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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2010



NFL Picks (Preseason 2010): 9-6-1 (+$680)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2010): 8-7-1 (-$15)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2010): 7-8-1 (-$170)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2010): 10-6 (+$1,430)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2010): 7-7 (+$1,075)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2010): 8-6 (+$260)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2010): 4-9-1 (-$1,865)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2010): 8-6 (+$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2010): 7-6 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2010): 6-5-2 (+$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2010): 6-7-1 (+$780)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2010): 8-8 (-$480)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2010): 9-7 (+$1,840)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2010): 9-7 (+$1,045)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2010): 7-8-1 (+$170)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2010): 9-7 (-$150)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2010): 10-6 (-$50)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2010): 7-9 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2010): 3-1 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2010): 2-2 (-$600)

NFL Picks (2010): 144-128-8 (+$6,740)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.


Vegas betting action updated Jan. 16, 11:55 a.m. ET.


Go to Week 19 NFL Picks - Sunday Games



Baltimore Ravens (13-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Line: Steelers by 3. Total: 37.

Walt's Projected Line: Steelers -3.
Saturday, 4:30 ET

The Game. Edge: None.

Week 18 Recap: I can only hope that Week 19's just as good as Week 18. I went 3-1 with my picks, winning $1,200. The only game I lost was Colts-Jets, and that was zero units because I really didn't know what to make of that matchup. It would have pushed if Jim "Need To Give 'Em More Snaps" Caldwell hadn't called an unnecessary timeout.

No real hate mail this week, aside from a very confusing, GameCenter-like post by Kingkhon in the comment board below:

Im band from Sports bets in Vegas and all casino floors in US. Im on the blackbook. I fart 13k. I hate to relocate and recieving death threats. I really wanna bring down vegas but these kind of website kicks me out or band me, so if u dont hear from me then that mean i cant log on this site anymore. My ip adress is locked out then ill get a call, this always happen. No more free plays from me, go ahead and follow Walter Vegas cause thats there job. Lure you in like a catholic priest, get you to trust him but you dont know he molest kids. Thats what walter does. And people bet on high units regardless. i dont have to explain my pick bc doubters lose on the oppertunty to win that the believers prosper from.

Kingkhon, you really need to put down the crack pipe, man. This is a football Web site; not a football and molest kids Web site. I just hope no one trusts some random person who is "band" from sports bets and "farts" 13k. Whatever the hell that means.

At any rate, here are some random NFL notes I can't put anywhere else:

1. Check out this quote from Matt Leinart:

"I want to be a starter in the league, and I feel like I've paid my dues. I sat for 3-and-a-half years now and played behind a Hall of Fame quarterback (Kurt Warner), which a lot of people don't remember."

You sat behind Kurt Warner? Wow, I like totally didn't remember!

This quote is exactly why Leinart has sucked in the NFL. Leinart doesn't care about being an NFL quarterback; he just wants to be a celebrity. He has a sense of entitlement, and wants everything handed to him on a silver platter.

Facebook friend Andrew J. pointed this quote out to me and asked me where I thought Leinart would be next year. My response: "Nick Lachey's hot tub."

2. Mike McCarthy out-coached Andy Reid in Sunday's playoff win, but each guy made some blunders, particularly at the end of the first half. Check out these exchanges in the live in-games thread:

El Guapo: Why did the Eagles run a play before the 2-minute warning?

Me: Reid's trying to speed the game up to get to dinner quicker.

A couple of minutes later...

El Guapo: Why didn't Green Bay call a timeout?

Me: McCarthy's trying to speed the game up to get to dinner quicker.

CallmetheBrees, meanwhile, chimed in with some basic Andy Reid math:

1 chicken wing + 2 chicken wings x 7 chicken wings = not enough

Hey, you may laugh, but this is how Big Red learned math in grade school.

3. If you haven't seen the Super Mario Bros. version of Marshawn Lynch's epic touchdown run against the Saints, check it out. Thanks to tbod10 and Zack D. for sending this over.

Anyway, it's the usual - my NFL Picks will be posted periodically throughout Tuesday afternoon and evening. You can follow me on Twitter @walterfootball to receive updates for when I post each selection.

BALTIMORE OFFENSE: We saw this matchup back in Week 13. Joe Flacco had success throwing the ball, going 17-of-33 for 266 yards and a touchdown. Steelers corner Bryant McFadden was torched throughout the Sunday night affair.

Six weeks later, I don't really expect anything to change. Pittsburgh has some liabilities in its secondary, but makes up for it with a ferocious pass rush. Flacco has been sacked 27 times in the past eight games, which includes Troy Polamalu's strip-sack, resulting in Pittsburgh's game-winning touchdown (and five units for me).

Like last time, Ray Rice won't have any luck running the football; he had 32 yards on nine carries against the Steelers' No. 1 rush defense. Willis McGahee (7 carries, 7 yards) was even worse. It's nearly impossible to run the ball on Pittsburgh, especially on first down, so the Ravens will need to set up the run with the pass like they did last week against the Chiefs.

If the Ravens want to win this game, Rice needs to be featured early and often. He had only 11 touches in the Week 13 meeting, which is unacceptable. Oh, and if you have the lead with a few minutes remaining, Ravens, please just run the football.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Similar numbers for the Steelers in that matchup. Ben Roethlisberger threw for 253 yards (22-of-38 passing), and Rashard Mendenhall struggled on the ground (19-45).

The Ravens are eighth against the run and first versus the pass, so it's safe to say that the Steelers will once again struggle to move the chains.

The key on this side of the ball is whether or not Roethlisberger will be able to avoid taking sacks. The Ravens will put immense pressure on Big Ben, thanks to his anemic offensive line; Baltimore had three sacks in Week 13. So with that in mind, the Ravens need to make sure they wrap up Roethlisberger so he doesn't hit a big play after breaking a tackle.

RECAP: One of the reasons I loved the Steelers back in Week 13 was because these games are always close. The past eight Baltimore-Pittsburgh battles have been decided by: 3, 3, 3, 3, 9, 4, 3 and 6.

I'm taking the Ravens for two units. I'd feel much more comfortable getting Pittsburgh +3 if the Steelers were at Baltimore because Flacco has never beaten Roethlisberger. But I figure that this will be a push at the very worst.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
Rubber match between two AFC North rivals.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.
  • Percentage of money on Baltimore: 53% (115,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • History: Home Team has won 14 of the last 18 meetings (Flacco 0-5 vs. Roethlisberger).
  • Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 10-18 ATS since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).
  • Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 7-2 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.
  • Steelers are 22-9 ATS in December home games since 2000.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 24-13 ATS vs. the AFC North.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 7-3 ATS in the playoffs (4-2 as a favorite).
  • Opening Line: Steelers -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 36.5.
  • Weather: Possible snow showers, 28 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.


    Week 19 NFL Pick: Steelers 20, Ravens 19
    Ravens +3 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220
    Over 37 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
    Steelers 31, Ravens 24





    Green Bay Packers (11-6) at Atlanta Falcons (13-3)
    Line: Falcons by 1.5. Total: 43.5.

    Walt's Projected Line: Falcons -2.5.
    Saturday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: Packers.

    My e-mail address is published on this site, so I tend to get more spam and junk mail than the average person. Each week, I'm going to find a hilarious e-mail and post it for your entertainment.

    I've been posting an exchange I've had with a United Bank of Afriocan representative named Junior Dipolmat John Wire for about five weeks now. Unfortunately, I haven't heard back from him. If the fact that I said my name was Mister Compassion Chuck Norris and I was raised by wolves didn't clue him in that I was messing around with him, maybe it was the fact that I threatened to torture him with my friends, Jack Bauer, Carl Winslow and Matt Millen.

    So, onto the next spam e-mailer. Check out this e-mail I received on Saturday and my response to it:



    Hours later, I received a follow-up e-mail:

    WINNING PARAMETERS
    Ref:XYL/26510460037/05
    Batch:24/00319/IPD

    On Behalf of the Screening Committee of British Tobacco Lottery, I wish to formally inform you that you have successfully passed the Email Screening and Verification Matching Test conducted for all online winners in your winning in accordance with the British Tobacco Lottery Terms and Conditions. Hence you are therefore cleared for payment by the verifications and fund release department at the British Tobacco Lottery and your winnings has been duly signed and approved for release to you by the legal attorney to the United Kingdom National Lottery.

    As you already know, all winners for the online version of the British Tobacco Lottery Online promotions were selected through a computer ballot system drawn from an exclusive list of 21,000 e-mail addresses of individual and corporate bodies listed online as part of our international promotion to promote international co-operation between the United Kingdom and other countries worldwide and I must say that you should count yourself extremely lucky to have emerged as one of our winners and we do sincerely hope you will put part of your winnings into good use for community, educational and business development and also to render selfless services to the less privileged in your community.

    The process for claiming your winnings has been made very simple so that by the end of one week at most, you are assured of having received your cash prize and all the legal documents backing your winnings. In the light of the above mentioned, you are to contact the the bank that will be handling the transfer of your winning to you with the contact informations below:

    1) Winner's Full Names:
    2) Present Full Address:
    3) Telephone Number:
    4) Raffle Draw Winning Email:
    5) Amount Won:1,000,000GBP

    Note that you are to provide the Lottery Winners Agency that will be handling the transfer of your winning with the required details below to officially identify you:

    CITI BANK LONDON
    LONDON 332 OXFORD STREET,
    LONDON W1C 1JF.
    United Kingdom
    Tel:+ 44 703 198 1791
    Mr. Kevin Kessinger

    Consider me formally informed. Before contacting "the the" bank, I decided to e-mail Mr. Kevin Kessinger. I didn't want to go with Mister Compassion Chuck Norris again. Instead, I chose to be one of his wolf army friends...

    Dear Mr. Kevin Kessinger, I am your winner of the Tobacco Lottery. I was promised one billion pounds and I want to say that I am pleased I won this lottery. I didn't even know I entered.

    A little about myself. My name is Carl Winslow. With this new money, I plan to buy the house next door, so my annoying neighbor can finally be banished from my street. Mr. Kevin Kessinger, this annoying neighbor has broken 10 of my refrigerators in the past year. He also also ruined five TVs and 20 tables, but refrigerators happen to be near and dear to my heart.

    I do have a request, if it isn't too much. Instead of one billion pounds, can you send me one billion cupcakes instead? I am in the mood for cupcakes. Cupcakes are very delicious, Mr. Kevin Kessinger. I am not sure if your native land of England has invented cupcakes yet. If not, I weep for your third-world country.

    Another request, if you can't fulfill my first - instead of one billion pounds, can you send me five hundred million tacos and five hundred million chicken nuggets? I require barbecue sauce with both, thank you. Five hundred gallons should be enough.

    Before I conclude my e-mail, Matt Millen would like to say something. He has been in my house all day, but no matter what I do, I cannot get rid of this fiend. I will put him on the computer right now:

    "I'm very happy that Carl Winslow won the lottery. And here's what I mean by lottery. A lottery is when some people enter a contest. Sometimes a little bit of people. Sometimes a lot of people. Sometimes in between. And now, here's the key - the person running the lottery came up with a winner somehow. I'm not sure how they came up with the winner, and they did. Now, the person whose name they drew won some money or prizes. That's what I mean by winning the lottery."

    Hello, Kevin Kessinger, tis I, Carl Winslow again. If you'll excuse me, I have to go to Red Lobster before it closes. Yes, it's only 3:05 and they close at 10, but my daily Red Lobster feast takes me at least six hours and 30 minutes. I love Red Lobster's Cheddar Bay Biscuits. I have a poster of them above my bed.

    Thank You and Merry Cupcakes,

    Carl Winslow


    GREEN BAY OFFENSE: The Falcons won their Week 12 matchup against the Packers, 20-17. But they didn't necessarily "win" it. Green Bay outgained Atlanta, 418-294. The Packers simply beat themselves with eight penalties and a costly fumble at the Falcons' 1-yard line.

    The Packers were very undisciplined early in the year. In addition to those eight penalties at Atlanta, you may remember an 18-penalty debaclation at Chicago. But Green Bay has really cleaned up its act recently; the team has been whistled for just 11 penalties in its previous three games.

    Green Bay is focused and just has too much firepower for the Falcons to handle. Atlanta is 18th against the run, so look for another solid performance by James Starks. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers figures to have another tremendous game. Back in Week 12, he went 26-of-35 for 344 yards and a touchdown, and also rushed for 51 yards and another score.

    To disrupt Rodgers, the Falcons will need to pressure him. They did a poor job of this in Week 12, registering only one sack. That was the last time Atlanta recorded fewer than two sacks in any game, by the way, so there is some hope.

    ATLANTA OFFENSE: The Packers couldn't stop the Falcons either. They really had to sell out to stop the run - Michael Turner rushed for 110 yards on 23 carries - which set up easy passes for Matt Ryan. Ryan completed 24-of-28 attempts for 197 yards and a touchdown.

    The Eagles were stupid and didn't run the ball against Green Bay - shocker - but we can just go back to the preceding week to identify the Packers' struggle against ground attacks. Chicago compiled 102 rushing yards on just 18 carries.

    Again, nothing has changed in a short time span, so we should see similar results. Turner figures to run the ball effectively, opening up play-action and short-yardage opportunities for Ryan. Ryan will need those to avoid Green Bay's tremendous pass rush.

    RECAP: The Packers are one of the two teams I love this weekend. Here are my reasons:

    1. You have to bet on a Super Six quarterback (Manning, Brady, Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Brees, Rivers) whenever they're underdogs. Collectively, these elite signal-callers are 91-43 against the spread when getting points since 2003.

    2. Speaking of Rodgers, he hasn't lost a game by more than three points all year. This probably would be my Pick of the Month if the Falcons were favored by three. If you can buy the extra half point, do it.

    3. The Road Warriors trend I listed below: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 7-2 against the spread in Round 2 since 2005. This is no fluke; hot, battle-tested road teams understandably fare very well against flat opponents coming off a bye. This system also applies to the Baltimore-Pittsburgh game.

    4. Speaking of cold bye teams, playoff squads with a week off are 10-18 against the spread since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).

    5. There are high expectations in Atlanta. The Falcons are the No. 1 seed, and if they lose right away, their season will be considered a colossal failure. However, this regime has not won a playoff game before, and in all my years of handicapping the NFL, I've noticed that high expectations in the playoffs combined with no successful experience usually proves to be disastrous.

    6. Something I posted back in Week 12: Atlanta's pristine home record isn't exactly legitimate. Most of Matt Ryan's home wins involve beating terrible teams.

    In his first two years, he played only one team that would go on to the postseason (2008 Panthers - a fraud team led by Jake Delhomme). He lost to the Saints a few weeks ago (which shattered the Georgia Dome's invincibility), and beat the Packers and Ravens this year, but Baltimore had to travel on a short week and Green Bay outgained Atlanta by 124 yards in a game it should have won.


    The Psychology. Edge: Packers.
    With no success in the playoffs, this Falcons regime faces high expectations.


    The Vegas. Edge: None.
    Equal action.
  • Percentage of money on Green Bay: 53% (98,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 10-18 ATS since 2003 (7-13 since 2005).
  • Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 7-2 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.
  • Packers are 27-14 ATS on the road under Mike McCarthy.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 8-4 ATS as an underdog.
  • Matt Ryan is 15-5 ATS at home.
  • Opening Line: Falcons -1.
  • Opening Total: 45.5.
  • Weather: Dome.


    Week 19 NFL Pick: Packers 27, Falcons 23
    Packers +1.5 (5 Units) -- Correct; +$500
    Over 43.5 (0 Units) -- Correct; $0
    Packers 48, Falcons 21





    Week 19 NFL Picks - Sunday Games
    Seahawks at Bears, Jets at Patriots


    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


  • Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 19 NFL Picks - Late Games

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    Pharmk68 03-22-2013 07:19 am xxx.xxx.xxx.136 (total posts: 1)
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    @Guru 03-20-2013 10:22 am xxx.xxx.xxx.157 (total posts: 11)
    2     3

    We are looking for you over in the ncaa forum. Great picks on sunday. You won us all a few bucks. Thanks again !!
    Browns4Life 03-19-2013 05:54 am xxx.xxx.xxx6.34 (total posts: 1)
    3     2

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    Gman 03-18-2013 07:34 pm xxx.xxx.xxx5.42 (total posts: 5)
    2     2

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    theguru66 03-18-2013 06:44 pm xxx.xxx.xxx16.2 (total posts: 19)
    13     3

    Not bad yesterday as I went 3-1. Missed that over in the Buckeye game after a nice 3-0 start. Oh well. Anyway, let's keep the train rolling shall we? I have a couple of picks for the passengers tonight...

    7:35; Atlanta Hawks hosting Dallas tonight and after the mavs lost that heartbreaker to the Thunder last night it's hard for me to imagine them getting up for a back to back game on the road. The Hawks impressed me last night with their win in Brooklyn and they are known to be a streaky team. I see them keeping the streak going tonight and taking care of buisness against the Mavs. Line has moved to 4 1/2 now but I think they'll win by 9-12. Lay the points and take Hot-lanta.

    8:30; Calgary visits Dallas for a date with the Stars and I like the under in this contest. I know both of the previous contests between these two this year have gone way over (a 11 and 7 goals game) but Calgary has scored 3 goals in their last 3 road games and Dallas has scored THREE goals in their last FOUR games and 3 of them were at HOME. I just don't see that many twine ticklers tonight and I see a 3-1 final.

    Monday's Recap:

    Atlanta hawks -4 1/2
    Calgary/Dallas under 5 1/2

    Good luck passengers!
    RGMass 03-17-2013 05:58 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.186 (total posts: 13)
    2     2

    Great run today Guru. 3-1 is awesome!! I always seem to miss the 4th game in parlays but still it was an awesome day!! I also like a few games in the NBA today:

    New Orleans/Minn over 189
    Golden State/Houston over 216
    OKC/Mavericks over 208

    GLTA!!!
    Vail skier 03-17-2013 03:30 pm xxx.xxx.xxx3.78 (total posts: 11)
    5     2

    Guru66 good job so far, keep it up, hope everything is going good for you.
    RGMass 03-17-2013 03:07 am xxx.xxx.xxx.186 (total posts: 13)
    4     2

    Guru I love those picks for tomorrow. I'm rolling with you!! LETS GO!!
    theguru66 03-17-2013 02:02 am xxx.xxx.xxx.112 (total posts: 2)
    25     2

    I don't know how many guys are still looking at this sight but if I help ONE person tomorrow I'll take it. OK, here is the deal. I have been crushing college basketball this week. Some of you posted that I did well last year in March with NCAA hoops and you'd be right. In fact, I usually do well during these conference tourny's. Saturday I hit 9 of 13 plays in college sooooooo I've decided to cap and post the four finals tomorrow. So without further ado, let's get this train rolling shall we?...

    1pm; ACC Championship pits the TarHeels and the Hurricanes. North Carolina has been here done that and just like Florida St. last year, Miami is hungrier. NC is in the dance and their banged up. They beat Maryland but it took a lot out of them. Miami just smoked NC State, they never trailed in the game and are playing for a possible one seed. THEN you can throw in the fact that Miami beat North Carolina TWICE already this year and this one is easy for me. Miami WON the ACC regular season this year for a reason. THEY ARE VERY TALENTED. North Carolina gets the line decrease because of their name and I'll take that all day long. Miami wins this game by at LEAST 8, I'm thinking 10+. Lay the points.

    1pm; SEC final and this one is also easy for me. I might be reading these all wrong but I don't see it. Ol Miss getting 11 points is nuts IMO. Florida has looked average over the last month and lost to Kentucky when they were up 7 with 5 to go. Kentucky is terrible and shouldn't be in the tourny if they make it. How do you lose to Vandy fighting for your tourny lives? How, when your not that good. Anyway, Ol Miss needs this game badly and will play their hearts out. They are also hungrier and this game should come down to the wire. Take the points.

    1pm; I've won a lot of money this year with the St. Louis Bilikens. This is a VERY good team and will make noise in the dance. They are going to win the A-10 title tomorrow and although VCU is good and will do everything they can to slow them down, St. Louis should win this game easy. They played only once this year and although they were at home they were up 17 at the half. I have St. Louis by 7-9 in this game and will gladly lay 2, their 9-1 ATS in their last 10 and 21-9 against teams with a winning record ATS in their last 30.

    3:30; The Badgers Buckeye game is by far the hardest of the day in my humble opinion. Ohio State probably has the better players and that usually wins in games like this but Wisconsin has looked awesome during this tourny. What I have learned over the years is that these games are hard fought and intense and there is usually a slight uptick in scoring due to the fouling and never give up attitude that these games bring. It will be close but I think this game goes over the total. 118 means they both have to get to 60 and I see this in the 67-64 range. If I had to chose the line I would take Ohio State but I like the over the best in this play.

    Sunday's NCAA Tourny Finals recap:

    Miami -3
    Mississippi +11
    St. Louis -2
    Wisconsin/Ohio State over 118

    Good Luck to everyone who's left and enjoy the great games!
    kvngr 03-14-2013 05:23 pm xxx.xxx.xxx8.66 (total posts: 1)
    2     2

    If I remember right the train was steaming thru march madness last year.Hope life throws you some juicy fastballs soon theguru66.
    @theguru66 03-13-2013 01:39 pm xxx.xxx.xxx.100 (total posts: 1)
    3     3

    Haven't seen you on here for a while - figured something was up. Someone posted you were done with the site because of some childish behavior. But that didn't seem correct since you dealt with it for so long. Well, glad to see you will be coming back, if that really is you posting (since the IP address seems different). I'm looking forward to NCAA tourney picks from you. I think you did modertely well last year.






    2013 Fantasy Football Rankings - May 24


    2013 NBA Mock Draft - May 22


    2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 21


    Charlie's 2014 NFL Mock Draft - May 20


    NFL Picks - Feb. 3




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    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 1,876-1,720-106, 52.2% (+$6,915)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 611-545-31 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 253-225-7 (52.9%)
    Career Over-Under: 1409-1408-42 (50.0%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-14-1 (61.1%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 24-16 (60.0%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-8 (W2)
    Bears: 6-10 (L1)
    Bucs: 8-7 (L1)
    49ers: 8-10 (W1)
    Eagles: 8-8 (L1)
    Lions: 8-7 (L2)
    Falcons: 4-12 (L4)
    Cardinals: 11-5 (W3)
    Giants: 6-9 (L6)
    Packers: 7-11 (L1)
    Panthers: 9-7 (W4)
    Rams: 9-7 (L1)
    Redskins: 9-8 (L1)
    Vikings: 6-10 (W1)
    Saints: 7-9 (W2)
    Seahawks: 9-9 (L3)
    Bills: 6-10 (L3)
    Bengals: 8-8 (W1)
    Colts: 9-8 (L2)
    Broncos: 4-13 (L1)
    Dolphins: 9-6 (W1)
    Browns: 7-8 (W1)
    Jaguars: 7-9 (L1)
    Chargers: 7-9 (L1)
    Jets: 8-8 (L1)
    Ravens: 12-8 (W2)
    Texans: 9-7 (W1)
    Chiefs: 8-8 (W2)
    Patriots: 10-7 (W1)
    Steelers: 7-8 (W1)
    Titans: 8-8 (L1)
    Raiders: 6-10 (L1)
    Divisional: 42-50 (2011: 48-43)
    2x Game Edge: 20-18 (2011: 21-22)
    2x Psych Edge: 28-31 (2011: 29-23)
    2x Vegas Edge: 40-49 (2011: 49-55)
    2x Trend Edge: 28-31 (2011: 20-24)
    Double Edge: 6-17 (2011: 11-6)
    Triple Edge: 0-1 (2011: 1-0)
    Quad Edge: 0-0 (2011: 0-0)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2012 Season:
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    Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
    2013 Season:
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