Giants (4-2) at Vikings (5-1). Line: Vikings by 6. Over-Under: 48.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Vikings by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Vikings by 4.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: GIANTS: OUT: WR Tim Carter, G Barry Stokes, G Rich Seubert. S Omar Stoutmire, S Shaun Williams. QUESTIONABLE: WR Amani Toomer*, C Shaun O'Hara, DT Fred Robbins. VIKINGS: OUT: RB Onterrio Smith, TE Jim Kleinsasser, OT Mike Rosenthal, LB Chris Claiborne, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter.

Remember the 6-0 Vikings of 2003? Remember the first team they lost to? That's right; they suffered their first defeat of the season at home against the Giants, 29-17. It went downhill from there. If Mike Tice does not use this as a motivational tool, I will be shocked.

Minnesota's defense will have their hands full with Tiki Barber, who is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and has only fumbled once this season. Although the Vikings were woeful against opposing rushing attacks in 2003, they have allowed only one player to eclipse the century plateau in 2004. If Minnesota jumps out to an early lead, the Giants will have to abandon the run. The Vikings' secondary is very suspect, but Kurt Warner will not be able to take advantage of their weakness.

The Giants allowed Joey Harrington to complete 18 of 22 pass attempts Sunday. Detroit's offense is minuscule compared to Minnesota's. Will Allen and Will Peterson cannot cover Randy Moss, Marcus Robinson and Nate Burleson downfield. Once New York starts putting extra defensive backs on to the field, the Vikings will run the ball with Mewelde Moore, who is gaining 6.2 yards per rush.

New York is 4-2, but their victories have come against Cleveland, Washington, Green Bay and Dallas. All of those teams have losing records. Their losses have been embarrassing defeats at the hands of Philadelphia and Detroit; both have winning records. Minnesota is 5-1...


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • Vikings are 7-2 ATS in October since 2001.
  • Vikings are 7-3 ATS vs. teams with winning records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -7 (open) to Vikings -6.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 49 to 48 to 48.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Vikings Offense.
  • Sit Em: Giants Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Vikings by 20. (Vikings -6). Money Pick. Over.




Ravens (4-2) at Eagles (6-0). Line: Eagles by 7. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Eagles by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Eagles by 6.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: RAVENS: OUT: QB Anthony Wright, RB Jamal Lewis, OT Jonathan Ogden, LB Peter Boulware, CB Dale Carter. QUESTIONABLE: TE Todd Heap, OT Orlando Brown, C Mike Flynn. EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, FB Jon Ritchie, G Shawn Andrews, DE Ndukwe Kalu. DOUBTFUL: RB Brian Westbrook*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Greg Lewis, OT Jon Runyan, DE Jerome McDougle, DT Darwin Walker.

The secret is out. The Eagles' defense cannot stop the run. They are ranked 30th, surrendering five yards per carry. Lee Suggs and William Green looked like they were ripping off ten yards per touch Sunday. Jamal Lewis is out, serving the final game of his suspension, but backup Chester Taylor is a talented runner. Against the fifth-ranked Buffalo Bills' stop unit, Taylor accumulated 89 rushing yards on 21 carries. However, Jonathan Ogden - the best offensive tackle in the NFL - is out with a hamstring injury. Philadelphia will bring extra players into the box, forcing Kyle Boller to beat them. If Todd Heap is available, Baltimore's offense will be able to move the chains. If not, the points the Ravens score will come from defense and special teams.

A one-dimensional offense versus the Ravens defense? Uh oh. Brian Westbrook is doubtful, meaning Dorsey Levens and Reno Mahe will split time at running back. Baltimore neither has to worry about the run, nor will be concerned about Westbrook's ability to catch the ball in the flat. The Ravens will concentrate on putting pressure on Donovan McNabb and covering Terrell Owens. As soon as Owens spurned the Ravens for the Eagles, Ray Lewis and company have had this game circled.

The better defense that wants revenge against one of the players on the opposing offense, and they are getting 7 points? Count me in.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 28-56 ATS since 2001. Eagles kicked a GW FG in overtime.
  • Ravens are 7-3 ATS in October since 2001.
  • Eagles are 3-0 ATS at home this year.
  • Eagles are 6-1 ATS as home favorites of 7 to 10 points since 2001.
  • Eagles are 3-6 ATS vs. AFC opponents (24-9 vs. NFC opponents) since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -7 (open) to Eagles -8 to Eagles -7.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 to 38.
  • Weather: Sunny, 71 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Terrell Owens, L.J. Smith, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Ravens Offense, Brian Westbrook.

Prediction: Eagles by 3. (Ravens +7). Money Pick. Under.




Packers (3-4) at Redskins (2-4). Line: Packers by 2. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Packers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Packers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: PACKERS: OUT: C Mike Flanagan. QUESTIONABLE: WR Robert Ferguson, TE Bubba Franks, G Marco Rivera, LB Hannibal Navies, CB Al Harris, S Darren Sharper. REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen, LB LaVar Arrington, LB Mike Barrow, S Sean Taylor (DUI), S Matt Bowen, K John Hall. QUESTIONABLE: DE Phillip Daniels.

Washington is listed as the top run defense in the NFL, but that ranking is misleading because they have not played a team with a potent rushing attack, other than the Baltimore Ravens. Jamal Lewis gained 116 yards on 28 carries in that contest, which is impressive, considering the Redskins placed eight men in the box the entire game. If the Redskins stack the line to stop Ahman Green, Brett Favre will beat them with play-action passes. Javon Walker is establishing himself as one of the elite wide receivers in the NFL; he has the most receiving yards in the league (726). Fred Smoot cannot cover Walker one-on-one.

Cleveland defenders were barking out the Redskins' plays as soon they lined up four weeks ago. Washington was restricted to just 265 total yards of offense. A week later, Baltimore's defense suffocated the Skins, containing them to 135 total yards. Green Bay's stop unit yields five yards per rush, but the Packers will bring an eighth man into the box, coaxing Mark Brunell to take advantage of their woeful secondary. Even though Brunell has two lethal targets - Laveraneus Coles and Rod Gardner - he does not have the arm strength to be effective. Brunell's completion percentage is only 51.2% and his quarterback rating is only 69.8. It may be time for a change at the quarterback position in our nation's capitol. Patrick Ramsey has already proven himself futile; Tim Hasselbeck should be given a chance.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Packers are 8-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Redskins are 12-21 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Redskins are 2-7 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Packers -1 (open) to Packers -2 to Packers -3 to Packers -2 to Packers -2.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 40 to 41 to 40.
  • Weather: Sunny, 73 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Javon Walker, Donald Driver, Packers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Mark Brunell, Redskins Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 4. (Packers -2). Under.




Jaguars (5-2) at Texans (3-3). Line: Texans by 1. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Texans by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Jaguars by 2.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: JAGUARS: OUT: TE George Wrighster, OT Mike Pearson, DE Paul Spicer, DE Lionel Barnes, PR David Allen. QUESTIONABLE: KR Jermaine Lewis. TEXANS: QUESTIONABLE: OT Todd Wade.

Two teams rising in the south clash in Houston on Sunday. While both squads seem to find a ways to win, this game means more to Houston, because the Jaguars are coming off an emotional win at Indianapolis.

After struggling to score in the first three weeks of the season, the Jaguars' offense has exploded, putting up nearly 22 points per contest in their last four games. Byron Leftwich's maturity has been the catalyst for Jacksonville's offensive outburst. He will take advantage of Houston's pass defense, which surrenders more than 230 passing yards per game. The secondary has picked off nine passes, but the problem stems from the lack of pressure applied by the Texans' front seven. Kailee Wong leads Houston in sacks with just 3. When Leftwich gets tired of throwing, he can easily hand it off to Fred Taylor, who will shred a defense that permits 4.8 yards per carry.

The Jaguars have transformed themselves from a defensive powerhouse to an offensive machine in a matter of weeks. After allowing just nine points per game during the first three weeks of the season, Jacksonville has permitted more than 24 per contest in their last four games. Jonathan Wells may approach 100 rushing yards, but it will be David Carr who exploits a weak Jaguars secondary. No one can cover Andre Johnson, one of the top receivers in the NFL. Throw in other reliable targets - Derick Armstrong, Jabar Gaffney and Corey Bradford - and Carr may accumulate much more than 300 passing yards Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • History: No Pattern.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 14-17 ATS since 2003.
  • Texans are 9-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
  • Line Movement: Texans -1 (open) to Texans -1 to Texans -2 to Texans -1.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 42 to 43 to 42.
  • Weather: Retractable Roof.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Byron Leftwich, Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, David Carr, Andre Johnson.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Texans by 3. (Texans -1). Over.




Cardinals (2-4) at Bills (1-5). Line: Bills by 3. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Bills by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Bills by 4.

The Game. Edge: Bills.
Injuries: CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, FB James Hodgins, DE Fred Wakefield, KR Josh Scobey. QUESTIONABLE: S Ifeanyi Ohalete. BILLS: OUT: C Trey Teague, CB Troy Vincent. QUESTIONABLE: OT Jonas Jennings.

When the Detroit Lions snapped their 24-game losing streak on the road, the Cardinals became the team with the longest losing streak away from home. They have lost 16 consecutive away from Sun Devil Stadium.

Even Arizona's run defense represents their inability to win at other stadiums. They surrender 5.4 yards per carry on the road, compared to 4.2 at home. Willis McGahee will start and should easily rip through the Cardinals' stop unit. Arizona will not be able to place eight men in the box, because Drew Bledsoe will pick apart a secondary that has allowed 250 passing yards per game away from home. However, do not expect the Bills to suddenly become an offensive juggernaut; they haven't scored more than 20 points in any contest this season. Calvin Pace and Bert Berry - both of whom have registered four sacks this season - will sack the immobile Bledsoe often, limiting Buffalo's offensive output.

Emmitt Smith rushed for 106 yards in last week's upset against the Seahawks. That will not happen against the Bills, who yield just 3.6 yards per carry. Josh McCown will be in many long yardage situations and will feel the heat from Aaron Schobel, who has accumulated 5 sacks this season. McCown's young receivers will attempt to free themselves from the suffocating coverage of Troy Vincent, Nate Clements and Lawyer Milloy. Anquan Boldin will play for the first time this season, but coming off a serious injury, his effectiveness in this game is in doubt.


The Trends. Edge: Bills.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 7-14 ATS since 2002.
  • Cardinals are 5-14 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Bills are 3-7 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Bills -3 (open) to Bills -3.
  • Total Movement: 33 (open) to 34.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 60 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Willis McGahee, Eric Moulds, Bills Defense.
  • Sit Em: Cardinals Offense.

Prediction: Bills by 7. (Bills -3). Money Pick. Under.




Lions (4-2) at Cowboys (2-4). Line: Cowboys by 3. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Cowboys by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Cowboys by 3.

The Game. Edge: Lions.
Injuries: LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, S Brian Walker. QUESTIONABLE: RB Artose Pinner, FB Cory Schlesinger, WR Roy Williams*, WR Az Hakim, DE Robert Porcher, CB Andre Goodman, CB Fernando Bryant. COWBOYS: OUT: RB Julius Jones, WR Terry Glenn, CB Pete Hunter, S Darren Woodson. QUESTIONABLE: WR Quincy Morgan.

After 24 consecutive road losses, the Lions have won three in a row. Amazing. Detroit puts their undefeated road mark on the line at Texas Stadium, where the Cowboys are 2-4 and cannot afford another loss.

Dallas' downfall has to do with their defense. Against opposing rushing attacks, the Cowboys have yielded 5.2 yards per carry this season, which is the second worst average in the NFL. However, the Lions do not have the ground game to take advantage of Dallas' futility; Kevin Jones is Detroit's leading rusher, and he only gains 3.7 yards per rush. The Cowboys are better against the pass than the run, but their aerial defense is by no means a strength. No one will be able to cover Roy Williams, a very impressive rookie wide receiver. Expect Williams to find the endzone on multiple occasions.

Much like Detroit's offense, the Cowboys have no running game. Maybe they should have selected Steven Jackson in April's draft. Nevertheless, it does not matter because the Lions have one of the elite rush defenses in the league. Their secondary can be exploited and if Dallas wins their third game of the season, Vinny Testaverde's passes to Keyshawn Johnson and Jason Witten need to be sharp.

The Lions are a better team than the Cowboys, but there is a lot going against them, as signified below.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 14-17 ATS since 2003.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 30-25 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Lions are 3-0 ATS on the road this season.
  • Cowboys are 2-10 ATS vs. teams with winning records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 38 to 39 to 41.
  • Weather: Retractable roof.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Roy Williams, Keyshawn Johnson, Jason Witten.
  • Sit Em: Joey Harrington, Kevin Jones, Vinny Testaverde, Eddie George.

Prediction: Cowboys by 4. (Cowboys -3). Money Pick. Under.




Bengals (2-4) at Titans (2-5). Line: Titans by 3. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Titans by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Titans by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bengals.
Injuries: BENGALS: OUT: DT Tony Williams, LB Nate Webster, CB Dennis Weathersby, P Kyle Richardson. QUESTIONABLE: WR Peter Warrick, WR Kelley Washington, DE Carl Powell. TITANS: OUT: WR Tyrone Calico, G Zach Piller, LB Peter Sirmon, K Joe Nedney. DOUBTFUL: TE Erron Kinney. QUESTIONABLE: QB Steve McNair*, RB Chris Brown*, G Benji Olson, DE Carlos Hall, DE Antwan Odom, LB Keith Bulluck, LB Rocky Calmus, S Lance Schulters.

There is only one thing you can do when an injury report as large as Tennessee's is released. Pick against them. The entire linebacking corps is either out or banged up and their best defensive lineman, Carlos Hall, is questionable. Rudi Johnson will rip through the Titans' run defense, which is surrendering a league-worst 5.4 yards per carry this season. That's without all of the injuries. An effective rushing attack by Rudi Johnson will make it easier for Carson Palmer to connect with Chad Johnson, one of the best wide receivers in the NFL.

Continuing with the injury report, the two starting guards-Zach Piller and Benji Olson-are both injured. Olson may play, but his injured groin will limit his effectiveness. The most prominent name on the injury list is Steve McNair. He is listed as questionable, but if I had to guess, I would bet that McNair sits this game out because the Titans have a bye next week. That will give McNair two weeks of rest. Assuming Billy Volek starts at quarterback, the Bengals will place eight men in the box to contain Chris Brown, who has already accumulated 663 rushing yards. Volek was ineffective against the Minnesota Vikings last Sunday, completing just 17 of 36 passes for 190 yards and three interceptions.

After a mysterious 48-point performance at Lambeau Field two weeks ago, the Titans scored just 10 and three in their last two contests. Their offensive futility will continue as long as McNair is hurt, even though Cincinnati is not a defensive juggernaut.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bengals are 0-3 ATS on the road this year.
  • Titans are 0-3 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Possible thunder storms, 75 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Rudi Johnson, Chad Johnson, Derrick Mason.
  • Sit Em: Steve McNair, Billy Volek, Titans Defense.

Prediction: Bengals by 7. (Bengals +3). Upset Special. Under.




Colts (4-2) at Chiefs (2-4). Line: Colts by 1. Over-Under: 57.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Colts by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Colts by 2.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: COLTS: OUT: CB Donald Strickland, S Cory Bird. QUESTIONABLE: G Tupe Peko, CB Nick Harper, CB Joseph Jefferson. CHIEFS: OUT: WR Marc Boerigter, LB Mike Maslowski, CB Dexter McCleon.

The over-under on punts in this contest is a half. The Chiefs and the Colts met in the playoffs last year. Indianapolis won, 38-31, as neither defense could stop the other. Once again, that will be the case.

Kansas City yields 4.5 yards per carry, so Edgerrin James will easily burst through the Chiefs' front seven. The pass defense is equally pathetic, but against Peyton Manning, it doesn't really matter. If Kansas City's stop unit forces Indianapolis to punt once, they have done a great job.

Much like the Chiefs' defense, the Colts cannot stop anything. They also surrender 4.5 yards per carry and are equally pathetic against aerial defenses. Priest Holmes will approach 150 rushing yards, allowing Trent Green to connect with Tony Gonzalez, Johnnie Morton and Eddie Kennison. If Indianapolis forces Kansas City to punt once, they have also done a great job.

These two teams are equal: both have great offenses and pathetic defenses. However, the Chiefs have an edge in this situation because this is an enormous revenge situation for them, and they are playing at Arrowhead, where they are 15-5 in the last three years.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Revenge Situation: CHIEFS: Colts beat Chiefs in the 2003 playoffs.
  • Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in October since 2001.
  • Chiefs are 8-4 ATS as underdogs since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Colts -2 (open) to Colts -2 to Colts -1.
  • Total Movement: 57 (open) to 57.
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 3. (Chiefs +1). Over.




Falcons (5-2) at Broncos (5-2). Line: Broncos by 6. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Broncos by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Broncos by 5.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: FALCONS: OUT: DT Rod Coleman, S Keion Carpenter. QUESTIONABLE: NT Chad Lavalais, LB Chris Draft, CB Aaron Beasley, S Cory Hall. BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, RB Quentin Griffin, DE Trevor Pryce. QUESTIONABLE: RB Garrison Hearst, RB Tatum Bell, CB Lenny Walls.

This game could easily be branded "The Cut Block Bowl." Alex Gibbs, the Falcons' offensive line coach, used to tutor the Broncos' line in Denver. While Gibbs is certainly one of the most brilliant and respected offensive line gurus in the NFL, the linemen under his tutelage have been known to throw a few dirty, but legal cut blocks.

Gibbs' tactics will take some time to take effect in Atlanta. Neither Warrick Dunn nor T.J. Duckett are talented enough to be feature running backs. The Broncos have one of the better rush defenses in the NFL, and they will be able to nullify both Dunn and Duckett.

It is an understatement to say that Michael Vick has struggled in the West Coast offense. Vick completed just seven of 21 pass attempts for 119 yards and two interceptions Sunday against the Chiefs. Do not blame Vick; blame head coach Jim Mora Jr. and offensive coordinator Greg Knapp for placing Vick in an offense not suited to his strengths. The Falcons will have problems scoring points all season.

Atlanta's run defense went from respectable to despicable after they allowed a record eight rushing touchdowns to the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday. Priest Holmes and Derrick Blaylock were able to trample the Falcons' defense because Rod Coleman, a run-stuffing defensive tackle, did not play. Coleman will be out once again, meaning Reuben Droughns is primed for another great performance.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -6 (open) to Broncos -6.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 39.
  • Weather: Showers, 52 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Broncos Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Falcons Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Broncos by 17. (Broncos -6). Under.




Panthers (1-5) at Seahawks (3-3). Line: Seahawks by 8. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Seahawks by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Seahawks by 7.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: PANTHERS: OUT: RB Stephen Davis, RB DeShaun Foster, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson, DT Kris Jenkins. DOUBTFUL: G Tutan Reyes, KR Rod Smart. SEAHAWKS: OUT: WR Bobby Engram, DE Grant Wistrom, LB Isaiah Kacyvenski, LB Anthony Simmons, S Damien Robinson. QUESTIONABLE: WR Koren Robinson (Possible suspension), OT Chris Terry, CB Marcus Trufant, P Tom Rouen.

Carolina is collapsing like the 2003 Raiders, 2002 Rams, 2001 Giants, and all of the other Super Bowl losers that failed to qualify for the playoffs the following season. The Panthers have dropped four straight, losing by an average margin of 14 points. The main problem has been their health. Steve Smith and DeShaun Foster are out for the year, Stephen Davis is hobbling on a bad knee and the offensive line is held together by Scotch Tape. Translation: the Panthers cannot score. Seattle still has a decent defense, despite their recent struggles. Pro Bowl linebacker Chad Brown returns from injury and should mend a stop unit that has allowed 29 points per game in their last three contests, after permitting just 13 total points in their first three. A strong defensive effort by Seattle means minimal points for the Panthers...again.

Seattle should be able to score at will against Carolina's soft defense, now that they are in the friendly confines of Seahawks Stadium, where they average nearly 30 points per game. Shaun Alexander will eclipse the century mark because the Panthers yield 4.6 yards per carry. Carolina will stack the line against the run, but their secondary will not be able to handle Matt Hasselbeck and Seattle's talented receiving corps, which includes Jerry Rice. After a full week of practice, Rice should have more of an impact in this offense.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Seahawks are 7-3 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Seahawks are 1-9 ATS in October since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -8 (open) to Seahawks -7 to Seahawks -8.
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 39.
  • Weather: Showers, 51 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Darrell Jackson, Seahawks Defense.
  • Sit Em: Koren Robinson (Possible suspension), Panthers Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 24. (Seahawks -8). Under.




Patriots (6-0) at Steelers (5-1). Line: Patriots by 3. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 4:15 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Patriots by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Patriots by 3.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: PATRIOTS: OUT: TE Ben Watson. DOUBTFUL: WR Deion Branch. QUESTIONABLE: RB Corey Dillon*, FB Patrick Pass, FB/DT/LB Dan Klecko, WR Troy Brown. CB Tyrone Poole. STEELERS: OUT: G Kendall Simmons, NT Casey Hampton, CB Chad Scott. DOUBTFUL: LB Kendrell Bell. QUESTIONABLE: S Mike Logan.

Anyone who said that this game would be the most anticipated matchup of week eight before the season began would have been taken away to a mental hospital. The Patriots will put their record 21-game winning streak on the line when they travel to Heinz Field to take on the upstart Steelers.

Casey Hampton, one of the elite run-stuffing nose tackles in the NFL, is out for the season. Pittsburgh has been renown for their ability to stop the run over the years, but Hampton's absence and the probable unavailability of Kendrell Bell will hurt their ability to do so. Corey Dillon has tallied 629 rushing yards this season, averaging 4.9 yards per carry. He will trample the Steelers' defense, because they will be focused on containing Tom Brady and New England's dynamic passing attack. Pittsburgh's secondary is one of the weakest units in the NFL and they will have problems stopping the Patriots' four and five wide receiver formations.

As you are reading this, Bill Belichick is sitting in his laboratory, devising a way to confuse and befuddle talented rookie quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Belichick and his defensive coordinator, Romeo Crennel are experts at creating chaotic game plans to disrupt the performance of opposing signal callers. Belichick is 6-1 against Peyton Manning as the head coach of the Patriots, which means confusing a rookie quarterback should be a piece of cake, even though Roethlisberger appears to be on course for a very special career. Bill Cowher should call as many running plays for Duce Staley as possible; the Patriots are only mediocre at stopping the run.

If Roethlisberger was a more seasoned NFL quarterback, the Steelers would have a great chance of winning this game. However, what are the odds that a rookie signal caller snaps the longest winning streak in league history?


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Steelers are 7-2 ATS in October home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 43 to 43 to 42.
  • Weather: Sunny, 68 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Duce Staley, Hines Ward, Tom Brady, Corey Dillon, David Givens, David Patten, Daniel Graham, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jerome Bettis, Steelers Defense, Troy Brown, Deion Branch.

Prediction: Patriots by 7. (Patriots -3). Double Money Pick. Under.




Raiders (2-5) at Chargers (4-3). Line: Chargers by 6. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Chargers by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Chargers by 7.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: RAIDERS: OUT: QB Rich Gannon, G Mo Collins, G Frank Middleton, S Derrick Gibson. DOUBTFUL: G Ron Stone, NT Ted Washington, LB Travian Smith, CB Charles Woodson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Tyrone Wheatley, RB Justin Fargas, OT Robert Gallery, LB Napoleon Harris. CHARGERS: OUT: WR Reche Caldwell, CB Drayton Florence.

One of the main reasons for San Diego's surprising success is the play of their defense, which allows just 3.6 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Oakland's pathetic rushing attack will be stymied, forcing Kerry Collins to throw in many long yardage situations. Collins, who committed nine turnovers in his first three starts as a Raider, only turned the ball over once against New Orleans. He didn't learn to take care of the football overnight. The reason for the lack of give-aways by Oakland last week was New Orleans' inability to stop the run. The Chargers' stop unit will force Collins into making many ill-advised errors.

San Diego rushed for 485 yards in two contests against the Raiders in 2003. Oakland's defense simply has no answer for LaDainian Tomlinson. They have only surrendered 3.7 yards per rush this season, but that statistic is quickly eroding with the Raiders' playoff hopes; Reuben Droughns accumulated 176 yards on 38 carries two weeks ago. Oakland will not be able to place eight men in the box, because Drew Brees has been prolific this season, and has the receivers - Keenan McCardell and Antonio Gates - to be successful on Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • History: Raiders have won 10 of the last 13 meetings.
  • Raiders are 1-10 ATS in October since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -5 (open) to Chargers -6.
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 45 to 46.
  • Weather: Sunny, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: LaDainian Tomlinson, Keenan McCardell, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Raiders Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 14. (Chargers -6). Over.




49ers (1-5) at Bears (1-5). Line: Bears by 1. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Bears by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Bears by 1.

The Game. Edge: 49ers.
Injuries: 49ERS: OUT: C Jeremy Newberry, DE Andre Carter, LB Julian Peterson, CB Mike Rumph. QUESTIONABLE: QB Tim Rattay*, CB Ahmed Plummer. BEARS: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, G Mike Gandy, CB Charles Tillman, S Mike Brown. DOUBTFUL: DE Adewale Ogunleye. QUESTIONABLE: G Ruben Brown, DT Alfonoso Boone.

The 2003 Fiesta Bowl. One of the greatest college football games of all time. Craig Krenzel versus Ken Dorsey.

Krenzel has been named the starter for the Chicago Bears. Now, if only Dorsey can supplant Tim Rattay as the starting quarterback, we can have a rematch of the Fiesta Bowl. It won't be as exciting because the Bears and the 49ers are pathetically worse than the Ohio State and Miami teams in that game.

Kevan Barlow is one of the better running backs in the NFL, and the Bears allow 4.5 yards per carry, but the host will place eight men in the box, forcing the onus of moving the chains on Rattay, who has been impressive of late, despite some early struggles. In his last two starts, he has averaged nearly 350 passing yards. Rattay and his receivers, Brandon Lloyd and Cedrick Wilson will continue to evolve throughout this season. They will be facing a Chicago secondary that will be missing their two best players - Charles Tillman and Mike Brown - and top pass rusher, Adewale Ogunleye. San Francisco will be able to score a respectable amount of points against the Bears.

The 49ers once yielded less than 3.5 yards per carry this season. That statistic has risen to 3.9 because of the injury to Pro Bowl linebacker Julian Peterson. However, much like the Bears, San Francisco will stack the line against the run, forcing Krenzel - a rookie making his first start - to beat them. That will not happen.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bears are 0-3 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Bears -2 (open) to Bears -3 to Bears -2 to Bears -1.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 35 to 35 to 36.
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tim Rattay, Brandon Lloyd, Eric Johnson.
  • Sit Em: Kevan Barlow, Bears Offense.

Prediction: 49ers by 13. (49ers +1). Under.




Dolphins (1-6) at Jets (5-1). Line: Jets by 7. Over-Under: 35.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 7 Games): Jets by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 7 Games): Jets by 8.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
Injuries: DOLPHINS: OUT: RB Lamar Gordon, WR David Boston, DT Larry Chester, DT Tim Bowens, S Chris Akins, K Olindo Mare. DOUBTFUL: S Antuan Edwards. QUESTIONABLE: DE Jason Taylor, CB Sam Madison. JETS: > OUT: DT Josh Evans, CB Ray Mickens. QUESTIONABLE: LB Sam Cowart, CB Derrick Strait.

Where has this Miami offense been all year? After scoring just nine points per contest in their first six games, the Dolphins lit up the scoreboard against the St. Louis Rams, tallying 31 points in their first victory of the season. Unlike the Rams, the Jets have a very solid defense. Sammy Morris has accumulated 91 and 83 rushing yards in his last two starts, but New York has only allowed one running back to reach the 100 yard plateau all year. Jay Fiedler will be in many third and long situations, meaning lots of take-aways for the Jets, who have already registered 16 sacks and seven interceptions this year. Fiedler was sacked four times, fumbled twice and threw two interceptions in a 17-9 loss to the Jets earlier this season.

Now that the Dolphins have won a game, their defense will eventually collapse, given the offense reverts back to futility. A reason why Miami was able to beat St. Louis was Mike Martz's lack of devotion to the run. He must not have realized that without run-stuffers Larry Chester and Tim Bowens, the Fish surrender 4.3 yards per carry. Curtis Martin will once again eclipse the century mark, allowing Chad Pennington to convert short yardage situations.


The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • History: Jets have won 10 of the last 13 meetings.
  • Line Movement: Jets -7 (open) to Jets -6 to Jets -7.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 35 to 35.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 53 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Randy McMichael, Chad Pennington, Curtis Martin, Jets Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jay Fiedler, Santana Moss.

Prediction: Jets by 10. (Jets -7). Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 3-2
Eagles: 5-1
Giants: 3-3
Redskins: 3-3

Bears: 3-3
Lions: 4-2
Packers: 4-3
Vikings: 1-5

Buccaneers: 2-3
Falcons: 3-4
Panthers: 6-0
Saints: 4-3

49ers: 3-3
Cardinals: 4-2
Rams: 2-4
Seahawks: 2-4

Bills: 4-2
Dolphins: 4-3
Jets: 4-1
Patriots: 2-2

Bengals: 6-0
Browns: 3-4
Ravens: 2-4
Steelers: 2-4

Colts: 3-2
Jaguars: 5-2
Texans: 3-3
Titans: 3-4

Broncos: 5-0
Chargers: 3-3
Chiefs: 2-4
Raiders: 5-2

Divisional Games: 17-17
Trend Edge: 11-16
Game Edge: 16-16
Game & Trend Edge: 2-2


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1 Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 15, 2014): 6-9-1 (-$1,380)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 1-2 (-$360)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 0-1 (-$440)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 15, 2014): 10-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 15, 2014): $0

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40% (-$580)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 115-118-7, 49.4% (-$2,655)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 40-38, 51.3% (+$70)
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2014 Season Over-Under: 123-98-2, 55.7% ($0)
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1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
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2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
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2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
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2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
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2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
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2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
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2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

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2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
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2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
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2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,129-1,962-117, 52.0% (+$9,760)
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Career Over-Under: 1,664-1,635-48 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-18 (62.5%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-9
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-6
49ers: 6-7
Eagles: 9-5
Lions: 5-8
Falcons: 6-8
Cardinals: 7-7
Giants: 4-10
Packers: 9-4
Panthers: 5-9
Rams: 6-8
Redskins: 8-6
Vikings: 11-3
Saints: 5-8
Seahawks: 7-7
Bills: 6-8
Bengals: 5-10
Colts: 6-7
Broncos: 7-7
Dolphins: 9-4
Browns: 7-5
Jaguars: 8-6
Chargers: 5-9
Jets: 7-7
Ravens: 6-8
Texans: 6-7
Chiefs: 8-5
Patriots: 7-7
Steelers: 7-7
Titans: 6-6
Raiders: 5-9
Divisional: 31-37 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 11-16 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 23-21 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 39-39 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 29-15 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 13-11 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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