NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2011): 7-7-2 (-$220)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2011): 9-6-1 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2011): 7-9 (-$550)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2011): 7-8-1 (+$315)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2011): 3-1 (+$1,100)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2011): 2-2 (-$150)
NFL Picks (Week 20, 2011): 2-0 (+$500)
NFL Picks (Week 21, 2011): 0-1 (-$100)

NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Line: Redskins by 2.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Chan Gailey doesn't care about Week 1 of the preseason. His team has scored 20 points in two contests, including a 42-17 blowout loss to the Redskins in 2010. Washington will want Robert Griffin to gain some confidence, so Mike Shanahan may play him more than Gailey will Ryan Fitzpatrick.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

Mike Shanahan is 46-22 in preseason games.

Mike Shanahan is 12-5 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-5 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 24, Bills 10
Redskins -2 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 1.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin is one of the most intense coaches in football. He really wants to win these preseason games. Andy Reid, meanwhile, usually doesn't give a damn unless it's Week 3.

UPDATE: I'm dropping this down to one unit because the Eagles may want to win this game for their coach.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 16-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 21-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 6-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Eagles 17
Steelers +1 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0

---

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 1.5.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I'm adding this pick as of Thursday morning. Mike Smith doesn't care much about the non-Week 3 preseason games; he's a combined 3-9 in Preseason Weeks 1, 2 and 4. John Harbaugh, meanwhile, is 10-2 in exhibition contests the past three years.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

Joh Harbaugh is 11-5 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Mike Smith is 6-10 in preseason games.

Mike Smith 1-3 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 23, Falcons 17
Ravens +1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

---

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0)
Line: Lions by 3.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This will be a small wager. Jim Schwartz loves winning preseason games, so this would be a larger bet if the Browns weren't preparing their rookies for regular-season action.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Pat Shurmur is 1-3 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 10-2 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Lions 27, Browns 16
Lions -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   ajl6 10-30-2011 08:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx6.72 (total posts: 4) 12     29 stoickpicks.com, that site doesn't come up, post a link stupid steve 10-30-2011 08:43 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.87 (total posts: 1) 15     16 jesus.....wtf....who do you work for??? dep 10-30-2011 08:43 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.128 (total posts: 1) 30     11 you had a good week walter! your AWFUL ty 10-30-2011 08:35 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.81 (total posts: 1) 18     12 i discovered walt football this year coming off of a year last year u r having this year. i want u u to know u have to fade yourself. stats r 4 fantasy football. there wasnt show i watched thart balt was going to kill ari n tom brady owned pitt. i would have bought stock if they had companies. message sent. andy reid never lost a bye dammit!as of 8:34 pm he hasn't. vegas doesn't lose bro.... andy w 10-30-2011 08:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.57 (total posts: 12) 11     12 If the shift from 49 to 49.5 was with the smart money, I'd definitely go over. A long time Walt fan 10-30-2011 08:29 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.43 (total posts: 20) 65     12 We can talk all we want about betting on guys like Gabbert, Tebow, and Painter. But, Gabbert and Tebow won their games straight up last week and Painter covered a lot of games early in the year. But, I will give Walt this simple advice. Start spending more of your time on handicapping. I work 40 hours a week... at least. I find it hard to believe you spend 40 hours a week handicapping these games. Seems like you spend more of your time on failed attempts gaming females, hanging out at the YMCA, and walking over the Wawa every 20 minutes... and then writing about such adventures. Newsflash: We don't care about that stuff. Maybe they are fun to read about in the offseason when there is nothing going on, but for now, all we care about is betting on the right teams. You can't keep blaming this on bad luck or bad beats. If this truly is your "job", you need to put more time into it. Put more time and effort into your work and less time into that other crap and maybe you will see some results. Hopefully this pitiful week wakes you up. GO WALT! 10-30-2011 08:28 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.90 (total posts: 87) 25     11 don't know why you all are picking on walt HE GOT THE SF GAME RIGHT!!! LOL I took the eagles, and walt did as well!! I'm screwed!!!! 10-30-2011 08:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.164 (total posts: 6) 16     10 Oh crap! I just realized i took the same team as walt tonight!!! Damn!!!! I'm screwed! I got the eagles -3 as the back end of a parlay with the Bengals(won), and i'm down 100bucks! I need this game badly! I can't believe i lost before it even started because walt's got the eagles! Juicemoney 10-30-2011 08:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.56 (total posts: 1) 12     13 Eagles are the best play of the day.. WHAT! 10-30-2011 08:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx0.90 (total posts: 87) 15     14 Week 8 NFL Pick: Broncos 19, Lions 17 Broncos +3 +110 (1 Unit) REAL SCORE Broncos 10, Lions 45 GOOOO TEBOW!! LOL Dav 10-30-2011 08:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.254 (total posts: 83) 15     9 49.5 now lol.. Unlimitedjoe 10-30-2011 08:15 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.239 (total posts: 7) 10     13 Cowboys and over! Dav 10-30-2011 08:13 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.254 (total posts: 83) 20     10 What you guys think about tonight and the over/under 49. It was at 48 and it went up within 30 minutes seven1four 10-30-2011 08:08 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.153 (total posts: 1) 13     19 philly eagle cover tonight Sami Slater 10-30-2011 08:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.168 (total posts: 13) 17     12 Holy crap this guy is incredible fade material. Can't wait to read his excuses this week.... Pages: 1 2 ...1141 1142 1143 11441145 1146 1147 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 19


2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)