Falcons (8-6) at Buccaneers (9-5). Line: Buccaneers by 3. Over-Under: 36.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Buccaneers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Buccaneers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: Falcons: OUT: MLB Edgerton Hartwell, CB Chris Cash, CB Kevin Mathis. QUESTIONABLE: DE Brady Smith, DT Antwan Lake, KR/PR Allen Rossum. Buccaneers: OUT: QB Brian Griese.

Atlanta can still make the playoffs if it wins its final two games of the season, but doesn't have a chance, based on what the "experts" are saying on TV. Everyone says the Falcons are done because they have to play Tampa Bay and Carolina.

If you look below at the trends, you'll see that the Buccaneers own the Falcons. That's because Tampa Bay shuts down the run and has Simeon Rice and Derrick Brooks on the right side to prevent Michael Vick from scrambling left. Vick, one of the more inaccurate quarterbacks in the NFL, is forced to throw downfield, leading to a few interceptions. However, when these teams clashed on Nov. 20, Vick was 21-of-38 for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Tampa Bay's secondary was exposed a bit against the Patriots, so the Falcons should have some success moving the chains on Saturday.

Atlanta is ranked 31st against the run, so it shouldn't be a surprise that Cadillac Williams played well against the Falcons in the first meeting. In fact, he garnered 116 yards on just 19 carries. Cadillac will once again cruise through wide-open running lanes, setting up play-action for Chris Simms. The Falcons restricted Simms to just 118 passing yards on Nov. 20, but the Tampa Bay signal caller should have more success this time around, now that he has more experience under his belt. It's also important to note that the Falcons failed to sack Simms. That needs to change if Atlanta wants to stay alive.

The Buccaneers dominate the Falcons and under normal circumstances, they would be able to win this contest. However, there are two things going against Tampa Bay: This is a boomerang game for the team, while Atlanta has its back against the wall. Tough game to call.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • History: Buccaneers have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Must-Win Situation: Falcons need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Boomerang Game: Teams returning home from a three game road trip are 5-13 ATS since 2000.
  • Double Road Alert: Jim Mora Jr. is 2-0 ATS on the road following a road loss.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37 to 36.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 69 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Michael Vick, Alge Crumpler, Cadillac Williams, Joey Galloway.
  • Sit Em: T.J. Duckett, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Falcons by 3. (Buccaneers +3). Over.




Bills (4-10) at Bengals (11-3). Line: Bengals by 13. Over-Under: 44.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Bengals by 14.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Bengals by 14.

The Game. Edge: Bengals.
Injuries: Bills: OUT: DT Ron Edwards, OLB Takeo Spikes. QUESTIONABLE: QB J.P. Losman, OT Mike Williams. EXPECTED TO START: QB Kelly Holcomb*. Bengals: OUT: C Larry Moore, S Madieu Williams, S Kim Herring. QUESTIONABLE: RB Chris Perry, WR Chris Henry, DE Carl Powell, DT Bryan Robinson, S Ifeanyi Ohalete.

Congratulations to the Bengals for winning their division for the first time since 1990. How foolish to the Detroit Lions look? They didn't interview Marvin Lewis and settled for Steve Mariucci and a $200,000 fine. Way to go, Matt Millen.

The Bills are proving that the talent in the secondary doesn't really matter if a team can't stop the run. Buffalo has one of the elite secondaries in the NFL, but they are ranked 30th against opposing rush attacks. Like most of the teams Buffalo has faced, Cincinnati will run the ball for about five yards a pop, setting up play-action opportunities for Carson Palmer, who should have all day to throw against a non-existent Bills pass rush. Excluding Aaron Schobel, who has 10 sacks, Buffalo has registered 22 sacks this season. If Cincinnati is focused, it should be able to score at least 30 points on Saturday.

Kelly Holcomb or J.P. Losman? The decision seems trivial because the former is a journeyman quarterback, while the other is a first-round bust. However, Holcomb gives the Bills a greater chance of winning this game. Either way, Buffalo will not be able to move the chains with its rushing attack. Cincinnati is ranked just 19th against the run, but the team has greatly improved in that department in December. In fact, the Bengals have not allowed 75 yards to any running back since beating the Ravens on Nov. 27. Cincinnati will put the clamps on Willis McGahee, forcing either Holcomb or Losman to throw on obvious passing situations. If Holcomb starts, the Bills will be able to convert a fair amount of first downs. If Losman starts, the Bengals will be running back a few interceptions.

I'm assuming that Mike Mularkey, whose job is on the line, will go with Holcomb. This pick will change if Losman is named starter.

Thursday Update: Kelly Holcomb has been named the starter. The Bills should be able to hang with the Bengals.


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
  • Weak Arm: J.P. Losman?
  • Bills are 2-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: Bengals -13 (open) to Bengals -14 to Bengals -13.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Possible showers, 46 degrees. Mild wind, 11 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Carson Palmer, Rudi Johnson, Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals Defense.
  • Sit Em: Willis McGahee, Bills Defense.

Prediction: Bengals by 10. (Bills +13). Under.




Cowboys (8-6) at Panthers (10-4). Line: Panthers by 4. Over-Under: 37.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Panthers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Cowboys: OUT: OT Flozell Adams, ILB Dat Nguyen. QUESTIONABLE: G Marco Rivera. Panthers: OUT: RB Stephen Davis, DT Kris Jenkins.

I think Tim Cowlishaw, a panelist on ESPN's "Around the Horn" said it best: "I showed up to the game, but the Cowboys didn't." What happened to Dallas on Sunday? How was that the same team that beat Kansas City in a shootout the week before?

Given the way Dallas played against Washington, I don't see how the team will be able to score on Carolina. The Cowboys will not be able to establish the run with Julius Jones or Marion Barber III because the Panthers surrender just 3.3 yards per carry. Drew Bledsoe, who is playing behind a dilapidated offensive line, will not have much time to find Terry Glenn, Keyshawn Johnson or Jason Witten downfield; Mike Rucker and Julius Peppers will prove to be too formidable for offensive tackles Torrin Tucker and Rob Petitti.

That said, I don't think Carolina will be able to score much either. Although Dallas is ranked 24th against the run, DeShaun Foster and Nick Goings are respectively gaining just 3.9 and 3.3 yards per carry. The Panthers struggle to move the chains with their ground game, which is why they often ask Jake Delhomme to advance the football. No one in Dallas' secondary can defend Steve Smith, but the Cowboys can prevent the Panthers from converting third downs by getting pressure on Delhomme. Carolina's offensive line showed some vulnerability in recent losses to Chicago and Tampa Bay, so look for Greg Ellis and DeMarcus Ware to pin Delhomme to the ground a few times.

This game means much more to Dallas than it does to Carolina. The Panthers are sitting atop the NFC South, while the Cowboys will be fighting for their playoff lives.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Must-Win Situation: Cowboys need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Look-Ahead Situation: Panthers play the Falcons after this non-divisional game.
  • Cowboys are 10-2 ATS after a loss as an underdog under Bill Parcells.
  • Panthers are 8-15 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or more since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -6 (open) to Panthers -5 to Panthers -5 to Panthers -4.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37 to 37 to 37.
  • Weather: Sunny, 56 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jason Witten, Steve Smith, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Drew Bledsoe, Julius Jones, Marion Barber III, DeShaun Foster, Nick Goings.

Prediction: Panthers by 3. (Cowboys +4). Under.




Lions (4-10) at Saints (3-11). Line: Saints by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Saturday, 1:00 ET
at San Antonio

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Saints by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Saints by 3.

The Game. Edge: Lions.
Injuries: Lions: OUT: CB Fernando Bryant. QUESTIONABLE: RB Kevin Jones*, TE Casey Fitzsimmons, OLB Donte Curry, KR Eddie Drummond. EXPECTED TO START: QB Joey Harrington. Saints: OUT: QB Aaron Brooks*, RB Deuce McAllister, TE Ernie Conwell, OLB James Allen, S Jay Bellamy, KR Michael Lewis. QUESTIONABLE: G Kendyl Jacox.

It's the team that has given up on its general manager against the team that has given up on the NFL Commissioner. Can we just simulate this game like on "Madden 2006?"

If Dick Jauron wants to win his first game as Detroit's interim coach, he will establish Kevin Jones or Artose Pinner as often as possible because the Saints are ranked 23rd against opposing ground attacks. Even Carolina's beleaguered rushing attack was able to accumulate 127 rushing yards when they played them. With Jones or Pinner -- the former is questionable -- stampeding through New Orleans' front seven, Jeff Garcia will be able to orchestrate a few play-action passes to Roy Williams, Scotty Vines and Marcus Pollard.

Detroit also struggles against the run, but it will place eight men in the box, which will put the clamps on Antowain Smith, Aaron Stecker and Anthony Thomas. The Lions will be able to do that because Todd Bouman is scheduled to start again. Bouman threw four interceptions last week.

You know those get-rich-quick video tapes? One of them will tell you to bet against the Saints at home, especially when they are favored. Just look at the numbers.

Thursday Update: Joey Harrington is expected to start.


The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-37 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001; Jim Haslett 2-3 ATS.
  • Saints are 5-11 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Saints are 13-23 ATS at home since 2001.
  • Saints are 7-14 ATS as a home favorite since 2001.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Roy Williams, Scotty Vines, Marcus Pollard, Lions Defense.
  • Sit Em: Kevin Jones (questionable), Saints Offense.

Prediction: Lions by 7. (Lions +3). Money Pick. Under.




Jaguars (10-4) at Texans (2-12). Line: Jaguars by 6. Over-Under: 37.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Jaguars by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Jaguars by 4.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: Jaguars: OUT: QB Byron Leftwich, C Brad Meester, S Donovin Darius. Texans: OUT: OT Todd Wade, ILB Kailee Wong, CB Phillip Buchanon. QUESTIONABLE: RB Domanick Davis*.

The Jaguars will be able to make the playoffs if they beat Houston and Tennessee, but I still have my doubts that they will be able to do that. Maybe it's because they almost lost to Alex Smith and the 49ers on Sunday.

It has become clear that Jacksonville is not the same team with David Garrard at quarterback. Excluding a bogus 15-point spurt against Indianapolis, the team is averaging just 11 points per game with Garrard at the helm. The Jaguars will attempt to establish Fred Taylor and Greg Jones, but Houston will respond by placing eight men in the box, coaxing Garrard to beat the team downfield. However, that plan will not work to well because the Texans have absolutely nothing in their secondary. Remember, Kurt Warner was 10-of-10 for 115 yards before he left last week's game with an injury.

When these two teams played on Nov. 6, the Texans were able to establish a running game with Jonathan Wells, who gained 56 yards on 13 carries. Domanick Davis will probably be out again, but given Wells' 87-yard performance last week, it may not matter. Jacksonville has struggled to wrap up opposing runners this season because safety Donovin Darius incurred a season-ending injury in Week 2. Houston will be able to move the chains against the Jaguars, especially if Davis plays. But, don't expect that many points from Houston; David Carr was sacked six times in the previous meeting.

Houston always plays Jacksonville tough. This could be an upset, considering how poorly the Jaguars have played the previous two weeks.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Texans have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Texans are 5-12 ATS after a win.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 72 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Andre Johnson, Jimmy Smith, Jaguars Defense.
  • Sit Em: Domanick Davis (questionable).

Prediction: Jaguars by 3. (Texans +6). Under.




Giants (10-4) at Redskins (8-6). Line: Redskins by 3. Over-Under: 37.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Redskins by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Redskins by 3.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Injuries: Giants: OUT: DT William Joseph, MLB Antonio Pierce, OLB Barrett Green, CB William Peterson. QUESTIONABLE: WR Jamaar Taylor, OT Luke Petitgout. Redskins: OUT: WR David Patten, DT Brandon Noble. QUESTIONABLE: G Randy Thomas, OLB LaVar Arrington, S Matt Bowen.

How can anyone not be impressed by how the Redskins handled the Cowboys? The defense sacked Drew Bledsoe seven times.

Unless Washington is suffering from collective amnesia, it remembers what Tiki Barber and the Giants did to them on Oct. 30. Barber, inspired by the death of owner Wellington Mara, rushed for 206 yards on 24 carries, helping New York shut out the Redskins, 36-0. Now, it's time for Washington to claim its revenge. The Redskins are also in a must-win situation, so look for an all-out, emotional effort to stop Barber. If Eli Manning is forced into a few third downs, it's unlikely that he'll convert; he threw four interceptions and fumbled once in his previous two road contests. Manning will also be sacked a few times if offensive tackle Luke Petitgout is unavailable.

Kansas City proved that the Giants can be beaten on the ground in the wake of Antonio Pierce's absence; Larry Johnson compiled 167 rushing yards. Clinton Portis, who has gained at least 100 yards in every December contest, should be able to stampede through the Giants' front seven, setting up play-action opportunities for Mark Brunell. The veteran signal caller will find Santana Moss and Chris Cooley downfield. Cooley, a second-year tight end, has emerged as one of the best players at his position; he has registered 64 catches for 725 yards and six touchdowns this season.

The Giants don't need this game as much as Washington does. New York is sitting comfortably atop the NFC East with a two-game lead. If the Redskins lose, they are out of the playoff hunt.


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • History: Giants have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Must-Win Situation: Redskins need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Revenge Situation: Giants humiliated REDSKINS 36-0 on Oct. 30.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 51 degrees. Light wind, 4 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tiki Barber, Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer, Clinton Portis, Santana Moss, Chris Cooley.
  • Sit Em: Giants Defense.

Prediction: Redskins by 10. (Redskins -3). Double Money Pick. Over.




Steelers (9-5) at Browns (5-9). Line: Steelers by 7. Over-Under: 32.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Steelers by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Steelers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: Steelers: QUESTIONABLE: OT Marvel Smith. Browns: OUT: WR Braylon Edwards, TE Kellen Winslow Jr., CB Gary Baxter.

Check out the weather for this game. Rain/snow showers and 17-mph winds. I think it's safe to say that the team with the superior rushing attack will prevail.

When these two squads clashed on Nov. 13, Duce Staley, Jerome Bettis and Verron Haynes combined for 133 yards on 35 carries. Keep in mind that Cleveland was stacking the line of scrimmage because Ben Roethlisberger was hurt. With Roethlisbeger under center, Pittsburgh should have even more success on the ground, considering the Browns yielded 132 yards to LaMont Jordan on Sunday. Healthy thumb, injured thumb or no thumb at all, Roethlisberger probably won't even need to throw because Willie Parker and Bettis will easily bulldoze Cleveland's front seven.

Charlie Frye has played well the past few weeks, but the terrible weather conditions should change that trend. Romeo Crennel will attempt to give Reuben Droughns as many carries as possible. That just won't work because Droughns will be stuffed by the NFL's third-ranked run defense. Frye will be forced to throw in the freezing rain, which will only lead to fumbles and interceptions.

If this game took place in the middle of the season, I'd say that Cleveland would have a chance. However, Pittsburgh's playoff life is on the line. The Steelers cannot afford to take the Browns lightly -- and they won't.


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • History: Steelers have won 10 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Must-Win Sitaution: Steelers need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 53-30 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 46-71 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; BROWNS kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired.
  • Browns are 2-10 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 33 to 32.
  • Weather: Showers, 41 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Willie Parker, Jerome Bettis, Steelers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Ben Roethlisberger, Browns Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Steelers by 19. (Steelers -7). Money Pick. Under.




Chargers (9-5) at Chiefs (8-6). Line: Chargers by 1. Over-Under: 49.
Saturday, 1:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Chiefs by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Chiefs by 1.

The Game. Edge: .
Injuries: Chargers: QUESTIONABLE: OT Roman Oben, S Bhawoh Jue. EXPECTED TO PLAY: RB LaDainian Tomlinson. Chiefs: OUT: RB Priest Holmes. QUESTIONABLE: OLB Shawn Barber, S Jerome Woods.

I was very shocked to hear Dick Vermeil say that everything wasn't on the line for his team when it played the Giants on Saturday. He's dead wrong; everything was on the line. The Chiefs' nonchalant attitude cost them the game -- and any chance they had to make it into the postseason.

On "NFL Primetime," Tom Jackson offered to help the Chiefs learn how to tackle. Maybe they should hire him. Kansas City's effort was extremely uninspiring. If the team can't stop Tiki Barber, how is it going to contain LaDainian Tomlinson? The most dangerous running back in the NFL will be available for Sunday's contest, meaning he will easily rumble through wide-open running lanes. The Chiefs are 25th against the run, so they have no hope in stopping him. Tomlinson's mere presence should permit Drew Brees to utilize play-action. Brees, who was simply phenomenal against the invincible Colts last week, should be able to torch Kansas City's secondary, which pathetically yields 243 passing yards per contest. Antonio Gates, Keenan McCardell and Eric Parker will be open all afternoon.

San Diego always gives Indianapolis problems because the team stops the run and gets immense pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Trent Green is well protected, so the latter won't come into effect, but the Chargers should be able to contain Larry Johnson. In fact, the combination of Johnson and Priest Holmes was limited to just 93 yards when the two teams battled on Oct. 30. San Diego needs to win this game to stay alive in the AFC playoff hunt, so it will not allow Johnson to eclipse the 100-yard plateau. The miserable conditions will prevent Trent Green from torching the Chargers' secondary.

Kansas City showed that it has no desire to make it to the playoffs by laying down in front of the Giants on Saturday. The Chargers are the polar opposite. And, if you're concerned that it will be too cold for San Diego, keep in mind that the Chargers won in Kansas City on Nov. 28 last year. They can play well in the cold.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • History: Home Team has won 12 of the last 15 meetings.
  • Chargers are 14-6 ATS vs. opponents coming off a loss under Marty Schottenheimer.
  • Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -1 (open) to Pick to Chargers -1.
  • Total Movement: 50 (open) to 49 to 50 to 49.
  • Weather: Rain/snow showers, 42 degrees. Mild wind, 19 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Chiefs Passing Attack and Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 3. (Chargers -1). Under.




49ers (2-12) at Rams (5-9). Line: Rams by 9. Over-Under: 42.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Rams by 9.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Rams by 7.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Injuries: 49ers: OUT: TE Eric Johnson, C Jeremy Newberry, DT Bryant Young, CB Mike Rumph, S Tony Parrish. QUESTIONABLE: RB Kevan Barlow, FB Fred Beasley, WR Brandon Lloyd*, WR Arnaz Battle, CB Shawntae Spencer. Rams: OUT: QB Marc Bulger, CB Jerametrius Butler, Travis Fisher. QUESTIONABLE: OT Rex Tucker, DT Brian Howard.

What were the 49ers doing last week when they just barely lost to Jacksonville, 10-9? They can't afford to win. If they do, they will lose out on the Reggie Bush sweepstakes.

San Francisco really needs Bush. The 49ers have no rushing attack and their quarterback looks even worse than Ryan Leaf and Tim Couch. There have been reports that Alex Smith's hands are too small. No wonder he frequently fumbles and throws punts up into the air. If Bush is unavailable, San Francisco should take a close look at Matt Leinart, whom they should have waited for in the first place. Smith is nothing more than a third-string signal caller, which would explain why the 49ers average 9.8 points per game when starts.

The Rams found some success in their running game last week, as Steven Jackson and Marshall Faulk combined for 169 yards on 32 carries. The two runners will easily bulldoze San Francisco's front seven, a unit that struggles to stop the run when playing on the road. The starting quarterback for St. Louis -- whether it's Jamie Martin or Ryan Fitzpatrick -- will utilize play-action and burn the league's last-ranked pass defense; the 49ers surrender a whopping 278 passing yards per contest. Isaac Bruce, Torry Holt and Kevin Curtis will be too much for San Francisco to handle.

I refuse to trust the untalented Alex Smith on the road. It's St. Louis or nothing.


The Trends. Edge: Rams.
  • History: Rams have won 10 of the last 13 meetings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 53-30 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 51-37 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001.
  • Third Road Alert: Teams in their third consecutive road game are 6-13 ATS since 2000.
  • Weak Arm: Alex Smith is 1-2 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 42.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Steven Jackson, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Kevin Curtis, Rams Defense.
  • Sit Em: 49ers Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Rams by 20. (Rams -9). Money Pick. Under.




Titans (4-10) at Dolphins (7-7). Line: Dolphins by 5. Over-Under: 43.
Saturday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Dolphins by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Dolphins by 5.

The Game. Edge: .
Injuries: Titans: OUT: WR Brandon Jones, S Vincent Fuller. QUESTIONABLE: RB Travis Henry, TE Erron Kinney. Dolphins: OUT: WR David Boston, OLB Junior Seau, CB Will Poole, S Tebucky Jones. QUESTIONABLE: QB Gus Frerotte, RB Ronnie Brown*, WR Chris Chambers*

Maybe all NFL coaches should follow Nick Saban's lead and state that they don't care about winning or what the score is. Saban is 4-0 since he uttered those words.

When the Titans played the Seahawks last week, they couldn't get a running game going -- Chris Brown gained 56 yards on 20 carries -- so they had to call 38 pass plays for Steve McNair. Like Seattle, Miami has one of the better ground-stopping defenses in the NFL, so McNair will once again be forced to go to the air often. However, the Titans shouldn't have many problems moving the chains, given that the Dolphins struggle against aerial attacks. After all, Brooks Bollinger accumulated 327 passing yards and two touchdowns last week.

Miami will attempt to keep Tennessee's offense off the field by frequently running the ball with Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown. That shouldn't be a problem, given that the Titans are ranked 28th at wrapping up opposing rushers. The Dolphins' offensive effectiveness will depend upon who starts at quarterback. If Saban is a fool and starts Gus Frerotte, Miami will not score many points and consequently will lose. If Sage Rosenfels is given the reigns, the Dolphins will earn their eighth win of the season.

Even though the Titans have a much worse record than Miami does, this should be a close game. The two teams are about even.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • Look-Ahead Situation: Dolphins play the Patriots after this "easy" game.
  • Line Movement: Dolphins -6 (open) to Dolphins -5.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 43.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 75 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Steve McNair, Drew Bennett, Ben Troupe, Ricky Williams, Ronnie Brown.
  • Sit Em: Chris Brown.

Prediction: Dolphins by 4. (Titans +5). Over.




Eagles (6-8) at Cardinals (4-10). Line: Cardinals by 1. Over-Under: 39.
Saturday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Eagles by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Eagles by 4.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: Eagles: OUT: QB Donovan McNabb, RB Brian Westbrook, RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Terrell Owens, WR Todd Pinkston, OT Tra Thomas, C Hank Fraley, DE Jerome McDougle, DT Paul Grasmanis, CB Lito Sheppard, P Dirk Johnson. Cardinals: OUT: QB Kurt Warner*, FB James Hodgins, G Reggie Wells, DE Bert Berry, DE Calvin Pace, CB Antrel Rolle. QUESTIONABLE: QB Josh McCown, G Elton Brown, CB Eric Green.

I put a Money Pick tag on the Eagles last week because I knew that their defensive veterans -- Jeremiah Trotter, Brian Dawkins, Jevon Kearse, Hollis Thomas -- would be playing for pride.

If Houston can score 30 points on Arizona's woeful defense, why can't Philadelphia? The Cardinals are ranked 20th against the run, fail to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks and have no talent in their secondary. Ryan Moats, who has registered 192 rushing yards on just 23 carries the previous two weeks, will easily stampede through Arizona's front seven, setting up play-action opportunities for Mike McMahon, who will have all day to find L.J. Smith and the emerging Reggie Brown downfield.

Arizona has no running game. That has been a constant this season. Now, it lacks a potent aerial attack because Kurt Warner is out and Josh McCown is banged up. John Navarre will be asked to start for Arizona. Philadelphia's defense will feast on the second-year signal caller from Michigan.

I'm going to keep taking the Eagles. The veteran leadership they have will be the reason they finish 7-9 or 8-8.


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Eagles are 33-17 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 16-7 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.
  • Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Cardinals -1 (open) to Cardinals -1.
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 39.
  • Weather: Sunny, 77 degrees. Light wind, 5 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ryan Moats, Reggie Brown, L.J. Smith, Eagles Defense.
  • Sit Em: Cardinals Offense (excluding Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin) and Defense.

Prediction: Eagles by 9. (Eagles +1). Money Pick. Under.




Colts (13-1) at Seahawks (12-2). Line: Seahawks by 9. Over-Under: 44.
Saturday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Colts by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Colts by 3.

The Game. Edge: .
Injuries: Colts: OUT: OT Ryan Diem, CB Donald Strickland. DOUBTFUL: DE Robert Mathis, DT Corey Simon. QUESTIONABLE: WR Marvin Harrison*, DE Dwight Freeney, DT Montae Reagor, OLB Cato June, CB Nick Harper, CB Marlin Jackson, S Bob Sanders. EXPECTED TO PLAY: QB Jim Sorgi*. Seahawks: OUT: OLB Jamie Sharper, CB Kelly Herndon, S Ken Hamlin. QUESTIONABLE: OLB D.D. Lewis.

I think Vegas is trying to tell us something. Seattle favored by seven? I guess Peyton Manning isn't going to play that much.

Tony Dungy said that Jim Sorgi will see some action on Sunday. Based upon Dungy's tactics in last year's season finale, Sorgi will probably play all but one series in the game. It's safe to say that the Seahawks will be able to shut down an offense led by Sorgi. However, even if Manning was scheduled to play the entire contest, I'd have faith in Seattle's stop unit to keep the Colts to around 20 points. San Diego proved that Indianapolis can be stopped if you shut down Edgerrin James and put pressure on Manning. The Seahawks would be able to do both because they are ranked fifth against the run and have the most sacks (45) in the NFL.

If Manning is not going to play the entire game, I wonder how long Dwight Freeney, Bob Sanders and the other Colts defenders will play. Either way, the Seahawks will be able to establish a ground attack with Shaun Alexander, who will run behind left tackle Walter Jones. That will allow Matt Hasselbeck to orchestrate a few play-action passes, exposing the Colts' weak cornerbacks.

It's tough to analyze this contest because no one knows how long Manning and company will play. Looking back to 2004, the Colts had a meaningless matchup with Denver at the end of the regular season. They lost, 33-14.

Thursday Update: The Colts have placed virtually every starter on the injured list. Hmmm... I wonder what that means.


The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Colts are 10-4 ATS vs. the NFC under Tony Dungy.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -8 (open) to Seahawks -9.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Rain, 58 degrees. Mild wind, 11 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Seahawks Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Colts Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 17. (Seahawks -9). Money Pick. Over.




Raiders (4-10) at Broncos (11-3). Line: Broncos by 13. Over-Under: 42.
Saturday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Broncos by 14.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Broncos by 14.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: Raiders: OUT: WR Ronald Curry, G Langston Walker, DT Warren Sapp, CB Charles Woodson, S Derrick Gibson, S Reggie Tongue. DOUBTFUL: RB LaMont Jordan*. QUESTIONABLE: C Jake Grove. Broncos: OUT: OT Dwayne Carswell, CB Darrent Williams.

The Raiders have given up. The Broncos are 11-3. Should be a 1,538-point victory for Denver, right?

The last time these two teams met was a Nov. 13 matchup in Oakland. Although the Raiders only lost by two touchdowns, they were down 23-0 going into the fourth quarter. They could neither throw the ball nor run against the Broncos, who have the sixth-ranked rush defense in the NFL. However, thanks to Darrent Williams' injury, Denver has shown a slight vulnerability in its secondary. Kerry Collins should be able to complete a few downfield strikes to Randy Moss and Jerry Porter.

As bad and as unfocused as the Raiders have been this season, they have been formidable against opposing ground attacks. In fact, they are ranked ninth in that category. If Oakland decides to show up -- and it will because this is a heated divisional contest -- Mike Anderson and Tatum Bell will have trouble finding lanes to run through. If Jake Plummer is confronted with a plethora of long-yardage situations, he will not be able to utilize his patented play-action bootlegs. When Plummer doesn't have an effective running game, he has a tendency to throw picks. I expect that to happen on Sunday.

This is Oakland's Super Bowl. Even though the Raiders have given up on Norv Turner, they will show up one last time in 2005. The Broncos won't take Oakland seriously. This could be a huge upset.

Thursday Update: LaMont Jordan is doubtful. I have taken the Money Pick tag off of this game.


The Trends. Edge: Raiders.
  • History: Broncos have won 12 of the last 16 meetings.
  • Look-Ahead Situation: Broncos play the Chargers after this "easy" game.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 53-30 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Broncos are 7-4 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Broncos are 24-34 ATS vs. opponents coming off a loss under Mike Shanahan.
  • Broncos are 12-7 ATS vs. AFC West opponents since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -13 (open) to Broncos -12 to Broncos -13.
  • Total Movement: 43 (open) to 42.
  • Weather: Sunny, 53 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kerry Collins, Randy Moss, Jerry Porter, Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie.
  • Sit Em: Mike Anderson, Tatum Bell.

Prediction: Raiders by 3. (Raiders +13). Upset Special. Under.




Bears (10-4) at Packers (3-11). Line: Bears by 7. Over-Under: 31.
Sunday, 5:00 ET
MERRY CHRISTMAS

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Bears by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Bears by 6.

The Game. Edge: Bears.
Injuries: Bears: OUT: RB Cedric Benson, WR Mark Bradley. Packers: OUT: RB Ahman Green, RB Najeh Davenport, WR Javon Walker, S Earl Little, KR Terrence Murphy. QUESTIONABLE: RB Samkon Gado*, TE Bubba Franks.

Merry Christmas to everyone. Unfortunately, Santa Claus has brought us a bag of coal -- this matchup stinks.

Could Rex Grossman be the second coming of Jim McMahon? Can he lead the incredible Bears' defense to a Super Bowl appearance? He looked good on Sunday night against the Falcons, and he should continue to shine against the Packers, who were absolutely brutal on Monday Night Football. How can any defense permit Kyle Boller to go 19-of-27 for 253 yards and three touchdowns? How can any stop unit surrender 105 rushing yards to a burnt-out Jamal Lewis? The Packers are pathetic and they will continue to look that way on Christmas. Thomas Jones will easily stampede through their front seven, setting up play-action for Grossman. The Bears might actually score 30 points.

I feel like the Grinch saying this, but Brett Favre should volunteer to sit down. His long passes look like punts. He threw two key interceptions when he played the Bears on Dec. 4. I can't imagine him throwing any less this time, especially when you consider that he will be without a rushing attack; Samkon Gado will be neutralized by the seventh-ranked ground defense in the NFL. Favre will once again be asked to carry his team, which something he can no longer do.

All signs point to the Bears, so I'm going to pick them to cover the spread. However, I would stay away from betting this contest. Favre has an outstanding career record as a home underdog. It's enough to keep me from throwing bags of money on Chicago.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Bears have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Sandwich Situation: After a tough game with the Falcons, the Bears have this "easy" game prior to playing the Vikings.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 53-30 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Brett Favre is 14-8 ATS as an underdog since 2002.
  • Brett Favre is 8-2 ATS as a home underdog in his career.
  • Packers are 19-9 ATS after Monday Night Football in the previous 28 instances.
  • Packers are 8-5 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Bears -7 (open) to Bears -6 to Bears -7.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Cloudy, 25 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Thomas Jones, Muhsin Muhammad, Bears Defense.
  • Sit Em: Packers Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Bears by 16. (Bears -7). Under.




Vikings (8-6) at Ravens (5-9). Line: Ravens by 3. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 8:30 ET
MERRY CHRISTMAS

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Vikings by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Vikings by 2.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: Vikings: OUT: QB Daunte Culpepper, RB Moe Williams, RB Onterrio Smith, C Matt Birk, DE Kenechi Udeze, CB Fred Smoot. Ravens: OUT: MLB Ray Lewis, S Will Demps.

In 2003, the Vikings started 6-0 and finished 8-8. A year later, they were 5-1 but concluded the 2004 campaign with an identical 8-8 mark. This season, Minnesota was 8-5 and in control of its own destiny. Could the team finish 8-8 again?

We all saw what happened to Brad Johnson when he does not have a rushing attack to lean on. During Minnesota's six-game winning streak, the team battled other squads that could not stop the run: Detroit, Green Bay, Cleveland and St. Louis. Pittsburgh easily shut down Michael Bennett and Mewelde Moore on Sunday, forcing Johnson into two interceptions. The Ravens, who put the clamps on Mike Anderson and Tatum Bell two weeks ago, should have no problem stuffing Bennett and Moore in the backfield. Johnson will be forced to convert obvious passing situations against an opportunistic secondary. Nothing good can come from that.

Kyle Boller had the game of his life on Monday night, as the beleaguered signal caller threw for 253 yards and three scores. Minnesota's defensive backs are formidable, but its run defense is not. In fact, Willie Parker and Verron Haynes tallied 117 yards on 23 carries. If Jamal Lewis and Chester Taylor can further expose Minnesota's defensive front, Boller will be able to find Todd Heap wide open downfield.

I'm not jumping on the Boller bandwagon; I still need to see a few positive performances from him. However, I am -- and have always been -- on the committee that bets against the Vikings when they play outdoors and their playoff lives are on the line.


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Must-Win Situation: Vikings need a win to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
  • Post Monday Night Momentum: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 9-5 ATS the following week this year.
  • Vikings are 10-18 ATS (4-24 SU) outdoors since 2001.
  • Vikings are 3-21 ATS in road finale since 1980.
  • Line Movement: Ravens -2 (open) to Ravens -3.
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 35.
  • Weather: Rain, 46 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Todd Heap, Ravens Defense.
  • Sit Em: Vikings Offense.

Prediction: Ravens by 4. (Ravens -3). Under.




Patriots (9-5) at Jets (3-11). Line: Patriots by 6. Over-Under: 37.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 15 Games): Patriots by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 15 Games): Patriots by 5.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: Patriots: OUT: C Dan Koppen, CB Randall Gay, CB Tyrone Poole, S Rodney Harrison. QUESTIONABLE: RB Heath Evans, TE Ben Watson, OT Matt Light, OT Nick Kaczur. Jets: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, QB Jay Fiedler, RB Curtis Martin, WR Wayne Chrebet, OT Jason Fabini, C Kevin Mawae, OLB Eric Barton. QUESTIONABLE: RB Derrick Blaylock, DE Shaun Ellis, DT Dewayne Robertson.

First, NBC plagued us with terrible TV shows. Next, NBC's new Sunday night package took NFL Primetime away. Now, NBC's deal has initiated the end of Monday Night Football as we know it. I hope people boycott NBC with me next fall.

The Patriots only scored 16 points against the Jets when the two teams battled on Dec. 4. However, Corey Dillon wasn't completely healthy, while the offensive line was still getting itself together. New England will have an easier time moving the chains against a stop unit that could be missing two of its defensive linemen, Shaun Ellis and Dewayne Robertson. Dillon and Kevin Faulk will find open running lanes against the NFL's 13th-ranked run defense, setting up play-action for Tom Brady.

New England is back. The front seven, which currently features Tedy Bruschi and Richard Seymour at 100 percent, should be able to put immense pressure on Brooks Bollinger. The Jets will not have an effective ground attack -- Curtis Martin is out and the Patriots are eighth against the run -- so Bollinger will be asked to move the chains by himself. The University of Wisconsin alumnus seems to have a bright future ahead of him, but his outlook on Monday night seems pretty bleak.

Is there any doubt the Patriots will win this game? They are back and are ready to hunt down the Colts.


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
  • History: Patriots have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Patriots are 16-5 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Tom Brady is 66-19 as a starter (54-30 ATS).
  • Jets are 7-16-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 26 instances.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -5 (open) to Patriots -5 to Patriots -6.
  • Total Movement: 37 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Rain/snow showers, 20 degrees. Heavy wind, 21 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tom Brady, Corey Dillon, Deion Branch, David Givens, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jets Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Patriots by 14. (Patriots -6). Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 3-9
Eagles: 7-7
Giants: 7-6
Redskins: 6-7

Bears: 8-5
Lions: 8-5
Packers: 8-6
Vikings: 9-5

Buccaneers: 9-5
Falcons: 8-6
Panthers: 9-3
Saints: 8-5

49ers: 4-10
Cardinals: 5-8
Rams: 7-7
Seahawks: 8-6

Bills: 6-7
Dolphins: 5-9
Jets: 8-6
Patriots: 7-7

Bengals: 10-4
Browns: 9-5
Ravens: 7-7
Steelers: 6-8

Colts: 9-5
Jaguars: 5-9
Texans: 8-6
Titans: 10-4

Broncos: 5-8
Chargers: 7-6
Chiefs: 6-6
Raiders: 11-2

Divisional Games: 40-34
Trend Edge: 28-41
Game Edge: 32-31
Game & Trend Edge: 4-7


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 8, 2014): 4-11 (+$320)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 8, 2014): 2-2 (+$80)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 8, 2014): 0-1 (-$440)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 8, 2014): 9-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 8, 2014): $0

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-1, 50.0% (+$370)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 63-68-6, 48.1% (-$615)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 25-20, 55.6% (+$850)
2014 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 3-7-1, 30.0% (-$1,770)
2014 Season Over-Under: 68-51-1, 57.1% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$690

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,077-1,912-116, 52.1% (+$11,800)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 669-603-31 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 279-241-11 (53.7%)
Career Over-Under: 1,609-1,588-47 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 3-5
Bears: 3-5
Bucs: 5-2
49ers: 3-3
Eagles: 4-3
Lions: 2-5
Falcons: 3-5
Cardinals: 3-4
Giants: 2-5
Packers: 5-2
Panthers: 2-6
Rams: 3-4
Redskins: 5-3
Vikings: 6-2
Saints: 3-3
Seahawks: 3-4
Bills: 3-5
Bengals: 2-6
Colts: 4-4
Broncos: 4-3
Dolphins: 5-1
Browns: 3-2
Jaguars: 3-5
Chargers: 2-6
Jets: 4-4
Ravens: 2-5
Texans: 5-3
Chiefs: 4-2
Patriots: 4-4
Steelers: 3-5
Titans: 4-3
Raiders: 3-4
Divisional: 13-18 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 7-9 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 7-12 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 18-16 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 13-8 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 4-5 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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