NBA Picks (Jan. 27-Feb. 2) 11-4 (+$1,105)
NBA Picks (Feb. 3-9) 9-5 (+$655)
NBA Picks (Feb. 10-16) 6-2 (+$605)
NBA Picks (Feb. 17-23) 6-3 (+$310)
NBA Picks (Feb. 24-March 2) 4-12 (-$1,315)
NBA Picks (March 3-9) 6-8 (-$470)
NBA Picks (March 10-16) 7-7 (+$60)
NBA Picks (March 17-23) 10-4 (+$860)
NBA Picks (March 24-30) 6-7 (-$225)
2024-25 NBA Picks: 70-59 (+$1,335)
2023-24 NBA Picks: 155-130-1 (+$3,365)
2022-23 NBA Picks: 61-69-4 (-$1,400)
2021-22 NBA Picks: 73-60-3 (+$2,815)
2020-21 NBA Picks: 98-96-5 (+$1,045)
2019-20 NBA Picks: 47-46-1 (+$450)
2018-19 NBA Picks: 114-98-4 (+$3,550)
2017-18 NBA Picks: 63-66-2 (-$1,850)
2016-17 NBA Picks: 51-67-2 (-$4,620)
2015-16 NBA Picks: 93-95-6 (-$1,305)
2014-15 NBA Picks: 62-53-4 (+$250)
2013-14 NBA Picks: 59-51-4 (+$760)
2012-13 NBA Picks: 51-45 (+$1,180)
2011-12 NBA Picks: 38-46-1 (-$3,005)
2010-11 NBA Picks: 113-89-4 (+$2,690)
2009-10 NBA Picks: 116-98-4 (+$1,375)
2008-09 NBA Picks: 122-119-6 (-$2,280)
2007-08 NBA Picks: 104-88-8 (+$1,485)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.
NBA Picks for the 2024-25 Season:
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 30, 2025
Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Rockets by 1.
9:00 PM ET
The Rockets have won many games recently, but they’ve been a money pit as far as betting is concerned. They’re just 1-6 against the spread in their previous seven games. They also have to battle the Lakers tomorrow, so they could be looking past the Suns, who are fighting for their playoff lives.
Player Prop: The Rockets are a great defensive team, but they allow a lot of production to point guards, so I like Tyus Jones tonight. The best number is over 7.5 points -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
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NBA Pick: Suns +1 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker
NBA Player Prop: Tyus Jones over 7.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – DraftKings Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 29, 2025 (2-1, +$95)
Boston Celtics at San Antonio Spurs.
Line: Celtics by 13.
8:00 PM ET
I don’t really like any sides today, so I’ll have three player prop bets instead. If I had to pick one side, it would be the Spurs +13 because the Celtics are stuck in the No. 2 seed. However, they are just so much better than the Spurs and happen to be playing incredibly well right now, so I don’t want to fade them.
Player Prop: Let’s begin with this game. The Spurs have no answer for opposing centers, so Kristaps Porzingis looks like a great play tonight. The best number is over 19.5 points -106 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
Player Prop: The Bulls are playing great basketball right now, but they can’t defend point guards whatsoever. We had success betting Spencer Dinwiddie several nights ago, so let’s do it again. The best number is over 13.5 points -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Player Prop: The Grizzlies are one of the worst teams at defending power forwards. This bodes well for Rui Hachimura, especially if Austin Reaves misses tonight’s game. The best number is over 11.5 points -115 at ESPNBet.
NBA Pick: Spurs +13 +100 (0 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; $0
NBA Player Prop: Kristaps Porzingis over 19.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Player Prop: Spencer Dinwiddie over 13.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Player Prop: Rui Hachimura over 11.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +100
NBA Picks for Friday, March 28, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Clippers by 12.
7:30 PM ET
This is a classic sandwich spot for the Clippers, who are coming off a big win against the Knicks and will be looking ahead to their battle against the Cavaliers. Meanwhile, the Nets have covered seven of their previous 10 games, so this number seems like it’s way too high.
Player Prop: The Clippers are a great defensive team, but they’re weak to point guards. D’Angelo Russell had a rough outing following his return from injury, but he should play better tonight. The best number is over 14.5 points -105 at FanDuel. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nets +12 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: D’Angelo Russell over 14.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 27, 2025 (1-1, +$90)
San Antonio Spurs at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 14.5.
7:00 PM ET
We really got screwed on the Nikola Jokic news yesterday. He was listed as doubtful when I posted my pick, and yet he somehow played. Anyway, the Spurs have won three of their previous four, so I don’t see why they couldn’t cover this large spread. The Cavaliers, who won’t have Evan Mobley tonight, are on cruise control because they’re up 4.5 games on Boston with 10 games remaining.
Player Prop: I’ve mentioned this a few times, but the Cavaliers tend to be weak against power forwards. Harrison Barnes usually scores in double digits, so I don’t see why he wouldn’t do that again. The best number is over 10.5 points -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Spurs +14.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Harrison Barnes over 10.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 26, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 7.5.
9:00 PM ET
The Nuggets are 13-22 without Nikola Jokic the past four seasons. That’s straight up; not against the spread. With that in mind, how can they be expected to cover a -7.5 line? The Bucks won’t have Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight, but they’ll still have Brook Lopez and Kyle Kuzma going up against a poor Denver defense.
Player Prop: We’re betting Gary Trent for the same reason we bet Coby White a couple of nights ago. The Nuggets can’t defend wings at all, and Trent’s scoring will be up with no Antetokounmpo. The best number is over 14.5 points +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bucks +7.5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Gary Trent over 14.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 25, 2025 (0-2, -$305)
Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 9.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Mavericks have been playing better of late. They’re also fighting for their playoff lives. I expect a much better effort out of them tonight than the Knicks, who are 4-7 against the spread in their previous 11 games. They sorely miss Jalen Brunson. They also have a tougher game tomorrow night versus the Clippers, so there could be a look-ahead aspect to this game.
Player Prop: The Knicks are at their weakest defending point guards, so we will be betting on Spencer Dinwiddie tonight. Dinwiddie has been hot lately, and I see no reason why that wouldn’t continue. The best number is over 15.5 points -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +9.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Spencer Dinwiddie over 15.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Monday, March 24, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 2.5.
9:00 PM ET
The Bulls have been on a tear lately, winning seven of their previous nine. They’ve gone 8-1 against the spread during that stretch. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are coming off a tough win at Houston last night, and they won’t have Nikola Jokic back yet.
Player Prop: The Nuggets can’t defend wings at all, and their tired legs will make it difficult to keep up with a red-hot Coby White. The best number is over 23.5 points -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bulls +2.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Coby White over 23.5 points -128 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 23, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Hawks by 10.
6:00 PM ET
We bet the Hawks last night, but will be fading them this evening. They exerted a lot of energy against the Warriors and should be flat in this matchup. I know the 76ers suck, but they’ve been blown out only once since their March 6 tilt against the Celtics.
Player Prop: Justin Edwards has been on a tear since Tyrese Maxey and Paul George were knocked out with injuries. The Hawks are very soft against forwards. The best number is over 13.5 points -117 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: 76ers +10 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Justin Edwards over 13.5 points -117 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 22, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Golden State Warriors at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Warriors by 2.
7:00 PM ET
I talked about this recently, but the Warriors have had issues covering the spread – 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games – because the oddsmakers have inflated their spreads following the initial success with Jimmy Butler. This is another example of that. The Warriors, missing Steph Curry, should not be favored in Atlanta.
Player Prop: The Warriors are weak against big men. We had success betting Onyeka Okongwu recently, and we’ll do it again. He should continue to produce well with Clint Capela still sidelined. The best number is over 13.5 points -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks +2 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Onyeka Okongwu over 13.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, March 21, 2025 (2-0, +$310)
Orlando Magic at Washington Bullets.
Line: Magic by 9.
7:00 PM ET
The Magic went through some severe struggles recently, but they appear to have gotten over them with some nice wins lately. Most of their recent opponents have been top teams, so this will be an easy game for them, as Washington is not fielding a competitive lineup right now.
Player Prop: The Bullets are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. They’re especially bad against front-court players. Paolo Banchero has been on a tear recently, so I love him tonight. The best number is over 26.5 points -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Magic -9 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Paolo Banchero over 26.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 20, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Chicago Bulls at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Kings by 6.5.
10:00 PM ET
We bet the Kings last night, but we’re going to fade them in this game. They exerted all of their energy to come back and beat the Cavaliers. They’ll be out of gas versus the Bulls, who are fighting for a playoff spot.
Player Prop: The Kings are weakest against centers, so I like Nikola Vucevic tonight. Vucevic is rounding into shape from his injury, and he should have some nice performances moving forward. The best number is over 16.5 points -115 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Bulls +6.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 16.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 19, 2025 (1-1, +$75)
Cleveland Cavaliers at Sacramento Kings.
Line: Cavaliers by 4.
10:00 PM ET
The Cavaliers are well ahead of everyone in the Eastern Conference, so I don’t know why’d push it in a back-to-back this late in the season, even after a loss. The Kings, meanwhile, are fighting for a playoff spot. They just beat the Grizzlies, so perhaps this positive momentum can carry over into tonight’s game.
Player Prop: We’re attacking what we did last night with our replacement prop. The Cavaliers allow tons of rebounds to power forwards, so Keegan Murray should be able to eclipse the posted total. The best number is over 5.5 rebounds -125 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Kings +4 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Keegan Murray over 5.5 rebounds -125 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 18, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Bucks by 2.
10:00 PM ET
The Warriors are home underdogs because they lost last night to the Nuggets scrubs. However, they didn’t exert much energy in that game, as it was apparent that they were saving their effort for tonight. The Bucks are obviously a good team, but not great enough to be favored in Golden State.
Player Prop: Steph Curry is out, so we’re going to look at another prop. This is from the other night game. I like Kawhi Leonard over rebounds. The Cavaliers give up plenty of rebounds to opposing power forwards, and Leonard has eclipsed 5.5 rebounds often recently. The best number is over 5.5 rebounds -125 at ESPNBet.
NBA Pick: Warriors +2 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Kawhi Leonard over 5.5 rebounds -125 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, March 17, 2025 (0-2, -$325)
Miami Heat at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 6.
7:30 PM ET
The Heat have failed to cover their previous seven games, so this seems like a good time to buy low on them. The Knicks aren’t in great shape either. They’ve lost four of their previous six games with Jalen Brunson sidelined, and they’re coming off a West Coast trip, so they could be jet lagged.
Player Prop: The Knicks are at their weakest defending point guards. That would explain why Tyler Herro has averaged 28 points per game against them this year. The best number is over 22.5 points -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Heat +6 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyler Herro over 22.5 -125 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 16, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Hawks by 7.5.
6:00 PM ET
We bet the Nets yesterday, but we’ll be looking to fade them tonight. They played a tough game against the Celtics and nearly prevailed. This is now the latter of a back-to-back, and the third game in four nights. I don’t see the Nets being competitive today.
Player Prop: The Nets are weak to centers, so with Clint Capela out, Onyeka Okwongwu should have a strong game. The best number is over 14.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks -7.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Onyeka Okongwu over 14.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 15, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Celtics by 10.
6:00 PM ET
The Celtics are locked into the No. 2 seed, and this is the latter half of a back-to-back, so it wouldn’t surprise me if they sat their key players in this game. Meanwhile, the Nets have played nothing but close games since D’Angelo Russell returned from injury, hanging with the Cavaliers and Warriors.
Player Prop: The Celtics are at their weakest against shooting guards. Keon Johnson will have more playing time tonight with Cam Thomas out. The best number is over 11.5 points +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nets +10 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Keon Johnson over 11.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, March 14, 2025 (0-2, -$300)
Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Cavaliers by 2.
8:00 PM ET
The Cavaliers are eight up on the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. They don’t need to win these games, which would explain why they’ve failed to cover three of their previous four. Also, Donovan Mitchell is out, which doesn’t help. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are fighting for the No. 2 seed.
Player Prop: The Cavaliers have a good defense, but they’re much weaker against power forwards than every other position. Jaren Jackson Jr. is the play tonight. The best number is over 19.5 points -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. over 19.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 13, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 6.5.
10:00 PM ET
The Warriors were a covering machine when they first acquired Jimmy Butler. However, the sportsbooks have adjusted. They’ve inflated their lines, which would explain why they haven’t covered the spread in the past three games. This should be another close one, as the Kings are battling for the eighth seed.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on DeMar DeRozan tonight. The Warriors are at their weakest defending wings. This would explain how DeRozan had 34 and 32 points in his previous two matchups against the Warriors. The best number is over 21.5 points -120 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Kings +6.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: DeMar DeRozan over 21.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 12, 2025 (1-1, +$80)
Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 2.
8:00 PM ET
The Clippers embarrassed themselves last night with a loss to the Pelicans. I think they’ll bounce back tonight against a Miami team that probably shouldn’t be favored in this sort of a matchup, even if Kawhi Leonard is out.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on James Harden tonight. The Heat aren’t very good against point guards, which would explain why Harden had 26 points in the previous matchup. The best number is over 24.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Clippers +2 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden over 24.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 11, 2025 (1-1, +$85)
Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Bucks by 2.
7:30 PM ET
We faded the Pacers last night, but we’re going to be on them in this game. I suspected that Indiana would be saving its energy for the Bucks, and now we get a nice discount on them as home underdogs.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Tyrese Haliburton tonight. The Bucks are weak to point guards, so Haliburton should do well in this big game. The best number is over 18.5 points -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Pacers +2 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton over 18.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Monday, March 10, 2025 (1-1, +$90)
Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Pacers by 3.5.
8:00 PM ET
The Pacers won’t have their best player tonight as they prepare to take on the Bucks tomorrow. Meanwhile, the Bulls have been hot of late, covering seven of their previous nine games. I like Chicago tonight.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Matas Buzelis tonight. The Pacers are weak against fours, so Buzelis should do well. The best number is over 12.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bulls +3.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Matas Buzelis over 12.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 9, 2025 (2-1, +$260)
Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: 76ers by 6.
7:30 PM ET
I thought the 76ers would be more competitive with Joel Embiid gone, but that changed when Paul George and Tyrese Maxey both got hurt. Now, there’s no way they should be favored by six or more over anyone. The Jazz have been involved in more close games than blowouts recently.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Johnny Juzang tonight. The 76ers are incredibly poor against shooting guards. The best number is over 10.5 points at ESPNBet.
NBA Pick: Jazz +6 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210 NBA Moneyline: Jazz +215 (0.5 Units) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
NBA Player Prop: Johnny Juzang over 10.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 8, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets.
Line: Nets by 6.
6:00 PM ET
Laying six points with the Nets on the road may seem like a terrible idea, but these Hornets lost by 13 to the Bullets at home a week ago. They shot their load last night versus the Cavaliers and will now be sitting some of their top players in this game. The Nets are fighting for a playoff spot, so they have something at stake tonight. Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Nic Claxton tonight. The Hornets are awful against centers. Claxton isn’t a top scorer, so we’re going to take his points + rebounds. The best number is over 19.5 points + rebounds -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nets -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nic Claxton over 19.5 points + rebounds -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Friday, March 7, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 7.5.
10:30 PM ET
The Knicks played a grueling overtime game last night, so it’s no surprise to see many of their key players, including Jalen Brunson, listed as questionable. The Knicks are basically stuck with the No. 3 seed, so why should they play hard tonight? The Clippers, meanwhile, are trying to move up in the standings to avoid the play-in tournament. Player Prop: We’re going to bet on James Harden tonight. The Knicks are at their worst defensively against point guards. James Harden should be able to take advantage of their tired legs. The best number is over 24.5 points -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Clippers -7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden over 24.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, March 6, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 13.
7:30 PM ET
The 76ers have played with much more spirit than they did when Joel Embiid was lazily jogging on the court. They’ll try hard in this game, so they should stay within the number because the Celtics are sitting a number of players. The guys on the court tonight for Boston played 38-42 minutes last night, so they’ll be exhausted.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Kelly Oubre tonight. The Celtics are at their weakest defensively against shooting guards, and they will be tired when trying to defend. The best number is over 17.5 points -130 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: 76ers +13 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kelly Oubre over 17.5 points -130 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 5, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 13.
7:00 PM ET
The Cavaliers played last night, but they didn’t have to exert themselves very much against the injury-ravaged Bulls. Their starters didn’t play 30-plus minutes, so they should be able to take care of business tonight. The Heat are already shorthanded, and they could be without Tyler Herro.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Darius Garland tonight. The Heat are at their weakest defensively when it comes to defending point guards. Garland scored 23 in the previous matchup against Miami. The best number is over 18.5 points -115 at ESPNBet.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers -13 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Darius Garland over 18.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Monday, March 3, 2025 (1-2, -$300)
Washington Bullets at Miami Heat.
Line: Heat by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET
Our miserable week ended with us getting screwed by the Laker news. I don’t know why LeBron James and Luka Doncic decided to play their seventh game in 12 days. We can move on now to tonight, where we have two teams coming off overtime affairs against better teams. The Blazers and Heat went to overtime versus the Cavaliers and Knicks, respectively, and now they have to rebound versus softer opponents they may overlook. I considered the 76ers for a bet, but they could be down Paul George and Kelly Oubre, so I’m going with the Bullets, who have been a covering machine lately. They’ve beaten the number in five of their previous seven games.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Carlton Carrington tonight. The Heat are at their weakest defensively when it comes to defending point guards. Carrington is starting in relief of Jordan Poole and should have a strong game. The best number is over 10.5 points +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bullets +7.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Carlton Carrington over 10.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Sunday, March 2, 2025 (0-2, -$305)
Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Clippers by 5.
9:30 PM ET
I’d be shocked if the Lakers didn’t punt this game. This is their seventh game in 12 days, and they’ve already ruled out Rui Hachimura and Austin Reaves have already been ruled out, and it wouldn’t surprise me if at least one of Luka Doncic or LeBron James sat as well.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on James Harden tonight. Harden is coming off one of the worst shooting performances of the year two nights ago, yet he still scored 18 points. The Laker defense struggles against point guards, so Harden should have a big game. The best number is over 21.5 points -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Clippers -5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden over 21.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Saturday, March 1, 2025 (1-1, +$85)
Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Warriors by 7.5.
8:30 PM ET
The 76ers have been the worst team in the NBA recently because of their low effort. We saw a change on Wednesday, and it had to do with two things. First, Joel Embiid was shut down for the season. The Philadelphia players dislike Embiid because he’s a slacker who doesn’t want to play through minor injuries, so they’re happier without him. Second, Paul George has finally heard enough about his poor performances and has shut down his podcast to put more effort on the court. Meanwhile, Jimmy Butler could be sidelined tonight.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Paul George tonight. George has been a big disappointment this year, but there’s something to him being embarrassed enough to shut down his podcast. He had a great game versus the Knicks, and he should have another stellar performance against a Golden State team that struggles to defend wings. The best number is over 19.5 points -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: 76ers +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Paul George over 19.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 28, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 5.
8:00 PM ET
Let’s hope our awful week turns around tonight with the Grizzlies. The Knicks can’t beat good teams, and their defense sucks. The Grizzlies are the better team, and they’ve dominated the Eastern Conference.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Ja Morant tonight. I talked about how the Knicks can’t play defense. Morant should have a great performance in a big game. The best number is over 22.5 points -124 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies -5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Ja Morant over 22.5 points -124 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025 (0-2, -$320)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.5.
10:30 PM ET
What a disaster of a Wednesday night. Let’s rebound with the Timberwolves, who have lost by more than seven points just once since Jan. 4. The Lakers are coming off a big win versus Dallas and could be in for a letdown against Minnesota, especially with the Clippers on deck. There’s a chance the Lakers will sit some players, including LeBron James, who is questionable.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Naz Reid tonight. The Lakers have taken a hit to their frontcourt defense with Anthony Davis gone, and Reid has been on a tear lately. The best number is over 19.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Naz Reid over 19.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 26, 2025 (1-3, -$465)
Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 11.
7:00 PM ET
Two picks tonight! The first will be a fade of the 76ers, who are probably the worst team in the NBA right now. Joel Embiid has quit on the team and will be sidelined once again because he’s nursing his bogus injury. Paul George is not trying. There are plenty of other injuries as well. Meanwhile, the Knicks are coming off two consecutive losses against the Celtics and Cavaliers, so they’ll use this opportunity to bounce back with a win against a terrible team.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jalen Brunson’s three-pointer prop tonight. The 76ers are leaving players wide open beyond the arc because they just don’t care anymore. Brunson hit three threes the last time he battled Philadelphia. The best number is over 2.5 three-pointers +133 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Knicks -11 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 2.5 three-pointers +133 (0.5 Units) – BetRivers — Correct; +$65
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 8.5.
9:30 PM ET
We faded the Rockets a few nights ago when they battled the Jazz, and they lost outright. We’re going back to the well tonight. The Rockets have been a money pit, and they’re coming off a tough win versus the Bucks, so this feels like a letdown spot for them.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on De’Aaron Fox tonight. We won with Keyonte George against Houston’s poor point guard defense. Fox should do lots of damage to the Rockets tonight. The best number is over 22.5 points -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Spurs +8.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: De’Aaron Fox over 22.5 points -128 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$130
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025 (1-1, +$90)
Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Celtics by 11.
7:00 PM ET
The Celtics have caught fire lately, but they’re comfortably sitting with the No. 2 seed. They’re well ahead of third place, and it seems unlikely that they’re going to catch Cleveland, so I could see them taking some games off down the stretch. Meanwhile, the Raptors are fighting for their playoff lives. They’ve covered four of their previous six, and they just dismantled the Suns.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jayson Tatum tonight even though we’re betting against the Celtics. I’ve talked about how Tatum thrives on the road, and if this game is close, Tatum will do lots of scoring. The best number is over 25.5 points -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Raptors +10.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$110
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 24, 2025 (0-2, -$305)
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Nuggets by 4.5.
7:00 PM ET
The Pacers are getting dinged as far as the point spread is concerned because this is the second leg of a back-to-back for them. However, they won easily yesterday, with no player logging more than 31 minutes. They’ll be fresh tonight against a Denver team that has gotten many of its recent wins versus bad competition.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Bennedict Mathurin tonight. The Nuggets don’t have a good defense, and they are at their worst defending wings. The best number is over 14.5 points -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Pacers +4.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bennedict Mathurin over 14.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Pistons by 2.
6:00 PM ET
The Pistons are hot after winning five in a row, but if you look closely, you’ll see that those five victories have come against bad or injured teams. Detroit doesn’t deserve to be favored on the road against the Hawks, who have done a great job of covering the spread as underdogs this season.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Onyeka Okongwu tonight. Okongwu has seen a big uptick in production since being promoted to the starting lineup. He’s been averaging 14 points per game, which already exceeds this prop. Factor in that Detroit has a woeful defense against centers, and Okongwu looks like a great play today. The best number is over 13.5 points +100 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks +2 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Onyea Okongwu over 13.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 22, 2025 (2-0, +$310)
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz.
Line: Rockets by 7.5.
7:00 PM ET
The Rockets, who have had severe issues covering the spread lately, had a great win against the Timberwolves last night. In doing so, four of their players were on the court for 36 or more minutes. They could rest some players tonight in this meaningless game. The Jazz have covered five of their previous nine games, so they can get there.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Keyonte George tonight. The Rockets are not very good at covering guards. George has exceeded 17 points in five of his previous seven games. The best number is over 17.5 points -105 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Jazz +7.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Keyonte George over 17.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 21, 2025 (1-1, +$100)
Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Bullets.
Line: Bucks by 5.
7:00 PM ET
The Bucks had a tough win last night versus the Clippers. This is the sort of game that they typically punt. Damian Lillard has already been ruled out, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Giannis Antetokounmpo sits as well. The Bullets, meanwhile, have covered six of their previous seven games.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Khris Middleton tonight. The Bucks have a poor defense, and the narrative is obvious. This is a revenge game for Middleton, who will be making his Bullets debut. The best number is over 13.5 points +100 at BetRivers. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bullets +5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Khris Middleton over 13.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 20, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Cavaliers by 12.5.
7:30 PM ET
This seems like an obvious down spot for the Cavaliers. They’re well ahead of everyone in the Eastern Conference, so they don’t need this game. They also have to prepare for the Knicks tomorrow, so given that three of their players participated in the All-Star break, they could be aloof tonight. Meanwhile, the Nets have quietly won six of their previous seven, and they’re fighting for a playoff spot.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Cameron Johnson tonight. The Cavaliers have a great defense, but they’re not very good against wings. Johnson has scored 23 and 22 points in two meetings against them this year. The best number is over 24.5 points -114 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nets +12.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Cameron Johnson over 16.5 points -124 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2025 (1-0, +$100)
Charlotte Hornets at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 12.5.
10:00 PM ET
I don’t like either side in this game. I’d lean Hornets if I had to make a play. I do, however, like a prop bet…
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on LaMelo Ball tonight. The Lakers already defended point guards poorly, and now that’s even going to be worse with Luka Doncic on the roster. The best number is over 24.5 points -114 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: No side tonight
NBA Player Prop: LaMelo Ball over 24.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 13, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 5.
7:30 PM ET
Playing on back-to-back nights is a tough ask for the Rockets because of how banged-up they are. The Warriors will be in better shape, as they seemed to be holding back a bit last night versus Dallas with a tougher game on the horizon.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Stephen Curry tonight. The Rockets are down several players and don’t defend point guards well. The best number is over 24.5 points -118 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Warriors +5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Stephen Curry over 24.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 7.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Knicks are coming off an impressive win against the Pacers. Heading into the All-Star break, this seems like an obvious flat spot for them against the Hawks, who have quietly won four of their previous five games after enduring a long losing streak.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Trae Young tonight. The Knicks will have tired legs, so Young could explode for a big game. He scored 27 points the last time he battled the Knicks. The best number is over 25.5 points -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks +7.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Trae Young over 25.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns.
Line: Grizzlies by 4.
10:00 PM ET
The Suns have struggled lately, but this seems like a good time to buy low, especially now that the trade deadline is over and there is no more uncertainty lingering over these players. I like them tonight against a Grizzlies team that could be distracted with a tougher game coming up tomorrow.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Kevin Durant tonight. I love Durant in this matchup, as the Grizzlies are weak to his position. Durant has been off for eight days, so he’ll have fresh legs. He also plays much better at home than on the road. The best number is over 26.5 points -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Suns +4 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Kevin Durant over 26.5 points -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 10, 2025 (1-1, +$95)
Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Warriors by 7.5.
8:00 PM ET
This is looking like an infamous punt spot for the Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo is already out, while Damian Lillard was just listed as questionable. Brook Lopez has an injury tag as well. The Bucks played yesterday, so they could sit some guys. This line could skyrocket if Lillard and Lopez are ruled out.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Bobby Portis’ rebound prop. Portis is a rebounding machine when Antetokounmpo is out of the lineup. He’s averaged 12.1 rebounds per game this season when he’s the main guy on the glass. The best number is over 10.5 rebounds -105 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Warriors -7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Bobby Portis over 10.5 rebounds -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: 76ers by 3.5.
2:00 PM ET
I can’t believe the 76ers are favored by 3.5 in Milwaukee. I know Giannis Antetokounmpo is out, but he’s the only significant Milwaukee player who is out for this game. The Bucks should still be able to beat the 76ers. I know they’ve struggled lately, but they’ve had just one home game since Jan. 23. The 76ers aren’t playing well either, as Joel Embiid has ruined this team’s chemistry since his return to action.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Damian Lillard. Here are Lillard’s point totals in games without Antetokoumpo this year: 36, 37, 29, 29, and 23. He scored 30 points against the 76ers in the first meeting this year. The best number is over 26.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bucks +3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Damian Lillard over 26.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 8, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.
8:00 PM ET
The bookmakers are pricing this line down lower than it should be because the Thunder are on a back-to-back, but the starters didn’t play in the fourth quarter because the game was such a blowout. Despite this, it still looked like the Thunder were holding back and saving themselves for this important game. I like them on this reduced line.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jalen Williams. The Grizzlies are very weak against forwards, and Williams has gone over his posted total in four of his previous five games. The best number is over 20.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Thunder -2.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Williams over 20.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 7, 2025 (1-1, +$85)
Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 4.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Bucks have been a money pit lately, failing to cover their previous five games. Their defense has fallen apart, and there will be an adjustment period as they welcome Kyle Kuzma to their team. The Hawks, meanwhile, have covered most of their games lately. They need this victory to help them in their playoff hunt.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Trae Young. As mentioned, Milwaukee’s defense is a disaster, and Young has been on a scoring spree lately. The best number is over 27.5 points -125 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Hawks +4.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Trae Young over 27.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 6, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.5.
7:30 PM ET
We bet against the Warriors last night, but we’ll be on them in this game. They were saving up their energy for battling the Lakers, so they’ll be at 100 percent following their loss. The Lakers, meanwhile, have been playing great basketball lately, but they are likely to regress to the mean, at least until Luka Doncic is available.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Buddy Hield. His usage will be higher than usual tonight with some players sidelined. He has a great matchup as well. The best number is over 14.5 points -115 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Warriors +6.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Buddy Hield over 14.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Warriors by 5.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Warriors have a big game against the Lakers tomorrow night, so I don’t think they’ll be fully focused for this game. They have three key questionable players, so I imagine most of them will sit. The Jazz, meanwhile, have covered two in a row and have shown signs of life now that they’re healthier.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jordan Clarkson. His usage will be high tonight with Collin Sexton sidelined. He’s scored 18-plus points in the previous 10 games in which Sexton has been out of the lineup. The best number is over 18.5 points -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Jazz +5.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jordan Clarkson over 18.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 4, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 1.5.
7:30 PM ET
This Celtics team is not the dominant one we saw last year. Perhaps they’ll get there come May and June, but we haven’t seen it yet. They’ve struggled defensively, especially while playing on the road. The Cavaliers are the better team now that Evan Mobley is back in action. This line should be higher than -1.5.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jayson Tatum. I’ve spoken about how Tatum is way more active on the road. The last time he visited Cleveland, he scored 33 points in a four-point loss. We may see someting similar tonight. The best number is over 25.5 points -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers -1.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 3, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 15.5.
8:00 PM ET
We’re fading the Bucks again tonight, but for a different reason. They are punting this game by sitting all of their starters. They’ve already announced Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis out, and Brook Lopez and Damian Lillard are both questionable, so they could be sidelined as well. This line could rise toward -20 by tip-off if Lopez and Lillard are ruled out.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight. That didn’t work out so well last time, but this figures to be a disgusting blowout, so Gilgeous-Alexander likely won’t be playing in the fourth quarter. He typically scores 30 or fewer points in lopsided affairs. The best number is under 35.5 points -120 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Thunder -15.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 35.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025 (2-0, +$310)
Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 2.
8:30 PM ET
This is a tough spot for the Bucks. Not only are they going to be jet lagged from their West Coast trip; they’ll have one eye on a matchup against the Thunder the following night. The Grizzlies, by the way, are 14-4 against the spread against Eastern Conference teams.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Desmond Bane tonight. The Bucks already struggled against guards, and they might even be worse against Bane tonight because of the jet lag. The best number is over 21.5 points -118 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Desmond Bane over 21.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 1, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Phoenix Suns at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Suns by 3.
10:00 PM ET
We were on the Blazers earlier, and we will be once again. They’ve been hot lately, covering seven games in a row. The Suns, meanwhile, had a tough game against the Warriors the prior night, so I don’t think they’ll be 100 percent in this game.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on DeAndre Ayton tonight. This is a solid matchup for Ayton, who has scored 15 or more points in the previous four games. This is also a revenge game for him. The best number is over 14.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers +3 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton over 14.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 31, 2025 (1-2, -$125)
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Nuggets by 9.5.
7:30 PM ET
The 76ers have won four in a row, but they haven’t faced an opponent like this one. The Nuggets are on a three-game losing streak, but I have to think that ends tonight, as they put forth a full effort against Philadelphia.
Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Nikola Jokic tonight. Jokic brings it after a loss. He’s coming off his 11th defeat of the year. Following the previous 10 losses, Jokic has averaged 38.3 points per game. The best number is over 27.5 points -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -9.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 27.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic 35+ points +400 (0.25 Units) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 30, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.
10:00 PM ET
Backing the Jazz may seem foolish because they have just 10 wins on the year, and they’ve lost seven in a row. However, they were shorthanded for many of those seven defeats, and they’ll have most of their core pieces back in action tonight. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are coming off a tough win against the Suns last night, so I can’t see them playing with high energy.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Julius Randle tonight. Randle played 35 minutes last night, so given that the Timberwolves are coming off a win, he could play far fewer minutes in this game. Randle’s prop is 20.5, and yet he averages just 18.8 points per game on the road. The best number is under 20.5 -105 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Jazz +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle under 20.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 29, 2025 (1-1, +$105)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Thunder by 9.5.
10:00 PM ET
The Thunder have failed to cover four of their previous five games, as their spreads have become inflated. That’s the case in this game. I like the Warriors tonight. Don’t be afraid of them being on a back-to-back. They played a lot of their backups last night versus the Jazz, and Steph Curry even sat out in anticipation of this contest.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight. The Warriors have the third-best defense against point guards, and Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 29.5 points per game versus the Warriors in two meetings this year. The best number is under 32.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Warriors +9.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 32.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2025 (2-0, +$310)
Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Rockets by 5.
7:30 PM ET
We bet the Rockets yesterday and managed to win. The game went down to the wire with the Celtics, so the Houston players figure to be exhausted for this game. This is also a back-to-back for the Hawks, but it’s not a true back-to-back because some key players like Trae Young and Dyson Daniels didn’t play. It’s a bit risky to bet the Hawks right now with Young questionable, but I believe he sat out last night’s game to play in this one.
Player Prop: We’re going to fade Alperen Sengun tonight. The Hawks defend centers decently well, and Sengun averages two fewer points per game on the road than he does at home. The best number is under 20.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets on BetMGM by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Hawks +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 20.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 27, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 5.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Rockets have been on a tear lately. They’ve taken down the Cavaliers twice, as well as the Nuggets. This number is too high considering how well they’ve played. The Celtics, meanwhile, have just returned home from their West Coast trip, so they could be jet lagged.
Player Prop: We were fading Jayson Tatum in home games during the playoffs last year. His splits once again favor him on the road. Furthermore, the Rockets are No. 1 in defense against wings. Tatum scored 20 points in the previous meeting versus Houston. The best number is under 25.5 points -106 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Rockets +5.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 25.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 25, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 4.5.
8:00 PM ET
Unreal finish to last night’s game. We had the Pelicans at +10.5, and they were up seven at halftime. Memphis couldn’t miss in the second half. The Grizzlies took the lead, which expanded so much that the Pelicans pulled their starters with three minutes to go. This included Trey Murphy, who had 22 points, which was half a point shy of his prop.
I like the Bulls tonight. The public is all over Philadelphia, but it’s pretty clear that the 76ers shot their load last night versus the Cavaliers. I don’t expect them to play nearly as well in this game. Player Prop: The 76ers can’t defend wings, and their tired legs will allow Zach LaVine to have an even better game than he normally would. LaVine dropped 30 against the 76ers in the only other matchup this year. The best number is over 24.5 points -107 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bulls -4.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Zach LaVine over 24.5 points -107 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 24, 2025 (0-2, -$315)
New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 10.5.
8:00 PM ET
This spread is too high. The Pelicans have played good basketball lately, going 7-3 in their previous 10 games. They even lost to Boston by only one point. They should keep this game close. Player Prop: The Pelicans are down two scorers, so Trey Murphy’s point total looks great. The last time he played Memphis, he scored 35! The best number is over 22.5 points -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Trey Murphy over 22.5 points -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 23, 2025 (1-1, +$80)
Portland Trailblazers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 8.
7:00 PM ET
We got royally screwed yesterday with Kyrie Irving hitting a “meaningless” three at the buzzer. Let’s bounce back today with the Blazers, who have kept many of their games close recently. The Magic are in a bit of a slump, and it doesn’t appear as though anyone has noticed, based on this spread. Player Prop: We’re going to a different game for this one. Actually, we’re re-visiting a prop that didn’t work. I don’t know why Nikola Vucevic didn’t grab any rebounds in the opening half versus the Clippers, but I think he’ll redeem himself tonight against the Warriors, who allow a ton of rebounds to the opposition and are shorthanded in the front court. The best number is over 10.5 rebounds -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Trailblazers +8 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 (0-2, -$305)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.
7:30 PM ET
This is a major revenge spot for the Timberwolves, who get to take advantage of a very wounded Mavericks team. Dallas also has bigger fish to fry with a game against the Thunder tomorrow night. Player Prop: I like Spencer Dinwiddie over points + rebounds + assists. As mentioned, Dallas is very shorthanded, so Dinwiddie will have to do a lot tonight. The best number is over 21.5 PRA -106 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Spencer Dinwiddie over 21.5 PRA -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Incorrect; -$105
NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 21, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Knicks by 11.5.
7:30 PM ET
The Knicks are coming off a tough battle against the Hawks last night in which the starters played a ton of minutes. The Nets haven’t played since Sunday, so they should be able to play with more energy tonight and keep this game close. Player Prop: I like D’Angelo Russell over points + rebounds + assists. Ben Simmons is out, so Russell’s usage will go through the roof. The best number is over 25.5 PRA -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nets +11.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: D’Angelo Russell over 25.5 PRA -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 20, 2025 (1-1, +$90)
Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.
10:30 PM ET
Our NBA picks are back! I wanted to do this two weeks ago when the NFL regular season ended, but I have two kids under three (37 months, technically), and I had the flu, and then they got sick. My apologies.
I like the Bulls tonight. The Clippers have been on a tear since the wildfires, but they’re due for some regression. They had a tough game against the Lakers last night, so there’s a natural letdown in play in this game. Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic over 9.5 rebounds. Vucevic has gotten to double-digit rebounds in the past four games, and opposing rebounders have an easier time against the Clippers than most teams. The best number is over 9.5 -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Bulls +5.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 9.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120
