College Football Picks (Weeks 1-2, 2008): 6-6 (-$50) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2008): 3-2 (+$780) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2008): 3-2 (+$340) College Football Picks (Week 5, 2008): 2-3 (+$10)
By the way, the second-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.
Penn State (5-0) at Purdue (2-2) Line: Penn State by 13. Saturday, 12:00 ET
I didn't pick the Penn State game last week because I thought the oddsmakers were right on point with the line. I was correct, as the Penn State-Illinois game pushed.
I don't think this contest will be as close. Purdue's Joe Tiller is one of the worst big-game coaches in college football history. He's going to find a way to screw this up. Trust me. He'll probably have Curtis Painter running the spread option or something. Penn State's too good.
Prediction: Penn State 45, Purdue 14 Penn State -13 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200 Penn State 20, Purdue 6
Florida (3-1) at Arkansas (2-2) Line: Florida by 25. Saturday, 12:30 ET
Florida figures to be extremely flat after its loss to Ole Miss. Because college football is stupid and lacks a playoff system, top 25 teams coming off their first loss tend to suck the following week, as they have very little hope of winning the national championship.
Now, the question is whether or not Arkansas even has enough talent to hang with an emotionally drained Gators squad. The Razorbacks' lack of quality players and coaches is the only reason I'm holding this to only two units; otherwise, this would be a huge play for me.
South Carolina (3-2) at Ole Miss (3-2) Line: Ole Miss by 2.5. Saturday, 2:00 ET
After beating Florida, I'm not sure how Ole Miss will bring that same intensity as a home favorite against South Carolina. The Rebels' upset over the Gators has forced a lot of public action on their side, yet the already-low line has dropped from -3 to -2.5. This is a perfect opportunity to sell high on Ole Miss.
Prediction: South Carolina 17, Ole Miss 14 South Carolina +2.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100 South Carolina 31, Ole Miss 24
Ohio State (4-1) at Wisconsin (3-1) Line: Ohio State by 1.5. Saturday, 8:00 ET
Yet another instance where a top 25 team is coming off its first loss. The only difference here is that Wisconsin is actually an underdog, so it'll play tough; a victory over Ohio State could get the Badgers close to the top 10 again.
But alas, Wisconsin sucks. Ohio State should win by about 10 or so. Hopefully the shady official who did the Ohio State-Minnesota game won't be in charge of this one. Does anyone know that guy's name? It's like Bob Lovett or Bob Loyovette or something... He's the biggest crook in college football.
Prediction: Ohio State 24, Wisconsin 14 Ohio State -1.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100 Ohio State 20, Wisconsin 17
Oregon (4-1) at USC (2-1) Line: USC by 16.5. Saturday, 8:00 ET
Instance No. 3 where a top 25 team is coming off its first loss. Unlike the Ohio State-Wisconsin game, USC isn't an underdog, and unlike the Florida-Arkansas contest, I know Oregon has the talent to hang with the Trojans. This line is inflated because USC is USC, and people believe Pete Carroll's squad will simply rebound. It doesn't work that way. The Ducks could win outright, but I'm predicting a close battle in the Trojans' favor.
Prediction: USC 31, Oregon 24 Oregon +16.5 (5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$550 USC 44, Worst Defense Of All Time 10
Picks 9-13 (5 in a row) are all cornerbacks. Without looking, I doubt any position in the history of the draft has one position with 5 straight picks. The chances that corner, or any position would be ranked 9-13 are bordering right around.... Zero! You might want to re-think that....