College Football Picks (2014 Season): 0-0 ($0) College Football Picks (2013 Season): 52-33 (+$3,970) College Football Picks (2012 Season): 45-34-1 (+$2,500) College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390) College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
Penn State vs. Central Florida. Line: Central Florida by 2. Saturday, 8:30 a.m.
As a disclaimer, don't go nuts with my college football picks. I'm much better at picking NFL games (at least I used to be). Follow @walterfootball for updates.
I'm a Penn State alumnus, but there's no way in hell I'm waking up to watch this game. Maybe I'll catch the fourth quarter - and I expect my alma mater to be losing. Central Florida is the superior team, and the sharps agree as they've pounded them from pick to -2. My projected spread for this game is Central Florida -6, so we're getting some value with the non-Big Ten school.
College Football Pick: Central Florida -2 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Florida Atlantic at Nebraska. Line: Nebraska by 21.5. Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
Nebraska is the second of two Big Ten schools I'll be fading this weekend. The Cornhuskers are overrated and should not be favored by this much. Florida Atlantic is competitive and should be able to keep this game somewhat close. My projected line is Nebraska -16, so we're getting 5.5 points of value. The sharps agree, as they've been pounding Florida Atlantic.
College Football Pick: Florida Atlantic +16 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Fresno State at USC. Line: USC by 22. Saturday, 7:30 p.m.
Here's another spread that's off. I have USC as a 16-point favorite in this game, so the -22 line isn't even close. Fresno State will want revenge for that bowl loss, so that's extra motivation. USC, meanwhile, could be focused on next week's matchup at Stanford.
College Football Pick: Fresno State +22 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Utah State at Tennessee. Line: Tennessee by 6. Sunday, 7:00 p.m.
My two biggest plays will be on Sunday and Monday. I love Utah State in this game. Quite simply, the wrong team is favored. The public is looking at this matchup and automatically thinking, "SEC team playing mid-major? I'll take the SEC team!" The flaw in this logic is that A) Tennessee isn't that good and B) Utah State is very underrated. I have the Aggies as four-point favorites even though they're playing on the road. That's a 10-point swing.
College Football Pick: Utah State +6 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Miami at Louisville. Line: Louisville by 3.5. Monday, 8:00 p.m.
I wish I had seen this spread back when it was -2.5. It was a joke back then, and it's a joke now. The sharps are laughing at this as well, as they've moved Louisville up to -3.5 despite action coming in on Miami.
Miami is perennially overrated, thanks to illiterate analysts screaming, "Da U" on ESPN. Louisville is vastly superior; I have the Cardinals at -10.5 in this matchup. I'm not a fan of laying the hook; otherwise this would be a three-unit wager.