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NCAA Football Weekly Predictions
Week 9



Note: Overall picks were just 8-7, but I managed to hit two of my top three plays last week. By the way, I've challenged Scott Horn over at The Joker Report to see who's better at picking games. We each have 10 selections for the week. Winner places a text ad for the other for an entire week. For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling.



Boston College (7-0) at Virginia Tech (6-1)
Line: Virginia Tech by 3.

Thursday, 7:45 ET

If you watch ESPN, you'll hear analysts compare this game to the Rutgers-South Florida battle of a week ago. But I'm here to say that this is a completely different scenario.

Virginia Tech is favored. The money is not on Boston College's side. The bottom line is, the better team and the superior quarterback are getting points. I know it's tough to play in Blacksburg, but the Hokies just aren't that good. They score on BS touchdowns. That won't happen with Matt Ryan at the helm.

Prediction: Boston College 27, Virginia Tech 17
Boston College +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Boston College 14, Virginia Tech 10



Boise State (6-1) at Fresno State (5-2)
Line: Boise State by 3.

Friday, 8:00 ET

OK, now this is more like Rutgers-South Florida. Live home dog? Check. Money going the other way? Check. Berserk weeknight crowd? Check. Placing my hard-earned money on a group of young kids, making me a degenerate gambler? Check.

Prediction: Fresno State 34, Boise State 30
Fresno State +3 (3 Units - Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$330
Boise State 34, Fresno State 21



Indiana (5-3) at Wisconsin (6-2)
Line: Wisconsin by 7.5.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

Just a small play on Indiana. As I've been saying all season, Wisconsin sucks. Following two consecutive losses, the team had to resort to running up the score against poor Northern Illinois. Very courageous, Badgers. These teams are about equal; Indiana's spread formation will give Wisconsin problems.

Prediction: Wisconsin 27, Indiana 24
Indiana +7.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Wisconsin 33, Indiana 3



Michigan State (5-3) at Iowa (3-5)
Line: Michigan State by 3.

Saturday, 12:00 ET

Why is Michigan State favored on the road? They suck. And the pink locker rooms will likely give them an aneurysm. I'm going with the publicly faded home dog.

Prediction: Iowa 16, Michigan State 13
Iowa +3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Iowa 34, Michigan State 27



South Florida (6-1) at Connecticut (6-1)
Line: South Florida by 4.5.

Saturday, 3:30 ET

This game has everything I look for when I make college picks, excluding the double-digit rivalry factor. South Florida is coming off its first loss of the season and will be extremely flat. Connecticut is a live home dog, looking to prove itself on national TV. And to top it off, as of Wednesday afternoon, 92 percent of the money in Vegas is on the Bulls.

Prediction: Connecticut 27, South Florida 17
Connecticut +4.5 (5 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Correct; +$500
Connecticut 22, South Florida 15



Georgia (5-2) at Florida (5-2)
Line: Florida by 9.

Saturday, 3:30 ET

The greatest cocktail party ever. Sounds like a good time. I'm sure everyone at the game will be too drunk to see Georgia lay the number. I think Florida is the top team in the country - they led LSU for like 58 minutes on the road - but Georgia always plays them tough (Gators have won by 7, 4, 3 and 7 their past four victories over the Bulldogs.) If this line goes over 10, I will increase units accordingly.

Prediction: Florida 27, Georgia 24
Georgia +9 (2 Units - Money Pick) -- Correct; +$200
Georgia 42, Florida 30



Ole Miss (2-6) at Auburn (5-3)
Line: Auburn by 17.5.

Saturday, 6:00 ET

If Auburn has the energy to dispatch Ole Miss by 18 or more this week, I'll give them mad props. Unfortunately, the Tigers left everything on LSU's field last Saturday night. I can't see them having half the energy against crappy Ole Miss. This is an SEC West rivalry, so anything can happen. Even 11 Brandon Cox interceptions.

Prediction: Auburn 20, Ole Miss 16
Ole Miss +17.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Auburn 17, Ole Miss 3



Kansas (7-0) at Texas A&M (6-2)
Line: Kansas by 2.5.

Saturday, 7:00 ET

I have a feeling Kansas loses its first game in College Station, a very difficult place to play, especially at night. Aggies fans will be nuts, cheering on their home dog. There is tons of cash (85 percent) flowing the Jayhawks' way. I don't think they're good enough to be favored on the road over a quality opponent just yet.

Prediction: Texas A&M 34, Kansas 20
Texas A&M +2.5 (5 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$550
Kansas 19, Texas A&M 11



Duke (1-6) at Florida State (4-3)
Line: Florida State by 17.5.

Saturday, 8:00 ET

How sad is it that Duke has the better offenses out of these two teams? I can't believe Florida State has fallen off the face of college football so quickly.

Prediction: Florida State 34, Duke 26
Duke +17.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Florida State 25, Duke 6



Ohio State (8-0) at Penn State (6-2)
Line: Ohio State by 4.

Saturday, 8:00 ET

There aren't many places harder to win than Beaver Stadium at night. Two years ago, Troy Smith waltzed into Happy Valley and suffered at the hands of the first White Out crowd. He couldn't hear anything, and consequently lost. Todd Boeckman will follow the tradition of Ohio State quarterbacks to struggle at Penn State. Boeckman hasn't been tested against a great defense on the road. In fact, the Buckeyes' most impressive win this year was a victory over crappy Purdue. No. 1 goes down, as the 89 percent of the public loses its money.

Prediction: Penn State 17, Ohio State 10
Penn State +4 (5 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$550
Ohio State 37, Penn State 17


Second-Half Bets
Check back at halftime to see if I have any plays posted. All picks 2 Units, unless noted.

  • Purdue -7.5 +100 -- Correct; +$200
  • Texas Tech -10 +115 -- Incorrect; -$200
  • Vanderbilt -7.5 +100 -- Correct; +$200
  • Tulsa -7 -115 -- Correct; +$200
  • Texas -11 +100 -- Incorrect; -$200
  • Northern Illinois +.5 +100 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100



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