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College Football Picks: Week 8, 2009



College Football Picks (Week 1, 2009): 3-2 (+$350)
College Football Picks (Week 2, 2009): 2-3 (-$710)
College Football Picks (Week 3, 2009): 1-3-1 (-$590)
College Football Picks (Week 4, 2009): 2-3 (-$310)
College Football Picks (Week 5, 2009): 3-2 (+$130)
College Football Picks (Week 6, 2009): 2-3 (-$580)
College Football Picks (Week 7, 2009): 4-1 (+$770)
College Football Picks (Week 8, 2009): 1-4 (-$1,470)

College Football Picks (2009 Season): 18-21-1 (-$2,410)
College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)

By the way, the third-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.



Tulsa (4-2) at UTEP (2-4)
Line: Tulsa by 8.5.

Wednesday, 8:00 ET

Seldom do you ever see me taking a road team on a weeknight. This is one of the rare exceptions.

UTEP seemed to put everything it had into beating Houston two weeks ago. They played very well and actually won, but everything came crashing down with an embarrassing loss to Memphis. I don't think they can put it together against a very good Tulsa squad that is 4-1 against the spread this year.

Prediction: Tulsa 34, UTEP 17
Tulsa -8.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
UTEP 28, Tulsa 24






Florida State (2-4) at North Carolina (4-2)
Line: North Carolina by 2.5.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

This is the system that we all know and love - a live home underdog (will explain below) under the weeknight lights on national TV with the money going the opposite way. Works about 75-80 percent of the time.

Now, you might point out that that the Tar Heels are favored by 2.5. This is true, but in a matchup between the Seminoles and Tar Heels, everyone is expecting Florida State to win. In fact, more than 80 percent of the action is on the visitor. Scouring random forums for opinions on this game, one person said, "Fla St wins easy....even though I hate them! Ill be rooting for NC, just dont think they have a chance."

They don't have a chance? They're favored for crying out loud!

The Tar Heels are a bit of an enigma right now. Most people can't name a single player on their team (except maybe Marvin Austin). This is their shot to prove to everyone that they're a legit ACC contender. This is their biggest regular-season game in years.

Prediction: North Carolina 24, Florida State 14
North Carolina -2.5 (7 Units - College Football October Pick of the Month) -- Incorrect; -$770 Florida State 30, North Carolina 27 (Thanks for blowing a 24-6 lead with possession in the third quarter, idiots)






Georgia Tech (6-1) at Virginia (3-3)
Line: Georgia Tech by 6.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

Since losing early in the year, Georgia Tech has ripped off a number of victories as underdogs, most notably last week against Virginia Tech.

Now, the Jackets are favored on the road, which is a dynamic change. Virginia is a hot team that has played great football the past three weeks. They've gained enough confidence that I think they can knock off a Georgia Tech squad in a let-down situation.

Prediction: Virginia 27, Georgia Tech 24
Virginia +6 (5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$550
Georgia Tech 34, Virginia 9






Boston College (5-2) at Notre Dame (4-2)
Line: Notre Dame by 8.

Saturday, 3:30 ET

Notre Dame nearly had one of its greatest wins of all time last week. However, they fell short, allowing USC to escape with a narrow victory.

On an emotional low, I can't see the Irish showing that same intensity as a big favorite here. Boston College hates Notre Dame and would love nothing more than to give them their third loss.

Prediction: Notre Dame 33, Boston College 30
Boston College +8 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
Notre Dame 20, Boston College 16



Oregon (5-1) at Washington (3-4)
Line: Oregon by 10.

Saturday, 3:30 ET

Like Georgia Tech, Oregon has rebounded off a loss to win all of these games as underdogs or short favorites. Now, the Ducks have to go into a rabid Washington stadium as a huge favorite. I don't like them in that role.

The Huskies have gotten up for these home underdog games all year. I think they pull another upset.

Prediction: Washington 30, Oregon 27
Washington +10 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330 Oregon 43, Washington 19




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2004 Against the Spread: 57-51-2 (52.8%)
2006 Against the Spread: 112-103-4 (52.1%)
2007 Picks Against the Spread: 73-65-3, 52.9% (+$1,030)
2008 College Football Picks: 49-38, 56.3% (+$3,020)
2009 College Football Picks: 35-38-3, 50.0% (-$4,770)
2010 College Football Picks: 37-31-2, 54.4% (+$190)
2010 College Football Picks: 3-2, 60.0% (+$50)

2004 2-3 Unit College Picks: 20-13-1 (60.7%)
2006 2-3 Unit College Picks: 60-56-1 (51.7%)
2007 2-3 Unit College Picks: 43-36-2, 54.4% (+$1,280)
2008 2-3 Unit College Picks: 23-20, 53.5% (+$650)
2009 2-3 Unit College Picks: 20-19-3, 54.1% (-$780)

2006 4-5 Unit College Picks: 13-16 (44.8%)
2007 4-5 Unit College Picks: 20-17-2, 54.1% (+$810)
2008 4-5 Unit College Picks: 13-10, 56.5% (+$860)
2009 4-5 Unit College Picks: 9-16, 39.1% (-$4,140)

2006 NCAA Picks of the Month: 1-0 (100%)
2007 NCAA Picks of the Month: 2-1-1, 66.7% (+$580)
2008 College Football Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,260)
2009 College Football Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career College Football Picks: 471-429-15, 52.3% (+$40)
Career 2-3 Unit College Picks: 192-160-6, 54.5% (+$2,810)
Career 4-5 Unit College Picks: 60-64-2, 48.4% (-$2,650)
Career Picks of the Month: 9-6-1, 60.0% (+$930)


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