love the Nuggets tonight, so hopefully they can help me snap out of my funk. The sharps are all over them too, and for good reason. They've had three days off to prepare for this nationally televised contest. The Blazers, meanwhile, are coming off an emotional loss against the Thunder. They may not be up for playing against an "inferior" team.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets +7 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic.
Line: Hawks by 5.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 705-706)

It's not often that the sharps pound a road favorite, but that's what's happening here. The Hawks should easily dispatch the Magic, a team that has quit in many games this season. Orlando is playing its third game in four nights and the latter contest in a back-to-back. It could be tired against a far superior team.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks -5.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Tuesday, Jan. 21, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 509-510)

The public has bet Minnesota all the way up from -3.5 to -4.5, and now the sharps are betting on the Jazz. It's easy to see why. Minnesota just beat Utah a couple of days ago, so there's a revenge factor for the home dog. Also, the Jazz are the hotter team (7-3 ATS last 10), while the Timberwolves could be looking ahead to their matchups against the Warriors and Blazers.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Jazz +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Monday, Jan. 20, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 2.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 715-716)

There's some public action on the Blazers because they're getting points as the team with the better record. However, there's some sharp action on the Rockets, who have won four of five. They'll be up for the Blazers, who may not be focused on tonight's contest because they have to battle Oklahoma City tomorrow.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Rockets -2.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Sunday, Jan. 19, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 8.5.

7:00 PM ET (Game 807-808)

Ugh, tough beat last night. I'm going with the Kings again. I mentioned how hot they've been on Friday. They've won four of six and covered five of the games in that span. The Thunder, meanwhile, is playing its third game in four days, fresh off a track-meet victory over the Warriors. Kevin Durant could be especially fatigued after going for a career high. The sharps are all over the Kings, and so am I.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Kings +8.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 18, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Heat by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

It's always scary to bet against the Heat, but they're just 17-22 against the spread this year. LeBron and his teammates just don't care too much about most of these regular-season games. Given that they played last night, they could take it easy in this contest against the Hornets, who have won two of three. The sharps love Charlotte tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Jan. 17, 2014 (1-1, -$10)


Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 5.5.

8:00 PM ET (Game 815-816)

I'm actually making two picks tonight, both of which will be road underdogs. The Kings are very hot right now, winning four of five. The sharps are on them as well, as perhaps they recognize that the Grizzlies have just one victory by more than eight points since Dec. 28. Memphis keeps things close, so Sacramento will have a chance to win tonight.

NBA Pick: Kings +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100


Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 1.

9:30 PM ET (Game 823-824)

This seems so easy for the public. Oklahoma City by one? They'll win for sure! Well, the sharps are on the Warriors. They recognize that the Thunder is just 4-5 in its previous nine games and could be tired from last night's victory over Houston. Golden State lost the last time these teams met, so there's a revenge factor.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors +1 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 4.5.

10:30 PM ET (Game 723-724)

The Clippers are in a tough situational spot, as they have to pack their bags for a long East Coast trip that begins on Friday with a game at New York. It's going to be tough for them to be completely focused for the Mavericks, who have won four of their previous five games. Dallas, which will be seeking revenge for an earlier loss this season, is getting sharp action tonight.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Mavericks +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Jan. 14, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 1.

8:00 PM ET (Game 505-506)

I've been in a slump lately, so hopefully I can get out of it. I know the sharps are all over the Grizzlies tonight, and I'll be going in that direction as well. The Thunder has struggled recently, going just 4-3 in its previous seven. The Grizzlies should be favored; they're on fire lately, winning seven of their previous 11, as they've covered six in a row.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +1 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Monday, Jan. 13, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Nuggets by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 713-714)

The sharps have driven up this line, so there's not as much value as the Nuggets as there was when they opened at -3, but I still like them. They're very hot, having won and covered their previous four. They'll also want revenge on the Jazz for beating them in the middle of December.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -5.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Sunday, Jan. 12, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Spurs by 6.

7:00 PM ET (Game 805-806)

This is a huge game for the Timberwolves. They'll want to do everything in their power to beat San Antonio. The Spurs, meanwhile, have to play tomorrow night, so they won't be focused for a team they've already beaten this year. The sharps like Minnesota, and so do I.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +6 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Jan. 11, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Houston Rockets at Washington Bullets.
Line: Rockets by 2.

7:00 PM ET (Game 503-504)

I'm joining the sharps in picking against the Rockets again. As I mentioned yesterday, Houston hasn't been playing well lately, as the team hasn't covered the spread since Dec. 26. Washington, on the other hand, had been performing above expectations prior to last night's blowout loss at Indiana. I'll chalk that up as a mulligan.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Bullets +2 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Jan. 10, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Rockets by 2.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 805-806)

I'm going with the Hawks as a home underdog again. I feel like their victory over the Pacers could spark them going forward. The Rockets, meanwhile, aren't playing their best basketball right now, as they haven't covered the spread since Dec. 26. They also play tomorrow night, so they'll be worried about that. The sharps are on Atlanta, and so am I.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +2.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, Jan. 9, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Miami Heat at New York Knicks.
Line: Heat by 8.

8:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I usually like to take home underdogs, but I'm going with a road favorite tonight. The sharps are as well. Despite equal betting action, this spread has risen from -7 to -8 or -8.5. The reason the wise guys are pounding the Heat is because the Knicks are dealing with some sort of illness. Tyson Chandler (doubtful), Kenyon Martin and Andrea Bargniani are all sick. Miami is healthy and has a big advantage here.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Heat -8 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Pacers by 5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Hawks have been waiting for this game all year. Indiana knocked them out of the playoffs last spring, so they want revenge. The Pacers, meanwhile, just played last night, so they could be a bit tired. The public is pounding Indiana, while the sharps are all over the Hawks. That's why this spread has dropped from -5 to -4.5 or -4, though it's still +5 at Bovada.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hawks +5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2014 (1-0, +$200)


San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Spurs by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 511-512)

The public is pounding San Antonio like there's no tomorrow, but the sharps are picking the home underdog. Why? Well, this is a tough spot for the Spurs, who beat the Clippers in a big game recently and have to worry about the Mavericks tomorrow night. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies, who are 5-3 in their previous eight contests, don't play again until Friday. They're going to put everything into this game because they hate the Spurs, who have already beaten them twice this year.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +6 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Sunday, Jan. 5, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Mavericks by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 811-812)

The Mavericks are coming off an emotional loss against the Clippers, while the Knicks have seemed to gain some positive momentum after beating the Spurs. The sharps are on New York, and I will be as well.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Knicks +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Saturday, Jan. 4, 2014 (0-1, -$110)


Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Nets by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 505-506)

The Cavaliers are getting a ton of sharp action. The line movement has to confuse the public, but the wise guys apparently don't care about Kyrie Irving's absence. The Nets, who put all of their energy into Thursday's win over the Thunder, are favored by way too much for a team that's just 2-6 in its previous eight games. Brooklyn will be flat for this contest.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +6.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Friday, Jan. 3, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics.
Line: Pelicans by 3.5.

7:30 PM ET (Game 803-804)

There's some sharp money on the Celtics tonight, and that seems to be the right side. I don't know who the Pelicans are to be laying 3.5 points on the road when they're just 1-6 in their previous seven away games. New Orleans has to worry about battling Indiana tomorrow night, so it may not be completely focused.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Celtics +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Thursday, Jan. 2, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Suns by 5.5.

9:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

The Grizzlies have struggled this year, but they've played better lately, having won three of five. The sharps have taken noticed of this and have pounded this line down. The public is all over Phoenix, predictably, as casual bettors are not taking into account that the Suns could be flat off their big victory against the Clippers.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Wednesday, Jan. 1, 2014 (1-0, +$100)


Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 9.

9:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

As bad as the Sixers have been, the Nuggets don't deserve to be favored by this much. They've been terrible lately and happen to be coming off a very crushing loss against the Heat. Philadelphia has enjoyed extra rest, so it'll have the stamina to endure Denver's thin-air environment. The sharps are also on the Sixers.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: 76ers +9 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2013 (0-1, -$220)


Portland Trailblazers at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 6.

8:00 PM ET (Game 513-514)

I'm once again going against the Blazers, who are in a major funk right now. The sharps have pounded the Thunder up from -4.5 to -6, and I still think there's value with an Oklahoma City team that will be very motivated to avenge a loss to Portland earlier in the season. I did some research, and the Thunder is 111-71 against the spread in revenge games. That makes sense, as you're getting Kevin Durant at his best.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Thunder -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220





Monday, Dec. 30, 2013 (1-0, +$200)


Portland Trailblazers at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Trailblazers by 2.

8:00 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The public is pounding the hell out of the Blazers, yet this spread is moving in New Orleans' favor. The sharps are all over the Pelicans, and for good reason. First of all, New Orleans is a "bet on" team right now because it's better than its record indicares. Second, Portland is coming off a very emotional loss to Miami, so it won't be up for this "inferior" opponent.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +2 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Sunday, Dec. 29, 2013 (0-1, -$110)


Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Warriors by 7.

6:00 PM ET (Game 803-804)

Road favorites usually aren't sharp plays, but that's the case in this scenario. The wise guy shave bet up the Warriors from -5.5 to -7, and for good reason. Golden State is on fire and happens to be coming off rest. It has nothing to look back on and nothing to look forward to. The Cavaliers, however, just played a tough game last night and could be tired.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Warriors -7 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110





Saturday, Dec. 28, 2013 (1-0, +$100)


Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 6.

7:30 PM ET (Game 509-510)

You may expect me to fade the Hornets after they suffered a close loss to the Thunder last night, but I'm going the other way. The sharps are all over Charlotte, and it's easy to see why. The Hawks have played three overtimes in their previous two games, and the most recent one proved costly, as Al Horford was lost for the year. Atlanta also has to worry about playing tomorrow night, so with all of these things going against the host, I'll take the points.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Hornets/Bobcats +6 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100





Friday, Dec. 27, 2013 (1-0, +$200)


Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans.
Line: Pelicans by 3.

8:00 PM ET (Game 811-812)

The Pelicans are the best side I can find today. They've been on and off this season, but they've seemed to find themselves after nearly beating Portland and achieving a victory after that. The Nuggets, meanwhile, have been smacked around by superior opponents recently and they have to worry about playing Memphis tomorrow night, so they could be flat and unfocused for this contest. The sharps are all over New Orleans.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Pelicans -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





Thursday, Dec. 26, 2013 (1-0, +$200)


Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Hawks by 3.

7:00 PM ET (Game 501-502)

I haven't made NBA selections thus far because I wanted to concentrate more on my NFL Picks. However, football season is winding down, so I'll be posting NBA picks almost every day going forward.

I'm starting off with the Cavaliers +3. The sharps are all over this home dog, quite possibly because the Hawks suffered an unbelivably emotional loss against the Heat earlier this week. I can't imagine Atlanta getting up for Cleveland.

I may post another pick later. If so, I'll tweet it out. I'll have updates on Twitter - @walterfootball.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200





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