Cardinals (2-7) at Rams (4-5). Line: Rams by 9. Over-Under: 49.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Rams by 8.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Rams by 7.

The Game. Edge: Rams.
Injuries: Cardinals: OUT: FB James Hodgins, WR Bryant Johnson, G Elton Brown, DE Calvin Pace, CB Antrel Rolle. QUESTIONABLE: OLB Karlos Dansby. Rams: OUT: CB Travis Fisher, CB Jerametrius Butler. QUESTIONABLE: G Adam Timmerman.

Looks like Dennis Green isn't reading this Web site or getting advice from anyone who reads it. Green continues to start Kurt Warner and the Cardinals continue to lose.

Warner threw for 359 yards against the Lions last week. However, the Cardinals scored just 21 points because of many stalled drives. Once opposing defenders breach Arizona's pedestrian offensive line, they get pressure on the immobile Warner. The former MVP compiled 327 yards against St. Louis earlier this season but the Cardinals scored just 12 points because Warner was sacked four times and fumbled thrice. The right signal caller for the Cardinals is Josh McCown, but Green does not seem to realize that. Warner will once again have to chuck the ball 45 times -- the Cardinals have no running game -- meaning he will once again be sacked by Leonard Little and company.

Joe Vitt got away from running the ball with Steven Jackson in St. Louis' 31-16 loss to Seattle. Jackson carried the ball 17 times in the Pacific Northwest, which needs to change if the Rams want to claim their fifth victory of the season. Arizona is ranked 30th against the run, so look for Vitt to give Jackson at least 25 carries. Marc Bulger will benefit from Jackson's 150-yard performance, utilizing play-action to Marc Bulger and Isaac Bruce, who will not be covered by David Macklin and Robert Tate.

The Divisional Dog of Seven rule is in effect, so I will not be making this a Money Pick. But, I don't think the Cardinals can stick with the Rams, who need to win to stay alive in the playoff race.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Rams have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Must-Win Situation: Rams cannot afford to fall to 4-6 if they wish to make the playoffs.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 47-21 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Cardinals are 0-4 ATS on the road this year.
  • Line Movement: Rams -9 (open) to Rams -9.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 49 to 49.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald, Rams Offense.
  • Sit Em: Cardinals Running Backs and Defense.

Prediction: Rams by 17. (Rams -9). Over.




Panthers (7-2) at Bears (6-3). Line: Panthers by 2. Over-Under: 34.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Panthers by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Panthers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Panthers.
Injuries: Panthers: OUT: DT Kris Jenkins. QUESTIONABLE: C Jeff Mitchell*, S Thomas Davis. Bears: OUT: QB Rex Grossman, RB Cedric Benson, OT Fred Miller. DOUBTFUL: WR Bernard Berrian. QUESTIONABLE: OT Fred Miller.

Check out the next five games on Chicago's slate: Carolina, at Tampa Bay, Green Bay, at Pittsburgh and Atlanta. These five contests will determine if the Bears are a legitimate Super Bowl contender or simply a fraud that has feasted on unworthy opponents.

Chicago's defense has been the main reason for the team's resurgence. It surrenders 3.7 yards per carry, 158.4 passing yards per game and 11.9 points per contest. The Bears have also compiled 23 sacks and 14 picks. However, the Bears haven't confronted an offensive unit like Carolina's since they lost to the Bengals, 24-7, on Sept. 25. In that contest, Rudi Johnson garnered 84 yards on 25 carries, while Chad Johnson caught three passes for 77 yards. The Panthers run the ball more than any team in the league, but I believe they could find some success on a few deep throws to Steve Smith. Carolina will not score more than 20 points, but the team should be able to control the clock by converting a few third downs.

Kyle Orton has played extremely well, considering that he is merely a rookie. But, the last time he battled a great defense was in the season opener against Washington. He threw one pick and fumbled twice. Two weeks later, the Bengals picked him off five times. Carolina's defense is opportunistic and should be able to force Orton into committing a few turnovers. One glaring mismatch in this contest will be Julius Peppers versus right tackle John St. Clair, who is taking the place of the injured Fred Miller. Peppers will create havoc for Orton, who will undoubtedly be placed in a plethora of long-yardage situations; the Panthers have the top-ranked run defense in the NFL.

The Bears are a solid team, but Carolina is the class of the NFC. The Panthers will not lose this game.


The Trends. Edge: Bears.
  • Bears are 10-4 ATS in November since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Panthers -3 (open) to Panthers -2.
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 34.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 44 degrees. Light wind, 10 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Steve Smith, Panthers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Bears Offense.

Prediction: Panthers by 7. (Panthers -2). Money Pick. Under.




Lions (4-5) at Cowboys (6-3). Line: Cowboys by 8. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Cowboys by 10.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Cowboys by 9.

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
Injuries: Lions: OUT: OLB Teddy Lehman, CB Dre Bly, CB Fernando Bryant. DOUBTFUL: MLB Earl Holmes. QUESTIONABLE: QB Jeff Garcia*, OLB Boss Bailey. Cowboys: DOUBTFUL: WR Patrick Crayton. QUESTIONABLE: CB Anthony Henry.

How lucky do the Dallas Cowboys feel right now? They went from having a 5-4 record to leading the NFC East when Roy Williams intercepted one of the worst throws in NFL history on Monday night.

Joey Harrington looked like a real quarterback last week when he threw for 231 yards and three touchdowns. You can thank the other Roy Williams and a very porous Cardinals defense. If Harrington starts -- Steve Mariucci said Jeff Garcia will start if he is healthy -- he will not have as much success against the Cowboys, who surrender 192 passing yards per contest. Roy Williams will be blanketed by Roy Williams and Terrence Newman, while Greg Ellis, DeMarcus Ware and the rest of Dallas' front seven will wreak havoc upon Harrington. The Lions' only chance to move the chains is to stick with running the ball with Kevin Jones; the Cowboys are ranked 20th against the run and even permitted Philadelphia to formulate some kind of a ground attack.

Like Dallas, Detroit struggles at wrapping up opposing running backs. The Lions are 21st against the run, meaning the two-headed running back tandem of Julius Jones and Marion Barber III should explode through their front seven, setting up play-action opportunities for Drew Bledsoe. Making matters worse for Detroit is the fact that they cannot get a consistent pass rush or defend aerial attacks. Terry Glenn and Keyshawn Johnson will be getting open all afternoon, while Bledsoe should have all the time in the world to find them.

Want a lock pick? Take the team that has Roy Williams on its roster. Seriously, the Cowboys are coming off an emotional, Monday night divisional victory that they were lucky to win. They also have the Broncos, Giants, Chiefs, Redskins and Panthers on the horizon. Dallas could be caught looking ahead.



The Trends. Edge: Lions.
  • Breather Alert: After this "easy" game against Detroit, the COWBOYS must battle: Denver, the Giants, Kansas City, Washington and Carolina.
  • Post Monday Night Syndrome: Teams coming off a Monday night victory are 15-22 ATS the following week since 2003.
  • Cowboys are 12-7 ATS as a favorite under Bill Parcells.
  • Cowboys are 9-1 ATS after playing the Eagles since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Cowboys -8 (open) to Cowboys -7 to Cowboys -8.
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 61 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Drew Bledsoe, Terry Glenn, Jason Witten, Cowboys Defense.
  • Sit Em: Joey Harrington, Jeff Garcia (questionable), Lions Defense.

Prediction: Cowboys by 3. (Lions +8). Money Pick. Under.




Jaguars (6-3) at Titans (2-7). Line: Jaguars by 4. Over-Under: 38.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Jaguars by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Jaguars by 3.

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
Injuries: Jaguars: OUT: S Donovin Darius. DOUBTFUL: RB Fred Taylor*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Jimmy Smith*, DT Marcus Stroud. Titans: OUT: S Vincent Fuller. QUESTIONABLE: WR Drew Bennett*, WR Tyrone Calico, TE Ben Troupe, OLB Peter Sirmon, OLB Rocky Boiman, CB Andre Woolfolk.

Jacksonville's easy schedule continues. After battling the Rams, Texans and Ravens, the Jaguars will be playing Tennessee, Arizona and Cleveland before their Dec. 11 matchup against Indianapolis.

Fred Taylor... who is that? Jacksonville fans will be asking themselves that question if backup running back Greg Jones continues to pulverize defenses the way he did on Sunday. Jones rushed for 106 yards on 25 carries in relief for Taylor, as the Jaguars beat up on Baltimore, 30-3. It won't matter who starts at running back for Jacksonville -- the team plays the Titans, who are ranked 25th against opposing ground games. Byron Leftwich will consequently be placed in short-yardage circumstances, permitting him to utilize play-action. Jimmy Smith and Matt Jones should be open all afternoon; Tennessee's secondary is comprised of beleaguered rookie Pac Man Jones, Andre Woolfolk and three guys you never heard of.

If only Tennessee's defense could match the caliber of its own offense. The Titans can move the chains against anyone, because they can run the ball with Chris Brown, who has gained 4.3 yards per carry this season. Jacksonville has struggled to stop opposing rushing attacks ever since it lost strong safety Donovin Darius for the year. Unless this game gets out of hand, Brown will be able to stampede through the Jaguars' front seven, opening the play-action door for Steve McNair. I'm not confident that Jacksonville's cornerbacks will be able to contain Drew Bennett and upstart rookies Brandon Jones and Courtney Roby.

The Jaguars and Titans are bitter rivals who always play close games. In fact, both contests last year were decided by a field goal. Even though Jacksonville scored 30 points last week, I feel that its ability to score consistently is very questionable. Plus, this is basically Tennessee's Super Bowl; the team would love to knock off one of its rivals. I would stay away from this game.


The Trends. Edge: Titans.
  • History: Titans have won 10 of the last 12 meetings.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 38.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 58 degrees. Light wind, 5 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Chris Brown.
  • Sit Em: Titans Defense.

Prediction: Jaguars by 3. (Titans +4). Under.




Dolphins (3-6) at Browns (3-6). Line: Browns by 2. Over-Under: 35.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Browns by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Browns by 3.

The Game. Edge: Dolphins.
Injuries: Dolphins: OUT: CB Will Poole, S Tebucky Jones. QUESTIONABLE: QB Gus Frerotte*. Browns: OUT: TE Kellen Winslow Jr., CB Gary Baxter. DOUBTFUL: RB William Green, G Joe Andruzzi. QUESTIONABLE: G Cosey Coleman, CB Daylon McCutcheon.

This is the only game on this week's slate that includes two teams that have no playoff aspirations. That's unusual for a Week 11 schedule.

Nick Saban and the rest of his coaching staff must have watched the Sunday Night game when the Browns took on the Steelers. If they did, they saw that Pittsburgh ran all over Cleveland. Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown should be able to combine for 150 yards, enabling Gus Frerotte to utilize play-action into a banged up secondary that is missing its top two cornerbacks, Gary Baxter and Dennis Northcutt. Frerotte should have all day to find his talented receivers; the Browns have registered just 11 sacks this season.

Miami is ranked eighth against the run, but the unit had some cracks in its wall against the Patriots last week. New England, a team that has not been able to run the ball whatsoever this season, was happy to hand the ball off to Heath Evans on Sunday, who rushed for 84 yards on 17 carries. Reuben Droughns could find some opening running lanes, helping Trent Dilfer dissect a very mediocre and overrated secondary. Unlike Cleveland, Miami can generate a pass rush; the team has accumulated 26 sacks this year.

This teams are about even, but Cleveland possesses a major advantage in this contest: weather.com is calling for 45 degrees, rain and mild winds. The Dolphins are not used to these harsh conditions. Plus, you cannot possibly bet on Gus Frerotte on the road.


The Trends. Edge: Browns.
  • Weak Arm: Gus Frerotte is 1-3 ATS on the road this year.
  • Browns are 4-7 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Browns -2 (open) to Browns -2.
  • Total Movement: 36 (open) to 34 to 35.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 47 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Ronnie Brown, Dolphins Defense.
  • Sit Em: Gus Frerotte.

Prediction: Browns by 6. (Browns -2). Under.




Saints (2-7) at Patriots (5-4). Line: Patriots by 9. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Patriots by 9.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Patriots by 9.

The Game. Edge: None.
Injuries: Saints: OUT: RB Deuce McAllister, S Jay Bellamy, KR Michael Lewis. DOUBTFUL: TE Ernie Conwell. QUESTIONABLE: WR Donte' Stallworth, S Dwight Smith. Patriots: OUT: RB Kevin Faulk, OT Matt Light, C Dan Koppen, CB Randall Gay, S Rodney Harrison. DOUBTFUL: RB Corey Dillon*. QUESTIONABLE: FB Patrick Pass, WR David Givens, WR/CB Troy Brown, TE Daniel Graham, OT Tom Ashworth, DE Jarvis Green, PR Tim Dwight.

The Patriots are obviously not nearly as good as they have been during their Super Bowl run, but they are still mentally strong. They somehow won in South Beach last week, 23-16.

Gus Frerotte threw for 360 yards against New England. That statistic alone indicates how hobbled the team's secondary has become. In fact, every aspect of the Patriots' defense shows that the stop unit is in shambles; New England surrenders 255 passing per game, 4.3 yards per carry and 26.2 points per contest. Making matters worse, the Patriots have registered just 13 sacks and four picks. New Orleans should be able to move the chains at will against the opposition. The three-headed running back tandem of Antowain Smith, Aaron Stecker and Anthony Thomas will bulldoze New England's front seven, setting up play-action opportunities for Aaron Brooks, who will easily find Joe Horn and Donte' Stallworth downfield.

Much like the Patriots, the Saints cannot stop anyone; they are ranked 26th against the run, so their opponents don't really need to throw much against them. Tom Brady will -- he is carrying the Patriots -- but New England cannot run the football, giving the Saints a slight advantage on defense. Under normal circumstances, the Patriots would move the chains efficiently, but center Dan Koppen is out for the year. We've seen what happens to teams that lose their starting centers: plenty of false starts and fumbles. The Saints will force the home team to punt about four or five times.

New England is the better team, but it is missing Koppen and might be looking ahead to next week's battle against Kansas City. Meanwhile, New Orleans should be able to play well at Foxboro; the Saints are better on the road than they are at home.


The Trends. Edge: Saints.
  • Sandwich Situation: This game takes place after the PATRIOTS beat the Dolphins and before they battle Kansas City.
  • Saints are 27-18 ATS on the road since 2000.
  • Saints are 17-11 ATS as a road underdog since 2000.
  • Patriots are 28-14 ATS at home under Bill Belichick.
  • Patriots are 6-2 ATS in November home games since 2001.
  • Tom Brady is 62-18 as a starter (51-28 ATS).
  • Line Movement: Patriots -10 (open) to Patriots -9.
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 46 to 47 to 47.
  • Weather: Sunny, 55 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Aaron Brooks, Joe Horn, Donte' Stallworth, Tom Brady, Deion Branch.
  • Sit Em: Corey Dillon, Both Defenses.

Prediction: Patriots by 3. (Saints +9). Money Pick. Over.




Raiders (3-6) at Redskins (5-4). Line: Redskins by 6. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Redskins by 3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Redskins by 3.

The Game. Edge: Redskins.
Injuries: Raiders: OUT: WR Ronald Curry, G Langston Walker. DOUBTFUL: DE Bobby Hamilton. QUESTIONABLE: C Adam Treu. Redskins: OUT: WR David Patten, DT Brandon Noble. QUESTIONABLE: RB Ladell Betts, DT Cornelius Griffin.

I'm a little confused here. Actually, I'm very confused. Why are the Redskins favored by six? The line should be four, at the most.

Oakland is 3-6, but its record can be attributed to the number of tough opponents the team has played. Check out whom the Raiders have lost to: New England, Kansas City (twice), Philadelphia, San Diego and Denver. Think Al Davis is crying conspiracy in regard to this brutal slate of games? Oakland still has Randy Moss, Kerry Collins and LaMont Jordan. The latter of the three should be able to pound Washington's defensive front, which is three weeks removed from surrendering 206 yards to Tiki Barber. With an effective running game at his disposal, Kerry Collins will be able to utilize play-action against a secondary that yielded 131 yards to Joey Galloway last week. Randy Moss will have to be double covered, enabling Jerry Porter and Doug Gabriel to get open.

Washington will undoubtedly attempt to establish the run with Clinton Portis. That will be tough, as the Raiders allow just four yards per carry. However, Portis should be able to put the Redskins in manageable second and third downs on occasion, permitting Mark Brunell and Santana Moss to move the chains. Washington is ranked first at being able to convert third downs, while Oakland cannot stop teams from doing so. The Redskins should be able to orchestrate long drives that will keep the Raiders defense on the field for a very long time.

The Raiders are still alive in the playoff hunt, but they are on the respirator. They need to win every single game they have remaining on their schedule. If Oakland loses in the nation's capitol, Al Davis should dig a hole in a cemetery and bury his team -- and himself -- in the ground.


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • Must-Win Situation: Raiders cannot afford to fall to 3-7 if they wish to make the playoffs.
  • Early Game Alert: Pacific Teams playing on the Atlantic Coast at 1:00 PM are 12-24 ATS since 2002.
  • Raiders are 5-9 ATS after losing to the Broncos since 1995 (Mike Shanahan).
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: .
  • Weather: Sunny, 60 degrees. Light wind, 5 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Both Offenses.
  • Sit Em: Both Defenses.

Prediction: Redskins by 3. (Raiders +6). Over.




Eagles (4-5) at Giants (6-3). Line: Giants by 7. Over-Under: 41.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Giants by 5.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Giants by 7.

The Game. Edge: Giants.
Injuries: Eagles: OUT: QB Donovan McNabb*, RB Correll Buckhalter, WR Terrell Owens, WR Todd Pinkston, C Hank Fraley, DE Jerome McDougle. QUESTIONABLE: TE L.J. Smith. Giants: OUT: DT William Joseph, OLB Barrett Green, CB William Peterson. QUESTIONABLE: TE Jeremy Shockey*, OLB Carlos Emmons, S Shaun Williams.

For 56 minutes, Philadelphia's season was saved. Donovan McNabb and Andy Reid looked like geniuses for getting rid of Terrell Owens. In an instant, McNabb threw one of the worst passes in NFL history -- a game-losing interception returned for a touchdown by Roy Williams. The Eagles are buried in the NFC East at 4-5, while Owens is sitting on his couch and laughing hysterically.

McNabb is unlikely to play, which is probably the best thing that could have happened to the Eagles at this point. While the Pro Bowl quarterback is one of the best passers in the NFL, he is clearly hurt and should get surgery to repair his sports hernia. Plus, Mike McMahon is not a stiff at quarterback. The Lions should have stuck with McMahon, but were forced to go with Joey Harrington, whom they committed a lot of money to. McMahon should be a starter in this league. Unfortunately for the Rutgers alumnus, he has to go on the road to play one of the stiffest defenses in the NFL. The Giants haven't surrendered an offensive touchdown since their Oct. 23 matchup against the Broncos. They have allowed just 3.6 yards per carry this season, while defensive ends Michael Strahan and Osi Umenyiora have combined for 15 sacks. It's tough to imagine the Eagles moving the chains consistently in this contest.

Philadelphia did a great job shutting down Dallas' rushing attack, but the team seems incapable of containing opposing ground attacks on the road; the Eagles yield 5.3 yards per carry to starting running backs when they don't play at Lincoln Financial Field. Tiki Barber, who generally plays well against Philadelphia, should easily be able to eclipse the 100-yard plateau, permitting Eli Manning to orchestrate a few play-action fakes. Sheldon Brown should be able to blanket either Plaxico Burress or Amani Toomer. However, the other receiver, along with Jeremy Shockey, will be able to get open, thanks to a non-existent Eagles pass rush. Philadelphia's defensive line, which has only accumulated 19 sacks this year, will try to get to Manning. The Giants have a clear-cut advantage, as their offensive line has only surrendered 14 sacks this season.

The Eagles are still alive in the playoff hunt, but they are on the respirator. They need to win this game. However, losing like they did on Monday night is a huge to blow. I don't know how they can bounce back against a superior team looking to atone for losing to a pathetic squad like the Vikings.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Eagles have won 7 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 46-33 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001. (GIANTS)
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 47-21 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Eagles are 30-15 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001; 1-4 ATS this year.
  • Eagles are 13-7 ATS vs. NFC East opponents since 2001; 0-3 ATS this year.
  • Eagles are 10-5 ATS in November since 2001; 0-2 ATS this year.
  • Giants are 4-2 ATS at home this year.
  • Line Movement: Giants -6 (open) to Giants -7.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 41 to 41.
  • Weather: Sunny, 55 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: L.J. Smith, Giants Offense.
  • Sit Em: Donovan McNabb, Eagles Defense.

Prediction: Giants by 17. (Giants -7). Under.




Steelers (7-2) at Ravens (2-7). Line: Steelers by 3. Over-Under: 33.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Steelers by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Steelers by 4.

The Game. Edge: Steelers.
Injuries: Steelers: OUT: QB Charlie Batch. DOUBTFUL: S Mike Logan. QUESTIONABLE: QB Ben Roethlisberger*, RB Willie Parker*, OT Marvel Smith, ILB James Farrior. EXPECTED TO START: QB Tommy Maddox. Ravens: OUT: G Keydrick Vincent, MLB Ray Lewis, S Ed Reed. QUESTIONABLE: CB Samari Rolle.

Once upon a time, Tommy Maddox was a reliable quarterback. But ever since he was injured against the Titans, he has been a completely different quarterback. He developed Kurt Warner syndrome -- the tendency to be scared in the pocket, fearing that another injury will occur at any moment. That's why Maddox frequently fumbles and throws interceptions left and right.

Ben Roethlisberger is questionable, but this preview will assume that he sits another week. Maddox will be under center, meaning that yet another Steelers game could be sabotaged. Bill Cowher will obviously take the ball away from Maddox by giving it to Jerome Bettis and Duce Staley on nearly every play. Baltimore is ranked 15th against the run, but the team will stack the line of scrimmage, coaxing Maddox to take matters into his own hands. If the Steelers find themselves in third-and-long situations, they might as well just run it again. They cannot afford multiple Maddox turnovers.

Baltimore's offense has yet to score more than 20 points this season, so it's ironic that it had it's best outing at Heinz Field on Halloween. The Ravens scored 19 points, while Anthony Wright threw for 252 yards. Kyle Boller is now the quarterback, but does it really matter? Wright; Boller; Kordell Stewart; Martha Stewart -- it's all the same. At least the latter Stewart can make weird lawn ornaments. Boller should have success on occasion against Pittsburgh's secondary, which is the only chink in the Steelers' armor. However, Boller may also find himself pinned to the ground multiple times; defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau's hectic blitzing schemes have produced 25 sacks this season.

I'm torn. On one hand, Maddox is playing on the road. On the other hand, the Ravens looked like they quit on Brian Billick in their 30-3 loss to Jacksonville last week. Might as well flip a coin. This pick could be changed if the Steelers announce that Roethlisberger will start.


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • History: Steelers have won 8 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Steelers are 19-6 ATS on the road off a home division win the previous 24 instances.
  • Ravens are 15-6 ATS in November.
  • Ravens are 9-2 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Ravens are 3-12 ATS as an underdog the previous 15 instances.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 34 (open) to 33.
  • Weather: Sunny, 57 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Todd Heap, Both Defenses.
  • Sit Em: Ben Roethlisberger (questionable), Tommy Maddox, Ravens Offense.

Prediction: Steelers by 3. (Ravens +3). Under.




Buccaneers (6-3) at Falcons (6-3). Line: Falcons by 6. Over-Under: 39.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Falcons by 9.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Falcons by 7.

The Game. Edge: Buccaneers.
Injuries: Buccaneers: OUT: QB Brian Griese. DOUBTFUL: S Will Allen. QUESTIONABLE: WR Michael Clayton*, DE Greg Spires, S Dexter Jackson. Falcons: OUT: MLB Edgerton Hartwell, CB Kevin Mathis. QUESTIONABLE: DE Brady Smith.

When I was previewing the Buccaneers-Falcons game the last time the two teams played, I wrote that Michael Vick finally got past Tampa Bay, who has been his nemesis during his young career. Oops. The Buccaneers won on Dec. 5, 27-0.

There are two reasons why the Buccaneers are able to dominate Vick: their ability to stop the run and the presence of right defensive end Simeon Rice. Vick loves to run to his left, which is why he has often been stymied by opponents who have stout right ends. Rice is one of the league's best. The last time Vick battled Tampa Bay, he was just 13-of-27 for 115 yards and two interceptions. He will be contained by Rice, Derrick Brooks and the other Buccaneers defenders all afternoon. Making matters worse for Atlanta will be its inability to run the ball; Tampa Bay is ranked second against ground attacks, meaning Warrick Dunn will often be stuffed in the backfield.

Unlike the Buccaneers, the Falcons cannot stop the run. In fact, they are ranked just 28th in that category. After watching Samkon Gado stampede through Atlanta's defensive front, Jon Gruden will undoubtedly let Mike Alstott, Cadillac Williams and Michael Pittman run wild. The three runners should be able to rip off five yards per rush, setting up play-action for the young Chris Simms. The University of Texas alumnus really matured in last week's game against Washington; he threw for 279 yards and three scores.

Tampa Bay is going against a few powerful trends, but the strongest of all the trends in this matchup is the domination the team has over Vick. Six points is a gift; the Buccaneers will pull the upset.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Buccaneers have won 7 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Double Home Alert: Coaches are 46-33 ATS at home following a home loss since 2001. (FALCONS)
  • Weak Arm: Chris Simms is 0-1 ATS on the road this year.
  • Buccaneers are 3-13 ATS on the road after a win under Jon Gruden.
  • Line Movement: .
  • Total Movement: 38 (open) to 38 to 38 to 39.
  • Weather: Dome.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Alge Crumpler, Joey Galloway, Buccaneers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Michael Vick, Warrick Dunn, T.J. Duckett.

Prediction: Buccaneers by 17. (Buccaneers +6). Double Money Pick. Upset Special. Under.




Seahawks (7-2) at 49ers (2-7). Line: Seahawks by 12. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Seahawks by 11.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Seahawks by 12.

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.
Injuries: Seahawks: OUT: WR Darrell Jackson, OLB Jamie Sharper, S Ken Hamlin. QUESTIONABLE: DT Marcus Tubbs. 49ers: OUT: TE Eric Johnson, CB Ahmed Plummer, CB Mike Rumph. DOUBTFUL: FB Fred Beasley, WR Arnaz Battle. QUESTIONABLE: C Jeremy Newberry, LS Brian Jennings. EXPECTED TO START: QB Ken Dorsey*.

Seattle is finally earning some respect. In fact, Eric Allen had them ranked second in his power rankings on "Monday Morning Quarterback." I don't know if I would seed them that high, but they are definitely a Super Bowl contender.

The Seahawks are the most balanced offensive team in the NFC. Shaun Alexander is on pace for 1,980 yards, while Matt Hasselbeck has already thrown for 2,124 yards this season. That said, the 49ers should be able to keep Seattle in check. San Francisco may struggle on the road, but the team plays extremely well at home. In fact, no running back has eclipsed the 90-yard barrier at Monster Park, excluding Edgerrin James on Oct. 9. If that trend continues, Alexander will not be able to get enough yardage to keep Hasselbeck out of long-yardage situations. Keep in mind that Bryant Young is having an outstanding campaign for the 49ers; he has already accumulated eight sacks.

While Seattle will have problems scoring, the 49ers may not put up any points at all. San Francisco cannot run the ball and the team has former rodeo clown and current quarterback clown Cody Pickett under center. Seattle's defense has vastly improved this season, which means the 49ers will struggle to score more than six points on Sunday.

The Seahawks will win this game, but I wouldn't bet on them to cover the 12-point spread. There are two powerful trends going against them, and they also might be looking ahead to playing the Giants and Eagles. Plus, the 49ers are a solid team at home; they beat the Rams and Buccaneers, and kept things respectable against Dallas and the Giants.

Wednesday Night Update: Ken Dorsey is expected to start for the 49ers on Sunday. This only increases their chance of covering.


The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • History: Seahawks have won the last 4 meetings.
  • Breather Alert: After this "easy" contest against the 49ers, the SEAHAWKS battle the Giants and Eagles.
  • Divisional Dog of Seven: Current NFL coaches are 47-21 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more since 2002.
  • Double Digit Home Dog: Double digit home underdogs are 43-32 ATS since 1992.
  • Line Movement: Seahawks -12 (open) to Seahawks -12 to Seahawks -12 to Seahawks -12 to Seahawks -12.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 42 to 42.
  • Weather: Sunny, 72 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Matt Hasselbeck, Shaun Alexander, Seahawks Defense.
  • Sit Em: 49ers Offense.

Prediction: Seahawks by 8. (49ers +12). Under.




Bills (4-5) at Chargers (5-4). Line: Chargers by 11. Over-Under: 42.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Chargers by 7.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Chargers by 6.

The Game. Edge: Chargers.
Injuries: Bills: OUT: DT Ron Edwards, OLB Takeo Spikes. QUESTIONABLE: QB Kelly Holcomb, DT Sam Adams, CB Terrence McGee, S Troy Vincent. Chargers: OUT: OT Roman Oben. QUESTIONABLE: G Mike Goff, C Nick Hardwick, OLB Shawne Merriman, OLB Steve Foley, ILB Randall Godfrey, S Terrence Kiel.

Remember the game these two teams played four years ago? It was Rob Johnson vs. Doug Flutie, the two bitter rivals who were competing for the starting gig in Buffalo. The Chargers won, 27-24. Four years later, Flutie is the backup in New England, while Johnson is probably no longer on this planet. Hmmm... I wonder who Buffalo should have stuck with.

Now, the Bills are stuck with J.P. Losman. The second-year signal caller from Tulane played well at home, throwing for 137 yards and two touchdowns on just nine passes. However, that was at Orchard Park. Losman has demonstrated that he is not experienced -- or talented -- enough to play well on the road. In two contests against the Buccaneers and Saints, Losman was just 19-of-43 for 188 yards, with one interception and a fumble. The Bills scored 10 combined points in the two games. Buffalo will once again be held to single digits because it will not be able to run the ball. Willis McGahee will be pinned in the backfield by the league's fifth-ranked run defense.

An NFL rushing record might be shattered on Sunday. Jamal Lewis' 295-yard performance against the Cleveland Browns in 2003 could be eclipsed by LaDainian Tomlinson. After all, the league's elite running back will easily cruise through a rush defense that surrenders a league-worst 5.1 yards per carry. Buffalo has an extremely talented secondary, but no one on that unit can cover Antonio Gates. If the Chargers punt more than once in this contest, something wrong has occurred.

The Bills are a completely different team away from the friendly confines of Orchard Park. They will be demolished by San Diego. Not even Marty Ball can save them.


The Trends. Edge: Chargers.
  • Weak Arm: J.P. Losman is 0-2 ATS on the road this year.
  • Bills are 1-3 ATS on the road this year.
  • Chargers are 7-2 ATS in November home games since 2001.
  • Line Movement: Chargers -9 (open) to Chargers -10 to Chargers -10 to Chargers -11.
  • Total Movement: 42 (open) to 42 to 42.
  • Weather: Sunny, 80 degrees. Light wind, 9 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Drew Brees, LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates, Chargers Defense.
  • Sit Em: Bills Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Chargers by 21. (Chargers -11). Money Pick. Under.




Jets (2-7) at Broncos (7-2). Line: Broncos by 13. Over-Under: 40.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Broncos by 12.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Broncos by 12.

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
Injuries: Jets: OUT: QB Chad Pennington, QB Jay Fiedler, RB Derrick Blaylock, WR Wayne Chrebet, OT Jason Fabini, C Kevin Mawae, CB David Barrett. QUESTIONABLE: QB Vinny Testaverde, G Pete Kendall. Broncos: OUT: OT Dwayne Carswell.

You really have to feel sorry for Herman Edwards. The Jets just placed right tackle Jason Fabini on injured reserve, which is yet another injury the Jets have incurred this season.

New York was able to hang with the Panthers for about three quarters. In fact, it was just 10-3 Carolina going into the final quarter. Curtis Martin and Cedric Houston were somehow able to rush for 128 yards on 29 carries against the Panthers' top-ranked rush defense. The Broncos are seeded 10th in that category, but if the Jets can duplicate last week's success on the ground, they should be able to keep the ball out of Brooks Bollinger's hands. Bollinger threw four interceptions on Sunday. If he does that again, the Broncos will obviously win by double digits.

The Jets cannot stop the run. Excluding last week's Carolina game, they have surrendered 100 yards to a running back in every contest since Oct. 9. That doesn't bode well in this matchup because the Broncos love to run the ball with Tatum Bell and Mike Anderson. The two running backs should be able to eclipse 200 combined rushing yards, enabling Jake Plummer to utilize his patented play-action bootlegs. The Jets are somewhat stingy against the pass, but they will be so focused on stopping the run that they will give up big plays to Rod Smith and Ashley Lelie downfield.

Denver has enough talent to beat the Jets by about 20 points. However, the Broncos could be caught looking ahead to their two matchups against Dallas and Kansas City.


The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • Sandwich Situation: This game takes place after the BRONCOS beat the Raiders and before they battle the Cowboys and Chiefs.
  • Double Road Alert: Herm Edwards is 2-0 ATS on the road following a road loss.
  • Weak Arm: Brooks Bollinger is 0-2 ATS on the road this year.
  • Jets are 6-15-3 ATS as an underdog the previous 24 instances.
  • Jets are 0-5 ATS on the road this year.
  • Broncos are 23-33 ATS vs. opponents coming off a loss under Mike Shanahan.
  • Broncos are 4-9 ATS after beating the Raiders under Mike Shanahan.
  • Broncos are 0-7 ATS before back-to-back road games the previous seven instances.
  • Broncos are 3-8 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Line Movement: Broncos -13 (open) to Broncos -12 to Broncos -13 to Broncos -13.
  • Total Movement: 41 (open) to 40 to 40 to 40.
  • Weather: Sunny, 56 degrees. Light wind, 8 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Broncos Offense and Defense.
  • Sit Em: Jets Offense.

Prediction: Broncos by 9. (Jets +13). Under.




Colts (9-0) at Bengals (7-2). Line: Colts by 5. Over-Under: 47.
Sunday, 4:15 ET
WALTER'S GAME OF THE WEEK.

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Colts by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Colts by 4.

The Game. Edge: Colts.
Injuries: Colts: OUT: CB Donald Strickland. QUESTIONABLE: MLB Rob Morris, S Bob Sanders. Bengals: OUT: C Ben Wilkerson, C Larry Moore, S Kim Herring.

Flashback to 2003: Kansas City was 9-0 heading into Cincinnati. Chad Johnson guaranteed a victory and his team pulled through. The 6-4 Bengals defeated the unbeaten Chiefs, 24-19. Will Indianapolis fall into the same trap?

Since a 13-6 close call against Cleveland in Week 3, the Colts have scored more than 28 points in every contest. They obviously have the best offense in the NFL and can move the chains in any matter they want. The Bengals yield 4.7 yards per carry, which is not good news because Edgerrin James has already compiled 1,027 rushing yards. James could approach 200 yards, setting up play-action for Peyton Manning, who will shred the Bengals secondary. Cincinnati's defense has made a name for itself by generating turnovers; the team has already registered 20 interceptions. However, I will be shocked if they pick off more than one pass in Sunday's contest. Manning will have all day to dissect the opposing secondary; the Bengals have only accumulated 14 sacks this year. Indianapolis will not punt more than two times.

The Colts have the same weakness as the Bengals on defense: They cannot stop the run. Rudi Johnson should be able to find open running lanes in the early portion of this contest. But, once the Colts have posted a double-digit lead on the scoreboard, Cincinnati's offense will have to become one-dimensional. Placed in obvious passing situations, Carson Palmer will succumb to Indianapolis' hectic pass rush, which has registered 31 sacks. Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis, who have collected 16 combined sacks, will be pinning Palmer to the ground all afternoon.

The Bengals are a solid team, but they are not ready to contend with the likes of Indianapolis. Don't worry... the Colts will get what's coming to them next week when they host Pittsburgh.


The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Line Movement: Colts -5 (open) to Colts -4 to Colts -5.
  • Total Movement: 48 (open) to 48 to 47 to 47.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 51 degrees. Light wind, 7 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Colts Offense and Defense, Chad Johnson.
  • Sit Em: Rudi Johnson, Bengals Defense.

Prediction: Colts by 10. (Colts -5). Money Pick. Over.




Chiefs (5-4) at Texans (1-8). Line: Chiefs by 6. Over-Under: 43.
Sunday, 8:30 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Chiefs by 6.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Chiefs by 5.

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.
Injuries: Chiefs: OUT: DT Ryan Sims, OLB Shawn Barber, S Jerome Woods. DOUBTFUL: OT Willie Roaf*. QUESTIONABLE: WR Sammie Parker, DE Carlos Hall, CB Dextor McCleon. Texans: OUT: OT Todd Wade. DOUBTFUL: CB Demarcus Faggins. QUESTIONABLE: RB Domanick Davis*, KR Jerome Mathis.

This is Houston's second appearance on Sunday Night Football. What is wrong with the schedule-maker? Did he honestly think the Texans would be a good team this year?

With that said, the Texans have been playing better the past three weeks. They beat Cleveland and hung with Jacksonville and Indianapolis. Not bad. Now they will be asked to shut down Larry Johnson and Kansas City's dynamic offense. That could be a problem, considering that Houston surrenders 4.8 yards per carry to opposing backs. Johnson will easily exceed the 100-yard plateau, creating play-action opportunities for Trent Green. Under normal circumstances, Green would be able to shred the Texans' putrid secondary. However, Green has been very mediocre this season; he possesses a pedestrian quarterback rating of 81.7. This is just speculation, but it seems as though he never recovered from the foot injury he suffered during the preseason.

Despite having Domanick Davis on the bench and losing to Indianapolis 31-17, the Texans almost ran the ball as much as they threw it. Davis should be back, but he will be asked to find open running lanes against the NFL's 12th-ranked run defense. That just won't happen. Carr will need to throw the ball in unfavorable long-yardage situations. That can be accomplished against the Chiefs, who yield 248 passing yards per game. Also, the Texans offensive line catches a break. The unit has surrendered 46 sacks this season, but it will be matched up against a non-existent Kansas City pass rush that collects only 1.8 sacks per contest.

The Texans are clearly playing better than they were when they were embarrassed by Seattle on ESPN. Ever since that game, Houston is 3-1 against the spread -- and that loss missed the line by just one point. Kansas City will win this matchup, but the Texans will keep it respectable.


The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Texans are 15-6 ATS after two or more consecutive losses.
  • Texans are 8-1 ATS in November home games.
  • Line Movement: Chiefs -6 (open) to Chiefs -6.
  • Total Movement: 44 (open) to 43.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 50 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph. (Closed roof)?

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Larry Johnson, Tony Gonzalez, Andre Johnson.
  • Sit Em: Trent Green, Domanick Davis.

Prediction: Chiefs by 4. (Texans +6). Under.




Vikings (4-5) at Packers (2-7). Line: Packers by 5. Over-Under: 44.
Monday, 9:00 ET

Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 10 Games): Packers by 4.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 10 Games): Packers by 5.

The Game. Edge: Packers.
Injuries: Vikings: OUT: QB Daunte Culpepper, RB Moe Williams, RB Onterrio Smith, C Matt Birk, DE Kenechi Udeze, CB Fred Smoot. QUESTIONABLE: WR Nate Burleson. Packers: OUT: RB Ahman Green, RB Najeh Davenport, WR Javon Walker, KR Terrence Murphy. QUESTIONABLE: WR Robert Ferguson*.

The Packers are not out of the playoff hunt. If they win this game and the Bears lose against Carolina, they will be three games behind Chicago. Keep in mind that Green Bay still has the luxury of playing Chicago twice. Remember, the Panthers were 1-7 last year and nearly qualified for the postseason.

Prior to last week's preposterous victory over the Giants, the Vikings averaged just 8.5 points on the road. Why do I exclude last week's 24-point performance? Three of those touchdowns were some kind of return. Minnesota only scored three legitimate points on offense and only compiled 156 total yards. Michael Bennett, who was restricted to just 16 yards on 19 carries against the Giants, will once again be stuffed in the backfield; the Packers allow just 3.6 yards per carry. Brad Johnson will be forced to throw on obvious passing situations. While Green Bay's secondary is questionable, Johnson's ability to carry a team on his shoulders is doubtful. Barring more fluke returns, I'll be shocked if the Vikings post double digits.

Just as Carolina discovered Nick Goings when it was 1-7 last year, the Packers found Samko Gado at the bottom of their depth chart. Gado ran for 103 yards and two touchdowns in a 33-25 victory over Atlanta last week. Although Minnesota has not permitted 100 rushing yards to any running back since Warrick Dunn ran for 126 yards on Oct. 2, its front seven showed some cracks as Tiki Barber compiled 95 yards on 23 carries last week. Gado offers a threat out of the backfield, which will allow Brett Favre to perform play-action fakes. The Vikings secondary yields 231 passing yards per contest, meaning Donald Driver and Bubba Franks should both have outstanding performances.

The Packers are the better team. Plus, they have the revenge factor in their favor. Minnesota came back from a 17-0 deficit to win 23-20 on Oct. 23. Green Bay will not let that happen again.


The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Home Team has won 9 of the last 14 meetings.
  • Emotional Win Alert: Teams are 38-68 ATS after an emotional win since 2001; VIKINGS kicked a game-winning field goal with 10 seconds left.
  • Vikings are 9-18 ATS (3-24 SU) outdoors since 2001.
  • Packers are 7-4 ATS in November home games since 2000.
  • Brett Favre is 17-10 on Monday Night.
  • Line Movement: Packers -3 (open) to Packers -4 to Packers -4 to Packers -5.
  • Total Movement: 45 (open) to 44.
  • Weather: Showers, 33 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Fantasy Spin
  • Start Em: Brett Favre, Samko Gado, Donald Driver, Bubba Franks.
  • Sit Em: Vikings Offense and Defense.

Prediction: Packers by 14. (Packers -5). Bonus Double Money Pick. Under.


Bonus NCAA Football Picks
Home team in caps


  • NORTH CAROLINA -21 over Duke. Double Money Pick.
  • Central Florida -11 over RICE. Double Money Pick.
  • NOTRE DAME -34 over Syracuse. Money Pick.
  • NAVY -27 over Temple. Money Pick.
  • IOWA -5 over Minnesota. Money Pick.
  • Colorado State -14 over UNLV.
  • Tulsa -14 over TULANE.
  • Vanderbilt +11 over TENNESSEE.
  • MICHIGAN +3 over Ohio State.
  • BYU -12 over Utah.
  • Alabama/AUBURN Under 37. Money Pick.
  • Mississippi State/ARKANSAS Under 40.


My Team by Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed.


Cowboys: 2-6
Eagles: 3-6
Giants: 4-4
Redskins: 4-5

Bears: 6-2
Lions: 5-3
Packers: 5-4
Vikings: 5-4

Buccaneers: 5-4
Falcons: 5-4
Panthers: 7-1
Saints: 4-4

49ers: 1-8
Cardinals: 4-5
Rams: 4-5
Seahawks: 3-6

Bills: 4-5
Dolphins: 4-5
Jets: 5-4
Patriots: 3-6

Bengals: 6-3
Browns: 5-4
Ravens: 3-6
Steelers: 4-5

Colts: 6-3
Jaguars: 4-5
Texans: 5-4
Titans: 5-4

Broncos: 3-5
Chargers: 4-4
Chiefs: 5-3
Raiders: 7-1

Divisional Games: 20-22
Trend Edge: 20-25
Game Edge: 16-20
Game & Trend Edge: 2-4


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1 Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 15, 2014): 6-9-1 (-$1,380)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 1-2 (-$360)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 0-1 (-$440)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 15, 2014): 10-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 15, 2014): $0

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40% (-$580)

2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 115-118-7, 49.4% (-$2,655)
2014 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 40-38, 51.3% (+$70)
2014 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 9-13-1, 40.9% (-$1,620)
2014 Season Over-Under: 123-98-2, 55.7% ($0)
2014 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,140

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,129-1,962-117, 52.0% (+$9,760)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 684-621-31 (52.4%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 285-247-11 (53.6%)
Career Over-Under: 1,664-1,635-48 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-18 (62.5%)



My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-9
Bears: 7-7
Bucs: 8-6
49ers: 6-7
Eagles: 9-5
Lions: 5-8
Falcons: 6-8
Cardinals: 7-7
Giants: 4-10
Packers: 9-4
Panthers: 5-9
Rams: 6-8
Redskins: 8-6
Vikings: 11-3
Saints: 5-8
Seahawks: 7-7
Bills: 6-8
Bengals: 5-10
Colts: 6-7
Broncos: 7-7
Dolphins: 9-4
Browns: 7-5
Jaguars: 8-6
Chargers: 5-9
Jets: 7-7
Ravens: 6-8
Texans: 6-7
Chiefs: 8-5
Patriots: 7-7
Steelers: 7-7
Titans: 6-6
Raiders: 5-9
Divisional: 31-37 (2011-13: 141-137)
2x Game Edge: 11-16 (2011-13: 55-62)
2x Psych Edge: 23-21 (2011-13: 92-80)
2x Vegas Edge: 39-39 (2011-13: 129-142)
2x Trend Edge: 29-15 (2011-13: 72-78)
Double Edge: 13-11 (2011-13: 27-33)
Triple Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 2-1)
Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011-13: 0-0)

2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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