NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2009

NFL Picks (Preseason 2009): 8-7-2 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2009): 9-7 (+$285)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2009): 10-6 (+$1,860)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2009): 13-3 (+$2,095)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2009): 10-4 (+$2,040)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2009): 8-6 (+$895)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2009): 5-9 (-$730)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2009): 5-7-1 (-$1,010)

NFL Picks (2009): 68-49-3 (+$5,565)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Nov. 2, 4:30 p.m. ET.

Go to Week 8 NFL Picks – Early Games

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3) at Tennessee Titans (0-6)
Line: Titans by 3. Total: 44.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 7): Titans -1.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 7): Titans -1.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

Some people called me crazy when I wrote it. Many laughed. No one took me seriously. But here is an excerpt from my 2009 Titans Season Preview:

The decline of the defense will also impact the offense; without as many leads, Kerry Collins will be asked to win games instead of just to manage them. He turns 37 during the regular season and hasn’t maintained a YPA greater than 6.5 since 2005, so that could be too much for him to handle. In fact, I wouldn’t be shocked at all if Vince Young supplants Collins in the middle of the year and leads a winning drive against a mediocre opponent (Jacksonville in Week 8?)

Well, the game has arrived. We’re still not sure who the starting quarterback will be; Jeff Fisher apparently has been too busy backstabbing the Titans and buying a new Colts jersey to wear at his next charity event to decide on his starter.

I have no idea whom Fisher will choose, but even if it’s Collins, I’m still sticking with what I said. Vince Young will lead a comeback victory in this game. Mark my words. If I’m right, I demand that a hot naked girl show up at my house as a reward (Rebecca Grant or Alison Brie would be preferable, but I’m not picky).

TENNESSEE OFFENSE: Regardless of who the quarterback is, you know the Titans will run the ball early and often. Their offensive line is still one of the league’s best, and even though Jacksonville and its new 3-4 defense is 12th versus the rush, I have to believe that Chris Johnson will have some success moving the chains.

Which quarterback gives the Titans the best chance of beating the Jaguars’ 22nd-ranked secondary? Collins has been the better passer over the years, but I don’t think that’s the case anymore. Collins is playing as if he were a drunk racist, so Young has to be the guy. And I’m not just saying that because I want Annie from Community to show up at my door; Young can move around and scramble for first downs. He can do enough things that Collins can’t, and after all, all Young does is win games (18-11 as a starter).

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: The Titans are really weak in the secondary, which would explain how David Garrard was able to go 27-of-37 for 323 yards and three touchdowns in the Week 4 meeting. I’ve seen nothing that leads me to believe that Garrard won’t match those stats.

The Titans are still very good against the run, but Maurice Jones-Drew’s mere presence in the backfield will allow Garrard to compile career numbers again. Plus, Jones-Drew will continue to serve as a great weapon out of the backfield. I just don’t see how Tennessee’s defense will stop Jacksonville.

RECAP: The first time these teams met, the Jaguars ripped the Titans to shreds, jumping out to a 30-3 lead. Tennessee was in a terrible spot after an emotional loss to the Jets, so that Week 4 contest is not a good indication of what will happen this time.

Nevertheless, the Jaguars are the better team getting points. The smart move would be to take the +3.

But maybe I’m just not smart. I’m sticking with the gut feeling I had back in late June when I put together that Titans season preview. Whether he starts or not, Young will lead a comeback in this game. I’ll win half a unit, and then Rebecca Grant and/or Alison Brie will show up at my door. Great success.

The Psychology. Edge: Titans.
This is a revenge situation for the Titans, who will be desperate for their first win.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action after early money on Tennessee.

Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 51% (115,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.

History: Titans have won 4 of the last 6 meetings.

Jaguars are 15-9 ATS as an underdog since 2006.

Jack Del Rio is 2-4 ATS after a bye.

Vince Young is 18-11 as a starter (18-11 ATS). ???

Opening Line: Titans -3.

Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 61 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Titans 20, Jaguars 16
Titans -3 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Under 44.5 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Titans 30, Jaguars 13

Oakland Raiders (2-5) at San Diego Chargers (3-3)
Line: Chargers by 16.5. Total: 41.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 7): Chargers -13.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 7): Chargers -15.5.
Sunday, 4:05 ET

The Game. Edge: Chargers.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

If you missed it the past few weeks, Emmitt on the Brink is back! Season 2, Week 7 will be posted Friday. Last year, Bill Belichick was caught cheating again, and Roger Goodell made Emmitt take over as the Patriots coach as punishment. Now, Emmitt is back as the official head coach. This week, Emmitt prepares for the Redskins, as Daniel Snyder hires two new assistant coaches: Alex Trebek and Pat Sajack.

OAKLAND OFFENSE: As JaMarcus Russell goes, the Raiders go. In the three games Russell didn’t play like a crack fiend, Oakland is 2-1, with the sole loss coming to the Chargers on the first Monday night of the year. In the other four games, Russell is a combined 38-of-78 for 350 yards (4.5 YPA), zero touchdowns, six interceptions and five lost fumbles. The Raiders, of course, are 0-4 in those contests and have been outscored 134-16.

And through all of this, Russell blames his teammates: “I don’t think it’s me personally, I really don’t. It’s a bad combination of one guy doesn’t so somethin right one time and he doesn’t do… no, it all plays a… play… I personally don’t think it’s me… Do you think so?”

Do I think you suck at life, JaMarcus? Yes I do. Do I think you’re stealing millions of dollars from a vampire? Yes I do. And it’s all a shame because the Raiders otherwise have a solid team. The Chargers suck against the run (21st), so Justin Fargas would have a pretty solid game here. Unfortunately, I don’t know if Russell isn’t going to play mediocre football or self-destruct.

SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: This also sets up well for Oakland’s defense. As Eagles fans found out, the Raiders can defend the pass and get to the quarterback; it’s their weakness versus the rush that hurts them.

The Chargers, however, cannot run the ball well. Outside of one long gain, LaDainian Tomlinson struggled against the Chiefs’ 29th-ranked ground defense. Tomlinson had eight carries at the goal line, but failed to score on all eight occasions. And it’s not Tomlinson’s fault; I hear people saying that the old Tomlinson would have scored, but he really had no shot. On Sunday, Kansas City’s defenders were in the backfield on every running play.

Philip Rivers was able to slaughter the Chiefs by torching them through the air, but that won’t happen Sunday. Oakland’s secondary is pretty solid, as Nnamdi Asomugha will erase Vincent Jackson. Meanwhile, San Diego’s horrific offensive line won’t be able to block the Raiders’ pass rush. This may sound far-fetched if you’re a Chargers fan, but just ask any Eagles backer about this. Beating the Raiders via the pass is not something you want to do.

RECAP: This is a great spot for Oakland. The Chargers have three very tough games coming up against the Giants, Eagles and Broncos. I doubt they’re going to be focused against the lowly Raiders. Plus, Oakland fits under the lucrative Home Shutout trend (details below).

Unfortunately, I can’t recommend laying more than one unit on the Raiders. JaMarcus Russell is just that bad. He might he motivated here after being benched, but hearing him say that aforementioned quote after the Jets game, I swear he was high. He just looked so out of it. He might just be morbidly stupid, but I seriously think he was on drugs. Do you think so?

The Psychology. Edge: Raiders.

Check out San Diego’s next three games: Giants, Eagles and Broncos. Big Breather Alert.

The Vegas. Edge: Raiders.

If the spread in this game were -24, I think the public would still favor the host.

Percentage of money on San Diego: 70% (112,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Raiders.

History: Chargers have won the last 12 meetings.

Home Shutout: Teams coming off home shutouts are 17-8 ATS the following week since 2002.

Chargers are 10-7 ATS in November home games since 2001.

Opening Line: Chargers -13.5.

Opening Total: 42.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 70 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Chargers 20, Raiders 10
Raiders +16.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Under 41.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Chargers 24, Raiders 16

Minnesota Vikings (6-1) at Green Bay Packers (4-2)
Line: Packers by 3. Total: 47.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 7): Vikings -1.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 7): Pick.

Sunday, 4:15 ET

The Game. Edge: Vikings.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

With the 2009 NFL Season underway, I’ll be posting my Jerks of the Week on Wednesdays because I’ll be tied up on Sundays. Jerks of the Week for Oct. 26, 2009 are up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks are: 1) Oompa Loompa. 2) TV Show DVDs. 3) College Football.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: The last time these two teams met was a Monday night in Minnesota. The Vikings won 30-23, though it was more lopsided than that score would indicate. Aaron Rodgers played well (26-of-37, 384 yards, 2 TDs, INT), but had no chance behind his offensive line. There was a jailbreak on every play; the Vikings sacked Rodgers eight times. Jared Allen came away with 4.5 sacks.

Rodgers wasn’t sacked a single time last week, but he actually went down five times the Sunday before against the Lions. It was pretty embarrassing.

The big news here is that Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher could be back to protect Rodgers. That may seem huge, but I’m not so sure. Tauscher hasn’t played at all this year because he had knee surgery in the offseason. Clifton, meanwhile, hasn’t been great since 2007. Either he or rookie T.J. Lang will have to go up against Jared Allen this Sunday, which might pose too great of a challenge. Lang played very well against the Browns, but come on… we’re talking about the Browns here.

To be successful in moving the chains consistently, the Packers will need to put together drives with a ton of short junk to keep Rodgers from taking too many sacks. Green Bay actually did this to open the Monday night game, but for some reason got away from it. The Packers need to stick to their game plan to pull this one off.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: The Packers had no answer for Brett Favre that Monday night. Favre was unstoppable, going 24-of-31 for 271 yards and three touchdowns. Green Bay played eight men in the box against Adrian Peterson and coaxed Favre into beating them. The 40-year-old quarterback delivered.

With Favre’s rapport growing stronger with Sidney Rice, I see no reason why things will be different in Lambeau. The Packers will need to focus on shutting down Peterson, which will once again make things easy for Favre. Favre wasn’t sacked a single time in Minnesota, so that will need to change for Green Bay if it wants to win this game.

RECAP: I picked the Vikings to cover the spread in the previous meeting. My reasoning was that Minnesota would dominate the line of scrimmage and consequently win the game.

With that in mind, I’m taking the Vikings again for the same exact reason. Clifton and Tauscher need to prove to me that they’re healthy and capable of protecting Rodgers effectively for me to have any confidence in the Packers when they go up against a tough defense like Minnesota’s.

The Psychology. Edge: Unknown.
I don’t know. If the crowd is rabid, it could take control of this game. If the crowd cheers on Brett Favre, the Vikings will have a huge advantage. It’s tough to say what’ll happen.

The Vegas. Edge: Packers.

Tons of bettors like the Vikings. Shocker.

Percentage of money on Minnesota: 69% (200,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Vikings.

History: Home Team has won the last 4 meetings.

Road Rules: Brad Childress is 5-1 ATS in his second consecutive road game.

Vikings are 8-11 ATS in outdoor games under Brad Childress.

Opening Line: Packers -3.

Opening Total: 48.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 47 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Vikings 27, Packers 23
Vikings +3 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Over 47 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Vikings 38, Packers 26

Carolina Panthers (2-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-2)
Line: Cardinals by 10.5. Total: 42.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 7): Cardinals -4.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 7): Cardinals -7.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

The Game. Edge: Cardinals.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

Last year, I kept you up to date with Bo-Bo’s Fantasy Team (click the link for details). This year, I’m doing the same.

I think Bo-Bo is the only fantasy football owner in America daring enough to start Kelley Washington on a bye. It’s weird – Bo-Bo switched out Joe Flacco (bye) for Mark Sanchez, but didn’t remove Washington (same team as Flacco) from his lineup. Did Bo-Bo just give up halfway through because he had too many women to sleep with? Bo-Bo was blown out of the water by Cookie, losing 125-63. Ouch. Here’s his lineup and the points each player scored for him:

QB: Mark Sanchez (15)
RB1: Michael Turner (11)
RB2: Marshawn Lynch (10)
WR1: Terrell Owens (2)
WR2: Jacoby Jones (0)
WR3: Kelley Washington (0 – bye)
TE: Chris Cooley (2)
K: David Akers (11)
DEF: Vikings Defense (12)

Bo-Bo had been starting two players for the Ravens, who were on a bye last week. Why did he switch out just one of them? It makes no sense. But then again, this is Bo-Bo we’re talking about.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: Speaking of ineptness, Jake Delhomme now has 15 turnovers (13 interceptions) this year. That means that Delhomme is on pace to throw 35 picks this season. I don’t understand how that’s humanly possible.

It was speculated that John Fox would name Mandy Moore as his starter. I thought A.J. Feeley should have gotten consideration. Unfortunately for Panther fans, Fox announced that Delhomme will remain under center. Clearly, Coach Fox is insane.

Carolina’s offense doesn’t match up well against Arizona’s defense. The Cardinals are first versus the run, as they’ve shut down premier backs like Maurice Jones-Drew, Frank Gore and Brandon Jacobs. They’ll stuff DeAngelo Williams and DeShaun Foster in the backfield, forcing Delhomme into long-yardage situations. Ruh-roh.

Even if Delhomme didn’t completely suck, it might not even matter. The Panthers have allowed 15 sacks this season, which is not good news here because Arizona brings tons of pressure out of its 3-4. This looks like it’s going to be a long day for Carolina’s offense.

ARIZONA OFFENSE: Fortunately for the Panthers, Arizona’s offense doesn’t match up well with Carolina’s defense either. The Panthers are pretty stout against the pass, but they can’t stop the rush. The Cardinals struggle to run the ball.

Kurt Warner will have to beat Carolina’s talented secondary on his own. I would have had my doubts about this a few weeks ago, but Warner, coming off hip surgery, has gradually been improving. Going into the Giants game, he had only one completion greater than 26 yards. He had two on Sunday night alone.

I don’t think Arizona will have a ton of success moving the chains, but the team should be able to score enough to beat the Panthers.

RECAP: Like the Raiders-Chargers tilt, this is another game where the underdog’s quarterback is so horrific that it’s keeping me from making a big play.

Carolina is in a great spot here. The Cardinals, who really suck against the spread when favored by a ton of points, just had a huge win on national TV, so getting up for a crappy 2-4 squad will be tough to do. The Panthers, meanwhile, thrive in the role of an underdog. Check the trends below for all of this.

Unfortunately, Delhomme is so bad that I can’t recommend anything more than two units on the Panthers.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge.

The Vegas. Edge: Panthers.

No surprise that everyone loves Arizona here.

Percentage of money on Arizona: 89% (157,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Panthers.

Big Al Trend II: Underdogs coming off a loss as -7 or more, playing a team coming off a SU win are 64-36 ATS.

Winning Coach: John Fox is 8-3 ATS as an underdog after losing as a favorite.

Panthers are 27-22 ATS as an underdog the previous 49 instances.

Jake Delhomme is 30-18 ATS on the road.

Jake Delhomme is 23-11 ATS as an underdog in his career.

Jake Delhomme is 19-11 ATS off back-to-back wins.

John Fox is 6-2 ATS on the West Coast.

Panthers are 1-4 ATS on the road vs. teams with winning records since 2008.

Cardinals are 1-8 ATS as favorites of 7.5 or more the previous nine instances.

Opening Line: Cardinals -9.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: Dome.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Cardinals 20, Panthers 17
Panthers +10.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Under 42 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Panthers 34, Cardinals 21

Atlanta Falcons (4-2) at New Orleans Saints (6-0)
Line: Saints by 12. Total: 56.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 7): Saints -6.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 7): Saints -7.

Monday, 8:30 ET

The Game. Edge: Saints.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

This week on Monday Night Football, we get to see the Falcons and Saints in what should be a thrilling shootout. Unfortunately, we’re going to have Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski and Jon Gruden calling the shots instead of Emmitt, Herm and Philadelphia Eagles Television Network guy Kevin Reilly (a huge homer who called Maurice Jones-Drew “Maurice Drew-Jones” and Torry Holt “Terry Holt”). Here’s how it would sound like if Reilly, Emmitt and Herm were in the booth for this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to New Orleans, the Mile High City! Tonight, we have the Atlanta Braves taking on the New Orleans Saints. Guys, these New Orleans Saints beat my Eagles earlier in the year, so I hope they all die! Boooooooo! Booooooooooo!

Emmitt: Now Kevin Riles, that is not a nice thing to says. To says someone dies, that means that their life have been taken away from them. And when life taken away from something, chances have to be that it die!

Reilly: You’re right, Emmitt. I hope they all get tortured for all of eternity! Boooooo Hissssss!!! Coach, are you with me?

Herm: I’m with you! See me here!? See you there!? I am with you! You are with me! We are with each other!

Reilly: Really, Coach? I thought you were going to belittle me for my complete disdain for this horrible Saints team. They will never win the AFC South!

Emmitt: Not only have you guys lost your spirits, you have also lost your minds! To say that a team need to be torture is like callin’ the pot and the kettle the same color that is dark. I forget what this color called.

Reilly: I think that color is white, Emmitt.

Herm: That’s racist! That’s definitely racist! Do you know how racist that is!? Do you know? I know! I know how racist that is! Here’s how racist that is! Here’s how racist it is! Are you ready to hear how racist it is!? Are you ready!? Well here it is! Here’s how racist it is! Uhh… umm…

Reilly: We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

ATLANTA OFFENSE: I really don’t understand what happened in the Falcons-Cowboys game. I watched it, but I didn’t quite understand it. Atlanta had allowed just two sacks going into the contest, yet Dallas got to Matt Ryan four times and was able to rattle him all afternoon after he put together an impressive opening drive.

The Saints have 14 sacks in six games, so one would think that they’d have the same ability to harass Ryan. That would have been the case a week ago, but stud defensive tackle Sedrick Ellis injured his knee at Miami and will probably miss this game. Ellis’ absence will be felt; he commands double teams, so now Charles Grant and Will Smith will get extra attention.

With Ellis out, I believe Ryan will have more success throwing the ball. In two meetings last year, Ryan totaled 59 points against the Saints. I know this New Orleans defense has been a lot better, but Ellis being out of the lineup is huge.

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: After a hot start against the Buccaneers in Week 1, Tony Romo really struggled going into the Atlanta game. Romo broke out of his slump by going 21-of-29 for 311 yards and three touchdowns.

It’s a shame because the Falcons were playing much better defense this year, but starting corner Brian Williams suffered a season-ending injury against the Bears, forcing the small Brent Grimes into the lineup. Atlanta could not contain Miles Austin-Jones last week.

If Austin-Jones gave them headaches, imagine what Marques Colston, Lance Moore, Jeremy Shockey and Devery Henderson will do. The Falcons have been playing well against the rush lately, but worrying about Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell and Reggie Bush coming out of the backfield will be a non-issue with Drew Brees torching their secondary all night.

RECAP: I don’t feel strongly about this game, but I like the Falcons to cover for two reasons.

First, people underestimate how important Ellis is to New Orleans’ defense. Not having him in the lineup will make that unit significantly weaker.

And second, this line is inflated because of what happened last week. Had this game been scheduled in Week 7, the Saints would be favored by a touchdown or so. In the wake of Sunday’s events, this spread has swelled all the way up to 10.

The Falcons and Saints are arch rivals who know each other better than anyone. They’re both solid teams, so I can’t see one blowing the other out.

UNIT CHANGE: This spread has gotten out of control. I think people are underestimating how much divisional rivals know each other. I’ll be surprised if this game isn’t a close one.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
A big NFC South showdown. No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Falcons.

Vegas has inflated this spread, but the public is still pounding the Saints.

Percentage of money on New Orleans: 66% (268,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Falcons.

History: Saints have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Road Rules: Teams on the road after a road loss are 135-94 ATS since 1996 (Mike Smith 2-0).

Saints are 26-38 ATS at home since 2001 (9-2 since 2008).

Saints are 19-27 ATS as a home favorite since 2001.

Drew Brees is 20-8 ATS off back-to-back wins.

Opening Line: Saints -9.

Opening Total: 53.5.

Weather: Dome.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 8 NFL Pick: Saints 34, Falcons 31
Falcons +12 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Over 56 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Saints 35, Falcons 27

Week 8 NFL Picks – Early Games
Texans at Bills, Browns at Bears, Seahawks at Cowboys, Rams at Lions, Giants at Eagles, 49ers at Colts, Dolphins at Jets, Broncos at Ravens

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Live Dog: Bills +155 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Live Dog: Vikings +155 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$155

Pyschological Edge Parlay: Bears -13, Seahawks +10, Lions -3.5, Jets -3, Raiders +16.5, Falcons +10 (.5 Units to win 23.6) — Incorrect; -$50

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 23

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)