Chargers (3-3) at Panthers (1-4). Line: Panthers by 3. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Panthers by 2.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: CHARGERS: OUT: WR Reche Caldwell, C Nick Hardwick, DE David Ball. QUESTIONABLE: DE Adrian Dingle. PANTHERS: OUT: RB DeShaun Foster, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson, DT Kris Jenkins, DT Shane Burton, S Damien Richardson. DOUBTFUL: RB Stephen Davis*, KR/PR Rod Smart. QUESTIONABLE: G Tutan Reyes, S Colin Branch.

One team allows 3.5 yards per carry, while the other yields 4.6. The Panthers are the team with the better statistic, right? Wrong.

Carolina has fallen very quickly after their improbable Super Bowl run in 2003. They can not stop the run and have to contain LaDainian Tomlinson if they wish to win this game. Tomlinson could approach the 150 yard mark in this contest, which will help Drew Brees throw against a solid secondary. Keenan McCardell was just acquired from Tampa Bay, giving Brees a much needed primary target.

The defense isn't the only thing that the Panthers have been struggling with. Their offensive line is in shambles, Jake Delhomme's top receiver, Steve Smith, is out and Stephen Davis is doubtful. As mentioned above, San Diego allows 3.5 yards per carry, which means Delhomme will be placed in many long yardage situations, even if Davis is able to play. However, the Chargers give up 264 passing yards per game. Carolina should be able to move the chains, but will need a lot of luck to win this contest.

The Chargers have the better team, but West Coast teams playing on the East Coast at 1 p.m. rarely fare well. Their record is listed below.

UPDATE: Stephen Davis is doubtful and most likely will not play. This pick was changed 4 p.m., Saturday.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 6-14 ATS since 2002.
  • Panthers are 2-8 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 73 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: LaDainain Tomlinson, Muhsin Muhammad.
  • Sit Em: Stephen Davis.

Prediction: Chargers by 4. (Chargers +3). Over.




Rams (4-2) at Dolphins (0-6). Line: Rams by 6. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Rams by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Rams by 6.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Injuries: RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, C Dave Wohlabaugh, DT Jimmy Kennedy, S Zack Bronson. QUESTIONABLE: LB Robert Thomas, CB Travis Fisher. DOLPHINS: OUT: RB Ricky Williams, RB Lamar Gordon, WR David Boston. QUESTIONABLE: RB Travis Minor, OT John St. Clair, S Antuan Edwards, K Olindo Mare.

Miami is 0-6 but they still have a great defense. They will eventually collapse, but that will most likely be after they earn their first victory. The St. Louis offense is one of the best in the league - at home. On the road they have struggled because grass nullifies the speed of their receivers. Expect a vicious effort by the Dolphins defense, motivated by their awful record and the home crowd.

Ricky Williams' departure left the Dolphins without a running back. However, they may have found the successor to Williams. Sammy Morris registered 91 yards on 18 carries against Buffalo's stout defense. The Rams surrender a whopping 4.8 yards per carry, meaning Morris may eclipse the 100 yard plateau. That will take much needed pressure off Jay Fiedler.

The Dolphins' offense has given up as many touchdowns, four, as they have scored. If Fiedler can avoid silly turnovers, Miami could pull the upset - or come very close to beating St. Louis.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Zero Plus Factor: 0-6 teams or worse are 7-0 ATS vs. winning teams since 2000.
  • Zero Factor: 0-6 teams or worse are 13-2 ATS since 2000.
  • Rams are 8-1 ATS in October games since 2001.
  • Rams are 6-13 ATS in road games since 2001.
  • Rams are 5-9 ATS on grass since 2001.
  • Dolphins are 1-10 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 84 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Marc Bulger, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Sammy Morris, Rams Defense.
  • Sit Em: Steven Jackson, Jay Fiedler, Marty Booker.

Prediction: Rams by 3. (Dolphins +6). Double Money Pick. Under.




Titans (2-4) at Vikings (4-1). Line: Vikings by 6. Over-Under: 53.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Vikings by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Vikings by 6.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: TITANS: OUT: WR Tyrone Calico, TE Erron Kinney, G Zach Piller, LB Peter Sirmon, K Joe Nedney. QUESTIONABLE: RB Chris Brown*, WR Drew Bennett, G Benji Olson, DT Albert Haynesworth, LB Rocky Boiman, S Lance Schulters. VIKINGS: OUT: RB Onterrio Smith, TE Jim Kleinsasser, OT Mike Rosenthal, CB Ken Irvin. QUESTIONABLE: WR Randy Moss*, LB Chris Claiborne.

This is the first game covered in Look-Ahead Sunday, although this is the weakest scenario of a favorite looking past their opponents in anticipation of a game in week eight. After a Sunday night victory over New Orleans, there is a chance that Minnesota takes this game for granted and plans ahead for their tilt against the Giants next week.

Indications of a team looking ahead are lots of false starts and other foolish penalties, many drives that end prematurely and no sense of urgency from players. If Daunte Culpepper comes out with guns blazing like he has in every contest this season, the Vikings could score in the mid-40s. If David Carr can throw for 260 yards against Tennessee's disappointing defense, imagine what Culpepper can do. Culpepper is on pace to throw for 5,600 yards and 58 touchdowns, which would shatter NFL records. With the Titans' stop unit on their heels, look for another huge game from rookie running back Mewelde Moore, who has accumulated 369 total yards in the Vikings' previous two contests.

Minnesota may have one of the elite scoring units in pro football, but their defense is pathetic. The Vikings have allowed 25 points per game and can stop neither the run nor the pass. Chris Brown is questionable but is expected to play. Brown should be able to tally more than 100 rushing yards, assisting Steve McNair, who will not repeat his four-interception debacle. Minnesota's secondary surrenders 280 passing yards per game. The Titans will easily be able to keep up with Minnesota's offense.

The spread is currently wavering between 6 and seven. If you are considering the Vikings as a strong wager, keep in mind that they have not won by more than seven since their season opener against Dallas.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: VIKINGS: Next week - Giants.
  • Titans are 11-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records since 2001.
  • Titans are 7-2 ATS vs. AFC opponents since 2001.
  • Vikings are 5-10 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -7 (open) to Vikings -6.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Vikings by 4. (Titans +6). Under.




Lions (3-2) at Giants (4-1). Line: Giants by 7. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Giants by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Giants by 6.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, Brian Walker. DOUBTFUL: FB Cory Schlesinger, CB Andre Goodman. QUESTIONABLE: WR Roy Williams*, WR Az Hakim, OT Stockar McDougle. DE Robert Porcher, DT Dan Wilkinson, CB Fernando Bryant, S Brock Marion. GIANTS: OUT: WR Tim Carter, G Barry Stokes, G Rich Seubert, S Shaun Williams, S Omar Stoutmire.

"Who cares about the Lions? They stink. We play the Vikings next week." If the Giants players have that type of mentality, they will lose this game.

Tiki Barber is an MVP candidate this season because he has rushed for 577 yards, gained six yards per carry and has yet to fumble. However, Detroit has one of the top run defenses in the NFL; they yield just 3.6 yards per carry. Something has to give and when an elite rushing attack faces a prolific stop unit, the defense usually emerges as the victor. Kurt Warner will be placed in many long yardage situations, but the Lions can not defend the pass. Unlike his previous two campaigns, Warner has been very sharp this season, throwing for 1,125 yards, three touchdowns and only one interception. If the Giants aren't looking ahead, they will be able to light up the scoreboard.

New York's weakness on defense is stopping the run; they allow 4.9 yards per rush, but Detroit can not exploit their Achilles' Heel. The Lions' starting running back is rookie Kevin Jones, who gains only 3.2 yards per touch. Roy Williams is questionable, and if he is out again, Detroit has no chance of scoring any points, because the Giants give up only 200 passing yards per contest. Williams would give Steve Mariucci's team a chance.


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: GIANTS: Next week - Vikings.
  • Line Movement: Giants -6 (open) to Giants -6 to Giants -7.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 41.
  • Weather: Showers, 59 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tiki Barber, Jeremey Shockey, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Kevin Jones.

Prediction: Giants by 6. (Lions +7). Under.




Bills (1-4) at Ravens (3-2). Line: Ravens by 6. Over-Under: 31.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Ravens by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Ravens by 5.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: BILLS: OUT: C Trey Teague, CB Troy Vincent. QUESTIONABLE: RB Travis Henry, OT Jonas Jennings, S Lawyer Milloy. RAVENS: OUT: QB Anthony Wright, RB Jamal Lewis*, C Mike Flynn, LB Peter Boulware. DOUBTFUL: TE Todd Heap*.

Ray Lewis and the Ravens' defense have next week's tilt against Philadelphia circled. Revenge against Terrell Owens. Lost in all of this is that they must play a game this week against lowly Buffalo.

Travis Henry is questionable for this contest, but if he can't go, Willis McGahee has proven that he can carry the load. McGahee rushed for 111 yards on 26 carries against a very stout Miami defense Sunday. Baltimore surrenders just 3.5 yards per carry, but if McGahee can eclipse the century mark against the Dolphins, anything is possible. Drew Bledsoe will most likely be stuck in long yardage situations, which is never good against a defense like Baltimore's. The statue-esque Bledsoe will be sacked often.

Jamal Lewis is out with a two-game suspension. The unknown Chester Taylor will take his place. Taylor is capable of doing a good job against ordinary stop units, but the Bills allow just 3.6 yards per carry. Baltimore will not be able to rush the ball effectively, meaning Kyle Boller will be responsible for converting first downs. That will not happen.


The Trends. Edge: Bills.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: RAVENS: Next two games - Eagles, Browns.
  • Ravens are 7-3 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -5 (open) to Ravens -6.
  • Total Movement: 31 (open) to 31.
  • Weather: Showers, 68 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Offenses.

Prediction: Ravens by 3. (Bills +6). Money Pick. Under.




Eagles (5-0) at Browns (3-3). Line: Eagles by 7. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Eagles by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Eagles by 7.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, FB Jon Ritchie, G Shawn Andrews, DE Nduke Kalu. DOUBTFUL: DE Jerome McDougle. QUESTIONABLE: LB Marc Simoneau. BROWNS: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr., DE Courtney Brown, LB Ben Taylor. QUESTIONABLE: WR Andre Davis, OT Ross Verba, G Kelvin Garmon.

Much like the game against the Chicago Bears, this is a look-ahead situation for the Eagles, who will be playing the Ravens next week. Expect lots of penalties, some turnovers, plenty of David Akers field goals and a relatively low scoring contest.

Cleveland's defense remains a mystery; at home, they have allowed just 11 points and 177 passing yards per game. However, they have surrendered 26 points and 280 passing yards per contest on the road. If this home-away dichotomy stays consistent, the Pepto-Bismol Browns' secondary should keep Philadelphia's offense from scoring an overwhelming amount of points. No one in this league can cover Terrell Owens, which is why Donovan McNabb will have some success with his aerial attack, but if Philadelphia is looking ahead, as mentioned above, the Eagles will have trouble cracking 20 points on Sunday.

The Browns' two headed monster at running back produced 134 rushing yards and 100 receiving yards against the Bengals last Sunday. The Eagles yield five yards per carry, meaning William Green and Lee Suggs will have success moving the chains. Cleveland actually has a chance to win this contest if Jeff Garcia steps it up once again. Labeled a skittish quarterback by head coach Butch Davis, all Garcia did the following game was throw for 310 yards and four touchdowns. Philadelphia is much more sound defensively than Cincinnati; their defensive line and secondary will destroy any prospect of a successful passing game. It is safe to say that the Browns will find it hard pressed to register 34 points again.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: EAGLES: Next game - Ravens.
  • Eagles are 3-5 ATS vs. AFC opponents (24-9 ATS vs. NFC opponents) since 2001.
  • Browns are 3-0 ATS at home this season.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 62 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, L.J. Smith.
  • Sit Em: Brian Westbrook, Browns wide receivers.

Prediction: Eagles by 6. (Browns +7). Under.




Bears (1-4) at Buccaneers (1-5). Line: Buccaneers by 7. Over-Under: 32.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Buccaneers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Buccaneers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: BEARS: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, DE Adewale Ogunleye, CB Charles Tillman, S Mike Brown. DOUBTFUL: DT Alfonso Boone. QUESTIONABLE: G Rex Tucker, G Ruben Brown. BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Charlie Garner, WR Joey Galloway, WR Keenan McCardell (traded to San Diego), TE Rickey Dudley, G Kerry Jenkins, G Matt O'Dwyer. QUESTIONABLE: FB Greg Comella, WR Charles Lee.

Games between the Bears and the Buccaneers used to be fierce divisional matchups, prior to the 2002 season. Now, this is a contest between two one-win teams, which is just an afterthought in this week's slate of games.

Let's talk about Chicago's offense. Offense? They have an offense? Quarterback Jonathan Quinn threw for a whopping 65 yards against the Redskins last Sunday. The only threat that the Bears' scoring unit can muster is a mediocre running game. Thomas Jones managed 97 yards on 24 carries against Washington. Tampa Bay can be beaten with a powerful rushing attack, but not like this. No one-dimensional offense can possibly have success against the Bucs' stop unit.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -6 (open) to Buccaneers -7.
  • Total Movement: 33 (open) to 32 to 32.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 83 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brian Griese, Michael Clayton, Buccaneers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Bears Offense.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 16. (Buccaneers -7). Money Pick. Under.




Jaguars (4-2) at Colts (4-1). Line: Colts by 9. Over-Under: 46.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Colts by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Colts by 9.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: JAGUARS: OUT: OT Mike Pearson, DE Lionel Barnes, DE Paul Spicer, PR David Allen. QUESTIONABLE: G Vince Manuwai, TE George Wrighster, TE Kyle Brady, G Vince Manuwai. COLTS: OUT: CB Donald Strickland.

This is the first game this season that two teams will be meeting for the second time. In the previous matchup, Indianapolis won 24-17. Other than three drives, Jacksonville's defense was able to contain Peyton Manning, Edgerrin James and Marvin Harrison. After the game, the locker room was upbeat; the Jaguars believe they can defeat the Colts, and confidence is a very important thing in the NFL.

Holding Peyton Manning and his crew to 24 points is quite an accomplishment. Jacksonville's stop unit did a remarkable job against last year's Co-MVP, restricting the Colts to 340 yards of offense. The Jaguars are one of the best defensive teams in the NFL - they will force Indianapolis to punt frequently. Still, Indianapolis should be able to score in the mid-20s. Jacksonville is famous for running the ball with Fred Taylor and the Colts' rush defense surrenders 4.4 yards per carry. However, Byron Leftwich figures to be the focal point of the Jaguars' offense because he has recently improved his performance. Leftwich has thrown for 298 yards or more in his last three games, despite being unable to eclipse the 150 passing yard plateau in his first three contests. One of those 300 yard performances was against Indianapolis. The Jaguars' offense should be able to move the chains all afternoon.



The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • History: Colts have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Line Movement: Colts -9 (open) to Colts -9.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Byron Leftwich, Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, Colts Offense.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Jaguars by 3. (Jaguars +9). Money Pick. Upset Special. Over.




Falcons (5-1) at Chiefs (1-4). Line: Chiefs by 4. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Chiefs by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Chiefs by 4.

The Game. Edge: Falcons.
Injuries: FALCONS: OUT: DT Rod Coleman, S Keion Carpenter. DOUBTFUL: CB Aaron Beasley, S Cory Hall. QUESTIONABLE: WR Peerless Price, DL Travis Hall, NT Chad Lavalais, LB Chris Draft, LB Keith Brooking. CHIEFS: OUT: WR Marc Boerigter, LB Mike Maslowski. QUESTIONABLE: DT Ryan Sims.

Michael Vick was struggling for three quarters in last week's contest. In the final period, he wisely abandoned Jim Mora Jr.'s foolish West Coast offense and engineered a comeback over the Chargers. Don't be surprised if this becomes a recurring theme this season. As long as Vick is operating in Mora's offense, the Falcons will have problems scoring points, despite facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Kansas City can not defend the run; they allow 4.8 yards per carry, meaning the Falcons' improved rushing attack should be able to accumulate enough yardage to ease the pressure off of Vick. The Chiefs also are poor at defending the pass - if they are ahead in this contest, Vick will easily be able to facilitate a comeback.

The best run defense in the NFL does not belong to Baltimore, Miami or Jacksonville. It belongs to the Falcons, who yield just 3.1 yards per carry. Priest Holmes is unstoppable, but the Atlanta's stop unit should be able to slow him down enough to place Trent Green in many long yardage situations. Atlanta has already registered 20 sacks this season, including seven from Patrick Kerney. Atlanta's front seven will be breathing down Green's neck the entire game.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in October since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -3 (open) to Chiefs -4.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 44.
  • Weather: Sunny, 68 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Michael Vick, Alge Crumpler, Priest Holmes, Tony Gonzalez.
  • Sit Em: T.J. Duckett, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Falcons by 3. (Falcons +4). Over.




Jets (5-0) at Patriots (5-0). Line: Patriots by 6. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 4:05 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Patriots by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Patriots by 4.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: JETS: OUT: DT Josh Evans, LB Sam Cowart, CB Ray Mickens, CB Derrick Strait, S Rashad Washington. QUESTIONABLE: LB Sam Cowart. PATRIOTS: OUT: TE Ben Watson. DOUBTFUL: WR Deion Branch. QUESTIONABLE: WR Troy Brown, CB Tyrone Poole.

This is the first time that two undefeated teams have met in week seven or beyond since 1973 when the Minnesota Vikings defeated the Los Angeles Rams, 10-9. The Vikings went on to lose to Miami in the Super Bowl.

New England may have a renown defense, but they will not be able to contain the Jets' offense. Curtis Martin has gained 613 rushing yards this season, and the Patriots have surrendered mass yardage to Shaun Alexander, who gained 77 yards on just 16 carries, and Edgerrin James, who tallied 142 yards in the season opener. The Patriots will not be able to place eight men in the box because of Chad Pennington and his receiving corps. Pennington is the most accurate passer in the NFL and New England's secondary can be beaten, as witnessed Sunday when Matt Hasselbeck shredded their pass defense for 349 yards.

Much like the Jets' offense, the Patriots will not be stopped. New York's run defense allows only four yards per carry, but their secondary will not be able to contain Tom Brady and New England's prolific passing game. The Jets have young, talented but raw players on their defense, and a clutch, veteran quarterback like Brady will be able to exploit their inexperience.

These teams are even except for one important fact. The Patriots have won 20 games in a row and always find a way to win. However, New York and New England played two very close games last season. In their first meeting, the Patriots won, 23-16, but the Jets were without Pennington. In their second game, New England was victorious in a 21-16 contest. This meeting will be close as well, but the Patriots should claim their 21st consecutive victory.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • History: Patriots have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Patriots are 10-0 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -7 (open) to Patriots -6 to Patriots -6 to Patriots -6.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 43 to 44 to 43.
  • Weather: Showers, 59 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em:
  • Sit Em:

Prediction: Patriots by 4. (Jets +6). Over.




Seahawks (3-2) at Cardinals (1-4). Line: Seahawks by 7. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Seahawks by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Seahawks by 6.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: SEAHAWKS: OUT: DE Grant Wistrom, LB Anthony Simmons, LB Chad Brown, S Damien Robinson. QUESTIONABLE: WR Bobby Engram, WR Koren Robinson (possible suspension). CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, WR Anquan Boldin, DE Fred Wakefield, CB Duane Starks, S Dexter Jackson (released). QUESTIONABLE: WR Nathan Poole.

Arizona's home-away dichotomy can be described like Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. On the road, the Cardinals surrender 5.6 yards per carry, but at Sun Devil Stadium, the Cards become the friendly scientist, yielding just 3.8 yards per rush. This is no accident; a similar trend occurred last season. However, Seattle has too many offensive weapons for Arizona's defense to handle. Last year, the Seahawks traveled to Sun Devil Stadium and demolished the Cardinals, 38-0. Since they lost two consecutive games, expect a very focused Seattle squad, firing on all cylinders. Shaun Alexander will approach 100 rushing yards, but it will be Matt Hasselbeck who torches Arizona's battered secondary. If Tim Rattay is able to accumulate 417 passing yards, imagine what Hasselebeck can do. Keep in mind that he will have the services of Koren Robinson, who is appealing his suspension, and Jerry Rice, who was just acquired from the Raiders.

Emmitt Smith has gained 353 rushing yards this season, but will not reach 400 by the end of this contest. Seattle allows 4.2 yards per carry, but that statistic is inflated after facing multiple teams with stout rushing attacks, including New England, St. Louis and New Orleans. The Cardinals will not be able to run against the Seahawks defense. As for the secondary, Seattle is young in that department, but so are the Arizona wide receivers. On long yardage situations, Josh McCown will have difficulty converting because of the opposing pass rush, led by Chike Okeafor and his 4 sacks.


The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
  • History: Seahawks have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Mike Holmgren is 3-0 ATS on the road following a road loss since 2001.
  • Seahawks are 1-8 ATS in October games since 2001.
  • Cardinals are 7-3 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -6 (open) to Seahawks -7.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40.
  • Weather: Sunny, 80 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Seahawks Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Emmitt Smith, Cardinals Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 21. (Seahawks -7). Under.




Cowboys (2-3) at Packers (2-4). Line: Packers by 3. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Packers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Packers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: COWBOYS: OUT: RB Julius Jones, CB Pete Hunter, S Darren Woodson. PACKERS: OUT: C Mike Flanagan, DT Grady Jackson. QUESTIONABLE: DT Grady Jackson.

Where has all of the Lambeau Field mystique gone? The Packers are 0-3 at home this season, and have not played well in their landmark ever since Michael Vick exorcised all of the Lambeau ghosts in a 2002 playoff victory.

America is well aware of how poorly the Packers defense is capable of playing. Two weeks ago, Green Bay's stop unit was torched for 48 points. However, the defense bounced back against Detroit, giving up just 134 total yards. Much like the Lions' offense, Dallas' scoring unit is one-dimensional; Vinny Testaverde receives no assistance from a morbid rushing attack. Testaverde should be able to move the chains through the air because Keyshawn Johnson and Terry Glenn can not be covered by anyone in the Packers' secondary. However, Dallas may not score enough to keep pace with Green Bay's offense. The Cowboys have yet to eclipse 21 points in any contest this season.

Brett Favre is certainly one of the most famous and decorated players in the NFL, but the Packers' focal point on offense is running the ball with Ahman Green. Dallas surrenders 4.5 yards per carry this season, which means Green will easily surpass the 100 yard plateau. The Cowboys' defense will soften, allowing Favre to easily connect with his talented wide receivers. Dallas' secondary has been very disappointing this season and there is no way they can cover Javon Walker, Donald Driver, Robert Ferguson and Bubba Franks.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Cowboys are 9-2 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Packers -4 (open) to Packers -3.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 44.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 60 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Keyshawn Johnson, Terry Glenn, Jason Witten, Packers Offense.
  • Sit Em: Eddie George, Cowboys Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 11. (Packers -3). Over.




Saints (2-4) at Raiders (2-4). Line: Raiders by 3. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Raiders by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Raiders by 3.

The Game. Edge: Saints.
Injuries: SAINTS: OUT: DE Darren Howard, DE Willie Whitehead, CB Ashley Ambrose. QUESTIONABLE: RB Aaron Stecker, WR Donte' Stallworth, LB Derrick Rodgers. RAIDERS: OUT: QB Rich Gannon, G Mo Collins, S Derrick Gibson. DOUBTFUL: RB Tyrone Wheatley, G Ron Stone, LB Travian Smith. QUESTIONABLE: RB Justin Fargas, WR Ronald Curry, WR Doug Gabriel, OT Barry Sims.

Here is the weirdest stat you will ever see: In the last three years, the Raiders are 17-13 against winning teams, but are just 2-9 when playing a team with a losing record. Very odd. The wet season has hit the West Coast, which means there will be sloppy weather and the team with the superior rushing attack will probably win.

The Saints have the best running back in this contest, Deuce McAllister. The Raiders yielded 176 rushing yards to Reuben Droughns last Sunday. McAllister should approach that total, because Aaron Brooks and his gifted wide receivers will prevent Oakland from placing eight men in the box. If New Orleans does not commit a plethora of turnovers, which they are very capable of doing, they should be able to score at will.

Like the Raiders, the Saints can not stop the run; they give up 5.2 yards per carry, which is second-worst in the league. However, Oakland does not have a reliable rushing attack. Kerry Collins will be forced to throw often, especially if New Orleans gets out to an early lead. Collins has been responsible for 10 turnovers in three starts.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • Saints are 11-7 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Raiders are 3-7 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Raiders are 1-9 ATS in October games since 2001.
  • Raiders are 1-9 ATS vs. losing teams since 2001.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Showers, 65 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Aaron Brooks, Deuce McAllister, Joe Horn, Donte' Stallworth, Saints Defense.
  • Sit Em: Raiders Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Saints by 20. (Saints +3). Money Pick. Over.




Broncos (5-1) at Bengals (1-4). Line: Broncos by 7. Over-Under: 43.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 6 Games): Broncos by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 6 Games): Broncos by 3.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, TE Dwayne Carswell, DE Trevor Pryce. DOUBTFUL: CB Lenny Walls. QUESTIONABLE: CB Willie Middlebrooks. BENGALS: OUT: LB Nate Webster, CB Dennis Weathersby, P Kyle Richardson. DOUBTFUL: WR Peter Warrick. QUESTIONABLE: CB Lenny Walls, S Rogers Beckett.

It is amazing how Mike Shanahan is able to find all of these running backs. From Terrell Davis to Olandis Gary to Mike Anderson to Clinton Portis, the Broncos are always able to produce 1,000 yard rushers. Reuben Droughns appears to be next in line after two consecutive 175 yard contests. If Denver is focused for this game, Droughns could eclipse the 200 yard plateau because the Bengals surrender nearly five yards per carry. Whenver the Broncos are able to get the running game going, Jake Plummer and his play-action bootlegs become lethal.

Rudi Johnson is one of the best running backs in the NFL. He is a tough runner who often breaks tackles and has the speed to go the distance. Johnson was able to accumulate 123 rushing yards against a very stout Steelers run defense. Denver allows four yards per carry, which means that their stop unit is penetrable via the ground. An effective performance by Johnson will help a struggling Carson Palmer. However, Champ Bailey and John Lynch reside in the Broncos' secondary. Bailey will blanket Chad Johnson, one of the elite receivers in the NFL.

If all goes according to plan, the Broncos should win this contest. However, if they are caught looking ahead to next week's matchup against Michael Vick and the 5-1 Atlanta Falcons, Cincinnati could shock the world by pulling an upset on Monday night.

UPDATE: Game has been changed to a Money Pick 6 p.m., Monday.


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 14-16 ATS since 2003.
  • Sandwich Situation: BRONCOS: Last week - Raiders. Next week - Falcons.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -5 (open) to Broncos -6 to Broncos -7.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 44 to 43.
  • Weather: Clear, 53 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jake Plummer, Reuben Droughns, Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie, Rudi Johnson.
  • Sit Em: Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson.

Prediction: Broncos by 3. (Bengals +7). Money Pick. Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 2-2
Eagles: 4-1
Giants: 2-3
Redskins: 3-3

Bears: 2-3
Lions: 3-2
Packers: 3-3
Vikings: 1-4

Buccaneers: 1-3
Falcons: 3-3
Panthers: 5-0
Saints: 3-3

49ers: 3-3
Cardinals: 4-1
Rams: 1-4
Seahawks: 2-3

Bills: 4-1
Dolphins: 3-3
Jets: 4-1
Patriots: 2-2

Bengals: 5-0
Browns: 2-4
Ravens: 2-3
Steelers: 2-4

Colts: 2-2
Jaguars: 4-2
Texans: 3-3
Titans: 3-3

Broncos: 4-0
Chargers: 2-3
Chiefs: 2-3
Raiders: 4-2

Divisional Games: 16-16
Trend Edge: 8-15
Game Edge: 12-13
Game & Trend Edge: 2-2


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 2, 2014): 7-9 (-$1,150)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 3-3 (-$170)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 0-2 (-$880)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 2, 2014): 8-7-1 ($0)
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2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-1, 0% (-$330)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 23-24-1, 48.9% (-$1,060)
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2014 Season Over-Under: 18-13-1, 58.1% ($0)
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1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
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2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
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2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

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2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

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2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
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2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 1-1
Bears: 0-2
Bucs: 1-1
49ers: 1-1
Eagles: 0-2
Lions: 1-1
Falcons: 0-2
Cardinals: 1-1
Giants: 2-0
Packers: 1-1
Panthers: 0-2
Rams: 1-1
Redskins: 1-1
Vikings: 1-1
Saints: 1-1
Seahawks: 1-1
Bills: 1-1
Bengals: 0-2
Colts: 0-2
Broncos: 1-1
Dolphins: 2-0
Browns: 2-0
Jaguars: 0-2
Chargers: 0-2
Jets: 1-1
Ravens: 0-2
Texans: 2-0
Chiefs: 2-0
Patriots: 2-0
Steelers: 1-1
Titans: 1-1
Raiders: 2-0
Divisional: 4-4 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 0-2 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 3-2 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 6-2 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 2-3 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 2-1 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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