NFL Overrated and Underrated Teams





I've posted overrated and underrated NFL teams on my NFL Picks page for a while, but I thought it deserved its own section. I'll update this page every week during the season as well as periodically during the offseason. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.

Updated Dec. 21, 2020




NFL Overrated Teams:


Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are doing what they usually do versus bad opponents. This is nothing new. I don't trust their pass protection with Ronnie Stanley out and Marshal Yanda retired. They'll have trouble beating good opponents in the playoffs.




Chicago Bears
The Bears are back on the overrated list! They've clawed back to 8-7, but did so against some terrible teams. Mitchell Trubisky appears to be playing better, but it's all a mirage. He's going to struggle against better competition, and I don't trust his banged-up offensive line either.




Dallas Cowboys
What's the opposite of giving yourself bad luck by desecrating an Indian burial ground? That's what Jerry Jones has done recently, as he's had incredible luck in recent games. I haven't done the math, but I think the Cowboys have won the turnover deficit, 719-0.









NFL Underrated Teams:

Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are only underrated if they have Julio Jones at their disposal. They would be 5-2 with Jones if it weren't for the goal-line miscue against the Lions. If Jones is healthy moving forward - he could be back this week - Atlanta could cause some trouble for the Buccaneers in Week 17.



Indianapolis Colts
The Colts still have a great offensive line and an outstanding front seven, so they should have been seen as extra underrated in the wake of their loss to the Ravens. They got crushed by the Titans, but were missing lots of players. The same thing happened against the Steelers, as the Colts were missing both of their tackles and couldn't score in the second half as a result.

Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are 6-9, but are nowhere near as bad as that record indicates. They nearly beat the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Saints earlier in the season, and they were a dropped pass away from upsetting the Raiders after that. They also played the Bills tough despite missing some key personnel. They were obliterated by the Patriots, but that was the byproduct of a huge coaching mismatch.




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