Note: Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers. Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money. Records of respective coaches are displayed under "The Trends."




Panthers (3-0) at Steelers (0-3). Line: Panthers by 3.
Thursday, Aug. 31, 7:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

Under normal circumstances, I'd pick the Panthers to win this game because of John Fox's success in the preseason. However, Bill Cowher, whose team is 0-3, may want to win this game to avoid a winless exhibition campaign. And remember, the Steelers actually beat Carolina in the preseason last year.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • John Fox is 14-5 in preseason games.
  • John Fox is 3-1 in Preseason Week 4.
  • Bill Cowher is 28-30 in preseason games.
  • Opening Line: Panthers -1.
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Steelers 20, Panthers 17 (Steelers +3).
Correct: Panthers 15, Steelers 13.




Patriots (2-1) vs. Giants (3-0). Line: Giants by 3.
Thursday, Aug. 31, 8:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

The Patriots are coming off two blowout victories, but I don't expect this to be a third. New England has lost its previous two Week 4 preseason contests by a combined score of 58-3. Tom Coughlin, who also has a knack for winning during the exhibition campaign, will want to beat a top-tier squad like the Patriots.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Bill Belichick is 18-10 in preseason games.
  • Bill Belichick is 4-2 in Preseason Week 4 w/Patriots.
  • Tom Coughlin is 7-4 in preseason games.
  • Opening Line: Giants -3
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Giants 24, Patriots 10 (Giants -3). Money Pick.
Correct: Giants 31, Patriots 23.




Bears (1-2) at Browns (2-1). Line: Browns by 3.
Thursday, Aug. 31, 8:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

Based on the statistics I've listed below, I think the Browns will win this game and cover the miniscule point spread.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Lovie Smith is 6-6 in preseason games.
  • Lovie Smith is 0-2 in Preseason Week 4.
  • Romeo Crennel is 5-2 in preseason games.
  • Opening Line: Eagles -3
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Browns 20, Bears 10 (Browns -3). Double Money Pick.
Incorrect: Bears 20, Browns 7.




Saints (1-2) at Chiefs (1-2). Line: Saints by 2.
Saturday, Aug. 26, 8:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

From what I've seen from the Saints this preseason, I'm going to assume that Sean Payton doesn't care one bit about these "meaningless" games. Herman Edwards, on the other hand, is 4-1 in Preseason Week 4 contests.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Sean Payton is 1-2 in preseason games.
  • Herman Edwards is 16-8 in preseason games.
  • Herman Edwards is 4-1 in Preseason Week 4.
  • Opening Line: Pick
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Chiefs 23, Saints 6 (Chiefs +2). Money Pick.
Correct: Chiefs 10, Saints 9.




Broncos (2-1) at Cardinals (2-1). Line: Cardinals by 3.
Saturday, Aug. 31, 10:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

The Broncos are an underdog in the preseason? I'm not sure if I understand the logic behind this point spread. But I'm not complaining or anything.


The Trends. Edge: Broncos.
  • Dennis Green is 6-5 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 36-15 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 6-1 in Preseason 4 since 1999.
  • Opening Line: Cardinals -3
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Broncos 27, Cardinals 10 (Broncos +3). Pick of the Month.
Correct: Broncos 29, Cardinals 23.




Raiders (4-0) at Seahawks (1-2). Line: Raiders by 1.
Thursday, Aug. 31, 10:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

Art Shell should be able to finish his first exhibition campaign in his second stint with the Raiders with a 5-0 record. Mike Holmgren just doesn't care about these contests.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • Art Shell is 18-10 in preseason games.
  • Art Shell is 4-1 in Preseason Week 4.
  • Mike Holmgren is 14-17 in preseason games.
  • Mike Holmgren is 2-5 in Preseason Week 4 w/Seahawks.
  • Opening Line: Seahawks -3
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Raiders 24, Seahawks 9 (Raiders -1). Double Money Pick.
Incorrect: Seahawks 30, Raiders 7.




Bengals (3-0) at Colts (1-2). Line: Bengals by 3.
Friday, Sept. 1, 7:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 1 Games): N/A
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 1 Games): N/A

The Game. Edge: N/A.
Injuries: N/A

I'd like to thank Tony Dungy for not caring about preseason games. Carson Palmer will also play a few series.


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
  • Marvin Lewis is 7-7 in preseason games.
  • Tony Dungy is 8-12 in preseason games.
  • Opening Line: Bengals -1
  • Total Movement: None.
  • Weather: TBA.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: N/A
  • Sit Em: N/A

Prediction: Bengals 17, Colts 3 (Bengals -3). Money Pick.
Correct: Bengals 20, Colts 3.


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Preseason 2014): 3-5 (-$270)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 2-2 (-$40)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Preseason 2014): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Preseason 2014): $0

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-0, 0% ($0)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2012 Season:
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