Falcons (5-2) at Dolphins (3-4). Line: Falcons by 2. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Falcons by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Falcons by 2.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Injuries: Falcons: OUT: MLB Edgerton Hartwell, CB Kevin Mathis. QUESTIONABLE: RB T.J. Duckett*, WR Michael Jenkins, OT Todd Weiner, DE Brady Smith. Dolphins: OUT: CB Will Poole, S Tebucky Jones. QUESTIONABLE: WR David Boston, OLB Junior Seau, CB Sam Madison.

Like I said two weeks ago when I previewed the Falcons-Jets Monday Night Football game, Atlanta is a fraud. They didn't expose themselves, however, because they were able to rack up a 17-0 lead, thanks to three Vinny Testaverde fumbles.

This could be the day Atlanta is unmasked. The team's offense is solely predicated on the run; Michael Vick offers no passing threat. Unfortunately for the road team, Miami has one of the elite ground-stopping defenses in the NFL. Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett will be thwarted by a wall that allows just 3.8 yards per carry. Vick will be forced into long-yardage situations, where he will either have to throw or scamper for first downs. Running may not work well for the electrifying quarterback, given that Jason Taylor occupies the right side of the defensive line. Of course Vick will also have problems throwing the football downfield. He always does.

Unlike the Dolphins, the Falcons have serious problems containing opposing rushing attacks. In fact, they are ranked 27th in the NFL. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams, who combined for 188 yards on 40 carries, will undoubtedly stampede through Atlanta's weak front seven. Gus Frerotte's lack of talent will be the reason Miami punts about five times, but the veteran signal caller will take advantage of his two running backs by utilizing play-action to Marty Booker, Chris Chambers and Randy McMichael.

The Jets had a chance to beat Atlanta, but failed because of Testaverde's incompetence. Unless Frerotte fumbles thrice, the Dolphins should be able to come away with a victory.


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.
  • Dolphins are 2-0 ATS in 1 p.m. home games this year.
  • Line Movement: Falcons -2 (open) to Falcons -2.
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 40.
  • Weather: Sunny, 86 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ronnie Brown, Dolphins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Michael Vick, T.J. Duckett, Falcons Receivers.

Prediction: Dolphins by 6. (Dolphins +2). Under.




Panthers (5-2) at Buccaneers (5-2). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Buccaneers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Buccaneers by 2.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Panthers: OUT: DT Kris Jenkins. Buccaneers: OUT: QB Brian Griese. DOUBTFUL: S Dexter Jackson. QUESTIONABLE: RB Michael Pittman, C John Wade.

As I mentioned above, the Falcons are a farce, so this is one of the two contests that will decide the NFC South champion. The rematch takes place on Dec. 11.

With the decline of the Eagles, Carolina looks like the elite team in the NFC. Its offense has clearly improved, and I don't know how the Buccaneers can possibly contain their opponent. Tampa Bay obviously has one of the best stop units in the NFL, but it has had one glaring weakness over the past few years -- putting the clamps on power running backs. In the two meetings last year, Nick Goings rushed for 233 yards on 59 carries. In fact, the 49ers were able to pound the ball down Tampa Bay's throat, claiming 141 yards on 36 rushes by Kevan Barlow and Frank Gore. The Panthers' massive offensive line will overpower the Buccaneers' defensive front, permitting Jake Delhomme to utilize play-action. Ronde Barber is one of the top cornerbacks in the NFL, but he will not be able to cover Steve Smith.

Tampa Bay will attempt to establish Cadillac Williams early and often. However, Cadillac may find himself at the mechanic's, because the Panthers have the top-ranked run defense in the league. Chris Simms, who threw two interceptions and fumbled once at San Francisco, will be swallowed up by Julius Peppers, Dan Morgan and Mike Rucker. The Buccaneers have surrendered nearly three sacks per contest, so don't be too shocked if Simms is constantly pinned to the ground.

Carolina simply owns Tampa Bay; the former has beaten the latter in four consecutive matchups. Make it five once this contest is over.


The Trends. Edge: Panthers.
  • History: Panthers have won the last 4 meetings.
  • Betting History: Panthers are 5-1 ATS vs. Buccaneers since joining the NFC South.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -1 (open) to Panthers -1 to Panthers -1 to Panthers -1 to Pick Em.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 36 to 36.
  • Weather: Sunny, 85 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jake Delhomme, Stephen Davis, Steve Smith, Panthers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Chris Simms, Cadillac Williams, Buccaneers Defense.

Prediction: Panthers by 14. (Panthers PK). Double Money Pick. Under.




Bengals (6-2) at Ravens (2-5). Line: Bengals by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Bengals by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Bengals by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bengals.
Injuries: Bengals: OUT: C Larry Moore, S Kim Herring. QUESTIONABLE: DE/OLB David Pollack. Ravens: OUT: MLB Ray Lewis. DOUBTFUL: QB Kyle Boller*, DE Anthony Weaver, S Ed Reed. QUESTIONABLE: WR Mark Clayton.

Where did this Anthony Wright performance come from? The Ravens were somehow able to move the chains against a suddenly soft Pittsburgh defense.

And, it won't happen again. Wright will not register another 252-yard performance in his soon-to-be limited career. After all, this is the same quarterback who led the Ravens to just four drives of more than 15 yards against the Bears. This is the same offense that has failed to score more than 17 points in any game this season, prior to the Monday night fluke. Baltimore will revert back to its losing ways against Cincinnati. The Bengals cannot stop the run, but they will stack the line of scrimmage against Jamal Lewis and Chester Taylor. Wright will be forced to throw at least 35 times, which will only lead to interceptions. Cincinnati's opportunistic defense has already picked off 20 passes this year.

Pittsburgh's offense was able to effectively move the chains against the Ravens -- until Ben Roethlisberger got hurt. Roethlisberger's injury helped keep the Ravens within striking distance of the Steelers. Meanwhile, Cincinnati should be able to score at will in Sunday's contest. Remember, Baltimore's so-called "elite" stop unit surrendered 139 rushing yards to Thomas Jones two weeks ago. Rudi Johnson should have similar success on the ground, opening the play-action door for Carson Palmer. Chris McAlister is a solid cornerback, but he doesn't stand a chance against Chad Johnson -- especially if Ed Reed isn't back there to help him.

Baltimore played its best possible game against the Steelers. The team couldn't have played any better. There is no chance the Ravens match that intensity against the Bengals.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • History: Ravens have won 11 of the last 14 meetings.
  • Ravens are 15-4 ATS in November.
  • Ravens are 9-1 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Ravens are 3-10 ATS as an underdog the previous 13 instances.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 74 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Carson Palmer, Rudi Johnson, Chad Johnson, Bengals Defense.
  • Sit Em: Ravens Passing Attack and Defense.

Prediction: Bengals by 7. (Bengals -3). Over.




Lions (3-4) at Vikings (2-5). Line: Vikings by 1. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Vikings by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Lions by 2.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Lions: OUT: WR Kevin Johnson, OLB Tedy Lehman, CB Dre Bly, CB Fernando Bryant. DOUBTFUL: QB Jeff Garcia*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Roy Williams, WR Mike Williams, DE Cory Redding, DT Shaun Rogers, S Terrence Holt. Vikings: OUT: QB Daunte Culpepper*, RB Onterrio Smith, C Matt Birk, DE Kenechi Udeze. DOUBTFUL: RB Moe Williams. QUESTIONABLE: WR Marcus Robinson, OLB Dontarrious Thomas, KR Koren Robinson.

The S.S. Vikings ship that was almost completely underwater finally capsized on Sunday, as Tice's crew watched Daunte Culpepper go down with a season-ending injury.

As terrible as Minnesota's offense has been, the team hasn't been that bad at home. They are averaging 23 points at the Metrodome, compared to just 8.5 on the road. If Culpepper was available, Minnesota would probably be able to score enough to win this game. Instead, Brad Johnson has to start, and who knows how effective he can be? Johnson was just 13-of-28 for 162 yards and a touchdown at Carolina last week. Detroit's secondary showed a weakness last week as it surrendered 230 yards to Kyle Orton. However, it will be difficult for Johnson to be successful, given that he will not have the benefit of a running game -- Mewelde Moore and Michael Bennett are respectively gaining 3.9 and 3.1 yards per carry.

So much for Jeff Garcia being Detroit's savior. Just one week after a brilliant performance in Cleveland, Garcia threw a game-losing interception to Bears cornerback Charles Tillman in overtime. That said, the Lions are still moving the chains with greater efficiency. Garcia was 23-of-35 for 197 yards. He will have the help of Kevin Jones, who will be responsible for ripping through Minnesota's woeful defense, which is ranked 18th against the run. The Vikings, who are terrible at stopping the opposition from converting third downs, will wither away on the field the entire afternoon, as Detroit should be able to control the time of possession.

Like I said, the Vikings aren't that bad at home. While Minnesota has been defeated by double digits in every single road contest it has played this year, the team is 2-1 at home. This will be a close game, and I think the hapless Vikings will somehow pull it out.

Thursday Update: Joey Harrington will start for the injured Jeff Garcia. Is there any way the Vikings can lose this game?


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • History: Vikings have won 11 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Betting History: Lions have covered the last 3 meetings.
  • Betting History in Minnesota: Lions are 5-1 ATS in Minnesota since 1999.
  • Vikings are 10-17 ATS vs. teams coming off a loss under Mike Tice.
  • Line Movement: Lions -1 (open) to Lions -1 to Pick Em to Vikings -1 to Vikings -1.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37 to 37.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kevin Jones, Marcus Robinson.
  • Sit Em: Jeff Garcia, Daunte Culpepper, Mewelde Moore, Michael Bennett.

Prediction: Vikings by 3. (Vikings -1). Under.




Texans (1-6) at Jaguars (4-3). Line: Jaguars by 13. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Jaguars by 13.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Jaguars by 9.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: Texans: DOUBTFUL: G Zach Wiegert. QUESTIONABLE: RB Domanick Davis*, WR Andre Johnson*. Jaguars: OUT: S Donovin Darius. QUESTIONABLE: C Brad Meester, DT Marcus Stroud, S Deon Grant.

Jacksonville is favored by 13? Have all of the bettors lost their mind? The last time the Jaguars were favored by double digits was an Oct. 27 meeting against Houston. The Jaguars fell, 21-19.

The Texans, who have only lost to the Jaguars once by more than three points, will keep things close by running the ball with Domanick Davis. The powerful Houston runner is only gaining 3.9 yards per carry this season, but he should have success against a Jacksonville stop unit that is missing Donovin Darius. Without their run-stuffing strong safety, the Jaguars are yielding 4.4 yards per carry, which includes a 179-yard debacle that Steven Jackson managed last week. Davis will be effective on the ground, permitting David Carr to utilize play-action. Carr, who has been sacked 37 times this year, should remain relatively unscathed, as Jacksonville accumulates just 2.3 sacks per contest.

Like Houston, Jacksonville will undoubtedly attempt to establish Fred Taylor, who will easily find open running lanes against the 31st-ranked run defense in the NFL. Taking advantage of facing favorable short-yardage situations, Byron Leftwich will torch a Houston secondary that is surrendering 207 passing yards per game. Making things worse for the Texans is that they have registered just 11 sacks in seven contests. The Jaguars should easily score all afternoon.

Jacksonville should be able to beat the Texans, but the latter has somehow been able to dominate the former. Houston will keep things interesting, covering this outrageous point spread.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • History: Texans have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Betting History: Texans are 5-1 ATS against the Jaguars.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 45-20 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Texans are 4-12 ATS after a win.
  • Jaguars are 6-3 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Jaguars -10 (open) to Jaguars -11 to Jaguars -12 to Jaguars -12 to Jaguars -13.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 to 36.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 84 degrees. Light wind, 6 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Domanick Davis, Byron Leftwich, Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith.
  • Sit Em: David Carr, Texans Defense.

Prediction: Jaguars by 9. (Texans +13). Bonus Double Money Pick. Over.




Raiders (3-4) at Chiefs (4-3). Line: Chiefs by 4. Over-Under: 51.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Chiefs by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Chiefs by 5.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: Raiders: OUT: WR Ronald Curry, G Langston Walker, CB Charles Woodson. DOUBTFUL: OLB DeLawrence Grant. QUESTIONABLE: WR Randy Moss*, C Jake Grove, DE Bobby Hamilton. Chiefs: OUT: DT Ryan Sims, OLB Shawn Barber. DOUBTFUL: RB Priest Holmes*, S Jerome Woods. QUESTIONABLE: G Will Shields, CB Patrick Surtain, CB Dexter McCleon, CB Eric Warfield.

If the Patriots weren't playing the Colts on Monday, this Raiders-Chiefs matchup could have been the game of the week. Think about it... the Chiefs have three losses, but they were defeated by Denver, Philadelphia and San Diego. Oakland has been beaten four times, but lost to New England, Kansas City, Philadelphia and San Diego. The Chiefs and the Raiders are two of the best teams in the NFL.

Kansas City did a commendable job of improving its run defense this offseason. Previously seeded at the bottom of the league, the Chiefs are ranked 15th in that department. They will consequently stuff LaMont Jordan behind the line of scrimmage, forcing Kerry Collins to throw frequently from unfavorable long-yardage situations. However, that may not matter because Kansas City cannot stop the pass. The defensive unit surrendered 324 yards to Drees Brees on Sunday, and permitted Randy Moss to register 127 receiving yards when the Chiefs and Raiders clashed on Sept. 18.

The Raiders also stop the run well, as the men in silver and black are ranked 13th against opposing ground attacks. Making Kansas City's efforts to run the ball even more futile is the fact that Priest Holmes is banged up. Even though the Chiefs will be forced to throw in obvious passing situations, they will be able move the chains because Oakland's inexperienced secondary is hobbled -- Charles Woodson is out.

Think the Raiders and Chiefs hate each other? This bitter rivalry always seems to go down to the last second. Each of the previous five meetings between these two squads has been decided by seven points or less, with Kansas City coming away as the victor.

Friday Injury Update: Priest Holmes was downgraded to doubtful on Friday.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • History: Chiefs have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Betting History in Kansas City: Raiders have covered (but lost) the last 2 meetings.
  • Must-Win Situation: The Raiders, a playoff-caliber team, cannot afford to fall to 3-5.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -4 (open) to Chiefs -4 to Chiefs -5 to Chiefs -4 to Chiefs -4.
  • Total Movement: 51 (open) to 52 to 51.
  • Weather: Sunny, 66 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kerry Collins, Randy Moss, Jerry Porter, Trent Green, Eddie Kennison, Tony Gonzalez.
  • Sit Em: Priest Holmes (doubtful), Both Defenses.

Prediction: Chiefs by 3. (Raiders +4). Over.




Chargers (4-4) at Jets (2-5). Line: Chargers by 6. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Chargers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Chargers by 5.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: Chargers: QUESTIONABLE: OT Roman Oben, G Mike Goff, C Nick Hardwick, OLB Steve Foley, ILB Randall Godfrey, CB Drayton Florence, S Terrence Kiel, K Nate Kaeding. Jets: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, QB Jay Fiedler, RB Derrick Blaylock.

Think the Chargers will be fired up for this game? They were knocked out of the playoffs by the Jets last year and would love to return the favor.

LaDainian Tomlinson only had possession of the football 20 times in Sunday's victory against Kansas City, so I'm certain Marty Schottenheimer will make an effort to give the best running back in the league more carries and receptions. Tomlinson should be able to tear apart a Jets unit that surrendered 155 rushing yards to Warrick Dunn two weeks ago. The Jets will be forced to bring an eighth or a ninth man up to the line of scrimmage, meaning Drew Brees will have an easier time carving up a very thin and inexperienced secondary.

What a difference a center makes. The Vikings could not muster any points after losing Matt Birk, while the same thing appears to be going on in New York. Kevin Mawae's absence was a factor in Vinny Testaverde's fumbling escapade, as well as Curtis Martin's inability to gain yardage against the Falcons, one of the worst teams at stopping ground attacks. Martin will not find any running room against San Diego, the league's seventh-ranked run defense.

Not only is this a revenge situation for San Diego, it is also a must-win. The Chargers cannot afford to fall to 4-5.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • Revenge Situation: CHARGERS lost to the Jets twice last year, including once in the playoffs.
  • Must-Win Situation: The Chargers, a playoff-caliber team, cannot afford to fall to 4-5.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 12-23 ATS since 2002; Chargers 2-0 ATS.
  • Bye Bye: Jets are 3-1 ATS after a bye under Herman Edwards.
  • Jets are 6-14-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 23 instances.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -6 (open) to Chargers -6 to Chargers -6.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41 to 41.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 70 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Drew Brees, LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jets Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 20. (Chargers -6). Money Pick. Under.




Titans (2-6) at Browns (2-5). Line: Browns by 3. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Browns by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Browns by 3.

The Game. Edge: Titans.
Injuries: Titans: OUT: WR Drew Bennett, S Vincent Fuller. QUESTIONABLE: WR Brandon Jones*, WR Tyrone Calico, DE Antwan Odom, OLB Peter Sirmon, OLB Rocky Boiman, CB Andre Woolfolk. Browns: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr. DOUBTFUL: William Green. QUESTIONABLE: G Joe Andruzzi, CB Ray Mickens, S Chris Crocker.

This is the only contest on this week's slate where two teams with no playoff aspirations battle each other. How exciting.

Tennessee is only 2-6, but it has one of the top offenses in the NFL. The Titans have actually scored 23 points or more five times this season. Chris Brown and Travis Henry should have some success stampeding through open lanes; Cleveland's ability to stop the run is a bit lackluster. Steve McNair will consequently have plenty of time to find Brandon Jones, Courtney Roby, Ben Troupe and Erron Kinney, all of whom should be able to get open against a hobbled Browns secondary that is missing Gary Baxter.

Cleveland was once 2-2, but its playoff hopes have fizzled like Trent Dilfer's quarterback rating. Over the past three weeks, Dilfer has thrown four interceptions and fumbled thrice. If he continues to turn the ball over, the Browns will not have any chance of winning the rest of the season. So, expect Romeo Crennel to place the ball into Reuben Droughns' hands. Droughns, who has rushed for 530 yards this season, should be able to trample Tennessee's front seven, which is ranked 20th against the run. Cleveland will be able to keep up with the Titans' high-octane offense.

The Titans are probably a little bit better than the Browns, so taking the underdog in this situation is probably the best proposition.

Saturday Morning Update: weather.com is predicting 27 mph winds on Sunday afternoon. I changed the total to "under."


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Browns are 3-7 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 39 to 38.
  • Weather: Chance of showers, 65 degrees. HEAVY WIND, 27 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Steve McNair, Chris Brown, Courtney Roby, Reuben Droughns, Antonio Bryant.
  • Sit Em: Trent Dilfer, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Titans by 4. (Titans +3). Under.




Bears (4-3) at Saints (2-6). Line: Bears by 3. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 4:05 ET
at Baton Rouge

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Bears by 1.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Bears by 1.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
Injuries: Bears: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, WR Mark Bradley*. QUESTIONABLE: G Ruben Brown. Saints: OUT: RB Deuce McAllister, S Jay Bellamy, KR Michael Lewis. QUESTIONABLE: WR Az Hakim, TE Ernie Conwell, CB Mike McKenzie.

Everyone may laugh at the Bears, exclaiming that they have taken over a very poor division. I'm not laughing. Chicago has one of the best defenses in the NFL, making the team a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

Kyle Orton's success has also been paramount in Chicago's improvement. The rookie was 17-of-31 for 230 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's game against the Lions. That will only help the running game, as the Bears will undoubtedly pound the football against a woeful Saints run defense. New Orleans yielded 188 rushing yards on 40 carries to Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams last week, so expect Thomas Jones to eclipse the 150-yard barrier. Orton will orchestrate a few play-action passes, permitting the Bears to move the chains and to control the clock.

Chicago has the best stop unit in the NFC. The team is allowing just 11.6 points per game and 3.7 yards per rush. The Bears have also accumulated 20 sacks, led by Brian Urlacher, who has six. How are the Saints going to move the chains? They will not be able to run the ball with Aaron Stecker and Antowain Smith. Aaron Brooks will certainly make a few bone-head decisions, like taking a sack for 26 yards or throwing an underhand pass to a Bears defender. This is going to be a mess.

The only thing keeping me from placing a Money Pick tag on this contest is the fact that the Bears are coming off an emotional overtime victory at Ford Field. Otherwise, I would be throwing bags of money on the NFL's most underrated team.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 44-32 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001; Jim Haslett 2-3 ATS.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 38-66 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; BEARS won in overtime.
  • Bears are 9-4 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Saints are 13-21 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Bears -2 (open) to Bears -3.
  • Total Movement: 35 (open) to 34.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 84 degrees. Light wind, 6 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: .
  • Sit Em: .

Prediction: Bears by 5. (Bears -3). Under.




Giants (5-2) at 49ers (2-5). Line: Giants by 11. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Giants by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Giants by 10.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: Giants: OUT: OLB Barrett Green, CB William Peterson. QUESTIONABLE: OLB Carlos Emmons, S Shaun Williams. 49ers: OUT: TE Eric Johnson, CB Mike Rumph. DOUBTFUL: OT Jonas Jennings, CB Ahmed Plummer. QUESTIONABLE: QB Alex Smith, QB Ken Dorsey, WR Arnaz Battle, C Jeremy Newberry, CB Willie Middlebrooks, KR Otis Amey.

Where did the 49ers come from last week? How did the beleaguered duo of Ken Dorsey and Cody Pickett take down the 5-1 Buccaneers? How was Cadillac Williams restricted to just 20 yards on 13 carries?

Taking a closer look, the 49ers have played well at home all year. They opened with a shocking victory over St. Louis, a 34-31 loss to the Cowboys, a 25-point defeat to the Colts where San Francisco actually hung around for the majority of the contest, and a 15-10 victory over the Buccaneers. With the exception of Edgerrin James, no running back was able to pound the 49ers -- Steven Jackson, Julius Jones and Cadillac were all held to less than four yards per rush. Thus, you have to believe that Tiki Barber will also be held in check. Eli Manning, who yet to win a road game in his young career, will have to win this contest on his own. The Giants should be able to move the chains against a San Francisco secondary that yields a devastating 315 passing yards per game. However, Pro Bowl corner Ahmed Plummer might play after spending an entire month on the injured list.

I don't know how they did it, but the 49ers somehow mustered a rushing attack against Tampa Bay -- Kevan Barlow registered his first 100-yard performance of the season. It won't happen again. The Giants are only 19th against the run, but they have the personnel to outmatch the 49ers at the line of scrimmage. Cody Pickett will spend most of the afternoon running away from Michael Strahan, as the University of Washington alumnus will be asked to carry the team on his shoulders.

The Giants struggle on the road, while the 49ers play well at home. This is a tough spot for New York, a team coming off an emotional victory inspired by the emotion the players felt concerning Wellington Mara's death.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • Double Digit Home Dog: Double digit home underdogs are 43-31 ATS since 1992.
  • Giants are 3-10 ATS as favorites of 6 or more the previous 13 instances.
  • Line Movement: Giants -10 (open) to Giants -10 to Giants -11.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 42 to 42.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 64 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Eli Manning, Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Shockey, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: 49ers Offense.

Prediction: Giants by 7. (49ers +11). Under.




Seahawks (5-2) at Cardinals (2-5). Line: Seahawks by 4. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Seahawks by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Seahawks by 4.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: WR Darrell Jackson, S Ken Hamlin. QUESTIONABLE: OT Pork Chop Womack, OLB D.D. Lewis, CB Andre Dyson. Cardinals: OUT: FB James Hodgins, WR Anquan Boldin*, OT Oliver Ross, DE Calvin Pace, CB Antrel Rolle. DOUBTFUL: G Elton Brown. QUESTIONABLE: FB Harold Morrow.

Seattle and Arizona played each other on Oct. 25 when the Seahawks ripped the Cardinals to shreds, 37-12. However, the latter was able to keep the game close -- Seattle led by a score of 10-9 at halftime.

Shaun Alexander was obviously instrumental in the first meeting; the Pro Bowl running back compiled 140 rushing yards on 22 carries. It may seem like he will have a repeat performance, especially after the Cardinals surrendered 127 yards to Marion Barber III in Texas Stadium. That said, Alexander will not be able to dominate this contest -- Arizona is a different team at Sun Devil Stadium, as its defense put the clamps on Chris Brown, Stephen Davis and DeShaun Foster prior the Cowboys game. Alexander will have problems finding running lanes in the scorching heat, while Matt Hasselbeck figures to be wildly inaccurate all afternoon; Hasselbeck was just 14-of-41 for 195 yards, with one touchdown and four interceptions when the Seahawks lost at Arizona last year, 25-17.

The reason why the Seahawks are a legitimate Super Bowl contender is their new-found, run-stopping ability. Seattle, a team that could not put the clamps on opposing running backs last year, is currently ranked sixth in that department. But, it won't really matter in Tempe, because the Cardinals cannot run the ball on anyone. Marcel Shipp and J.J. Arrington respectively average 2.6 and 2.3 yards per carry, thanks to a woeful offensive line. Arizona could have some luck throwing the ball, however. Josh McCown has played well at home, throwing for 394 yards against mighty Carolina. The Cardinals will move the chains and score, despite missing Anquan Boldin.

This is a really bad spot for Seattle. The team will undoubtedly be looking ahead to next week's game against the Rams. Plus, Sun Devil Stadium is a snake pit where favored teams have come to die. Arizona will shock the NFL world by winning at home.

Thursday Update: A case of deja vu? Dennis Green has once again foolishly benched Josh McCown in favor of an inferior quarterback. Kurt Warner will start Sunday's game, and in the wake of this move, I have stripped the Money Pick tag from this contest.


The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.
  • History: Seahawks have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Bye Bye: Seahawks are 0-7 ATS after a bye under Mike Holmgren.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: SEAHAWKS play Rams after the Cardinals.
  • Cardinals are 9-5 ATS as a home underdog since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -5 (open) to Seahawks -4 to Seahawks -4.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43 to 44.
  • Weather: Sunny, 86 degrees. Light wind, 6 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Josh McCown, Larry Fitzgerald.
  • Sit Em: Cardinals Running Backs, Anquan Boldin.

Prediction: Cardinals by 6. (Cardinals +4). Under.




Steelers (5-2) at Packers (1-6). Line: Steelers by 3. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Steelers by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Steelers by 7.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: Steelers: OUT: QB Ben Roethlisberger*, S Mike Logan. QUESTIONABLE: QB Tommy Maddox*, RB Jerome Bettis*. Packers: OUT: RB Ahman Green, RB Najeh Davenport, WR Javon Walker, WR Robert Ferguson, KR Terrence Murphy. QUESTIONABLE: OLB Na'il Diggs.

Brett Favre is a five-point underdog at Lambeau Field? Has this ever happened? Is this illegal? This forced me to look up how Favre has done as a home underdog during his illustrious career. He is actually 8-1 against the spread at Lambeau as an underdog, as his only point-spread loss came in 1992 against the Bears.

Switching gears for a moment, Bill Cowher seemed elated during his press conference following Pittsburgh's Monday night victory over Baltimore. I didn't like Cowher's attitude; the Ravens are an awful team that should have been blown out. A 20-19 win is nothing to be happy over. Pittsburgh's pass defense was exposed as a farce, as it has been over the years; how can anyone permit Anthony Wright to throw for 252 yards? Now, imagine what Brett Favre is going to do. No one in the Steelers secondary will be able to cover Donald Driver, who could have a career game. The Packers will not be able to run the ball, but it won't really matter because Baltimore rushed for only 70 yards on 25 carries, and was still able to consistently move the chains.

We all know that Green Bay's defense is terrible. But, we also know that Ben Roethlisberger was limping around against the Ravens. After a scintillating opening drive, a wounded Big Ben led the Steelers to just 13 points against a very mediocre Ravens defense. Since Roethlisberger is obviously banged up, Cowher will put extra stress on establishing the running game. However, that will be a problem, considering the Packers are third against the run. Faced with a plethora of unfavorable long-yardage situations, Roethlisberger will struggle to move the chains against a hectic Green Bay pass rush, that has already produced 17 sacks this year.

This is a great spot for the Packers. I can't imagine how fired up Favre is after hearing that his team is a huge underdog at home. The suddenly lackadiasical Steelers won't know what hit them.

Thursday Injury Update: Ben Roethlisberger is out for the game. Charlie Batch is likely to start.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Post Monday Night Syndrome: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 14-21 ATS the following week since 2003.
  • Steelers are 18-6 ATS on the road off a home division win the previous 24 instances.
  • Brett Favre is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog (only ATS loss his rookie year in 1992).
  • Brett Favre is 13-5 ATS as an underdog since 2002.
  • Packers are 7-3 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -6 (open) to Steelers -6 to Steelers -5 to Steelers -3.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 39.
  • Weather: Showers, 48 degrees. Mild wind, 18 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Hines Ward, Heath Miller, Brett Favre, Donald Driver.
  • Sit Em: Ben Roethlisberger (out), Tommy Maddox, Jerome Bettis, Willie Parker.

Prediction: Packers by 3. (Packers +3). Bonus Double Money Pick. Upset Special. Under.




Eagles (4-3) at Redskins (4-3). Line: Redskins by 3. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Redskins by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Redskins by 1.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: Eagles: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Terrell Owens*, WR Todd Pinkston, DE Jerome McDougle, P Dirk Johnson. QUESTIONABLE: QB Donovan McNabb*, DE Jevon Kearse, DE Ndukwe Kalu, DT Sam Rayburn, CB Lito Sheppard, K David Akers. Redskins: QUESTIONABLE: DT Cornelius Griffin, DT Joe Salave'a, S Omar Stoutmire.

Think there's some separation forming in the NFC East? The Giants and Cowboys will battle it out for first place, while the Redskins and Eagles were outscored 85-21 last week.

At this point, I'm not sure how anyone can convince Andy Reid to run the ball more frequently. Maybe his old mentor, Mike Holmgren, can talk him into it. Reid called 10 pass plays opposed to one run in the first quarter against Denver. Donovan McNabb didn't complete a single pass. It's clear that McNabb is extremely banged up and should be told to sit out and repair his sports hernia. Otherwise, Reid is just risking his signal caller's career. I have to believe that Reid will make a more concerned effort to run the ball, given the 49-21 debacle his team suffered at Mile High. It would be wise for him to do so -- the Redskins are fresh off surrendering a 200-yard performance to Tiki Barber. Terrell Owens' questionable status also increases the chance that Reid will signal in more running plays.

After limiting LaDainian Tomlinson to just seven yards, Philadelphia's defense was humiliated, as the team yielded 233 rushing yards to Mike Anderson and Tatum Bell. The Eagles' stop unit is proud, so I have no doubt that they will come into FedEx Field fired up, eager to prove their doubters wrong. Clinton Portis will be stymied up front, forcing Mark Brunell to take matters into his own hands. However, that will not guarantee a victory; the Eagles could not prevent Drew Bledsoe, Drew Brees and Jake Plummer from having Pro Bowl-caliber performances. Don't blame Philadelphia's secondary; the defensive line is at fault because it cannot generate any sacks. Jevon Kearse, who has been disappointing this year, leads the team with three. Philadelphia clearly misses Derrick Burgess, who defected for Oakland this offseason and has seven sacks for his new team.

I don't think a proud team like the Eagles will just wither away after being embarrassed on national TV. It won't be easy, but Philadelphia will come away with a win.

Friday Update: How can the Eagles possibly win, given Terrell Owens' controversial comments he made about Donovan McNabb? I have changed this pick on Friday evening.

Saturday Morning Update: Terrell Owens has been suspended indefinitely by the Philadelphia Eagles for his remarks regarding the team and Donovan McNabb.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • History: Eagles have won the last 7 meetings.
  • Double Road Alert: Andy Reid is 3-0 ATS on the road following a road loss since 2001.
  • Eagles are 30-13 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 13-5 ATS vs. NFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 10-3 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Pick Em (open) to Redskins -1 to Redskins -1 to Redskins -2 to Redskins -3.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 55 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brian Westbrook, L.J. Smith, Mark Brunell, Santana Moss.
  • Sit Em: Clinton Portis, Terrell Owens (out).

Prediction: Redskins by 14. (Redskins -3). Under.




Colts (7-0) at Patriots (4-3). Line: Colts by 4. Over-Under: 48.
Monday, 9:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 8 Games): Colts by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 8 Games): Colts by 3.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: Colts: OUT: CB Donald Strickland. QUESTIONABLE: DT Larry Tripplett. Patriots: OUT: RB Kevin Faulk, OT Matt Light, CB Tyrone Poole, S Rodney Harrison. QUESTIONABLE: RB Corey Dillon*, FB Patrick Pass, WR David Givens*, WR Troy Brown, WR Tim Dwight, TE Ben Watson, DE Richard Seymour, DE Ty Warren, OLB Willie McGinest, CB Randall Gay.

Will Peyton Manning finally defeat his nemesis? Will he finally slay the two-headed serpent known as Tom Brady and Bill Belichick? Will he finally overcome his 0-6 standing against the most lethal coach and quarterback combination in the NFL? Or, will New England snap out of its 4-3 funk and reestablish its dominance over Manning and the rest of the NFL? Whatever you do, don't miss this game.

You really have to laugh at those who blame Indianapolis' defense for their lack of success against New England. The Colts scored just three points at Foxboro in last year's playoff game. But, it's safe to say that the Colts' inability to score will not resurface. Even with the return of Tedy Bruschi, the Patriots could not stop the run last week; Willis McGahee scampered for 136 yards on 31 carries. Indianapolis has changed its offensive attack to a more run-based threat, giving Edgerrin James an average of 23 carries per contest. James will effectively run the ball against the hobbled Patriots, who cannot cheat up to the line of scrimmage because Manning is obviously one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL. If Manning somehow winds up in long-yardage situations, he should be able to torch cornerback Duane Starks and strong safety Arturo Freeman all night long. Basically, the only hope the Patriots defense has of stopping Manning is Belichick's chaotic schemes; Manning has only scored 19 points per game against the wise sage who wears gray hooded sweatshirts.

You really have to laugh at those who vehemently state that the Colts have a great defense. Those clueless individuals fail to realize that Indianapolis is ranked 24th against the run, and has not played any opponents with a legitimate offense. Just look at the schedule -- the Colts have battled Baltimore, Jacksonville, Cleveland, Tennessee, San Francisco, St. Louis and Houston. The only exception to my previous statement is the Rams, and we all know what happened in that contest. St. Louis built a 17-0 lead before Marc Bulger left the game with an injury. There is no doubt in my mind that New England will be able to run the ball with Corey Dillon the entire evening. Dillon will easily rush for more than 150 yards, setting up play-action opportunities for Tom Brady. The Colts may have a pair of stout safeties -- Bob Sanders and Mike Doss -- but cornerbacks Nick Harper and Jason David are one of the league's worst duos. Brady will casually shred Indianapolis' so-called great stop unit, and could possibly approach 400 passing yards by the time the game is over.

You really have to laugh at those who think Manning and Tony Dungy will overcome their nemesis. Manning never beat Florida. He has never beaten Brady. Dungy always lost to the Eagles when he was the coach of Tampa Bay. And, he will always lose to Belichick, unless Brady gets injured. There is no way that Indianapolis beats New England. I may make this a Double Money Pick on Monday morning.

Monday Morning Update: Like I previously stated, I am upgrading this to a Double Money Pick. There is no way the Patriots lose this game.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • History: Tom Brady is 6-0 straight up against Peyton Manning.
  • Betting History: Tom Brady is 5-0 ATS against Peyton Manning.
  • Bye Bye: Colts are 0-3 ATS after a bye under Tony Dungy.
  • Patriots are 8-2 ATS as an underdog since 2003.
  • Patriots are 28-14 ATS at home under Bill Belichick.
  • Patriots are 6-1 ATS in November home games since 2001.
  • Tom Brady is 61-17 as a starter (50-27 ATS).
  • Tom Brady is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog.
  • Line Movement: Colts -3 (open) to Colts -3 to Colts -4 to Colts -4.
  • Total Movement: 46 (open) to 45 to 47 to 48.
  • Weather: Clear, 45 degrees. Mild wind, 18 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Patriots by 4. (Patriots +4). Double Money Pick. Over.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 2-5
Eagles: 2-5
Giants: 4-2
Redskins: 2-5

Bears: 6-1
Lions: 3-3
Packers: 4-3
Vikings: 4-3

Buccaneers: 3-4
Falcons: 4-3
Panthers: 5-1
Saints: 4-4

49ers: 1-6
Cardinals: 3-4
Rams: 4-4
Seahawks: 3-4

Bills: 3-5
Dolphins: 4-3
Jets: 4-3
Patriots: 3-4

Bengals: 5-3
Browns: 5-2
Ravens: 2-5
Steelers: 4-3

Colts: 5-2
Jaguars: 3-4
Texans: 3-4
Titans: 5-3

Broncos: 2-5
Chargers: 4-3
Chiefs: 4-3
Raiders: 6-1

Divisional Games: 14-17
Trend Edge: 17-19
Game Edge: 12-17
Game & Trend Edge: 1-4


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 7, 2014): 10-4-1 (+$330)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 7, 2014): 3-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 7, 2014): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 7, 2014): 9-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 7, 2014): -$220

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-1, 50.0% (+$370)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 59-57-6, 50.9% (-$935)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 23-18, 56.1% (+$770)
2014 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 3-6-1, 33.3% (-$1,330)
2014 Season Over-Under: 59-45-1, 56.7% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$690

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,073-1,901-116, 52.2% (+$11,480)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 667-601-31 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 279-240-11 (53.8%)
Career Over-Under: 1,600-1,582-47 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 2-5
Bears: 3-4
Bucs: 4-2
49ers: 3-3
Eagles: 3-3
Lions: 2-4
Falcons: 3-4
Cardinals: 2-4
Giants: 2-5
Packers: 4-2
Panthers: 2-5
Rams: 3-3
Redskins: 4-3
Vikings: 5-2
Saints: 2-3
Seahawks: 3-3
Bills: 3-4
Bengals: 2-4
Colts: 4-3
Broncos: 4-2
Dolphins: 5-0
Browns: 3-1
Jaguars: 3-4
Chargers: 2-5
Jets: 4-3
Ravens: 2-4
Texans: 5-2
Chiefs: 4-1
Patriots: 4-3
Steelers: 3-4
Titans: 4-2
Raiders: 3-3
Divisional: 12-14 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 7-6 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 6-12 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 14-14 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 3-5 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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