Lions (4-5) at Vikings (5-4). Line: Vikings by 8. Over-Under: 48.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Vikings by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Vikings by 8.

The Game. Edge: Vikings.
Injuries: LIONS: OUT: WR Charles Rogers, LB Boss Bailey, S Brian Walker. DOUBTFUL: WR Az Hakim. QUESTIONABLE: WR Tai Streets. VIKINGS: OUT: WR Randy Moss*, OT Mike Rosenthal, CB Ken Irvin, S Tyrone Carter, K Aaron Elling. QUESTIONABLE: RB Mewelde Moore*.

Terrible, boring, inefficient, ugly... some of the many adjectives that can be used to describe Detroit's offense. Kevin Jones has been disappointing this season, accumulating only 308 rushing yards, gaining just 3.5 yards per carry in the process. Even against the Cowboys, who yield 4.8 yards per carry, Jones tallied just 36 rushing yards. This is placing tons of pressure on Joey Harrington, who is forced to throw in a plethora of long yardage situations. Harrington completed just 33% of his passes last Sunday, which really wasn't his fault. Don't expect much from Detroit's offense on Sunday.

On the other hand, Minnesota will be able to score on nearly every possession. The Vikings proved that they can move the chains without Randy Moss on Sunday, when they registered 31 points against a solid Packers defense. The Lions allow 225 passing yards per game and have shown no signs that they can contain opposing aerial attacks. Daunte Culpepper will shred a sub par Detroit secondary with deep throws to Nate Burleson and Marcus Robinson. That will pin the Lions safeties back, allowing Michael Bennett and Onterrio Smith to gain respectable yardage on the ground.

An interesting statistic if you are planning to lay 7 with the favorite: Minnesota has not defeated Detroit by more than seven points at home since 1998, the year they were 15-1.


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.
  • History: Vikings have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Line Movement: Vikings -7 (open) to Vikings -7 to Vikings -7 to Vikings -8.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 48.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Roy Williams, Vikings Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Joey Harrington, Kevin Jones, Detroit Defense.

Prediction: Vikings by 7. (Vikings +8). Over.




Broncos (6-3) at Saints (4-5). Line: Broncos by 4. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Broncos by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Broncos by 3.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: BRONCOS: OUT: RB Mike Anderson, RB Quentin Griffin, DE Trevor Pryce, DT Luther Elliss. QUESTIONABLE: S John Lynch. SAINTS: OUT: DE Willie Whitehead. DOUBTFUL: LB Derrick Rodgers, CB Ashley Ambrose. QUESTIONABLE: WR Joe Horn* (Should play), TE Ernie Conwell, CB Mike McKenzie.

If the Saints want to win this game, they need to contain Reuben Droughns. When the Broncos get their running game going, Jake Plummer utilizes play-action bootlegs and connects downfield to Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie and the rest of his receivers. New Orleans is ranked 30th in run defense, allowing 4.9 yards per carry. So much for containing Droughns. The Saints' stop unit will be torched all afternoon.

New Orleans needs to light up the scoreboard to keep pace with the Broncos. They need to establish Deuce McAllister as a potent threat to do so. Denver has surrendered just four yards per carry this season, but in the past few weeks, their defense against opposing rushing attacks has faltered. Domanick Davis tallied 71 yards on just 19 carries two weeks ago, while Rudi Johnson compiled 119 yards four weeks ago. McAllister should have some success running the football, given Denver's recent futility against the run. The Broncos safeties will be drawn toward the line of scrimmage, softening up the coverage on Joe Horn, Donte' Stallworth and Boo Williams. As long as Aaron Brooks doesn't do something foolish like throw the football backward, the Saints should stay within striking distance of the Broncos.

Scheduling dynamics do not favor Denver. After this non-conference match-up, the Broncos will battle AFC West rivals Oakland and San Diego. Denver may not be focused for this contest.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: BRONCOS: Next games - Oakland, San Diego.
  • Saints are 13-22 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Saints are 1-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -4 (open) to Broncos -4.
  • Total Movement: 47 (open) to 48 to 47.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jake Plummer, Reuben Droughns, Rod Smith, Aaron Brooks, Deuce McAllister, Joe Horn.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Broncos by 3. (Saints +4). Under.




49ers (1-8) at Buccaneers (3-6). Line: Buccaneers by 7. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Buccaneers by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Buccaneers by 7.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: 49ERS: OUT: DE Brandon Whiting, LB Julian Peterson, CB Mike Rumph. DOUBTFUL: C Jeremy Newberry, CB Ahmed Plummer. QUESTIONABLE: CB Jimmy Williams, CB Shawntae Spencer. BUCCANEERS: OUT: RB Charlie Garner, TE Rickey Dudley, G Kerry Jenkins, G Matt O'Dwyer, DE Ellis Wyms. DOUBTFUL: DT Anthony McFarland. QUESTIONABLE: FB Mike Alstott.

Tampa Bay still has one of the better stop units in the NFL, but the Falcons demonstrated how to beat their defense. The Buccaneers' quick, but small defensive front is vulnerable to big, physical offensive lines, blocking for a solid running back. Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett gashed Tampa's front seven.

San Francisco neither has a powerful offensive line, nor a potent rushing attack. Kevan Barlow has gained just 3.4 yards per carry this season, and only managed 47 rushing yards against a Panthers defense that permits 4.4 yards per carry. Tim Rattay will have to move the chains himself by throwing into a very lethal secondary. Tampa's defensive backs should come away with a few interceptions on Sunday.

The 49ers "can't stop anyone" unit allowed 37 points to the Stephen Davis- DeShaun Foster- and Steve Smith-less Panthers. The injuries to the top four cornerbacks on the depth chart has created mayhem in San Francisco's secondary - they surrender 219 passing yards per contest. The Buccaneers should be able to do whatever they want in this contest - whether it's running the football with Michael Pittman, or throwing with Brian Griese - and they should tally well over 30 points.


The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 9-15 ATS since 2002.
  • Line Movement: Buccaneers -7 (open) to Buccaneers -8 to Buccaneers -7.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 42.
  • Weather: Sunny, 83 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tim Rattay, Eric Johnson, Buccaneers Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Kevan Barlow, 49ers Defense.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 21. (Buccaneers -7). Money Pick. Over.




Cardinals (4-5) at Panthers (2-7). Line: Panthers by 2. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Panthers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Cardinals.
Injuries: CARDINALS: OUT: RB Marcel Shipp, DE Fred Wakefield. QUESTIONABLE: LB Karlos Dansby. PANTHERS: OUT: RB Stephen Davis*, RB DeShaun Foster, WR Steve Smith, G Bruce Nelson, G Doug Brzezinski, DT Kris Jenkins, LB Dan Morgan, S Damien Richardson, K John Kasay, KR Rod Smart. QUESTIONABLE: QB Jake Delhomme*, RB Joey Harris, TE Kris Mangum, CB Artrell Hawkins, K John Kasay.

There is no line on this game because Jake Delhomme is questionable with a thumb injury. If he plays, the line will probably be three, and if he doesn't, the Cardinals may be a small favorite. This game will be covered once a line is posted.

SATURDAY UPDATE: Delhomme remains questionable with a thumb injury. He is a game-time decision, but there is some optimism that he will play. A line has been released on this contest. Going with the injury-free Cardinals is the right move.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 9-15 ATS since 2002.
  • Panthers are 2-10 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -3 (open) to OFF to Panthers -2.
  • Total Movement: 39 (open) to 37 to OFF to 37.
  • Weather: Showers, 69 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em:
  • Sit Em:

Prediction: Cardinals by 6. (Cardinals +2?). Under.




Titans (3-6) at Jaguars (6-3). Line: Jaguars by 3. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Jaguars by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Jaguars by 6.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: TITANS: OUT: WR Tyrone Calico, OT Brad Hopkins, G Zach Piller, DT Albert Haynesworth, LB Peter Sirmon, S Tank Williams, S Lance Schulters, K Joe Nedney. DOUBTFUL: RB Chris Brown*, LB Rocky Calmus. QUESTIONABLE: QB Steve McNair* (Should play), CB Samari Rolle. JAGUARS: OUT: QB Byron Leftwich, OT Mike Pearson, DE Lionel Barnes, DE Paul Spicer. DOUBTFUL: TE George Wrighster. QUESTIONABLE: DT Marcus Stroud.

The Titans are the third most injured team in the NFL, trailing the 49ers and Panthers. Chris Brown is doubtful and if Tennessee lacks his services, they will go with Antowain Smith as their starting running back. Not good, especially against a Jaguars defense that yields 3.9 yards per carry. Steve McNair is questionable once again, but without a respectable ground attack, an injured McNair will not be able to battle a stout Jaguars defense, which finally returned to form Sunday, allowing just seven points and 190 yards to the Detroit Lions.

Jacksonville will easily establish a rushing attack with Fred Taylor, because Tennessee permits 4.8 yards per carry and will be missing Albert Haynesworth, Rocky Calmus, Peter Sirmon, Tank Williams and Lance Schulters from their starting lineup. David Garrard proved he can carry the Jaguars last Sunday, completing 19 of 36 pass attempts for 198 yards and two touchdowns. The Titans cannot place eight or nine men in the box to stop Taylor - they have to honor Garrard and Jimmy Smith - and consequently will be heavily scored upon.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • History: Titans have won 9 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 28-55 ATS since 2001. Jaguars scored a GW touchdown in overtime.
  • Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 36.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 80 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Derrick Mason, Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, Jaguars Defense.
  • Sit Em: Steve McNair, Billy Volek, Chris Brown, Titans Defense.

Prediction: Jaguars by 16. (Jaguars -3). Money Pick. Under.




Cowboys (3-6) at Ravens (6-3). Line: Ravens by 8. Over-Under: 36.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Ravens by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Ravens by 9.

The Game. Edge: Ravens.
Injuries: COWBOYS: OUT: WR Terry Glenn, CB Pete Hunter, S Darren Woodson. DOUBTFUL: RB Julius Jones. RAVENS: OUT: LB Peter Boulware, CB Dale Carter, P Dave Zastudil. DOUBTFUL: TE Todd Heap*, CB Chris McAlister. QUESTIONABLE: OT Jonathan Ogden, G Edwin Militalo, CB Deion Sanders.

Vinny Testaverde and Eddie George versus the Ravens defense sounds like a boxing match between Mike Tyson and Maria Sharapova, but maybe "Tyson" isn't totally focused with a game against the Patriots the following week, an emotional victory the previous week and a pathetic opponent this week.

Running the ball will not be an option against Baltimore's front seven, but Testaverde could move the chains with passes to talented tight end Jason Witten, especially since the Ravens might be missing cornerbacks Chris McAlister and Deion Sanders.

Kyle Boller had the best game of his career Sunday, completing 19 of 33 pass attempts for 213 yards and two touchdowns. A fluke or a sign of things to come? I'll go with the former - every dog has its day. The Ravens will attempt to ram Jamal Lewis down Dallas' throat and may be successful, even against eight or nine man fronts. However, Boller will be forced to complete third down passes, and he may not move the chains that often.

Laying eight with an awful Baltimore offense isn't a wise move. If their defense doesn't score, they may not even put eight points on the scoreboard. It's Dallas or nothing in this contest.


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 28-55 ATS since 2001. Ravens kicked a GW FG with in overtime.
  • Look-Ahead Alert: RAVENS: Next games - New England, Cincinnati.
  • Ravens are 23-13 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Ravens are 8-1 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Showers, 67 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Jason Witten, Jamal Lewis, Ravens Defense.
  • Sit Em: Vinny Testaverde, Eddie George, Kyle Boller.

Prediction: Ravens by 3. (Cowboys +8). Money Pick. Under.




Rams (5-4) at Bills (3-6). Line: Rams by 1. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Bills by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Rams by 3.

The Game. Edge: Bills.
Injuries: RAMS: OUT: OT Kyle Turley, G Chris Dishman, C Dave Wohlabaugh, S Zack Bronson. BILLS: OUT: WR Josh Reed, C Trey Teague, CB Troy Vincent. DOUBTFUL: S Coy Wire.

This is a death trap for St. Louis. They are coming off a monstrous win against rival Seattle, sweeping the season series. Now, the Rams have to travel to frigid, windy and moist Buffalo.

In conditions like these, the team that runs the ball more efficiently usually wins. Mike Martz doesn't run the ball enough with Marshall Faulk or Steven Jackson. Even if he does realize that throwing the football around in this environment is treacherous, the Bills surrender only 3.8 yards per carry. Buffalo's secondary and the windy conditions at Orchard Park restrict opposing quarterbacks to just 164 passing yards at home. The Rams' offense will be on lockdown most of the afternoon.

Unlike the Rams, the Bills will have success running the football. Willis McGahee has been outstanding, gaining 132, 102 and 111 rushing yards in his three home starts. St. Louis yields an embarrassing 4.9 yards per carry, which means McGahee could approach the 150 yard plateau Sunday. Bledsoe will capitalize on McGahee's huge gains by enticing a porous Rams secondary with play-action fakes, albeit Bledsoe's throws will be limited by the weather.


The Trends. Edge: Bills.
  • Sandwich Situation: RAMS: Last game - Seahawks. Next games - Packers, 49ers.
  • Rams are 6-14 ATS in road games since 2001.
  • Rams are 5-10 ATS on grass since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Pick (open) to Rams -1.
  • Total Movement:
  • Weather: Showers, 53 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Willis McGahee, Bills Defense.
  • Sit Em: Torry Holt, Drew Bledsoe.

Prediction: Bills by 9. (Bills +1). Double Money Pick. Under.




Colts (6-3) at Bears (4-5). Line: Colts by 8. Over-Under: 44.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Colts by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Colts by 7.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: COLTS: OUT: G Tupe Peko, CB Donald Strickland, CB Nick Harper. DOUBTFUL: G Rick Demulling, S Michael Doss. BEARS: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, LB Brian Urlacher*, CB Charles Tillman, CB Alfonso Marshall, S Mike Brown. DOUBTFUL: LB Marcus Reese.

Craig Krenzel is 3-0 as a starter, and he does an exceptional job managing games, but his streak of victories will most likely end Sunday. Keep in mind that the Bears' defense is responsible for their recent success. However, they have enjoyed beating up on inept offenses like the 49ers, Giants and Steve McNair-less Titans. The Colts' scoring unit will not be stopped by the Bears, who will be without their best player, Brian Urlacher. The Bears' streak of holding teams under four yards per carry since Oct. 17 will be snapped Sunday. The loss of Urlacher and the amount of focus on Peyton Manning and his talented receivers will impact Chicago's run-stopping ability. If the Bears place lots of attention of Edgerrin James, Manning will torch their battered secondary. Don't expect Colts punter Hunter Smith to take the field often.

Krenzel is undefeated, but realistically, he only completes 43% of his passes, throws more interceptions (4) than touchdowns (2) and possesses a quarterback rating of 49.4. Indianapolis' defense is pathetic, but for the second consecutive week, they will take care of business against a struggling, one-dimensional offense. It's no secret that Chicago will attempt to run the football with Thomas Jones and Anthony Thomas. Indianapolis has allowed 4.5 yards per rush this season, but permitted just 3.6 yards per carry to the Texans last Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: Colts.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 28-55 ATS since 2001. Bears scored a GW safety in overtime.
  • Bears are 1-3 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Colts -7 (open) to Colts -8.
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 44 to 44.
  • Weather: Sunny, 45 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Colts Offense.
  • Sit Em: Bears Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Colts by 24. (Colts -8). Bonus Double Money Pick. Over.




Steelers (8-1) at Bengals (4-5). Line: Steelers by 4. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Steelers by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Steelers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: STEELERS: OUT: G Kendall Simmons, NT Casey Hampton, CB Chad Scott. DOUBTFUL: RB Duce Staley*. BENGALS: OUT: DT Tony Williams, LB Nate Webster, CB Dennis Weathersby, CB Greg Brooks, P Kyle Richardson. DOUBTFUL: CB Rashad Bauman. QUESTIONABLE: OT Willie Anderson, DT Carl Powell, CB Deltha O'Neal.

These two teams met on Oct. 3 in a close contest until Carson Palmer threw an interception returned for a touchdown, late in the fourth quarter. The Steelers won, 28-17. However, the Bengals were playing on the road, where they are just 1-4 this season.

This will be the first game where the Steelers' run defense is truly tested. Run-stuffer extraordinaire Casey Hampton suffered a season-ending injury on Oct. 18, but Pittsburgh has not faced a potent rushing attack since his injury. Rudi Johnson, who rushed for 123 yards on 24 carries against the Steelers in their previous match-up, should have a lot of success running between the tackles. Rudi's huge gains on the ground will permit Palmer to run play-action, and connect downfield with Pro Bowl receiver Chad Johnson. Cincinnati should be able to move the chains against Pittsburgh's stop unit.

Speaking of moving the chains, the Steelers will also put up tons of points and yardage Sunday. Cincinnati can stop neither the run nor the pass. Duce Staley is listed as questionable, but Jerome Bettis has proven he can carry the load in Staley's absence. The Bengals allow a laughable 4.8 yards per rush, so Bettis will once again shatter the century mark.

The national media and Gerard Warren's foolish tirade about taking off Roethlisberger's head nullified a potential letdown situation for the Steelers. Unless the Bengals pull a similar stunt, Pittsburgh's letdown could occur this week. The Steelers will lose this game if they aren't focused.


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.
  • History: Steelers have won 7 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Letdown Alert: STEELERS: Last three games - New England, Philadelphia, Cleveland.
  • Improbable Cover: Teams playing on the road a week after winning and covering on the road are 15-20 ATS since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Steelers -4 (open) to Steelers -4 to Steelers -4.
  • Total Movement: 40 (open) to 43 to 40.
  • Weather: Showers, 58 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Carson Palmer, Rudi Johnson, Chad Johnson, Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward, Plaxico Burress.
  • Sit Em: Duce Staley (questionable), Both Defenses.

Prediction: Steelers by 1. (Bengals +4). Over.




Jets (6-3) at Browns (3-6). Line: Pick. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Jets by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Jets by 3.

The Game. Edge: Jets.
Injuries: JETS: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, DT Josh Evans, CB Ray Mickens. QUESTIONABLE: DE Shaun Ellis, S Jon McGraw. BROWNS: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr., G Kelvin Garmon, DE Courtney Brown, LB Ben Taylor, LB Brant Boyer. DOUBTFUL: WR Andre Davis, WR Andre King.

Curtis Martin will once again carry most of the offensive burden with Chad Pennington out of the lineup. Martin should eclipse the century mark in this contest, despite Cleveland's ranking as the sixth best run defense in the NFL. Martin pummeled the fourth-ranked Ravens, while the Browns allowed 103 yards to Jerome Bettis on Sunday. Martin's ability to rip off huge chunks of yardage will once again assist Quincy Carter, who played well in his debut as the Jets' signal caller. He completed 13 of 22 passes for 175 yards, but more importantly, neither threw an interception, nor fumbled. However, Cleveland's secondary performs much better at the Dog Pound (195 passing yards allowed), compared to on the road (239 passing yards allowed). This type of defensive dichotomy is responsible for the Browns' 3-2 record at home.

The Jets are also superb against the run; they are ranked 10th and restricted Jamal Lewis to just 71 rushing yards on 30 carries Sunday. If New York can put the clamps on Lewis, containing William Green and Lee Suggs may seem like a walk in the park. However, the Jets surrender 206 passing yards per contest, and they made Kyle Boller look like the second-coming of Trent Dilfer. Jeff Garcia should be able to move the chains, despite the lack of an effective running game.

The trends favor the Browns to win, but they are dead in the water with a 3-6 record. Following a loss to a hated rival, Cleveland may not have much interest in winning this game. New York, on the other hand, needs a victory to keep pace with the five other 6-3 AFC teams.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 33-26 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001 (Butch Davis 2-0).
  • Browns are 4-1 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Pick (open) to Browns -1 to Pick to Browns -1 to Pick.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 37.
  • Weather: Showers, 61 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Curtis Martin, Jeff Garcia.
  • Sit Em: Santana Moss, William Green, Lee Suggs.

Prediction: Jets by 3. (Jets PK). Under.




Chargers (6-3) at Raiders (3-6). Line: Chargers by 4. Over-Under: 48.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Chargers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Chargers by 3.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: CHARGERS: OUT: WR Reche Caldwell. QUESTIONABLE: CB Drayton Florence. RAIDERS: OUT: QB Rich Gannon, G Frank Middleton, G Mo Collins, G Ron Stone, LB Travian Smith, S Derrick Gibson, KR Carlos Francis. QUESTIONABLE: RB Justin Fargas, TE Roland Williams.

This is a huge revenge situation for the Raiders, because they were beaten by San Diego 42-14 on Halloween. But, as the Rock would say "It doesn't matter." Oakland's defense is pathetic against the pass; they allow 225 passing yards per game. Drew Brees torched the Raiders' secondary for 273 yards and should have similar success Sunday. The Raiders cannot focus on containing Brees and talented receivers Keenan McCardell and Antonio Gates, because LaDainian Tomlinson and Antonio Chatman have rushed for an average of 220 yards in their last three appearances against them. San Diego's offense can be stopped, but not by the Raiders, especially in sunny, 60 degree weather.

The Chargers stop unit has really locked down against the run. They are ranked third, surrendering just 3.5 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Oakland doesn't even have a potent rushing attack to begin with; Amos Zereoue and Tyrone Wheatley gain just 3.8 and 3.9 yards per rush, respectively. Kerry Collins is forced to operate in many long-yardage situations, which is the catalyst for the amount of turnovers he commits. Collins has thrown 12 interceptions, compared to just five touchdowns. Like their defense, Oakland's offense is pathetic.

The Raiders are the most unreliable team in the NFL - they have a -15 turnover differential - and are a wise choice to bet against unless they are huge underdogs.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • History: Chargers have won the last 2 meetings.
  • Raiders are 6-2 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Raiders are 3-8 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -3 (open) to Chargers -4.
  • Total Movement: 49 (open) to 48 to 48.
  • Weather: Sunny, 60 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Drew Brees, LaDainian Tomlinson, Keenan McCardell, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Raiders Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 20. (Chargers -4). Money Pick. Over.




Dolphins (1-8) at Seahawks (5-4). Line: Seahawks by 9. Over-Under: 37.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Seahawks by 14.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Seahawks by 12.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: DOLPHINS: OUT: RB Lamar Gordon, WR David Boston, DT Larry Chester, DT Tim Bowens, LB Junior Seau, LB Brant Boyer, S Chris Akins. QUESTIONABLE: WR Marty Booker, K Olindo Mare. SEAHAWKS: OUT: LB Anthony Simmons, S Damien Robinson, P Tom Rouen. DOUBTFUL: TE Itula Mili. QUESTIONABLE: QB Matt Hasselbeck*, DE Grant Wistrom, LB Chad Brown.

Dave Wannstedt was fired last week and A.J. Feeley will be starting at quarterback for the remainder of the season. Clearly, the Dolphins have given up on the 2004 campaign. With a 1-8 record, it's probably a good idea.

How can Miami get motivated to play in the frigid Pacific Northwest after their coach and starting quarterback were both relieved of duty? They can't. Seattle's superior defense will easily put the clamps on the zero-dimensional Dolphins offense. They have no rushing attack and neither Feeley nor Jay Fiedler have been given ample time to throw by an offensive line held together by Scotch Tape and cheap glue.

The Dolphins used to be proficient against opposing rushing attacks. Now, they surrender 4.6 yards per carry because of injuries to defensive tackles Larry Chester and Tim Bowens, and the fact that they given up after being on the field far too often, thanks to an inept offense and their cascades of three-and-outs. Seattle can score 40 points if they want to on Sunday.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -9 (open) to Seahawks -9 to Seahawks -10 to Seahawks -9.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 47 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Seahawks Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Dolphins Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 35. (Seahawks -9). Over.




Falcons (7-2) at Giants (5-4). Line: Falcons by 2. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Giants by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Falcons by 1.

The Game. Edge: Falcons.
Injuries: FALCONS: OUT: S Keion Carpenter. QUESTIONABLE: WR Brian Finneran, CB Jason Webster. GIANTS: OUT: WR Tim Carter, G Barry Stokes, G Rich Seubert, DE Michael Strahan, S Omar Stoutmire, S Shaun Williams. DOUBTFUL: LB Barrett Green.

Eli Manning's first start couldn't come against a worse opponent in the NFC. The Falcons' front four are very capable of placing pressure on opposing quarterbacks without blitzing. Patrick Kerney and Rod Coleman have combined for 14 sacks, and the entire team has registered 27. Manning will suffocate under the pressure of Atlanta's front four, behind a dilapidated offensive line. The Falcons' ability to drop seven players back, while applying massive pressure on Manning will rattle the young signal caller. His first start will not be pretty.

Michael Vick was contained by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because of Simeon Rice, a stud defensive right end. Unfortunately, for the Bucs, they could not stop the run and lost the game, 24-14. The Giants have Michael Strahan, a Pro Bowl caliber right end, however, he is hurt and will not play for the rest of the season. As long as offensive coordinator Greg Knapp gives Vick the O.K. to run first and pass second, New York will not be able to stop him. The Giants will also have problems defending Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett; they allow 4.4 yards per carry.


The Trends. Edge: Falcons.
  • Giants are 10-26 ATS at home since 2000.
  • Giants are 3-9 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Pick (open) to Falcons -2 to Falcons -2.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 40.
  • Weather: Showers, 60 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tiki Barber, Michael Vick, Alge Crumpler, Falcons Defense.
  • Sit Em: Eli Manning, Ike Hilliard, Giants Defense.

Prediction: Falcons by 17. (Falcons -2). Money Pick. Under.




Redskins (3-6) at Eagles (8-1). Line: Eagles by 10. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Eagles by 11.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Eagles by 12.

The Game. Edge: Eagles.
Injuries: REDSKINS: OUT: OT Jon Jansen, DE Phillip Daniels, LB LaVar Arrington, S Matt Bowen, K John Hall, KR Chad Morton. QUESTIONABLE: DT Cornelius Griffin. EAGLES: OUT: RB Correll Buckhalter, RB Reno Mahe, FB Jon Ritchie, G Shawn Andrews, DE Ndukwe Kalu, DE Jerome McDougle. DOUBTFUL: LB Nate Wayne. QUESTIONABLE: G Jermane Mayberry, DT Corey Simon, LB Marc Simoneau.

Patrick Ramsey is expected to start in place of the struggling Mark Brunell. That will mean two things: a low amount of points scored by the Redskins, and plenty of turnovers and sacks for the Eagles. Washington's offense has not eclipsed the 20-point plateau this season. In fact, they have only scored more than 14 points thrice. Ramsey will operate the Redskins, but will not have any success; he possesses a 49.1% completion percentage, he has thrown more interceptions (five) than touchdowns (two), and owns a miserable quarterback rating of 43.9. Without a potent passing threat, the Eagles can focus on containing Clinton Portis to minimal yardage. Portis' disappointing four yards per carry average can be attributed to a poor offensive line and a lacking aerial attack.

Washington has a very stout defense, which yields just 3.2 yards per rush and 181 passing yards per game this season. However, the Redskins secondary has been shaky the last three weeks, allowing 249 passing yards per contest. Fred Smoot and Shawn Springs are very capable cornerbacks, but neither can cover Terrell Owens. The Redskins also have problems rushing opposing passers with LaVar Arrington out of the lineup. Donovan McNabb and Owens should once again have Pro Bowl caliber performances in an easy victory.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Post Monday Night Syndrome: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 7-15 ATS the following week since 2003.
  • History: Eagles have won the last 5 meetings.
  • Eagles are 13-7 ATS at home since 2002.
  • Eagles are 25-9 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Eagles are 11-3 ATS vs. NFC East opponents since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Eagles -10 (open) to Eagles -10.
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 38.
  • Weather: Showers, 63 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Laveraneus Coles, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, Eagles Defense.
  • Sit Em: Patrick Ramsey, Mark Brunell, Brian Westbrook, Redskins Defense.

Prediction: Eagles by 17. (Eagles -10). Under.




Packers (5-4) at Texans (4-5). Line: Packers by 3. Over-Under: 50.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Packers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Packers by 5.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: PACKERS: OUT: C Mike Flanagan. QUESTIONABLE: FB Najeh Daveport, LB Na'il Diggs, S Darren Sharper. TEXANS: QUESTIONABLE: DE Gary Walker, LB Antwan Peek.

Since the Packers' embarrassing Monday Night performance against the Tennessee Titans, their defense has clamped down against opposing ground attacks. Once allowing much more than five yards per rush, Green Bay has permitted just 63 rushing yards per game in the previous four weeks. That may all be a moot point in this game, because Domanick Davis is suffering a severe case of sophomore slump, averaging just three yards per rush. David Carr will see the usual - a plethora of long yardage situations and tons of pressure from the opposition - but should be able to connect with Andre Johnson and Jabar Gaffney on occasion. The Packers' secondary has been brutal, surrendering 233 passing yards per contest.

Houston's defense cannot stop a Powder Puff team. They allow 4.5 yards per rush, 241 passing yards and 24.8 points per game. That's just humiliating. Mike Sherman can pretty much go with any mode of attack and score tons of points Sunday.

Green Bay has a clear personnel advantage, but this is a rough spot for them. This is clearly a sandwich situation, and this is the first time Houston is hosting an NFL game on national television since their first game in existence. This may be a death-trap for Brett Favre, Ahman Green and the Packers.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 28-55 ATS since 2001. Packers kicked a GW FG with no time remaining.
  • Sandwich Situation: PACKERS: Last game - Minnesota, Next games - St. Louis, Philadelphia.
  • Brett Favre is 9-28 ATS (14-23 straight up) in domes.
  • Texans are 8-4 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Texans are 5-1 ATS in November home games.
  • Line Movement: Packers -3 (open) to Packers -3.
  • Total Movement: 49 (open) to 49 to 49 to 50.
  • Weather: Retractable Roof.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: David Carr, Andre Johnson, Brett Favre, Ahman Green, Javon Walker, Donald Driver.
  • Sit Em: Domanick Davis, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Texans by 3. (Texans +3). Money Pick. Upset Special. Over.




Patriots (8-1) at Chiefs (3-6). Line: Patriots by 3. Over-Under: 52.
Monday, 9:00 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Patriots by 2.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Patriots by 3.

The Game. Edge: Patriots.
Injuries: PATRIOTS: OUT: TE Ben Watson, OT Tom Ashworth, NT Dan Klecko, CB Ty Law, CB Tyrone Poole. QUESTIONABLE: WR Deion Branch, DT Keith Traylor. CHIEFS: OUT: WR Marc Boerigter, LB Mike Maslowski, LB Shawn Barber. DOUBTFUL: RB Priest Holmes*. QUESTIONABLE: LB Monty Beisel, CB Dexter McCleon.

Barring an improbable and miraculous finish, the Chiefs will not make the playoffs this season. It's still difficult to imagine that Kansas City will excluded from the postseason, but that is what happens when a team with a porous defense does not add any personnel in the off-season.

The root of Kansas City's misery stems from their horrendous stop unit. They can stop neither the run, nor the pass - surrendering a league-worst five yards per carry, 235 passing yards and 26.4 points per contest. Corey Dillon has been a very welcome addition to the Patriots; he has accumulated 900 rushing yards this season, gaining five yards per rush in the process. The Chiefs will not be able to focus on Dillon, because Tom Brady can easily shred their miserable secondary. New England will score on nearly every possession.

If the Chiefs plan on winning this contest, they will need to keep pace with the Patriots' offense. Priest Holmes' absence from the lineup hurts Kansas City's cause, but they have a very reliable backup in Derrick Blaylock. However, New England yields just 4.1 yards per carry, and their suffocating defense shut down Willis McGahee, who was restricted to just 37 rushing yards on Sunday. Trent Green will be able to muster some points Monday, but Bill Belichick will most likely take the running game away from the Chiefs, forcing them to become one-dimensional.

Another loss will give Kansas City seven this season - more than double the amount they had in 2003.

NOTE: Game changed to Money Pick 3:45 p.m., Monday.


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.
  • Chiefs are 8-4 ATS at home since 2003.
  • Line Movement: Patriots -1 (open) to Patriots -3.
  • Total Movement: 52 (open) to 52 to 52.
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 37 degrees.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Tom Brady, Corey Dillon, David Givens, Tony Gonzalez, Patriots Defense.
  • Sit Em: Chiefs Defense.

Prediction: Patriots by 7. (Patriots -3). Money Pick. Under.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 5-3
Eagles: 7-2
Giants: 5-4
Redskins: 4-5

Bears: 4-5
Lions: 5-4
Packers: 5-4
Vikings: 1-8

Buccaneers: 2-5
Falcons: 3-6
Panthers: 7-2
Saints: 5-4

49ers: 3-6
Cardinals: 6-3
Rams: 4-4
Seahawks: 3-6

Bills: 6-3
Dolphins: 5-4
Jets: 6-2
Patriots: 4-3

Bengals: 6-3
Browns: 5-4
Ravens: 5-4
Steelers: 3-6

Colts: 4-4
Jaguars: 6-3
Texans: 5-4
Titans: 3-6

Broncos: 6-1
Chargers: 5-3
Chiefs: 3-6
Raiders: 7-2

Divisional Games: 25-22
Trend Edge: 16-21
Game Edge: 20-21
Game & Trend Edge: 3-3


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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
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2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
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2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
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2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
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2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
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2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
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2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
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2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
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2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
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2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

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2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 9-7
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-8
49ers: 8-9
Eagles: 7-10
Lions: 11-5
Falcons: 5-10
Cardinals: 10-5
Giants: 7-9
Packers: 8-8
Panthers: 8-9
Rams: 7-9
Redskins: 9-7
Vikings: 7-9
Saints: 13-4
Seahawks: 9-10
Bills: 12-4
Bengals: 8-8
Colts: 11-6
Broncos: 8-11
Dolphins: 11-5
Browns: 3-13
Jaguars: 7-8
Chargers: 11-6
Jets: 8-8
Ravens: 9-6
Texans: 10-5
Chiefs: 6-11
Patriots: 10-8
Steelers: 6-10
Titans: 5-7
Raiders: 9-7
Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
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2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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