Saints (0-2) at Rams (1-1). Line: Rams by 6. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Rams by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Rams by 4.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Injuries: SAINTS: OUT: RB Deuce McAllister*, DE Willie Whitehead, LB Sedrick Hodge. QUESTIONABLE: WR Joe Horn, DE Darren Howard, DT Brian Young, CB Jason Craft. RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, C Dave Wohlabaugh, DT Jimmy Kennedy, CB Travis Fisher, S Zack Bronson. DOUBTFUL: LB Tommy Polley. QUESTIONABLE: G Tom Nutten.

The Saints have played two consecutive home games. They lost to Seattle and were nearly beaten by San Francisco. Pathetic. Now, they have to compete with the Rams without their best player, Deuce McAllister. St. Louis has given up 5.2 yards per carry this season, so teams can run on them, but not this Sunday. McAllister's replacement is Aaron Stecker, who gained just 41 yards on 15 carries against San Francisco. Stecker will not be able to establish himself, meaning Aaron Brooks will be throwing more errant passes than ever.

Considered to be the worst offense in the NFL, the 49ers scored 27 points against the Saints last weekend. New Orleans has given up 4.8 yards per carry this season, meaning Marshall Faulk and Steven Jackson should combine for 200 rushing yards. Theoretically. The only way the Rams will struggle to score points in this contest is if Mike Martz decides to throw on every single down again. Against Atlanta, the Rams only rushed 15 times. If Martz keeps this up, he will be fired by season's end.

This game shouldn't be close, but do you really want to place big bucks on Martz? Didn't think so.


The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • History: Saints have won 3 of last 4 at St. Louis.
  • Rams are 6-2 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Rams are 2-5 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Rams -7 (open) to Rams -6 to Rams -7 to Rams -6.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 47.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Joe Horn, Rams Offense.
  • Sit Em: Aaron Brooks, Deuce McAllister, Aaron Stecker.

Prediction: Rams by 17. (Rams -6). Over.




Bears (1-1) at Vikings (1-1). Line: Vikings by 10. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Vikings by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Vikings by 8.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: BEARS: OUT: G Rex Tucker, G Mike Gandy, DT Alfonso Boone, CB Jerry Azumah, CB Charles Tillman, S Mike Brown. QUESTIONABLE: LB Brian Urlacher*. VIKINGS: OUT: RB Onterrio Smith, TE Jim Kleinsasser, TE Jermaine Wiggins, OT Mike Rosenthal, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter. DOUBTFUL: RB Michael Bennett

The Bears and the Vikings may have split their last four meetings, but Minnesota has clearly had an advantage in the running game in each contest; they have averaged 166 rushing yards in the four games, compared to Chicago's average of 72.

Minnesota had problems containing Brian Westbrook, who gained 69 yards on just 12 carries. However, Thomas Jones is not Westbrook; the former prefers to rush between the tackles. That is where the strength of Minnesota's defense lies. Chris Hovan and Kevin Williams are mammoth defensive tackles, E.J. Henderson is an effective middle linebacker and the two safeties, Corey Chavous and Brian Russell, are among the top ten duos at their position. Jones will have problems establishing himself as a threat, meaning young Rex Grossman will be forced to convert on many long yardage situations. That's asking too much of a quarterback who will be making his sixth career start.

Michael Bennett is doubtful and Onterrio Smith is out, which means Moe Williams will be starting on Sunday. He may be the third string tailback, but Williams was effective when starting in Bennett's place last season. Chicago will have to worry about stopping the run, but their main focus will be preventing Daunte Culpepper from hooking up with Randy Moss, Nate Burleson and Marcus Robinson. Unfortunately for the Bears, their second best defensive player, Mike Brown, and their top cornerback, Charles Tillman, are both out. Moss will not have to worry about Tillman, who defended him perfectly in Chicago's 13-10 win over Minnesota last December. The Vikings will score plenty of points, and the Bears will not be able to keep up.


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 10-14 ATS since 2003.
  • Bears are 3-11 ATS vs. NFC North opponents since 2001.
  • Bears are 2-7 ATS in September since 2001.
  • Vikings are 6-3 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Vikings are 8-4 ATS vs. NFC North oppoenents since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -9 (open) to Vikings -10.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Daunte Culpepper, Moe Williams, Randy Moss.
  • Sit Em: Chicago Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Vikings by 14. (Vikings -10). Money Pick. Under.




Browns (1-1) at Giants (1-1). Line: Giants by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Giants by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Giants by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: BROWNS: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr.*, DE Courtney Brown, DT Gerard Warren. QUESTIONABLE: RB Lee Suggs*, DE Ebenezer Ekuban, CB Daylon McCutcheon, CB Anthony Henry. GIANTS: OUT: G Rich Seubert, G Barry Stokes, S Omar Stoutmire.

The Redskins had seven turnovers last week and the Giants only beat them by six. Call it a fluke win.

William Green had a few impressive carries against Dallas, but the Browns clearly need Lee Suggs to return from his neck injury. The Giants can be rushed upon, although they restricted Clinton Portis to just 69 yards. Two weeks ago, however, New York surrendered a rushing average of 5.6 to the Philadelphia Eagles. Jeff Garcia should be able to throw against the Giants, despite the absence of his best target, Kellen Winslow Jr.

A huge surprise in this young season is Cleveland's ability to stop the run. A year after being disgraced by Jamal Lewis, the Browns have fixed their ground defense and have only allowed 3.2 yards per carry. Tiki Barber will not accumulate more than 50 rushing yards on Sunday, which means Kurt Warner will be facing many third and long situations. Warner is an even bigger surprise than the Browns' rush defense. Against the Redskins, he completed 22 of 33 attempted passes for 232 yards and a touchdown. He hasn't done anything like that since 2001. Cleveland's secondary is not impressive and can be exploited by Warner, especially without a pass rush; the Browns only registered one sack against the Cowboys.

This game has no future playoff implications. It will also be very low scoring. Next!


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Giants are 9-24 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Giants are 4-12 ATS as favorites since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Giants -3 (open) to Giants -2 to Giants -3 to Giants -3.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 74 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Offenses.

Prediction: Browns by 3. (Giants +3). Under.




Cardinals (0-2) at Falcons (2-0). Line: Falcons by 10. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Falcons by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Falcons by 9.

The Game. Edge: Falcons.
Injuries: CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, WR Anquan Boldin, DE Fred Wakefield, DT Wendell Bryant, S Dexter Jackson. DOUBTFUL: LB Raynoch Thompson. FALCONS: OUT: CB DeAngelo Hall, S Keion Carpenter.

He's back. Michael Vick is up to his old tricks, scrambling and causing havoc all over the field. You almost have to feel sorry for the Cardinals, who have to deal with Vick's elusiveness, his deep throws and the fact that they allow 6.1 yards per carry.

Arizona will keep this game close if Atlanta is unfocused. As noted below, the Falcons play the Panthers next week. The Cardinals will have to move the chains through the air, because Atlanta's run defense has improved this season; they have allowed 3.4 yards per rush to the 49ers and Rams. Injuries to DeAngelo Hall and Keion Carpenter have made their secondary suspect. Marc Bulger was able to throw for 285 yards last Sunday. Josh McCown might be able to connect with Larry Fitzgerald and Freddie Jones to keep this game relatively close.


The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 2-12 ATS since 2002.
  • Sandwich Situation: FALCONS: Cardinals are sandwiched between Rams and Panthers.
  • Cardinals are 4-13 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Falcons are 10-22 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Falcons -9 (open) to Falcons -10.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Atlanta Offense.
  • Sit Em: Emmitt Smith.

Prediction: Falcons by 9. (Cardinals +10). Under.




Ravens (1-1) at Bengals (1-1). Line: Ravens by 3. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Ravens by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Ravens by 3.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: RAVENS: OUT: QB Anthony Wright, WR Travis Taylor, TE Todd Heap, C Mike Flynn, DT Kelly Gregg, LB Peter Boulware, CB Dale Carter. QUESTIONABLE: CB Deion Sanders. BENGALS: OUT: CB Dennis Weathersby, S Kim Herring. DOUBTFUL: C Larry Moore, C Rich Braham, S Rogers Beckett.

The last four times that the Ravens and Bengals played each other, Baltimore has gained 223, 110, 148 and 162 rushing yards. Cincinnati can not stop Jamal Lewis. Despite a superb performance last week against the offensive line-less Miami Dolphins, the Bengals still surrender 4.8 yards per carry this season. As long as Kyle Boller avoids mistakes, which he did last week, the Ravens will have no trouble putting points on the scoreboard.

Each player on the Baltimore defense is foaming at the mouth. Carson Palmer is doomed. The Ravens will eat the young quarterback alive and will also be able to put the clamps on Rudi Johnson. They allow just 3.3 yards per carry. The Bengals are severely outmatched.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 25-53 ATS since 2001. Bengals kicked a GW FG with :02 left.
  • History: Ravens have won 10 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Bengals are 5-11 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Bengals are 2-6 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Bengals are 2-8 ATS in September since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -2 (open) to Ravens -3.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 36 to 34 to 34.
  • Weather: Sunny, 74 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jamal Lewis, Todd Heap, Baltimore Defense.
  • Sit Em: Cincinnati Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Ravens by 14. (Ravens -3). Double Money Pick. Over.




Eagles (2-0) at Lions (2-0). Line: Eagles by 4. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Eagles by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Eagles by 4.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, G Shawn Andrews, DE N.D. Kalu. QUESTIONABLE: DT Darwin Walker. LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, CB Dre Bly. QUESTIONABLE: DE Kalimba Edwards, CB Andre Goodman.

Based on pure talent, the Eagles should win and cover this football game. However, this is the NFL, and the best team doesn't always win. A major concern for Philadelphia is the fact that they are coming off of a huge Monday Night win and have one less day of preparations for a Detroit team that wants to prove that they are not a 2-0 fluke.

Detroit has the sixth best run defense in the NFL. They have a young, but talented secondary. Their defense is very quick at almost every position. But, they can not stop Philadelphia's offense, as long as the Eagles are focused on this game. Brian Westbrook will not be a factor on the ground, but Terrell Owens causes complete chaos for opposing stop units. Like the Giants and Vikings, Detroit will double team him, which will leave Donovan McNabb's other receivers in single coverage.

The Eagles have a soft run defense. Statistically, they are ranked dead last, allowing a whopping 6.2 yards per carry. Despite that alarming statistic, the Lions will not be able to effectively gain yardage on the ground. Kevin Jones has been struggling; he failed to reach 60 yards against the Houston Texans, a team that surrenders 4.4 yards per rush. The Joey Harrington to Roy Williams combination has been very impressive this young season, but Philadelphia's secondary has been surprisingly sharp and will prevent them from scoring an abundant amount of points.


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Lions are 15-9 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Lions are 5-2 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -4 (open) to Eagles -4.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, L.J. Smith.
  • Sit Em: Brian Westbrook, Kevin Jones, Detroit Defense.

Prediction: Eagles by 6. (Eagles -4). Under.




Jaguars (2-0) at Titans (1-1). Line: Titans by 6. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Titans by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Titans by 5.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: JAGUARS: OUT: TE Kyle Brady, DE Paul Spicer. TITANS: OUT: G Zach Pillar, DE Bo Schobel, LB Peter Sirmon, K Joe Nedney. DOUBTFUL: LB Rocky Calmus. QUESTIONABLE: WR Drew Bennett, WR Tyrone Calico, OT Brad Hopkins, G Justin Hartwig, CB Samari Rolle.

The Titans own the Jaguars. In fact, Tennessee has claimed the last five meetings. If Jacksonville wishes to reach the postseason and take that next step, they will have to defeat their archrivals.

This Jacksonville squad is a mirror image of last year's Panthers. They run the ball as much as they can, and they stop the opposing ground game. Fred Taylor is one of the best running backs in the league now that he has been injury free for over two seasons. In years past, the Titans have been able to hinder the Jaguars' rushing attack. In fact, the Jags have been held to just 96 rushing yards per game in the last four meetings against Tennessee. Jeff Fisher coached teams have always been superb against the run, but the defections of Jevon Kearse and Robaire Smith, as well as the injury to Peter Sirmon is a huge problem. Indianapolis was able to gain six yards per carry against the Titans last Sunday, meaning the Jaguars may finally have some luck running the football. If Fred Taylor can prove to be effective, that will take a lot of the burden off of Byron Leftwich. Tennessee has a stout secondary, but they lack a consistent pass rush. They only registered one sack against the Colts.

Tennessee was criticized for letting Eddie George leave. Those critics have been hushed after witnessing Chris Brown gain 152 rushing yards against Indianapolis. However, Brown will not be able to duplicate that performance this weekend. The Jaguars are tied for third against the run, allowing exactly three yards per carry. Steve McNair will be forced to throw on many third and long situations, but that will not faze the co-MVP of 2003. McNair usually makes big plays against Jacksonville. He will have to create some more to prevent his team from losing to a very hot Jaguars squad.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • History: Titans have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Titans are 10-7 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Titans -6 (open) to Titans -6.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Sunny, 76 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, Steve McNair, Derrick Mason, Jacksonville Defense.
  • Sit Em: Byron Leftwich, Chris Brown.

Prediction: Jaguars by 1. (Jaguars +6). Upset Special. Under.




Texans (0-2) at Chiefs (0-2). Line: Chiefs by 7. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Chiefs by 9.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Chiefs by 8.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: TEXANS: OUT: S Eric Brown. DOUBTFUL: G Zach Wiegert. CHIEFS: OUT: WR Marc Boerigter, LB Mike Maslowski. DOUBTFUL: WR Eddie Kennison. QUESTIONABLE: RB Priest Holmes*, S Greg Wesley.

It's amazing how everyone is writing off the Chiefs, claiming that their offense has vanished. Some ESPN commentators (cough, Sean Salsbury, cough) claim that Kansas City will have a losing record this season. Keep in mind that they played at Denver, where they never win, and the defending NFC Champion Carolina Panthers. Not exactly the worst teams in the world.

Kansas City's defense is pathetic. After surrendering 5.2 yards per carry in 2003, the only addition they made was acquiring a new defensive coordinator, Gunther Cunningham. Good job. Now, they allow 5.5 yards per carry. Domanick Davis should continue abusing the Chiefs' run defense, like Quentin Griffin and DeShaun Foster have already done. David Carr will connect with Andre Johnson once Kansas City is focused on putting the clamps on Davis. The Texans should be able to score an abundant amount of points. However, their offense is still young and their offensive line is awful, which causes inconsistency - even against the worst defense in the NFL.

The big question mark is Priest Holmes. No one knows if he will play, but it may not matter. Houston has allowed 250 passing yards per game this season, which means Trent Green will finally be able to connect on deep throws to Tony Gonzalez, Johnnie Morton and Dante Hall. The Chiefs' offensive line is one of the best in professional football. They will dominate the Texans' front seven, opening holes for Larry Johnson, assuming Holmes is not in the lineup.



The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Chiefs are 11-6 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -9 (open) to Chiefs -9 to Chiefs -8 to Chiefs -7.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 48 to 47.
  • Weather: Sunny, 75 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: David Carr, Domanick Davis, Andre Johnson, Trent Green, Tony Gonzalez.
  • Sit Em: Eddie Kennison, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 20. (Chiefs -7). Over.




Chargers (1-1) at Broncos (1-1). Line: Broncos by 10. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Broncos by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Broncos by 8.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: CHARGERS: QUESTIONABLE: TE Antonio Gates. BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, DE Trevor Pryce, CB Lenny Walls. QUESTIONABLE: RB Garrison Hearst.

For whatever reason, the home team in this series always manages to run the football better than the visitor. In San Diego's last two home games against the Broncos, they have gained an average of 170 rushing yards. Conversely, when they have to travel to Denver, they have only averaged 60 rushing yards per contest. That's obviously a huge difference. The Broncos' defense, which allowed just three yards per carry to the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday, should limit LaDainian Tomlinson's rushing yardage. Doing so will force Drew Brees to throw on third and long situations. Brees faces a much improved Broncos secondary, led by the top cornerback in the league, Champ Bailey. In all likelihood, Brees will throw a few interceptions in the first half, and will get benched in favor of Doug Flutie or Phillip Rivers.

San Diego gets bulldozed by the Broncos every time they play them. In their last four meetings, Denver has rushed for an average of 167 yards against the Chargers, who have not upgraded their defense to change that trend. Quentin Griffin will eclipse 150 yards, which means Jake Plummer bootlegs will be working against a very young San Diego secondary.


The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • History: Home Team has won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Broncos are 9-3 ATS vs. AFC West opponents since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -10 (open) to Broncos -10.
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 46 to 46.
  • Weather: Possible Thunder Storms, 73 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Denver Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: San Diego Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Broncos by 24. (Broncos -10). Money Pick. Under.




Packers (1-1) at Colts (1-1). Line: Colts by 6. Over-Under: 49.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Colts by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Colts by 4.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: PACKERS: OUT: DT Grady Jackson. COLTS: OUT: CB Joseph Jefferson, S Bob Sanders. QUESTIONABLE: RB Edgerrin James*, S Michael Doss.

The Colts have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. They allow 5.7 yards per carry and their secondary can't cover a soul. Ahman Green should be able to rip off five yards per rush, enabling Brett Favre to play-action pass into a confused, young secondary. The problem is, Favre has struggled playing in domes his entire career. As noted below, he has a career record of 8-29 when playing inside.

Chicago exposed Green Bay's run defense last week. Thomas Jones tallied 152 yards in a huge upset over the Packers. Edgerrin James is doubtful, but the Colts have Dominic Rhodes in reserve. Rhodes, one of the elite backup running backs in the NFL, should be able to eclipse the 150 rushing yard plateau; after all, Green Bay allows 5.2 yards per carry. The Packers have a solid secondary, but no team can cover Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Brandon Stokley, Dallas Clark and Marcus Pollard while attempting to rush Peyton Manning and contain either Edgerrin James or Dominic Rhodes. Green Bay does not have the defense to contain the Colts.


The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Brett Favre is 8-29 in domes.
  • Line Movement: Colts -5 (open) to Colts -6 to Colts -5 to Colts -6.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 49.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Colts by 10. (Colts -6). Money Pick. Over.




49ers (0-2) at Seahawks (2-0). Line: Seahawks by 10. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Seahawks by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Seahawks by 7.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: 49ERS: DOUBTFUL: OT Kwame Harris, DE Andre Carter. QUESTIONABLE: QB Tim Rattay, WR Cedrick Wilson, WR Brandon Lloyd, CB Mike Rumph. SEAHAWKS: OUT: QB Trent Dilfer, WR Koren Robinson, LB Chad Brown, S Damien Robinson.

Tim Rattay is questionable, meaning Ken Dorsey is expected to start his second career NFL game. If Dorsey wants to win his first, Kevan Barlow will have to establish himself as a threat. However, Seattle's defense allows just 3.8 yards per carry and they will be putting eight men in the box, forcing Dorsey to beat them. The Seahawks have one of the best cornerbacking trios in professional football. Marcus Trufant, Ken Lucas and Bobby Taylor will lock down Cedric Wilson, Brandon Lloyd and Curtis Conway, while their defensive line places heavy pressure on Dorsey. The Seahawks registered five sacks against the Buccaneers last week.

Many claim that the 49ers have the worst team in the NFL, but are unaware that their defense is respectable. In fact, they are ranked second in run defense, allowing just 2.9 yards per carry, which means that they will be able to contain Shaun Alexander. Whenever Alexander is held in check, Matt Hasselbeck has a harder time throwing the football. Last Sunday, Alexander was restricted to 45 rushing yards, and consequently, Hasselbeck's completion percentage was below 50%. San Francisco does not possess the secondary that the Buccaneers have, but they should be able to keep this game close.


The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
  • History: Seahawks have won the last 2 meetings.
  • 49ers are 5-10 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Seahawks were 6-2 ATS at home in 2003.
  • Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -10 (open) to Seahawks -11 to Seahawks -10.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 43.
  • Weather: Showers, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Koren Robinson, Darrell Jackson, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: San Francisco Offense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 9. (49ers +10). Under.




Steelers (1-1) at Dolphins (0-2). Line: Dolphins by 1. Over-Under: 32.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Steelers by 2.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: STEELERS: OUT: QB Tommy Maddox*, G Kendall Simmons. QUESTIONABLE: LB Kendrell Bell, CB Chad Scott. DOLPHINS: OUT: RB Travis Minor, FB Rob Konrad, WR David Boston, DT Tim Bowens. QUESTIONABLE: CB Patrick Surtain.

Yogi Berra said it first: "It's deja vu all over again." This game will be the continuation of Sunday night's matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the Cincinnati Bengals. Tommy Maddox is out for the Steelers, which means that Ben Roethlisberger will be making his first start. Good luck. The Miami defense will be out for his head. Bill Cowher will counterattack by running the football. The problem with that is, the Dolphins surrendered just 2.9 yards per carry to Rudi Johnson and the Bengals.

The Miami offensive line can do one of two things. They can either keep playing like high school linemen, or they can step up after their embarrassing performance on national TV. Professional players tend to do the latter. Case in point: after being humiliated by Jamal Lewis, the Cleveland defense stepped up in week one. Even if the line improves upon the traveshamockery witnessed by thousands last weekend, the Dolphins will still have problems scoring points. Pittsburgh's run defense has been superb this season, allowing just 3.6 yards per carry. A.J. Feeley, who is learning the Miami offense, will have to throw on third and long, which could be disastrous.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Rookie QBs were 3-8 ATS on the road in 2003.
  • Steelers are 2-7 ATS in September since 2001.
  • Dolphins are 1-8 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Pick (open) to Dolphins -1.
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 34 to 33 to 33 to 32.
  • Weather: Possible Thunder Storms, 88 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Hines Ward, Randy McMichael, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Offenses (excluding Ward and McMichael).

Prediction: Dolphins by 3. (Dolphins -1). Under.




Buccaneers (0-2) at Raiders (1-1). Line: Raiders by 3. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Raiders by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Raiders by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Michael Pittman, WR Joey Galloway, WR Keenan McCardell, WR Joe Jurevicius, G Kerry Jenkins, G Matt O'Dwyer. RAIDERS: OUT: G Mo Collins, S Derrick Gibson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Justin Fargas.

What is it with these low scoring Sunday night football games? The amount of points in this contest could be lower than the total in the Dolphins-Bengals contest.

Tampa Bay has the worst offense in the NFL. Michael Pittman is out and Thomas Jones left for Chicago, which means that they do not have a reliable rushing attack. Charlie Garner is an excellent pass catching running back, but he is no longer capable of reaching 100 rushing yards in a game. Even if he is capable of such a feat, Oakland surrenders just three yards per carry. No one is afraid of Tampa's passing attack either. Brad Johnson is not a threat, and neither is the Bucs' receiving corps, which is comprised of rookie Michael Clayton, Charles Lee and Tim Brown.

Oakland may not have a running game, but at least they have a legitimate passing attack. Rich Gannon has been playing well this year and he has Jerry Porter and Jerry Rice to throw to, as well as a young tight end in Doug Jolley. Unfortunately, the Raiders have to play the Buccaneers' defense, which means that in all probablility, neither team will reach double digits.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • Revenge Situation: Tampa Bay defeated Oakland in Super Bowl XXXVII.
  • Raiders are 2-6 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Raiders -3 (open) to Raiders -3 to Raiders -3.
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 34.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Offenses.

Prediction: Raiders by 6. (Raiders -3). Under.




Cowboys (1-1) at Redskins (1-1). Line: Redskins by 1. Over-Under: 35.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 2 Games): Redskins by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 2 Games): Redskins by 1.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
Injuries: COWBOYS: OUT: RB Julius Jones, S Darren Woodson. QUESTIONABLE: G Andre Gurode. REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen, LB LaVaar Arington*, DE Phillip Daniels, LB Michael Barrow. QUESTIONABLE: QB Mark Brunell.

Statistically, Washington has the best run defense in the NFL, allowing just 2.1 yards per carry. But that doesn't mean that they can defend the pass. They allowed nothing through the air against the gravity challenged Buccaneers, but the Redskins allowed Kurt Warner to have his best game since 2001. Washington does not have any kind of a pass rush. The opposing quarterback has all day to throw against a secondary that has been severely downgraded this season, due to Champ Bailey's departure. Vinny Testaverde will have another 300 yard game.

Clinton Portis may present a problem for the Cowboys. After being solid against the run in 2003, Dallas can not stop it; they are allowing 4.6 yards per carry this season. However, the Cowboys will be able to place eight men in the box, because Patrick Ramsey is likely to start. Ramsey was responsible for three turnovers in Washington's loss to the Giants. He also fumbled twice, but the loose balls were recovered by his own team. With Ramsey at the helm, the Redskins do not have much of a chance of winning this game, especially since Dallas has won 11 of the last 12 meetings between these two squads.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • History: Cowboys have won 11 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Bill Parcells has won his last six meetings against Joe Gibbs (11-6 overall).
  • Redskins are 12-19 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Redskins are 2-5 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Redskins -1 (open) to Redskins -2 to Redskins -1 to Redskins -1.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 36 to 35.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 62 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Vinny Testaverde, Keyshawn Johnson, Antonio Bryant, Terry Glenn, Dallas Defense.
  • Sit Em: Eddie George, Patrick Ramsey, Mark Brunell.

Prediction: Cowboys by 10. (Cowboys +1). Bonus Double Money Pick. Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 1-1
Eagles: 2-0
Giants: 1-1
Redskins: 0-2

Bears: 1-1
Lions: 2-0
Packers: 1-1
Vikings: 1-1

Buccaneers: 0-2
Falcons: 1-1
Panthers: 2-0
Saints: 2-0

49ers: 2-0
Cardinals: 1-1
Rams: 1-1
Seahawks: 1-1

Bills: 2-0
Dolphins: 2-0
Jets: 2-0
Patriots: 0-1

Bengals: 2-0
Browns: 1-1
Ravens: 0-2
Steelers: 0-2

Colts: 0-1
Jaguars: 2-0
Texans: 2-0
Titans: 1-1

Broncos: 2-0
Chargers: 2-0
Chiefs: 2-0
Raiders: 1-1

Divisional Games: 4-5
Trend Edge: 2-7
Game Edge: 4-4
Game & Trend Edge: 0-2


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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