49ers (0-1) at Saints (0-1). Line: Saints by 7. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Saints by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Saints by 7.

The Game. Edge: Saints.
Injuries: 49ERS: DOUBTFUL: DE Andre Carter, CB Mike Rumph. QUESTIONABLE: QB Tim Rattay, FB Fred Beasley, C Jeremy Newberry, DE Brandon Whiting. SAINTS: OUT: DE Willie Whitehead, LB Sedrick Hodge. QUESTIONABLE: DE Darren Howard, LB Courtney Watson CB Jason Craft.

Tim Rattay has a shoulder injury, which means Ken Dorsey will be making his first professional start. However, the focus of New Orleans' defense will be stopping Kevan Barlow. The Saints allowed 4.4 yards per carry to the Seahawks, which is an adequate number in the NFL. New Orleans will load eight men in the box, forcing the weak-armed Dorsey to beat them through the air. That's not going to happen.

Considering all of the negative publicity the 49ers were receiving this off-season, they performed rather well against Atlanta. Michael Vick did nothing of significance, while the Falcon rushing attack was held to just 3.3 yards per carry. If San Francisco can yield just four yards per rush to Deuce McAllister, they have a chance to win this game. If the Saints are forced to convert on third and long situations, Aaron Brooks will either throw a few untimely interceptions or fumble the football.

New Orleans will win this game, but 7 points is asking too much from an erratic team like the Saints.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • Saints are 12-21 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Saints -6 (open) to Saints -7 to Saints -7.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 42.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Cedric Wilson, Brandon Lloyd, Aaron Brooks, Deuce McAllister, Joe Horn.
  • Sit Em: Tim Rattay, Ken Dorsey, Kevan Barlow.

Prediction: Saints by 6. (49ers +7). Under.




Redskins (1-0) at Giants (0-1). Line: Redskins by 3. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Redskins by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Redskins by 3.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Injuries: REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen. QUESTIONABLE: LB Mike Barrow. GIANTS: OUT: G Barry Stokes, G Rich Seubert, S Omar Stoutmire. QUESTIONABLE: C Wayne Lucier.

The Giants can not defend the run; they allowed 5.6 yards per carry to the Eagles. The Giants can not defend the pass; they allowed Donovan McNabb to register 330 passing yards and four touchdowns. Washington's offensive line should dominate New York's defensive front, allowing Clinton Portis to rush for well over 150 yards. Portis' accumulation of mass yardage will force the Giants to focus on the run, which will allow Mark Brunell to occasionally play-action pass to Laverneus Coles or Rod Gardner. But if the Redskins really wanted to, they could probably just run up the middle on every single play and still win this contest.

Following Sunday's victory against Tampa Bay, it is difficult to gauge how good Washington's defense really is. After all, they were defending a morbid Buccaneer offense. Not that the Giants are much better. The offensive line is in shambles, Kurt Warner creates too many turnovers, Tiki Barber fumbles the football too often and Jeremy Shockey's hands are made out of stone. Philadelphia's mediocre defense shut down the Giants' offense. If the Redskin stop unit is as good as advertised, the Giants will have trouble reaching double figures on Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • History: Giants have won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Betting History: Road team has covered the last 4 games in this series.
  • Giants are 8-24 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Giants were 1-7 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 41 to 40.
  • Weather: Showers, 78 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Clinton Portis, Laveraneus Coles, Rod Gardner, Washington Defense.
  • Sit Em: Tiki Barber, Ike Hilliard, Giants Defense.

Prediction: Redskins by 16. (Redskins -3). Money Pick. Under.




Broncos (1-0) at Jaguars (1-0). Line: Broncos by 3. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Broncos by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Broncos by 2.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, CB Lenny Walls. QUESTIONABLE: RB Garrison Hearst, DT Luther Elliss. JAGUARS: OUT: TE Kyle Brady.

From a betting perspective, I hate this game. Denver should lose because this "meaningless" contest is sandwiched between divisional rivals. Now that the Chargers are 1-0 and appear to be respectable, the Broncos could be gameplanning for LaDainain Tomlinson ahead of time. On the other hand, Jacksonville won on a last second touchdown. Historically, teams that win on a score as the clock expires come out flat in the following week.

Denver's game plan is not a secret. They will attempt to run with their plethora of running backs, and once their opposition is heavily focused on stopping Quentin Griffin and company, Jake Plummer will play-action, bootleg, and either run for a significant amount of yardage, or find an open receiver down the field. However, the Jaguars have the elite ground defense in the NFL and will not need to place eight men in the box to stop Griffin. In 2003, the Broncos struggled against teams with solid run defenses. They nearly lost to Detroit and Pittsburgh, and went down in defeat to Baltimore and New England.

Currently, the Broncos are ranked 28th against the run, allowing 6.1 yards per carry. Priest Holmes is responsible for that disgusting statistic, but Fred Taylor is also one of the top backs in professional football. Byron Leftwich will be able to give Denver a taste of their own medicene; he will play-action pass to Jimmy Smith and Reggie Williams once Taylor establishes himself as a threat.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Sandwich Situation: BRONCOS: Jaguars are sandwiched between AFC West rivals Chiefs and Chargers.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 24-52 ATS since 2001. Jaguars scored a GW touchdown as time expired.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 39 to 40 to 39 to 38.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 88 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Denver Offense.

Prediction: Jaguars by 4. (Jaguars +3). Under.




Steelers (1-0) at Ravens (0-1). Line: Ravens by 4. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Ravens by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Ravens by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: STEELERS: OUT: G Kendall Simmons. DOUBTFUL: LB Kendrell Bell. RAVENS: OUT: QB Anthony Wright, C Mike Flynn, NT Kelly Gregg, LB Peter Boulware, CB Dale Carter. QUESTIONABLE: WR Travis Taylor, CB Corey Fuller.

If you are looking for any sort of scoring, look elsewhere. The total number of three & outs in this game will be higher than the fan attendance at Heinz Field on Sunday. Bill Cowher's old-school offense may have worked against Oakland, but Baltimore's defense will put the clamps on Duce Staley and Jerome Bettis. Tommy Maddox will have to throw on third and long situations, which is never a good thing when going against the Ravens' superb defense.

Historically, Pittsburgh has been able to dominate Baltimore because they can shut down the only thing the Ravens can do on offense, which is run the football. In fact, the Steelers are tied for second in run defense, allowing just 2.8 yards per carry. For the second consecutive week, Jamal Lewis will be unable to garner the yardage that Baltimore needs to be successful. The Steelers will force Kyle Boller to win this game. Unfortunately, Boller may be the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. He has actually regressed from a pitiful rookie campaign.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 24-52 ATS since 2001. Steelers kicked game-winning FG with seven seconds left.
  • History: Steelers have won 6 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Betting History: Steelers are 6-1 ATS at Baltimore.
  • Ravens are 20-12 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Ravens were 6-2 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -4 (open) to Ravens -3 to Ravens -4.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Showers, 81 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Hines Ward, Todd Heap, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Offenses (except for Ward and Heap).

Prediction: Ravens by 3. (Steelers +4). Under.




Rams (1-0) at Falcons (1-0). Line: Falcons by 1. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Falcons by 1.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Injuries: RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, C Dave Wohlabaugh, DT Jimmy Kennedy, LB Pisa Tinoisamoa, CB Travis Fisher. DOUBTFUL: G Tom Nutten, QUESTIONABLE: C Andy McCollum, CB Jeremetrius Butler. FALCONS: OUT: LB Jamie Duncan, CB DeAngelo Hall, S Keion Carpenter.

The Rams out-gained the Cardinals in yardage last Sunday, but only scored 17 points because they were unfocused. They will be focused against Atlanta. Marshall Faulk and Steven Jackson will be able to carry the load, allowing Marc Bulger to easily exploit the Falcons' injured secondary. It should not come as a shock to anyone if St. Louis is able to score 30 points in this game.

If Dan Reeves was still coaching, the Falcons could win this game. Instead, Jim Mora Jr. is confusing Michael Vick with an offense that is not suited for him and takes away his greatest attribute. Brilliant. St. Louis has one of the worst defenses in the NFL; they allowed Emmitt Smith to gain 4.9 yards per carry. Pretty pathetic. Unfortunately, Atlanta does not have a potent rushing attack, and Vick is trying to remember plays instead of making plays.


The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • Falcons are 9-22 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Falcons were 1-6 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Line Movement: Falcons -2 (open) to Falcons -1.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: St. Louis Offense.
  • Sit Em: T.J. Duckett, Peerless Price, Atlanta Defense.

Prediction: Rams by 7. (Rams +1). Over.




Texans (0-1) at Lions (1-0). Line: Lions by 3. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Lions by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Lions by 4.

The Game. Edge: Lions.
Injuries: LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, CB Dre Bly, S Brian Walker. QUESTIONABLE: DE James Hall.

Other than the Baltimore loss to Cleveland, the Chargers' upset over the Texans was the biggest shock in week one. Houston was unable to establish Domanick Davis as a threat; San Diego limited him to just 3.8 yards per carry. Consequently, the Texans had four turnovers on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Lions allowed just 3.3 yards per rush to Thomas Jones and the Chicago Bears. Once again, Davis will be shut down and Houston will be forced into committing a number of errors.

The main reason why the Texans lost to San Diego was their defense. They surrendered 4.6 yards per carry and allowed Drew Brees to look like a Pro Bowl quarterback. Imagine what Joey Harrington, Kevin Jones, Roy Williams and a stout offensive line can do to Houston's stop unit. Jones should be able to tally 100 rushing yards, enabling Harrington to evade a non-existent Texans pass rush.


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Lions are 14-9 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Lions are 4-2 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Lions -3 (open) to Lions -3.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Joey Harrington, Kevin Jones, Roy Williams, Detroit Defense.
  • Sit Em: Houston Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Lions by 9. (Lions -3). Under.




Bears (0-1) at Packers (1-0). Line: Packers by 8. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Packers by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Packers by 12.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: BEARS: OUT: G Rex Tucker, CB Jerry Azumah. QUESTIONABLE: R.W. McQuarters. PACKERS: OUT: DT Grady Jackson. DOUBTFUL: DL Kenny Peterson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Najeh Davenport, CB Mike McKenize.

The important news regarding this game is that Mike McKenzie has reported to his first practice of the season and might play against the Chicago Bears. Bad news for Rex Grossman, who only completed 46% of his passes against Detroit. Not only will the Bears have problems throwing the football, they will have trouble running as well. The Packers completely shut down Carolina's potent rushing attack, restricting Stephen Davis and DeShaun Foster to just 3.2 yards per carry.

Domination is the only word to describe it. As noted below, Brett Favre has an 18-2 record against the Chicago Bears. Favre may seem invincible to Chicago, and he is, but Ahman Green is the one they need to worry about. In 2003, the Packers tallied nearly 300 rushing yards in two games against the Bears.

This line should be higher, but the fact remains that Green Bay has one less day to prepare for this game. In the trends section, I noted that the Packers are 5-0 after Monday Night football games. This is an obvious blowout.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Packers have won 18 of the last 20 meetings.
  • History: Packers have beaten the Bears by double digits in their last five meetings.
  • Bears are 4-12 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Bears are 2-11 ATS vs. NFC North opponents.
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS after playing on Monday night football since 2001.
  • Packers are 20-12 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Packers were 5-3 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Packers are 3-5 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Packers -8 (open) to Packers -8.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 79 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Green Bay Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Chicago Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 24. (Packers -8). Double Money Pick. Over.




Colts (0-1) at Titans (1-0). Line: Colts by 2. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Titans by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Titans by 3.

The Game. Edge: Titans.
Injuries: COLTS: OUT: CB Joseph Jefferson, S Bob Sanders, S Michael Doss. DOUBTFUL: LB Gilbert Gardner. QUESTIONABLE: RB James Mungro, CB Nick Harper, S Cory Bird. TITANS: OUT: G Zach Piller, LB Peter Sirmon, K Joe Nedney. QUESTIONABLE: WR Tyrone Calico, DE Travis LaBoy, LB Rocky Calmus, CB Andre Dyson, S Lamont Thompson, P Craig Hentrich. PROBABLE: RB Chris Brown.

Anyone who favors Indianapolis in this contest, and many people do as indicated by the line movement, should be concerned about the Colts' psyche. They worked tediously all summer to beat New England. They had that game circled since the schedule was released. They had their chance to beat the Patriots, but lost instead, 27-24. This is eerily similar to Philadelphia's commencement of the 2003 campaign. The Eagles also tried to avenge a championship game loss. Instead, Tampa Bay beat them again and the following week, Philadelphia had their worst performance of the season.

Unlike the Patriots, Tennessee will be able to shut down Edgerrin James. They had the second best run defense in the NFL last year, and currently possess an incredible allowed average of 3.3 yards per carry. The Titans also have a solid secondary, which contained Peyton Manning to an average of 193 passing yards in their two previous meetings. Indianapolis would most likely struggle to score without the emotional let-down that they are bound to have.

The Colts had their calendars marked for their week one contest against the Patriots. The Titans have had this game circled since April. Indianapolis swept Tennessee in 2003, thanks to a number of fumbles on special teams by the Titans in their second meeting. Chris Brown is probable, which means that Jeff Fisher will be able to exploit Indianapolis' weak run defense, which surrendered 5.7 yards per carry to Corey Dillon and the Patriots. Steve McNair will also be able to shred the Colts' secondary, which could be missing all of their starters and top backup.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Colts have won the last 2 meetings.
  • Titans are 10-6 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Titans -3 (open) to Titans -2 to Titans -1 to Pick to Colts -1 to Colts -2.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Marvin Harrison, Tennessee Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Edgerrin James, Indianapolis Defense.

Prediction: Titans by 24. (Colts +2). Money Pick. Under.




Panthers (0-1) at Chiefs (0-1). Line: Chiefs by 7. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Chiefs by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Chiefs by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: PANTHERS: OUT: RB Stephen Davis, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson. CHIEFS: OUT: LB Mike Maslowski. QUESTIONABLE: DE Vonnie Holliday, DE Eric Hicks, LB Kawika Mitchell, CB William Bartee, S Greg Wesley.

Believe it or not, after this game, either the Chiefs or the Panthers will be 0-2, barring an improbable tie.

Green Bay put the clamps on Stephen Davis and DeShaun Foster, but the Chiefs' run defense is another story. They allowed 5.2 yards per carry in 2003, and seem to be headed to a similar fate this year. They surrendered 6.4 yards per rush to Denver. Unlike the Monday Night debacle, Jake Delhomme will be able to feed off of a running game that actually moves the chains, despite the injury to Davis. Foster may fumlbe more than the average running back, but he is a very capable runner, who performed well in the 2003 playoffs when Davis was banged up. Kansas City could be missing both of their starting defensive ends, Vonnie Holliday and Eric Hicks. If they are out of the lineup, especially the former, the Panthers should be able to score at will against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

Although Ahman Green registered 119 rushing yards, it was done on 33 carries, which is somewhat respectable. Much like Green, Priest Holmes is one of the top running backs in the NFL. If the Panthers can yield only 3.3 yards per rush to Holmes, like they did to Green, they might be able to slow down the Chiefs' incredible offense. However, if the Chiefs' excellent offensive line is able to dominate Carolina's front four, Holmes could total 150 rushing yards. Doing so will allow Trent Green to be effective against a suspect secondary.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Panthers are 11-5 ATS as underdogs of 3 or more since 2001.
  • Chiefs are 11-5 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Chiefs were 6-2 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -5 (open) to Chiefs -6 to Chiefs -7 (Stephen Davis).
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 46.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 83 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 3. (Panthers +7). Over.




Seahawks (1-0) at Buccaneers (0-1). Line: Seahawks by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Buccaneers by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Seahawks by 3.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: SEAHAWKS: OUT: LB Chad Brown, S Damien Robinson. PROBABLE: RB Shaun Alexander*. BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Michael Pittman, WR Keenan McCardell, WR Joey Galloway, WR Joe Jurevicius, G Kerry Jenkins, G Matt O'Dwyer.

Even though Shaun Alexander will play in this game, I think that this is a very dangerous spot for Seattle. Generally, teams playing in their second consecutive road game after winning and covering, lose. Throw in the fact that the Seahawks play rival San Francisco next week and you have a potential recipe for disaster.

The Buccaneers allowed 4.9 yards per carry to Washington last Sunday, but that statistic is misleading. After Clinton Portis' 64 yard touchdown on the first play of the game, Tampa held him to an even three yards per rush. If Tampa Bay can contain the banged up Alexander near that average, their pass defense will have no trouble shutting down Matt Hasselbeck. Remember, the Buccaneers still have one of the better defenses in the NFL.

Unfortunately, Tampa Bay can not score. Their offense is more dull than a cheap butter knife. Brad Johnson will eventually be replaced by Chris Simms and Charlie Garner, despite being an excellent receiver out of the backfield, is not a feature back. Seattle surrendered just 3.6 yards per carry to Deuce McAllister and the Saints. Restricting Garner from gaining positive yardage will be a cinch.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: Seahawks play NFC West rival 49ers in week three.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 9-14 ATS in 2003.
  • Buccaneers are 6-3 ATS as underdogs since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -2 (open) to Seahawks -3.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Thunderstorms, 88 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Offenses.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 3. (Buccaneers +3). Money Pick. Under.




Browns (1-0) at Cowboys (0-1). Line: Cowboys by 4. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Cowboys by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Cowboys by 4.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
Injuries: BROWNS: QUESTIONABLE: RB Lee Suggs, C Melvin Fowler, DT Gerard Warren. COWBOYS: OUT: S Darren Woodson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Richie Anderson, G Andre Gurode, C Tyson Walter. PROBABLE: RB Julius Jones.

As far as I'm concerned, Cleveland's victory over Baltimore was another case of a team looking past their opponent in week one. The Browns will have to defeat Dallas if they want respect. Lee Suggs is questionable, which means that William Green will have to start against a suddenly suspect run defense, which allowed 5.1 yards per rush to Onterrio Smith and Moe Williams. However, Green does not have the talent of either Smith or Williams and Cleveland's offensive line is not nearly as good as Minnesota's. Without a consistent running game, Jeff Garcia will be forced to throw on third and long. For the most part, it didn't work against Baltimore, and it will not work against Dallas.

Julius Jones will play. Without him last week, the Cowboys could not run the football against the Vikings and thus, only scored 17 points. However, Jones will have to carry the load against a Browns run defense which limited Jamal Lewis to 3.0 yards per carry. Unlike Jeff Garcia, Vinny Testaverde should be able to convert on third down. Vinny is not Kyle Boller, who was not able to exploit Cleveland's awful secondary. Vinny, Keyshawn Johnson and Antonio Bryant will shine in Dallas' first victory of the season.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Cowboys are 14-9 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Cowboys were 5-2 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Cowboys are 2-4 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Cowboys -3 (open) to Cowboys -4.
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 39 to 38.
  • Weather:

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Vinny Testaverde, Keyshawn Johnson, Antonio Bryant, Dallas Defense.
  • Sit Em: Cleveland Offense, Eddie George.

Prediction: Cowboys by 10. (Cowboys -4). Under.




Bills (0-1) at Raiders (0-1). Line: Raiders by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Raiders by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Raiders by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bills.
Injuries: BILLS: OUT: S Lawyer Milloy. QUESTIONABLE: Travis Henry. RAIDERS: OUT: G Mo Collins. QUESTIONABLE: RB Justin Fargas, LB Napoleon Harris.

The last time these two teams met, they combined for 80 points in a 49-31 thriller, which was knotted at 21 at the half. In this game, neither team may reach 21.

Travis Henry is questionable for this contest, but he can be easily replaced by Willis McGahee. Oakland allowed Duce Staley to rush for 91 yards, but that amount came on 24 carries, which is just shy of 3.8 yards per carry. McGahee won't be able to salvage much on the ground, which will force Drew Bledsoe to throw the football on third and long situations. Bledsoe was very mediocre against Jacksonville; he threw for only 153 yards, a touchdown and fumbled once. Despite some outlandish predictions of Bledsoe regaining his 2002 form, that will not be the case. Buffalo's offense will once again be among the NFL's worst.

Think Buffalo will have problems advancing down the field? How about the Raiders? Tyrone Wheatley is a pitiful excuse for a running back; he tallied just 24 yards against the Steelers. He will be lucky if he reaches that total in this game. Buffalo has one of the league's top run defenses, allowing just 3.4 yards per rush. Rich Gannon will be responsible for moving the chains, and even though he registered 305 passing yards against the Steelers, the Bills have one of the best secondaries in the league, with a pass rush to match.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Raiders were 2-5 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 38 to 38.
  • Weather: Showers, 69 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Eric Moulds, Buffalo Defense.
  • Sit Em: Drew Bledsoe, Travis Henry, Oakland Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Bills by 3. (Bills +3). Under.




Patriots (1-0) at Cardinals (0-1). Line: Patriots by 8. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Patriots by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Patriots by 6.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: PATRIOTS: OUT: RB Kevin Faulk. QUESTIONABLE: WR Troy Brown. CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, WR Anquan Boldin, DT Wendell Bryant, S Dexter Jackson. DOUBTFUL: LB Raynoch Thompson, LB Levar Fisher. QUESTIONABLE: OT L.J. Shelton.

Other than a 38-0 disaster against Seattle, the Cardinals did not lose by more than eight points at home, all of last season. Meanwhile, the Patriots did not win by more than eight points in any of their road games last year, other than a 31-10 blowout at Philadelphia. That favors the Cardinals, who played rather well against the Rams last Sunday. Dennis Green has his troops working hard and believing that they can win. Unfortunately, Arizona's defense will get run over by Tom Brady and Corey Dillon. The Cardinals surrendered a laughable average of 6.1 yards per carry to the Rams, meaning Dillon will have the opportunity to eclipse 200 rushing yards. Brady won't need to throw a single pass in this game.

Emmitt Smith is back from his one year hiatus. He rushed for 87 yards on just 16 carries against the Rams. Indianapolis exposed New England's run defense last Thursday. Expect Dennis Green to focus on attacking the Patriots' weakness at defensive tackle.

The betting outcome of this game will depend on whether or not the Patriots are focused. If they aren't, can you really blame them? These are the Cardinals, after all, and New England is coming off of a huge victory against Indianapolis.


The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.
  • Flat Alert: Patriots play a "meaningless game" following a victory over rival Colts.
  • 5 of 6 Patriots road wins were decided by 8 points or less in 2003.
  • 7 of 8 Cardinals home games were decided by 8 points or less in 2003.
  • Cardinals were 6-2 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -6 (open) to Patriots -7 to Patriots -8.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 42 to 41.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 99 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Corey Dillon, New England Defense.
  • Sit Em: Josh McCown, Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Defense.

Prediction: Patriots by 7. (Cardinals +8). Under.




Jets (1-0) at Chargers (1-0). Line: Jets by 3. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Jets by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Jets by 3.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
Injuries: JETS: OUT: CB Ray Mickens. CHARGERS: QUESTIONABLE: WR Tim Dwight, DE David Ball.

San Diego did a superb job against Domanick Davis and the Texans' ground game, yielding Houston to just 3.8 yards per carry. The Chargers will be able to shut down Curtis Martin, but it won't really matter, because Chad Pennington is the focal point of the Jets' offense. Pennington, perhaps the most accurate passer in the NFL, should be able dissect San Diego's young secondary. In fact, it might just be too easy for him.

The way to put a stop to San Diego's offense (I never thought I would ever say that) is to put the clamps on LaDainian Tomlinson. The Texans were not able to do that, and consequently, the Chargers were victorious. New York, on the other hand, has a very underrated rush defense. They restricted Rudi Johnson to just 2.9 yards per carry. Johnson is a solid running back, which makes that statistic even more impressive. Without Tomlinson bursting for double digit yard rushes left and right, Drew Brees will not be the quarterback he was at Reliant Stadium last Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Chargers are 12-19 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) 44 to 45 to 46.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 75 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chad Pennington, Santana Moss, New York Defense.
  • Sit Em: Curtis Martin, San Diego Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Jets by 11. (Jets -3). Money Pick. Under.




Dolphins (0-1) at Bengals (0-1). Line: Bengals by 5. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Bengals by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Bengals by 7.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Injuries: DOLPHINS: OUT: RB Travis Minor, FB Rob Konrad, WR David Boston. DOUBTFUL: DT Tim Bowens, CB Patrick Surtain. QUESTIONABLE: RB Sammy Morris, OT John St. Clair. BENGALS: OUT: CB Dennis Weathersby, S Kim Herring. QUESTIONABLE: RB Chris Perry, WR Peter Warrick, C Rich Braham, S Rogers Beckett.

Jay Fiedler threw two interceptions in the first half against Tennessee, which led to his benching in favor of A.J. Feeley. Other than one pass that was picked off, Feeley played well. Now, in his first start as a Miami Dolphin, he is lucky enough to face Cincinnati's defense, which might be the worst in the NFL. Imagine a defense that allows 7.7 yards per carry and is better against the run than the pass. It won't matter who starts at tailback for the Dolphins; either Lamar Gordon or Sammy Morris will be able to accumulate 100 rushing yards, while Feeley picks apart Cincinnati's awful secondary.

Carson Palmer impressed on Sunday, but that was against the lowly Jets' pass defense. Miami has one of the best stop units in the league. They will shut down Rudi Johnson, dissect the woeful Cincinnati offensive line and pressure Palmer until he starts throwing interceptions. The Bengals' young offense is bound to struggle at times this season; this week will be one of those times.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Bengals are 5-10 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Bengals are 2-5 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Bengals -4 (open) to Bengals -4 to Bengals -5.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 39.
  • Weather: Showers, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Randy McMichael, Miami Defense.
  • Sit Em: Travis Minor, Cincinnati Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Dolphins by 3. (Dolphins +5). UPSET SPECIAL. Under.




Vikings (1-0) at Eagles (1-0). Line: Eagles by 3. Over-Under: 49.
Monday, 9:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): Eagles by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): Eagles by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: VIKINGS: OUT: RB Michael Bennett, FB/TE Jim Kleinsasser, DE Kenny Mixon, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter. QUESTIONABLE: RB Moe Williams. EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, DE ND Kalu, G Shawn Andrews. DOUBTFUL: DT Paul Grasmanis. QUESTIONABLE: WR Todd Pinkston.

Two questions will be answered following the conclusion of this game. Can Minnesota stop the run? They allowed 3.7 yards per carry to Dallas, but the Cowboys were missing Julius Jones. Can Minnesota win on the road? They commenced their 2003 campaign with wins at Green Bay, Atlanta and Detroit. Since that point, Minnesota has lost five consecutive away contests to the likes of San Diego, Oakland, Chicago and Arizona.

I'm leaning towards no and no. The Vikings are strong at defensive tackle, but do not have the defensive ends and linebackers to stop the run outside of the tackles. The Eagles seem to have too much firepower for the Vikings. No individual can cover Terrell Owens, which means that Minnesota will double team him. In result, L.J. Smith, Todd Pinkston and Freddie Mitchell will be covered one on one by lesser corners. This will all take place while Brian Westbrook rips off five yards per carry. Almost forgotten is Donovan McNabb's ability to move the chains with his legs.

The only thing that may slow down Minnesota's offense is the fact that they are playing outside of their dome. Michael Bennett is out and Moe Williams is questionable, but the Vikings still have a very capable running back in Onterrio Smith. Philadelphia surrendered a sickening 7.2 yards per carry to the Giants last week. Most of it was a result of a meaningless Tiki Barber touchdown run, but the Eagles have a very soft ground defense. Like defending Terrell Owens, stopping Randy Moss one on one is impossible. Double teams will drape Moss, enabling Nate Burleson and Marcus Robinson to easily get open. Daunte Culpepper can also scramble if he needs to.

These two teams are very evenly matched. This game is loaded with all offense and no defense; the last squad with the ball may win.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Vikings are 3-6 ATS on grass since 2001.
  • Eagles are 5-1 ATS on Monday Night Football since 2001.
  • Eagles are 11-6 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -4 (open) to Eagles -3 to Eagles -3.
  • Total Movement: 46 (open) to 48 to 49.
  • Weather: Possible Showers, 70 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Eagles by 4. (Eagles -3). Over.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 0-1
Eagles: 1-0
Giants: 1-0
Redskins: 0-1

Bears: 1-0
Lions: 1-0
Packers: 1-0
Vikings: 0-1

Buccaneers: 0-1
Falcons: 1-0
Panthers: 1-0
Saints: 1-0

49ers: 1-0
Cardinals: 1-0
Rams: 1-0
Seahawks: 1-0

Bills: 1-0
Dolphins: 1-0
Jets: 1-0
Patriots: 0-0

Bengals: 1-0
Browns: 0-1
Ravens: 0-1
Steelers: 0-1

Colts: 0-0
Jaguars: 1-0
Texans: 1-0
Titans: 1-0

Broncos: 1-0
Chargers: 1-0
Chiefs: 1-0
Raiders: 0-1

Divisional Games: 4-1
Trend Edge: 2-4
Game Edge: 3-1
Game & Trend Edge: 0-1


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
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2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
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2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
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2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

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2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
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2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
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Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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