NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 3.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

John Harbaugh has the record advantage over Andy Reid, especially in Week 1 of preseason tilts. Harbaugh has never lost, while Reid is just 5-8. I went against the Eagles last year in Week 1, and came away with $300, as Jacksonville covered as three-point dogs.

MAJOR UPDATE: I'm going to scale back the Ravens pick and remove the Dolphins selection because of this article. This isn't a normal preseason, so I'd advise caution.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

John Harbaugh is 8-4 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-0 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 18-30 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 5-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 17, Eagles 13
Ravens +3 (3 Units) -- Incorrect; -$330
Eagles 13, Ravens 6

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Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 2.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Tony Sparano loves winning in the preseason. Mike Smith doesn't appear to care unless it's Week 3.

MAJOR UPDATE: I'm going to scale back the Ravens pick and remove the Dolphins selection because of this article. This isn't a normal preseason, so I'd advise caution.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Mike Smith is 6-6 in preseason games.

Mike Smith is 1-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Tony Sparano is 9-3 in preseason games.

Tony Sparano is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Dolphins 20, Falcons 19
Dolphins +2 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
Dolphins 28, Falcons 23

---

New York Jets (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)
Line: Texans by 2.5.
Monday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Rex Ryan had a big matchup against the Giants last year in Week 1 of the preseason, yet he lost 31-16. Ryan is 0-2 in Week 1 preseason tilts, while Gary Kubiak is a solid 3-2.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Texans.

Rex Ryan is 4-4 in preseason games.

Rex Ryan is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Gary Kubiak is 10-10 in preseason games.

Gary Kubiak is 3-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Texans 23, Jets 17
Texans -2.5 (0.5 Units) -- Correct; +$50
Texans 20, Jets 16

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   The state of our country (through the eyes of NFL.com) 12-21-2011 06:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.174 (total posts: 1) 11     8 [schr8er] To mitch9234... First of all.. what team is 13-1..... secondly ( in case you didnt know ) the bills AND the saints are both in the AFC... [smashanddash39] Except for the Saints of course..... Legendary Dynamo 12-21-2011 05:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.79 (total posts: 34) 24     10 SO I told you guys I liked three bowl games this season and tonight is one of the three. Louisiana Tech +9.5 (4 Units) Comes down to a solid LA tech team that won its last seven games and come in with a ton of momentum. Line opened at 11/11.5 and has dropped a couple of points since then. Don't buy into the name I'll go with the line movement as it currently is and take the bulldogs in a close game. I've got a great feel for WAC games especially out of conference. I would monitor this line and see if it goes back up to 10, which I doubt, but obviously that hook can prove to be important. Anything above 8 I'd play for the 4 units. Good Luck everyone!! Ritter 12-21-2011 05:19 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.147 (total posts: 1) 11     11 3 game teaser Houston pk New england -3 1/2 San diego +7 1/2 Take it to the bank Gator 12-21-2011 05:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.153 (total posts: 61) 11     12 ......scrap the Midd Tenn State pick or at least lessen it to a small bet.....sorry about that.... Gator 12-21-2011 04:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.153 (total posts: 61) 17     9 Sweat Barometer picks stayed hot again last night to a tune of 4-1. Brings this season's early total to 13-3. Warning that this winning percentage is simply unsustainable so bet with caution or hope the streak continues......3 plays tonight..... Middle Tennessee State +2 Iona -18 Seton Hall +4.5......word...... .....also there's some creepy line movement in tonight's bowl game.....TCU has been getting about 70% of the betting action and opened as a 12.5 favorite....now they are only a 9.5 favorite....something's fishy....gonna sprinkle a small bet on L. Tech at +9.5..... Dave 12-21-2011 03:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.29 (total posts: 13) 8     8 Dangers its so true about underdog they gave me three decent picks but their big unit picks and their complimentary picks were all losers definitely working for Vegas. Waltsuckssucks 12-21-2011 02:08 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.19 (total posts: 2) 23     11 TNF IND VS HOU WADE PHILIPS WONT BE BACK FOR THIS GAME, SHORT WEEK, TRAVELLING, COMING OFF WIN STREAK BREAKING LOSS... I AM THINKING OF TEASING 6 PTS AND TAKING IND +12...PRIMETIME GAME AT HOME COMING OFF FIRST WIN, HAVING MOMENTUM FOR THE FIRST TIME... ALSO TRYING TO FIGURE THE OVER/UNDER... SeanyB 12-21-2011 01:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.1.1 (total posts: 1) 25     11 Walter you note the margins of victory for Mia and NE since the BB era started. quote: *********************** NE by 7, NE by 3, NE by 12, NE by 14 (-12.5 favorite), MIA by 2, NE by 10, NE by 21 (-22 favorite), MIA by 25, NE by 10, NE by 31 (aforementioned quit game). "AS YOU CAN SEE, MOST OF THESE GAMES WERE CLOSE" ************************ Actually, no they weren't!! You listed 10 games. ony 3 were within a 1 score game. 7 were double digit wins.. How were most close? Someone failed "Probability ans Statistics" class 101. vidro3 12-21-2011 01:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.243 (total posts: 177) 23     12 @Walter Your trends are skewed in the 49ers Seahawks game. The one in favor of the 49ers holds true about 66% of the time. the trend against them is 67.4%. But they are also over different time frames; the trend in favor is over 12 years and trend against spans 22 years. You need to run them for the same duration to make a real comparison bob 12-21-2011 01:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.177 (total posts: 1) 11     13 would you start eli manning or mat ryan this week geronimoooooooooooooooo 12-21-2011 01:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.225 (total posts: 1) 11     10 Stoikpicks' been taking a big hit over the last 4 weeks. Like most bettors, he's lost HUGE, especially last week losing all of his medal picks. ouch! He had a good streak, but, like in the casino, the longer you play, the house always wins. Steve 12-21-2011 01:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.47 (total posts: 1) 9     34 Go to BlairHattonPicks.com for the lock pick on the Poinsettia Bowl tonight! Dangers 12-21-2011 12:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.247 (total posts: 1) 10     8 If people want a guaranteed free winner. Sign up for wunderdog free pick newsletter and then fade them. There picks lose at least 95% of the time. Absolutely for sure there working for the books !! 12-21-2011 12:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.142 (total posts: 1) 11     9 Lou 12-21-2011 12:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx46.1 (total posts: 1) 9     10 Walt, 12 - 4 in favor of the underdogs this week? Really? That's never gonna happen. Pages: 1 2 ...1013 1014 1015 10161017 1018 1019 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 24


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)