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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2011



NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.



Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Line: Steelers by 3.

Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I was cautious last week because of the lockout, but I think things should be back to normal now. Mike Tomlin looked like he was going to cry after the loss to Washington. He's one of the most intense people on the planet, so I have to believe that he'll rebound with a victory over Andy Reid, who doesn't care about the preseason.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 13-5 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 4-0 after preseason losses.
  • Andy Reid is 19-30 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Eagles 17
    Steelers -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
    Steelers 24, Eagles 14





    Washington Redskins (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
    Line: Redskins by 5.5.

    Friday, 7:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    The Colts don't give a damn about these silly preseason games. Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky should combine for half-a-dozen interceptions, as Mike Shanahan is going to put extra effort into figuring out who is quarterback is going to be.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
  • Mike Shanahan is 44-21 in preseason games.
  • Mike Shanahan is 8-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • Jim Caldwell is 1-8 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 31, Colts 10
    Redskins -5.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
    Redskins 16, Colts 3






    Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
    Line: Ravens by 6.5.

    Friday, 7:30 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-8 record in exhibition contests. After looking terrible in Week 1, the Ravens will look to prove that they aren't completely inept. I'd bet more units if this line wasn't so high.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
  • Todd Haley is 1-8 in preseason games.
  • Todd Haley is 0-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.
  • John Harbaugh is 8-5 in preseason games.
  • John Harbaugh is 2-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


    Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Chiefs 13
    Ravens -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
    Ravens 31, Chiefs 13


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    The Truth 02-03-2014 02:08 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.125 (total posts: 78)
    1     26

    I am so glad I took the day off. I have a 4pm flight today so should make it home around 7-8pm.

    I won another 25k last night on blackjack so up around 10k yesterday after all my bets.

    It was an absolute waste of my time watching that game yesterday. What a joke. Manning should just retire. I am sick of watching his garbage dinking and dunking and regular season garbage stat piling.

    The Truth needs a vacation.
    The Truth is OUT...................
    casualreader 02-03-2014 01:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.50 (total posts: 4)
    6     1

    Nice rebound year Walt. Been a follower for ~4yrs...after the prior year it was refreshing to see you bounce back to your former winning ways. You were locked in down the stretch. Congrats. TY.
    steelwil 02-03-2014 01:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.84 (total posts: 14)
    2     1

    Hey board, general question. I opened bovada account for first time this year, and want to cash out some winnings. It says on website they deliver payment by courier as free option. Is this just regular mail in mailbox or something I need to be at home to receive and/or sign for? I know with all the winners on here, somebody knows this answer! Thanks guys.
    AL CIEN 02-03-2014 12:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.178 (total posts: 14)
    6     1

    WENT 2-0 LAST NIGHT AND BANKING 100 UNITS!! CONGRATS TO ALL THE WINNERS!! THIS IS THE PART I HATE HAVING TO WAIT FOR NEXT SEASON...

    LAST GAME OF THE SEASON BOYS.. LETS GO BALLS OUT!!

    SEAHAWKS +3 70 UNITS-winner

    OVER 47 30 UNITS-winner
    The Truth 02-03-2014 12:26 pm xxx.xxx.xxx1.99 (total posts: 15)
    1     1

    hi guys. great year. I hope you went with my seattle pick.











    THE TRUTH IS OUTA
    Jcurve09 02-03-2014 11:53 am xxx.xxx.xxx.249 (total posts: 147)
    4     1

    Congrats to you Walt! Great year..

    @bigredtlc...congrats man. Good job! See you next year. It was a fun ride!


    FleXXo 02-03-2014 11:32 am xxx.xxx.xxx.183 (total posts: 24)
    4     1

    I don't know how Walt does it. A perfect 5-0 ATS with his picks of the month. Great call!!!!

    Vegas came off big time with the Seahawks winning and the over hitting
    Dolomite 02-03-2014 10:27 am xxx.xxx.xxx5.35 (total posts: 17)
    3     1

    @Walter

    Great way to end the year! Great season. You made some adjustments that worked well. Keep up the good work!
    JETHRO 02-03-2014 08:20 am xxx.xxx.xxx9.73 (total posts: 1)
    7     1

    WALT- WHATEVER ADJUSTMENTS YOU MADE FOR THIS YEAR WORKED. WAY TO END THE SEASON. CAN'T WAIT FOR NEXT YEAR ESP. GOM'S.
    JG 02-03-2014 07:58 am xxx.xxx.xxx.200 (total posts: 1)
    3     1

    Very nice call Walt!!
    GURUBALL 02-03-2014 07:11 am xxx.xxx.xxx.169 (total posts: 155)
    34     1

    YEAR OF THE HORSE SXHIT! HAHAH
    BAD BAD READ FOR ME... GOOD PICK WALT. WELL DONE. I SHOULD'VE KNOWN BETTER TO PICK AGAINST YOUR PLAY OF THE MONTH. MANNN WHAT AN ONSLAUGHT. DON'T KNOW WHERE MY HEAD WAS FOR THIS SUPERBOWL. ANYWAYS,
    CONGRATS TO THE WINNERS!! AND CHEERS FOR A POSITIVE SEASON. AT LEAST I COULD BE HAPPY ABOUT THAT. UNTIL NEXT TIME SEE YA'LL NEXT YEAR HITTER$$$!!
    PEACE
    LOL 02-03-2014 06:04 am xxx.xxx.xxx.105 (total posts: 30)
    3     2

    1st i want to say congrats to walter and all who were on sea. And to the seahawks team. Myself i was on the wrong side. The N.F.C could be trouble for some time to come if the afc HAW HAW dont figure out how to play the whole pkg....Hey peyton just think another in 30 ys you can do another commercial of you thinking back to 2014 when you and your team got your azzes handed to you. You could eat a slice of pie and throw on the safety dance song.....Oh wait??? that happened on the 1st snap of the game... And it was over from there and papa john couldnt even help you. You have been great for football..... ITS TIME TO LET IT GO...Dont be brett..... And thank you for all you have done for the game.
    Lucky ducks 02-03-2014 05:56 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.14 (total posts: 2)
    2     3

    Walter > GURU
    Walter 02-03-2014 01:53 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.88 (total posts: 34)
    17     1

    @SNtheGambit - Bills were not my Oct. Pick of the Month. I dropped that pick to zero units when Jeff Tuel was named the starter.
    SNtheGambit 02-03-2014 01:36 am xxx.xxx.xxx.139 (total posts: 25)
    2     5

    just want to remind everybody Walt isn't 6-0 on picks of the month.. I remember (n lost following that pick) you picked the Bills +7 against the Chiefs and KC won 23-10 with 2 pick 6's.. just wanted to point that out but

    you still the man Walt! and love your site.. aiighty


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - April 23


    2014 NBA Mock Draft - April 23


    NFL Free Agents - April 22


    2015 NFL Mock Draft - April 17


    Fantasy Football Rankings - March 28


    NFL Picks - Feb. 2




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    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2013): 1-0 (+$700)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2013): 0-0 ($0)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2013): 0-1 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2013): +$300

    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,580)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,022-1,851-112, 52.2% (+$12,405)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 649-587-31 (52.5%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 270-234-10 (53.6%)
    Career Over-Under: 1541-1537-46 (50.1%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 30-16 (65.2%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 9-7
    Bears: 7-7
    Bucs: 8-8
    49ers: 8-9
    Eagles: 7-10
    Lions: 11-5
    Falcons: 5-10
    Cardinals: 10-5
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 8-8
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 7-9
    Redskins: 9-7
    Vikings: 7-9
    Saints: 13-4
    Seahawks: 9-10
    Bills: 12-4
    Bengals: 8-8
    Colts: 11-6
    Broncos: 8-11
    Dolphins: 11-5
    Browns: 3-13
    Jaguars: 7-8
    Chargers: 11-6
    Jets: 8-8
    Ravens: 9-6
    Texans: 10-5
    Chiefs: 6-11
    Patriots: 10-8
    Steelers: 6-10
    Titans: 5-7
    Raiders: 9-7
    Divisional: 51-44 (2011-12: 90-93)
    2x Game Edge: 14-22 (2011-12: 41-40)
    2x Psych Edge: 35-26 (2011-12: 57-54)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-38 (2011-12: 89-104)
    2x Trend Edge: 24-23 (2011-12: 48-55)
    Double Edge: 9-10 (2011-12: 17-23)
    Triple Edge: 1-0 (2011-12: 1-1)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2012 Season:
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    Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
    2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2013 Season:
    Week 1 NFL Picks
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    Super Bowl XLVIII NFL Pick



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