NBA Picks (Jan. 27-Feb. 2) 11-4 (+$1,105)
NBA Picks (Feb. 3-9) 9-5 (+$655)
NBA Picks (Feb. 10-16) 4-2 (+$300)
2024-25 NBA Picks: 29-18 (+$1,810)
2023-24 NBA Picks: 155-130-1 (+$3,365)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.
NBA Picks for the 2024-25 Season:
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 13, 2025
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 5.
7:30 PM ET
Playing on back-to-back nights is a tough ask for the Rockets because of how banged-up they are. The Warriors will be in better shape, as they seemed to be holding back a bit last night versus Dallas with a tougher game on the horizon.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Stephen Curry tonight. The Rockets are down several players and don’t defend point guards well. The best number is over 24.5 points -118 at BetMGM.
I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
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NBA Pick: Warriors +5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker
NBA Player Prop: Stephen Curry over 24.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – BetMGM
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Knicks are coming off an impressive win against the Pacers. Heading into the All-Star break, this seems like an obvious flat spot for them against the Hawks, who have quietly won four of their previous five games after enduring a long losing streak.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Trae Young tonight. The Knicks will have tired legs, so Young could explode for a big game. He scored 27 points the last time he battled the Knicks. The best number is over 25.5 points -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks +7.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Trae Young over 25.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.
10:00 PM ET
The Suns have struggled lately, but this seems like a good time to buy low, especially now that the trade deadline is over and there is no more uncertainty lingering over these players. I like them tonight against a Grizzlies team that could be distracted with a tougher game coming up tomorrow.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Kevin Durant tonight. I love Durant in this matchup, as the Grizzlies are weak to his position. Durant has been off for eight days, so he’ll have fresh legs. He also plays much better at home than on the road. The best number is over 26.5 points -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Suns +4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kevin Durant over 26.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 10, 2025 (1-1, +$95)
Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Warriors by 7.5.
8:00 PM ET
This is looking like an infamous punt spot for the Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo is already out, while Damian Lillard was just listed as questionable. Brook Lopez has an injury tag as well. The Bucks played yesterday, so they could sit some guys. This line could skyrocket if Lillard and Lopez are ruled out.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Bobby Portis’ rebound prop. Portis is a rebounding machine when Antetokounmpo is out of the lineup. He’s averaged 12.1 rebounds per game this season when he’s the main guy on the glass. The best number is over 10.5 rebounds -105 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Warriors -7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bobby Portis over 10.5 rebounds -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: 76ers by 3.5.
2:00 PM ET
I can’t believe the 76ers are favored by 3.5 in Milwaukee. I know Giannis Antetokounmpo is out, but he’s the only significant Milwaukee player who is out for this game. The Bucks should still be able to beat the 76ers. I know they’ve struggled lately, but they’ve had just one home game since Jan. 23. The 76ers aren’t playing well either, as Joel Embiid has ruined this team’s chemistry since his return to action.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Damian Lillard. Here are Lillard’s point totals in games without Antetokoumpo this year: 36, 37, 29, 29, and 23. He scored 30 points against the 76ers in the first meeting this year. The best number is over 26.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bucks +3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Damian Lillard over 26.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 8, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET
The bookmakers are pricing this line down lower than it should be because the Thunder are on a back-to-back, but the starters didn’t play in the fourth quarter because the game was such a blowout. Despite this, it still looked like the Thunder were holding back and saving themselves for this important game. I like them on this reduced line.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jalen Williams. The Grizzlies are very weak against forwards, and Williams has gone over his posted total in four of his previous five games. The best number is over 20.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Thunder -2.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Williams over 20.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 7, 2025 (1-1, +$85)
Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 4.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Bucks have been a money pit lately, failing to cover their previous five games. Their defense has fallen apart, and there will be an adjustment period as they welcome Kyle Kuzma to their team. The Hawks, meanwhile, have covered most of their games lately. They need this victory to help them in their playoff hunt.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Trae Young. As mentioned, Milwaukee’s defense is a disaster, and Young has been on a scoring spree lately. The best number is over 27.5 points -125 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Hawks +4.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Trae Young over 27.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 6, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET
We bet against the Warriors last night, but we’ll be on them in this game. They were saving up their energy for battling the Lakers, so they’ll be at 100 percent following their loss. The Lakers, meanwhile, have been playing great basketball lately, but they are likely to regress to the mean, at least until Luka Doncic is available.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Buddy Hield. His usage will be higher than usual tonight with some players sidelined. He has a great matchup as well. The best number is over 14.5 points -115 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Warriors +6.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Buddy Hield over 14.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Warriors by 5.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Warriors have a big game against the Lakers tomorrow night, so I don’t think they’ll be fully focused for this game. They have three key questionable players, so I imagine most of them will sit. The Jazz, meanwhile, have covered two in a row and have shown signs of life now that they’re healthier.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jordan Clarkson. His usage will be high tonight with Collin Sexton sidelined. He’s scored 18-plus points in the previous 10 games in which Sexton has been out of the lineup. The best number is over 18.5 points -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Jazz +5.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jordan Clarkson over 18.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 4, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 1.5.
7:30 PM ET
This Celtics team is not the dominant one we saw last year. Perhaps they’ll get there come May and June, but we haven’t seen it yet. They’ve struggled defensively, especially while playing on the road. The Cavaliers are the better team now that Evan Mobley is back in action. This line should be higher than -1.5.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jayson Tatum. I’ve spoken about how Tatum is way more active on the road. The last time he visited Cleveland, he scored 33 points in a four-point loss. We may see someting similar tonight. The best number is over 25.5 points -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers -1.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 3, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 15.5.
8:00 PM ET
We’re fading the Bucks again tonight, but for a different reason. They are punting this game by sitting all of their starters. They’ve already announced Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis out, and Brook Lopez and Damian Lillard are both questionable, so they could be sidelined as well. This line could rise toward -20 by tip-off if Lopez and Lillard are ruled out.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight. That didn’t work out so well last time, but this figures to be a disgusting blowout, so Gilgeous-Alexander likely won’t be playing in the fourth quarter. He typically scores 30 or fewer points in lopsided affairs. The best number is under 35.5 points -120 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Thunder -15.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 35.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025 (2-0, +$310)
Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 2.
8:30 PM ET
This is a tough spot for the Bucks. Not only are they going to be jet lagged from their West Coast trip; they’ll have one eye on a matchup against the Thunder the following night. The Grizzlies, by the way, are 14-4 against the spread against Eastern Conference teams.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Desmond Bane tonight. The Bucks already struggled against guards, and they might even be worse against Bane tonight because of the jet lag. The best number is over 21.5 points -118 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Desmond Bane over 21.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 1, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Phoenix Suns at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Suns by 3.
10:00 PM ET
We were on the Blazers earlier, and we will be once again. They’ve been hot lately, covering seven games in a row. The Suns, meanwhile, had a tough game against the Warriors the prior night, so I don’t think they’ll be 100 percent in this game.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on DeAndre Ayton tonight. This is a solid matchup for Ayton, who has scored 15 or more points in the previous four games. This is also a revenge game for him. The best number is over 14.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers +3 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton over 14.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 31, 2025 (1-2, -$125)
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Nuggets by 9.5.
7:30 PM ET
The 76ers have won four in a row, but they haven’t faced an opponent like this one. The Nuggets are on a three-game losing streak, but I have to think that ends tonight, as they put forth a full effort against Philadelphia.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Nikola Jokic tonight. Jokic brings it after a loss. He’s coming off his 11th defeat of the year. Following the previous 10 losses, Jokic has averaged 38.3 points per game. The best number is over 27.5 points -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -9.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 27.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic 35+ points +400 (0.25 Units) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 30, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.
10:00 PM ET
Backing the Jazz may seem foolish because they have just 10 wins on the year, and they’ve lost seven in a row. However, they were shorthanded for many of those seven defeats, and they’ll have most of their core pieces back in action tonight. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are coming off a tough win against the Suns last night, so I can’t see them playing with high energy.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Julius Randle tonight. Randle played 35 minutes last night, so given that the Timberwolves are coming off a win, he could play far fewer minutes in this game. Randle’s prop is 20.5, and yet he averages just 18.8 points per game on the road. The best number is under 20.5 -105 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Jazz +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle under 20.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 29, 2025 (1-1, +$105)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Thunder by 9.5.
10:00 PM ET
The Thunder have failed to cover four of their previous five games, as their spreads have become inflated. That’s the case in this game. I like the Warriors tonight. Don’t be afraid of them being on a back-to-back. They played a lot of their backups last night versus the Jazz, and Steph Curry even sat out in anticipation of this contest.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight. The Warriors have the third-best defense against point guards, and Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 29.5 points per game versus the Warriors in two meetings this year. The best number is under 32.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Warriors +9.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 32.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2025 (2-0, +$310)
Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Rockets by 5.
7:30 PM ET
We bet the Rockets yesterday and managed to win. The game went down to the wire with the Celtics, so the Houston players figure to be exhausted for this game. This is also a back-to-back for the Hawks, but it’s not a true back-to-back because some key players like Trae Young and Dyson Daniels didn’t play. It’s a bit risky to bet the Hawks right now with Young questionable, but I believe he sat out last night’s game to play in this one.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Alperen Sengun tonight. The Hawks defend centers decently well, and Sengun averages two fewer points per game on the road than he does at home. The best number is under 20.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets on BetMGM by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 20.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 27, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 5.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Rockets have been on a tear lately. They’ve taken down the Cavaliers twice, as well as the Nuggets. This number is too high considering how well they’ve played. The Celtics, meanwhile, have just returned home from their West Coast trip, so they could be jet lagged.
Player Prop: We were fading Jayson Tatum in home games during the playoffs last year. His splits once again favor him on the road. Furthermore, the Rockets are No. 1 in defense against wings. Tatum scored 20 points in the previous meeting versus Houston. The best number is under 25.5 points -106 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Rockets +5.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 25.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 25, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 4.5.
8:00 PM ET
Unreal finish to last night’s game. We had the Pelicans at +10.5, and they were up seven at halftime. Memphis couldn’t miss in the second half. The Grizzlies took the lead, which expanded so much that the Pelicans pulled their starters with three minutes to go. This included Trey Murphy, who had 22 points, which was half a point shy of his prop.
I like the Bulls tonight. The public is all over Philadelphia, but it’s pretty clear that the 76ers shot their load last night versus the Cavaliers. I don’t expect them to play nearly as well in this game. Player Prop: The 76ers can’t defend wings, and their tired legs will allow Zach LaVine to have an even better game than he normally would. LaVine dropped 30 against the 76ers in the only other matchup this year. The best number is over 24.5 points -107 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bulls -4.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Zach LaVine over 24.5 points -107 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 24, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 10.5.
8:00 PM ET
This spread is too high. The Pelicans have played good basketball lately, going 7-3 in their previous 10 games. They even lost to Boston by only one point. They should keep this game close. Player Prop: The Pelicans are down two scorers, so Trey Murphy’s point total looks great. The last time he played Memphis, he scored 35! The best number is over 22.5 points -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Trey Murphy over 22.5 points -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 23, 2025 (1-1, +$80)
Portland Trailblazers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 8.
7:00 PM ET
We got royally screwed yesterday with Kyrie Irving hitting a “meaningless” three at the buzzer. Let’s bounce back today with the Blazers, who have kept many of their games close recently. The Magic are in a bit of a slump, and it doesn’t appear as though anyone has noticed, based on this spread. Player Prop: We’re going to a different game for this one. Actually, we’re re-visiting a prop that didn’t work. I don’t know why Nikola Vucevic didn’t grab any rebounds in the opening half versus the Clippers, but I think he’ll redeem himself tonight against the Warriors, who allow a ton of rebounds to the opposition and are shorthanded in the front court. The best number is over 10.5 rebounds -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers +8 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 (0-2, -$305)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.
7:30 PM ET
This is a major revenge spot for the Timberwolves, who get to take advantage of a very wounded Mavericks team. Dallas also has bigger fish to fry with a game against the Thunder tomorrow night. Player Prop: I like Spencer Dinwiddie over points + rebounds + assists. As mentioned, Dallas is very shorthanded, so Dinwiddie will have to do a lot tonight. The best number is over 21.5 PRA -106 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Spencer Dinwiddie over 21.5 PRA -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 21, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Knicks by 11.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Knicks are coming off a tough battle against the Hawks last night in which the starters played a ton of minutes. The Nets haven’t played since Sunday, so they should be able to play with more energy tonight and keep this game close. Player Prop: I like D’Angelo Russell over points + rebounds + assists. Ben Simmons is out, so Russell’s usage will go through the roof. The best number is over 25.5 PRA -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nets +11.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: D’Angelo Russell over 25.5 PRA -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 20, 2025 (1-1, +$90)
Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.
10:30 PM ET
Our NBA picks are back! I wanted to do this two weeks ago when the NFL regular season ended, but I have two kids under three (37 months, technically), and I had the flu, and then they got sick. My apologies.
I like the Bulls tonight. The Clippers have been on a tear since the wildfires, but they’re due for some regression. They had a tough game against the Lakers last night, so there’s a natural letdown in play in this game. Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic over 9.5 rebounds. Vucevic has gotten to double-digit rebounds in the past four games, and opposing rebounders have an easier time against the Clippers than most teams. The best number is over 9.5 -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bulls +5.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 9.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120
