Buccaneers (9-4) at Patriots (8-5). Line: Patriots by 4. Over-Under: 35.
Saturday, 1:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Patriots by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Patriots by 3.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: Buccaneers: OUT: QB Brian Griese. Patriots: OUT: C Dan Koppen, CB Randall Gay, CB Tyrone Poole, S Rodney Harrison. QUESTIONABLE: QB Tom Brady*, RB Heath Evans, FB Patrick Pass, TE Daniel Graham, OT Matt Light, OT Nick Kaczur, CB Artrell Hawkins.

Everyone on ESPN is saying that the Patriots are back. If beating up on two really bad teams -- Buffalo and the Jets -- means that you're a Super Bowl contender, most of the teams in the NFL would be on their way to Detroit.

However, New England's run defense has returned. A week after limiting Curtis Martin to 29 yards on 15 carries, the Patriots restricted Willis McGahee to just three yards on eight rushes. It doesn't get much better than that. New England will need to keep Cadillac Williams, who gained 112 yards against the stalwart Panthers, from breaking into the secondary. With Richard Seymour and Tedy Bruschi healthy, the Patriots should be able to do that, which will force Chris Simms into long-yardage situations. New England's secondary is still shaky to me, even though Ellis Hobbs, Troy Brown and James Sanders have been impressive recently. But remember, the Patriots played Brooks Bollinger on the road and J.P. Losman without Eric Moulds. Simms should be able to torch New England's secondary by connecting with Joey Galloway all afternoon. Three weeks ago, Trent Green threw for 323 yards against the Patriots.

Another positive aspect about the Patriots is the return of Corey Dillon, who looks healthy for the first time this season. Dillon registered 102 yards on 22 carries. However, he did that against the Bills, who are ranked 29th against the run. Tampa Bay is second. Dillon will not be able to dominate the running lanes like he did on Sunday. Despite the lack of a consistent ground attack, the Patriots should be able to move the chains. Tom Brady will complete short passes in an attempt to construct lengthy drives to keep his defense off the field.

If the Patriots win this game, I'll say that they are back. Considering that Tampa Bay is playing its third road game, which happens to be in frigid weather, the task will seem pretty easy.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • Third Road Alert: Teams in their third consecutive road game are 6-12 ATS since 2000.
  • Buccaneers are 5-13 ATS on the road after a win under Jon Gruden.
  • Patriots are 28-15 ATS at home under Bill Belichick.
  • Patriots are 11-2 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Patriots are 15-6 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Tom Brady is 65-19 as a starter (53-30 ATS).
  • Line Movement: Patriots -4 (open) to OFF (Brady) to Patriots -4 to Patriots -4.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny. 38 degrees. Mild wind, 15 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chris Simms, Joey Galloway, Tom Brady, Deion Branch, David Givens.
  • Sit Em: Corey Dillon, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Patriots by 7. (Patriots -4). Money Pick. Over.




Chiefs (8-5) at Giants (9-4). Line: Giants by 3. Over-Under: 45.
Saturday, 5:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Giants by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Giants by 3.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: Chiefs: OUT: RB Priest Holmes. QUESTIONABLE: S Jerome Woods. Giants: OUT: DT William Joseph, MLB Antonio Pierce, OLB Barrett Green, CB William Peterson. QUESTIONABLE: OT Luke Petitgout, OT Kareem McKenzie, DT William Joseph.

I don't know how CBS and FOX lucked out with their Saturday afternoon matchups. This game will be a thriller.

I wonder what the Chiefs are going to do on offense. How about running left with Larry Johnson behind Willie Roaf? The Chiefs are 5-2 with Roaf in the lineup. What's remarkable is that Johnson is the NFL's third-leading rusher, despite only starting six games. If the Giants' defense plays the way it did against the Eagles, Johnson could set an NFL record; New York surrendered 114 yards on just 11 carries to Ryan Moats. With Johnson stampeding through the Giants' front seven, which might be missing run-stuffing middle linebacker Antonio Pierce, Trent Green should be able to set the Giants' shaky secondary ablaze. Defensive ends Osi Umenyiora and Michael Strahan have combined for 24 sacks this season, but they will have trouble getting to Green, who is protected by the best offensive line in the league.

The Giants average nearly 30 points per game at home, so you know they will be able to hold their own in a shootout. However, they will have to do it without a running game; the Chiefs have not yielded a 100-yard rusher since September. Manning should be able to torch a Kansas City secondary that has surrendered 248 passing yards per contest this season. The Chiefs just don't have the personnel to cover Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Shockey, Amani Toomer and Tiki Barber out of the backfield. Manning should have all day to throw the ball; Kansas City has accumulated just two sacks per game.

These two teams are evenly matched, but this is a must-win for the Chiefs. If they lose, they're out. The Giants, on the other hand, can afford one loss.

Wednesday Night Injury Update: Middle linebacker Antonio Pierce will be out for Saturday's game. The Chiefs should be able to run all over the Giants.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Must-Win Situation: Chiefs need to win this game to stay in playoff contention.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 44-71 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; GIANTS won in overtime.
  • Giants are 6-2 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Clear, 32 degrees. Mild wind, 15 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Trent Green, Larry Johnson, Eddie Kennison, Tony Gonzalez, Giants Offense.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 3. (Chiefs +3). Saturday Double Money Pick. Over.




Broncos (10-3) at Bills (4-9). Line: Broncos by 8. Over-Under: 34.
Saturday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Broncos by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Broncos by 9.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: Broncos: OUT: OT Dwayne Carswell, CB Darrent Williams. Bills: OUT: DT Ron Edwards, OLB Takeo Spikes. QUESTIONABLE: OT Mike Williams. EXPECTED TO START: QB Kelly Holcomb*, WR Eric Moulds*.

How dumb are the Bills? I don't care if Eric Moulds wasn't listening to his head coach at halftime. The Eagles suspended Terrell Owens and they're 1-5 since doing so. You don't suspend your best player. It sends a negative message to the team that you don't care about winning. Buffalo's entire front office has to go.

The mismatch of the century: Denver's rushing attack versus Buffalo's 29th-ranked run defense. Whoever's in the backfield for the Broncos -- Tatum Bell, Mike Anderson, Ron Dayne, Hurley from "Lost" -- will be able to charge through Buffalo's weak defensive front. With the ground attack at full force, Jake Plummer will utilize his patented play-action bootlegs, chucking the ball downfield to Rod Smith and Ashley Lelie. Denver may not punt on Saturday night.

Another mismatch: Denver's defense versus Willis McGahee. The Broncos, ranked fifth against the run, will be able to put the clamps on McGahee, who gained just three yards on eight carries last week. J.P. Losman will be asked to convert obvious passing situations, which is not good news if you're a Bills fan. Losman is easily one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. It also doesn't help that his receiving corps will be thin; Moulds may not play because of the foolish suspension.

After watching their quarterback throw interception after interception, their best player get suspended, surrendering a 21-point lead at Miami and getting blown out by New England, it wouldn't surprise me if the Bills pack it in. All the numbers point to Buffalo, but I cannot take a team in disarray.

Wednesday Night Update: Kelly Holcomb will start for Buffalo on Sunday. I may change this pick on Friday.


The Trends. Edge: Bills.
  • Look-Ahead Situation: Broncos play divisional-rival Raiders and Chargers after this "easy" game.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-36 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Broncos are 2-8 ATS in outdoor night games since 2000.
  • Broncos are 23-34 ATS vs. opponents coming off a loss under Mike Shanahan.
  • Bills are 10-0 ATS after playing the New England Patriots since 1999.
  • Bills are 12-5 ATS at home after Oct. 1 when favored by less than 6 points since 2002.
  • Bills are 4-2 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -8 (open) to Broncos -9 to Broncos -8.
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 34 to 35 to 34 to 34.
  • Weather: Snow, 24 degrees. Mild wind, 19 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Broncos Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: J.P. Losman, Willis McGahee, Eric Moulds (possible suspension), Bills Defense.

Prediction: Broncos by 27. (Broncos -8). Under.




Cardinals (4-9) at Texans (1-12). Line: Cardinals by 2. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Cardinals by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Texans by 1.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Cardinals: OUT: FB James Hodgins, G Reggie Wells, DE Bert Berry, DE Calvin Pace, CB Antrel Rolle. Texans: OUT: OT Todd Wade, ILB Kailee Wong, CB Phillip Buchanon. QUESTIONABLE: S Marcus Coleman.

I wonder if owner Bob McNair wanted Reggie Bush so bad that he asked Kris Brown to miss the 31-yard, game-tying kick at the end of regulation. Hey, you never know.

But something we do know is that Arizona's offense is predicated on the pass because the team cannot run the ball. The offensive line just isn't good enough. Even though Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are extremely talented receivers and Kurt Warner throws for 300 yards every game, the Cardinals have trouble scoring because they cannot run the ball and Warner always gets sacked. However, the Cardinals should be able to reach the end zone on Sunday because the Texans have registered just 19 sacks this season. Maybe I should make another segment under Extra Points called "Uncle Charley Casserly's Defense."

Establishing Domanick Davis is the one hope the Texans have of winning their second game of the season. Davis rumbled for 139 yards last week against the Titans, which was just one week after he pounded Baltimore's stop unit for 155 yards. The Cardinals are ranked just 24th against the run. David Carr should be able to utilize play-action on occasion, hitting the poorly covered Andre Johnson downfield. That said, the Texans will have some stalled drives; the Cardinals have registered 28 sacks in 2005, while Houston has allowed a whopping 61. It's amazing that Carr isn't in a wheel chair.

You can see that the Texans want to win a game, but they just can't put it together. They should be able to against Arizona because they want it more. Even if you subscribe to the theory that Houston is intentionally trying to lose its remaining games, the team can still secure the No. 1 overall pick by losing to the 49ers on Jan. 1.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Cardinals are 2-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Texans are 17-8 ATS after two or more consecutive losses.
  • Line Movement: Cardinals -1 (open) to Cardinals -1 to Cardinals -2.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 42 to 42.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 57 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kurt Warner, Anquan Boldin, Larry Fitzgerald, Domanick Davis.
  • Sit Em: David Carr.

Prediction: Texans by 3. (Texans +1). Under.




Panthers (9-4) at Saints (3-10). Line: Panthers by 9. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
at Baton Rouge

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Panthers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Panthers by 7.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Panthers: OUT: DT Kris Jenkins. QUESTIONABLE: DE Mike Rucker, MLB Dan Morgan. Saints: OUT: RB Deuce McAllister, TE Ernie Conwell, OLB James Allen, S Jay Bellamy, KR Michael Lewis. EXPECTED TO START: QB Todd Bouman*.

They're kicked out of their own facility because of a women's volleyball tournament. They have to practice in the parking lot. They have a quarterback who is the polar opposite of Tom Brady. They are so bad, John Madden has to talk about his tie instead of the game. Ladies and gentlemen, the New Orleans Saints.

The Saints were impressive at stopping the run on Monday Night Football. They surrendered only 86 yards on 24 carries to Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett. But, New Orleans is ranked 28th against the run, so that could have been a fluke. The Panthers will establish the ground attack with DeShaun Foster, who is one week removed from gaining more than 100 rushing yards. Jake Delhomme will be able utilize play-action, throwing the ball downfield to Steve Smith, who should be able to get open most of the afternoon.

New Orleans was able to move the chains on the ground against Atlanta, but that won't happen against the Panthers, who are ranked first against the run. Aaron Brooks will be forced to convert obvious passing situations, which can only lead to incompletions and interceptions. Brooks will also be scrambling for his life early and often; the Saints have permitted 35 sacks this season, while the Panthers have accumulated just one less than that figure. Expect some intentional grounding penalties from Brooks.

The Saints are terrible. They should be able to hang with Carolina in the first half, but they are an exhausted team that will melt away after halftime.

Wednesday Night Update: Todd Bouman will start Sunday's game for the Saints.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • History: Road Team has won the last 4 meetings.
  • Revenge Situation: The Saints beat the Panthers last year to knock them out of the playoffs. The Saints also beat the Panthers in Week 1.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 52-29 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Saints are 13-22 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Saints are 5-11 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -7 (open) to Panthers -8 to Panthers -8 to Panthers -9 to Panthers -9.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 58 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Steve Smith, Panthers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Saints Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Panthers by 24. (Panthers -9). Under.




Jets (3-10) at Dolphins (6-7). Line: Dolphins by 9. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Dolphins by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Dolphins by 6.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Injuries: Jets: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, QB Jay Fiedler, RB Curtis Martin*, WR Wayne Chrebet, OT Jason Fabini, C Kevin Mawae, OLB Eric Barton. Dolphins: OUT: WR David Boston, OLB Junior Seau, CB Will Poole, S Tebucky Jones. QUESTIONABLE: C Seth McKinney, DT Keith Traylor.

This game is less intriguing than having an intelligent conversation with Brittany Spears, so let me talk about the weather. It's going to be 82 degrees in Miami on Sunday. How is that remotely fair? I'm sitting in my non-heated apartment in central Pennsylvania, where it is currently 10 degrees outside.

You have to hand it to the Jets. They keep playing hard despite being out of playoff contention. Even without Curtis Martin, they were able to defeat the Raiders last week, 26-10. Cedric Houston had an average performance on the ground, but don't expect that two weeks in a row. Miami is ranked seventh against the run and it just put the clamps on LaDainian Tomlinson, holding the Pro Bowl runner to just 75 yards on 21 carries. Brooks Bollinger will be asked to convert a plethora of third-and-longs. Bollinger is 0-3 on the road, throwing five interceptions and no touchdowns. In fact, New York has scored an average of three points when Bollinger has started away from the Meadowlands.

The Jets have had trouble stopping the run on the road -- Willis McGahee, Mike Anderson and Warrick Dunn have all eclipsed the 100-yard plateau -- which is not a good sign, considering that they will have to wrap up Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown. The two runners will combine for about 150 yards, setting up play-action opportunities for Gus Frerotte. It'll be interesting to see how well Ty Law can defend Chris Chambers, who has registered 23 catches, 359 yards and three touchdowns the previous two weeks.

This game follows the "Divisional Dog of Seven" rule, but I will have no part of Brooks Bollinger on the road.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • History: Jets have won 12 of the last 15 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 52-29 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Weak Arm: Brooks Bollinger is 0-3 ATS on the road this year.
  • Jets are 0-7 ATS on the road this year.
  • Jets are 6-16-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 25 instances.
  • Line Movement: Dolphins -7 (open) to Dolphins -7 to Dolphins -8 to Dolphins -8 to Dolphins -9.
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 81 degrees. Mild wind, 11 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ricky Williams, Ronnie Brown, Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael, Dolphins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jets Offense.

Prediction: Dolphins by 12. (Dolphins -9). Under.




Eagles (5-8) at Rams (5-8). Line: Rams by 3. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Rams by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Rams by 2.

The Game. Edge: .
Injuries: Eagles: OUT: QB Donovan McNabb, RB Brian Westbrook, RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Terrell Owens, WR Todd Pinkston, OT Tra Thomas, C Hank Fraley, DE Jerome McDougle, DT Paul Grasmanis, CB Lito Sheppard, P Dirk Johnson. Rams: OUT: QB Marc Bulger, CB Jerametrius Butler.

I should have expected the Eagles to show up against the Giants. They may have poor offense but their defense is still proud.

Well, maybe the Eagles' offense isn't so poor. Andy Reid may have found something in Ryan Moats, who tallied 114 rushing yards on only 11 carries against the Giants on Sunday. If Reid sticks with Moats, the Louisiana Tech alumnus should be able to pound the football against St. Louis' 31st-ranked run defense. With Moats ripping off five or six yards per carry, Mike McMahon should have all the time in the world to find L.J. Smith and Reggie Brown downfield.

So much for Ryan Fitzpatrick being the next Kurt Warner or Marc Bulger. Fitzpatrick threw five interceptions against the Vikings on Sunday. That number won't be so high against the Eagles, but Fitzpatrick should be good for about two or three picks; Philadelphia's 11th-ranked run defense will shut down Steven Jackson, forcing the quarterback to throw in unfavorable situations. Fitzpatrick will also continue to be acquainted with the turf at the Edward Jones Dome -- the Rams have allowed a whopping 43 sacks this year.

Philadelphia is a proud team that will continue to hunt for victories. St. Louis is a terrible team that has given up on its coach. Makes you wonder why the Rams are favored.

Friday Night Update: I have made this a Money Pick. I think the Eagles veterans -- Brian Dawkins, Jeremiah Trotter and Jevon Kearse -- have more pride than the Rams do.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Eagles are 32-17 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 15-7 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Rams -3 (open) to Rams -3.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 44 to 42 to 43.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: L.J. Smith, Eagles Defense.
  • Sit Em: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Steven Jackson, Rams Defense.

Prediction: Eagles by 10. (Eagles +3). Money Pick. Under.




Steelers (8-5) at Vikings (8-5). Line: Steelers by 3. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Vikings by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Vikings by 2.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: Steelers: QUESTIONABLE: OT Marvel Smith, CB Deshea Townsend. Vikings: OUT: QB Daunte Culpepper, RB Moe Williams, RB Onterrio Smith, C Matt Birk, DE Kenechi Udeze, CB Fred Smoot. QUESTIONABLE: DT Kevin Williams, P Chris Kluwe.

At the beginning of November, who would have thought that the Vikings and the Steelers would be playing for their postseason lives? Minnesota was 2-5 and looked like it was a lock to get Reggie Bush. Pittsburgh was 7-2 and appeared as though it would be cruising toward a first-round bye.

Pittsburgh went back to its roots on Sunday and it really paid off. The team gave Jerome Bettis, Willie Parker and Verron Haynes 42 carries, and the three runners gained 177 yards in the process. Keep in mind that this was against the Bears, who were ranked 10th against the run coming into last week's contest. Now, the Steelers will once again have to pound the ball against the Vikings, who have not given up a 100-yard rusher since Oct. 2. That's no fluke; Minnesota has shut down the likes of Thomas Jones, Samkon Gado, Kevin Jones, Reuben Droughns, Tiki Barber, Stephen Davis and DeShaun Foster. The reason for the Vikings' stalwart run-stopping ability? Look no further than defensive tackle Pat Williams. However, Minnesota has yet to face a team as physical as Pittsburgh. The Steelers should be able to move the chains on the ground, setting up play-action opportunities for Ben Roethlisberger. One thing that Roethlisberger will be concerned about is crowd noise. Left tackle Marvel Smith had trouble with that when the team played in Indianapolis.

The Vikings are 6-0 with Brad Johnson at the helm because he makes all the safe throws. Well, they will need more out of him against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is third against the run, meaning Mewelde Moore and Michael Bennett will often be stuffed in the backfield. Johnson will be asked to convert third-and-long situations, which isn't exactly his specialty.

The outcome of this contest is dependent on one thing, and one thing only: If the Vikings stop the run, they will win. If not, they will lose.


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • Vikings are 4-1 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -3 (open) to Steelers -3.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 41 to 41 to 41 to 40.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jerome Bettis, Willie Parker, Hines Ward, Heath Miller.
  • Sit Em: Michael Bennett, Mewelde Moore.

Prediction: Steelers by 9. (Steelers -3). Money Pick. Under.




Chargers (8-5) at Colts (13-0). Line: Colts by 7. Over-Under: 51.
Sunday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Colts by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Colts by 9.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: Chargers: QUESTIONABLE: OT Roman Oben, S Bhawoh Jue. Colts: OUT: CB Donald Strickland. QUESTIONABLE: DT Corey Simon, OLB Cato June.

How can you not be disgusted if you're a Chargers fan? Your team just threw away its season because it was caught looking ahead against the Dolphins. Way to go, Marty Schottenheimer.

These two teams met last year with the Colts winning, 34-31. But, the Chargers were actually ahead, 31-16, at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Drew Brees was able to torch Indianapolis' secondary for 290 yards and three touchdowns. The Colts just couldn't defend Eric Parker, Antonio Gates or LaDainian Tomlinson coming out of the backfield. Even though the Colts' stop unit has improved tremendously, I still can't have confidence in a defense that yielded 335 passing yards to Carson Palmer four weeks ago. Brees will once again attack an Indianapolis secondary that will have to keep its eye on Tomlinson. The Chargers should be able to score in the 30s.

San Diego's defensive backfield was exposed last week when Chris Chambers caught eight passes for 121 yards and two scores. The Chargers may be good against the run -- they are ranked fourth in that department -- but how are they supposed to contain Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, Brandon Stokley and Dallas Clark when they can't even stop a Gus Frerotte to Chambers combination? The Colts will also score in the 30s and may even reach the low 40s.

This is a must-win for the Chargers, so they should be able to keep it close. If San Diego loses, it will not be participating in the playoffs come January. I think the Chargers should be able to maintain a lead going into the fourth quarter, but Marty Ball almost ensures a close defeat.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • Must-Win Situation: Chargers need to win this game to stay in playoff contention.
  • Line Movement: Colts -8 (open) to Colts -7.
  • Total Movement: 51 (open) to 51.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Colts by 3. (Chargers +7). Money Pick. Over.




Seahawks (11-2) at Titans (4-9). Line: Seahawks by 7. Over-Under: 45.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Seahawks by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Seahawks by 10.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: OLB Jamie Sharper, CB Kelly Herndon, S Ken Hamlin. QUESTIONABLE: OLB D.D. Lewis. EXPECTED TO START: WR Darrell Jackson*. Titans: OUT: WR Brandon Jones, S Vincent Fuller. QUESTIONABLE: RB Travis Henry, TE Ben Troupe.

The Seahawks have two choices: They can show up to this game, destroy the Titans and claim their 12th victory, which means nothing because they have the NFC wrapped up. Or, they can put forth no effort in this matchup, win by three and move on unharmed. I think a lot of teams would like to be in Seattle's shoes right now.

The Titans are ranked 26th against opposing ground attacks, and they just surrendered 139 yards to Domanick Davis last week. I wonder how many yards Shaun Alexander will accumulate on Sunday. 200? 300? 45,501? Matt Hasselbeck might not even have to throw in this contest, but if he does, he will easily torch a cornerbacking corps that features Pac Man "not Mrs. Pac Man" Jones, Andre "not Vince" Woolfolk, Tony "not David" Beckham and Renaldo "not Lauryn" Hill.

One of the reasons why the Seahawks are legitimate Super Bowl contenders is their ability to stop the run. They are ranked eighth against it, so Chris Brown will not be gaining more than 50 yards on Sunday. Steve McNair, who will find himself in a plethora of long-yardage situations, will have to avoid a relentless Seahawks pass rush that leads the league in sacks with 45.

How focused and prepared will the Seahawks be for this matchup? Seattle battles Indianapolis next week, and the team has no reason to win this game. I would play the Titans in the first half, but I'd stay away otherwise.

Wednesday Injury Update: Wide receiver Darrell Jackson will start for Seattle.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Look-Ahead Situation: Seahawks play the Colts after this "easy" game.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -7 (open) to Seahawks -7.
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 45 to 45.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 45 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Bobby Engram, Joe JUrevicius, Seahawks Defense.
  • Sit Em: Titans Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 6. (Titans +7). Under.




49ers (2-11) at Jaguars (9-4). Line: Jaguars by 16. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Jaguars by 13.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Jaguars by 14.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: 49ers: OUT: TE Eric Johnson, C Jeremy Newberry, DT Bryant Young, CB Mike Rumph, S Tony Parrish. QUESTIONABLE: FB Fred Beasley, DE Bryant Young, CB Ahmed Plummer. Jaguars: OUT: QB Byron Leftwich, C Brad Meester, S Donovin Darius.

If you ran an NFL organization and had to choose between Alex Smith and David Garrard to be your quarterback the next ten years, who would you pick? I'd take Garrard in a split second. The 49ers should have waited for Matt Leinart.

Smith has started two games on the road this year. He has posted the following numbers: 17-of-38 passing, 169 yards. Zero touchdowns, two interceptions and six fumbles. Six fumbles! The 49ers obviously lost both contests, 52-7 and 41-3. They can't run the ball. They can't throw the ball. They can't even have three-and-outs because Smith turns it over so much.

I talked about San Francisco's inability to play defense on the road last week. Three weeks ago, the team yielded 343 passing yards to Steve McNair. A month ago, the 49ers allowed Bears running backs Adrian Peterson and Cedric Benson to accumulate 170 yards on 36 carries. Matt Hasselbeck threw four touchdown passes on Sunday. The Jaguars will relentlessly pound the ball against the 49ers, setting up play-action passes for Garrard.

If you bet against the 49ers on the road this year, you would be 5-1. Not bad. I'll take those odds.


The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-36 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 14-25 ATS since 2002.
  • Weak Arms: 49ers QBs are 1-5 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: Jaguars -14 (open) to Jaguars -15 to Jaguars -15 to Jaguars -16.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 to 37 to 37.
  • Weather: Rain, 61 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: David Garrard, Jimmy Smith, Jaguars Defense.
  • Sit Em: Alex Smith, 49ers Running Backs and Defense.

Prediction: Jaguars by 31. (Jaguars -16). Money Pick. Under.




Bengals (10-3) at Lions (4-9). Line: Bengals by 8. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Bengals by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Bengals by 7.

The Game. Edge: Bengals.
Injuries: Bengals: OUT: C Larry Moore, S Madieu Williams, S Kim Herring. Lions: OUT: CB Fernando Bryant.

Lions fans plan to wear orange at Sunday's game in protest of Matt Millen and his restriction on negative signs and banners. Millen seems like some evil captain who is doing his best to avoid mutiny. It's not going to work, Matt. Just resign and save any dignity you have left.

Detroit was among the league leaders in run defense in September. Not anymore. The team is ranked 25th in that department and coming off an embarrassing performance in which they surrendered 171 yards to Samkon Gado. The Lions, who look like they have given up on their season, quarterback, coaching staff and team president, will have a tough time stopping Rudi Johnson. Carson Palmer will take advantage of his effective ground attack by utilizing play-action to Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. No one in Detroit's secondary can cover them.

I criticized the Bengals' inability to stop the run earlier this season, but it looks like they are coming around. In fact, they have permitted less than four yards per carry to Pittsburgh and Cleveland the previous two weeks. Kevin Jones will be put into that category, meaning Jeff Garcia will be asked to convert unfavorable third-and-longs. The Bengals picked off all of the NFC North quarterbacks -- Daunte Culpepper, Kyle Orton and Brett Favre -- five times each this season. Will Garcia join that exclusive club? I wouldn't bet against it.

The Bengals came out flat against Cleveland because they were coming off a huge victory against Pittsburgh. With only Buffalo on the horizon, Cincinnati will be focused on Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 44-71 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; BENGALS kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired.
  • Lions are 5-11 ATS vs. AFC opponents since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Bengals -7 (open) to Bengals -7 to Bengals -7 to Bengals -8 to Bengals -8.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 44 to 43 to 44.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Bengals Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jeff Garcia, Kevin Jones, Lions Defense.

Prediction: Bengals by 17. (Bengals -8). Under.




Browns (4-9) at Raiders (4-9). Line: Raiders by 3. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Raiders by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Raiders by 2.

The Game. Edge: Browns.
Injuries: Browns: OUT: WR Braylon Edwards, TE Kellen Winslow Jr., CB Gary Baxter. Raiders: OUT: WR Ronald Curry, G Langston Walker, DT Warren Sapp, CB Charles Woodson, S Derrick Gibson, S Reggie Tongue.

The Raiders are done. Finished. They just don't care anymore and they don't respect Norv Turner.

Cedric Houston and B.J. Askew trampled through the Raiders' defensive front last week for 128 yards on 37 carries. Reuben Droughns, Cleveland's first 1,000-yard back since Earnest Byner and Kevin Mack, will have no trouble finding open running lanes against a stop unit that has given up. Droughns could eclipse the 150-yard plateau, making life easier for Charlie Frye, who was extremely impressive last week. Frye scored two touchdowns against Cincinnati's defense, commanding his team to 20 points. The Akron alumnus should be able to torch a Raiders secondary that is missing Charles Woodson, Derrick Gibson and Reggie Tongue.

The Browns are not good against the run by any means -- they yielded 169 yards to Rudi Johnson last week -- but the Raiders can't run the ball against anyone because they just don't care anymore. If Kerry Collins starts, he will throw a few interceptions; Randy Moss seems to have lost interest. As the Vikings know, if that happens, your season is over.

The Browns are playing hard for Romeo Crennel. The Raiders are already scheduling vacation spots for the winter. Seems too easy.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Raiders are 5-14 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 40.
  • Weather: Rain, 57 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Reuben Droughns, Antonio Bryant, Browns Defense.
  • Sit Em: Raiders Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Browns by 13. (Browns +3). Double Money Pick. Under.




Cowboys (8-5) at Redskins (7-6). Line: Redskins by 2. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Redskins by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Redskins by 1.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
Injuries: Cowboys: OUT: OT Flozell Adams, ILB Dat Nguyen. Redskins: OUT: WR David Patten, DT Brandon Noble.

Remember the last time these two teams met? The Cowboys had a comfortable 13-3 lead with four minutes left in the game. Washington scored two touchdowns in 1:11, stealing the contest away, 14-13. Don't think that Bill Parcells isn't reminding his team of its September collapse.

The Redskins still have one of the best defenses in the NFL, so points will be hard to come by for Dallas. Julius Jones and Marion Barber III have had trouble finding opening running lanes all season, as the two backs have respectively combined for 3.5 and 4.1 yards per carry. Drew Bledsoe will find himself in unfavorable third-and-longs throughout the course of the game. However, there are two things in Dallas' favor: Washington registers less than two sacks per game, meaning Rob Petitti and Torrin Tucker won't have significant problems blocking on Sunday. Also, Terry Glenn accumulated 157 yards the last time these two teams clashed.

At the beginning of the year, Mark Brunell was masterful at converting third downs. So, what happened? Brunell has reverted to his 2004 form the previous two weeks, as he was 32-of-49 for 278, one touchdown, three interceptions and four fumbles against the lowly Rams and Cardinals. Clinton Portis was held to 52 yards in the Sept. 19 meeting, meaning the struggling Brunell will be asked to win this game by himself. That won't happen against the sack-happy Cowboys.

The Redskins charade is about to conclude. They aren't any good, and they will be exposed by the superior Cowboys.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • History: Cowboys have won 13 of the last 15 meetings.
  • Redskins are 0-9 ATS after a road win since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Redskins -3 (open) to Redskins -2.
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 34 degrees. Light wind, 6 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Terry Glenn, Keyshawn Johnson, Jason Witten, Cowboys Defense.
  • Sit Em: Julius Jones, Marion Barber III, Mark Brunell.

Prediction: Cowboys by 6. (Cowboys +2). Bonus Double Money Pick. Under.




Falcons (8-5) at Bears (9-4). Line: Bears by 3. Over-Under: 31.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Bears by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Bears by 2.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
Injuries: Falcons: OUT: MLB Edgerton Hartwell, CB Chris Cash, CB Kevin Mathis. QUESTIONABLE: QB Michael Vick*. Bears: OUT: RB Cedric Benson, WR Mark Bradley.

There is a line on the game even though Michael Vick is questionable. I guess no one in Vegas has much respect for Vick. That, or they realize Matt Schaub is a better quarterback for the Falcons than Vick is. And, I'd have to agree with them.

Assuming Vick plays, the hype leading into this game will be Vick versus Brian Urlacher. The two met just once with the latter prevailing, 14-13, in 2002. As I've mentioned before, it takes a stout right defensive end to keep the clamps on Vick because he likes to run and bootleg to his left. The right end on the Bears is Alex Brown, who is worthy of a spot in the Pro Bowl. Chicago will also have Urlacher to spy Vick, so don't expect the electrifying quarterback to spark his team with many long runs. The Falcons will attempt to establish their dominant running game against the Bears, who were pitiful against the Steelers. However, Chicago was ranked 10th against the run going into last week's contest, so Lovie Smith will make sure his defenders actually wrap up the opposing running back on Sunday night.

If you watched the boring Monday Night Football game between the Falcons and the Saints, you're well aware that the middle of Atlanta's defense is soft; Antowain Smith and Aaron Stecker gained 95 yards on just 18 carries. Thomas Jones received just 14 carries against Pittsburgh, so expect the Bears to reestablish Jones on the ground against Atlanta. Kyle Orton will occasionally capitalize on Jones' frequent bursts by hitting Muhsin Muhammad downfield.

Pittsburgh bullied Chicago around last week. Now, it's time for the Bears to physically punish their opponent. The Falcons are too soft a team to compete with Chicago, especially in the frigid and windy environment of Soldier Field.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • Post Monday Night Momentum: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 9-4 ATS the following week this year.
  • Line Movement: Bears -3 (open) to Bears -3.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Snow, 9 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Alge Crumpler, Thomas Jones, Muhsin Muhammad, Bears Defense.
  • Sit Em: Michael Vick, T.J. Duckett.

Prediction: Bears by 7. (Bears -3). Under.




Packers (3-10) at Ravens (4-9). Line: Ravens by 3. Over-Under: 33.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 14 Games): Ravens by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 14 Games): Ravens by 3.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: Packers: OUT: RB Ahman Green, RB Najeh Davenport, WR Javon Walker, S Earl Little, KR Terrence Murphy. Ravens: OUT: MLB Ray Lewis, S Will Demps.

If you thought John Madden talking about his tie during the Falcons-Saints game was bad, you haven't seen anything yet. Madden should just take a tub of mustard and intentionally spill it over his shirt. This game's going to be that boring.

The Packers were able to beat the Lions last week for two reasons: Detroit stinks and Green Bay was able to move the chains with Samkon Gado running effectively. That said, the Packers will not have that kind of luck in front of a national audience. A proud Ravens defense, ranked ninth against the run, limited Tatum Bell, Mike Anderson and Ron Dayne to 91 yards on 28 carries last week. Gado will not match the 171 yards he garnered against the Lions, meaning Brett Favre will have to beat Baltimore without a consistent ground attack. In years past, Favre might have been able to accomplish that feat. However, Favre has no weapons on offense, with the exception of Donald Driver. Favre also leads the NFL with 22 interceptions.

Grady Jackson inhabits the middle of Green Bay's defense, which means it's very difficult to run the football against the Packers between the tackles. But, something that the Lions failed to realize is that you can run outside. Chester Taylor, who is now getting all of the carries for the Ravens, will be able to gain about 100 yards, setting up play-action for Kyle Boller, who has actually been decent at home. He is 2-0 in Baltimore since returning from his injury.

This could be Favre's final appearance on Monday night. If it is, we all have to congratulate him on an incredible and unforgettable NFL career.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 44-71 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; PACKERS won in overtime.
  • Brett Favre is 14-8 ATS as an underdog since 2002.
  • Brett Favre is 17-11 on Monday Night.
  • Ravens are 32-8 SU; 27-13 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2000 (19-33 SU vs. non-losing).
  • Line Movement: Ravens -3 (open) to Ravens -3.
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 33.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 31 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brett Favre, Donald Driver, Chester Taylor, Todd Heap, Ravens Defense.
  • Sit Em: Samkon Gado.

Prediction: Ravens by 6. (Ravens -3). Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 3-8
Eagles: 6-7
Giants: 7-5
Redskins: 6-6

Bears: 7-5
Lions: 7-5
Packers: 7-6
Vikings: 8-5

Buccaneers: 8-5
Falcons: 7-6
Panthers: 8-3
Saints: 7-5

49ers: 4-9
Cardinals: 4-8
Rams: 6-7
Seahawks: 7-6

Bills: 5-7
Dolphins: 5-8
Jets: 8-5
Patriots: 6-7

Bengals: 9-4
Browns: 8-5
Ravens: 6-7
Steelers: 5-8

Colts: 8-5
Jaguars: 5-8
Texans: 7-6
Titans: 9-4

Broncos: 4-8
Chargers: 6-6
Chiefs: 6-5
Raiders: 10-2

Divisional Games: 39-32
Trend Edge: 27-37
Game Edge: 30-28
Game & Trend Edge: 4-6


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1 Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 15, 2014): 6-9-1 (-$1,380)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 1-2 (-$360)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 0-1 (-$440)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 15, 2014): 10-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 15, 2014): $0

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40% (-$580)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 115-118-7, 49.4% (-$2,655)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 40-38, 51.3% (+$70)
2014 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 9-13-1, 40.9% (-$1,620)
2014 Season Over-Under: 123-98-2, 55.7% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,140

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,129-1,962-117, 52.0% (+$9,760)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 684-621-31 (52.4%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 285-247-11 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1,664-1,635-48 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-18 (62.5%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-9
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-6
49ers: 6-7
Eagles: 9-5
Lions: 5-8
Falcons: 6-8
Cardinals: 7-7
Giants: 4-10
Packers: 9-4
Panthers: 5-9
Rams: 6-8
Redskins: 8-6
Vikings: 11-3
Saints: 5-8
Seahawks: 7-7
Bills: 6-8
Bengals: 5-10
Colts: 6-7
Broncos: 7-7
Dolphins: 9-4
Browns: 7-5
Jaguars: 8-6
Chargers: 5-9
Jets: 7-7
Ravens: 6-8
Texans: 6-7
Chiefs: 8-5
Patriots: 7-7
Steelers: 7-7
Titans: 6-6
Raiders: 5-9
Divisional: 31-37 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 11-16 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 23-21 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 39-39 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 29-15 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 13-11 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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