Free College Football Picks Against the Spread <br> Week 1, 2008
College Football's back, and it's about time! Enjoy the games, and good luck to anyone wagering this weekend. For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling.
North Carolina State (0-0) at South Carolina (0-0) Line: South Carolina by 14. Thursday, 8:00 ET
In years past, the big favorite featured on ESPN's opening game has dominated. I think that trend will continue with South Carolina. I just don't know how N.C. State's going to score on the Gamecocks' defense. Steve Spurrier's offense this year is questionable, but he shouldn't have much trouble versus the Wolfpacks' mediocre stop unit. Spurrier will look like a genius after this game, setting up a big disappointing loss later in the year.
Prediction: South Carolina 38, N.C. State 10 South Carolina -14 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100 South Carolina 34, N.C. State 0
Oregon State (0-0) at Stanford (0-0) Line: Oregon State by 3. Thursday, 9:00 ET
I love this game because it has a lot of things I look for when handicapping college football. Stanford is a live dog (they're actually not terrible this year; they beat USC and Cal last year and return 15 starters). They're playing under the lights, on a weeknight, on national TV (ESPN2). The public is all over Oregon State; with 88 percent of the money on the Beavers, the line has dropped from 3.5 to 3.
I think people love the Beavers here because: 1) Stanford is a perennial loser and 2) Oregon State has dominated the Cardinal on the road in the past. If you go with insignificant trends like that, you're bound to get burnt.
Prediction: Stanford 20, Oregon State 13 Stanford +3 (7 Units - August Pick of the Month) -- Correct; +$700 Stanford 36, Oregon State 28
Syracuse (0-0) at Northwestern (0-0) Line: Northwestern by 11.5. Saturday, 12:00 ET
I'd love to ask the people who are betting Northwestern at -12 or -11.5 (60 percent of the public) one question: Why are you laying 12 with a Wildcat team that failed to beat any Division 1-A opponent last year by more than 12, including Duke?
Syracuse is a big dog because they're perceived to be losers. They are losers; but losers who were really injured last year. So, instead of winning two games in 2007, they should have won like three.
Hawaii (0-0) at Florida (0-0) Line: Florida by 34.5. Saturday, 12:30 ET
I know, it's crazy to lay five touchdowns, but this is just for a fun one-unit play. I think this sort of makes sense... Poor Hawaii, armed with a brand new offense and different personnel, has to walk into Gainesville to battle a national title contender. I figure Florida is going to run up the score because they want to pad Tim Tebow's Heisman stats.
Besides, if the Warriors are giving the Gators any problems, Florida can call in Tebow's hot girlfriend (see home page) and have her flash the Hawaii squad. Automatic victory and cover.
Prediction: Florida 56, Hawaii 10 Florida -34.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100 Florida 56, Hawaii 10
Utah (0-0) at Michigan (0-0) Line: Michigan by 3.5. Saturday, 3:30 ET
The only reason Michigan is favored here is because of its name. Seriously. The people are looking at the Wolverines and saying, "Wow, they can beat crappy Utah by four!" Well, Utah's not crappy and the Wolverines are extremely young and playing for a new coach. If you looked at these rosters without knowing which schools were which, the visitor would be favored.
At any rate, the money indicates Utah is the right side. Despite 79 percent of the action on the Wolverines, the spread has dropped from 4 to 3.5.
Colorado (0-0) vs. Colorado State (0-0) Line: Colorado by 11. Sunday, 7:30 ET
I love taking anywhere between 10 and 19 points in a huge rivalry. These teams are both out for blood and this game means so much to both of them, especially the dog. While Colorado still has the Big XII in front of it, the Rams don't have another contest that means more than this. This is their Super Bowl. They'll play accordingly.
Prediction: Colorado 38, Colorado State 35 Colorado State +11 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440
The pick of J. Allen by the 49ers is just not going to happen. The Niners need a nose tackle, not another first round 3-4 DE. With their cap space they are more likely to make a play for Dontari Poe, and use the # 2 pick for a QB. I hate to suggest that they will trade back, because that is difficult to do. The Niners are in such a sad state that they could upgrade at virtually any position with multiple picks in the first and second rounds.