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NFL Weekly Predictions
Preseason Week 2



Note: Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers. Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money. Records of respective coaches are displayed under "The Trends."



Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-1)
Line: Chiefs by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET (ESPN)

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

A couple of reasons to like the Chiefs here. First, Herm Edwards' record indicates he cares about the preseason, especially its second week. After coming off a loss, Edwards will try to win this game against the 1-0 Dolphins. Secondly, I don't think the Chiefs want to lose to Trent Green. They'll be focused against the very aloof Dolphins, who have a very good chance of going 2-14 or 3-13 this year.

The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Cam Cameron is 1-0 in the preseason.
  • Herman Edwards is 17-9 in the preseason.
  • Herman Edwards is 5-1 in Preseason Week 2.


    Prediction: Chiefs 23, Dolphins 13
    Chiefs -3 (2 Units - Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$220
    Dolphins 11, Chiefs 10.



    Carolina Panthers (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-1)
    Line: Eagles by 3.

    Friday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    If the Eagles would have beaten the Ravens, I would have made this my Pick of the Month. I still like the Panthers, however. John Fox loves the preseason, while Andy Reid just doesn't care about these exhibition contests. In fact, with all of the injuries Philadelphia has sustained, it seems as though Reid is trying to keep everyone healthy. There's a chance the Eagles try hard after losing 29-3, which is why this is three units; and not six.

    The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • John Fox is 16-5 in the preseason.
  • Andy Reid is 12-21 in the preseason.


    Prediction: Panthers 24, Eagles 20
    Panthers +3 (3 Units - Money Pick) -- Incorrect; -$330
    Eagles 27, Panthers 10.



    Atlanta Falcons (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)
    Line: Bills by 3.

    Friday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    Love the Falcons here. Dick Jauron doesn't care about the preseason, while Bobby Petrino will be looking to achieve his first victory as Atlanta's head coach.

    The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • Bobby Petrino is 0-1 in the preseason.
  • Dick Jauron is 9-16 in the preseason.
  • Dick Jauron is 2-4 in Preseason Week 2.


    Prediction: Falcons 17, Bills 6
    Falcons +3 (2 Units - Money Pick) -- Correct; +$200
    Falcons 13, Bills 10.



    Tennessee Titans (0-1) at New England Patriots (0-1)
    Line: Patriots by 5.5.

    Friday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    This pick has nothing to do with the records of Jeff Fisher or Bill Belichick. It has more to do with the Titans getting revenge. In week 17, New England beat Tennessee, knocking Vince Young and company out of a potential playoff berth. Thanks to losses by Denver, Cincinnati and other squads that day, a Titans victory would have allowed them to reach the postseason. Fisher and Young avenge that defeat tonight.

    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Jeff Fisher is 21-20 in the preseason.
  • Bill Belichick is 18-12 in the preseason (5-8 since 2003).


    Prediction: Titans 20, Patriots 10
    Titans +5.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
    Titans 27, Patriots 24.



    Detroit Lions (1-0) at Cleveland Browns (1-0)
    Line: Browns by 3.

    Saturday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    Romeo Crennel seems to care more about the preseason than Rod Marinelli. Besides, Crennel's playing for his job, so he needs to show his employers that he can get the job done.

    The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Rod Marinelli is 2-3 in the preseason.
  • Romeo Crennel is 6-3 in the preseason.


    Prediction: Browns 20, Lions 13
    Browns -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
    Lions 23, Browns 20.



    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)
    Line: Jaguars by 5.

    Saturday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    Both coaches appear to care about the preseason according to the records I have below, but Jon Gruden is actually just 4-5 since 2005. Jack Del Rio's Jaguars are coming off a loss, so he could have them motivated.

    The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.
  • Jon Gruden is 25-14 in the preseason (4-5 the past three years).
  • Jack Del Rio is 11-6 in the preseason.


    Prediction: Jaguars 29, Buccaneers 17
    Jaguars -5 (.5 Units) -- Correct; +$50
    Jaguars 31, Buccaneers 19.



    Denver Broncos (1-0) at Dallas Cowboys (1-0)
    Line: Cowboys by 4.5.

    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    Mike Shanahan loves winning in the preseason. So does Wade Phillips - just not in Week 2 for some reason (see stats below). I'll take the points with Denver.

    The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • Mike Shanahan is 38-15 in the preseason.
  • Wade Phillips is 9-4 in the preseason.
  • Wade Phillips is 0-3 in Preseason Week 2 since 1998.


    Prediction: Cowboys 20, Broncos 17
    Broncos +4.5 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110
    Cowboys 31, Broncos 20.



    Seattle Seahawks (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (1-0)
    Line: Packers by 3.

    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    Mike Holmgren is another coach who just doesn't like to win the second week of preseason, for whatever reason. If the Seahawks were playing a coach with a better exhibition record, this would be a larger bet.

    The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Mike Holmgren is 16-17 in the preseason.
  • Mike Holmgren is 1-7 in Preseason Week 2 with Seattle.
  • Mike McCarthy is 2-3 in the preseason.


    Prediction: Packers 17, Seahawks 13
    Packers -3 (.5 Units) -- Correct; +$50
    Packers 48, Seahawks 13.



    Oakland Raiders (1-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-1)
    Line: 49ers by 3.5.

    Saturday, 10:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    Raiders head coach Lane Kiffin was recently hospitalized, so I seriously doubt his team will be prepared for this game. The 49ers, on the other hand, looked like they were on a mission against the Broncos. They simply failed inside the red zone too many times.

    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Raiders have no coach right now.
  • Mike Nolan is 4-5 in the preseason.


    Prediction: 49ers 30, Raiders 10
    49ers -3.5 (2 Units - Money Pick) -- Correct; +$200
    49ers 26, Raiders 21.



    New York Giants (0-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0)
    Line: Ravens by 4.

    Sunday, 8:00 ET (NBC)

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    We all know Brian Billick is an ego-maniac, so he's probably calling and texting all of his friends, gloating about his 29-3 victory over the Eagles. Meanwhile, I can't imagine Tom Coughlin not giving his team hell for their horrible performance against Carolina. I think the Giants win big.

    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Tom Coughlin is 8-5 in the preseason (7-2 last three years).
  • Brian Billick is 20-12 in the preseason (9-8 last five years).


    Prediction: Giants 31, Ravens 20
    Giants +4 (2 Units - Money Pick) -- Correct; +$200
    Giants 13, Ravens 12.



    Chicago Bears (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1)
    Line: Bears by 2.5.

    Monday, 8:00 ET (ESPN)

    The Game. Edge: N/A.
    Injuries: N/A

    The Colts don't care about the preseason; Tony Dungy's record speaks volumes. And why should they? They went 1-3 last year and won the Super Bowl. Whatever they're doing works. Lovie Smith's exhibition record isn't great, but he'll have his team motivated to win this game. Why? Simple - the Colts defeated the Bears in the Super Bowl six months ago. These two squads don't meet in the regular season, so this is Chicago's only chance to get revenge.

    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Lovie Smith is 8-6 in the preseason.
  • Tony Dungy is 8-14 in the preseason.


    Prediction: Bears 24, Colts 17
    Bears -2.5 (4 Units - Double Money Pick) -- Correct; +$400
    Bears 27, Colts 24.

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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
    Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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