Falcons (7-4) at Panthers (8-3). Line: Panthers by 3. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Panthers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Panthers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Falcons: OUT: MLB Edgerton Hartwell, CB Chris Cash, CB Kevin Mathis. QUESTIONABLE: OT Todd Weiner, DE Brady Smith, DT Chad Lavalais. Panthers: OUT: DT Kris Jenkins. QUESTIONABLE: DT Brentson Buckner, MLB Dan Morgan, CB Idrees Bashir, S Thomas Davis.

I'm sure none of you need me to tell you about the NFC South triangle, but I'll do it anyway. The Falcons cannot beat the Buccaneers. The Buccaneers cannot beat the Panthers. And, the Panthers cannot beat the Falcons.

Well, I'm positive about the former two sides of the triangle -- not the latter. In fact, you can look at all of the previous Atlanta-Carolina matchups and realize that the Panthers never had a legitimate chance against Michael Vick, whom they have never beaten. Carolina was not a good team in 2002; emotions were riding high in the Georgia Dome when Vick made his debut after he got hurt in 2003; and the Panthers were too banged up to take on Vick last year. This season could be different. Why? To stop Atlanta's offense, you need two things: the ability to stop the run and a stout right defensive end who can prevent Vick from running to his left. Carolina has both; the team is ranked second against the rush and Julius Peppers and Mike Rucker occupy the outside of its offensive line. The Panthers can be beaten with the pass, but Vick is not a good enough passer to win games on his own. He's just not accurate enough.

One of the reasons why Steve Mariucci got fired was his unwillingness to run the ball against the Falcons on Thanksgiving. Kevin Jones received just four carries against 31st-ranked unit against opposing ground attacks. The Panthers pound the football more than any other team in the league, so the Falcons will have to counter by placing eight men in the box. Jake Delhomme will consequently play-action pass to an open Steve Smith. Do you think DeAngelo Hall can cover the league's leading receiver? I doubt it.

The NFC South triangle will be transformed into a strange, obtuse, two-sided figure after this contest is finished. Carolina will win this game.

Friday Update: I feel strongly about this game after thinking about it the past few days. I'm making this a Money Pick.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • History: Falcons have won 9 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 43 to 43.
  • Weather: Showers, 64 degrees. Mild wind, 11 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Alge Crumpler, Steve Smith.
  • Sit Em: Falcons Defense.

Prediction: Panthers by 7. (Panthers -3). Money Pick. Over.




Bills (4-7) at Dolphins (4-7). Line: Dolphins by 5. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Dolphins by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Dolphins by 3.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Injuries: Bills: OUT: DT Ron Edwards, OLB Takeo Spikes. QUESTIONABLE: QB Kelly Holcomb*, OT Mike Williams, DT Sam Adams, CB Terrence McGee. Dolphins: OUT: WR David Boston, OLB Junior Seau, MLB Zach Thomas, CB Will Poole, S Tebucky Jones. QUESTIONABLE: WR Marty Booker, G Rex Hadnot, S Lance Schulters.

This may be a battle between 4-7 teams, but both the Bills and the Dolphins are not out of playoff contention. The winner will remain two games behind New England in the hunt for the AFC East title.

I think it's safe to say that the Bills are absolutely awful on the road. They are 0-5 away from Orchard Park, losing by an average of 18.4 points per contest. It's also safe to say that Buffalo will not be able to score against Miami. The Dolphins have one of the elite run-stopping defenses in the NFL; even without Zach Thomas, they restricted LaMont Jordan to less than four yards per carry on Sunday. They will do a similar job against Willis McGahee, who was stymied to 86 yards on 31 carries when the two teams met on Oct. 9. J.P. Losman will be placed in a plethora of long-yardage situations, which will only lead to tons of interceptions and sacks. Jason Taylor will be breathing down Losman's neck all afternoon.

How good of a one-two punch is the combination of Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown? The two backs tallied for 140 yards on 31 carries on Sunday against the Raiders, who happened to be ranked 15th against the run. Buffalo is seeded 30th in that department. Williams and Brown will trample Buffalo's front seven, which might be missing Sam Adams. Gus Frerotte will capitalize on his effective run game by utilizing play-action passes downfield to Chris Chambers and Randy McMichael.

If you bet on the Bills at home and bet against them on the road, you would be 8-2-1 this year. I'll take those odds.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • History: Bills have won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Weak Arm: J.P. Losman is 0-3 ATS on the road this year.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: Dolphins -3 (open) to Dolphins -3 to Dolphins -4 to Dolphins -4 to Dolphins -5.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Sunny, 79 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ricky Williams, Ronnie Brown, Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael, Dolphins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Bills Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Dolphins by 16. (Dolphins -5). Double Money Pick. Under.




Bengals (8-3) at Steelers (7-4). Line: Steelers by 3. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Steelers by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Steelers by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Bengals: OUT: C Larry Moore, S Madieu Williams, S Kim Herring. QUESTIONABLE: DT Bryan Robinson. Steelers: DOUBTFUL: QB Charlie Batch. QUESTIONABLE: OT Marvel Smith, ILB James Farrior, S Mike LOgan.

As bad as the Steelers looked on Monday night, they can revitalize their playoff hopes and take control of the AFC North by beating the upstart Bengals.

The Bengals lost to Pittsburgh when the two teams clashed on Oct. 23, 27-13. Cincinnati only had six points by the end of the third quarter, but the game could have been different if Chad Johnson had both feet inbounds on an early touchdown that was called back. Rudi Johnson was limited to 12 carries, meaning the lack of a running game forced Carson Palmer to throw two interceptions. Things might be different this time around. The entire nation witnessed how terrible Pittsburgh's secondary was when Peyton Manning continuously torched the beleaguered group in the RCA Dome. I don't think the Steelers' defensive backs could stop either of the teams in the Lingerie Bowl. Palmer should be able to expose Ike Taylor and Bryant McFadden by ceaselessly throwing long bombs to Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh.

If the Steelers wish to take back control of their division, they will need to establish the run with Jerome Bettis, Duce Staley and Willie Parker. The latter ran for 131 yards on 18 carries against the Bengals, who are ranked 28th against opposing ground attacks. If the three runners can help their team move the chains, Pittsburgh's offense can stay on the field and keep Palmer and the Johnsons off the field.

This Cincinnati squad reminds me of the 2000 Eagles. Philadelphia was a solid team that year, but it just wasn't ready to beat the Super Bowl-bound Giants or elite opponents like the Titans. The Bengals will be ready to take down Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, San Diego and Denver next year. As for this matchup, I think the Steelers will improve to 8-4.


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • History: Steelers have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Betting History: Bengals are 15-3 ATS against the Steelers if they lost to them previously the same season in the previous 18 instances.
  • Steelers are 10-3 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -3 (open) to Steelers -3.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41.
  • Weather: Snow, 36 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Hines Ward, Heath Miller.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Steelers by 6. (Steelers -3). Money Pick. Over.




Cowboys (7-4) at Giants (7-4). Line: Giants by 3. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Giants by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Giants by 2.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: Cowboys: OUT: OT Flozell Adams, ILB Dat Nguyen. QUESTIONABLE: WR Patrick Crayton, CB Anthony Henry. Giants: OUT: DT William Joseph, OLB Barrett Green. QUESTIONABLE: CB William Peterson, S Shaun Williams.

I know that these two teams will be battling for first place in the NFC East, but I would like to rename this game "The Inaccurate Kicker Bowl." Both Billy Cundiff and Jay Feely missed make-able kicks last week, leading to the demise of their respective squads.

It's no secret as to what Bill Parcells is going to attempt. He will relentlessly call running plays to ram the ball down New York's throat. However, his efforts will be futile because the Giants ranked sixth against the run. In fact, they held Anthony Thomas and Marion Barber III to just 77 yards on 32 carries when the two squads clashed on Oct. 16. The Cowboys will have much more success throwing the ball into New York's dreadful secondary; Drew Bledsoe torched the Giants for 312 yards in Dallas' 16-13 victory. The question is: Will Bledsoe have time to throw? Left tackle Flozell Adams is out for the year, which spells trouble for the Cowboys, considering defensive ends Osi Umenyiora and Michael Strahan are among the league leaders in sacks.

The Giants only scored 13 points against Dallas in Week 5, but they may find that reaching the end zone will be a lot easier this time around. First of all, they are playing at home, where they average 32.3 points per game. But, the bigger issue for the Cowboys is the season-ending injury to Dat Nguyen, who is one of the leaders of their defense. Tiki Barber will find it easier to bulldoze Dallas' front seven, which will permit Eli Manning to utilize play-action.

This will be a close game that could go either way. I'm not going to touch it.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • History: Giants have won 7 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Cowboys are 10-1 ATS after a loss as an underdog under Bill Parcells.
  • Giants are 5-2 ATS at home this year.
  • Giants have not won a game in December since 2002.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41 to 42 to 41.
  • Weather: Rain/snow, 40 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Terry Glenn, Jason Witten, Eli Manning, Tiki Barber, Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Shockey.
  • Sit Em: Julius Jones, Marion Barber III, Cowboys Defense.

Prediction: Giants by 4. (Giants -3). Under.




Packers (2-9) at Bears (8-3). Line: Bears by 7. Over-Under: 30.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Bears by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Bears by 8.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
Injuries: Packers: OUT: RB Ahman Green, RB Najeh Davenport, WR Javon Walker, S Earl Little, KR Terrence Murphy. QUESTIONABLE: TE Bubba Franks*, CB Michael Hawkins. Bears: OUT: RB Cedric Benson, WR Mark Bradley. QUESTIONABLE: QB Rex Grossman, WR Bernard Berrian.

Who would have thought that the Bears would ever be a 7-point favorite over Brett Favre? After all, the Hall of Fame-bound signal caller is 21-5 against Chicago.

The Monsters of the Midway are back. In fact, they are statistically superior to the 1985 Bears. Is a shutout possible in this fierce NFC North rivalry? I wouldn't put it past Chicago; the Packers have scored more than 20 points just once since Oct. 9. They will not be able to run the ball with Samkon Gado because the Bears are ranked seventh against opposing ground attacks. Brett Favre will be asked to carry the team on his shoulders, which is what he has done all season. However, Favre has thrown 19 interceptions this season, which will only increase, given that Chicago has already picked off 16 passes this year. The Bears' front four will rip through Green Bay's offensive line and ceaselessly thrown Favre to the ground.

Believe it or not, the Packers were once among the league leaders in rush defense. That quickly changed the last two weeks, as the Vikings and Eagles -- two teams that struggle to run the football -- easily trampled Green Bay's front seven. Imagine what Thomas Jones and Adrian Peterson will do. The two runners will combine for more than 200 rushing yards, setting up play-action opportunities for Kyle Orton.

It's really enticing to take the Bears -7, but I just can't do it. I'll give you three reasons why you should stay away from this game: The Packers have only lost twice by more than seven points this season; the Bears are a poor offensive team that is being asked to cover a touchdown; and the "Divisional Dog of Seven" rule applies to this contest.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Packers have won 19 of the last 22 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 49-22 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Double Road Alert: Mike Sherman is 3-1 ATS on the road following a road loss.
  • Brett Favre is 14-7 ATS as an underdog since 2002.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 32 (open) to 31 to 30.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 30 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Thomas Jones, Muhsin Muhammad, Bears Defense.
  • Sit Em: Packers Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Bears by 6. (Packers +7). Under.




Texans (1-10) at Ravens (3-8). Line: Ravens by 8. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Ravens by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Ravens by 5.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Texans: OUT: OT Todd Wade, ILB Kailee Wong, CB Phillip Buchanon. QUESTIONABLE: CB Demarcus Faggins, S Jason Simmons. Ravens: QUESTIONABLE: RB Chester Taylor*, OT Orlando Brown, G Keydrick Vincent, MLB Ray Lewis, S Ed Reed.

How is Dom Capers still the head coach of the Texans? How is Charley Casserly still the general manager? How did Houston surrender a 24-3 lead to a rookie quarterback from Harvard, who was taking his first snaps in the NFL? There are tons of questions in the city of Houston, but no one is answering them.

Still, how can the Texans be underdogs of 8? This is not the Ravens defense of 2000. In fact, Baltimore is brutal in every aspect of the game. Rudi Johnson rushed for 114 yards, while Carson Palmer threw for 302 when the Ravens were obliterated by the Bengals on Sunday. The mighty Baltimore defense didn't register a single sack. Domanick Davis will find wide-open running lanes against the Ravens, which will allow David Carr to actually have a moment to throw in the pocket. Cornerbacks Samari Rolle and Chris McAlister are struggling this season because their front seven is not getting consistent pressure on the quarterback. Andre Johnson should be able to get open all afternoon. All Carr needs to do is find him.

Wow, the Ravens scored 29 points last week? Brian Billick must be some sort of an offensive genius. OK, that's enough sarcasm for one prediction. All of Baltimore's points came late in the second half against a lethargic Cincinnati squad. Jamal Lewis is still a fat slug who is trying his hardest not to get hurt during his contract year. Kyle Boller is still the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. As bad as Houston's offense is, the Ravens will not be able to consistently move the chains; after all, they just scored more than 20 points for the first time all season. They're a joke.

Remember I talked about point spreads that were out of control last week? Teams that have the line move in its favor by three or more points are only 2-5 against the spread this season. Keep in mind that one of those games wins came at the foot of Billy Cundiff, who missed a 34-yard chip shot on Thanksgiving. Baltimore was a 6-point favorite when the contest opened, and the spread has climbed to 8. It's just too high for a poor offensive team.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Texans are 15-8 ATS after two or more consecutive losses.
  • Ravens are 31-8 SU; 27-12 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2000 (19-32 SU vs. non-losing).
  • Line Movement: Ravens -6 (open) to Ravens -7 to Ravens -8.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 36 to 37 to 38.
  • Weather: Rain, 47 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Domanick Davis, Andre Johnson, Todd Heap.
  • Sit Em: Kyle Boller.

Prediction: Ravens by 5. (Texans +8). Money Pick. Under.




Jaguars (8-3) at Browns (4-7). Line: Jaguars by 3. Over-Under: 33.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Jaguars by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Browns by 2.

The Game. Edge: Browns.
Injuries: Jaguars: OUT: QB Byron Leftwich, S Donovin Darius. QUESTIONABLE: RB Fred Taylor*. Browns: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr., CB Gary Baxter. QUESTIONABLE: QB Trent Dilfer*, RB William Green, G Joe Andruzzi, G Cosey Coleman, CB Brodney Pool, KR Josh Cribbs.

Here's something funny: The total on this game was 42 on Sunday night. When it was announced that Byron Leftwich was out for the year, the total dropped to 33. Let's go, David Garrard!

I have some bad news for Jaguars fans: You didn't save a bunch of money on your car insurance by switching to Geico. Seriously, Garrard was only 12-of-26 for 115 yards against Arizona on Sunday. He ran for 61 yards on six carries, but the Cardinals weren't ready to defend a quarterback who can scramble. The Cardinals aren't ready for anything, except more losses. Cleveland, on the other hand, will be prepared. Romeo Crennel will make Garrard beat his defense by throwing in the pocket. Jack Del Rio will counter by giving Greg Jones the ball as much as possible, but the Browns will stack the line of scrimmage, forcing Garrard to beat their secondary. That will not happen.

Cleveland, on the other hand, should be able to take advantage of a Jaguars stop unit that is ranked 21st against the run. Jacksonville has clearly missed run-stuffing safety Donovin Darius, and it has shown on the field. Reuben Droughns, who can reach 1,000 rushing yards by gaining 59 on Sunday, should be able to burst through wide-open running lanes, setting up play-action for Trent Dilfer. If you're thinking about taking Cleveland, watch the injury report. Dilfer and guards Cosey Coleman and Joe Andruzzi are all questionable.

This is Jacksonville's third consecutive road game. The team also has Indianapolis on the horizon. Plus, it will be too cold and windy for the Jaguars. I guess you know who I'm going to pick.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: JAGUARS play the Colts next week.
  • Third Road Alert: Teams in their third consecutive road game are 5-12 ATS since 2000.
  • Browns are 2-9 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41 to 33 (Leftwich) to 33.
  • Weather: Snow, 35 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Reuben Droughns, Browns Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jaguars Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Browns by 10. (Browns +3). Bonus Double Money Pick. Upset Special. Under.




Vikings (6-5) at Lions (4-7). Line: Vikings by 2. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Lions by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Vikings by 1.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: Vikings: OUT: QB Daunte Culpepper, RB Moe Williams, RB Onterrio Smith, C Matt Birk, DE Kenechi Udeze, DT Kevin Williams, CB Fred Smoot. QUESTIONABLE: G Toniu Fonoti, WR Troy Williamson. Lions: OUT: CB Fernando Bryant. QUESTIONABLE: RB Kevin Jones*, OT Jeff Backus, OLB Donte Curry, MLB Earl Holmes, S Terrence Holt. EXPECTED TO START: QB Jeff Garcia*.

Firing Steve Mariucci may have been valid after his team embarrassed its city on Thanksgiving. But, Matt Millen should have gotten the ax as well. After all, he's the one who drafted Joey Harrington, Charles Rogers and Mike Williams.

Things got worse after the Mariucci firing when Dre Bly publicly criticized Joey Harrington, stating that if Jeff Garcia were healthy, Mariucci would still be coach of the Lions. Bly added that Harrington has brought nothing to the Lions organization. Bly may have been wrong to talk to the media, but he is absolutely correct. Harrington is one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. No matter who starts at quarterback, Dick Jauron will emphasize running the ball with Kevin Jones, who received just four carries against Atlanta. However, the Vikings have improved defensively over the past month and a half. They haven't even allowed a 100-yard rusher since Oct. 2.

It's amazing that Brad Johnson is 4-0 as Minnesota's starting quarterback. It's even more astonishing that the Vikings have produced a solid running game in three of their last four contests -- which includes a 106-yard performance by Michael Bennett against the Lions on Nov. 6. Minnesota won that contest, 27-14. The Lions will continue to struggle with wrapping up opposing ball carriers. They will have to place eight men in the box, allowing Johnson to utilize play-action to Travis Taylor, Marcus Robinson and Jermaine Wiggins.

Butch Davis and Dave Wannstedt were both fired midseason in 2004. Their former teams responded by losing. I don't think a split Detroit squad will respond differently.

Thursday Update: Jeff Garcia is expected to start, but I think the outcome of this game will remain the same.


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • History: Vikings have won 12 of the last 13 meetings.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 49-35 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Vikings are 11-17 ATS vs. teams coming off a loss under Mike Tice.
  • Lions are 4-1 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -2 (open) to Vikings -3 to Vikings -2.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 to 38.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Mewelde Moore, Jermaine Wiggins, Vikings Defense, Roy Williams.
  • Sit Em: Joey Harrington, Jeff Garcia, Kevin Jones.

Prediction: Vikings by 11. (Vikings -2). Money Pick. Under.




Buccaneers (7-4) at Saints (3-8). Line: Buccaneers by 3. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
at Baton Rouge

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Buccaneers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Buccaneers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: Buccaneers: OUT: QB Brian Griese. Saints: OUT: RB Deuce McAllister, S Jay Bellamy, KR Michael Lewis.

What a great game. You have the 7-4 Buccaneers who are looking to rebound from a close loss to Chicago against... never mind.

It's pretty obvious to state that the Saints have been pitiful this year. I don't care if they've been displaced. New Orleans has had problems stopping the likes of Curtis Martin, Heath Evans and Patrick Pass the past two weeks. Imagine how revved up Cadillac Williams will be against the league's 27th-ranked rush defense. Cadillac will be off to the race track, as the rookie running back will easily drive past the 150-yard plateau, setting up play-action opportunities for Chris Simms. Excluding a key fumble at the beginning of the game, Simms played well last week against the Bears. The Texas alumnus was 19-of-30 for 202 yards. He will have no problem dissecting New Orleans' soft secondary.

The Saints cannot run the ball with Antowain Smith and Aaron Stecker. The Buccaneers are ranked third against rushing attacks. That was pretty simple. Aaron Brooks will have to consistently throw on long-yardage situations. I don't even have to tell you that Ronde Barber and Brian Kelly will be returning a few interceptions. New Orleans' offensive line, a unit that has yielded 30 sacks this season, will have severe issues keeping Simeon Rice and company out of the backfield.

This is one of the weird NFL rivalries where the road team always wins. I don't get it. I'll just bet on it.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • History: Road Team has won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: BUCCANEERS play the Panthers next week.
  • Saints are 13-21 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Saints are 5-10 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 38.
  • Weather: Possible thunderstorms, 79 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chris Simms, Cadillac Williams, Joey Galloway, Michael Clayton, Buccaneers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Saints Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 10. (Buccaneers -3). Bonus Double Money Pick. Under.




Titans (3-8) at Colts (11-0). Line: Colts by 15. Over-Under: 50.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Colts by 16.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Colts by 15.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: Titans: OUT: WR Brandon Jones, S Vincent Fuller. QUESTIONABLE: WR Tyrone Calico. Colts: OUT: CB Donald Strickland. QUESTIONABLE: DE Josh Thomas, MLB Rob Morris, S Joseph Jefferson.

This is one of those games where Peyton Manning can go out the night before with Sebastian Janinkowski, Michael Irvin and Randy Moss, and have a great time getting drunk and high, while hitting policemen with cars.

I'm kidding, of course, but this will still be a blowout. The Titans just don't have the defensive personnel to stop the Colts. Think Pac Man Jones can cover Marvin Harrison? Think Andre Woolfolk can stick Reggie Wayne? Think a unit that is ranked 19th against the run can contain Edgerrin James? Indianapolis can name the score of this contest.

Tennessee will be able to score with Indianapolis until about halfway through the first quarter. Once the Colts establish a 1.57 million-point lead, the Titans will not be able to run the ball, forcing Steve McNair to throw on every down. Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis will add to their sack totals.

There isn't much to say about this matchup. The only way the Titans can keep this game close is to continuously attempt onside kicks. Their defense cannot stop Manning, James, Harrison and Wayne.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • History: Colts have won the last 5 meetings.
  • Sandwich Situation: COLTS played the Steelers last week and will play the Jaguars next week.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 49-22 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Post Monday Night Syndrome: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 17-22 ATS the following week since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Colts -16 (open) to Colts -15.
  • Total Movement: 50 (open) to 50.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Colts Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Chris Brown, Titans Defense.

Prediction: Colts by 24. (Colts -15). Over.




Cardinals (3-8) at 49ers (2-9). Line: Cardinals by 3. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Cardinals by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Cardinals by 1.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Cardinals: OUT: FB James Hodgins, G Reggie Wells, DE Bert Berry, DE Calvin Pace, CB Antrel Rolle. QUESTIONABLE: G Elton Brown. 49ers: OUT: TE Eric Johnson, C Jeremy Newberry*, DT Bryant Young, CB Mike Rumph. QUESTIONABLE: RB Frank Gore, FB Fred Beasley, OLB Saleem Rasheed, K Joe Nedney*. EXPECTED TO START: QB Alex Smith*.

This is the first time these two squads met since the highly anticipated game in Mexico City. It's just good to know that if the U.S. ever gets into a fight with Mexico, we can threaten to send all Cardinals-49ers contests across the border. They'd apologize in no time.

Can someone explain to me how the Cardinals beat the Rams on the road, only to come home and lose to David Garrard and the Jaguars? I don't get it. Anyway, Arizona's offensive game plan is pretty simple to figure out: Pass on first down, throw on second down, get sacked on third down. The Cardinals have thrown the ball an average of 42.4 times this season, compared to their opponents who have called just 30.5 passes per contest. Arizona has no running game, so the team really has no choice. Kurt Warner will move the chains by throwing to Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald, but the Cardinals' drives will stall in the red zone, because Warner will get sacked.

I was thinking about taking the 49ers until I saw that Alex Smith was slated to start. Can we petition Mike Nolan to play Ken Dorsey instead of Smith? Dorsey is clearly the superior signal caller. Regardless, San Francisco should be able to move the chains against a Cardinals defense that has surrendered more than 23 points in every contest since Oct. 23. Arizona can stop neither the run nor the pass, meaning the 49ers will be able to hang with their NFC West foes.

If you bet on the 49ers at home and bet against them on the road, you would be 8-3. Not bad. San Francisco plays well at home; the team beat Tampa Bay and St. Louis, and hung with Dallas, Seattle and the Giants. If Dorsey were the starting quarterback, I would make this a Money Pick.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • History: 49ers have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: Cardinals -3 (open) to Cardinals -3.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 44 to 44.
  • Weather: Sunny, 58 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Anquan Boldin, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Lloyd.
  • Sit Em: Marcel Shipp, J.J. Arrington, Both Defenses.

Prediction: 49ers by 3. (49ers +3). Over.




Redskins (5-6) at Rams (5-6). Line: Redskins by 3. Over-Under: 45.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Rams by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Rams by 4.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Injuries: Redskins: OUT: WR David Patten. QUESTIONABLE: RB Ladell Betts, WR James Thrash, DT Joe Salave'a, S Omar Stoutmire. Rams: OUT: QB Marc Bulger, CB Jerametrius Butler. QUESTIONABLE: QB Jamie Martin*, OT Orlando Pace, OT Blaine Saipaia, CB DeJuan Groce, CB Travis Fisher, S Adam Archuleta.

Remember when the Redskins were 5-3, coming off a 17-10 victory against the Eagles? They looked like a shoe-in for the playoffs. Then, they lost to the Buccaneers on a last-second plunge by Mike Alstott, followed by two close defeats to Oakland and San Diego.

That said, Washington can make one final push in an attempt to qualify for the postseason. The team plays the Rams, Cardinals, Cowboys, Giants and Eagles, so it is possible that the Redskins can go undefeated and finish 10-6. Washington will undoubtedly pound the ball against St. Louis, a team that is ranked 29th against the run. Clinton Portis will trample the Rams' pathetic front seven, opening the play-action door for Mark Brunell. With DeJuan Groce, Travis Fisher and Adam Archuleta banged up, Brunell should have no problem throwing downfield bombs to Santana Moss and Chris Cooley.

Where did Ryan Fitzpatrick come from? Why did no one draft him until the seventh round? Is he the next Tom Brady? The Harvard alumnus took his first snaps against the Texans and threw for 310 yards and three touchdowns, leading a 21-point comeback. Fitzpatrick looked like the real deal against Houston, but I have to see if he can do it again. If he repeats his performance, we could be witnessing one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. However, Gregg Williams and the Redskins will be prepared for him. Excluding LaDainian Tomlinson's outburst last week, the Redskins have done an excellent job shutting down the run since Tiki Barber ran all over them on Oct. 30. Fitzpatrick will be confronted with a plethora of obvious passing situations, so we will all get to see what the Harvard Man is made out of.

One of the rules of sports betting clearly states not to bet against the unknown. Fitzpatrick is the unknown. I'm still taking the Redskins because the Rams have to be exhausted after their huge comeback last week. However, I'm not about to make this a Money Pick any time soon.


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 40-69 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; RAMS won in overtime.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Mark Brunell, Clinton Portis, Santana Moss, Chris Cooley, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Kevin Curtis.
  • Sit Em: Steven Jackson, Rams Defense.

Prediction: Redskins by 6. (Redskins -3). Over.




Jets (2-9) at Patriots (6-5). Line: Patriots by 10. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Patriots by 11.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Patriots by 9.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: Jets: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, QB Jay Fiedler, WR Wayne Chrebet, OT Jason Fabini, C Kevin Mawae. QUESTIONABLE: QB Vinny Testaverde, RB Derrick Blaylock, DT Sione Pouha, CB David Barrett. Patriots: OUT: C Dan Koppen, CB Randall Gay, S Rodney Harrison. QUESTIONABLE: RB Corey Dillon*, RB Kevin Faulk*, WR David Givens*, OT Matt Light, KR Bethel Johnson.

The Patriots are doing the bare minimum this regular season. They know they can reach the postseason by winning their extremely weak division. Once the postseason begins, they will unleash all of the players they are resting right now in an attempt to make a final charge at another Lombardi Trophy.

Meanwhile, the Jets are another team you just stay away from on the road. Their six games have been losses by: 27-7, 13-3, 27-17, 27-14, 30-3 and 27-0. Wow. Brooks Bollinger is simply too young and too inexperienced to play well away from the friendly confines of the Meadowlands. Offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger will make sure he takes the ball out of Bollinger's hands by giving Curtis Martin as many carries as possible. However, that strategy will not work because the Jets' offensive line is in shambles. New England will stack the line of scrimmage, forcing Bollinger to beat them downfield. That won't happen.

The worst thing that could have happened to the Jets was Tom Brady's four-interception debacle against Kansas City. Now, Brady will make sure his team is completely focused against a divisional rival. The last time New York shut down an opposing ground attack was an Oct. 9 victory against Tampa Bay -- which happens to be the last win the Jets have celebrated. Bill Belichick will pound the ball with Heath Evans and Patrick Pass with moderate success. Brady will consequently be able to utilize play-action pass into a secondary that might be missing No. 2 cornerback David Barrett.

The Patriots need to win this contest. If they lose, they will only be one game ahead of the winner of the Buffalo-Miami matchup. If it wasn't for the "Divisional Dog of Seven" rule that I vowed never to bet against, this would be a Money Pick.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • History: Patriots have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 49-22 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Weak Arm: Brooks Bollinger is 0-2 ATS on the road this year.
  • Jets are 6-16-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 25 instances.
  • Jets are 0-6 ATS on the road this year.
  • Patriots are 14-5 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Patriots are 10-2 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Tom Brady is 63-19 as a starter (51-30 ATS).
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 42 to 41 to 41.
  • Weather: Snow, 37 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tom Brady, Deion Branch, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jets Offense and Defense, Corey Dillon (questionable).

Prediction: Patriots by 20. (Patriots -10). Under.




Broncos (9-2) at Chiefs (7-4). Line: Broncos by 1. Over-Under: 45.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Chiefs by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Chiefs by 2.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: Broncos: OUT: OT Dwayne Carswell. QUESTIONABLE: RB Tatum Bell*, WR Darius Watts. Chiefs: OUT: RB Priest Holmes. QUESTIONABLE: DT Ryan Sims, S Jerome Woods.

The Broncos embarrassed the Chiefs on Monday Night Football in Week 3 this season, 30-10. During the game, Champ Bailey accused the Chiefs of throwing in the towel. Dick Vermeil and his players were enraged by his comments. Think the Chiefs have some revenge in mind?

Kansas City's defense has come a long way since the 30-10 debacle on Sept. 26. Mike Anderson and Tatum Bell ran all over the Chiefs, setting up play-action bootlegs for Jake Plummer. However, it's extremely important to note that the Chiefs have not allowed a 100-yard rusher since that game. In fact, they are ranked eighth against opposing ground games. Kansas City will pull a complete 180 and shut down Anderson and Bell, who may not even play. Plummer will not be able to initiate his patented play-action bootlegs. Instead, he will be constricted to throwing from the pocket, where he may throw an interception or two.

The Broncos are also very stout against the run, so don't expect much from Larry Johnson either. However, anyone who watched the Broncos pull out a lucky victory against the Cowboys noticed that Denver had problems putting the clamps on Dallas' passing attack. Trent Green should be able to throw against a Broncos secondary that yields 240 passing yards per contest. No one on Denver's defense will be able to contain Tony Gonzalez.

These are two rivals that always seem to have problems winning on the opposing field. In fact, the two teams split last year; the Broncos won at Mile High, 34-24, while the Chiefs were victorious at Arrowhead, 45-17. Denver won at home in September, meaning Kansas City will return the favor on Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • History: Home Team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 40-69 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; BRONCOS won in overtime.
  • Broncos are 12-6 ATS vs. AFC West opponents since 2001.
  • Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -1 (open) to Broncos -1.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 46 to 45.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 34 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie, Trent Green, Tony Gonzalez.
  • Sit Em: Both Running Games and Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 3. (Chiefs +1). Bonus Double Money Pick. Under.




Raiders (4-7) at Chargers (7-4). Line: Chargers by 11. Over-Under: 50.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Chargers by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Chargers by 8.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: Raiders: OUT: WR Ronald Curry, G Langston Walker, DT Warren Sapp, CB Charles Woodson, S Derrick Gibson. QUESTIONABLE: S Reggie Tongue. Chargers: QUESTIONABLE: OT Roman Oben, DT DeQuincy Scott, OLB Ben Leber.

For weeks, I have been arguing that the Raiders were a solid team despite their miserable record. I blamed their brutal schedule. Then, Sunday's game came along. How in the world did Oakland lose to a 3-7 squad that featured Gus Frerotte playing on the road?

The last time these heated AFC West rivals clashed, LaMont Jordan rushed for just 36 yards on 12 carries, as the Raiders lost to the Chargers, 27-14. Don't expect anything different from Oakland's running game in this matchup because San Diego is seeded fifth against opposing ground attacks. Jordan will be stuffed in the backfield, placing Kerry Collins in obvious passing situations. Collins threw for 292 yards against San Deigo's soft secondary in the Oct. 16 meeting, but the veteran signal caller tossed an interception and was restricted to a completion percentage of 50. The Raiders will score some points in this contest, but it won't be nearly enough to win.

LaDainian Tomlinson gained 140 yards on 31 carries in the same contest in which Jordan was stymied. That can't be shocking. Tomlinson is the best running back in the NFL, while the Raiders cannot stop the run. In fact, Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown astonishingly combined for 140 yards on 31 carries last week. The same exact numbers Tomlinson put up in Oakland. Is that a bad omen for the Raiders, or what? A worse omen is the fact that Gus Frerotte threw all over Oakland's secondary, which is missing Charles Woodson. Frerotte, who was playing on the road, threw for 261 yards and two touchdowns. Imagine what Drew Brees will do. There is no single Oakland defender who can cover Antonio Gates. San Diego may not punt in this contest.

The Raiders are melting down. They're finished. San Diego will clobber its wounded rival. Once again, this is not a Money Pick because of the "Divisional Underdog of Seven" rule.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • History: Chargers have won the last 5 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 49-22 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 40-69 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; CHARGERS won in overtime.
  • Chargers are 13-6 ATS vs. opponents coming off a loss under Marty Schottenheimer.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -10 (open) to Chargers -11 to Chargers -11.
  • Total Movement: 50 (open) to 50.
  • Weather: Clear, 58 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chargers Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: LaMont Jordan, Raiders Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 28. (Chargers -11). Over.




Seahawks (9-2) at Eagles (5-6). Line: Seahawks by 3. Over-Under: 42.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 12 Games): Seahawks by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 12 Games): Seahawks by 3.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: OLB Jamie Sharper, CB Kelly Herndon, S Ken Hamlin. QUESTIONABLE: WR Darrell Jackson*, DT Marcus Tubbs, OLB Jamie Sharper. Eagles: OUT: QB Donovan McNabb, RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Terrell Owens, WR Todd Pinkston, OT Tra Thomas, C Hank Fraley, DE Jerome McDougle, DT Paul Grasmanis, CB Lito Sheppard, P Dirk Johnson. QUESTIONABLE: WR Greg Lewis*, G Shawn Andrews, DT Artis Hicks.

Look at all of the injuries the Eagles have incurred. They have players out on nearly every level of their offense and defense. Even Philadelphia's punter is gone for the year. How can the team possibly contend with one of the elite teams in the NFL on Monday Night Football?

It almost doesn't seem fair that Philadelphia will be asked to stop Shaun Alexander, especially since the Eagles have surrendered more than 100 rushing yards to Mike Anderson, Tatum Bell and Tiki Barber recently. Seattle will ceaselessly call running plays for Alexander behind left tackle Walter Jones, who will have absolutely no problem pushing right defensive end Trent Cole around. With a very effective running game, Matt Hasselbeck will have the luxury of utilizing play-action any time he wants to. Philadelphia has severe problems putting pressure on opposing passers, meaning Hasselbeck will have all night to find an open receiver. Remember, Lito Sheppard, one of the Eagles' starting cornerbacks, is out for the year.

It's nice to see that Andy Reid discovered the art of calling running plays. Brian Westbrook eclipsed the 100-yard plateau against Green Bay last week. But, that was Green Bay. Seattle has allowed just one runner (Tiki Barber) to gain more than 100 yards on the ground. Westbrook will not be able to run the ball effectively, which will place Mike McMahon in unfavorable long-yardage situations. If that occurs, the Eagles are done for; Seattle has accumulated 36 sacks this season, while McMahon is protected by a hobbled offensive line.

The Eagles barely got past Green Bay last week. How do they expect to beat Seattle? The Seahawks will squash Philadelphia on national television.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 40-69 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; SEAHAWKS won in overtime.
  • Eagles are 31-16 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 7-4 ATS on Monday Night Football since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -3 (open) to Seahawks -4 to Seahawks -3.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43 to 42 to 42.
  • Weather: Wintry mix, 32 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Joe Jurevicius, Seahawks Defense.
  • Sit Em: Eagles Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 20. (Seahawks -4). Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 2-8
Eagles: 5-6
Giants: 6-4
Redskins: 5-6

Bears: 7-3
Lions: 5-5
Packers: 6-5
Vikings: 6-5

Buccaneers: 7-4
Falcons: 6-5
Panthers: 7-2
Saints: 6-4

49ers: 3-8
Cardinals: 4-7
Rams: 4-7
Seahawks: 5-6

Bills: 5-5
Dolphins: 5-6
Jets: 6-5
Patriots: 4-7

Bengals: 8-3
Browns: 7-4
Ravens: 5-6
Steelers: 5-6

Colts: 7-4
Jaguars: 5-6
Texans: 5-6
Titans: 7-4

Broncos: 3-7
Chargers: 5-5
Chiefs: 5-5
Raiders: 8-2

Divisional Games: 26-24
Trend Edge: 24-33
Game Edge: 22-24
Game & Trend Edge: 3-5


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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