NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 3-4-1 (-$380)

NFL Picks (2012): 1-2-1 (-$350)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
Line: Titans by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Ken Whisenhunt doesn't put too much stock into these preseason games. He's coming off a win, so maybe he'll take it easy. Mike Munchak, on the other hand, has shown that he cares more. There's not a big sample size though, which is why I'm making this a small play.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Titans.

Ken Whisenhunt is 8-15 in preseason games.

Ken Whisenhunt is 2-3 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Mike Munchak is 4-2 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Titans 27, Cardinals 16
Titans -3 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100

---

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-0)
Line: Browns by 3.5.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Eagles just played Monday in what was their dress rehearsal. They'll be sitting their starters. The Browns, as a young team, can't really afford to do that. I think that gives them an edge, especially considering that they're coming off much more rest.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Andy Reid is 23-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 8-5 in Preseason Week 3 games (3-10 in Week 4).

Pat Shurmur is 3-3 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Browns 23, Eagles 13
Browns -3.5 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

New England Patriots (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1)
Line: Patriots by 6.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Patriots sat all of their starters Monday night, so they're going to treat this game as their dress rehearsal. Greg Schiano hasn't shown that he cares about preseason contests, so New England might be able to win easily.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Bill Belichick is 29-23 in preseason games.

Bill Belichick is 6-6 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Greg Schiano is 1-1 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Buccaneers 17
Patriots -6 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-2)
Line: Bills by 1.
Saturday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin loves winning preseason games. Chan Gailey doesn't. The one thing keeping me from making this a huge play is that Gailey is 2-0 in Week 3. However, he beat Marvin Lewis and Jack Del Rio in those contests, and those coaches definitely didn't take their matchup as seriously as Tomlin will.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 17-6 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in Preseason Week 3 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-7 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 2-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.


Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 26, Bills 20
Steelers +1 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Bigleftygolfer 12-16-2011 02:03 am xxx.xxx.xxx.195 (total posts: 37) 25     12 @legendary dynamo thank you thank you thank you laid 4 units on falcons (my guy had them at -11) and felt good about the blowout so I also laid 2 units on the over! Now I am starting the week up $9200.00 let's see the rest of your picks you are the Sam from casino this guy can just pick winners!!! Lol thanks again! cmon 12-16-2011 12:15 am xxx.xxx.xxx.168 (total posts: 1) 17     13 I know the lines changed after Walt made his picks. But how can you pick a 14 point favorite and take the under at 42.5. If the jags would of scored 14 points you can't win both. I know unders hit with big spreads but it can't be very often. Dave 12-15-2011 10:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.29 (total posts: 1) 16     13 Dynamo thanks I hedged my bet Thank you TheNaturalMevs 12-15-2011 10:23 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.148 (total posts: 2) 55     13 @dog killer: What happened to that tough guy who said "my pick of the century is Jags plus points!!!!!" What a poser. Stick to betting on horses or something else, get a clue. matthewfootball.com 12-15-2011 09:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.42 (total posts: 7) 34     26 matthewfootball.com Atlanta Falcons -12 (1 unit) Other picks to be posted by Saturday afternoon. The last two weeks I was +16 units and +11 units. Let's see if the streak continues this week. herbster 12-15-2011 09:10 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.55 (total posts: 8) 11     158 im taking the jags.5 units jags will keep it close Flyers 1 12-15-2011 07:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.130 (total posts: 49) 13     14 Perfect ATS Winning Trend 6-0 Jacksoville OVER/UNDER: before Tennessee Titans Jmac 12-15-2011 07:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.28 (total posts: 23) 14     12 Walts #1 overrated team take a guess Atlanta butt hey I'll call them out but yet put 4 units on them? Bookie special written all over it!! NYTONY 12-15-2011 05:59 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.12 (total posts: 106) 27     12 The Atlanta receivers normally give defenses a hard time in coverage as they present multiple mismatches on the field, especially when you throw TE Tony Gonzalez into the mix. Considering how Jacksonville has struggled at times to stop the run this season, this appears to be a perfect situation for Turner to have a breakout game and end his recent slump. Gabbert has not provided any answers behind center completing just 50% passing for 1,783 yards with 10 scores and 9 picks. Birds 35 - Jags 3 Gator 12-15-2011 05:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.153 (total posts: 61) 20     12 Only one Sweat Barometer pick tonight. After last night's debut (of this season), the picks went 2-1. Tonights pick is: Wisconsin -27 ...game notes since there's only one game to report on....Savannah State is 1-6 ATS on the road in last 7....Savannah State has lost 5 straight against ranked opponents by an average of 36.8 points....word.... ....in football I love the ATL tonight but I got them at -11.5....I would like them all the way up to -13.5 if still available...... paddyspub 12-15-2011 05:31 pm xxx.xxx.xxx38.2 (total posts: 2) 19     15 WOW, falcons line has jumped to -14 on sportsbook. That was fast. THOROUGHBRED G ASS NlGGA 12-15-2011 05:10 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.200 (total posts: 7) 26     138 YALL AINT SHlT TO ME BlTCHES!!!1! i stacks my cash @Rupert 12-15-2011 05:06 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.200 (total posts: 7) 21     12 grown folks are talkin shut yo mouf Rupert 12-15-2011 03:56 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.151 (total posts: 1) 12     16 I just want to clarify: Unless you're one of the few people that Nielsen measures for TV ratings, your TV viewing habits are irrelevant. Watch the bowl games. Don't watch the bowl games. Noone knows or cares. johnny boombats 12-15-2011 03:53 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.131 (total posts: 1) 23     16 Does anyone know what happened to "Walter football sucks", he stopped posting on his page, must be due to the horrible picks he has been making Pages: 1 2 ...1024 1025 1026 10271028 1029 1030 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 19


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 16


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)