NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 16, 2015



NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2015): 5-8-1 (-$690)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2015): 4-9-1 (-$860)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2015): 5-8-1 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2015): 8-5 (+$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2015): 6-8 (-$610)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2015): 5-6-3 (-$2,010)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2015): 6-10 (-$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2015): 8-7-1 (+$195)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2015): 11-5 (+$1,550)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2015): 7-7-2 (+$110)

NFL Picks (2015): 110-119-9 (-$5,115)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Dec. 28, 4:45 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 16 - Early Games
San Diego at Oakland, Washington at Philadelphia, New England at New York Jets, Houston at Tennessee, Cleveland at Kansas City, Indianapolis at Miami, Pittsburgh at Baltimore, San Francisco at Detroit, Dallas at Buffalo, Chicago at Tampa Bay, Carolina at Atlanta

NFL Picks Week 16 - Late Games
Jacksonville at New Orleans, St. Louis at Seattle, Green Bay at Arizona, New York Giants at Minnesota, Cincinnati at Denver




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Green Bay Packers - The Packers have put together several dud performances. They should've lost to the Lions; they led just 14-7 over Dallas until late, and two Derek Carr pick-sixes made Sunday's game easier.

Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have won eight in a row. Their wins have been over Landry Jones, the Lions when they were inept, a one-legged Peyton Manning, a Charger team that couldn't block (twice), the Bills (meh), the Raiders, who outgained them by 110 yards, and the Ravens, who averaged more yards per play.

New England Patriots - The Patriots' marquee wins have been against the Steelers, who didn't have Le'Veon Bell or Martavis Bryant; the Bills, who have been exposed as a middling team; the Jets, who have Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback; and the Giants, who dropped a game-winning interception and screwed up their time management at the 2-minute warning. New England's offensive line is a major concern, and the secondary hasn't been tested. Also, the Patriots gained just 4.9 yards per play at Houston despite the fact that J.J. Watt wasn't very effective because of a broken hand, and the Titans, with Zach Mettenberger, hung around. Now, Danny Amendola and Dont'a Hightower are hurt. Not good.



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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens have gotten blown out in consecutive weeks, but they've actually played well for the most part. They were still in the game versus the Seahawks entering the second half, while they just shot themselves in the foot a few times against the Chiefs.

Philadelphia Eagles - The Cardinals have the ability to make most teams look bad. The Eagles lost 40-17, but they were a fourth-down conversion away from being tied at 17 at the half. The game just got away from them.

San Diego Chargers - It's a little crazy that the Chargers are five-point dogs this week. They've played well recently; prior to destroying the Dolphins, they were a dropped touchdown away from sending the game to overtime at Kansas City. And prior to that, they had the same exact yards per play as Denver in a 17-3 loss.















NFL Picks - Sept. 24


2019 NFL Mock Draft - Sept. 23


2018 NFL Mock Draft - Sept. 21


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 6


2018 NBA Mock Draft - Aug. 23


NFL Power Rankings - May 5




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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 2, 2017): 9-7 (+$45)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 2, 2017): 3-1 (+$620)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 2, 2017): 1-2 (-$675)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 2, 2017): 10-5-1 (+$250)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 2, 2017): +$25

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-0, 100% (+$400)

2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 26-23-2, 53.1% (+$70)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 8-6-1, 57.1% (+$390)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 2-3-1, 40% (-$675)
2017 Season Over-Under: 18-12-1, 60% (+$240)
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$40

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$2,360)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$1,055)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,465-2,266-143, 52.1% (+$9,185)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 793-709-38 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 331-295-19 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1,963-1,915-55 (50.6%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 36-22 (62.1%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 2-0 (2014-16: 23-27)
Bears: 0-2 (2014-16: 17-27)
Bucs: 0-1 (2014-16: 26-22)
49ers: 0-2 (2014-16: 32-15)
Eagles: 1-1 (2014-16: 23-25)
Lions: 2-0 (2014-16: 26-22)
Falcons: 1-1 (2014-16: 29-22)
Cardinals: 1-1 (2014-16: 24-27)
Giants: 2-0 (2014-16: 22-24)
Packers: 1-1 (2014-16: 31-21)
Panthers: 1-1 (2014-16: 26-26)
Rams: 1-1 (2014-16: 24-22)
Redskins: 1-1 (2014-16: 26-23)
Vikings: 1-1 (2014-16: 28-21)
Saints: 1-1 (2014-16: 25-21)
Seahawks: 0-2 (2014-16: 27-26)
Bills: 2-0 (2014-16: 24-21)
Bengals: 2-0 (2014-16: 16-31)
Colts: 1-1 (2014-16: 21-26)
Broncos: 1-0 (2014-16: 24-23)
Dolphins: 0-1 (2014-16: 28-19)
Browns: 0-2 (2014-16: 21-22)
Jaguars: 2-0 (2014-16: 18-28)
Chargers: 0-1 (2014-16: 25-23)
Jets: 2-0 (2014-16: 24-21)
Ravens: 1-1 (2014-16: 23-23)
Texans: 2-0 (2014-16: 23-26)
Chiefs: 1-1 (2014-16: 29-26)
Patriots: 2-0 (2014-16: 31-23)
Steelers: 1-1 (2014-16: 28-22)
Titans: 1-1 (2014-16: 23-20)
Raiders: 1-1 (2014-16: 23-26)
Divisional: 6-3 (2011-16: 266-272)
2x Game Edge: 2-4 (2011-16: 103-107)
2x Psych Edge: 5-6 (2011-16: 194-165)
2x Vegas Edge: 4-3 (2011-16: 241-255)
2x Trend Edge: 2-4 (2011-15: 181-159)
Double Edge: 2-3 (2011-15: 77-75)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-15: 6-3)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-15: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2013 Season:
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2014 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2014 Season:
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2015 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2015 Season:
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2016 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2016 Season:
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2017 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2017 Season:
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