NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2011): 7-7-2 (-$220)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2011): 9-6-1 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2011): 7-9 (-$550)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2011): 7-8-1 (+$315)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2011): 3-1 (+$1,100)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2011): 2-2 (-$150)
NFL Picks (Week 20, 2011): 2-0 (+$500)
NFL Picks (Week 21, 2011): 0-1 (-$100)

NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Line: Redskins by 2.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Chan Gailey doesn't care about Week 1 of the preseason. His team has scored 20 points in two contests, including a 42-17 blowout loss to the Redskins in 2010. Washington will want Robert Griffin to gain some confidence, so Mike Shanahan may play him more than Gailey will Ryan Fitzpatrick.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

Mike Shanahan is 46-22 in preseason games.

Mike Shanahan is 12-5 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-5 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 24, Bills 10
Redskins -2 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 1.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin is one of the most intense coaches in football. He really wants to win these preseason games. Andy Reid, meanwhile, usually doesn't give a damn unless it's Week 3.

UPDATE: I'm dropping this down to one unit because the Eagles may want to win this game for their coach.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 16-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 21-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 6-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Eagles 17
Steelers +1 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0

---

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 1.5.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I'm adding this pick as of Thursday morning. Mike Smith doesn't care much about the non-Week 3 preseason games; he's a combined 3-9 in Preseason Weeks 1, 2 and 4. John Harbaugh, meanwhile, is 10-2 in exhibition contests the past three years.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

Joh Harbaugh is 11-5 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Mike Smith is 6-10 in preseason games.

Mike Smith 1-3 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 23, Falcons 17
Ravens +1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

---

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0)
Line: Lions by 3.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This will be a small wager. Jim Schwartz loves winning preseason games, so this would be a larger bet if the Browns weren't preparing their rookies for regular-season action.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Pat Shurmur is 1-3 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 10-2 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Lions 27, Browns 16
Lions -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Good luck 12-24-2011 05:54 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.33 (total posts: 1) 10     8 Hey Gator, hit me up tomorrow games please ..email Azn_00@hotmail.com. ..thanks.... Good luck everybody Ev3n money 12-24-2011 04:15 am xxx.xxx.xxx.196 (total posts: 1) 10     10 Interested in your picks as well gator d.ar3guin@gmail.com Nick Fleer 12-24-2011 03:40 am xxx.xxx.xxx.246 (total posts: 2) 11     13 Hey Gator shoot me an email... packfan_66@yahoo.com Interested in how your make your picks, seem to be doing pretty well Legendary Dynamo 12-24-2011 02:12 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.79 (total posts: 34) 14     15 Sundays Picks Denver Broncos -3 (2 units) Giants +3 (3 units) Lions -2 (4 units) Cowboys -1 (5 units) I'll leave out the analysis this week but it doesn't diminish any of these plays. Good luck everyone!! Steve 12-24-2011 02:11 am xxx.xxx.xxx17.6 (total posts: 1) 16     13 www.BlairHattonPicks.com for free winners on all NFL games! Chad 12-23-2011 11:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.77 (total posts: 82) 11     15 Gator, once again solid day! I was already on IUPUI and Morehead, but I was leaning on Manhattan and your post steered me to the right side of that one. So thank you! Walter loses a lot 12-23-2011 11:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.220 (total posts: 2) 8     9 How do I get gator picks? Raider Dre 12-23-2011 11:03 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.161 (total posts: 3) 22     9 Gator holla at me dreday1914@yahoo.com ClownBaby 12-23-2011 10:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.147 (total posts: 2) 14     10 This guy is such a clown with his reasoning Look at the GOM write up. 4 of his 6 points are useless, selective trends that happen to support Miami while throwing out any that support Pats "Brady struggles against Miami" oh yeah that explains 3-0 ATS last 2 years Bob 12-23-2011 10:27 pm xxx.xxx.xxx84.2 (total posts: 1) 12     12 Gator your picks are on the money. You just saved my Xmas!!! Gator 12-23-2011 10:09 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 36) 17     11 If you are so brash as to put your phone number on here or even your email address I can contact you via text or email sure. @Gator 12-23-2011 09:28 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.133 (total posts: 1) 10     9 Is there anyway to contact you ? Gator 12-23-2011 05:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 36) 83     21 ....wow sorry...I posted earlier today but it got deleted? or didn't go through and I didn't double check....damn...had one winner today already....here they are again.....but these picks are lower tier picks.....21-5-1 now after today and yesterdays picks of 6-2.... George mason -7 Morehead state +3 todays earlier game was IUPUI +1.5....word.. where is Gator 12-23-2011 05:00 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.243 (total posts: 1) 115     9 Is he posting today? Flyers 1 12-23-2011 03:18 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.130 (total posts: 49) 9     10 Perfect ATS Winning Trends ATLANTA 6-0 before Bucs CHICAGO 0-15 O/U RD > 3 off SU loss CINCINNATI 7-0 O/U before Ravens DENVER 8-0 away off DD SU loss vs < .500 opp DETROIT 7-0 DEC: fav off BB SU wins GREEN BAY 7-0 DIV: off non div SU fav loss vs .500 > opp 0-6 home off SU fav loss vs div opp KANSAS CITY 0-9 div fav MIAMI 0-8 O/U: away off SU div win MINNESOTA 10-0 DEC: < .500 RD off SU loss 0-7 DEC: off non div home vs non div opp NEW ORLEANS 8-0 off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SU wins 0-7 O/U: div fav 7 > NY GIANTS 11-0 dogs 3 > vs AFC East NY JETS 0-8 DEC: fav off DD SUATS loss OAKLAND 0-14 favs off non div and BB SU losses PITTSBURGH 6-0 after score 14 < vs opp off BB SU losses SAN DIEGO 6-0 O/U: in 1st of BB RG's TENNESSEE 0-7 conf fav off div RG WASHINGTON 0-14 off SU dog win vs < .600 opp 0-6 O/U: after allow 10 < pts vs non div opp Pages: 1 2 ...1009 1010 1011 10121013 1014 1015 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 17


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 16


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)