NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 4, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)

NFL Picks (2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Detroit Lions (3-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-2)
Line: Lions by 1.
Thursday, 6:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

This is my August NFL Pick of the Month, even though the game is on Sept. 1. Whatever. I'm making this selection on Aug. 30, so it should still be fine.

Jim Schwartz loves winning in the preseason. He's 9-2 in three seasons with the Lions. Chan Gailey, on the other hand, doesn't really care unless it's Week 3. In non-Week 3 exhibition contests, he's 1-4, with his sole win coming against the Colts, who don't give a damn about the preseason either.

We're laying only one point here, so all the Lions have to do is win.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Jim Schwartz is 9-2 in preseason games.

Jim Schwartz is 3-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Chan Gailey is 1-4 in non-Week 3 preseason games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Lions 24, Bills 10
Lions -1 (6 Units - August NFL Pick of the Month) -- Correct; +$600
Lions 16, Bills 6

---

Indianapolis Colts (0-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2)
Line: Bengals by 4.
Thursday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Colts don't care about winning preseason games; they haven't won a Preseason Week 4 contest since 2003. The only reason this isn't a higher-unit play is because Indianapolis may put extra effort into figuring out whom its Week 1 quarterback will be if Peyton Manning can't go.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

Marvin Lewis is 7-1 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Jim Schwartz is 1-10 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Bengals 27, Colts 17
Bengals -4 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Colts 17, Bengals 13

---

Kansas City Chiefs (0-3) at Green Bay Packers (2-1)
Line: Packers by 3.5.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Todd Haley thinks preseason games are beneath him, but he's 0-3, so he may want to eke out a win. He did so last year against the Packers. Mike McCarthy is 0-5 in Preseason Week 4 contests. He won't prepare for the Chiefs.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.

Mike McCarthy is 0-5 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Chiefs 13, Packers 10
Chiefs +3.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Packers 20, Chiefs 19

---

Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) at New York Jets (2-1)
Line: Eagles by 3.
Thursday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I know the Jets are coming off two days rest. That's why I'm not going to make a big wager on this. But the fact remains that Andy Reid doesn't give a damn about Preseason Week 4, so they won't be prepared. I like getting the points with New York.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Jets.

Andy Reid is 20-31 in preseason games.

Andy Reid is 2-10 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Rex Ryan is 6-5 in preseason games.

Rex Ryan is 2-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Jets 17, Eagles 16
Jets +3 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
Eagles 24, Jets 14

---

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) at Carolina Panthers (1-2)
Line: Panthers by 2.5.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Why are the Steelers an underdog? Mike Tomlin has never lost a Preseason Week 4 game. The only reason this isn't a huge wager is because I'm not sure how Ron Rivera will handle this game. Considering he's 1-2 in the preseason thus far, we can assume that he won't really prepare for Pittsburgh.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Jets.

Mike Tomlin is 15-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-0 in Preseason Week 4 games.

Ron Rivera is 1-2 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Panthers 13
Steelers +2.5 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Steelers 33, Panthers 17

---

Tennessee Titans (2-1) at New Orleans Saints (2-1)
Line: Saints by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Mike Munchak is a first-year head coach, so he's a bit of an unknown. However, he's 2-1 in the preseason thus far, with the sole loss coming to the Rams, who love winning exhibition games.

What we do know is that Sean Payton doesn't care about Preseason Week 4 (1-4). The Saints are also coming off three days rest after a win, so I can't see them putting forth any effort against Tennessee.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Titans.

Mike Munchak is 2-1 in preseason games.

Sean Payton is 1-4 in Preseason Week 4 games.


Preseason Week 4 NFL Pick: Titans 13, Saints 7
Titans +3 (3 Units) -- Correct; +$300
Titans 32, Saints 9

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Gator 12-24-2011 01:01 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.208 (total posts: 36) 17     10 Whoa ok I think I misinterpreted the first guy's email request. I thought he wanted to contact me for some sort of sports betting discussion/possible opportunity, etc, etc....if it's just to get my picks then yes for now the easiest thing to do would be to check this board out.....maybe I will try to copy all of these email requests out and send out a little "newsletter" in the future with some picks, etc, but it's Christmas Eve and things are ridiculously busy right now at my place so that will have to wait for now....also I could give some NFL picks I'm betting today but i'm a 50% gambler when it comes to the NFL as I have said before so it would be better to listen to other insights when it comes to that....now when College Basketball returns on the 27th hopefully I have some more winners....until then I look forward listening to some good NFL insight on here to help me out.....Merry Christmas.... Steve 12-24-2011 12:54 pm xxx.xxx.xxx7.82 (total posts: 193) 17     10 www.BlairHattonPicks.com n1 12-24-2011 12:48 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.134 (total posts: 1) 12     10 @gator need some picks sourkushpurp@gmail.com AMBER ALERT ON GATOR 12-24-2011 12:47 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.161 (total posts: 3) 11     9 When u win everyone wants u Debo 12-24-2011 12:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.166 (total posts: 6) 9     11 Steelers -10 (3 Units) San Diego +1 (2 Units) Cowboys pk (1 Unit) WALTERSUCKS 12-24-2011 12:46 pm xxx.xxx.xxx4.32 (total posts: 1) 9     9 WHERE ARE THE SHARPS PICKS FOR WEEK 16 Gators Dance card 12-24-2011 12:39 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.207 (total posts: 17) 8     13 Gator is getting bombarded with invitations to the prom. Gator picks 12-24-2011 12:32 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.220 (total posts: 2) 12     11 Hey gator need your picks earlbrndn@yahoo.com Easy 12-24-2011 12:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.55 (total posts: 29) 9     11 Let me get those gator picks karatekid32204@yahoo.com gator ur picks please 12-24-2011 12:21 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.178 (total posts: 2) 9     10 gator ur picks please...gtoman9543@yahoo.com nsideg 12-24-2011 12:12 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.104 (total posts: 2) 11     13 KC -2.5 CAR -7 MIA +9 money maker 12-24-2011 11:55 am xxx.xxx.xxx.125 (total posts: 2) 17     27 @ December picks: Lions they need to win to make playoff so they will play all their heart out, same as the Cowboys Picks Lions 5 units Cowboys 3 units Over Redskin Patriots Denver Jets Atlanta Tampa billydakid 12-24-2011 11:39 am xxx.xxx.xxx.172 (total posts: 1) 10     11 @ GATOR, YOUR CHRISTMAS EVE PICKS WOULD BE GREAT BKID1974@YAHOO.COM waltersucks 12-24-2011 11:32 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.26 (total posts: 77) 35     9 GATOR just post your picks here Mansour 12-24-2011 11:06 am xxx.xxx.xxx1.81 (total posts: 2) 11     11 Gator email me your christmas eve picks...mike.mansour13@gmail.com thanks Pages: 1 2 ...1007 1008 1009 10101011 1012 1013 ...1475 1476

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 17


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2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)