NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Titans.

Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.

Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

---

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
Line: Browns by 3.5.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).

Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Patriots by 6.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.

Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
Line: Bills by 1.
Saturday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   carlos 01-04-2012 12:01 am xxx.xxx.xxx.123 (total posts: 2) 14     11 i agree that i would bet denver +9 but i still think the steelers win... as a ravens fan i hate that team but they wont lose this game Shaun 01-03-2012 11:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.49 (total posts: 1) 58     67 Broncos vs. Raven in the Afc Championship Chad 01-03-2012 10:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82) 10     10 I'm not rooting against you bro. Chill. I went heavy on Seton Hall and small on Wisconsin, so I win. Hope you went heavy on Mich. St I am da man 01-03-2012 10:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.28 (total posts: 24) 14     66 @Chad........Mich St covers dummy U LOSE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! dwaine 01-03-2012 09:48 pm xxx.xxx.xxx87.7 (total posts: 4) 11     11 all the doe goes on the giants, offensive line feeling it, thats the key, cruz on home with the g men, they will cover nicely excellent dip with them and the broncos, and lions, and texas. Chad 01-03-2012 09:37 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82) 11     12 Seton Hall getting it done. Big ryan 01-03-2012 08:43 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.143 (total posts: 12) 55     37 Pitt offense may be inconsistent but Denver's is the most anemic i have seen on a playoff team in decades. Den will not score one meaningful pt in this game. do not bet against Big Ben this early in the play offs. Den is embarrassing and the only way this team wins is if they are + 6 in the turn over margin which is the way all bad teams win games (it is not up to them) Then if this miracle happens and Tebow goes 4 for 24 for 35 yds and wins, people like Walt will pull Tebow's Rod out of thier mouth just long enough credit him with everything. i can't Wait to fade this pick and cash it in. KC made me some $ last week as Buff did the week before. Duder 01-03-2012 07:55 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.189 (total posts: 1) 44     26 wait...........do you actually think Tebow is a good NFL qb??? because if so i think i mite have just lost one of my fav sites. You really never learn your lesson with your vindictive over the top style do you??? It seems like the players you take the hardest stance on are always the ones whom fall flat on there face. Like when you spent 3 months bashing "suntan man" simply because he didnt think Jammmmy Clausen was a top10 qb....real smooth there. Gator Results 01-03-2012 07:05 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.81 (total posts: 7) 43     36 Anyone subscribe to Gator's picks? I was just wondering if he has still been tearing it up? Matt 01-03-2012 06:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.145 (total posts: 1) 13     17 Denver is an awesome pick Walt. I'm going with them big as well. That crowd is going to be pumped up. That defense is going to be pumped up. Pitt's offense blows. In the last 4 weeks they put up 14, 3, 27, and 13 points. The 27 was against STL and their awful defense that has 8 DBs on IR. How are they going to put up any points against a fired up Denver D that knows they may have to play a perfect game to win. I see a very, very low scoring game. Denver may win it outright. I'll gladly take the points. BT 01-03-2012 06:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.23 (total posts: 10) 22     24 I was just thinking this morning that DEN should be Wallts pick of the month! Pit has been awful as big faves, Den is the right side. S 01-03-2012 06:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx24.6 (total posts: 4) 11     20 Note: my last message was a knock on Simmons rather than you. I like your website, and you do a good job of explaining your picks. Keep up the good work! Kessler 01-03-2012 06:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.47 (total posts: 1) 91     85 Walt, get off Tebow's sack. You always defend him no matter how bad he plays. You blame everybody but Tebow. I hate Pittsburgh but they will destroy Denver regardless if they are any good or not. S 01-03-2012 06:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx24.6 (total posts: 4) 27     26 cmo'n man, Simmons is that guy who was always picked last on every team in elementary school and now has to be an ass to make up for it. Have you ever met him? He comes off as such a douche in his columns, but such a little geek in person. Bowlsworth 01-03-2012 06:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.13 (total posts: 4) 12     9 7 units on a team that couldn't muster more than 3 points at home last week in what was almost essentially a must win? Take the 9 points if you want, but there's no way the Steelers aren't leaving Denver with a W. I'd really rethink that "Broncos 17, Steelers 13" call... Pages: 1 2 ...984 985 986 987988 989 990 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 19


2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)