Vikings (4-0) at Falcons (1-3). Line: Vikings by 4. Over-Under: 43.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Vikings by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Vikings by 5.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
*** Daunte Culpepper is out.

This is a mini-revenge game for the Vikings. Everyone has seen the highlight where Mike Vick slashes through Minnesota's defense, even forcing two Viking defenders to collide with each other, on his way to a game winning touchdown. How many times have the Vikings players seen that highlight? Well, I expect them to be fired up for this game, and they have a bye next week so they will be focused. Atlanta is 28th against both the run and the pass, so Moe Williams and company should be bulldozing through a very soft Falcon defense, and Gus Frerotte (who actually ran the offense better than Culpepper did) should have another near-perfect game.

Atlanta's offense is dead right now, which is why I named Mike Vick the MVP in my 2002 Walter Awards. Their only hope is to somehow get the running game going, which is a daunting task, considering that Minnesota has shut down the run in every game. The Vikings have also intercepted the most passes in the NFL (11) because their front four gets to the quarterback easily, which of course forces turnovers. It could be a long day for Atlanta's offense and defense.


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • Revenge Situation: Minnesota looking for revenge after humiliating Mike Vick highlight reel.
  • Falcons are 8-18 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Falcons are 1-6 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Vikings Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Daunte Culpepper, Falcons Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Vikings by 31. Double Money Pick. BLOWOUT SPECIAL. Under.




Bengals (1-3) at Bills (2-2). Line: Bills by 8. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Bills by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Bills by 8.

The Game. Edge: Bills.
*** Corey Dillon is out, while Travis Henry is questionable.

Buffalo's defense looked terrible against Philadelphia because they couldn't stop the run. The Bills are 26th against the run, while an amazing 3rd against the pass. If Corey Dillon was available for this game, Cincinnati could move the ball on Buffalo, but their one dimensional offense won't get them anywhere. I think there is a chance that Buffalo's defense will shut Cincinnati out.

If Travis Henry plays, I think Buffalo has an easy cover. The Bengals are 25th against the run, so Henry could easily go over 100+ rushing yards. The Bengals are actually pretty good against the pass (6th), but they'll be too focused on Travis Henry, which could hurt their pass defense. Without Henry, Buffalo will continue to struggle to run with Joe Burns, which will make it much harder for Drew Bledsoe. For now, I'm taking the Bills against the spread, but watch for future developments with Travis Henry's injury.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bengals are 8-31 in October since 1993.
  • Bengals are 17-65 on the road since 1993.
  • Bills are 57-33 at home since 1992.
  • Bills are 1-5 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Bills -7 (open) to Bills -8 (9/29).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Showers, 55 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Chad Johnson, Travis Henry, Eric Moulds, Bills Defense.
  • Sit Em Jon Kitna, Corey Dillon.

Prediction: Bills by 10. Under.




Saints (1-3) at Panthers (3-0). Line: Panthers by 6. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Panthers by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Panthers by 10.

The Game. Edge: Saints.
Before Jim Haslett's comments about his team, there was a lot going for the Saints in this game. They are looking for revenge against the Panthers, and playing for pride after allowing 55 points to Indianapolis. When stepping away from the trends, the Saints are just a woeful team. Deuce McAllister isn't getting enough carries and Aaron Brooks looks like he has regressed. Carolina has a great defense, especially against the run, but they can be thrown upon. If Brooks can avoid turnovers, he should be able to put up some decent numbers.

Its no secret that the Panthers' offense goes through Stephen Davis. As bad as New Orleans' defense is, they are average against the run. They are 19th against it and only allow 3.6 yards per carry. The problem has been that they've been behind so much that their opponents run wild against them. Teams get ahead by throwing the ball against the Saints. They are 25th against the pass, but I'm not sure the Cats can throw on the Saints. This is a game where the weaker opponent matches up well against the favorite and when you factor in the trends, there could be an upset.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • Revenge Situation: Carolina beat New Orleans in the last game of the season in 2002. If the Saints would have won, they would have made the playoffs.
  • History: Saints have won 5 of last 6.
  • Panthers are 5-2 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Panthers are 10-23 in October since 1993.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -6 (open) to Panthers -7 (9/28) to Panthers -6 (10/1).
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 (9/28) to 38 (9/29) to 37 (10/2).
  • Weather: Showers, 73 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Aaron Brooks, Joe Horn, Donte Stallworth, Stephen Davis.
  • Sit Em Deuce McAllister, Jake Delhomme.

Prediction: Saints by 7. UPSET SPECIAL. Under.




Raiders (2-2) at Bears (0-3). Line: Raiders by 4. Over-Under: 42.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Raiders by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Raiders by 7.

The Game. Edge: Raiders.
The numbers indicate that the Bears have the edge in this one. However, sometimes the numbers lie. Statistically, the Bears' run defense is the worst in the NFL, which is accurate, however, Oakland doesn't run enough to exploit this weakness. Chicago is 12th against the pass. Obviously, something is wrong there. When looking further into their pass defense, teams have only thrown the ball 92 times against them, primarily because opposing squads have just run against them. The Bears allow an NFL second-worst 66.3% completion and their defense has only recorded 3 sacks. Rich Gannon finally got rolling against San Diego last week, and could do so again.

Oakland's defense is pathetic. They are 30th against the run and 26th against the pass. Anthony Thomas could run for over 100 yards in this game and keep the Bears kind of close, especially since the Raiders are coming off of a very emotional win. With all of that being said, I can't take a Kordell Stewart quarterbacked team to cover, even though I'm getting 4 points with the Bears. Won't surprise me if the Bears cover, and even win, but I just can't do it.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • Raiders are 25-12 in October since 1993.
  • Bears are 1-4 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Raiders -4 (open) to Raiders -4 (9/30).
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 42 (9/30) to 42 (10/2).
  • Weather: Showers, 56 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Raiders Offense, Anthony Thomas.
  • Sit Em Kordell Stewart, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Raiders by 6. Over.




Cardinals (1-3) at Cowboys (2-1). Line: Cowboys by 7. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Cowboys by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Cowboys by 6.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
The entire Dallas team will be very focused here because of the comments Emmitt Smith made in August. I don't think Emmitt will even have 30 yards in this game, because Dallas' run defense is too good for a horrible running team like Arizona. The Cards might move the ball in the air against a shaky Cowboys' pass defense, ranked 23rd. But again, the Cowboys' defense will be fired up because they want revenge against Emmitt and his new team.

Is there anyone who gets more out of players than Bill Parcells? I mean, its unbelievable. All of a sudden, Quincy Carter and Troy Hambrick look like Pro Bowlers. Although Arizona's defense is ranked well statistically, they are not good at all. I don't think they're a match for Dallas' offense, especially the passing game because the Cardinals have only recorded 2 sacks this season. I see Dallas going to 3-1.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Revenge Situation: In August, Emmitt Smith described himself as a diamond amongst trash last year.
  • Cardinals are 23-67 on the road since 1992.
  • Cowboys are 60-29 at home since 1992.
  • Cowboys are 25-14 in October since 1993.
  • Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Cowboys -7 (open) to Cowboys -7 (10/1).
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 (9/28) to 37 (10/2).
  • Weather: Retractable Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Anquan Boldin, Quincy Carter, Troy Hambrick, Joey Galloway, Antonio Bryant, Cowboys Defense.
  • Sit Em Emmitt Smith, Cardinals Defense.

Prediction: Cowboys by 9. Under.




Seahawks (3-0) at Packers (2-2). Line: Packers by 2. Over-Under: 45.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Packers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Packers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Mike Holmgren comes home to Green Bay in what should be a pretty good game. Seattle has one of the best offenses, and they could overmatch a pretty poor Green Bay defense. The Packers' run defense is ranked 23rd in the NFL, which should allow Shaun Alexander to run for well over 100 yards. After all, even Anthony Thomas did that. Seattle's passing attack features two great receivers and Matt Hasselbeck, who has really flourished this past year. With the Packers worried too much about the run, Hasselbeck should have a pretty good day through the air, against the 18th ranked pass defense.

I've talked about it last week when Bill Parcells faced the New York Jets. Parcells knew Testaverde's tendancies, and that is why Vinny struggled. Mike Holmgren knows Brett Favre inside and out, and will shut him down. It won't help Favre that his running game won't get going, because Seattle is ranked 5th against the run.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Packers are 76-14 at home since 1992.
  • Packers are 16-10 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Packers are 2-2 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Packers -3 (open) to Packers -2 (9/30) to -2 (10/2).
  • Total Movement: 46 (open) to 45 (10/2).
  • Weather: Showers, 45 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Seahawks Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Packers Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 17. Money Pick. Under.




Broncos (4-0) at Chiefs (4-0). Line: Chiefs by 3. Over-Under: 45.
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Chiefs by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Chiefs by 3.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
*** Clinton Portis is questionable.

The teams that the Broncos have faced thus far are the Bengals, Chargers, Raiders and Lions. The combined record of these teams are just 4-12. Kansas City is obviously one of the NFL's best teams, so a step up from a very soft schedule to a tough opponent, especially in the confines of Arrow Head, could be more than the Broncos can handle. Clinton Portis could make the difference between a close game or a blowout for the Chiefs. If Portis plays, the Chiefs will have to focus on him, giving Jake Plummer his play-action pass that has worked so well for him in the last two games. If Portis doesn't play, it'll be interception city for Jake the Snake. The Chiefs have 10 interceptions this season, and they could have 14 by the end of this game if Portis isn't in.

The only team with a potent running attack that the Broncos have faced is San Diego, but the Chargers couldn't run much because they got down big early. That won't happen here. I believe Priest Holmes could have more than 200 total yards in this game, which will help Trent Green a lot. The Broncos' secondary isn't anything special so Kansas City's offense will score tons of points.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • History: Broncos have won 3 of last 4, but Chiefs won 4 in a row before that.
  • History: Chiefs are 8-4 vs. the Broncos at Kansas City since 1992.
  • Chiefs are 67-23 at home since 1992.
  • Chiefs are 4-3 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -3 (open) to Chiefs -3 (10/2).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Broncos Offense (if Portis plays), Chiefs Offense, Chiefs Defense (if Portis doesn't play).
  • Sit Em Broncos Offense (if Portis doesn't play), Broncos Defense.

Prediction: Chiefs by 14. Money Pick. Over.




Titans (3-1) at Patriots (2-2). Line: Titans by 1. Over-Under: 40.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Patriots by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Patriots by 2.

The Game. Edge: None.
I think its safe to say that Eddie George is done and will not do anything of significance here, so it'll be all Steve McNair. The problem is that New England is pretty good against the pass, allowing an NFL-third best 50.7% completion and sacking the quarterback 12 times. Tennessee could struggle to score points against a very good New England defense.

This is a big revenge game for the Patriots. They were blown out on Monday Night against these same Titans last year. You can't run the ball against Tennessee, but you can throw, which is what the Patriots do. Tennessee is 24th against the pass, and Tom Brady's elbow should be fine now (he threw for almost 300 yards last week but had 3 picks). A huge problem with taking New England's side in this game is the fact that their offensive line is missing two starters. Tennessee's defensive line will get to Tom Brady, so neither team will score a lot of points in this game. Its a toss up basically, but I'll go with revenge.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Revenge Situation: Patriots look to avenge a humiliating Monday Night loss to Tennessee last year.
  • Titans are 43-39 on the road since 1993.
  • Patriots are 15-8 ATS as dogs since 2000.
  • Patriots are 4-1 ATS as home dogs since 2000.
  • Patriots are 16-25 in October since 1993.
  • Patriots are 49-32 at home since 1993.
  • Patriots are 2-3 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Titans -2 (open) to Titans -1 (9/28) to Titans -1 (10/2).
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 (9/29) to 40 (10/2).
  • Weather: Sunny, 64 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Tom Brady, Troy Brown.
  • Sit Em Eddie George, Antowain Smith.

Prediction: Patriots by 3. Under.




Dolphins (2-1) at Giants (2-1). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 37.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Pick.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Its a rare thing for two teams to play each other, who are both coming off byes. I expect Miami to run Ricky Williams over 30 times like they did against the Bills in week 3. Even though the Giants are 9th against the run, they have not gone against a powerful back like Williams. I think Ricky will run for well over 100 yards. Statistically, the Giants are the worst team in the NFL against the pass. They've given up a mind-boggling 340 passing yards per game. Jay Fiedler could actually look good in this game.

If the Giants can't get Tiki Barber running, they will not win this pick em' game. It'll be hard because the Dolphins are the best run defense team in the NFL. Without a running game, Kerry Collins will resort to making mistakes, and the Dolphins will win.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Dolphins are 26-14 in October since 1993.
  • Giants are 8-18 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Giants are 3-3 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Giants -1 (open) to Pick (9/28).
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 37 (9/29).
  • Weather: Showers, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Dolphins Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em Giants Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Dolphins by 20. Money Pick. Under.




Redskins (3-1) at Eagles (1-2). Line: Eagles by 5. Over-Under: 39.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Eagles by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Eagles by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
The stats say that the Eagles have the best run defense in the NFL, but they haven't played a team that runs the ball yet. They will be tested at the new Vet (they are 0-2 there) against a Redskins team that suddenly loves to run the football, which doesn't make sense because they let Stephen Davis go. However, Trung Canidate and LaDell Betts are getting the job done. I think the Redskins will be able to run the ball against an undersized Eagles' defense that hasn't been tested against the run yet. Patrick Ramsey has looked masterful in four games thus far, and should continue to, especially since Laverneus Coles and Rod Gardner will be going against a young and inexperienced Eagles' secondary, thanks to multiple injuries.

The way to beat Washington is with a good rushing attack. If Andy Reid continues to do what he did against Buffalo, the Eagles can win this game. If he resorts to throwing a million times with Donovan McNabb, the Eagles will get blown out. I'm assuming that Big Red has learned his lesson and will keep it on the ground. Philly will score some points in what I think could be a very high scoring game. I just think 5 points is too much to lay down.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Eagles have won 3 in a row.
  • Redskins are 7-3 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or more since 2000.
  • Eagles are 12-14 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Eagles are 3-4 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -4 (open) to Eagles -5 (9/28) to Eagles -5 (9/29).
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 39 (10/2).
  • Weather: Showers, 68 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Patrick Ramsey, Trung Canidate, Laveranues Coles, Rod Gardner, Donovan McNabb.
  • Sit Em Both Defenses.

Prediction: Eagles by 3. Over.




Lions (1-3) at 49ers (1-3). Line: 49ers by 7. Over-Under: 41.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): 49ers by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): 49ers by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
San Francisco's defense allowed Gus Frerotte to have a perfect passer rating. The 49ers usually get a lot of sacks, but Frerotte was untouched because of Minnesota's huge offensive line. Well, Detroit has allowed half the sacks that Minnesota has allowed. The difference between the Vikings and Lions' offense (other than Randy Moss) is that the Lions don't have the running game that the Vikings do. Detroit will put some points on the board in this game, but it might not be enough to win.

There are two things going against the 49ers' offense that makes me inclined to take the Lions plus the points in this game. First of all, Steve Mariucci is Jeff Garcia's former coach and knows all of his tendencies. The second point is all of the distractions and turmoil in the 49ers' locker room, thanks to Terrell Owens. Normally, the 49ers would get the run going which would help Jeff Garcia against the second worst pass defense in the NFL. But, Garcia has been banged up and Detroit's game plan should be perfect.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • Lions haven't won a road game in 3 years (5-12 ATS during that stretch).
  • Lions are 23-59 on the road since 1993.
  • 49ers are 61-22 at home since 1993.
  • 49ers are 4-2 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41 (9/29).
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 66 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Joey Harrington, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em Jeff Garcia.

Prediction: 49ers by 3. Under.




Chargers (0-4) at Jaguars (0-4). Line: Jaguars by 3. Over-Under: 42.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Jaguars by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Jaguars by 4.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
*** Byron Leftwich will start, while Jimmy Smith is finally eligible to play.

Both of these two southern teams usually start off hot, but they are both looking for their first win in this game. The Chargers will try to run with LaDainian Tomlinson, but even a stud like him will have trouble against Jacksonville's very tough run defense, which has a 2nd best yards per carry average at 2.8. You can move the ball on Jacksonville through the air, but I don't think the Chargers have the tools to do that. David Boston is back for Drew Brees, but I wouldn't depend on him for the cover.

Byron Leftwich makes his second start and he has two things going for him. First of all, San Diego is 29th against the run, giving up a whopping 5 yards per carry, so Fred Taylor will have a huge game. Also, Jimmy Smith is back after being suspended for four games. Even if Leftwich doesn't connect with Smith, he'll stretch the Bolts' defense, making the Jaguars' running attack more potent, and he'll create more open receivers. With Fred Taylor and Jimmy Smith in the lineup, the Jaguars could start winning some games.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Jaguars are 2-4 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement:
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 42 (9/30).
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 84 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Byron Leftwich, Fred Taylor.
  • Sit Em Drew Brees, David Boston, Chargers Defense.

Prediction: Jaguars by 14. Under.




Browns (1-3) at Steelers (2-2). Line: Steelers by 7. Over-Under: 42.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Steelers by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Steelers by 7.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
*** Kelly Holcomb is out.

Cleveland played Pittsburgh three times in 2002, and lost three times, all by three points. Will it happen again? Well, the Browns were able to move the ball on the Steelers' defense through the air last year. Kelly Holcomb even had 409 yards passing in the wild card round. Since then, Pittsburgh has really improved their pass defense. While I would argue that a team with a strong running and passing attack would absolutely torch them through the air (like Kansas City), the Browns do not have that running attack to do it. Pittsburgh has the 6th best run defense and the 2nd best pass defense in the NFL this year. Also, Tim Couch is starting for Cleveland, so that does not bode well for the Browns.

Pittsburgh's offense overmatches Cleveland's defense, but the Browns will be playing with a lot of pride after their loss to the Bengals, so its hard for me to make this game some kind of Money Pick. The Browns' defense is young and inexperienced, and should struggle against all the weapons that the Steelers have. Other than the Baltimore game, Cleveland's run defense has been pretty solid, but they might be so worried about Plaxico Burress and Hines Ward that they'll forget about Amos Zereoue. The fact that Cleveland only has 7 sacks this year is troubling; if Maddox has time, he will find Burress and Ward.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Steelers have won 6 in a row.
  • History: Last three meetings decided by 3 points.
  • Browns are 11-5 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or more since 2000.
  • Browns are 12-7 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Steelers are 64-25 at home since 1992.
  • Steelers are 30-9 in October since 1993.
  • Steelers are 5-0 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -7 (open) to Steelers -6 (9/29) to Steelers -7 (10/1).
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Showers, 52 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Steelers Offense.
  • Sit Em Browns Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Steelers by 10. Under.




Colts (4-0) at Buccaneers (2-1). Line: Buccaneers by 4. Over-Under: 37. MONDAY!

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 4 Games): Buccaneers by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 4 Games): Buccaneers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
*** Edgerrin James is questionable.

29.1. That is the passer rating that opponents have against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. To make this quick, it'll be a very long night for Peyton Manning, who won't be able to do anything positive. The way you beat the Bucs' defense is with a big running back and a big offensive line. James has the skills to do it, but will Indy have the patience to run the ball over 30 times against the Bucs? I think not.

The Colts' defense has improved, but they will be out on the field so long that the Buccaneers will just wear them down. Indy is 22nd against the run, so expect heavy doses of Michael Pittman and Mike Alstott, as Tampa's offense could be out on the field for 40 minutes or more. One more thing of note is that Tampa Bay always does well after a bye, because John Gruden goes crazy with his game planning. Bucs win big.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Buccaneers are 52-29 at home since 1993.
  • Buccaneers are 4-2 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -4 (open) to Buccaneers -4 (10/3).
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 (9/30).
  • Weather: Thunderstorms, 80 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em Michael Pittman, Keyshawn Johnson, Buccaneers Defense.
  • Sit Em Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Colts Defense.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 24. Money Pick. Under.


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2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,077-1,912-116, 52.1% (+$11,800)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 669-603-31 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 279-241-11 (53.7%)
Career Over-Under: 1,609-1,588-47 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 3-5
Bears: 3-5
Bucs: 5-2
49ers: 3-3
Eagles: 4-3
Lions: 2-5
Falcons: 3-5
Cardinals: 3-4
Giants: 2-5
Packers: 5-2
Panthers: 2-6
Rams: 3-4
Redskins: 5-3
Vikings: 6-2
Saints: 3-3
Seahawks: 3-4
Bills: 3-5
Bengals: 2-6
Colts: 4-4
Broncos: 4-3
Dolphins: 5-1
Browns: 3-2
Jaguars: 3-5
Chargers: 2-6
Jets: 4-4
Ravens: 2-5
Texans: 5-3
Chiefs: 4-2
Patriots: 4-4
Steelers: 3-5
Titans: 4-3
Raiders: 3-4
Divisional: 13-18 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 7-9 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 7-12 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 18-16 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 13-8 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 4-5 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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Super Bowl XLVIII NFL Pick 2014 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2014 Season:
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