College Football Picks (Week 1, 2010): 2-2-1 (-$160) College Football Picks (Week 2, 2010): 3-2 (+$10) College Football Picks (Week 3, 2010): 2-3 (-$270) College Football Picks (Week 4, 2010): 4-1 (+$750)
College Football Picks (2010 Season): 11-8-1 (+$330) College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820) College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)
By the way, the third-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I'll be competing with the Joker's College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.
Miami (1-1) at Pittsburgh (1-1) Line: Miami by 4. Thursday, 7:45 ET
This has almost everything I look for. A weeknight underdog on national TV. The favorite getting bet at ridiculous levels. The line hasn't moved though, as it's -3.5 everywhere except for Bodog (+4).
These teams are somewhat even considering that the Canes are on the road. Miami is a bit overhyped, and they showed that they don't belong among the college football elite with a blowout loss at Ohio State. The Canes are just 4-7 against the spread as road favorites versus BCS conference schools since 2006. I'm taking the points.
Virginia Tech (1-2) at Boston College (2-0) Line: Virginia Tech by 4. Saturday, 12:00 ET
If Virginia Tech never lost to James Madison, this line would have been -7 at the very least. When I took Tech for four units last week, I discussed why that defeat was bogus and shouldn't be taken seriously. The Hokies are the much better team in this matchup, and we're getting incredible value with them.
Prediction: Virginia Tech 31, Boston College 17 Virginia Tech -4 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
Temple (3-0) at Penn State (2-1) Line: Penn State by 14. Saturday, 3:30 ET
I'm a Penn State fan and alumnus, and the Nittany Lions are NOT 14 points better than Temple. Penn State got crushed at Alabama, and looked very unimpressive against Youngstown State and Kent State.
Temple, meanwhile, is a very good team. They destroyed Connecticut last week, and have to be feeling confident about their chances in Happy Valley. I think Penn State could very easily lose this game.
Prediction: Penn State 23, Temple 20 Temple +14 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
Oregon State (1-1) at Boise State (2-0) Line: Boise State by 17.5. Saturday, 3:30 ET
This line is out of control. I love Boise State, but Oregon State is a really good team. They lost to TCU by nine points and really have to feel disrespected by this line.
By the way, it's worth noting that the Beavers are 4-1 against the spread as underdogs of +7 or more in the past two years.
Prediction: Boise State 34, Oregon State 24 Oregon State +17.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Stanford (3-0) at Notre Dame (1-2) Line: Stanford by 4.5. Saturday, 3:30 ET
I don't think people understand how good this Stanford team is. This line is off by about 4-6 points.