Cardinals (2-5) at Dolphins (1-7). Line: Dolphins by 3. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Dolphins by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Dolphins by 2.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Injuries: CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, FB James Hodgins, DE Fred Wakefield. QUESTIONABLE: RB Emmitt Smith*, LB Gerald Hayes, CB Renaldo Hill, KR Josh Scobey. DOLPHINS: OUT: RB Lamar Gordon, WR David Boston, DT Larry Chester, DT Tim Bowens, LB Junior Seau. QUESTIONABLE: K Olindo Mare, K Matt Bryant.

Emmitt Smith has surprisingly become the focal point of Arizona's offense. The one million-year-old running back has gained 523 rushing yards and has found his way into the endzone five times. However, Emmitt is questionable and if he cannot play, Troy Hambrick will start. Miami's defense in shambles; they surrender 4.6 yards per carry, and allowed Jets running backs Curtis Martin and LaMont Jordan to tally 230 rushing yards. After a pathetic performance like that on national television, expect a better effort from a suddenly underachieving defense.

Arizona has a very interesting home-road dichotomy. The Cardinals are 2-1 at Sun Devil Stadium this season, giving up just 17 points per game. Meanwhile, they have lost 17 consecutive contests away from home. They have allowed 69 points in their last two road games to San Francisco and Buffalo - two teams with very poor offenses. Sammy Morris will help the Dolphins move the chains because the Cardinals yield 4.7 yards per carry on the road. Jay Fiedler will use play-action fakes to complete passes to his talented corps of receivers. Fiedler is one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL, but he should be able to shred a secondary that allowed Tim Rattay to compile 417 yards.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 7-15 ATS since 2002.
  • Cardinals are 5-15 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Dolphins are 2-10 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Possible Showers, 81 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Anquan Boldin, Sammy Morris, Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael, Dolphins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Josh McCown, Emmitt Smith, Troy Hambrick, Cardinals Defense.

Prediction: Dolphins by 20. (Dolphins -3). Double Money Pick. Over.




Eagles (7-0) at Steelers (6-1). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Pick.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Steelers by 2.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, FB Jon Ritchie, G Shawn Andrews, DE Ndukwe Kalu, KR J.R. Reed. QUESTIONABLE: RB Brian Westbrook*, WR Todd Pinkston, OT John Runyan, G Jermane Mayberry. STEELERS: OUT: G Kendall Simmons, NT Casey Hampton, CB Chad Scott. PROBABLE: QB Tommy Maddox (Backup).

Who would have thought that a rookie would snap the NFL's longest winning streak? Ben Roethlisberger did just that, defeating the New England Patriots 34-20 on Sunday.

Roethlisberger may be receiving all the glory, but Duce Staley is the catalyst of an offense that has scored 30 points per game in October. Staley has already rushed for 707 yards this season. That total will may approach 900 by the time this game is over. Staley will slice through an Eagles defense that allows a whopping 4.7 yards per carry. Once Brian Dawkins and Michael Lewis cheat up to prevent Staley from bulldozing their front seven, Roethlisberger will burn the young Eagles corners with pin-point accurate passes to Hines Ward and Plaxico Burress, perhaps the best receiving duo in the NFL.

Brian Westbrook will play but his touches will be limited, meaning Philadelphia will once again lack a potent rushing attack. Without Westbrook, the Steelers can double-team Terrell Owens and blitz Donovan McNabb early and often. Defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau's "Blitzburgh Defense" will create havoc for an Eagles offensive line that may be without Jon Runyan and Jermane Mayberry. Philadelphia will put up more than 20 points because their scoring unit remains one of the best in the league, but without Westbrook, the Eagles will have problems keeping up with Pittsburgh's offense.

Sunday Morning Update: Duce Staley suffered an injury in practice Friday and is most likely out for this game. Brian Westbrook will play but will receive less than 20 touches.

Pick has been changed 11 a.m., Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Eagles are 7-2 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Steelers are 2-7 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Steelers are 2-6 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -1 (open) to Eagles -1 to Pick.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 44.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 55 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Steelers Offense, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens.
  • Sit Em: Brian Westbrook, Todd Pinkston, Eagles Defense.

Prediction: Eagles by 7. (Eagles PK). Over.




Chiefs (3-4) at Buccaneers (2-5). Line: Chiefs by 3. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Chiefs by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Chiefs by 3.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: CHIEFS: OUT: WR Marc Boerigter, LB Mike Maslowski, LB Monty Beisel. QUESTIONABLE: CB Dexter McCleon, RB/ST Derrick Blaylock. BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Charlie Garner, FB Mike Alstott, TE Ricky Dudley, G Kerry Jenkins, G Matt O'Dwyer, DE Ellis Wyms. QUESTIONABLE: QB Chris Simms, WR Charles Lee, WR Joey Galloway*.

Remember the Chiefs offense of 2003, which was capable of putting up 40 points on any given Sunday? They're back. In the past two weeks, Kansas City has scored 101 points. This has to be a sigh of relief for Dick Vermeil, who witnessed a very stoic offense score only 21 points per game in the first six weeks of the season. Tampa Bay's defense is still one of the better stop units in the NFL, but they are soft up the middle. They fold whenever their undersized defensive front engages a monstrous offensive line with a powerhouse running back. Priest Holmes will eclipse the 150 yard plateau and score multiple touchdowns in the process. Trent Green will feed off Holmes' huge gains by using play-action passes to connect with Tony Gonzalez and Johnnie Morton.

When Brian Griese took over as the Buccaneers' starting quarterback, his team actually started scoring points. With Griese at the helm, Tampa Bay is averaging 20 points per contest. Without Griese, they were scoring just 12.3. It also helps that Michael Pittman is back in the lineup and Michael Clayton has emerged as a true number-one receiver. However, the Bucs have not scored more than 21 points in a single contest this year. Assuming the Chiefs' offense doesn't slow down, how will Tampa Bay be able to keep up with Kansas City in a shoot-out? They won't.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -3 (open) to Chiefs -2 to Chiefs -3.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 44 to 44.
  • Weather: Chance of Showers, 80 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chiefs Offense, Michael Clayton.
  • Sit Em: Michael Pittman, Buccaneers Defense.

Prediction: Chiefs by 14. (Chiefs -3). Over.




Raiders (2-6) at Panthers (1-6). Line: Panthers by 7. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Panthers by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: RAIDERS: OUT: QB Rich Gannon, G Frank Middleton, G Mo Collins, S Derrick Gibson. DOUBTFUL: LB Travian Smith, CB Charles Woodson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Justin Fargas, TE Roland Williams, OT Robert Gallery, G Ron Stone, LB Danny Clark. PANTHERS: OUT: RB DeShaun Foster, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson, DT Kris Jenkins, DT Shane Burton, S Damien Richardson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Stephen Davis*, G Tutan Reyes, LB Dan Morgan, KR/PR Rod Smart.

I have been working on this Web site for five years and I have never seen a more absurd point spread. Seven? It does not make sense. The Panthers have averaged 11.6 points per game since their 28-17 victory against the Kansas City Chiefs in week two. Since then, Stephen Davis, DeShaun Foster and Steve Smith all suffered injuries, limiting Carolina's offense. How can they be seven point favorites when they might not even score seven points?

Stephen Davis is questionable, but probably will not play. The Panthers will not be able to run the football, meaning Jake Delhomme will be placed in many long yardage situations. Even the woeful Raiders defense, which has yielded more than 33 points per game since Rich Gannon's injury, can handle a pathetic one-dimensional Panther attack.

Injuries have not been limited to Carolina's offense. Kris Jenkins, a run-stuffing defensive tackle is out for the year. Consequently, the Panthers allow 4.8 yards per carry. Amos Zereoue and Tyrone Wheatley aren't the greatest running backs in the world, but they have proven that they can move the chains against poor stop units; Zereoue compiled 70 rushing yards against a horrible Saints' defense. Kerry Collins is prone to turnovers, but he is capable of taking care of the football when he has the support of an effective rushing attack.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 7-15 ATS since 2002.
  • Raiders are 7-13 ATS on the road since 2001.
  • Raiders are 1-10 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Panthers are 2-9 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Panthers are 1-7 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -6 (open) to Panthers -6 to Panthers -7.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 42 to 41.
  • Weather: Sunny, 63 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Muhsin Muhammad, Keary Colbert, Jerry Porter, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Jake Delhomme, Stephen Davis, Kerry Collins, Amos Zereoue, Tyrone Wheatley.

Prediction: Panthers by 4. (Raiders +7). Money Pick. Under.




Jets (6-1) at Bills (2-5). Line: Jets by 3. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Jets by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Jets by 3.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
Injuries: JETS: OUT: OT Brent Smith, DT Josh Evans, CB Ray Mickens. QUESTIONABLE: G Brandon Moore, LB Sam Cowart, CB Derrick Strait, S Rashad Washington BILLS: OUT: C Trey Trague. DOUBTFUL: WR Josh Reed. QUESTIONABLE: CB Troy Vincent.

The last time these two teams clashed, the Jets won in a tight contest, 16-14. New York had a few turnovers which may have led to more points. However, the fact remains that Buffalo has one of the elite stop units in the NFL. They limited Curtis Martin to just 77 rushing yards in week five. The Bills are ranked fifth in run defense, and without any injuries to their front seven, Martin will be held in check once again. Chad Pennington was able to shred Buffalo's secondary for 304 yards in their first meeting. Expect the same from one of the most accurate passers in the league, especially since the Bills will probably be without cornerback Troy Vincent.

Buffalo scored 38 points against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, after failing to eclipse the 20-point barrier all season. They were able to move the chains by establishing Willis McGahee, who rushed for 102 yards on 30 carries. The Jets, who yield 4.2 yards per carry, have a much better run defense than the Cardinals do. McGahee will accumulate a decent amount of yardage, but eventually, Drew Bledsoe will have to throw the football, which can only lead to disaster. Bledsoe has thrown seven interceptions and has been sacked 24 times this season. He will be feeling the heat from John Abraham, who already possesses 8.5 sacks.


The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • History: Jets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Showers, 47 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chad Pennington, Eric Moulds, Jets Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jets Receivers, Drew Bledsoe, Travis Henry.

Prediction: Jets by 6. (Jets -3). Under.




Cowboys (3-4) at Bengals (2-5). Line: Cowboys by 1. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Bengals by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Bengals by 3.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: COWBOYS: OUT: WR Terry Glenn, CB Pete Hunter. QUESTIONABLE: CB Tyrone Williams. BENGALS: OUT: WR Peter Warrick, LB Nate Webster, CB Dennis Weathersby, P Kyle Richardson. DOUBTFUL: DT Carl Powell. QUESTIONABLE: OT Willie Anderson. S Kim Herring.

This matchup is a year too late. Both of these teams were upstart squads with playoff aspirations in 2003. Now, they are barely alive on the respirator.

Dallas' offense isn't any good, but the Bengals' defense is overwhelmingly pathetic. They yield 4.8 yards per carry, permit quarterbacks to complete 63.2% of their passes and allow opponents to accumulate an average of 357 yards per game. It cannot get much worse than that. Eddie George will look like he stepped out of a time machine Sunday. George's effectiveness on the ground will help Vinny Testaverde shred Cincinnati's laughable secondary. No one on the Bengals can cover Keyshawn Johnson or Jason Witten.

Rudi Johnson will be able to bulldoze the Cowboys' defense. Dallas is surprisingly ranked 31st against the run, giving up a whopping five yards per carry. No one in Dallas' secondary can cover Chad Johnson, especially with Rudi ripping off more than five yards per touch. Does this sound familiar? Yep, both defenses stink.

Both teams are equal in futility, but the edge goes to Dallas because of coaching and trend advantages.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Bengals are 1-6 ATS this season.
  • Bengals are 6-12 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Bengals are 5-12 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Cowboys -1 (open) to Cowboys -1.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 44.
  • Weather: Showers, 57 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Cowboys by 3. (Cowboys -1). Under.




Redskins (2-5) at Lions (4-3). Line: Lions by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Lions by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Lions by 4.

The Game. Edge: Lions.
Injuries: REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen, LB LaVar Arrington, S Matt Bowen, K John Hall, KR Chad Morton. DOUBTFUL: LB Mike Barrow. QUESTIONABLE: OT Chris Samuels. LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Donte' Curry, LB Boss Bailey, S Brian Walker. QUESTIONABLE: FB Cory Schlesinger, WR Roy Williams*, WR Tai Streets, CB Fernando Bryant.

Washington's offense has not broken the 20-point barrier this season for a simple reason. If opposing defenses can contain Clinton Portis, the Redskins will not score. Expect another pathetic performance by the Skins' "non-scoring unit" because the Lions are ranked first in rush defense, allowing just 3.3 yards per carry. Portis will be restricted to minimal yardage, placing too much of a burden on Mark Brunell's shoulders.

Although he is listed questionable, expect Roy Williams in the lineup after a week off. Williams gives Joey Harrington a superb target to throw to downfield. With Williams in the lineup, opposing defenses double-team him, easing the pressure off the other Lions receivers and the running game. Washington has a solid defense, but they are missing the most important piece of their puzzle - LaVar Arrington. Detroit will move the chains enough to win and cover this game.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Lions -4 (open) to Lions -3.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 to 37.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Laveraneus Coles, Rod Gardner, Roy Williams, Lions Defense.
  • Sit Em: Mark Brunell, Clinton Portis, Kevin Jones, Redskins Defense.

Prediction: Lions by 10. (Lions -3). Under.




Saints (3-4) at Chargers (5-3). Line: Chargers by 6. Over-Under: 48.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Chargers by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Chargers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: SAINTS: OUT: DE Willie Whitehead. QUESTIONABLE: DE Darren Howard, CB Ashley Ambrose. CHARGERS: OUT: WR Reche Caldwell. DOUBTFUL: CB Drayton Florence. QUESTIONABLE: FB Lorenzo Neal, C Nick Hardwick, DE Adrian Dingle.

San Diego's run defense has been a huge surprise this season; they surrender just 3.5 yards per carry. Deuce McAllister, the focal point of New Orleans' offense, will not rush for more than 70 yards in this contest. That will place Aaron Brooks in multiple long-yardage situations and that is when the Saints' infamous turnover problem occurs. San Diego's secondary pathetically allows 250 passing yards per game, but opposing offenses only score 19.5 points per contest against them; the rush defense has been the catalyst for the Chargers' success.

The Chargers will establish LaDainian Tomlinson early and often. Tomlinson, one of the elite running backs in the NFL, will trample a Saints' stop unit that yields five yards per carry. That will assist Drew Brees, who might not even need the help because New Orleans' defensive backs allow more than 270 passing yards per contest. Brees, who is having a Pro Bowl caliber campaign, will shred a pathetic secondary en route to his sixth victory of the season.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Saints are 12-7 ATS on the road since 2001 (7-12 ATS at home).
  • Chargers are 6-2 ATS in November home games since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -6 (open) to Chargers -6.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 48 to 48.
  • Weather: Chance of Showers, 70 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Aaron Brooks, Joe Horn, Drew Brees, LaDainian Tomlinson, Keenan McCardell, Antonio Gates.
  • Sit Em: Deuce McAllister, Saints Defese.

Prediction: Chargers by 17. (Chargers -6). Over.




Seahawks (4-3) at 49ers (1-6). Line: Seahawks by 7. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Seahawks by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Seahawks by 5.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: SEAHAWKS: OUT: DE Grant Wistrom, S Damien Robinson, P Tom Rouen. DOUBTFUL: WR Darrell Jackson*, WR Bobby Engram, LB Anthony Simmons. QUESTIONABLE: RB Maurice Morris, WR Koren Robinson (possible suspension), WR Jerry Rice, OT Chris Terry, G Steve Hutchinson. 49ERS: OUT: C Jeremy Newberry, DE Brandon Whiting, LB Julian Peterson, CB Mike Rumph. DOUBTFUL: DE Andre Carter, CB Ahmed Plummer. QUESTIONABLE: QB Tim Rattay*, S Ronnie Heard.

Once upon a time, San Francisco could stop the run. Then, Julian Peterson, Mike Rumph, Andre Carter, Ahmed Plummer, Ronnie Heard and Brandon Whiting all suffered injuries. Their average yards per carry allowed has risen from 3.3 to 3.9. Their defense is a mess. Shaun Alexander will trample the 49ers' stop unit. Matt Hasselbeck will easily connect with his receivers against a secondary that will be missing its two starting corners - Plummer and Rumph.

How in the world will the 49ers move the chains against Seattle's defense? Kevan Barlow has been a non-factor this season, gaining just 3.6 yards per carry. The only hope that San Francisco has is the questionable return of Tim Rattay, who has done a nice job thus far. Rattay has completed 64.4% of his passes, and has thrown seven touchdowns and just three interceptions. Rattay gives the Niners a chance. If he cannot play, Ken Dorsey will once again be the 49ers' signal caller. Dorsey has only completed 53.9% of his passes and has thrown four interceptions, compared to zero touchdowns. The Seahawks have one of the better stop units in the NFL, so expect a minimal amount of points from San Francisco.

All signs point to Seattle. However, the Seahawks play the Rams next week and may not be focused enough to cover the touchdown spread.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: SEAHAWKS: Next week - Rams.
  • History: Seahawks have won the last 3 meetings.
  • 49ers are 7-3 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -5 (open) to Seahawks -7.
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 40 to 39 to 41.
  • Weather: Sunny, 68 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Eric Johnson, Seahawks Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Tim Rattay, Ken Dorsey, Kevan Barlow, Brandon Lloyd, Cedrick Wilson, 49ers Defense.

Prediction: 49ers by 3. (49ers +7). Money Pick. Upset Special. Under.




Bears (2-5) at Giants (5-2). Line: Giants by 9. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Giants by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Giants by 8.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: BEARS: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, CB Charles Tillman, S Mike Brown. QUESTIONABLE: RB Thomas Jones*, G Mike Gandy, DE Adewale Ogunleye. GIANTS: OUT: WR Tim Carter, G Barry Stokes, G Rich Seubert, S Shaun Williams, S Omar Stoutmire. QUESTIONABLE: C Shaun O'Hara, LB Barrett Green.

Craig Krenzel is 1-0 as a starter. He has one less victory than Carson Palmer and one more victory than Phillip Rivers, Eli Manning and J.P. Losman. Very strange. Krenzel may be undefeated, but the focal point of Chicago's offense will be their rushing attack. If Thomas Jones is unavailable, Anthony Thomas displayed that he is capable of carrying the load Sunday night. Jones will gouge the Giants' run defense, which surrenders 4.7 yards per carry. However, the Bears' offense is limited because of a lacking aerial attack. Krenzel has only completed 50% of his passes this season and has a quarterback rating of 54.8. It also hurts that Jones has more catches than any Chicago wide receiver.

Chicago's stop unit permits 4.3 yards per carry, but that statistic is skewed because Brian Urlacher was out for a huge portion of the season. The Bears limited the San Francisco 49ers to 2.7 yards per rush Sunday night. However, stopping Tiki Barber may be a daunting task. Barber, an MVP candidate thus far, averages 5.3 yards per run. The Giants' offense does not put up a lot of points on the scoreboard. Their 34-spot against the Minnesota Vikings was a result of three Daunte Culpepper turnovers. If Chicago can keep its turnover total down, they will keep this game close.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bears are 7-2 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Giants are 10-25 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 58 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tiki Barber, Amani Toomer, Jeremy Shockey, Giants Defense.
  • Sit Em: Craig Krenzel, Bears Wide Receivers and Defense.

Prediction: Giants by 7. (Bears +9). Over.




Patriots (6-1) at Rams (4-3). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 48.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Patriots by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Patriots by 3.

The Game. Edge: .
Injuries: PATRIOTS: OUT: TE Ben Watson, NT Dan Klecko, CB Ty Law. DOUBTFUL: WR Deion Branch. QUESTIONABLE: RB Corey Dillon*, OT Matt Light, OT Tom Ashworth, CB Tyrone Poole. RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, C Dave Wohlabaugh, S Zack Bronson. QUESTIONABLE: DT Jimmy Kennedy.

The Patriots have proven time and time again that they are resilitent. They will bounce back from their first loss since September of 2003, in a similar fashion to the way they rebounded from last season's loss to the Buffalo Bills in week one - they cremated the Philadelphia Eagles, 31-10.

** Game will be covered later in the week once Corey Dillon's status is clear. Saturday Note: Dillon remains a game-time decision. If Dillon plays, the Patriots will be able to run the football against a poor Rams' run defense, setting up play-action for Tom Brady. St. Louis will also be able to move the chains against New England, since the Patriots will be missing Ty Law and Tyrone Poole. However, the Rams' offense is unreliable; they are capable of moving down the field but create too many turnovers for themselves with sloppy play. If Dillon is available, the Patriots easily win this contest. If not, it is anyone's game.


The Trends. Edge: .
  • Line Movement: Patriots -2 (open) to Pick.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 48.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Double Road Alert: Bill Belichick is 3-1 ATS on the road following a road loss since 2001.
  • Start Em:
  • Sit Em:

Prediction: Patriots by 4. (Patriots PK). Over.




Texans (4-3) at Broncos (5-3). Line: Broncos by 6. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Broncos by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Broncos by 6.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: TEXANS: OUT: BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, RB Quentin Griffin, S John Lynch. DOUBTFUL: RB Tatum Bell, DE Trevor Pryce. QUESTIONABLE: RB Garrison Hearst.

In their third year of existence, the Houston Texans are breaking out of their cocoons and are now playoff contenders. David Carr and Andre Johnson have become a lethal tandem; Johnson already has accumulated 665 receiving yards. However, Johnson will be covered by perhaps the best cover-corner in the NFL, Champ Bailey. He might even be double-teamed after the Broncos' run defense shuts down Houston's rushing attack. Starting running back Domanick Davis has not lived up to his rookie campaign - he is only gaining 2.8 yards per carry. Denver is only mediocre against opposing rushers, but the Texans cannot run against anyone. The young Texans receivers will have problems getting open against a suffocating Denver secondary.

Mike Shanahan will get back to the basics after two consecutive losses to inferior opponents. That means running the ball with Reuben Droughns, who only received 15 carries Sunday. The Texans yield 4.7 yards per carry, meaning Droughns should be able to approach the 150 rushing yard plateau. This will set up play-action bootlegs for Jake Plummer, who will locate Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie and Darius Watts downfield.


The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 31-25 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001 (Mike Shanahan 2-0).
  • Texans are 7-2 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Broncos are 3-7 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Broncos are 2-7 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -5 (open) to Broncos -6 to Broncos -6.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 41 to 42 to 41.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 63 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: David Carr, Andre Johnson, Broncos Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Domanick Davis, Jonathan Wells, Texans Defense.

Prediction: Broncos by 14. (Broncos -6). Money Pick. Over.




Browns (3-4) at Ravens (4-3). Line: Ravens by 6. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Ravens by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Ravens by 6.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: BROWNS: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr., DE Courtney Brown, LB Ben Taylor. QUESTIONABLE: WR Andre King, LB Barry Gardner, CB Mike Lehan. RAVENS: OUT: QB Anthony Wright, TE Todd Heap*, OT Jonathan Ogden, LB Peter Boulware, CB Dale Carter. QUESTIONABLE: FB Ovie Mughelli.

There are some teams in this league with extreme home-road dichotomies. Cleveland fits that mold. They are 0-3 away from home, surrender 27 points per game (compared to 17 points per game at home), and have allowed two 100 yard rushers, despite yielding just 3.6 yards per carry throughout the entire season. Jamal Lewis was stymied by the Browns' run defense in a 20-3 loss to the Browns in the first week of the season. However, that game took place at Cleveland. Lewis should tally more than 100 rushing yards, permitting Kyle Boller to play-action to his receiving corps.

Baltimore will have revenge on their minds after losing to Cleveland in the first week of the season. The Ravens are ranked fourth against the run, which means Lee Suggs and William Green will be limited to minimal yardage. Jeff Garcia will be faced with a plethora of long-yardage situations against Ray Lewis and company. Good luck, Jeff.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • History: Ravens have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Ravens are 8-3 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Ravens are 7-1 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Ravens are 8-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 50 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jamal Lewis, Ravens Defense.
  • Sit Em: Browns Offense.

Prediction: Ravens by 13. (Ravens -6). Money Pick. Under.




Vikings (5-2) at Colts (4-3). Line: Colts by 7. Over-Under: 58.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Colts by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Colts by 4.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: VIKINGS: OUT: WR Randy Moss*, TE Jim Kleinsasser, OT Mike Rosenthal, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter. DOUBTFUL: LB Chris Claiborne. COLTS: OUT: CB Donald Strickland. QUESTIONABLE: CB Joseph Jefferson, S Cory Bird, S Michael Doss.

Randy Moss' hamstring injury is a huge factor in this game. He is listed as questionable, but he will probably need two more weeks to be at 100%. Minnesota's offense completely self-destructed without Moss last week. Daunte Culpepper committed three turnovers and the running game was limited to just 53 yards, due to Moss' absence, which pulled the safeties up to the line of scrimmage. If Moss plays, he will be hampered by his hamstring, allowing the Colts to focus on the running game and receivers Marcus Robinson and Nate Burleson. Even though the Colts have one of the worst stop units in the NFL, expect a better performance from them Monday night. If Indianapolis' defense has any pride, they will play as hard as they can, after allowing 45 points and 590 total yards to the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Vikings allowed 34 points to the New York Giants. Now, imagine what the Colts will be able to do against this pathetic defense. Whether it's by land or through air, Indianapolis will move the ball on Minnesota's stop unit with ease. The Colts will score more than 40 points if they need to. If Indy punts more than once, something has gone wrong.

Minnesota's annual meltdown has begun. It was a loss to the Giants that started the whole thing in 2003. It seems like history is repeating itself.


The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Vikings are 2-7 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Colts -6 (open) to Colts -7.
  • Total Movement: 59 (open) to 58.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Daunte Culpepper, Michael Bennett, Marcus Robinson, Colts Offense.
  • Sit Em: Randy Moss, Mewelde Moore, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Colts by 10. (Colts -6). Over.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 4-2
Eagles: 6-1
Giants: 3-4
Redskins: 4-3

Bears: 3-4
Lions: 5-2
Packers: 5-3
Vikings: 1-6

Buccaneers: 2-3
Falcons: 3-5
Panthers: 6-1
Saints: 4-3

49ers: 3-4
Cardinals: 5-2
Rams: 2-4
Seahawks: 2-5

Bills: 5-2
Dolphins: 5-3
Jets: 5-1
Patriots: 2-3

Bengals: 6-1
Browns: 3-4
Ravens: 3-4
Steelers: 2-5

Colts: 4-2
Jaguars: 6-2
Texans: 4-3
Titans: 3-5

Broncos: 5-1
Chargers: 4-3
Chiefs: 3-4
Raiders: 6-2

Divisional Games: 20-17
Trend Edge: 14-16
Game Edge: 17-19
Game & Trend Edge: 2-2


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
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2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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