I normally wouldn't stand for going 8-7-1, but as I mentioned multiple times last week, the final Sunday of the year is extremely difficult to handicap. I'll take an 8-7-1 Week 17. It's much better than the 4-12 mark I posted last year on the last weekend of the regular season.
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my
Sports Betting FAQ
Washington Redskins (9-7) at Seattle Seahawks (10-6)
Line: Seahawks by 3.5. Total: 40.
Walt's Projected Line:
Saturday, 4:30 ET - Buy Tickets
The Game. Edge: Redskins.
OUT: QB Jason Campbell, OT Jon Jansen. SEAHAWKS:
OUT: DT Marcus Tubbs.
Before we get to the first round of the playoffs, let's take a look at how Vegas fared last weekend. Attempting to bounce back from a 50-50 weekend, the books
cashed in when the Giants covered the massive spread Saturday night. The final Sunday of the year was also lucrative for Vegas; Carolina, Houston, Chicago,
Atlanta, Baltimore and Tennessee all beating the number was beneficial to them. They lost when Cincinnati, Green Bay and San Diego covered, but I think you'd
take a 6-3 record any day, especially when you're getting the juice.
It's a shame that the two teams with postseason experience in the NFC are playing each other in the opening round. There are many people who believe that
the winner of this contest has a great chance of playing Indianapolis or New England in Arizona. I can't really argue with that; the Seahawks have been to the Super
Bowl before, while the Redskins are the hottest squad in the NFL.
Todd Collins - or Tom Collins if you're an alcoholic - has been amazing thus far. Since taking over for Jason Campbell, Collins is 67-of-105, 888 yards,
five touchdowns and no picks. He's exactly what the Redskins need - a confident veteran at the signal-caller position, who doesn't make mistakes and converts
third downs. He's like the NFC's version of David Garrard; he's more than just a game manager. He's an engineer who pilots a vessel armed with a potent
ground attack and stellar defense.
Speaking of Washington's running game, it won't be too challenging for Clinton Portis to compile yardage against the Seahawks, who are only 16th versus
opposing rushers. The Redskins desperately need to establish Portis as a threat because Seattle's hectic pass rush (45 sacks) has the ability to get to
Collins, even though he's been sacked just seven times since taking over in Week 14.
Now, let's talk about Seattle's running game... Ah, there's Shaun Alexander, who spent his practice week hard at work by trying to reach his goal of
devouring six dozen hot dogs per day. If you're new to this site, I've criticized Alexander all year because he seems content to just flop down onto the
field instead of taking a hit. It's almost as if he's scared in the wake of last season's injury. Who knows - the only thing that's important is that his
3.5 yards-per-carry average won't fly against a team ranked third against the run. Matt Hasselbeck will have to chuck the ball downfield all afternoon,
allowing the Redskins to tee off on him. Sure, Seattle will score its share of points, but Washington's secondary is one of the league's finest. Reed Doughty
has done a remarkable job taking over for the late Sean Taylor.
It's no secret the Redskins are dedicating this postseason run in Taylor's memory. When they realized they beat the Cowboys by 21 - Taylor's old number -
some of them broke down and cried. I have to believe they will play with much more energy and passion than the Seahawks, even though this is a postseason
contest. Washington has thrived in the role of an underdog all year, and even though the majority of the action is on them, I'm pleased to see that the
terrified oddsmakers have matched line movement to compensate for the bettors' actions.
Like I said earlier, the winner of this game has a great shot at qualifying for the Super Bowl. No disrespect to Seattle because I'm picking the Redskins -
the Seahawks have a great team capable of giving the Patriots or Colts a battle for the ages in Arizona - but Washington is playing a bit better right now.
The Psychology. Edge: None.
Both of these teams have ample postseason experience and actually met in the playoffs two years ago. The Seahawks won, 20-10.
The Vegas. Edge: None.
The Redskins are on fire, so there could be public action on their side.
Percentage of money on Washington: 54% (132,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
Redskins are 5-14 ATS after a road win since 2000.
Opening Line: Seahawks -5.
Opening Total: 40.
Weather: Rain, 44 degrees. Light wind.
Prediction: Redskins 20, Seahawks 17
Redskins +3.5 (3 Units - Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$330
Under 40 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Seahawks 35, Redskins 14.
Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6)
Line: Jaguars by 2.5. Total: 40.
Walt's Projected Line: Pick.
Saturday, 8:00 ET - Buy Tickets
The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: STEELERS: OUT: RB Willie Parker*.
I'm actually glad the holidays are over. Sure, getting presents, throwing parties and drinking until you have kidney failure is awesome, but the thing that
really dragged me down were those Dunkin Donuts commercials with the saucy brunette who gave us a narrative as to why she goes to Dunkin Donuts, followed
by a smile and the phrase, "America runs on Dunkin!" Now, I didn't have a problem with this woman until she started talking about sharing a gingerbread
donut with her mom. Who the hell shares a donut? But the thing that really irked me is that after talking about the gingerbread donut for five minutes, she
exclaims, "Delish!" I hate that word. I can't stand anyone who says "delish." Just say the whole damn word. I swear, if I hear someone saying "delish" one
more time, I'm going to jump out of my window. I don't trust anyone who says "delish." Not a single person. In fact, I'm convinced this brunette woman
doesn't even have a mother and just eats the donut herself.
This game may seem a bit easy to predict for most people, but I would actually disagree with that premise. The public is looking at the fact that Jacksonville beat
Pittsburgh in a Week 15 battle, 29-22. Now, the Steelers have lost Willie Parker and maintain no threat of a running game. How in the world is Pittsburgh
going to pull this one off?
I'll tell you how. Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers' signal caller has more playoff experience than anyone this postseason, save for Peyton Manning, Tom
Brady and Brett Favre. Roethlisberger, who has thrown for 32 touchdowns and just 11 picks this year, has played extremely well in previous playoff stints.
Why would that change now? Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes and Heath Miller will get open against a secondary ranked 15th versus the pass.
So, am I selecting Pittsburgh over Jacksonville? Well, not so fast. I didn't say the Steelers would win; I just mentioned it wouldn't be easy. First of all,
it's known that Roethlisberger will have to chuck the ball downfield all night because Parker is out. He won't get much protection behind an offensive line
that has surrendered 47 sacks this year.
Jacksonville's greatest advantage in this contest, meanwhile, is on offense. Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew totaled 216 rushing yards in that Week 15
meeting, setting up play-action opportunities for David Garrard, who tossed three touchdowns amid the wind and snow. The Jaguars are much to physical up
front for the defensively mediocre Steelers.
The Jaguars' victory at Heinz Field is a huge factor. They proved they're a northern team fully capable of winning slugfests in January. They're playing
with extreme confidence right now, while the Steelers are limping into the playoffs, having lost three of four. I like Jacksonville, but as I mentioned, I
don't think this is a slam dunk, given Pittsburgh's extensive postseason experience.
The Psychology. Edge: Jaguars.
Jacksonville has to be playing with a lot of confidence right now. The Steelers, on the other hand, have stumbled into the playoffs, losing three of four.
The Vegas. Edge: Steelers.
I'd be shocked if the public didn't pound the red-hot Jaguars.
Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 76% (132,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
Two Roads (Win): Current and '06 head coaches are 83-70 ATS on the road following a road win (Jack Del Rio 1-3).
Steelers are 15-6 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
Ben Roethlisberger is 44-16 as a starter (36-24 ATS).
Ben Roethlisberger is 9-5 ATS as an underdog.
Opening Line: Steelers -1.
Opening Total: 37.5.
Weather: Cloudy, 40 degrees. Light wind.
Prediction: Jaguars 19, Steelers 16
Jaguars -2.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Under 40 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Jaguars 31, Steelers 29.
New York Giants (10-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
Line: Buccaneers by 3. Total: 39.5.
Walt's Projected Line: Buccaneers -3.
Sunday, 1:00 ET - Buy Tickets
The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: GIANTS: OUT: RB Derrick Ward, TE Jeremy Shockey.
BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Cadillac Williams, OT Luke Petitgout, DE Patrick Chukwurah, CB Torrie Cox.
It's time for more grammar lessons from Emmitt Smith! These may not be useful now, but if you're caught in a time vortex and transported to a village of
cavemen, you'll be able to communicate with them. And by the way, I'll be releasing a compiled list of all of Emmitt's quotes on one page during the week
before the Super Bowl. Keep an eye out for that.
1. "When you are the single or the lone ranger, so to speak." (The Single Ranger? Sounds like some porn movie. And who says, "When you are the lone ranger, so to speak?" Who speaks that way, exactly?)
2. "Reggie Bush is definitely effective. Just not tonight." (Emmitt said this after the Falcons-Saints Monday night game. Note to Emmitt: Bush wasn't effective... because... HE DIDN'T EVEN PLAY! No wonder he wasn't effective tonight.)
3. "When he get over the Texas line, something crazy happens in his head." (But not as crazy as what come out of Emmitt mouth!)
It seems like everyone has a strong opinion on this game. Talking heads on TV are essentially calling this a lock for the Giants, stating that their
performance at Buffalo and against New England has given them the confidence to finally win a postseason contest. Meanwhile, several users on my forum like
the Buccaneers. Fred Cimino of the Endless Banter does as well, as he IMed me Wednesday evening and called Tampa Bay the "lock of 2008."
I don't have strong feelings for either side. And I'm going to tell you why, mini-dissertation style.
Why I Don't Like the Giants: You've worked hard all week. You grabbed your paycheck out of your boss' hands on Friday. Instead of driving
to the bank and responsibly depositing your new-found cash, you decide to bet it all on a football game. You choose the Giants. Forty-eight hours later,
you're throwing your TV out the window because Eli Manning has tossed four picks, fumbled thrice and sported his patented "Eli Manning face" two dozen
Do you really want to gamble your hard-earned dough on an awkward boy-man who has probably never asked a girl out in his life? I don't think so. Besides,
this Giants squad has a history of choking in big moments. Sure, they made the playoffs, but as it turns out, even if they lost to Buffalo and New England,
they would have qualified anyway.
I know the Buccaneers have rested their starters and the Giants have remained sharp - I'll get to this later - but Tampa Bay has known its opponent for the
past three weeks. In fact, I think Jon Gruden lost to the 49ers on purpose just so his squad could battle the Giants. So, Gruden and Monte Kiffin have had
about 21 days to gameplan for Manning. New York, meanwhile, was concerned with beating the Bills and Patriots.
Why I Don't Like the Buccaneers: Say what you want about Steve Young as an analyst, but the guy knew how to win football games. Young has
always maintained that for each week you take off, you need a quarter to bounce back. Think of the Colts in 2005; they rested their starters the final two
contests of the season and then had their bye. They consequently trailed going into the fourth quarter against the Steelers, 21-3, only to watch their
15-point fourth-quarter comeback go to waste with a missed Mike Vanderjagt field goal. Three weeks off, three quarters flat.
Gruden hasn't played his starters since the first half of Week 16. Thus, Tampa Bay could be a bit lethargic for the first 20-25 minutes of this game. I
don't want to bet on a team that's going to be discombobulated for the first 33 percent of the contest.
Now, I know I made fun of Manning, and while I do trust Jeff Garcia more than him, it doesn't change the fact that he actually played well against the Eagles
in last season's opening-round contest. Manning was 16-of-27 for 161 yards, two touchdowns and a pick at Philadelphia. A far cry from his 10-of-18, 113 yards
and three interceptions against Carolina in 2005.
There's a chance Manning breaks out of his winless playoff slump and claims his first victory in postseason play. The Giants perform better on the road,
so this is a perfect opportunity for them to finally advance to the second round.
After Thinking It Through... The bottom line is that I can't bet on Manning in an important contest until he shows me he can win. I also
like the fact that despite there being tons of action on the Giants, the line moved from Tampa Bay -1 to -3.
What I'm going to do is give out the Buccaneers as a play. I wouldn't recommend it because I believe this game may actually be decided by a Tampa Bay
field goal. But I'm also planning on using the Giants as a first-half prop bet. As I mentioned above, the Buccaneers could come out flat. It wouldn't
surprise me at all if this contest is 6-6 going into intermission, and Tampa Bay pulls out a 20-15 or 20-17 victory.
The Psychology. Edge: Buccaneers.
Do you really want me to talk about what's going inside Eli Manning's head right now? Everyone's saying the Giants have a great shot at winning. However, the Buccaneers, in the wake of sitting everyone the last six quarters, could be flat.
The Vegas. Edge: None.
The Buccaneers aren't a public team. Average bettors may have fallen in love with the Giants in the wake of their performance against New England.
Percentage of money on New York: 59% (198,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Giants.
Giants are 12-4 ATS on the road since 2006.
Opening Line: Buccaneers -1.
Opening Total: 39.5.
Weather: Sunny, 77 degrees. Light wind.
Prediction: Buccaneers 20, Giants 15
Buccaneers -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
Under 39.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Giants 24, Buccaneers 14.
Tennessee Titans (10-6) at San Diego Chargers (11-5)
Line: Chargers by 10. Total: 39.
Walt's Projected Line: Chargers -6.5.
Sunday, 4:30 ET - Buy Tickets
The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: TITANS: OUT: WR David Givens, CB Pacman Jones, S Chris Hope.
Before I discuss game, take a look at my Week 18 Look-Alike Pictures
featuring John Wayne Gacy and King Hippo from Mike Tyson's Punch Out. Also, you can still compete against me and others by picking
football games at the Picking Forum. You'll be able to pick every game starting Wednesday
afternoon, and you can post comments for each contest as well. No prizes, but you do get bragging rights.
I haven't talked to a single person who likes the Titans. I'm completely serious, everyone loves the Chargers, opining that Vince Young sucks and LaDainian
Tomlinson will completely run over Tennessee. I'm surprised the betting percentage in Vegas is 83 percent instead of 5,000 percent.
But you know what? I'm fine with that. I love the Titans. And it's based on one strong premise. I will capitalize it and give it its own paragraph just to
emphasize my point:
THE CHARGERS ARE CHOKERS! HOW ARE THESE PERENNIAL PLAYOFF LOSERS SUPPOSED TO COVER NINE POINTS!?!?!?!
Phew, that took a lot of energy. But seriously, the Chargers can't get past their first postseason contest. They lose every year. How in the world are
they going to cover nine? Philip Rivers was 14-of-32 for 230 yards and an interception against the Patriots last season. You can say that New England's
defense gave him problems. That's fine, except for one thing: He tossed two picks and barely completed 50 percent of his passes in a Week 14 tilt against
the Titans. Kyle Vanden Bosch, who completely abused Marcus McNeill, was in his face all day. LaDainian Tomlinson, who totaled 146 rushing yards in that
contest, will get his, but I don't trust Rivers to convert third downs.
The big question for Tennessee is whether Vince Young or Kerry Collins will start. The popular belief is that Collins gives the Titans a better chance of
winning. While Collins is a more accurate passer, I think Tennessee needs a mobile quarterback like Young to avoid the likes of Shawne Merriman and Shaun
Phillips. Regardless, Jeff Fisher will look to pound the rock with LenDale White and Chris Brown as often as possible. The Titans' offensive front pushed
San Diego around the first time they met, as the two backs compiled 129 rushing yards.
And speaking of Fisher, how can you not like him over Norv Turner? Fisher has been to a Super Bowl and multiple AFC Championships. Turner? Just one postseason
victory. Yeah, much better than Marty.
I'm fading the public and calling for an outright Tennessee victory. Will I be surprised if the Chargers win? Not at all - but I think teams with a lacking
history of postseason success need a close contest to get them over the hump. Think of the Bears last year; they could never get it done, but when they
finally did, they had to do it in overtime against Seattle at home. This game will go down to the wire.
The Psychology. Edge: Titans.
The Chargers, who have zero postseason success, are being asked to cover nine? Too much pressure.
The Vegas. Edge: Titans.
I don't think people like the Titans as much as the Chargers. The latter has become a very public team over the past few weeks.
Percentage of money on San Diego: 80% (201,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Titans.
Vince Young is 17-10 as a starter (17-10 ATS).
Vince Young is 7-2 ATS as a road dog.
Opening Line: Chargers -9.
Opening Total: 41.
Weather: Possible showers, 55 degrees. Light wind.
Prediction: Titans 17, Chargers 16
Titans +10 (5 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$550
Under 39 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Chargers 17, Titans 6.
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted
whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.
Live Dog: Redskins +155 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$200
Live Dog: Titans +400 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$100
First-Half Line: Giants +1.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Marshawn Lynch +500 - Lynch will be the opening-day starter for the Bills and will have the luxury of running
behind a huge offensive line. Running backs make the quickest transition into the NFL, and Lynch is the only rookie who's guaranteed a starting gig. (1 Unit)
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Field +700 - James Jones? Jacoby Jones? Who knows, Marques Colston came out of nowhere last year. (1 Unit)
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Jamaal Anderson +1400 - Unlike Gaines Adams, Jamaal Anderson will be starting on Day 1. With teams concerned
about John Abraham, Anderson seems like he could be poised for a double digit-sack campaign. (1 Unit)
Odds to Win Super Bowl: Patriots 5/2 - Not great odds, but they'll get the job done. (1 Unit)
Odds to Win Super Bowl: Steelers 22/1 - Getting a great deal here. (.5 Units)
Regular Season Wins: Chiefs Under 7.5 -155 - Larry Johnson will get hurt, the defense will suck and Herm Edwards will lose his mind. (1.5 Units)
Regular Season Wins: Dolphins Under 7 -125 - I've talked about the Dolphins plenty of times already. (1.5 Units)
Regular Season Wins: Steelers Over 9 -105 - The Steelers went 8-8 with a damaged Ben Roethlisberger. No way they win less than 10 this season. (1.5 Units)
Regular Season Wins: Giants Under 8 -165 - No way they get to 8-8 this year. (1.5 Units)
Player Prop: Larry Johnson Under 1,700 Total Rushing Yards - Since Eric Dickerson, no running back who has carried the ball 385 or more times
has finished in the top 10 in rushing. Johnson had 416 carries, the most in the history of the NFL. (2 Units)
Player Prop: Wes Welker Over 675 Total Receiving Yards - Wes Welker has been Tom Brady's new go-to-guy in training camp and preseason. I'm
expecting a big year from him. (2 Units)
More prop picks will be listed here.
Check back at halftime to see if I have any plays posted.
Second-half picks will be listed here.
Back to WalterFootball.com Home
Go to my 2008 NFL Mock Draft
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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 12, 2016): 5-10-1 (-$1,090)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2016): 1-3 (-$730)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2016): 1-2 (-$460)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 12, 2016): 6-10 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 11, 2016): -$20
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-0, 100% (+$2,000)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 106-81-8, 56.7% (+$3,580)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 29-24-3, 54.7% (+$355)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-12-4, 57.1% (+$1,045)
2016 Season Over-Under: 84-92-1, 47.7% (+$95)
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$85
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$2,360)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
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2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
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2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
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Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,398-2,197-139, 52.2% (+$11,730)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 772-692-37 (52.7%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 324-282-17 (53.5%)
Career Over-Under: 1,906-1,856-52 (50.7%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 35-22 (61.4%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.
Cowboys: 5-6 (2014-15: 14-19)
Bears: 2-8 (2014-15: 14-17)
Bucs: 6-5 (2014-15: 18-14)
49ers: 8-3 (2014-15: 21-10)
Eagles: 5-6 (2014-15: 16-16)
Lions: 5-5 (2014-15: 19-13)
Falcons: 9-2 (2014-15: 17-15)
Cardinals: 6-5 (2014-15: 14-21)
Giants: 5-4 (2014-15: 14-17)
Packers: 7-2 (2014-15: 20-15)
Panthers: 9-1 (2014-15: 15-22)
Rams: 5-5 (2014-15: 16-15)
Redskins: 4-7 (2014-15: 20-13)
Vikings: 5-6 (2014-15: 20-13)
Saints: 9-2 (2014-15: 13-17)
Seahawks: 8-3 (2014-15: 16-19)
Bills: 7-4 (2014-15: 14-15)
Bengals: 3-7 (2014-15: 13-19)
Colts: 4-6 (2014-15: 14-18)
Broncos: 4-7 (2014-15: 18-13)
Dolphins: 7-3 (2014-15: 18-13)
Browns: 4-7 (2014-15: 16-13)
Jaguars: 4-6 (2014-15: 12-19)
Chargers: 6-5 (2014-15: 17-15)
Jets: 4-5 (2014-15: 17-14)
Ravens: 5-5 (2014-15: 17-15)
Texans: 7-3 (2014-15: 12-20)
Chiefs: 7-4 (2014-15: 18-15)
Patriots: 7-4 (2014-15: 22-14)
Steelers: 6-5 (2014-15: 18-14)
Titans: 7-4 (2014-15: 13-15)
Raiders: 8-3 (2014-15: 14-18)
Divisional: 26-26 (2011-15: 222-225)
2x Game Edge: 11-7 (2011-15: 86-97)
2x Psych Edge: 32-24 (2011-15: 151-133)
2x Vegas Edge: 15-20 (2011-15: 218-223)
2x Trend Edge: 32-21 (2011-15: 139-128)
Double Edge: 14-11 (2011-15: 59-61)
Triple Edge: 2-0 (2011-15: 3-3)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-15: 0-0)