NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 1, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2011): 7-7-2 (-$220)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2011): 9-6-1 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2011): 7-9 (-$550)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2011): 7-8-1 (+$315)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2011): 3-1 (+$1,100)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2011): 2-2 (-$150)
NFL Picks (Week 20, 2011): 2-0 (+$500)
NFL Picks (Week 21, 2011): 0-1 (-$100)

NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Line: Redskins by 2.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Chan Gailey doesn't care about Week 1 of the preseason. His team has scored 20 points in two contests, including a 42-17 blowout loss to the Redskins in 2010. Washington will want Robert Griffin to gain some confidence, so Mike Shanahan may play him more than Gailey will Ryan Fitzpatrick.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

Mike Shanahan is 46-22 in preseason games.

Mike Shanahan is 12-5 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Chan Gailey is 3-5 in preseason games.

Chan Gailey is 0-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 24, Bills 10
Redskins -2 (4 Units) -- Incorrect; -$440

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: Eagles by 1.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Tomlin is one of the most intense coaches in football. He really wants to win these preseason games. Andy Reid, meanwhile, usually doesn't give a damn unless it's Week 3.

UPDATE: I'm dropping this down to one unit because the Eagles may want to win this game for their coach.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 16-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-2 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Andy Reid is 21-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 6-8 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Eagles 17
Steelers +1 (1 Unit) -- Push; $0

---

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: Falcons by 1.5.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I'm adding this pick as of Thursday morning. Mike Smith doesn't care much about the non-Week 3 preseason games; he's a combined 3-9 in Preseason Weeks 1, 2 and 4. John Harbaugh, meanwhile, is 10-2 in exhibition contests the past three years.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

Joh Harbaugh is 11-5 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 3-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.

Mike Smith is 6-10 in preseason games.

Mike Smith 1-3 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 23, Falcons 17
Ravens +1.5 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200

---

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0)
Line: Lions by 3.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This will be a small wager. Jim Schwartz loves winning preseason games, so this would be a larger bet if the Browns weren't preparing their rookies for regular-season action.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Pat Shurmur is 1-3 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 10-2 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 2-1 in Preseason Week 1 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Lions 27, Browns 16
Lions -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   johnny mac 12-26-2011 03:16 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.22 (total posts: 1) 13     11 i like atlanta plus 7 tonight agaisnt the saints.i was looking at walts late picks for week 16 and he is 0 for 4 and if atlanta doesnt cover he will be 0 for 5 which is really hard to do.any thought sanyone??? @Walterfootball 12-26-2011 02:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.150 (total posts: 1) 9     9 the lions game is not meaningless. if they can get the 5 seed then they play either the cowboys or giants rather than the saints. Thats a HUGE difference. This game matters to them alot more than the pack DJ Dana 12-26-2011 02:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.167 (total posts: 29) 10     10 Anyone out there have any intel on the UNC/Mizzou Bowl Game tonight? Line is UNC -5.5 right now but these teams seem really evenly matched. The over is attractive (at 52.5) but I don't know much about either side. Thoughts? Da Bookie 12-26-2011 11:23 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.28 (total posts: 23) 9     9 Thank you guru49er ## Great job Two more winners for me You got to be at about 78% Clipping. Keep up the good work Jmac 12-26-2011 11:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.28 (total posts: 23) 41     87 Need to stay with that basketball their Blair cause nfl or college you can't pick your own ass atjohnsons 12-26-2011 03:06 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.72 (total posts: 1) 10     12 Falcons need this way more. Niners all but have 2 seed wrapped up with only the lifeless rams left. I like the falcons for 5 units. PSYCH1C 12-26-2011 01:43 am xxx.xxx.xxx8.35 (total posts: 2) 9     10 hey guys..Ive been solid on my caps but I feel bad if you guys are tailing Walter. I really was hoping for each week he pulls it through and maybe have his supporters win back some money. Yet another disappointing week. I wish you guys the best of luck as this year I am solid and profiting every year. I do college bowl picks, NCAAB..please take your time to check this page out, its free.. http://spaces.covers.com/Psych1c Steve 12-26-2011 01:28 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.48 (total posts: 1) 10     41 BlairHattonPicks 100% so far in NCAAB! Obi One 12-26-2011 12:52 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.31 (total posts: 1) 16     8 @chuckster word! @steve Pretty pathetic that you have to come on another site to promo your own.... Bigleftygolfer 12-26-2011 12:38 am xxx.xxx.xxx.195 (total posts: 37) 9     27 Correction I meant to say 10 units on the bears as per gators suggestion... Was listing to announcer talk about gb while typing! Lol Bigleftygolfer 12-26-2011 12:35 am xxx.xxx.xxx.195 (total posts: 37) 9     10 Thank god I hedged the over with a teaser on the bears packers game! Just curious what happened with bears d? Additionally why in the world would McCarthy challenge that catch at the end of the game? I agree with Walt on twitter McCarthy must have had money on greenbay and was worried about the spread... I bought a point to get to 14.5 that was money well spent! (glad I did not buy only .5 which was my original plan after pushing 4 bets last few weeks in big plays!) Still lost my under pick at five units but not terrible since I put 10 units on gb and 5 on the teaser with the over. @tim that is how you hedge... Bigleftygolfer 12-25-2011 10:52 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.195 (total posts: 37) 10     10 Just curious how many people got burned by the line changing so dramatically with the 49ers game? I had them on one site at -1.5 the picked them three minutes later on another site ( which also had them at - 1.5) and the line moved to -2.5 on that site again within three minutes! my mistake for not backing off but I have never seen a line move a full point in three minutes did anybody else have the same issue? I though I won both bets then I realized this morning that I lost the vig... Talk about a bad Christmas gift lol... Guruball 12-25-2011 09:22 pm xxx.xxx.xxx62.7 (total posts: 46) 8     52 MERRY CHRISTMAS HITTERS! BEARS 10 units Under 5 units LETS GET IT TONIGHT Y'ALL! Waltersucks 12-25-2011 04:51 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.178 (total posts: 3) 11     8 Yo let me help all yous who can't pick a game yourself Gator is 50/50 betting NFL it's NCAA basketball Gators 80% so comeback december 27 for the Gator picks chuckster 12-25-2011 03:38 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.200 (total posts: 182) 46     8 "Absolute statements" like "Always" and in sports capping: "a Lock," are in the long run, ridiculous. I don't know how many decades ago this fable started, but the notion of Parlays and Teasers being "sucker bets" is just plain wrong. I don't have the time or inclination to "prove" this, but I will give you a couple of supportive points. 1. Money management, Money management, Money management. 2. Hedging techniques, Hedging techniques, Hedging techniques. For those who are nodding their heads in agreement, congratulations, you know what I'm talking about. For those who are puzzled or who are shaking their heads in disagreement, I'm sorry. All I can say is that Pars and Teasers should at the very least, be a part of your sports handicapping. For some of us, it has become the major part of our wagering. Good luck to all going forward. Pages: 1 2 ...1002 1003 1004 10051006 1007 1008 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 25


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)