NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2011): 7-7-2 (-$220)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2011): 9-6-1 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2011): 7-9 (-$550)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2011): 7-8-1 (+$315)

NFL Picks (2011): 130-129-12 (-$3,275)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 8, 11:20 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 18 NFL Picks - Sunday Games



Cincinnati Bengals (9-7) at Houston Texans (10-6)
Line: Texans by 4. Total: 38.5.
Walt's Projected Line: Texans -2.5.
Saturday, Jan. 7, 4:30 ET

The Game. Edge: Texans.

Week 17 Recap: I just had my first winning Week 17 in site history. Three cheers for me!

OK, so I'm not totally sure if that's true, but I can't ever remember a Week 17 not being in the red. I dedicated this offseason to learn how Week 17 operates, since it seemed so different than all of the other weekends. My hard work paid off. Now, I just have to make sure Weeks 1-16 produce winners...

Lots to complain about this week:

Patriots -10 vs. Bills: I'm man enough to admit that I was lucky to win this four-unit play. The Bills were up 21-0 as 10-point underdogs. They should have covered, and I'm confident they would have if Scott Chandler hadn't gotten hurt and Steve Johnson hadn't been benched for being an idiot.

This season has really been the Year of the Bizarre Cover. I don't know if it's because of the lockout, but there have been so many backdoor and come-from-behind beats. If I have the time, I want to go over all of this season's ridiculous covers. I may do it the week of the Super Bowl.

49ers -10.5 at Rams: Here's one. The 49ers were up 34-13 in the fourth quarter. The Rams could barely move the football, so there was no way they should have beaten the spread.

Lo and behold, Kellen Clemens led St. Louis on a pair of fourth-quarter scoring drives, marking the second time in three weeks that he has beaten me with a stupid backdoor cover.

Texans PK vs. Titans: Congrats if you had Texans +1.5 to +3. Because I stopped locking in my picks, I went with the Sunday morning spread on this site, which was a pick 'em. Of course, it rose back to +1.5 prior to kickoff.

I did manage to win money on Houston, but I lost this selection in my records because of T.J. Yates' injury and a stupid false start on a two-point conversion.

By the way, if I had known that Delhomme would be playing for most of this game, I would have bet my entire life savings on Tennessee. More on Delhomme later.

Steelers -7 at Browns: The Steelers are the most crooked team in the NFL. As I've mentioned multiple times, the Rooneys made their money via sportsbooking when it was legal, so it should be no surprise that they are involved with unbelievably shady non-covers multiple times per year. Seriously, how many times can you fumble the football in Cleveland territory in a single season?

I lost $330 on this game, but I would almost pay another $330 to learn how much money Isaac Redman earned for point-shaving. It has to be in the five-figure range, right? Or did the Rooneys compensate Redman with hot females in his hotel room?

I'll be posting these NFL Picks throughout the day. Follow me at @walterfootball for updates.

Vegas Recap: A bad year for the sportsbooks ends with a brutal Week 17, where four of the six highly bet teams covered (Eagles, Patriots, Falcons, Giants). Vegas only made money with the Rams and Browns (of course). There weren't any big upsets either, so no teasers were broken up.

The public is predictably all over the Steelers this week, so look for more shady things out of them.

I'll be updating the Vegas betting action all week, as usual. I'll notify you of any updates @walterfootball.

Some random football notes I can't put anywhere else:

1. I agree with all of the firings that took place on Black Monday. The Rams had fallen apart under Steve Spagnuolo's watch. The Buccaneers quit on the lazy Raheem Morris. And Bill Polian was too old to want to start over with a rookie quarterback, so Jim Irsay (or Isray, if you're Taton) is doing the right thing by bringing in a new front office.

The only thing that didn't make sense was Norv Turner not getting axed. The Chargers aren't seriously considering keeping him on, are they? They can't be that stupid, right?

Eagle fans, meanwhile, are pretty pissed that Andy Reid is still on board, but his job was never in jeopardy. Still, they're infuriated, and Sunday's post-game press conference didn't help. When asked why he didn't make the playoffs, Reid offered up this gem:

"Well... uhh... we were 8-8 and... uhh... umm... the other teams... uhh... weren't... hem, hem..."

Thanks, Andy. You could make yourself more likable by not completely blowing off the media every week, but I suppose you are just too busy, what with all the cheesesteaks out there that need to be devoured.

2. I'm sure some of you have fantasy football horror stories from this year. I do as well. Remember that one week where Hakeem Nicks was rewarded 20 extra yards two days after the game was over? Well, I lost that game in Bo-Bo's league. Had I won my matchup, I would have been in the playoffs. Instead, I missed out - even though I was the highest-scoring team in the league:



If it wasn't for that stupid Nicks adjustment, I would have gotten into the playoffs over six-seed Black in Action, who won the whole damn thing.



If you think that's bad, get a load of e-mailer Larry M's fantasy football horror story:

You probably dont care, but I thought I had to tell someone about the worst fantasy beat of all time, which happened to me in the championship this past week.

All of my players were done by Saturday night, and I had a huge lead. My opponent had Aaron Rodgers, who promptly scored 42 points on Rod Marinelli's defense (I am a huge Lions fan and hate Rod Marinelli.) He also had Darren Sproles, and he had scored almost nothing. Last drive, they get a touchdown pass from the 9-yard line, but I still won the league title by 1 point! I also won the regular season - double champ.

I admired the standings every morning as kind of a psyche up to start the day, but on Thursday morning, there was a change. ESPN modified the score by two points, and I lost the championship that I had mathematically clinched during the final game! ON THURSDAY!

I lost one point because they said a Brandon Marshall catch was a backward pass, and therefore a run, and another point on the Lions' defense, as a sack was taken from Justin Durant, calling it a Phillip Rivers run instead. Rivers never runs! If it was a sack, I would have won because I had the tie-breaker.

Thanks for listening.

I e-mailed Larry back, offering my condolences and opining that fantasy results shouldn't be allowed to change once the games conclude (still bitter about Nicks.) I never heard back from Larry though, so I'm now wondering if I should alert the suicide watch hotline in his home town.

3. Facebook friend Steven L. posted the following on my wall:

I'm flipping through my TV guide and it says the Belk Bowl is on ESPN2. What the hell is a Belk Bowl?

I'm very disappointed in Steven. How has he never heard of the Belk Bowl? All of that tradition. It's the great-grand daddy of them all!

If you didn't catch the sarcasm, I'm continuing my pledge to Boycott the Bowls (#BoycottTheBowls). I haven't watched a single minute of any of those crappy postseason exhibition games yet, and it seems like others are following suit. Check out this picture of the Outback Bowl at kickoff, courtesy of CNBC's Darren Rovell.

Rovell later tweeted, "If schools weren't required to eat tickets they couldn't sell, bowl heads couldn't make $200K working 30 days a year."

I still see people on Twitter (@walterfootball) who tweet about various bowl games they're watching, and I'm just #SMH the whole time. I don't understand how anyone can support a system that's so corrupt and entirely based on money. The only reason there's no playoff system is so certain people of interest can earn six figures from these meaningless games.

If you're reading this, please stop supporting this nonsense. Stop watching these utterly meaningless bowl games. And spread the word. The BCS and the bowl system need to die.

HOUSTON OFFENSE: I just got off the phone with CTU, and I can tell you that terrorist chatter has died down in the past couple of days. This coincides with the report that T.J. Yates is expected to start this game. With Jake Delhomme expected to be sidelined, terrorists are no longer mobilizing to kidnap Delhomme's son. That's great news for anyone who already bet the Texans. And for Delhomme too - because it sucks to have your son kidnapped.

Yates is listed as probable with a shoulder injury on his non-throwing arm. He reportedly looked good passing the ball in practice, and given that it was his left shoulder that he injured, it's not expected to be a problem whatsoever.

Moving the chains enough to win this contest could be another story, though it's promising that Yates went 4-of-4 on the only drive he was on the field for last week. He led the Texans to a touchdown against a pretty decent Tennessee stop unit.

The Bengals haven't been that good since losing top corner Leon Hall, though it has been the run defense that has really suffered. Since Week 10, they've surrendered 4.7 yards per carry to opposing backs, which includes the 220 rushing yards they permitted to Baltimore.

Cincinnati was able to stack the box against Houston in the Week 14 meeting, but that's because Andre Johnson was out. Johnson is expected to play 40-50 snaps in this contest, and his presence will give Yates more time in the pocket; Yates was sacked five times versus the Bengals last time, but I definitely expect that number to drop.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: As for the other rookie quarterback, Andy Dalton started hot, but he has really struggled lately. He's completed more than 58 percent of his passes in only one contest since Week 8. His YPA numbers have also been pretty low, and he could have easily thrown a few interceptions against the Ravens. Bernard Pollard dropped the easiest pick of his life when a Dalton pass hit him right in the numbers.

Dalton was OK versus Houston in the aforementioned Week 14 tilt, going 16-of-28 for 189 yards and a touchdown. A.J. Green was pretty much held in check by Johnathan Joseph (5-59). He'll need to have a bigger game if Cincinnati wants to advance.

The Bengals didn't really have any big plays in that game, but Cedric Benson managed a 42-yard scamper. He was neutralized otherwise though, as the Texans are in the middle of the pack in terms of stopping the rush (10th, 4.03 YPC). It's not like Benson has the talent to take advantage of this though.

I don't really see Cincinnati moving the ball at that much, but it's not like they've done that in recent games.

RECAP: This spread indicates that these teams are even, but I don't agree with that. The Bengals are in the playoffs because of an easy schedule, as evidenced by their 0-7 record versus opponents that qualified for the postseason. Also, they've covered the spread only once since Week 9 - and that wouldn't have been the case if Early Doucet didn't trip over his own two feet in the end zone.

The Texans have also struggled recently, but Johnson's return, as well as a raucous Reliant Stadium crowd, should spark them to victory.

UNIT CHANGE: I'm dropping this down to one unit because the line has moved to -4. I'd still go for two units if you can somehow still get -3.






The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Cincinnati: 56% (111,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

First Start: Quarterbacks making their first start in the playoffs are 2-10 ATS as home favorites since 2002.

Bengals are 17-9 ATS as underdogs since 2009.

Texans are 32-16 ATS after two or more consecutive losses (6-4 ATS as favorites).

Opening Line: Texans -3.

Opening Total: 38.5.

Weather: Dome.


Week 18 NFL Pick: Texans 23, Bengals 17
Texans -4 (1 Unit) -- Correct; +$100
Over 38.5 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
Texans 31, Bengals 10

---

Detroit Lions (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (13-3)
Line: Saints by 10.5. Total: 59.5.
Walt's Projected Line: Saints -9.
Saturday, Jan. 7, 8:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Saints.

If you've been following this site, you know that I make a habit of responding to my spam mails. I've been posting e-mails from Richard Held and Loon Bruce, who told me I won a Facebook Award, which comes with a "lump sum pay out of (750,000.00 GBP)." Pretending to be Matthew Millen Kim, I sent out my application and fake money, but I haven't heard back from them yet. I'll keep you posted.

As for the recent new spam mail, here's what it was as a reminder:

Dear Coach,

My name is Peter Lee, We are looking for a qualified Basketball Coach/instructor that will handle our basketball Club,this is a 24months Head Coach contract with the club.

This Head coaching contract with the Club is scheduled to start in January 2012.

We are very interested in the experience of a basketball coach who can satisfactorily create/implement an effective offensive and defensive system and instill essential teamwork qualities among our players to guarantee success.

Contract Duration: 24months liable for upward extension depending on commitments and performance to the Club.

Salary & Benefits: US$29,000 Monthly can be paid to any bank of your choice on every 25th of the Month. Free Accommodation and Car, Flight Coverage, Medical & Dental Insurance, Leave rotational 3 Months On and 4 Weeks off..

If you are interested and capable of taking this position. Kindly forward your photograph and your C.V/RESUME for review and urgent consideration.

Thanks
Mr Peter Lee

This is almost too easy.

Here's my response:

Peter Lee,

I am very interested in handling your basketball club. I am a well-qualified coach and have lots of experience.

One question: How old are the players on your team, and do you have ball boys? I work very well with ball boys.

I have attached my picture and resume.

Thank you,

Coach Bernie Fine





Peter Lee got back to me with three long e-mails containing a seven-page PDF for me to sign. I didn't feel like filling out a seven-page file, so I asked him to shorten it:

Peter Lee,

Can you shorten the length of the PDF? I have Timmy and Jimmy here with me, and their mom will be coming in a few hours. I don't want to waste precious time.

You also have not answered my question about the ball boys. How old are the ball boys on your club? This is very important information!

Thank you,

Bernie Fine

Peter Lee replied, "You will be responsible for the training and player development the Club. The players are between the ages of 14-16 years."

But what about the ball boys? The ball boys!?

Peter Lee you are not listening to me! I would like to know about the ball boys. Can you send me pics of them? No response from Peter Lee, so I followed up:

You still have not answered my question about the ball boys. How old are they? What are their interests? In which way do they like to be penetrated?

Still no answer from Peter Lee, so I just sent over one more e-mail:

I AM VERY ANGRY THAT YOU HAVEN'T GOTTEN BACK TO ME ABOUT THE BALL BOYS! DO THEY LIKE TO TAKE LONG WALKS ON THE BEACH? HOW OLD ARE THEY? CAN THEY SWIM SO I CAN ROUGH HOUSE WITH THEM IN THE POOL? ARE THEY ALLERGIC TO PEANUTS? TELL ME IMMEDIATELY!!!!!!!!!!!!

I'll keep you updated if Peter Lee gets back to me.

DETROIT OFFENSE: No one on ESPN is talking about this, but the Saints have actually been pretty good defensively since their bye. Since the week off, they've surrendered 24 (Giants scored some garbage points late), 17, 17, 20, 16 and 17. And it's not like they've played junk offenses during that stretch either; they've battled New York, Atlanta, Carolina and this very Detroit squad.

The biggest difference has been in run defense. They've allowed 5.03 YPC throughout the year (31st), but only 4.2 YPC since the bye. This has made pass defense easier, since they force their opponents in more long-yardage situations and consequently generate more turnovers.

Matthew Stafford threw an interception in the prior meeting, but was solid otherwise. He went 31-of-44 for 408 yards, a touchdown and the pick. If you recall, Nate Burleson had about a billion offensive pass interference penalties in that contest. That's part of Detroit's M.O. though - constantly screwing themselves with dumb mistakes.

Something else that screwed the Lions was Kevin Smith's injury. He went out near halftime of this contest, and it completely disrupted their game plan. Smith is healthy now, but there's definitely no guarantee he'll last the whole contest. If he does, the Lions should have success moving the chains and keeping up with the Saints on the scoreboard.

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: Matt Flynn just set the all-time single-game passing record in Packer history, scoring 45 points on Detroit's defense, so how do you think Drew Brees will do?

You don't have to think about it because you can just go back and look at the box score of the Week 13 Sunday night tilt. Brees went 26-of-36 for 342 yards and three touchdowns. As he's been since that bizarre loss to the Rams - which might go down as the most fixed game of all time - Brees was unstoppable, and it's hard to imagine him slowing down.

The one caveat is that Ndamukong Suh didn't play for the Lions in that 31-17 defeat. Suh is a Pro Bowl talent and an obvious difference-maker, but I seriously doubt that his presence can help slow Brees down even a little bit on the Superdome turf.

New Orleans will also be able to run the ball, if needed. The Lions are ranked 26th versus the rush, and unlike the Saints, they haven't improved in this department recently.

RECAP: You don't know how many times I've flip-flopped concerning this pick. My thought process:

"I like the Saints because of their underrated defense."

"But the Lions have played in the Superdome recently, and they'll be better prepared to handle the crowd noise."

"But New Orleans is so good at home."

"But Detroit will have Ndamukong Suh and Kevin Smith back in the lineup."

"And this spread is so large, so the Lions should be the right side."

"But the Saints have beaten big spreads in the Superdome recently."

"But if there's one quarterback not named Kellen Clemens who can get a cheap, backdoor cover, it's Ser Stafford, right?"

See what I mean? I'm just going to take the points, but there's no way in hell I'm betting on either side.

THURSDAY NOTE: Several people have reminded me that Lions free safety Louis Delmas didn't play in the prior meeting either. He's another difference-maker who will be back for Detroit, so I'm a bit more confident in this pick. Still though, I'm not crazy at the prospect of betting against Brees in the Superdome.

UNDER PLAY: I'm going to throw a half unit on the Under 59.5. I feel that both defenses are underrated. New Orleans' stop unit, as mentioned, has been solid since the bye. The Lions, meanwhile, will have two members of their secondary back for this game. Only a half unit though because I don't like betting totals.






The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: Lions.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on New Orleans: 62% (56,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Saints.

Lions are 15-9 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2006 (5-8 since 2009).

Saints are 21-10 ATS as a home favorite since 2007.

Drew Brees is 31-18 ATS off back-to-back wins.

Saints are 13-23 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Saints are 4-11 ATS as double-digit favorites under Sean Payton.

Opening Line: Saints -9.5.

Opening Total: 58.

Weather: Dome.


Week 18 NFL Pick: Saints 31, Lions 24
Lions +10.5 (0 Units) -- Incorrect; $0
Under 59.5 (0.5 Units) -- Incorrect; -$55
Saints 45, Lions 28




Week 18 NFL Picks - Sunday Games
Falcons at Giants, Steelers at Broncos

Leave a comment Name Comment Verification: click on image to refresh it   Pharmk68 03-22-2013 07:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.136 (total posts: 1) 3     3 Very nice site! Pharmf796 03-22-2013 07:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.201 (total posts: 2) 2     2 Hello! beddacf interesting beddacf site! I'm really like it! Very, very beddacf good! Pharme168 03-22-2013 07:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.244 (total posts: 2) 2     2 Very nice site! cheap cialis http://aixypeo1.com/ayxvsa/4.html Pharmk55 03-22-2013 07:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx4.18 (total posts: 1) 2     2 Hello! caadbee interesting caadbee site! I'm really like it! Very, very caadbee good! Pharmf106 03-22-2013 07:18 am xxx.xxx.xxx.182 (total posts: 1) 2     2 Hello! degecee interesting degecee site! I'm really like it! Very, very degecee good! @Guru 03-20-2013 10:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx.157 (total posts: 11) 2     3 We are looking for you over in the ncaa forum. Great picks on sunday. You won us all a few bucks. Thanks again !! Browns4Life 03-19-2013 05:54 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.34 (total posts: 1) 3     2 oh yeah baby, 4-0 Gman 03-18-2013 07:34 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.42 (total posts: 5) 2     2 Guru I'm still looking good fu.kin job . theguru66 03-18-2013 06:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx16.2 (total posts: 19) 13     3 Not bad yesterday as I went 3-1. Missed that over in the Buckeye game after a nice 3-0 start. Oh well. Anyway, let's keep the train rolling shall we? I have a couple of picks for the passengers tonight... 7:35; Atlanta Hawks hosting Dallas tonight and after the mavs lost that heartbreaker to the Thunder last night it's hard for me to imagine them getting up for a back to back game on the road. The Hawks impressed me last night with their win in Brooklyn and they are known to be a streaky team. I see them keeping the streak going tonight and taking care of buisness against the Mavs. Line has moved to 4 1/2 now but I think they'll win by 9-12. Lay the points and take Hot-lanta. 8:30; Calgary visits Dallas for a date with the Stars and I like the under in this contest. I know both of the previous contests between these two this year have gone way over (a 11 and 7 goals game) but Calgary has scored 3 goals in their last 3 road games and Dallas has scored THREE goals in their last FOUR games and 3 of them were at HOME. I just don't see that many twine ticklers tonight and I see a 3-1 final. Monday's Recap: Atlanta hawks -4 1/2 Calgary/Dallas under 5 1/2 Good luck passengers! RGMass 03-17-2013 05:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.186 (total posts: 13) 2     2 Great run today Guru. 3-1 is awesome!! I always seem to miss the 4th game in parlays but still it was an awesome day!! I also like a few games in the NBA today: New Orleans/Minn over 189 Golden State/Houston over 216 OKC/Mavericks over 208 GLTA!!! Vail skier 03-17-2013 03:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.78 (total posts: 11) 5     2 Guru66 good job so far, keep it up, hope everything is going good for you. RGMass 03-17-2013 03:07 am xxx.xxx.xxx.186 (total posts: 13) 4     2 Guru I love those picks for tomorrow. I'm rolling with you!! LETS GO!! theguru66 03-17-2013 02:02 am xxx.xxx.xxx.112 (total posts: 2) 25     2 I don't know how many guys are still looking at this sight but if I help ONE person tomorrow I'll take it. OK, here is the deal. I have been crushing college basketball this week. Some of you posted that I did well last year in March with NCAA hoops and you'd be right. In fact, I usually do well during these conference tourny's. Saturday I hit 9 of 13 plays in college sooooooo I've decided to cap and post the four finals tomorrow. So without further ado, let's get this train rolling shall we?... 1pm; ACC Championship pits the TarHeels and the Hurricanes. North Carolina has been here done that and just like Florida St. last year, Miami is hungrier. NC is in the dance and their banged up. They beat Maryland but it took a lot out of them. Miami just smoked NC State, they never trailed in the game and are playing for a possible one seed. THEN you can throw in the fact that Miami beat North Carolina TWICE already this year and this one is easy for me. Miami WON the ACC regular season this year for a reason. THEY ARE VERY TALENTED. North Carolina gets the line decrease because of their name and I'll take that all day long. Miami wins this game by at LEAST 8, I'm thinking 10+. Lay the points. 1pm; SEC final and this one is also easy for me. I might be reading these all wrong but I don't see it. Ol Miss getting 11 points is nuts IMO. Florida has looked average over the last month and lost to Kentucky when they were up 7 with 5 to go. Kentucky is terrible and shouldn't be in the tourny if they make it. How do you lose to Vandy fighting for your tourny lives? How, when your not that good. Anyway, Ol Miss needs this game badly and will play their hearts out. They are also hungrier and this game should come down to the wire. Take the points. 1pm; I've won a lot of money this year with the St. Louis Bilikens. This is a VERY good team and will make noise in the dance. They are going to win the A-10 title tomorrow and although VCU is good and will do everything they can to slow them down, St. Louis should win this game easy. They played only once this year and although they were at home they were up 17 at the half. I have St. Louis by 7-9 in this game and will gladly lay 2, their 9-1 ATS in their last 10 and 21-9 against teams with a winning record ATS in their last 30. 3:30; The Badgers Buckeye game is by far the hardest of the day in my humble opinion. Ohio State probably has the better players and that usually wins in games like this but Wisconsin has looked awesome during this tourny. What I have learned over the years is that these games are hard fought and intense and there is usually a slight uptick in scoring due to the fouling and never give up attitude that these games bring. It will be close but I think this game goes over the total. 118 means they both have to get to 60 and I see this in the 67-64 range. If I had to chose the line I would take Ohio State but I like the over the best in this play. Sunday's NCAA Tourny Finals recap: Miami -3 Mississippi +11 St. Louis -2 Wisconsin/Ohio State over 118 Good Luck to everyone who's left and enjoy the great games! kvngr 03-14-2013 05:23 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.66 (total posts: 1) 2     2 If I remember right the train was steaming thru march madness last year.Hope life throws you some juicy fastballs soon theguru66. @theguru66 03-13-2013 01:39 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.100 (total posts: 1) 3     3 Haven't seen you on here for a while - figured something was up. Someone posted you were done with the site because of some childish behavior. But that didn't seem correct since you dealt with it for so long. Well, glad to see you will be coming back, if that really is you posting (since the IP address seems different). I'm looking forward to NCAA tourney picks from you. I think you did modertely well last year. Pages: 1 23 4 5 ...1475 1476

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 18 N7L Picks - Late Games



2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 17


Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 16


2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 15


2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 3


NFL Picks - Feb. 3

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 21, 2012): 1-0 (+$100)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 21, 2012): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 21, 2012): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 21, 2012): -$400

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$5,760)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$2,550)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$2,620)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$3,370)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$6,080)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,925)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)