College Football Picks: Week 3 Bowl Games, 2017-18
College Football Picks (Week 1, 2017): 3-2 (+$55) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2017): 2-2-1 (-$50) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2017): 3-2 (+$165) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2017): 3-2 (+$250) College Football Picks (Week 5, 2017): 0-5 (-$1,445) College Football Picks (Week 6, 2017): 0-5 (-$1,430) College Football Picks (Week 7, 2017): 4-1 (+$570) College Football Picks (Week 8, 2017): 3-2 (+$250) College Football Picks (Week 9, 2017): 1-4 (-$765) College Football Picks (Week 10, 2017): 4-0-1 (+$1,100) College Football Picks (Week 11, 2017): 0-4-1 (-$1,225) College Football Picks (Week 12, 2017): 3-2 (+$265) College Football Picks (Week 13, 2017): 2-3 (-$490) College Football Picks (Week 14, 2017): 3-2 (+$155) College Football Picks (Week 1 Bowls, 2017): 2-3 (-$370) College Football Picks (Week 2 Bowls, 2017): 1-4 (-$910)
College Football Picks (2017 Season): 34-43-3 (-$3,875) College Football Picks (2016 Season): 48-36-2 (+$1,070) College Football Picks (2015 Season): 42-44 (-$560) College Football Picks (2014 Season): 46-39-1 (-$325) College Football Picks (2013 Season): 52-33 (+$3,970) College Football Picks (2012 Season): 45-34-1 (+$2,500) College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
Stanford vs. TCU. Line: TCU by 3.5. Thursday, 9:00 p.m.
I took Stanford against USC earlier this month because the Cardinal had improved since making a quarterback change. Stanford should carry that over into this postseason exhibition game, so I love getting the hook against a TCU squad that had high hopes earlier in the year, but faded after a 7-0 start. The Frogs were not competitive with Oklahoma in either of its two meetings, so I'm wondering why they're even favored in this matchup.
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College Football Pick: Stanford +3.5 (3 Units)
N.C. State vs. Arizona State. Line: N.C. State by 7. Friday, 3:00 p.m.
It's sounding like N.C. State's best player, Bradley Chubb, will not play in this game. He's making the smart decision, as he's preparing to be a top-five pick in the 2018 NFL Draft. Meanwhile, Arizona State fired head coach Todd Graham, but he's actually sticking around to coach this postseason exhibition contest, so that could mean that his players rally behind him.
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College Football Pick: Arizona State +7 (3 Units)
Louisville vs. Mississippi State. Line: Louisville by 6.5. Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
Mississippi State seems incredibly outmatched in this game. The Bulldogs have lost their head coach, defensive coordinator and quarterback. How in the world are they going to prepare and keep up with Lamar Jackson?
College Football Pick: Louisville -6.5 (3 Units)
Georgia vs. Oklahoma. Line: Georgia by 2. Monday, 5:00 p.m.
The Sooners are a public dog, which bodes well for Georgia. Everyone wants to bet on Baker Mayfield, but Heisman winners often fare poorly in late December and January games because of distractions. The fact that this is a playoff game could mean that Mayfield is fully focused, but even if he is, he'll be battling an SEC defense that should be able to clamp down on him and his offense.
College Football Pick: Georgia -2 (2 Units)
Alabama vs. Clemson. Line: Alabama by 3. Monday, 8:45 p.m.
Sign me up for Nick Saban with a long time to prepare for a game. Saban is the best coach in college football, and he'll prove that by getting revenge on the team that beat him in the national championship. Deshaun Watson won't be around to save the Tigers this time.
Alabama vs. Georgia. Line: Alabama by 5. Monday, 8:45 p.m.
I loved Alabama in the semi-final because Nick Saban had tons of time to prepare for that game. Great college football coaches are near-locks when they have lots of time to get ready for a game, and I'm kicking myself for not wagering on Urban Meyer's Ohio State program versus USC for the same reason.
I'd like Alabama to cover if it had extra time heading into this contest, but that's not the case. Saban is already complaining about the quick turn-around, so it appears as though he knows he has lost his edge. He has also lost one of his key linebackers in the semi-final, which will make it more difficult to defend Georgia's elite running attack.
I like the Bulldogs to cover. These teams are even in my book, so I'm going to take the team getting five points (Georgia is +5 at Bovada at the moment). Alabama is favored by more than a field goal everywhere because of brand recognition, but Georgia has been just as good this year.
FINAL THOUGHTS: The public is on Alabama. The sharps are all over Georgia. This spread has fallen to +3.5 because of pro money on the Bulldogs, though it's still +5 at Bovada. I still like Georgia quite a bit. There's a stat circulating that Nick Saban is 11-0 against his former assistants, but most of those victories came against inferior programs. Georgia has equal talent, yet is more than a field-goal underdog. I think there's a good chance the Bulldogs cover, especially since they're basically at home.