NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 2, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 5-1 (+$420)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Line: Steelers by 3.
Thursday, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

I was cautious last week because of the lockout, but I think things should be back to normal now. Mike Tomlin looked like he was going to cry after the loss to Washington. He's one of the most intense people on the planet, so I have to believe that he'll rebound with a victory over Andy Reid, who doesn't care about the preseason.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Mike Tomlin is 13-5 in preseason games.

Mike Tomlin is 4-0 after preseason losses.

Andy Reid is 19-30 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Eagles 17
Steelers -3 (2 Units) -- Correct; +$200
Steelers 24, Eagles 14

---

Washington Redskins (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
Line: Redskins by 5.5.
Friday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

The Colts don't give a damn about these silly preseason games. Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky should combine for half-a-dozen interceptions, as Mike Shanahan is going to put extra effort into figuring out who is quarterback is going to be.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

Mike Shanahan is 44-21 in preseason games.

Mike Shanahan is 8-5 in Preseason Week 2 games.

Jim Caldwell is 1-8 in preseason games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins 31, Colts 10
Redskins -5.5 (4 Units) -- Correct; +$400
Redskins 16, Colts 3

---

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
Line: Ravens by 6.5.
Friday, 7:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Preseason games are beneath Todd Haley, who has an abysmal 1-8 record in exhibition contests. After looking terrible in Week 1, the Ravens will look to prove that they aren't completely inept. I'd bet more units if this line wasn't so high.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.

Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

Todd Haley is 1-8 in preseason games.

Todd Haley is 0-2 in Preseason Week 2 games.

John Harbaugh is 8-5 in preseason games.

John Harbaugh is 2-1 in Preseason Week 2 games.


Preseason Week 1 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Chiefs 13
Ravens -6.5 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Ravens 31, Chiefs 13

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   loserboy 11-03-2011 09:12 am xxx.xxx.xxx.127 (total posts: 2) 32     13 btw - I'm getting used to cat food. The liver flavor is especially tasty. loserboy 11-03-2011 09:10 am xxx.xxx.xxx.127 (total posts: 2) 27     13 Now you are just mocking us - explaining in detail why you like Team A but taking Team B. I have liked your picks and analysis in the past few years but it's time to retire the "they can't get up for this game" routine. It isn't working. Focus on the fundamentals and which team should actually cover. Buckwheat 11-03-2011 08:35 am xxx.xxx.xxx5.98 (total posts: 13) 19     22 Walter, some constructive advice. Look at your write-up on the Bengals-Seahawks game. How can you not see that Seattle is a HORRIBLE team ? They lost to Cleve for pete's sake. Don't say seattle is a tough place to play, it is if the team is good. This team is AWFUL. More advice, don't put 4 units on a stiff team like the Dolphins. They are playing out the string until their coach gets fired and they have the top pick in the draft. This is where you are going wrong this year. Look at your write-up on Cleveland. They stink, they have no offense, then you pick them. This is why you are losing at a record pace. Don't take the dredges hoping they cover one week out of 16. Tennessee and Pitts are the best picks on the board Matt 11-03-2011 08:29 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.33 (total posts: 16) 18     15 @ real g I don't buy your argument on power rankings. Just because teams are high in power rankings doesn't mean they are overvalued. Maybe it means they are just damn good teams. When I think of overvalued teams I think of San Diego, Dallas, Philly, etc. Teams that are really not that good, yet will always consistently get a good piece of the action because the public thinks they are better than they actually are. Maybe it is their name, maybe it is the franchise's history, but they always get more action than they deserve. As far as the rest of your points, you're pretty much just repeating what Walt says. We'll see. I have a few games I like this week. Some with Walt. Some against Walt. I'll post the picks right before kickoff just to make it official. Daveigh 11-03-2011 02:10 am xxx.xxx.xxx.120 (total posts: 1) 14     12 Alkaazaam-information found, problem solved, thanks! Dog Killer 11-03-2011 01:26 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.34 (total posts: 2) 14     15 Big Play On Boston college +14.5 for $5K bet of the month!!! Akron+14 for $100 Tulsa+ 1.5 for $100 8-Track 11-03-2011 01:21 am xxx.xxx.xxx0.90 (total posts: 87) 18     13 worst gambling statement ever "I'm going to be fading most publicly backed teams this week in hopes that Vegas recovers from all of their losses. If I'm going down, I'm taking the sportsbooks with me. "-Walt that's like saying the slots have came up plum-plum-lemon the last 7 times I played so this time it's going to be plum-plum-plum!! NO Walt is doesn't... Dog Killer 11-03-2011 01:06 am xxx.xxx.xxx7.34 (total posts: 2) 13     13 NCAAF 23-9 Won Big on Ohio today! Thurs night game belongs to the UNDERDOGS!! Pick akron+14 pick Tulsa +1.5 plus ML pick Boston College JETZMAN 11-03-2011 12:21 am xxx.xxx.xxx3.55 (total posts: 1) 14     32 Thanks Walt;now I must pull my kid out of college because I relied on your football wisdom to place my bets. What an ass kicking I took following your multiple unit bets. Do you realize your sorry ass was 3-10 against the line last week. This is your last chance for redemption Walt;so put up or shut up. Walterfootball.com Exclusive Interviews 11-02-2011 11:45 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 63     28 WF: Well, we're at it again. Take it away, gentlemen. WALT HATER KILLA: When I'm low on digits, I push blow in a blizzard. I'm a player for real, I post and pivot. Fade Walt: (slurp slurp slurp) (camera pans to Fade Walt putting a man's kielbasa down his trachea) WF: Wow. Well, that's about enough of that. Yeeeeesh. rcan 11-02-2011 11:41 pm xxx.xxx.xxx2.13 (total posts: 1) 16     15 i think walter, you will bounce back this week. i have few questions though why there isnt a revenge factor in ravens-steelers game??? about chargers- packers, it could be possible that chargers played low as packers were next on list? Gangsta 4 Sho 11-02-2011 11:36 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 39     17 slow down walt hater killa !! you layin em out, its a masacer !! you too cold ! stop shootin man he already dead ! you catchin bodies son ! WALT HATER KILLA 11-02-2011 11:33 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 52     23 Fade Walt hearts young males. AYOOOO WALT HATER KILLA 11-02-2011 11:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 76     18 Only thing Fade Walt has been doing is hanging out at that Rocket Tube dot com. WALT HATER KILLA 11-02-2011 11:25 pm xxx.xxx.xxx9.30 (total posts: 94) 76     12 Fade Walt likes it in the bushes in the park, with the men. Pages: 1 2 ...1126 1127 1128 11291130 1131 1132 ...1475 1476

2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 18


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - June 17


2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - June 16


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)