My Thoughts on the 2026 NFL Draft – Live on Draft Day!
What is this? I’ll be posting my thoughts on the 2026 NFL Draft here. That will include everything from the actual picks, to the TV personalities, to the commercials, etc. Anything goes. This page will be updated every five minutes or so, so I hope you join me for the 2026 NFL Draft!
By the way, I’ll be posting live 2026 NFL Draft Grades for individual picks. Overall 2026 NFL Draft Grades will be posted all day Sunday. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.
7:15: To begin soon. We’ll be covering odds more this year with live draft betting now available for everyone (Kalshi).
7:16: I just realized that NFL Network didn’t do its usual red carpet fashion show thing they used to do. Maybe ESPN did it, but I’m glad we didn’t have to suffer through that.
7:18: Kalshi has a $62,000 limit on the No. 2 pick. If you put in $62,000, the Arvell Reese surges from -210 to -680. I’m shocked no one close to Woody Johnson or the Jets general manager didn’t pound Reese, or David Bailey.
7:20: David Bailey is now the favorite to go No. 3, but I think that’s because Reese has become such a big favorite at No. 2. Our great Cardinals source gave us Jeremiyah Love or a trade at No. 3.
7:24: It’s truly insane how many people are at the draft, especially when this draft has no buzz to it.
7:26: Checked in with Charlie. He’s heard nothing new. Hopefully we get a great nugget in the final hour like we did with Michael Penix two years ago.
7:27: On Kalshi, Garrett Nussmeier is 92/1 to be the No. 1 pick. Anyone betting on Nussmeier????
7:31: Caleb Downs is now the favorite at No. 5 (+198). That might just be someone betting Downs because of a mock draft or report they saw. If you bet big money on Downs ($17,000 limit), he would jump to a -356 favorite.
7:33: Isn’t Mike Vrabel addressing the media right now? Did he even know that he may have had a son with the Patriots’ No. 1 beat reporter?
7:35: Here we go. I don’t think he’s resigning.
7:36: “Hey Mike, talk to the media and pretend that you’re sorry.”
7:37: Styles now the favorite to go No. 5. I don’t think people betting that pick know anything. Hopefully I’m wrong.
7:38: This is not based on any inside info, but I bet a unit on Reese to go No. 2. If I’m wrong, I’ll be glad I got the pick right in the mock draft. If I’m right, I’ll make $100. Can’t lose!
7:42: Downs now the favorite at +124 to go No. 5. I imagine some people might be thinking that they’re getting arbitrage.
7:44: It’s pretty crazy to draft Reese over Bailey. Reese is a 1-year starter and has no set position. The Cardinals have made a million picks like this, and they’ve all failed.
7:49: My 4-year-old son asked, “Daddy, why do you have to work so much this weekend?” I explained that if I were Santa, this would be my Christmas. He said, “Oh, Daddy, you should work a lot then!”
7:51: Curious that the Jets odds haven’t moved. Reese has been stuck at -229 for 10 minutes.
7:52: Never mind. Down to -218.
7:57: Three more minutes, and still nothing on the Jets. I wish we still had info there. We would’ve made a lot of money tonight!
8:00: Reese’s odds have dipped a bit. Nothing crazy though.
8:02: Someone just hammered Downs to No. 5.
8:03: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!
8:04: Goodell is so fragile he needs Steeler players to save him from getting booed.
8:05: Someone also hammered Bailey to the Cardinals at No. 3. It’ll be a bad night if we don’t get one of Bailey to three or Tyson to five.
8:06: Eight minutes per pick is so dumb. Teams will have less time to make calls for trades.
8:07: I asked Charlie about Downs being the favorite at five, and he said, “That’s a shocker.” He doesn’t seem worried.
8:09: Reese up to -277.
With the first pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Raiders select Fernando Mendoza
8:14: I got a pick right! No one said I could do it.
8:15: Reese now -565!
With the second pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Jets select David Bailey
8:19: Wow, so much for those draft odds! Those bettors really knew nothing!
8:20: I think I would have given the Jets a C for Reese.
8:22: Cardinals trying to trade the pick. Can they do it?
With the third pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Cardinals select Jeremiyah Love
8:27: Congrats to those who followed us on Love!
8:28: Now let’s get Tyson at five!
With the fourth pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Titans select Carnell Tate
8:32: Let’s hope that the Tate pick motivates the Giants to pick Tyson!
8:36: F**king Titans ruined the Tyson pick. What a dumb team.
With the fifth pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Giants select Arvell Reese
8:37: At least we hedged with Reese. Not by enough though.
8:39: The TV networks are already way behind. This 8-minute decision was asinine.
With the sixth pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Chiefs select Mansoor Delane
8:46: The Chiefs just flushed third- and fifth-round picks down the toilet. Nice job. No wonder this team’s falling apart despite having Patrick Mahomes.
8:47: To be clear, I like Delane, but moving up was insanely dumb.
With the seventh pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Redskins select Sonny Styles
8:51: Great pick by the Redskins. We knew it came down to Styles versus Tate. I bet a bit on Styles, but not nearly enough!
With the eighth pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Saints select Jordyn Tyson
8:53: Our three options for the Dolphins are still alive.
8:56: How embarrassing is it that the TV networks are so behind?
9:01: LOL Giants. What a dumb team. The Browns, on the other hand…
With the ninth pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Browns select Spencer Fano
With the 10th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Browns select Francis Mauigoa
9:09: Cowboys move up one spot even though there are multiple values available. Nice job, Jerry.
9:10: Mauigoa may not be able to play this year because of his back. Not good.
With the 11th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Cowboys select Caleb Downs
With the 12th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Dolphins select Kadyn Proctor
9:23: The Rams, of all teams, made the dumbest pick in this draft. Wow.
With the 13th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Rams select Ty Simpson
9:26: Hurr durr we can win the Super Bowl this year but let’s use the 13th pick on a backup QB hurr durr.
With the 14th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Ravens select Vega Ioane
9:31: The Ravens know that they had to help themselves this year. The Rams, meanwhile, sabotaged their chances of winning this year.
9:32: The true winners of this night are the 49ers and Seahawks.
With the 15th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Bucs select Rueben Bain
9:41: I’m not sure if Bain fits the Bucs defense, but what do I know.
With the 16th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Jets select Kenyon Sadiq
9:47: I have to think that Goodell told some of these teams to take all of their time because this was so embarrassing for him.
With the 17th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Lions select Blake Miller
9:52: Everyone has Thieneman here…
With the 18th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Vikings select Caleb Banks
9:56: Will Axe Tepper once again meddle with his team’s pick?
With the 19th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Panthers select Monroe Freeling
9:57: It’s impossible to know for sure, but it seems so.
With the 20th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Eagles select Makai Lemon
10:01: Believe me when I say those combine interviews were very weird.
With the 21st pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Steelers select Max Iheanachor
With the 22nd pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Chargers select Akheem Mesidor
10:13: Old Man Mesidor going in the first round is wild. I had him higher in my mock, but only because I heard the Buccaneers liked him.
10:14: The Cowboys just had Keldric Faulk fall into their laps.
With the 23rd pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Cowboys select Malachi Lawrence
10:19: So much for that! Lawrence is so explosive though.
10:20: I don’t think our mocks are doing so well this year, but I don’t know if anyone’s doing well honestly.
10:22: At the very least, our draft props did well. Tyson didn’t work out well because of the dumb Titans, but we hit big with Love going No. 3. Proctor over Freeling was great, too.
With the 24th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Browns select K.C. Concepcion
10:25: The Bears can land a steal in Keldric Faulk.
With the 25th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Bears select Dillon Thieneman
10:30: Maybe the Bears stared a bit too long at mock drafts and worried that their NFC North rival would take Thieneman.
With the 26th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Texans select Keylan Rutledge
10:37: Nice job by the Texans to trade up for a second-round guard.
With the 27th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Dolphins select Chris Johnson
10:40: The biggest loser in this draft, besides Matthew Stafford and Rams fans, is Malik Willis.
With the 28th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Patriots select Chris Johnson
10:45: The final tackle is off the board. Drake Maye has to be thrilled.
With the 29th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Chiefs select Peter Woods
10:49: I wish I could give you more here, but this draft is too fast!
With the 30th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Jets select Omar Cooper
10:55: Titans and Jets trade up!
With the 31st pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Titans select Keldric Faulk
11:00: Faulk was conidered a top-five prospect heading into the year. What a steal.
11:02: Seattle making the pick!
With the 32nd pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, the Seahawks select Jadarian Price
11:06: So much for the under 1.5 running back bet.
11:07: This draft ended up being 43 minutes shorter than the previous one. It felt rushed. Not surprising that Roger Goodell screwed up again.
2027 NFL Mock Draft - April 30
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NFL Picks - Feb. 9
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2017: Live 2017 NFL Draft Blog - April 30
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2015: Live 2015 NFL Draft Blog - April 30
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2011: Live 2011 NFL Draft Blog - April 28
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2009: Live 2009 NFL Draft Blog - April 25
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Super Bowl XLIII Live Blog
